历史罕见一幕即将重演？标普指数会连续四年涨超15%吗_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

历史罕见一幕即将重演？标普指数会连续四年涨超15%吗

智通财经2021-11-07

标普指数将连续四年涨超15%？美股表现或已暗暗给明年的黑天鹅定价。本周五，美国三大股指均升至新高，标普500指数上涨0.37%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.56%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.20%，连续第五周上涨。根据道琼斯市场数据，本周早些时候，各基准指数均连续第四天创下历史最高收盘点，标志着它们自2017年10月以来最长的连胜。标准普尔500指数在过去18个交易日中仅下跌了两天。 ...

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Jeanstar
·2021-11-08
[惊讶]
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Youn7276
·2021-11-08
阅
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yoyo6969
·2021-11-08
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- yoyo6969:
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50570194杰生
·2021-11-08
真的会吗？
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- zh2021:
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  2021-11-08
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HCBICE
·2021-11-07
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- NCP88:
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  2021-11-08
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JWZ137
·2021-11-07
Great
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Colas）在11月2日的电子邮件中写道：“随着标准普尔500指数几乎每天总在不断攀升至新高，很明显，市场现在是在按照2022年出现超预期惊喜而定价。”“但让当前环境变得危险的是，不仅在2021年，而且在2019年和2020年，市场已经连续对基本面进行了重新定价。”\n根据DataTrek的数据，标准普尔500指数连续三年收益率超过15%的几率很低，只有10%。\n“标普500指数第四年上涨15%是罕见的，”科拉斯写道。\n他表示，自1928年以来，标准普尔500指数仅有4次连续三年或三年以上反弹15%，而这些时期与战时支出、技术创新和危机后复苏等“宏观市场叙事”相关：二战期间的1942-1945年；1949-1952年的战后经济繁荣和朝鲜战争时期；1995-1999年互联网泡沫时期；全球金融危机和希腊债务危机之后的2012-2014年。\n他在邮件备忘中提到，无论你目前对美国股市是看涨还是看跌，现在市场屡创新稿，毫无疑问预示着2022年将是又一个有着“确定性意外”的年份。 \n与此同时，一些投资者预计圣诞假期美股将持续强劲。\nBofA Global 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