“新美联储通讯社”：鲍威尔不会关闭“加息大门”_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

“新美联储通讯社”：鲍威尔不会关闭“加息大门”

华尔街见闻2023-11-10

美联储即使继续按兵不动，但在没有确切证据表明通胀进一步放缓的情况下，仍保留加息选项。北京时间周五，被视为“美联储喉舌”、有“新美联储通讯社”之称的财经记者Nick Timiraos撰文称，美联储即使继续按兵不动，但在没有确切证据表明通胀进一步放缓的情况下，仍保留加息选项。美联储主席鲍威尔没有提出加息的理由，也不会关闭继续加息的大门。北京时间周五凌晨，鲍威尔在国际货币基金组织（IMF）的会议上表示，...

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失败体验瘾
·2023-11-10
美国的A股
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寻找未被市场了解的价值股
·2023-11-10
我觉得肯定还会加息，且加得比较多，最终息率可能达到10%以上
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Timiraos撰文称，美联储即使继续按兵不动，但在没有确切证据表明通胀进一步放缓的情况下，仍保留加息选项。美联储主席鲍威尔没有提出加息的理由，也不会关闭继续加息的大门。北京时间周五凌晨，鲍威尔在国际货币基金组织（IMF）的会议上表示，没有信心政策已收到足够紧的程度让通胀降至2%，重申保持谨慎，但如果合适，美联储将毫不迟疑地加息。尽管最近物价和工资压力有所缓解，使更多投资者认为美联储加息已接近尾声，但鲍威尔隔夜的演讲中令人大失所望。虽然鲍威尔没有给出现在就加息的理由，但他提到了早期通胀“假象”，此前物价压力暂时减弱然后又出乎联储意料地反弹的例子。他说，美联储将密切监测经济状况，以避免被“几个月良好的数据所迷惑”，也要避免利率过高的风险。为遏制通胀，美联储今年已将利率提高至22年来的最高点。在上周举行的议息会议上，美联储宣布维持当前5.25%-5.50%的联邦基金利率目标区间不变，这是美联储去年3月开启加息周期以来首次连续两次暂停加息，也是年内第三次暂停加息。美联储将在12月12-13日举行年内的最后一次议息会议。对此，Timiraos表示：鲍威尔对12月继续维持利率不变或如果明年在经济和通胀没有如普遍预期的放缓，再次加息留下了充分空间。在IMF会议上的预备言论中，鲍威尔说，美联储“不确定”是否已把利率提高到足以在未来两三年内将通胀降到2%的目标。但是在问答环节中，鲍威尔承认通胀调整后的利率确实很高。他说:我们现在的政策是限制性的，可能是显著限制性的，我们正在仔细观察它对经济的影响。根据美国劳工部上周公布的非农报告，10月份失业率从9月的3.8%略微上升至3.9%，但较4月的低点上涨超0.5个百分点，这表明劳动力市场仍很强劲，但近几个月对劳动力的需求有所放缓。与此同时，今年的通胀压力有所降温。根据美国商务部公布的数据，4-9月期间的核心通胀率为同比上升2.8%，比去年的近期峰值5.6%大幅回落。鲍威尔说，美联储对这一进展感到鼓舞，但预计稳定将通胀降至2%的过程不会轻松。受益于今年供应瓶颈的缓解和求职人数增加，美国通胀逐步放缓的同时经济保持一定韧性。但鲍威尔警告说，如果这些供应方面的有利条件已经过去，进一步降低通胀可能会更加困难。他说:我们知道，实现2%的通胀目标还远未确定。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":239840585429224,"gmtCreate":1699578644264,"gmtModify":1699578646134,"author":{"id":"3484716733245108","authorId":"3484716733245108","name":"失败体验瘾","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e86ed60c1854f0542361af933f71447","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484716733245108","authorIdStr":"3484716733245108"},"htmlText":"美国的A股","listText":"美国的A股","text":"美国的A股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/239840585429224","repostId":2382827881,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":239838385561832,"gmtCreate":1699578107187,"gmtModify":1699578109118,"author":{"id":"28157621219307","authorId":"28157621219307","name":"寻找未被市场了解的价值股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db5ac23c1de3f9f7e6ede57af9eef027","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"28157621219307","authorIdStr":"28157621219307"},"htmlText":"我觉得肯定还会加息，且加得比较多，最终息率可能达到10%以上","listText":"我觉得肯定还会加息，且加得比较多，最终息率可能达到10%以上","text":"我觉得肯定还会加息，且加得比较多，最终息率可能达到10%以上","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/239838385561832","repostId":2382827881,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":239910625448112,"gmtCreate":1699595605623,"gmtModify":1699595609400,"authorId":3549516689265366,"author":{"id":3549516689265366,"idStr":"3549516689265366","authorId":3549516689265366,"name":"留一手全球配置","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409d0727d3c2adbd7e08ec74885cd6ef","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.05.19","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":239838385561832,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"你可真是大聪明","text":"你可真是大聪明","html":"你可真是大聪明"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}