系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？

金十数据2021-08-23

荷兰合作银行认为，此前油价暴跌的背后是系统性抛售。上周，由于基金从平仓石油期货多头头寸转向完全建立“空头”头寸，原油市场遭受了一波又一波卖压的冲击。油市的短期势头和一些趋势信号转为看跌。当时机构还担心，如果油价继续走软，中期势头信号也有可能在未来几天从“多”转向“空”，这可能会在压力消退之前引发另一波激进的系统性抛售。因此，荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）认为，此前油价下跌的很大一部分原因...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

Youn7276
·2021-08-24
阅！
回复
5
举报
收起
- ming_5868:
  [微笑]
  2021-08-24
  回复
  举报
- CLew:
  thks
  2021-08-24
  回复
  举报
SNaT_4446
·2021-08-24
油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊
回复
4
举报
收起
- 神话者:
  [微笑]
  2021-08-24
  回复
  举报
- 53570b80:
  谁主沉浮
  2021-08-24
  回复
  举报
健安_1832
·2021-08-23
等掉
回复
4
举报

热议股票

7x24

全部

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107545274?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef375710aa7a4298de56c8827d8139df","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2021-08-23 23:30","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1107545274","market":"fut","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？","media":"金十数据","content":"<div>\n<p>荷兰合作银行认为，此前油价暴跌的背后是系统性抛售。\n\n上周，由于基金从平仓石油期货多头头寸转向完全建立“空头”头寸，原油市场遭受了一波又一波卖压的冲击。油市的短期势头和一些趋势信号转为看跌。\n当时机构还担心，如果油价继续走软，中期势头信号也有可能在未来几天从“多”转向“空”，这可能会在压力消退之前引发另一波激进的系统性抛售。\n因此，荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）认为，此前油价下跌的很大一部分原因...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/80637\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"jssj","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n系统性抛售过后，油价看涨有啥支撑？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 23:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/80637><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>荷兰合作银行认为，此前油价暴跌的背后是系统性抛售。\n\n上周，由于基金从平仓石油期货多头头寸转向完全建立“空头”头寸，原油市场遭受了一波又一波卖压的冲击。油市的短期势头和一些趋势信号转为看跌。\n当时机构还担心，如果油价继续走软，中期势头信号也有可能在未来几天从“多”转向“空”，这可能会在压力消退之前引发另一波激进的系统性抛售。\n因此，荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）认为，此前油价下跌的很大一部分原因...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/80637\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DWT","symbol_name":"三倍做空原油ETN","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/80637","article_id":"1107545274","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef375710aa7a4298de56c8827d8139df"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107545274","pubTimestamp":1629732625,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"jssj","name":"金十数据"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"荷兰合作银行认为，此前油价暴跌的背后是系统性抛售。\n\n上周，由于基金从平仓石油期货多头头寸转向完全建立“空头”头寸，原油市场遭受了一波又一波卖压的冲击。油市的短期势头和一些趋势信号转为看跌。\n当时机构","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"jin10.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","USO":"美国原油ETF","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF"},"translate_title":"After the systematic selling, what is the support for the bullish oil price?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20c18bca2cac50978ddee2d102481f2e","symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"DDG":0.9,"DUG":0.9,"DWT":0.9,"DWTIF":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"SCO":0.9,"UCO":0.9,"USO":0.9,"UWTIF":0.9},"content_text":"荷兰合作银行认为，此前油价暴跌的背后是系统性抛售。\n\n上周，由于基金从平仓石油期货多头头寸转向完全建立“空头”头寸，原油市场遭受了一波又一波卖压的冲击。油市的短期势头和一些趋势信号转为看跌。\n当时机构还担心，如果油价继续走软，中期势头信号也有可能在未来几天从“多”转向“空”，这可能会在压力消退之前引发另一波激进的系统性抛售。\n因此，荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）认为，此前油价下跌的很大一部分原因是系统性基金的“羊群”行为，而不是石油市场基本面前景的任何重大转变。\n就基本面而言，上周美国能源信息署（EIA）的报告显示，美国的石油库存继续减少，所有类别的赤字仍较上年同期大幅上升。\n尽管拜登向OPEC+提出过增产要求，但该组织对此予以拒绝。而且据报道，沙特阿拉伯考虑到德尔塔变异病毒对原油需求的威胁以及油价疲软的行情，正在考虑暂停已经同意的增产。\n因此，荷兰合作银行高级大宗商品策略师Ryan Fitzmaurice预计石油市场将继续吃紧，一旦大规模系统性抛售开始减少，油价将企稳并走高。\n\n鉴于看涨的基本面和宏观背景，荷兰合作银行认为，投机性石油头寸处于低位为油价提供了一个看涨的环境。因为在未来几周和几个月，投资者手头上大量的头寸可以推高油价。\n如果油价如预计般在机械抛售浪潮消退后继续走高，那么这些基金最终将被迫回补石油期货“空头”头寸，并在油价上涨时建立新的“多头”头寸。\n\n展望未来，荷兰合作银行预计油价将在年底走强。\n此外，大型基金管理公司减少石油敞口，为随后可能出现的“空头”回补反弹做好了准备，尤其是考虑到沙特阿拉伯可能在年底前暂停或放缓计划中的增产步伐。\n除了来自OPEC+的潜在利好外，强劲的远期曲线结构也是石油看涨的重要原因。这当前的通胀环境下看起来很有买入吸引力。\n而且最近的一份报告显示，美国石油生产商已经感受到了钻探成本显著上升的压力，这意味着油价将水涨船高。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":835762296,"gmtCreate":1629756431115,"gmtModify":1633682771022,"author":{"id":"3577393549070429","authorId":"3577393549070429","name":"Youn7276","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487c5c26a5e210d6b88adaeaba12329b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577393549070429","authorIdStr":"3577393549070429"},"htmlText":"阅！","listText":"阅！","text":"阅！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835762296","repostId":1107545274,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5626065,"gmtCreate":1629760746262,"gmtModify":1635144239445,"authorId":3532417483771819,"author":{"id":3532417483771819,"idStr":"3532417483771819","authorId":3532417483771819,"name":"ming_5868","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/722d89076d8bfa575b8d66e7aae75a0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835762296,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"},{"id":5631080,"gmtCreate":1629788633899,"gmtModify":1635143853276,"authorId":3581653576507809,"author":{"id":3581653576507809,"idStr":"3581653576507809","authorId":3581653576507809,"name":"CLew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d41c0d9a950d827fc6ba2cea7497a25d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835762296,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>thks</u>","text":"<u>thks</u>","html":"<u>thks</u>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":835700482,"gmtCreate":1629737250946,"gmtModify":1629737250946,"author":{"id":"3531997896574999","authorId":"3531997896574999","name":"SNaT_4446","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9156d13d9efadefc34a83ffc8ec527c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3531997896574999","authorIdStr":"3531997896574999"},"htmlText":"油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊","listText":"油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊","text":"油价过高会推升CPI，拜登必须阻止啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835700482","repostId":1107545274,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5625866,"gmtCreate":1629759841464,"gmtModify":1635144256230,"authorId":4090235052856760,"author":{"id":4090235052856760,"idStr":"4090235052856760","authorId":4090235052856760,"name":"神话者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b20ae15ae6c2600ed63bffb924fc3d1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835700482,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"},{"id":5626036,"gmtCreate":1629760663713,"gmtModify":1635144241796,"authorId":3577397803511360,"author":{"id":3577397803511360,"idStr":"3577397803511360","authorId":3577397803511360,"name":"53570b80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":835700482,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"谁主沉浮","text":"谁主沉浮","html":"谁主沉浮"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":835420926,"gmtCreate":1629733016165,"gmtModify":1631889459441,"author":{"id":"3553346853986978","authorId":"3553346853986978","name":"健安_1832","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a310972d59b708bb82abef5c003c84e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553346853986978","authorIdStr":"3553346853986978"},"htmlText":"等掉","listText":"等掉","text":"等掉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835420926","repostId":1107545274,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":56,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}