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喵多哩
08-02
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$
卖出
喵多哩
07-09
$Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$
比特数字雄起,目标价6$
喵多哩
07-24
$平安货币基金P类美元(HK0000720752.USD)$
喵多哩
07-17
$英特尔(INTC)$
持有
喵多哩
07-17
$英特尔(INTC)$
长期持有?
喵多哩
08-03
买买买,后市可期
喵多哩
07-25
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$
喵多哩
07-10
$英特尔(INTC)$
继续恢复性上涨之路,下半年科技类的领涨龙头
喵多哩
07-30
苹果,
$苹果(AAPL)$
历史上没失败
喵多哩
07-27
AMD更看好
喵多哩
07-26
相信定投的力量,时间会给你满意的回报
喵多哩
07-09
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
英特尔与AMD携手大涨!“AI后进者们”开启股价上攻之势?
喵多哩
09-10
$平安货币基金P类美元(HK0000720752.USD)$
喵多哩
09-06
啄木鸟-智慧鸟,善于以巧取胜,树木里面的虫子一捉一个准。资本市场亦是如此,各种质地的票种繁多,各有千秋。要刨开表象究其本质,方能立于不败之地! [举爪]
@猪溜溜
@财务自由嗨嗨
说说你的呢称
喵多哩
08-07
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
查看详情:
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
快来参与实盘竞猜活动,寻找你心中的收益王者,竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
喵多哩
08-01
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
查看详情:
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
快来参与实盘竞猜活动,寻找你心中的收益王者,竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
喵多哩
07-31
闭眼选coinbase
喵多哩
07-30
$星竞威武(NIPG)$
试水
喵多哩
07-30
$辉瑞(PFE)$
底部
喵多哩
07-30
BTBT看好
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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历史上没失败","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/332867908010072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331892925079608,"gmtCreate":1722035285134,"gmtModify":1722035287130,"author":{"id":"4183251811218452","authorId":"4183251811218452","name":"喵多哩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f813f1bbdf9f3acd7c4d20f02054a73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4183251811218452","idStr":"4183251811218452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMD更看好","listText":"AMD更看好","text":"AMD更看好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331892925079608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331442139103504,"gmtCreate":1721925278642,"gmtModify":1721925281201,"author":{"id":"4183251811218452","authorId":"4183251811218452","name":"喵多哩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f813f1bbdf9f3acd7c4d20f02054a73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4183251811218452","idStr":"4183251811218452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"相信定投的力量,时间会给你满意的回报","listText":"相信定投的力量,时间会给你满意的回报","text":"相信定投的力量,时间会给你满意的回报","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331442139103504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325695565492320,"gmtCreate":1720517033632,"gmtModify":1720517457823,"author":{"id":"4183251811218452","authorId":"4183251811218452","name":"喵多哩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f813f1bbdf9f3acd7c4d20f02054a73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4183251811218452","idStr":"4183251811218452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325695565492320","repostId":"2450059388","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2450059388","pubTimestamp":1720487743,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2450059388?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-07-09 09:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"英特尔与AMD携手大涨!“AI后进者们”开启股价上攻之势?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2450059388","media":"智通财经","summary":"此前涨幅落后的股票标的可能赶上那些受益于AI热潮的涨幅领军者。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周二,英特尔盘前涨逾4%。截至周一美股收盘,今年以来股价表现大幅落后于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>等芯片巨头的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>股价强势上涨超6%,英特尔这一涨幅在今年实属罕见。自3月以来股价大幅走弱的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>则连续多日大举反弹,周一涨幅接近4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>则重新夺回“全球最高市值上市公司”头衔。此前华尔街知名投资机构<strong>Melius Research发布报告称,AI领域的“后进者们”,比如AMD、苹果和英特尔股价涨势可能将在今年下半年开始追赶英伟达等人工智能领域的绝对领军者。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a5a924fb5f1a0713ddf7b401d84c84c\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>相比于英伟达、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光科技</a>,以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>等今年以来动辄60%以上涨幅的热门芯片巨头,英特尔、AMD以及苹果这三大巨头股价则显得疲软得多,尤其是芯片代工业务发展缓慢且利润丰厚的数据中心AI芯片市场份额远不及英伟达与AMD的英特尔,在周一暴涨之前股价长期徘徊于谷底,今年以来跌幅高达30%。</p><p><strong>这里的后进者并非指它们在AI技术方面处于发展落后态势,而是指在某一特定领域的份额远不及行业领军者,比如全球AI芯片领导者英伟达在数据中心AI芯片领域份额接近90%,AMD份额则远远不及英伟达,但英伟达垄断地位毫无疑问将面临来自AMD的巨大威胁。</strong></p><p>“我们相信,在下半年的美股市场,对于一些芯片、AI相关硬件甚至软件产品来说,这些此前涨幅落后的股票标的可能‘迎头赶上’那些受益于AI热潮的涨幅领军者,”来自Melius的分析师雷茨(Ben Reitzes)表示。雷茨补充称,<strong>AMD、英特尔、苹果,甚至老牌科技巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>都可能从这样的“迎头赶上”交易趋势中获益。</strong></p><p>Melius 分析师雷茨指出,2023 年上半年的“人工智能股票赢家”在 2023 年下半年经历了一段时间的停滞,而上半年的“弱势群体”则获得显著涨幅。<strong>该分析师列举了 VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH.US),该ETF在2023年上半年涨幅高达50%,但在2023年下半年仅上涨了 15%。同时,他们表示,包括英特尔和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>在内的公司股票在去年下半年表现良好。因此Melius表示,2024年下半年可能会出现类似的模式。</strong></p><p>Melius在研报中指出<strong>,AMD 和英特尔有望从AI PC浪潮中全面获益</strong>,这两大x86架构芯片巨头集成CPU+NPU+GPU的处理器硬件将用于搭载<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>Windows操作系统的全新AI PC终端设备。与此同时微软即将在其“Copilot+ PC”中推出“Recall”功能,Melius表示这可能是最接近杀手级应用所带来的升级理由。</p><p>Melius表示<strong>,苹果将迎来“AI 增强”所驱动的iPhone 16超级升级周期。</strong>苹果在 6月WWDC上发布了搭载 Apple Intelligence这一突破型端侧人工智能技术 的iOS 18以及宣布OpenAI进行合作,端侧ChatGPT可全面提升iPhone的人工智能体验。</p><p>来自瑞穗证券的分析师克莱恩(Jordan Klein)指出,英特尔等芯片公司的“明显的空头回补交易正在进行中”。“除非你押注第三季度业绩会大幅下滑,或者有竞争对手推出AI PC和数据中心的基于前沿节点的新产品,否则很难出现导致下行的渐进式负面催化剂。”克莱恩表示。</p><p><strong>陷入“至暗时刻”的英特尔股价罕见大幅上涨</strong></p><p>英特尔股价周一收盘跃升超6%,创下3月4日以来的最大单日涨幅。但年初至今,该股已累计下跌约33%。</p><p>英特尔最近的公布有关芯片代工业务的财务信息——其中包括该业务销售额萎缩和亏损大幅增加,财报数据显示,2023年,英特尔芯片代工业务的销售额约189亿美元,低于前一年的275亿美元,同时英特尔还预计,该公司旗下的芯片代工厂的整体经营亏损预计将在2024年达到峰值,投资者们纷纷选择抛售英特尔。</p><p>其竞争对手英伟达依靠CUDA软硬件协同平台所打造的牢不可破AI GPU生态牢牢占据利润丰厚的数据中心AI芯片市场90%左右份额,另一竞争对手AMD则凭借性能不断优化CDNA 架构以及基于3D chiplet设计的高性能AI GPU占据接近10%份额,相比之下英特尔推出的Gaudi AI加速器似乎无利可图,这两大因素共同导致其股价暴跌。</p><p>在Melius看来,AI PC或将是英特尔股价持续上行的重要催化剂,英特尔数十年来深耕于PC端的x86架构CPU领域,早已在PC领域具备强大的软硬件与供应链合作体系以及庞大的忠诚用户群体。</p><p><strong>英特尔全新推出的酷睿Ultra 处理器将AI专用的神经处理单元(NPU)与Arc GPU集成至CPU,其中NPU专门用于AI推理任务加速,这一款集成CPU+NPU+GPU的中央处理器被设计为公司“最高效的处理器”,标志着AI PC时代正式到来。</strong>英特尔面向笔记本电脑的 Lunar Lake 处理器拟定于 2024 年下半年上市,这款芯片具有“全新的低功耗架构以及显著的 IPC 改进”,GPU 和 NPU模块的AI数据处理性能则比Meteor Lake 高出三倍。</p><p>研究机构Canalys最新预测数据显示,<strong>2024年堪称“AI PC元年”,预计2024年全球AI PC出货量将达到 5100 万台,占个人电脑(PC) 总出货量的 19%。但这仅是市场转型的开始,预计到 2028 年,AI PC出货量将达到2.08亿台,预计届时占PC总出货量份额有望超过70%,2024 年至 2028 年期间的复合年增长率(CAGR)将达到惊人的42%。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7717f97d092b60da164b74cafe3dd0e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"998\" tg-height=\"554\"/></p><p><strong>AMD全力冲刺AI数据中心与AI PC</strong></p><p>英伟达在PC独立显卡以及数据中心服务器AI芯片领域的最强竞争对手AMD,<strong>可谓竭尽全力快速推出全新款的服务器AI芯片以及适用于AI PC端的端侧AI芯片,试图削弱英伟达这个利润丰厚的服务器AI芯片市场上高达90%份额的绝对统治地位,同时欲在端侧AI市场获得领先于芯片同行的先发优势。</strong></p><p>据了解,应用于AI数据中心服务器的AMD M300X AI芯片升级版本——MI325X将于第四季度开始上市销售,AMD首席执行官苏姿丰(Lisa Su)在台湾Computex会议的开幕主题演讲中表示,这一款MI300X的继任者将拥有更大的内存和更快速的数据吞吐量。</p><p>AMD更加先进的MI350系列则将在2025年推出,而MI400系列将在一年后推出。AMD大约每年一次的发布周期与英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋(Jensen Huang)前一天晚上在台北发表演讲时提出的一年一次AI芯片新品发布的计划相符。</p><p>AMD全新推出的MI325X性能指标方面,基于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>3nm制造工艺的MI325X将延续AMD强大的CDNA3构架,同时与英伟达H200一样采用第四代HBM存储系统——HBM3E,内存容量大幅提升至288GB,带宽也将提升至6TB/s,整体的性能将进一步提升,其他方面的基准规格与兼容性则基本与MI300X一致,方便AMD客户升级过渡。<strong>苏姿丰指出,MI325X AI性能提升幅度为AMD史上最大幅度,相较竞品英伟达H200将有1.3倍以上提升。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29bfa31dc175166f6132269102c8c44e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"273\"/></p><p>据了解,美国云计算巨头微软已经向旗下云服务平台Azure的客户们提供了AMD的MI300X AI加速器。尽管AMD是全球最主要的GPU制造商,但在数据中心服务器AI芯片领域的发展与扩张之势一直落后于英伟达。</p><p>不过,<strong>随着大型云计算服务商开始寻找英伟达昂贵且供不应求的H100/H200 等AI芯片替代品,以及AMD通过提供更好的软硬件协同体系支持开始在AI芯片取得一些进展,AMD MI300X现在也成为AI领域的热门基础硬件。</strong>微软云计算和人工智能业务执行副总裁Scott Guthrie将AMD MI300X 描述为“目前Azure OpenAI云服务产品中最具成本效益的AI GPU”。</p><p><strong>对于消费者,AMD公布了其第三代Ryzen AI处理器,并将其名为“Strix Point”,计划于7月上市。它们是为嵌入AI大模型的笔记本电脑所量身定制,在AMD Zen5 CPU架构的基础上结合了RDNA 3.5 GPU以及XDNA 2 NPU架构,全面集成CPU+GPU+NPU用于加速人工智能任务。</strong></p><p><strong>在AIPC最核心的NPU性能方面,全新Ryzen AI 300系列处理器一举超越英特尔与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>,成为当今最强NPU。</strong>高通骁龙X Elite NPU的算力为45TOPS,Intel即将推出的下一代酷睿Ultra Lunar Lake NPU算力同样是45TOPS,Ryzen AI 300系列则高达50TOPS。更强力的NPU,配合AMD性能强劲的CPU与GPU,可以在多重应用场景中部署更高级别参数的端侧AI大模型。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baf2622a7c5c5e0243552981681ec7fd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"449\"/></p><p><strong>“AI智能手机”成苹果股价的核心催化剂</strong></p><p>截至周一美股收盘,苹果股价续创历史新高,涨逾0.65%报227.82美元,总市值接近3.5万亿美元超越微软重回美股第一。<strong>此前有产业链人士表示,苹果上调iPhone 16系列今年备货目标至9000万部左右。618电商促销期间苹果销量明显提升,加之苹果对于Apple Intelligence带来的换机驱动力信心十足,可能共同提振了苹果对iPhone 16系列的销量预期。</strong></p><p>6月10日,苹果在其全球开发者大会上发布了一系列人工智能功能。这项名为“苹果智能”(Apple Intelligence)的新型人工智能技术包括AI一键总结通知、自动转录语音备忘录和生成自定义表情符号的苹果自主化工具。</p><p>但苹果的独家AI聊天<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>技术在使用场景中远不如竞争对手先进,这促使它寻找合作伙伴,比如OpenAI所推出的ChatGPT。该公司还认为,客户可能将希望能够根据自己的需要在基于不同大模型的AI聊天机器人之间切换,就像他们在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>搜索引擎和微软的必应(Bing)搜索引擎之间进行切换搜索一样。</p><p>在Apple Intelligence技术之下,嵌入端侧AI大模型的ChatGPT等AI聊天机器人与苹果Siri语音助手全面整合,此举将使苹果iOS系统用户能够仅用语音就能够控制单个应用程序(App)的所有功能,并在一定程度上实现应用程序全面联动与交互,采用“端侧AI+云端AI”相结合的形式革新智能手机体验。<strong>Siri的定位或将不再是笨拙的形式化语音助手,而是类似于电影《HER》中那位超级了解用户偏好和操作习惯的专属“全能AI伴侣”。</strong></p><p>知情人士还表示,苹果仍在与OpenAI最强竞争对手——人工智能初创公司Anthropic之间进行积极的合作讨论,最终将该公司的AI聊天机器人作为一种核心选择。据了解,Apple Intelligence将于今年晚些时候作为iPhone、iPad以及苹果Mac操作系统的重要部分推向苹果客户。</p><p><strong>2024年同样为“AI智能手机”元年,为了实现智能手机上运行AI大模型,智能手机制造商们纷纷研究集成专用的AI加速器,这些专有AI芯片专为高效处理AI任务设计,力争提高运算效率和能耗比。苹果等智能手机制造商们还力争通过云计算和边缘计算结合,某些复杂的AI处理在云端完成,而实时或敏感的任务在本地处理,以及探索使用模型剪枝、量化和知识蒸馏等技术减少大模型的实际规模和计算需求,使其适合在资源受限的应用设备终端运行。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d47613224793a34291cadf85b592b7f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"531\"/></p><p>知名研究机构Canalys近日发布研究报告,预计2024年全球16%的智能手机出货量为AI智能手机,<strong>而到2028年,该机构预计这一比例将呈指数级增长至54%,在2023年—2028年间的AI智能手机市场规模的复合增速(CAGR)将高达63%,主要受消费者对AI全能助手和端侧自动化处理等增强功能需求的强力推动</strong>;预计这一转变将率先出现在高端智能手机机型上,然后逐渐为中端智能手机所采用,反映出端侧生成式AI作为更普适性的先进技术渗透整体智能手机市场的趋势。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英特尔与AMD携手大涨!“AI后进者们”开启股价上攻之势?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英特尔与AMD携手大涨!“AI后进者们”开启股价上攻之势?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-07-09 09:15 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1147483.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周二,英特尔盘前涨逾4%。截至周一美股收盘,今年以来股价表现大幅落后于英伟达等芯片巨头的英特尔股价强势上涨超6%,英特尔这一涨幅在今年实属罕见。自3月以来股价大幅走弱的AMD则连续多日大举反弹,周一涨幅接近4%,苹果则重新夺回“全球最高市值上市公司”头衔。此前华尔街知名投资机构Melius Research发布报告称,AI领域的“后进者们”,比如AMD、苹果和英特尔股价涨势可能将在今年下半年开始...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1147483.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e39f5931d4cf3fccc49c0e890fceb462","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1147483.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2450059388","content_text":"周二,英特尔盘前涨逾4%。截至周一美股收盘,今年以来股价表现大幅落后于英伟达等芯片巨头的英特尔股价强势上涨超6%,英特尔这一涨幅在今年实属罕见。自3月以来股价大幅走弱的AMD则连续多日大举反弹,周一涨幅接近4%,苹果则重新夺回“全球最高市值上市公司”头衔。此前华尔街知名投资机构Melius Research发布报告称,AI领域的“后进者们”,比如AMD、苹果和英特尔股价涨势可能将在今年下半年开始追赶英伟达等人工智能领域的绝对领军者。相比于英伟达、美光科技,以及博通等今年以来动辄60%以上涨幅的热门芯片巨头,英特尔、AMD以及苹果这三大巨头股价则显得疲软得多,尤其是芯片代工业务发展缓慢且利润丰厚的数据中心AI芯片市场份额远不及英伟达与AMD的英特尔,在周一暴涨之前股价长期徘徊于谷底,今年以来跌幅高达30%。这里的后进者并非指它们在AI技术方面处于发展落后态势,而是指在某一特定领域的份额远不及行业领军者,比如全球AI芯片领导者英伟达在数据中心AI芯片领域份额接近90%,AMD份额则远远不及英伟达,但英伟达垄断地位毫无疑问将面临来自AMD的巨大威胁。“我们相信,在下半年的美股市场,对于一些芯片、AI相关硬件甚至软件产品来说,这些此前涨幅落后的股票标的可能‘迎头赶上’那些受益于AI热潮的涨幅领军者,”来自Melius的分析师雷茨(Ben Reitzes)表示。雷茨补充称,AMD、英特尔、苹果,甚至老牌科技巨头IBM都可能从这样的“迎头赶上”交易趋势中获益。Melius 分析师雷茨指出,2023 年上半年的“人工智能股票赢家”在 2023 年下半年经历了一段时间的停滞,而上半年的“弱势群体”则获得显著涨幅。该分析师列举了 VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH.US),该ETF在2023年上半年涨幅高达50%,但在2023年下半年仅上涨了 15%。同时,他们表示,包括英特尔和戴尔在内的公司股票在去年下半年表现良好。因此Melius表示,2024年下半年可能会出现类似的模式。Melius在研报中指出,AMD 和英特尔有望从AI PC浪潮中全面获益,这两大x86架构芯片巨头集成CPU+NPU+GPU的处理器硬件将用于搭载微软Windows操作系统的全新AI PC终端设备。与此同时微软即将在其“Copilot+ PC”中推出“Recall”功能,Melius表示这可能是最接近杀手级应用所带来的升级理由。Melius表示,苹果将迎来“AI 增强”所驱动的iPhone 16超级升级周期。苹果在 6月WWDC上发布了搭载 Apple Intelligence这一突破型端侧人工智能技术 的iOS 18以及宣布OpenAI进行合作,端侧ChatGPT可全面提升iPhone的人工智能体验。来自瑞穗证券的分析师克莱恩(Jordan Klein)指出,英特尔等芯片公司的“明显的空头回补交易正在进行中”。“除非你押注第三季度业绩会大幅下滑,或者有竞争对手推出AI PC和数据中心的基于前沿节点的新产品,否则很难出现导致下行的渐进式负面催化剂。”克莱恩表示。陷入“至暗时刻”的英特尔股价罕见大幅上涨英特尔股价周一收盘跃升超6%,创下3月4日以来的最大单日涨幅。但年初至今,该股已累计下跌约33%。英特尔最近的公布有关芯片代工业务的财务信息——其中包括该业务销售额萎缩和亏损大幅增加,财报数据显示,2023年,英特尔芯片代工业务的销售额约189亿美元,低于前一年的275亿美元,同时英特尔还预计,该公司旗下的芯片代工厂的整体经营亏损预计将在2024年达到峰值,投资者们纷纷选择抛售英特尔。其竞争对手英伟达依靠CUDA软硬件协同平台所打造的牢不可破AI GPU生态牢牢占据利润丰厚的数据中心AI芯片市场90%左右份额,另一竞争对手AMD则凭借性能不断优化CDNA 架构以及基于3D chiplet设计的高性能AI GPU占据接近10%份额,相比之下英特尔推出的Gaudi AI加速器似乎无利可图,这两大因素共同导致其股价暴跌。在Melius看来,AI PC或将是英特尔股价持续上行的重要催化剂,英特尔数十年来深耕于PC端的x86架构CPU领域,早已在PC领域具备强大的软硬件与供应链合作体系以及庞大的忠诚用户群体。英特尔全新推出的酷睿Ultra 处理器将AI专用的神经处理单元(NPU)与Arc GPU集成至CPU,其中NPU专门用于AI推理任务加速,这一款集成CPU+NPU+GPU的中央处理器被设计为公司“最高效的处理器”,标志着AI PC时代正式到来。英特尔面向笔记本电脑的 Lunar Lake 处理器拟定于 2024 年下半年上市,这款芯片具有“全新的低功耗架构以及显著的 IPC 改进”,GPU 和 NPU模块的AI数据处理性能则比Meteor Lake 高出三倍。研究机构Canalys最新预测数据显示,2024年堪称“AI PC元年”,预计2024年全球AI PC出货量将达到 5100 万台,占个人电脑(PC) 总出货量的 19%。但这仅是市场转型的开始,预计到 2028 年,AI PC出货量将达到2.08亿台,预计届时占PC总出货量份额有望超过70%,2024 年至 2028 年期间的复合年增长率(CAGR)将达到惊人的42%。AMD全力冲刺AI数据中心与AI PC英伟达在PC独立显卡以及数据中心服务器AI芯片领域的最强竞争对手AMD,可谓竭尽全力快速推出全新款的服务器AI芯片以及适用于AI PC端的端侧AI芯片,试图削弱英伟达这个利润丰厚的服务器AI芯片市场上高达90%份额的绝对统治地位,同时欲在端侧AI市场获得领先于芯片同行的先发优势。据了解,应用于AI数据中心服务器的AMD M300X AI芯片升级版本——MI325X将于第四季度开始上市销售,AMD首席执行官苏姿丰(Lisa Su)在台湾Computex会议的开幕主题演讲中表示,这一款MI300X的继任者将拥有更大的内存和更快速的数据吞吐量。AMD更加先进的MI350系列则将在2025年推出,而MI400系列将在一年后推出。AMD大约每年一次的发布周期与英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋(Jensen Huang)前一天晚上在台北发表演讲时提出的一年一次AI芯片新品发布的计划相符。AMD全新推出的MI325X性能指标方面,基于台积电3nm制造工艺的MI325X将延续AMD强大的CDNA3构架,同时与英伟达H200一样采用第四代HBM存储系统——HBM3E,内存容量大幅提升至288GB,带宽也将提升至6TB/s,整体的性能将进一步提升,其他方面的基准规格与兼容性则基本与MI300X一致,方便AMD客户升级过渡。苏姿丰指出,MI325X AI性能提升幅度为AMD史上最大幅度,相较竞品英伟达H200将有1.3倍以上提升。据了解,美国云计算巨头微软已经向旗下云服务平台Azure的客户们提供了AMD的MI300X AI加速器。尽管AMD是全球最主要的GPU制造商,但在数据中心服务器AI芯片领域的发展与扩张之势一直落后于英伟达。不过,随着大型云计算服务商开始寻找英伟达昂贵且供不应求的H100/H200 等AI芯片替代品,以及AMD通过提供更好的软硬件协同体系支持开始在AI芯片取得一些进展,AMD MI300X现在也成为AI领域的热门基础硬件。微软云计算和人工智能业务执行副总裁Scott Guthrie将AMD MI300X 描述为“目前Azure OpenAI云服务产品中最具成本效益的AI GPU”。对于消费者,AMD公布了其第三代Ryzen AI处理器,并将其名为“Strix Point”,计划于7月上市。它们是为嵌入AI大模型的笔记本电脑所量身定制,在AMD Zen5 CPU架构的基础上结合了RDNA 3.5 GPU以及XDNA 2 NPU架构,全面集成CPU+GPU+NPU用于加速人工智能任务。在AIPC最核心的NPU性能方面,全新Ryzen AI 300系列处理器一举超越英特尔与高通,成为当今最强NPU。高通骁龙X Elite NPU的算力为45TOPS,Intel即将推出的下一代酷睿Ultra Lunar Lake NPU算力同样是45TOPS,Ryzen AI 300系列则高达50TOPS。更强力的NPU,配合AMD性能强劲的CPU与GPU,可以在多重应用场景中部署更高级别参数的端侧AI大模型。“AI智能手机”成苹果股价的核心催化剂截至周一美股收盘,苹果股价续创历史新高,涨逾0.65%报227.82美元,总市值接近3.5万亿美元超越微软重回美股第一。此前有产业链人士表示,苹果上调iPhone 16系列今年备货目标至9000万部左右。618电商促销期间苹果销量明显提升,加之苹果对于Apple Intelligence带来的换机驱动力信心十足,可能共同提振了苹果对iPhone 16系列的销量预期。6月10日,苹果在其全球开发者大会上发布了一系列人工智能功能。这项名为“苹果智能”(Apple Intelligence)的新型人工智能技术包括AI一键总结通知、自动转录语音备忘录和生成自定义表情符号的苹果自主化工具。但苹果的独家AI聊天机器人技术在使用场景中远不如竞争对手先进,这促使它寻找合作伙伴,比如OpenAI所推出的ChatGPT。该公司还认为,客户可能将希望能够根据自己的需要在基于不同大模型的AI聊天机器人之间切换,就像他们在谷歌搜索引擎和微软的必应(Bing)搜索引擎之间进行切换搜索一样。在Apple 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