20年前还有一家“ARK基金”，在泡沫中被捧上了天_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

20年前还有一家“ARK基金”，在泡沫中被捧上了天

华尔街见闻2021-03-04

作者：于旭东当21世纪20年代的“新股民”们对过去一年Catherine Wood（下文称“木头姐”）麾下的ARK基金的高光表现津津乐道时，20多年前有一只相似的基金被人们从尘封的历史中挖出，提醒着人们：历史都会重演！与过去一年多的科技狂潮相似，上世纪末的美国也有着一场互联网科技的狂欢。PC和互联网时代的大潮席卷了硅谷，也把众多互联网企业的股价炒上了天。在上世纪90年代，有一家名为Janus 20...

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川大智胜
·2021-03-05
这种事后诸葛亮了，说点实在的：无论是基金公司也好还是人也好，人都有人性和资金上限，就跟一个打理100万账户的散户，突然得到1个亿，基本玩完，因为钱多了，要么都砸进自己一直玩的几只票，实际上类似庞氏骗局，后来的钱推高股价，看起来大涨，但卖出时那么大资金量，谁解盘？别的资金又不傻。要么是多出的钱进入自己不熟悉的领域，那不就变成赌博了？所以，我对流量明星似的基金和基金经理都不看，人得知道自己的上限，这种喜欢虚名，拼命扩张的上新闻的，像董明珠一样，能把事做好才鬼，简单逻辑分析一下就知道不靠谱。
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我祝大家都发财
·2021-03-05
MARK
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GoldenAsian
·2021-03-05
跌了几天你吐槽，长了几十年你默默地收割，你们都是些什么怪物？
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有爱的骡
·2021-03-05
不同的意见也应该认真对待
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maigis
·2021-03-05
拥抱科技和创新风险大，但是总比被科技淘汰要好[看涨] [看涨] [看涨]
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lamm
·2021-03-05
呵呵共同基金和ETF 差别了解一下?
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微尘众
·2021-03-05
那些股留到现在指多少钱啊？科技是王道啊
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BerylGu
·2021-03-05
能不能跌至前早点说？搁这落井下石呢
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仁者无敌的猪猪
·2021-03-05
华尔街见闻这个媒体就是个超级大** 观察太久了可以和高盛一样当作反向指标用 **
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纽约华人雷只做啊甘投资法
·2021-03-05
我一直没看好他.我看好台湾的火山哥.他的啊甘投资法我最喜欢.
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勇敢的謝爾頓
·2021-03-05
历史借鉴不错不错，谢谢分享[比心]
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芜湖芜湖起飞
·2021-03-05
差不多得了[黑眼圈]
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SunnyLeo
·2021-03-04
我觉得木头姐不会这么简单倒下的，继续支持她
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龙腾虎乐
·2021-03-04
不管怎么说，我认为木头姐有她的道，继续追随[得意] [得意]
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清华北大不如胆大
·2021-03-04
回顾过去，那些历史上曾经出现的种种事件，都是目前可借鉴的经验和警钟。毕竟在只有一百多年的资本市场里，许多历史已经重新上演过很多回。
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- Savage_Never:
  做任务嘿嘿嘿求赞求评论蟹蟹最近跌得好惨~_~
  2021-03-04
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  求回复，求点赞
  2021-03-05
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20之所以火爆，都是因为这家基金“太能赚钱了”。在成立后的十年间，Janus管理的基金规模从30亿美元扩张到3000亿美元，成为美国第五大基金公司。在2000年的股市高峰期，Janus基金的新增募资额占到了全美所有共同基金新增募资额的30%！就连美国总统克林顿本人，都把自己的个人账户亲自托付给Janus管理。细看Janus旗下的各只基金，在1999年，其所管理的14支股票类基金中，有11支回报率至少超过50%，4支超过100%。但正如Janus的名字一样，作为一个“两面神”，Janus也拥有另一面，而且是可怕的一面。2000年，美国互联网泡沫破裂，重仓互联网和科技等成长股的Janus基金也随之崩盘，且基金净值的下跌速度比大盘要快许多，创下了Janus基金有史以来的最差表现——跌去了40%。果然，因为什么上涨，就会因什么下跌。而资本市场也是残酷的，之前的高光也不能掩盖最终灰飞烟灭的事实。青睐科技、小盘股暴涨暴跌，背后映射的是一家基金公司在研究及风控上的功力。如果想探究为何Janus被捧上神坛，又在高空掉落，就需要透视其背后的持仓和投资风格。Janus喜欢在绩优股上下重注。对比其他基金经理的仔细调研和深入研究，并对一家公司的长期确定性增长产生质疑，Janus的基金经理一般很少细致调研，只要在财务上确认公司的未来前景，Janus就会重拳出击。在分散性上，Janus也不怎么上心。比如2000年9月30日，富达基金把6083亿美元分散到6800多家企业，而Janus只把2201亿美元投入到514只股票中。这是不是看起来很像ARK集中买入的几十家科技股？除此之外，Janus还对小盘股情有独钟。在当时的美国，很少有投资公司像Janus那样在小公司中投入如此庞大的资金。Janus认为，持有小企业一定比例的股权后，可以名正言顺地进入企业管理层，掌控企业经营。小盘股每天的交易量一般只有几十万股，而Janus手中却往往持有几百万股。当然，Janus并不一定会抛售这些股份，但一旦急需套现，市场需要几个星期的时间才能消化，这些股票的价格肯定一落千丈。这是不是看起来很像目前ARK大举买入的小盘生物医药股？在当时，Janus就像一名赌徒：赌对了，眼光独到；赌错了，满盘皆输。其实，Janus此前的并不是一直这样的投资风格。在上世纪90年代之前，公司曾称“市盈率高于30的股票绝对不碰”。但后来，新上任的明星基金经理克莱格改变初衷，率领Janus一头扎进科技股，并获得巨额回报。在当时，这是正确的战略，并带来1999年的高额回报，但同时也种下了2000年业绩大幅滑落的祸根。无论怎样，我们可能无法把所有责任全部推卸到投资风格和行业选择上，毕竟，在资产管理行业，所有人还面临着一个最大的敌人——规模。回顾过去，那些历史上曾经出现的种种事件，都是目前可借鉴的经验和警钟。毕竟在只有一百多年的资本市场里，许多历史已经重新上演过很多回。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":367921857,"gmtCreate":1614904835679,"gmtModify":1703482743460,"author":{"id":"3562672234399883","authorId":"3562672234399883","name":"川大智胜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/989d8c7544430b8dc7ff7853062d1f61","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"这种事后诸葛亮了，说点实在的：无论是基金公司也好还是人也好，人都有人性和资金上限，就跟一个打理100万账户的散户，突然得到1个亿，基本玩完，因为钱多了，要么都砸进自己一直玩的几只票，实际上类似庞氏骗局，后来的钱推高股价，看起来大涨，但卖出时那么大资金量，谁解盘？别的资金又不傻。要么是多出的钱进入自己不熟悉的领域，那不就变成赌博了？所以，我对流量明星似的基金和基金经理都不看，人得知道自己的上限，这种喜欢虚名，拼命扩张的上新闻的，像董明珠一样，能把事做好才鬼，简单逻辑分析一下就知道不靠谱。","listText":"这种事后诸葛亮了，说点实在的：无论是基金公司也好还是人也好，人都有人性和资金上限，就跟一个打理100万账户的散户，突然得到1个亿，基本玩完，因为钱多了，要么都砸进自己一直玩的几只票，实际上类似庞氏骗局，后来的钱推高股价，看起来大涨，但卖出时那么大资金量，谁解盘？别的资金又不傻。要么是多出的钱进入自己不熟悉的领域，那不就变成赌博了？所以，我对流量明星似的基金和基金经理都不看，人得知道自己的上限，这种喜欢虚名，拼命扩张的上新闻的，像董明珠一样，能把事做好才鬼，简单逻辑分析一下就知道不靠谱。","text":"这种事后诸葛亮了，说点实在的：无论是基金公司也好还是人也好，人都有人性和资金上限，就跟一个打理100万账户的散户，突然得到1个亿，基本玩完，因为钱多了，要么都砸进自己一直玩的几只票，实际上类似庞氏骗局，后来的钱推高股价，看起来大涨，但卖出时那么大资金量，谁解盘？别的资金又不傻。要么是多出的钱进入自己不熟悉的领域，那不就变成赌博了？所以，我对流量明星似的基金和基金经理都不看，人得知道自己的上限，这种喜欢虚名，拼命扩张的上新闻的，像董明珠一样，能把事做好才鬼，简单逻辑分析一下就知道不靠谱。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367921857","repostId":1170578915,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":367966239,"gmtCreate":1614904374721,"gmtModify":1703482733008,"author":{"id":"3548456177993691","authorId":"3548456177993691","name":"我祝大家都发财","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8379901947b146d48142607ee8a44bac","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"MARK","listText":"MARK","text":"MARK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367966239","repostId":1170578915,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367984715,"gmtCreate":1614904048237,"gmtModify":1703482723229,"author":{"id":"3567040609390906","authorId":"3567040609390906","name":"GoldenAsian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba242809ef458e5749b85e8e04e33f3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"跌了几天你吐槽，长了几十年你默默地收割，你们都是些什么怪物？","listText":"跌了几天你吐槽，长了几十年你默默地收割，你们都是些什么怪物？","text":"跌了几天你吐槽，长了几十年你默默地收割，你们都是些什么怪物？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367984715","repostId":1170578915,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":367988359,"gmtCreate":1614903816571,"gmtModify":1703482716025,"author":{"id":"3572949240610339","authorId":"3572949240610339","name":"有爱的骡","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1289926e504243b71acc9cdcdc246554","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"不同的意见也应该认真对待","listText":"不同的意见也应该认真对待","text":"不同的意见也应该认真对待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367988359","repostId":1170578915,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":367052332,"gmtCreate":1614897504026,"gmtModify":1703482625675,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"拥抱科技和创新风险大，但是总比被科技淘汰要好[看涨]&nbsp;[看涨]&nbsp;[看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