系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？

金十数据2021-08-23

荷兰合作银行认为，此前油价暴跌的背后是系统性抛售。上周，由于基金从平仓石油期货多头头寸转向完全建立“空头”头寸，原油市场遭受了一波又一波卖压的冲击。油市的短期势头和一些趋势信号转为看跌。当时机构还担心，如果油价继续走软，中期势头信号也有可能在未来几天从“多”转向“空”，这可能会在压力消退之前引发另一波激进的系统性抛售。因此，荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）认为，此前油价下跌的很大一部分原因...

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Youn7276
·2021-08-24
阅！
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- ming_5868:
  [微笑]
  2021-08-24
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- CLew:
  thks
  2021-08-24
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SNaT_4446
·2021-08-24
油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊
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- 神话者:
  [微笑]
  2021-08-24
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- 53570b80:
  谁主沉浮
  2021-08-24
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健安_1832
·2021-08-23
等掉
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Fitzmaurice预计石油市场将继续吃紧，一旦大规模系统性抛售开始减少，油价将企稳并走高。\n\n鉴于看涨的基本面和宏观背景，荷兰合作银行认为，投机性石油头寸处于低位为油价提供了一个看涨的环境。因为在未来几周和几个月，投资者手头上大量的头寸可以推高油价。\n如果油价如预计般在机械抛售浪潮消退后继续走高，那么这些基金最终将被迫回补石油期货“空头”头寸，并在油价上涨时建立新的“多头”头寸。\n\n展望未来，荷兰合作银行预计油价将在年底走强。\n此外，大型基金管理公司减少石油敞口，为随后可能出现的“空头”回补反弹做好了准备，尤其是考虑到沙特阿拉伯可能在年底前暂停或放缓计划中的增产步伐。\n除了来自OPEC+的潜在利好外，强劲的远期曲线结构也是石油看涨的重要原因。这当前的通胀环境下看起来很有买入吸引力。\n而且最近的一份报告显示，美国石油生产商已经感受到了钻探成本显著上升的压力，这意味着油价将水涨船高。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":835762296,"gmtCreate":1629756431115,"gmtModify":1633682771022,"author":{"id":"3577393549070429","authorId":"3577393549070429","name":"Youn7276","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487c5c26a5e210d6b88adaeaba12329b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577393549070429","authorIdStr":"3577393549070429"},"htmlText":"阅！","listText":"阅！","text":"阅！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835762296","repostId":1107545274,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5626065,"gmtCreate":1629760746262,"gmtModify":1635144239445,"authorId":3532417483771819,"author":{"id":3532417483771819,"idStr":"3532417483771819","authorId":3532417483771819,"name":"ming_5868","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/722d89076d8bfa575b8d66e7aae75a0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835762296,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"},{"id":5631080,"gmtCreate":1629788633899,"gmtModify":1635143853276,"authorId":3581653576507809,"author":{"id":3581653576507809,"idStr":"3581653576507809","authorId":3581653576507809,"name":"CLew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d41c0d9a950d827fc6ba2cea7497a25d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835762296,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>thks</u>","text":"<u>thks</u>","html":"<u>thks</u>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":835700482,"gmtCreate":1629737250946,"gmtModify":1629737250946,"author":{"id":"3531997896574999","authorId":"3531997896574999","name":"SNaT_4446","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9156d13d9efadefc34a83ffc8ec527c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3531997896574999","authorIdStr":"3531997896574999"},"htmlText":"油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊","listText":"油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊","text":"油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835700482","repostId":1107545274,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5625866,"gmtCreate":1629759841464,"gmtModify":1635144256230,"authorId":4090235052856760,"author":{"id":4090235052856760,"idStr":"4090235052856760","authorId":4090235052856760,"name":"神话者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b20ae15ae6c2600ed63bffb924fc3d1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835700482,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"},{"id":5626036,"gmtCreate":1629760663713,"gmtModify":1635144241796,"authorId":3577397803511360,"author":{"id":3577397803511360,"idStr":"3577397803511360","authorId":3577397803511360,"name":"53570b80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835700482,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"谁主沉浮","text":"谁主沉浮","html":"谁主沉浮"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":835420926,"gmtCreate":1629733016165,"gmtModify":1631889459441,"author":{"id":"3553346853986978","authorId":"3553346853986978","name":"健安_1832","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a310972d59b708bb82abef5c003c84e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553346853986978","authorIdStr":"3553346853986978"},"htmlText":"等掉","listText":"等掉","text":"等掉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835420926","repostId":1107545274,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":56,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}