苏伊士运河大“堵船”，对全球市场将产生多大影响？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

苏伊士运河大“堵船”，对全球市场将产生多大影响？

格隆汇2021-03-24

几小时前，横跨亚洲、非洲交界、亚非地区主要航运海道的苏伊士运河宣布无预警禁行。一艘隶属于长荣海运的货柜轮23日搁浅在苏伊士运河上，已导致双向交通受阻碍，目前已有数艘拖船抵达现场，试图将搁浅的货柜轮拖走。这次意外造成双向航道封锁，目前北上方面约有42艘船只在等候这艘货柜轮脱浅，南下方面约有64艘船只也受到影响，恐产生蝴蝶效应，冲击全球物流。一艘由长荣海运营运的大型货柜轮在通过苏伊士运河(Suez ...

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好时机不常来见好就收
·2021-03-24
这船横过来跟河一般宽了，不是故意的吧[笑哭] [笑哭]
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B2cking
·2021-03-24
泰国要有魄力挖条运河的话，那泰国人民的日子就好过了
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- 否极泰来_6792:
  果党和美国以及一众小弟不会同意滴
  2021-03-24
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中坚的赫伯特
·2021-03-24
大哥，这艘船身很明显的写着evergreen，是你瞎还是别人🦐[捂脸]
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- 六月_6508:
  evergreen是公司 ever given 是船的名字长赐
  2021-03-24
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- CleverWilly:
  evergreen是公司的名字不是船名字
  2021-03-24
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cmgdyy
·2021-03-24
利好中欧班列
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梭哈之王
·2021-03-24
已经通了吧
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金融难民
·2021-03-24
台湾助攻一带一路的中欧班列。
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Given号从中国深圳经台北驶向荷兰鹿特丹，原定3月31日抵达目的地。\n23日凌晨，该船准备依序通过苏伊士运河穿越地中海航程中，在狭窄航道上转弯时搁浅，运河管理当局随即派出多艘拖船紧急救援，并出动挖土机试图清除淤泥，希望能移动这艘宽达60米的货轮。\n\n目前全球集装箱航运业正处于严重瓶颈期，苏伊士运河航道也是全球最为繁忙的航道之一。\n苏伊士运河历史\n苏伊士运河开凿历史可能远至埃及第十二王朝，为了通过陆行平底船进行直接贸易，下令挖掘了一条「东西方向」的运河，连接红海与尼罗河。这条运河的存在至少持续到公元前13世纪，随后运河被荒废。\n\n后来法国不惜代价在修建苏伊士运河，是因为苏伊士的地理位置太重要了。欧洲殖民者早在苏伊士运河修建之前就控制了亚洲很多地方，1869年，苏伊士运河正式完工，这标志着欧洲对亚洲殖民地的控制更加有力。\n运河通航后，从西欧到印度洋之间的航程比绕道非洲好望角缩短5500-8000公里。运河位于欧、亚、非三洲交接地带的要冲，战略地位重要。通过船舶数及其货运量在各国际运河中均居首位。\n苏伊士运河最重要水路 收入每年可达150亿\n苏伊士运河是世界上最重要的水路之一，建造于1869年连接地中海与红海以及通往亚洲的航运通道。全长190公里、深24米、宽205米，是从欧洲到亚洲最短的海上路线。\n这运河将大西洋、地中海和印度洋连接在一起，连结了欧、亚两大洲的南北双向水运，让船只可以不必绕过非洲好望角，就直接通过红海驶向目的地，大大地缩短了东西方之间的航程，省下约42%的航运时间。\n苏伊士运河每天可以处理数十艘大型货柜轮，每年约有25000艘船只通过，占世界海运贸易的14%，也是埃及重要的外汇收入来源。\n埃及政府在2015年8月6日耗资80亿美元扩大水道，不止拓宽且加深了原有的河道外，还打算开凿新的河道，让船只航行和等待的时间缩短至11小时，并让每日航行的船只数量从原有的49艘增加到97艘。埃及预计，在新河道开通后，运河收入将在2023年增至150亿美元，可以说是埃及手上一个「会生金蛋的母鸡」。\n苏伊士运河阻塞的影响\n据媒体报道，阻塞可能只会影响3天的时间﹐但据朋友的行船爸爸所说这情况要7天左右处理。\n苏伊士运河是亚非欧沟通的重要航道，每年承担着全世界14%的海运贸易，货品以北上的石油和南下的金属(和制品)为主，尤其是他离中东地区近，连接着红海和波斯湾沿岸港口，直接扼住了欧洲通向南亚、东南亚、东亚地区港口等航线。\n\n若苏伊士运河阻塞的影响持续，那么仰赖中东原油供给的欧美炼油厂，可能被迫寻找替代供应来源，这会让替代品的价格上涨，同时也会影响北海油田运往亚洲的量。\n除了运输石油之外，全球约有25%的货柜货物通过苏伊士运河运输，其中亚欧航线间的全部货柜货物，都经由该运河完成。\n油价实时上升 打乱能源流动\n欧洲疫情上升，原油需求可能下降，WTI原油期货由65元急跌至58元。今日长赐号搁浅堵住苏伊士运河的消息传出后，市场对原油运输可能因此中断的担忧，似乎为油价提供了支撑。\nWTI原油期货短时间急升，小编落笔时已经已至59.47美元，升幅接近3%。投资人显然正评估苏伊士运河通行受阻所带来影响，苏伊士运河运输受阻所造成影响可能只会是暂时性的。\n\n如埃及政府所说，苏伊士运河阻塞3天，也将足以打乱部分能源流动，目前至少有100艘船只正等待通过苏伊士运河，航向红海或地中海。\n在现在这种状况下，欧美原油买家可能会将目光转向美国墨西哥湾、北海、俄罗斯、西非等地，乃至亚洲与俄罗斯远东等各品级原油，需求都可能因而上升。\n结语\n资料显示，苏伊士运河阻塞影响最大的是欧洲各国。每日大约50万桶原油由中东运到欧美，几乎全部的货柜船货物通过该运河运去欧洲。欧洲近期疫情反覆，油业者、贸易商与原油生产商感到头疼外，可能连防疫物资及生活用品也会受到影响。\n今年以来海运费用升了2-3倍，一柜难求的局面一直持续，大型航运公司业绩都是近10年来最好的。这次阻塞事件影响，短期内会影响航运公司布署﹐或令航运股价受压。长远来说，一柜难求及运费上涨或会持续，同时原油价格上涨多个因素共振，今年通胀势不可挡。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":351214717,"gmtCreate":1616597051839,"gmtModify":1616597051839,"author":{"id":"3432626344975122","authorId":"3432626344975122","name":"好时机不常来见好就收","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b496bcfe57857cc67e95de17e52680","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3432626344975122","authorIdStr":"3432626344975122"},"htmlText":"这船横过来跟河一般宽了，不是故意的吧[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"这船横过来跟河一般宽了，不是故意的吧[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"这船横过来跟河一般宽了，不是故意的吧[笑哭] 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