中金：通胀破9！美联储或迎“沃尔克时刻”_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

中金：通胀破9！美联储或迎“沃尔克时刻”

市场资讯2022-07-14

中金公司研报指出美联储迎来“沃尔克时刻”的概率已越来越高，以经济衰退为代价换取物价稳定或是必要的选择。通胀破9或促使美联储强硬加息，7月加息幅度最少75个基点。进一步看，美联储迎来“沃尔克时刻”的概率越来越高。但在加息态度上，当前的美联储应该向沃尔克学习，对通胀展现出更坚定的“零容忍”态度。美国6月CPI同比增长9.1%，超市场预期；核心CPI同比增长5.9%，亦高于预期。从分项看，几乎所有重要...

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笨开心
·2022-07-14
市场是把双刃剑，想割别人自己也被割，加息不是唯一出路！停止贸易战，停止迫害世界！是美帝国主义最后的出路！
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笨开心
·2022-07-14
美帝国主义一步错，步步错…！和为贵，和气生财…合作共赢，斗则俱伤…！
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The Fed may welcome the \"Volcker 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Analytics，中金公司研究部图表2：美国CPI通胀分项资料来源：Haver Analytics，中金公司研究部图表3：食品价格持续上涨资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部图表4：汽油价格在7月小幅回落，但仍处于高位资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部图表5：新车与二手车价格保持韧性资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部图表6：房租环比增速保持在0.6%的高位资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部图表7：工资—通胀螺旋指数继续攀升资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部；注：工资-通胀螺旋指数为美国CPI同比增速+美国私人非农企业生产和非管理人员平均时薪同比增速编制图表8：美国联邦基金期货市场隐含加息情况资料来源：CME Group，中金公司研究部；注：数据截至2022年7月13日23：16文章来源本文摘自：2022年7月14日已经发布的《通胀破9，美联储或迎沃尔克时刻》刘政宁 SAC 执证编号：S0080520080007 SFC CE Ref：BRF443张文朗 SAC 执证编号：S0080520080009 SFC CE Ref：BFE988肖捷文 SAC 执证编号：S0080121070451彭文生 SAC 执证编号：S0080520060001 SFC CE 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