EdwardHughes
EdwardHughes
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avatarEdwardHughes
2022-12-05

Stuck In Covid-Induced Hardship, Lufax Loan Portfolio Shrinks For First Time

The online loan facilitator is bearing more credit risk as its use of third parties to insure and guarantee the loans it brokers becomes costlierLufax Holding Ltd.(NYSE:LU), the largest of China's online loan facilitators, appears caught between a rock and a hard place as Beijing sticks to its "zero Covid" policies.One special feature of the Ping An Insurance-backed (OTCPK:PNGAY; 2318.HK; 601318.SH) company's business model, targeting "unmet demand" for credit among small business owners, has been its role connecting institutional lenders and borrowers without directly exposing itself to a lot of credit risk. It does that by using third-party companies to insure or guarantee the loans it arranges.But costs for loan insurance and guarantees have also risen due to higher default ri
Stuck In Covid-Induced Hardship, Lufax Loan Portfolio Shrinks For First Time
avatarEdwardHughes
2022-11-04

Rivian: Priced To Perfection; Little Room To Misstep

ThesisIn my opinion, Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) is a speculative story-based long-duration asset that is priced to perfection.Valuedat a one-year forward EV/Sales of about x10, the company has arguably little room to misstep.But on 10 Octobera major misstep happened: Rivian hasannounceda recall ofnearly allof the company's past EV deliveries. The trading day following the news, RIVN shares have lost as much as 11%.I don't think Rivian's long-term prospects will be severely impacted by the EV vehicle recall. But still, the company's valuation is simply too high for investing with the risks associated to a story-led business case - especially given the current environment with depressed sentiment towards growth stock.Rivian stock is down some 80% YTD. But there is still excessive risk in the compa
Rivian: Priced To Perfection; Little Room To Misstep
avatarEdwardHughes
2022-11-03
NVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness Oracle’s deep data repositories.NVDA’s forward valuations look attractive and the risk-reward on the weekly chart does not look too bad.However, institutions still continue to shun the stock, and it does not look like it will be an apt rotation candidate for those fishing in the semiconductor or AI arenas.
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-24
apple will never stop a continuous upward climb..some stops and some dips ...but tech is oxygen we can't live without it...the 3trillion grows fast...even government regulations won't do much at this point...if Apple makes poor products in the future it certainly will hurt but you would be well informed and then get out....this is the best company with few exceptions to patterned with....the dividend doesn't hurt either... thanks especially to Apple 🍎$Apple(AAPL)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-22
While China haven’t labeled NFTs illegal, it’s a grey area where any participant must tread carefully to avoid unwanted scrutiny. Domestic firms such as Tencent Holdings Ltd. and Ant Group Co. have issued NFTs on their tightly-controlled blockchain platforms. Domestic media had warned of “blind speculation” in NFTs. Xinhua’s “digital news collectibles” will have unique identification and ownership information on a blockchain from Tencent Cloud, and are of “special commemorative significance and collection value,” . Tencent and Ant also previously changed the name for NFTs on their platforms to “digital collectibles. Does this mean that it is possible to use digital collectibles for the development of nft in the future? Is it an opportunity? $TENCENT(00
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-22
Want more evidence of CNBC talking heads helping themselves and trying to ignore successful Chinese companies. Instead of saying XPEV performed as the best stock of the day with over 10.30% up, they say Tripadvisor was the best performing....up 8%. This is the bias and prejudice. They don't even mention ARK invested for a 3rd time in XPEV. Another opportunity and conviction stock of mine that I've mentioned before is SOFI, which you want to collect under $15. Never sell. Keep buying. Keep holding.$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $TripAdvisor(TRIP)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-17
Anchorage Capital Group, LLC has announced it is shutting down due to significant losses. The hedge fund is closing after 18 years and returning the $7.4 billion dollars it manages back to clients. Their credit fund, Anchorage Capital Partners is suspending clients’ ability to get their money back, via WSJ. Anchorage Capital was one of the top 10 financial institutions shorting AMC stock and now they’re throwing in the towel.$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ $Anchorage International Holdings Corp.(AHCP)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-16
The ONLY reason why Disney was trading absurdly high was Disney+. Streaming is still quite fragmented and Disney+ is just another app sitting on FireTV and Roku. That MASSIVE gap in hours of content available between Disney+ and Netflix will be difficult to overcome. $165-$170, maybe? $Walt Disney(DIS)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-16
People forget. Last time rates when up, Amazon was trading at 185 times/ NVDA 45 times/ FB 45 times...etc etc....growth stocks did great. Its all fake noise to scare people out. Maybe they are dumping margin...ok...but when that ends money will pile back into growth. So, don't worry. $AMD(AMD)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-10
Those tablets before the iPad were thick, heavy and ran Windows. Pure #$%$ Apple AR glasses or VR goggles need to be light and powerful. If Apple can pull that off, Apple will be the company to take the lead in AR and VR consumer hardware.$Apple(AAPL)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-10
except it is still priced for about 40% annual growth or more. Stock is falling faster than I expected. I'll be interested when it gets in the $100 dollar range. Though if it keeps going down at this pace maybe more like the $75 dollar range.$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-09
Roku announced that it is establishing and investing in an office in the city of Amsterdam. Roku plans to expand its existing presence in The Netherlands to help support its international growth. European consumers on average are more value driven than the American consumer. This bodes well for Roku. I always believed Roku would do very well in Europe for this exact reason. All it takes is a little time to see the results.$Roku Inc(ROKU)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-09
Relax, pfizer will also be the first to have vaccine for new variant. Tailoring vaccines for prevailing virus is done for flu shot every year. Nothing new.$Pfizer(PFE)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-08
Think of it this way. One of the common valuation gauges is multiples of revenue. For pharmaceutical and production level biotechs generally 4-6xs annual forward revenue is a common low/mid expectation. As we can anticipate delivery of all current contracted vaccines by end of 2022 and likely a bit higher as as production is on track to reach 150m per month as of 12/31/2021 we can safely anticipate 1.8b vaccines delivered. Considering range of pricing between Novavax, Serum, Takeda, and SKG a low average per unit would be $7 Thus 2022 revenue should be in the 12.6 range at the low. Therefore valuation should be 50b to 75b. (Depending on multiple). Or $676 to $1021$Novavax(NVAX)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-08
Think about the extra PFE $131B Revenue from vaccines and upcoming antiviral pill in 2021 before you buy and sell PFE stock. That is why we holding though it is not as exciting as moderna$Pfizer(PFE)$ $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-07
Buying one share at close, or even open, can disrupt the manipulation. Pass it around. A huge number of buys will disrupt a hedge ladder attack If you plan to buy more amc standardize your order quantity to 1 share. 1 order for 10 shares is not nearly as effective as 10 orders for 1 share. We need more orders to increase volume. Number of orders is more important at this point than number of shares in order.$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-07
limited downside. huge upside. this dip is nothing compared to what people have experienced with crypto. easiest hold ever.$CF Acquisition Corp VI(CFVI)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-06
I'm holding firm, CRWD is the best in it's class and earnings are out. They will likely be blow-out earnings! Lets see what happens to the stock after that.$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-06
Shares of SoFi have dropped very steeply since November, although the firm's third-quarter showed commercial success regarding customer acquisition and product growth. SoFi also raised its forecast for FY 2021 revenues. Because of the 34% drop in pricing since November, SoFi's revenue and member growth is now heavily discounted again. SoFi - next to PayPal, Alibaba and Palantir - is a stock I am buying during this year-end sale!$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ $PayPal(PYPL)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
avatarEdwardHughes
2021-12-03
$Apple(AAPL)$ time is going to tell us the truth about the bloomberg article. If there info proves to be false I for one will never watch them again!🤔

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