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- 孑小文孑小文
  ·2021-03-18
  软件里哪里可以看收益率啊？
  美股期货直线下挫，美债收益率续刷新高
  3月18日，美股期货直线下挫，标普500指数期货转跌，纳指期货跌近1%。美国30年期国债收益率升至2.5%上方，续刷2019年8月以来新高；美国10年期国债收益率站上1.7%，为去年1月以来首次。美债
  美股期货直线下挫，美债收益率续刷新高
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15:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股期货直线下挫，美债收益率续刷新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199336120","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月18日，美股期货直线下挫，标普500指数期货转跌，纳指期货跌近1%。美国30年期国债收益率升至2.5%上方，续刷2019年8月以来新高；美国10年期国债收益率站上1.7%，为去年1月以来首次。美债","content":"<p>3月18日，美股期货直线下挫，标普500指数期货转跌，纳指期货跌近1%。美国30年期国债收益率升至2.5%上方，续刷2019年8月以来新高；美国10年期国债收益率站上1.7%，为去年1月以来首次。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb5e3e586e973a8c74cb304783393ea\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7acc12b2a1c6b9fa95d97acfbbd7c717\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a5561c463e08e49a3c4c3ea6d27fd1\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>美债收益率升至1.7%，会发生什么？</b></p><p><b>天风证券宋雪涛认为，从美股的风险定价水平来看，美债有几个关键位置对应了美股市场不同等级的风险状态。</b></p><p><b>第一个关键位置是1.3%-1.5%</b>，对应了标普500的静态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.5个标准差。这个位置是纳斯达克的压力位，对应的是美股价值股的结构性行情，高估值成长股震荡下跌，低估值价值股修复，利率上升利好金融。</p><p><b>第二个关键位置是1.7%-1.8%</b>，对应了标普500的动态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.5个标准差，同时道琼斯工业指数的静态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.0个标准差。这个位置是标普的压力位，一旦突破波动率将明显上升，此时联储可能出手干预美债长端利率的上升速度。</p><p><b>第三个关键位置是2.0%-2.1%</b>，对应了我们前面预测的本轮美债利率上行的顶部区间。这个位置以上对于财政偿付和信用市场都是压力测试，对于美股可能触发更大的波动率释放，道琼斯可能转向震荡下跌，届时联储的工具选择将对市场走势至关重要。</p><p><b>他还认为，当美债上升至1.7%-1.8%，美股波动率可能明显上升</b>，这是观察联储操作的关键位置，<b>联储有可能考虑通过扩大购债或进行扭曲操作来减缓利率上升的速度。如果利率上升到2.0%-2.1%，不仅是财政偿债息的压力较大，信用市场可能也开始出现新一轮风险，届时联储可能会考虑推迟QE缩减，甚至承诺收益率曲线控制（YCC）。</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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}\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股期货直线下挫，美债收益率续刷新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-18 15:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>3月18日，美股期货直线下挫，标普500指数期货转跌，纳指期货跌近1%。美国30年期国债收益率升至2.5%上方，续刷2019年8月以来新高；美国10年期国债收益率站上1.7%，为去年1月以来首次。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb5e3e586e973a8c74cb304783393ea\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7acc12b2a1c6b9fa95d97acfbbd7c717\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a5561c463e08e49a3c4c3ea6d27fd1\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>美债收益率升至1.7%，会发生什么？</b></p><p><b>天风证券宋雪涛认为，从美股的风险定价水平来看，美债有几个关键位置对应了美股市场不同等级的风险状态。</b></p><p><b>第一个关键位置是1.3%-1.5%</b>，对应了标普500的静态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.5个标准差。这个位置是纳斯达克的压力位，对应的是美股价值股的结构性行情，高估值成长股震荡下跌，低估值价值股修复，利率上升利好金融。</p><p><b>第二个关键位置是1.7%-1.8%</b>，对应了标普500的动态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.5个标准差，同时道琼斯工业指数的静态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.0个标准差。这个位置是标普的压力位，一旦突破波动率将明显上升，此时联储可能出手干预美债长端利率的上升速度。</p><p><b>第三个关键位置是2.0%-2.1%</b>，对应了我们前面预测的本轮美债利率上行的顶部区间。这个位置以上对于财政偿付和信用市场都是压力测试，对于美股可能触发更大的波动率释放，道琼斯可能转向震荡下跌，届时联储的工具选择将对市场走势至关重要。</p><p><b>他还认为，当美债上升至1.7%-1.8%，美股波动率可能明显上升</b>，这是观察联储操作的关键位置，<b>联储有可能考虑通过扩大购债或进行扭曲操作来减缓利率上升的速度。如果利率上升到2.0%-2.1%，不仅是财政偿债息的压力较大，信用市场可能也开始出现新一轮风险，届时联储可能会考虑推迟QE缩减，甚至承诺收益率曲线控制（YCC）。</b></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199336120","content_text":"3月18日，美股期货直线下挫，标普500指数期货转跌，纳指期货跌近1%。美国30年期国债收益率升至2.5%上方，续刷2019年8月以来新高；美国10年期国债收益率站上1.7%，为去年1月以来首次。美债收益率升至1.7%，会发生什么？天风证券宋雪涛认为，从美股的风险定价水平来看，美债有几个关键位置对应了美股市场不同等级的风险状态。第一个关键位置是1.3%-1.5%，对应了标普500的静态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.5个标准差。这个位置是纳斯达克的压力位，对应的是美股价值股的结构性行情，高估值成长股震荡下跌，低估值价值股修复，利率上升利好金融。第二个关键位置是1.7%-1.8%，对应了标普500的动态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.5个标准差，同时道琼斯工业指数的静态风险溢价低于历史分位数1.0个标准差。这个位置是标普的压力位，一旦突破波动率将明显上升，此时联储可能出手干预美债长端利率的上升速度。第三个关键位置是2.0%-2.1%，对应了我们前面预测的本轮美债利率上行的顶部区间。这个位置以上对于财政偿付和信用市场都是压力测试，对于美股可能触发更大的波动率释放，道琼斯可能转向震荡下跌，届时联储的工具选择将对市场走势至关重要。他还认为，当美债上升至1.7%-1.8%，美股波动率可能明显上升，这是观察联储操作的关键位置，联储有可能考虑通过扩大购债或进行扭曲操作来减缓利率上升的速度。如果利率上升到2.0%-2.1%，不仅是财政偿债息的压力较大，信用市场可能也开始出现新一轮风险，届时联储可能会考虑推迟QE缩减，甚至承诺收益率曲线控制（YCC）。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3533084678796733","authorId":"3533084678796733","name":"給你壹个韭菜包","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f738c869c9e22180516f2e2b4baffd5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3533084678796733","authorIdStr":"3533084678796733"},"content":"https://m.cn.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield 、放微心浮窗里随时看。","text":"https://m.cn.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield 、放微心浮窗里随时看。","html":"https://m.cn.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield 、放微心浮窗里随时看。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}