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- Rhythm88Rhythm88
  ·2021-10-19
  Actually we could build a solid portfolio with this list !
  8 Hot Stocks With the Potential to Join the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club by 2030
  These 8 stocks with monumental growth projections could join the trillion-dollar club Source: Kevin
  8 Hot Stocks With the Potential to Join the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club by 2030
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- Rhythm88Rhythm88
  ·2021-10-19
  There are many type of analyst. This one for Tesla analysis is like compare Amazon with a brick and mortar retail supermarket and shouting Amazon is overvalue when it was below $500?
  Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.
  Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf
  Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.
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- Rhythm88Rhythm88
  ·2021-04-03
  Crash is opportunity. 危机！
  How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?
  You may not like the answer. For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b
  How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?
  391 评论
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- Rhythm88Rhythm88
  ·2021-03-08
  This plunges is fast amd furious! The reboundwill be as fast too. Wish all good luck. [财迷]
  As Tesla plunges, what's behind the stock's recent moves?
  Besides a broader correction that has weighed on tech stocks in recent weeks, the halo of electric v
  As Tesla plunges, what's behind the stock's recent moves?
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- Rhythm88Rhythm88
  ·2021-03-03
  Great if Elon can reward Tesla retail shareholders with Starlink private equity or future pontential IPO shares! [开心]
  Elon Musk-led SpaceX's job ad shows plan for Starlink factory in Texas
  (Reuters) - SpaceX is building a new factory in Texas for its satellite-based broadband service Star
  Elon Musk-led SpaceX's job ad shows plan for Starlink factory in Texas
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we could build a solid portfolio with this list !&nbsp;","listText":"Actually we could build a solid portfolio with this list !&nbsp;","text":"Actually we could build a solid portfolio with this list !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850449540","repostId":"1123286896","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123286896","pubTimestamp":1634616227,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123286896?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 12:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"8 Hot Stocks With the Potential to Join the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club by 2030 ","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123286896","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These 8 stocks with monumental growth projections could join the trillion-dollar club\nSource: Kevin ","content":"<p>These 8 stocks with monumental growth projections could join the trillion-dollar club</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5884c6b5020f763dd765ba864a5a8beb\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Kevin McGovern / Shutterstock.com</span></p>\n<p>In the last year, we’ve seen an explosion in mega-cap tech stocks. Not that long ago, the U.S. didn’t haveanycompanies in the trillion-dollar club. Now, that’s changed drastically thanks to FAANG.</p>\n<p><b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AAPL</u></b>) and&nbsp;<b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>MSFT</u></b>) went even further, now commanding market capitalizations north of$2 trillion.<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) and&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>) sit comfortably above $1.5 trillion.<b>Facebook</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>FB</u></b>) recently slipped below the $1 trillion market, but was the fifth addition to the club not long ago.</p>\n<p>That said, there are a handful of other companies that have the potential to reach this milestone as well. The trillion-dollar club is not easy to join, but it’s possible. With a strong brand, solid growth and powerful moat — just look at the names in the club already — and it’s possible.</p>\n<p>Let’s look at a handful of stocks that could join the trillion-dollar club by the end of the decade.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BRK.A</u></b>, NYSE:<b><u>BRK.B</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Visa</b>(NYSE:<b><u>V</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>PayPal</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>PYPL</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Salesforce</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CRM</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Alibaba</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BABA</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:<b><u>SHOP</u></b>)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$554 billion</p>\n<p>Nvidia isn’t the most valuable company on this list by market cap, but that doesn’t mean it won’t get to a $1 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p>I have been a long-time bull on Nvidia and even though I said&nbsp;it was a “steal” below $200&nbsp;last year ($50 adjusted for the split), doesn’t mean I’m not optimistic any more. In fact, I still believe Nvidia has plenty of upside potential.</p>\n<p>The reason why is simple: The company is building the backbone of the tech sector.</p>\n<p>Whether it’s a datacenter, artificial intelligence and machine learning, gaming, graphics, supercomputing, drones, robotics, autonomous driving, cloud computing — you name it and Nvidia has its hands in it.</p>\n<p>The company makes savvy acquisitions and continues to generate strong, secular growth. Working with the above technologies will ensure that that growth continues too. Not to mention that Nvidia has&nbsp;been blowing estimates completely out of the water&nbsp;when it comes to both revenue and earnings growth.</p>\n<p>Shareholders have to be happy with this one. With its long runway in growth, I expect Nvidia to have a runway to a $1 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla (TSLA)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$865 billion</p>\n<p>It’s hard to believe how close Tesla is to a $1 trillion market cap, sitting above $800 billion as of mid-October. Many will pull their hair out at that situation, given it’s got a higher market cap than most of the traditional automakerscombined. That’s&nbsp;<b>Toyota</b>(NYSE:<b><u>TM</u></b>),<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GM</u></b>),<b>Ford</b>(NYSE:<b><u>F</u></b>),<b>Honda</b>(NYSE:<b><u>HMC</u></b>) and others.</p>\n<p>The move in the stock price is mesmerizing and impressive. While it seems hard to believe that Tesla could move higher, we’re not that far from hitting the $1 trillion mark. In fact, we only need a 20% rally from here.</p>\n<p>That would send the stock to new all-time highs, which again, seems difficult in the current climate. However, Tesla stock has actually been trading really well lately.</p>\n<p>With its culmination of EVs and energy products, I can certainly see a path to $1 trillion, even if many investors do not believe that Tesla deserves it.</p>\n<p><b>Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$640.7 billion (BRK.A), $639.9 billion (BRK.B)</p>\n<p>Nvidia is an often discussed name and Tesla isalwaysin the news. But Berkshire Hathaway seems to fly under the radar. That’s despite it sporting a huge market cap.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the company won’t always have Warren Buffett at the helm. However, the company has a succession plan in place for when that time comes. In his time running the company though, Buffett has amassed an enormous portfolio of companies.</p>\n<p>Berkshire has a massive position in Apple, owning a 5% stake in the company worth about $130 billion. That’s about triple the company’s next largest position, which is&nbsp;<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BAC</u></b>).Remember, Buffett stepped in and took a huge stake in the bank back during the credit crisis.</p>\n<p>The portfolio has 26 holdings with a stake worth $1 billion or more. Five of those stakes top $10 billion, while four of those holdings top $20 billion. In all,Berkshire’s portfolio tops $300 billion.</p>\n<p>So where’s the rest of the company’s value coming from? The company owns a&nbsp;swath of private companies, including GEICO, Duracell, Dairy Queen, Precision Castparts and Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railway.</p>\n<p>Oh yeah, and let’s not forget the $144 billion in cash and equivalents the company&nbsp;held as of the most recent quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Visa (V)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$508.7billion</p>\n<p>Visa was one of my favorite holdings about 10 years ago. When I was writing about Future Blue Chips — the website I run — this was a top candidate. It surprisingly received a lot of pushback. Can you guess why?</p>\n<p>If you said the price-to-earnings ratio, you’re right!</p>\n<p>A lot of investors couldn’t look beyond the current year — or worse, the<i>prior year</i>— and break away from this very basic valuation measure. The P/E ratio is a good back-of-the-envelope way to calculate a quick valuation. But it works better on certain businesses than others. For Visa, it didn’t work so well.</p>\n<p>It didn’t make sense to call the stock overvalued when we look at what exactly this business is. For starters, we’re in the midst of a long-term secular move away from cash and checks and toward debit and credit purchases. Additionally, the rise of e-commerce has made credit and debit transactions more dominant and the pandemic only accelerated these trends.</p>\n<p>Beyond that though, the profitability here is insane.</p>\n<p>Before the Covid-19 disruption, Visa&nbsp;sported gross profit margins&nbsp;north of 80% and profit margin north of 52.5%. Over time, we should see the business get back toward those levels. In fact, it’s not far from getting there now.</p>\n<p><b>PayPal (PYPL)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$315 billion</p>\n<p>PayPal would need to more than triple in the long term to hit the $1 trillion mark. There’s one thing that all the companies in the trillion-dollar club have in common: multiple moats.</p>\n<p>Among other units, Apple has the iPhone, Mac and Services. Amazon has e-commerce, AWS and advertising. Alphabet has Google search, cloud computing and YouTube. Facebook has its flagship platform, Instagram and WhatsApp.</p>\n<p>For PayPal, the company never would have hit its trillion-dollar milestone by just being the payment provider for&nbsp;<b>eBay</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>EBAY</u></b>).</p>\n<p>We just talked about online sales with Visa and that’s helping drive PayPal too. Digital sales are lending a hand as well and now the company is involved in facilitating crypto trading.Next may be brokerage offerings.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect more than 20% revenue growth&nbsp;this year, next year and 2023. Likely beyond that as well. If PayPal keeps growing like that, its market cap should continue higher as well.</p>\n<p><b>Salesforce (CRM)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$285 billion</p>\n<p>With its sub-$300 billion market cap, Salesforce has a ways to go before hitting&nbsp; $1 trillion. However, the company continues to execute incredibly well.</p>\n<p>It doesn’t seem like the market was a big fan of Salesforce acquiring Slack for more than $27.5 billion. The stock had recently hit all-time highs, but from the second the company mentioned that deal, the stock price has struggled.</p>\n<p>While it’s been finding its groove again lately, I don’t think it’s time to start doubting the company. It’s up 800% in the last decade and 6,600% in the last 20 years.</p>\n<p>Even though doubters continue to critique the valuation and as analysts expect growth to slow at some point, management continues to raise guidance. In fact, it did so&nbsp;just last month&nbsp;(in September 2021).</p>\n<p>Like PayPal, analysts expect several strong years out of Salesforce and should it continue to grow, it’s not hard to see how this could be a $400 billion to $500 billion company in a few years. Give it to the end of the decade and a spot in the trillion-dollar club may be on the table.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba (BABA)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$455 billion</p>\n<p>This one is certainly the most controversial pick on the list. Here’s the thing about Alibaba though: It has a great business and a big market cap. </p>\n<p>The company currently commands a $455 billion market cap and is down more than 50% from its highs in Q4, 2020. The decimation has been tough to watch, as nothing has worsened at Alibaba on a fundamental basis.</p>\n<p>Alibaba began to stumble then October 2020, as it has a one-third stake in Ant. That was the beginning of many regulatory issues for the company and for Chinese companies in general.</p>\n<p>Down here at these prices though, that risk may be fully accounted for — but unfortunately we can’t rule out new lows. We just can’t.</p>\n<p>At its height in 2020, Alibaba commanded an $850 billion market cap, a stone’s throw from $1 trillion.</p>\n<p>If the regulatory hurdles fade going into next year, it’s possible Alibaba stock comes roaring back to life. If that happens, $1 trillion is likely to happen much sooner than 2030.</p>\n<p><b>Shopify (SHOP)</b></p>\n<p><b>Current Market Cap:</b>$182 billion</p>\n<p>Shopify is the smallest name on this list. Because of its valuation, it too is a controversial pick. I remember writing about this one in late 2019, saying that although the valuation makes my stomach churn a bit, there’s no denying how great of a business this company is running.</p>\n<p>It’s changing the way e-commerce works and in so many ways Shopify is giving Amazon a run for its money. Not necessarily in a direct competition kind of way (thankfully), but in a “we’re turning e-commerce on its head” kind of way.</p>\n<p>It’s a break from the traditional approach and so far that’s proving to be quite lucrative.</p>\n<p>In any regard,I said that, despite the valuation, I’m a buyer of Shopify because in 10 years time, I could see the valuation topping $120 billion. Obviously that proved conservative, but it shows the necessary mentality of buying a stock like Shopify. At the time, it was a $35 billion company.</p>\n<p>The growth is forecast to continue too, with the “worst” annual revenue growth outlook in the next three years set at 34% growth. That will have to be the case to justify its 28 times forward revenue valuation.</p>\n<p>In eight years from now, we can’t rule out that Shopify is a five-bagger and change from here.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>8 Hot Stocks With the Potential to Join the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club by 2030 </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n8 Hot Stocks With the Potential to Join the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club by 2030 \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-19 12:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/10/8-hot-stocks-with-the-potential-to-join-the-elite-trillion-dollar-club-by-2030/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These 8 stocks with monumental growth projections could join the trillion-dollar club\nSource: Kevin McGovern / Shutterstock.com\nIn the last year, we’ve seen an explosion in mega-cap tech stocks. Not ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/8-hot-stocks-with-the-potential-to-join-the-elite-trillion-dollar-club-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BABA":"阿里巴巴","NVDA":"英伟达","V":"Visa","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","TSLA":"特斯拉","CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/8-hot-stocks-with-the-potential-to-join-the-elite-trillion-dollar-club-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123286896","content_text":"These 8 stocks with monumental growth projections could join the trillion-dollar club\nSource: Kevin McGovern / Shutterstock.com\nIn the last year, we’ve seen an explosion in mega-cap tech stocks. Not that long ago, the U.S. didn’t haveanycompanies in the trillion-dollar club. Now, that’s changed drastically thanks to FAANG.\nApple(NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT) went even further, now commanding market capitalizations north of$2 trillion.Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL, NASDAQ:GOOG) sit comfortably above $1.5 trillion.Facebook(NASDAQ:FB) recently slipped below the $1 trillion market, but was the fifth addition to the club not long ago.\nThat said, there are a handful of other companies that have the potential to reach this milestone as well. The trillion-dollar club is not easy to join, but it’s possible. With a strong brand, solid growth and powerful moat — just look at the names in the club already — and it’s possible.\nLet’s look at a handful of stocks that could join the trillion-dollar club by the end of the decade.\n\nNvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)\nTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)\nBerkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A, NYSE:BRK.B)\nVisa(NYSE:V)\nPayPal(NASDAQ:PYPL)\nSalesforce(NYSE:CRM)\nAlibaba(NYSE:BABA)\nShopify(NYSE:SHOP)\n\nNvidia (NVDA)\nCurrent Market Cap:$554 billion\nNvidia isn’t the most valuable company on this list by market cap, but that doesn’t mean it won’t get to a $1 trillion market cap.\nI have been a long-time bull on Nvidia and even though I said it was a “steal” below $200 last year ($50 adjusted for the split), doesn’t mean I’m not optimistic any more. In fact, I still believe Nvidia has plenty of upside potential.\nThe reason why is simple: The company is building the backbone of the tech sector.\nWhether it’s a datacenter, artificial intelligence and machine learning, gaming, graphics, supercomputing, drones, robotics, autonomous driving, cloud computing — you name it and Nvidia has its hands in it.\nThe company makes savvy acquisitions and continues to generate strong, secular growth. Working with the above technologies will ensure that that growth continues too. Not to mention that Nvidia has been blowing estimates completely out of the water when it comes to both revenue and earnings growth.\nShareholders have to be happy with this one. With its long runway in growth, I expect Nvidia to have a runway to a $1 trillion market cap.\nTesla (TSLA)\nCurrent Market Cap:$865 billion\nIt’s hard to believe how close Tesla is to a $1 trillion market cap, sitting above $800 billion as of mid-October. Many will pull their hair out at that situation, given it’s got a higher market cap than most of the traditional automakerscombined. That’s Toyota(NYSE:TM),General Motors(NYSE:GM),Ford(NYSE:F),Honda(NYSE:HMC) and others.\nThe move in the stock price is mesmerizing and impressive. While it seems hard to believe that Tesla could move higher, we’re not that far from hitting the $1 trillion mark. In fact, we only need a 20% rally from here.\nThat would send the stock to new all-time highs, which again, seems difficult in the current climate. However, Tesla stock has actually been trading really well lately.\nWith its culmination of EVs and energy products, I can certainly see a path to $1 trillion, even if many investors do not believe that Tesla deserves it.\nBerkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B)\nCurrent Market Cap:$640.7 billion (BRK.A), $639.9 billion (BRK.B)\nNvidia is an often discussed name and Tesla isalwaysin the news. But Berkshire Hathaway seems to fly under the radar. That’s despite it sporting a huge market cap.\nUnfortunately, the company won’t always have Warren Buffett at the helm. However, the company has a succession plan in place for when that time comes. In his time running the company though, Buffett has amassed an enormous portfolio of companies.\nBerkshire has a massive position in Apple, owning a 5% stake in the company worth about $130 billion. That’s about triple the company’s next largest position, which is Bank of America(NYSE:BAC).Remember, Buffett stepped in and took a huge stake in the bank back during the credit crisis.\nThe portfolio has 26 holdings with a stake worth $1 billion or more. Five of those stakes top $10 billion, while four of those holdings top $20 billion. In all,Berkshire’s portfolio tops $300 billion.\nSo where’s the rest of the company’s value coming from? The company owns a swath of private companies, including GEICO, Duracell, Dairy Queen, Precision Castparts and Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railway.\nOh yeah, and let’s not forget the $144 billion in cash and equivalents the company held as of the most recent quarter.\nVisa (V)\nCurrent Market Cap:$508.7billion\nVisa was one of my favorite holdings about 10 years ago. When I was writing about Future Blue Chips — the website I run — this was a top candidate. It surprisingly received a lot of pushback. Can you guess why?\nIf you said the price-to-earnings ratio, you’re right!\nA lot of investors couldn’t look beyond the current year — or worse, theprior year— and break away from this very basic valuation measure. The P/E ratio is a good back-of-the-envelope way to calculate a quick valuation. But it works better on certain businesses than others. For Visa, it didn’t work so well.\nIt didn’t make sense to call the stock overvalued when we look at what exactly this business is. For starters, we’re in the midst of a long-term secular move away from cash and checks and toward debit and credit purchases. Additionally, the rise of e-commerce has made credit and debit transactions more dominant and the pandemic only accelerated these trends.\nBeyond that though, the profitability here is insane.\nBefore the Covid-19 disruption, Visa sported gross profit margins north of 80% and profit margin north of 52.5%. Over time, we should see the business get back toward those levels. In fact, it’s not far from getting there now.\nPayPal (PYPL)\nCurrent Market Cap:$315 billion\nPayPal would need to more than triple in the long term to hit the $1 trillion mark. There’s one thing that all the companies in the trillion-dollar club have in common: multiple moats.\nAmong other units, Apple has the iPhone, Mac and Services. Amazon has e-commerce, AWS and advertising. Alphabet has Google search, cloud computing and YouTube. Facebook has its flagship platform, Instagram and WhatsApp.\nFor PayPal, the company never would have hit its trillion-dollar milestone by just being the payment provider for eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY).\nWe just talked about online sales with Visa and that’s helping drive PayPal too. Digital sales are lending a hand as well and now the company is involved in facilitating crypto trading.Next may be brokerage offerings.\nAnalysts expect more than 20% revenue growth this year, next year and 2023. Likely beyond that as well. If PayPal keeps growing like that, its market cap should continue higher as well.\nSalesforce (CRM)\nCurrent Market Cap:$285 billion\nWith its sub-$300 billion market cap, Salesforce has a ways to go before hitting  $1 trillion. However, the company continues to execute incredibly well.\nIt doesn’t seem like the market was a big fan of Salesforce acquiring Slack for more than $27.5 billion. The stock had recently hit all-time highs, but from the second the company mentioned that deal, the stock price has struggled.\nWhile it’s been finding its groove again lately, I don’t think it’s time to start doubting the company. It’s up 800% in the last decade and 6,600% in the last 20 years.\nEven though doubters continue to critique the valuation and as analysts expect growth to slow at some point, management continues to raise guidance. In fact, it did so just last month (in September 2021).\nLike PayPal, analysts expect several strong years out of Salesforce and should it continue to grow, it’s not hard to see how this could be a $400 billion to $500 billion company in a few years. Give it to the end of the decade and a spot in the trillion-dollar club may be on the table.\nAlibaba (BABA)\nCurrent Market Cap:$455 billion\nThis one is certainly the most controversial pick on the list. Here’s the thing about Alibaba though: It has a great business and a big market cap. \nThe company currently commands a $455 billion market cap and is down more than 50% from its highs in Q4, 2020. The decimation has been tough to watch, as nothing has worsened at Alibaba on a fundamental basis.\nAlibaba began to stumble then October 2020, as it has a one-third stake in Ant. That was the beginning of many regulatory issues for the company and for Chinese companies in general.\nDown here at these prices though, that risk may be fully accounted for — but unfortunately we can’t rule out new lows. We just can’t.\nAt its height in 2020, Alibaba commanded an $850 billion market cap, a stone’s throw from $1 trillion.\nIf the regulatory hurdles fade going into next year, it’s possible Alibaba stock comes roaring back to life. If that happens, $1 trillion is likely to happen much sooner than 2030.\nShopify (SHOP)\nCurrent Market Cap:$182 billion\nShopify is the smallest name on this list. Because of its valuation, it too is a controversial pick. I remember writing about this one in late 2019, saying that although the valuation makes my stomach churn a bit, there’s no denying how great of a business this company is running.\nIt’s changing the way e-commerce works and in so many ways Shopify is giving Amazon a run for its money. Not necessarily in a direct competition kind of way (thankfully), but in a “we’re turning e-commerce on its head” kind of way.\nIt’s a break from the traditional approach and so far that’s proving to be quite lucrative.\nIn any regard,I said that, despite the valuation, I’m a buyer of Shopify because in 10 years time, I could see the valuation topping $120 billion. Obviously that proved conservative, but it shows the necessary mentality of buying a stock like Shopify. At the time, it was a $35 billion company.\nThe growth is forecast to continue too, with the “worst” annual revenue growth outlook in the next three years set at 34% growth. That will have to be the case to justify its 28 times forward revenue valuation.\nIn eight years from now, we can’t rule out that Shopify is a five-bagger and change from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850466277,"gmtCreate":1634617935540,"gmtModify":1634617936051,"author":{"id":"3565560262275157","authorId":"3565560262275157","name":"Rhythm88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f5501da2fa10a6c684b9c19b6117a4","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There are many type of analyst. This one for Tesla analysis&nbsp;is like compare Amazon with a brick and mortar&nbsp;retail supermarket and shouting Amazon is overvalue when it was below $500?&nbsp;","listText":"There are many type of analyst. This one for Tesla analysis&nbsp;is like compare Amazon with a brick and mortar&nbsp;retail supermarket and shouting Amazon is overvalue when it was below $500?&nbsp;","text":"There are many type of analyst. This one for Tesla analysis is like compare Amazon with a brick and mortar retail supermarket and shouting Amazon is overvalue when it was below $500?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850466277","repostId":"1147398025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147398025","pubTimestamp":1634608414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147398025?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147398025","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p>\n<p>Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p>\n<p>Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p>\n<p>As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p>\n<p>Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p>\n<p>“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p>\n<p>That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p>\n<p>That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p>\n<p>The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p>\n<p>The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p>\n<p>His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p>\n<p>Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p>\n<p>Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-19 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","01211":"比亚迪股份","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","TM":"丰田汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147398025","content_text":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a Tesla (ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.\nToday, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD (1211.Hong Kong), and NIO (NIO).\nAs for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor (TM),Volkswagen (VOW3.Germany),Daimler (DAI.Germany), and General Motors (GM).\nSales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.\n“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.\nThat’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.\nThat’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.\nThe final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.\nThe mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”\nHis views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”\nTime will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.\nTesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":340876399,"gmtCreate":1617379857011,"gmtModify":1634521166394,"author":{"id":"3565560262275157","authorId":"3565560262275157","name":"Rhythm88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f5501da2fa10a6c684b9c19b6117a4","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash is opportunity. 危机！","listText":"Crash is opportunity. 危机！","text":"Crash is opportunity. 危机！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340876399","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191998262?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329984822,"gmtCreate":1615198685666,"gmtModify":1703485535534,"author":{"id":"3565560262275157","authorId":"3565560262275157","name":"Rhythm88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f5501da2fa10a6c684b9c19b6117a4","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This plunges is fast amd furious! The reboundwill be as fast too. Wish all good luck. [财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"This plunges is fast amd furious! The reboundwill be as fast too. Wish all good luck. [财迷]&nbsp;","text":"This plunges is fast amd furious! The reboundwill be as fast too. Wish all good luck. [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329984822","repostId":"1101320011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101320011","pubTimestamp":1615197999,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101320011?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-08 18:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"As Tesla plunges, what's behind the stock's recent moves?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101320011","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Besides a broader correction that has weighed on tech stocks in recent weeks, the halo of electric v","content":"<p>Besides a broader correction that has weighed on tech stocks in recent weeks, the halo of electric vehicle sectorhasbeen fading. That can be clearly seen with poster EV maker Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA), whose shares aredown nearly another 6%in premarket trade to $560. The company led by Elon Musk has seen its shares fall from an intraday high of $900.40 at the end of January, to a low of $539.49 on Friday, marking a40% plungeover the course of six weeks.</p>\n<p><i>What happened?</i>Frothy valuations are having a reckoning, while semiconductor shortages have caused many automakers to temporarily close some lines at their factories. There has also been an onslaught of EV competition from Ford, Volkswagen and Lucid Air, while others, like former Tesla board member Steve Westly have suggested the automaker is \"not going to be king of the hill in electric forever.\" There have been additional concerns like Musk's Bitcoin purchases, and some big Tesla backers have even cashed out a chunk of their stakes like famed investor Ron Baron (he still hopes to hold stock for years, but also invested in two rivals GM-owned Cruise and Amazon-backed Rivian).</p>\n<p>The moves have meanwhile triggered a diversification reassessment of how much exposure investors should have to high-flying shares that offer \"big potential,\" but not necessarily big profits (at least in the near term). Take for example Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK), in which Tesla shares account for about 10% of the fund. The ETF isoff another 4.8%premarket to $111.50 and isdown 30%since the end of January.</p>\n<p><b>Thought bubble:</b>While it's still up for discussion how long all this will last, market cycles have been increasingly moving at a rapid pace in the current trading atmosphere. It took just 16 trading days for the S&amp;P 500 in 2020 to fall from its record into a bear market, and its rebound was the quickest bear to bull market recovery in history. The pace of action is even more pronounced in speculative corners of the market (think GameStop), but has also manifested in Tesla itself. After a S&amp;P 500 inclusion announcement on Nov. 16, sharesrocketed 120%- from $408 to eventually $900 - in the span of ten weeks.</p>\n<p>Last week, the electric vehicle stock selloff was calleda \"massive\" buying opportunity at Wedbush.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>As Tesla plunges, what's behind the stock's recent moves?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAs Tesla plunges, what's behind the stock's recent moves?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-08 18:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3670111-as-tesla-plunges-whats-behind-the-stocks-recent-moves><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Besides a broader correction that has weighed on tech stocks in recent weeks, the halo of electric vehicle sectorhasbeen fading. That can be clearly seen with poster EV maker Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA), whose...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3670111-as-tesla-plunges-whats-behind-the-stocks-recent-moves\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3670111-as-tesla-plunges-whats-behind-the-stocks-recent-moves","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1101320011","content_text":"Besides a broader correction that has weighed on tech stocks in recent weeks, the halo of electric vehicle sectorhasbeen fading. That can be clearly seen with poster EV maker Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA), whose shares aredown nearly another 6%in premarket trade to $560. The company led by Elon Musk has seen its shares fall from an intraday high of $900.40 at the end of January, to a low of $539.49 on Friday, marking a40% plungeover the course of six weeks.\nWhat happened?Frothy valuations are having a reckoning, while semiconductor shortages have caused many automakers to temporarily close some lines at their factories. There has also been an onslaught of EV competition from Ford, Volkswagen and Lucid Air, while others, like former Tesla board member Steve Westly have suggested the automaker is \"not going to be king of the hill in electric forever.\" There have been additional concerns like Musk's Bitcoin purchases, and some big Tesla backers have even cashed out a chunk of their stakes like famed investor Ron Baron (he still hopes to hold stock for years, but also invested in two rivals GM-owned Cruise and Amazon-backed Rivian).\nThe moves have meanwhile triggered a diversification reassessment of how much exposure investors should have to high-flying shares that offer \"big potential,\" but not necessarily big profits (at least in the near term). Take for example Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK), in which Tesla shares account for about 10% of the fund. The ETF isoff another 4.8%premarket to $111.50 and isdown 30%since the end of January.\nThought bubble:While it's still up for discussion how long all this will last, market cycles have been increasingly moving at a rapid pace in the current trading atmosphere. It took just 16 trading days for the S&P 500 in 2020 to fall from its record into a bear market, and its rebound was the quickest bear to bull market recovery in history. The pace of action is even more pronounced in speculative corners of the market (think GameStop), but has also manifested in Tesla itself. After a S&P 500 inclusion announcement on Nov. 16, sharesrocketed 120%- from $408 to eventually $900 - in the span of ten weeks.\nLast week, the electric vehicle stock selloff was calleda \"massive\" buying opportunity at Wedbush.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365611396,"gmtCreate":1614734251315,"gmtModify":1703480430049,"author":{"id":"3565560262275157","authorId":"3565560262275157","name":"Rhythm88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f5501da2fa10a6c684b9c19b6117a4","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great if Elon can reward Tesla retail&nbsp;shareholders with Starlink private equity&nbsp;or future pontential IPO shares! [开心]&nbsp;","listText":"Great if Elon can reward Tesla retail&nbsp;shareholders with Starlink private equity&nbsp;or future pontential IPO shares! [开心]&nbsp;","text":"Great if Elon can reward Tesla retail shareholders with Starlink private equity or future pontential IPO shares! [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365611396","repostId":"2116516818","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2116516818","pubTimestamp":1614729600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2116516818?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-03 08:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk-led SpaceX's job ad shows plan for Starlink factory in Texas","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2116516818","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"(Reuters) - SpaceX is building a new factory in Texas for its satellite-based broadband service Star","content":"<p>(Reuters) - SpaceX is building a new factory in Texas for its satellite-based broadband service Starlink, according to a job posting from the company, as billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk continues to invest in the southern U.S. state.</p>\n<p>Musk, who leads several futuristic companies, including Tesla Inc, Neuralink and Boring Co, moved to the Lone Star State from California in December to focus on the electric-car maker's new plant in the state and his SpaceX venture.</p>\n<p>Earlier on Tuesday, Musk tweeted, \"Creating the city of Starbase, Texas,\" without elaborating further.</p>\n<p>SpaceX did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>However, the company's job posting for a Starlink engineer said it was breaking ground on a \"new, state-of-the-art\" manufacturing facility in Austin, Texas to keep up with global demand.</p>\n<p>The Starlink venture, a planned network of tens of thousands of satellites in low-earth orbit, aims to offer fast internet speeds globally.</p>\n<p>The Tesla CEO had said earlier that Starlink, currently based in Redmond, Washington, will be a crucial source of funding for his broader plans like developing the Starship rocket to fly paying customers to the moon and eventually trying to colonize Mars.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk-led SpaceX's job ad shows plan for Starlink factory in Texas\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-03 08:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18068729><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - SpaceX is building a new factory in Texas for its satellite-based broadband service Starlink, according to a job posting from the company, as billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk continues ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18068729\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18068729","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2116516818","content_text":"(Reuters) - SpaceX is building a new factory in Texas for its satellite-based broadband service Starlink, according to a job posting from the company, as billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk continues to invest in the southern U.S. state.\nMusk, who leads several futuristic companies, including Tesla Inc, Neuralink and Boring Co, moved to the Lone Star State from California in December to focus on the electric-car maker's new plant in the state and his SpaceX venture.\nEarlier on Tuesday, Musk tweeted, \"Creating the city of Starbase, Texas,\" without elaborating further.\nSpaceX did not immediately respond to a request for comment.\nHowever, the company's job posting for a Starlink engineer said it was breaking ground on a \"new, state-of-the-art\" manufacturing facility in Austin, Texas to keep up with global demand.\nThe Starlink venture, a planned network of tens of thousands of satellites in low-earth orbit, aims to offer fast internet speeds globally.\nThe Tesla CEO had said earlier that Starlink, currently based in Redmond, Washington, will be a crucial source of funding for his broader plans like developing the Starship rocket to fly paying customers to the moon and eventually trying to colonize Mars.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}