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小段爱吃猪脚饭
修得身形似鹤形,千株松下两函经。我来问道无馀说,云在青天水在瓶。
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小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-18 13:48
打光弹药,静待Santa Claus Rally
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-16
$Bitdeer Technologies Group(BTDR)$
开仓,看好明年矿机市场。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-09
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
减轻台积电和英伟达的仓位,向迈威尔和amd分摊?以保持半导体行业持仓的总仓位。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-06
降息促升比特币,大家捏稳头寸。
降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-03
如何利用老虎全天候交易功能赚取猪脚饭?
一、今天下午临近下班,正在敲键盘,收到新闻推送,对美稀土出口限制收紧,商务部新闻发布是16点,我看到已经17点了。我想A股经常炒作“国产替代”概念,美股是否也可以试试炒作这个概念呢?即买入美国头部的的稀土制造公司。
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
二、确定思路以后,下一步就是确定标的,这点GPT帮了大忙,使我了解到MP拥有最大矿山并且是加州唯一一家稀土公司,我想美国人还没有起床,决定抢跑。三、利用老虎全时段下单功能,以卖一价22美金成交了100股,目前盈利7%,应该可以吃几碗猪脚饭了哈哈哈哈。大家也可以利用时差,善用交易功能。
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
如何利用老虎全天候交易功能赚取猪脚饭?
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-03
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-02
$台积电(TSM)$
还在水下,加仓了多次,不过一点不慌,就应该买入这种有价值的,有小问题的好公司。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
12-02
即使是牛市,也要保障账户中分配有合理的现金。
I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.
即使是牛市,也要保障账户中分配有合理的现金。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
11-28
感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND
小段爱吃猪脚饭
11-25
$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$
当FOMO的时候,ARK可以吃到收益,当市场下跌的时候,ARK的持仓分散了风险,继续持有!
小段爱吃猪脚饭
11-23
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$
和CLSK交替持股,继续看好矿股。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
11-12
$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$
看好在线保险
小段爱吃猪脚饭
11-08
长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
11-07
$华润饮料(02460)$
被套住了,长期来看如果能够丰富产品线,应该会有故事可讲吧,先拿到年底。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
10-25
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
应该还有空间吧
小段爱吃猪脚饭
10-23
似乎很少有人真正看好A股,大家总认为一个非常大的危机在后面,上涨是为了更好的下跌。 当过了两三年,危机并没有到来,大家就对股票有一致看好的预期。各路资金的进入,会让上升势头非常迅猛,很短的时间内就把行情走完了,随后又是一轮漫长的下跌,这就是所说的“牛短熊长”。 长期看,要做好投资,必须要有个锚,了解估值、风险率、收益率大致是个什么情况,才能在最低点心里不慌。但是一旦进入高波动的市场,就要不断拷问自己:是不是已经风险高了,该离场了? 我们面对的,就是这样一个市场。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
10-19
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
Trump trade,收益于比特币。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
10-18
中概的波动和情绪影响太大了,要谨慎再谨慎,轻易不出手。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
09-30
$XL二南方恒科(07226)$
修得身形似鹤形,千株松下两函经。我来问道无馀说,云在青天水在瓶。
小段爱吃猪脚饭
09-28
$两倍做多沪深中国互联网股票ETF-Direxion(CWEB)$
看多中概互联,弹性比较好的板块。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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减轻台积电和英伟达的仓位,向迈威尔和amd分摊?以保持半导体行业持仓的总仓位。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/943a39bd6bcced37105ba1b338299c19","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379569824268720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":378708423016880,"gmtCreate":1733492266231,"gmtModify":1733492529554,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"降息促升比特币,大家捏稳头寸。","listText":"降息促升比特币,大家捏稳头寸。","text":"降息促升比特币,大家捏稳头寸。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378708423016880","repostId":"1160482155","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1160482155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1733491820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160482155?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-12-06 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160482155","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%,预估为4.1%,前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后,交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日,由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响,美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹,且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人,为2024年3月以来最大增幅,超过预期的20万人,前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%,符合预期,前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,与前值持平;同比增长4%,超过预期的3.9%,同样与前值持平;</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后,美国短期利率期货上涨,因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高!纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%,标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨;美国国债收益率短线跳水,2年期国债收益率下行超5bp,现报4.096%;美元指数短线走低,日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨,墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称,医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势,零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹,主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出,非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>,达到0.4%,超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事,尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称,乍一看这份报告,我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底,但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率,目标区间的上限为4.75%,比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点,<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示,美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”,因为美国经济“状况非常好”,通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称,<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升,那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化,围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为,鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号,下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期,服务业通胀(不包括住房)将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示,市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息,但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息,最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据,我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比,是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-06 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%,预估为4.1%,前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后,交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日,由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响,美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹,且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人,为2024年3月以来最大增幅,超过预期的20万人,前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%,符合预期,前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,与前值持平;同比增长4%,超过预期的3.9%,同样与前值持平;</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后,美国短期利率期货上涨,因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高!纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%,标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨;美国国债收益率短线跳水,2年期国债收益率下行超5bp,现报4.096%;美元指数短线走低,日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨,墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称,医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势,零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹,主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出,非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>,达到0.4%,超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事,尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称,乍一看这份报告,我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底,但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率,目标区间的上限为4.75%,比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点,<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示,美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”,因为美国经济“状况非常好”,通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称,<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升,那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化,围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为,鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号,下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期,服务业通胀(不包括住房)将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示,市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息,但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息,最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据,我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比,是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160482155","content_text":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人美国11月失业率为4.2%,预估为4.1%,前值为4.1%数据公布后,交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%12月6日,由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响,美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹,且超过预期。美国11月季调后非农就业人口录得增长22.7万人,为2024年3月以来最大增幅,超过预期的20万人,前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。美国11月失业率录得4.2%,符合预期,前值为4.10%。美国11月平均每小时工资环比增长0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,与前值持平;同比增长4%,超过预期的3.9%,同样与前值持平;非农数据公布后,美国短期利率期货上涨,因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%。美股三大股指期货短线走高!纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%,标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨;美国国债收益率短线跳水,2年期国债收益率下行超5bp,现报4.096%;美元指数短线走低,日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨,墨西哥比索创盘中高点。美国劳工统计局称,医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势,零售业就业岗位减少。美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹,主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。机构分析指出,非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲,达到0.4%,超出预期。且失业率上升并不是好事,尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。分析师称,乍一看这份报告,我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底,但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率,目标区间的上限为4.75%,比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点,进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示,美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”,因为美国经济“状况非常好”,通胀水平略高于此前的预期。美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称,如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升,那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”。目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化,围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。分析师Anstey认为,鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号,下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期,服务业通胀(不包括住房)将特别值得关注。分析师Joseph表示,市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息,但随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息,最终在6月或7月再次降息。考虑到即将公布的经济数据,我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比,是一个重大转变。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377683353424280,"gmtCreate":1733238241467,"gmtModify":1733287202944,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"title":"如何利用老虎全天候交易功能赚取猪脚饭?","htmlText":"一、今天下午临近下班,正在敲键盘,收到新闻推送,对美稀土出口限制收紧,商务部新闻发布是16点,我看到已经17点了。我想A股经常炒作“国产替代”概念,美股是否也可以试试炒作这个概念呢?即买入美国头部的的稀土制造公司。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 二、确定思路以后,下一步就是确定标的,这点GPT帮了大忙,使我了解到MP拥有最大矿山并且是加州唯一一家稀土公司,我想美国人还没有起床,决定抢跑。三、利用老虎全时段下单功能,以卖一价22美金成交了100股,目前盈利7%,应该可以吃几碗猪脚饭了哈哈哈哈。大家也可以利用时差,善用交易功能。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a> ","listText":"一、今天下午临近下班,正在敲键盘,收到新闻推送,对美稀土出口限制收紧,商务部新闻发布是16点,我看到已经17点了。我想A股经常炒作“国产替代”概念,美股是否也可以试试炒作这个概念呢?即买入美国头部的的稀土制造公司。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 二、确定思路以后,下一步就是确定标的,这点GPT帮了大忙,使我了解到MP拥有最大矿山并且是加州唯一一家稀土公司,我想美国人还没有起床,决定抢跑。三、利用老虎全时段下单功能,以卖一价22美金成交了100股,目前盈利7%,应该可以吃几碗猪脚饭了哈哈哈哈。大家也可以利用时差,善用交易功能。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a> ","text":"一、今天下午临近下班,正在敲键盘,收到新闻推送,对美稀土出口限制收紧,商务部新闻发布是16点,我看到已经17点了。我想A股经常炒作“国产替代”概念,美股是否也可以试试炒作这个概念呢?即买入美国头部的的稀土制造公司。 $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 二、确定思路以后,下一步就是确定标的,这点GPT帮了大忙,使我了解到MP拥有最大矿山并且是加州唯一一家稀土公司,我想美国人还没有起床,决定抢跑。三、利用老虎全时段下单功能,以卖一价22美金成交了100股,目前盈利7%,应该可以吃几碗猪脚饭了哈哈哈哈。大家也可以利用时差,善用交易功能。$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3e6bf20ad7748376c8a646d3c1a5c5","width":"1290","height":"2796"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9eaa180dd0b2dffb15b1814ae79144","width":"1290","height":"2796"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05cf24f7aa0d5b0e9157655d33c334fb","width":"1290","height":"2796"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":33,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377683353424280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3573024769203952","authorId":"3573024769203952","name":"lily309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16722668cded7f7fa44de65ef28a992f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573024769203952","authorIdStr":"3573024769203952"},"content":"这个GPT是小程序还是app呀","text":"这个GPT是小程序还是app呀","html":"这个GPT是小程序还是app呀"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377632555966920,"gmtCreate":1733232035612,"gmtModify":1733232290827,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a> 国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a> 国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。","text":"$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ 国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377632555966920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377266107965544,"gmtCreate":1733126751588,"gmtModify":1733127448740,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 还在水下,加仓了多次,不过一点不慌,就应该买入这种有价值的,有小问题的好公司。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 还在水下,加仓了多次,不过一点不慌,就应该买入这种有价值的,有小问题的好公司。","text":"$台积电(TSM)$ 还在水下,加仓了多次,不过一点不慌,就应该买入这种有价值的,有小问题的好公司。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6117abde6cbc542c0d08199a32be582b","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377266107965544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4155712050206802","authorId":"4155712050206802","name":"随便玩玩吧啊啊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db2407c5fd0e34316f34dac20210ab1","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4155712050206802","authorIdStr":"4155712050206802"},"content":"好公司不怕跌,越跌越加","text":"好公司不怕跌,越跌越加","html":"好公司不怕跌,越跌越加"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377089006539200,"gmtCreate":1733104930579,"gmtModify":1733104933195,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"title":"即使是牛市,也要保障账户中分配有合理的现金。","htmlText":"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.","listText":"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.","text":"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. 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bet.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377089006539200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375960621932824,"gmtCreate":1732792499662,"gmtModify":1732792501945,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND","listText":"感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND","text":"感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375960621932824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374686736548152,"gmtCreate":1732497669972,"gmtModify":1732500462298,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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当FOMO的时候,ARK可以吃到收益,当市场下跌的时候,ARK的持仓分散了风险,继续持有!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba00ba4fc765ebf0cf0a4f7f6d420cf","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374686736548152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574401099717599","authorId":"3574401099717599","name":"迷鹿小仙女","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa92b3c7c7d183eabce7c42cf01a2fc4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574401099717599","authorIdStr":"3574401099717599"},"content":"看好后市,就算波动也不怕。","text":"看好后市,就算波动也不怕。","html":"看好后市,就算波动也不怕。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373842203476168,"gmtCreate":1732310541089,"gmtModify":1732512143604,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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看好在线保险","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ 看好在线保险","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c12fd8e22c99981d143c14a0996a3a6","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369981605437808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368797993078896,"gmtCreate":1731080051214,"gmtModify":1731080052584,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。","listText":"长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。","text":"长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368797993078896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368197656982008,"gmtCreate":1730940605809,"gmtModify":1730941489634,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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应该还有空间吧","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4405898b17cfd5ee7133e3b93a8d13dc","width":"364","height":"572"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363566341894208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363098072838280,"gmtCreate":1729672415052,"gmtModify":1729672598331,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"似乎很少有人真正看好A股,大家总认为一个非常大的危机在后面,上涨是为了更好的下跌。 当过了两三年,危机并没有到来,大家就对股票有一致看好的预期。各路资金的进入,会让上升势头非常迅猛,很短的时间内就把行情走完了,随后又是一轮漫长的下跌,这就是所说的“牛短熊长”。 长期看,要做好投资,必须要有个锚,了解估值、风险率、收益率大致是个什么情况,才能在最低点心里不慌。但是一旦进入高波动的市场,就要不断拷问自己:是不是已经风险高了,该离场了? 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我们面对的,就是这样一个市场。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363098072838280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361420204024136,"gmtCreate":1729270792500,"gmtModify":1729270815657,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Trump trade,收益于比特币。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Trump trade,收益于比特币。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Trump 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看多中概互联,弹性比较好的板块。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/068505cef4a9bf553009dc0f078334c9","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354098570887296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":377683353424280,"gmtCreate":1733238241467,"gmtModify":1733287202944,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"title":"如何利用老虎全天候交易功能赚取猪脚饭?","htmlText":"一、今天下午临近下班,正在敲键盘,收到新闻推送,对美稀土出口限制收紧,商务部新闻发布是16点,我看到已经17点了。我想A股经常炒作“国产替代”概念,美股是否也可以试试炒作这个概念呢?即买入美国头部的的稀土制造公司。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 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减轻台积电和英伟达的仓位,向迈威尔和amd分摊?以保持半导体行业持仓的总仓位。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/943a39bd6bcced37105ba1b338299c19","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379569824268720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":382834997641616,"gmtCreate":1734500932093,"gmtModify":1734500936356,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打光弹药,静待Santa Claus Rally","listText":"打光弹药,静待Santa Claus Rally","text":"打光弹药,静待Santa Claus 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21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160482155","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%,预估为4.1%,前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后,交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日,由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响,美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹,且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人,为2024年3月以来最大增幅,超过预期的20万人,前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%,符合预期,前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,与前值持平;同比增长4%,超过预期的3.9%,同样与前值持平;</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后,美国短期利率期货上涨,因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高!纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%,标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨;美国国债收益率短线跳水,2年期国债收益率下行超5bp,现报4.096%;美元指数短线走低,日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨,墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称,医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势,零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹,主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出,非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>,达到0.4%,超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事,尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称,乍一看这份报告,我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底,但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率,目标区间的上限为4.75%,比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点,<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示,美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”,因为美国经济“状况非常好”,通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称,<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升,那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化,围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为,鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号,下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期,服务业通胀(不包括住房)将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示,市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息,但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息,最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据,我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比,是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n降息押注骤升!美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人,超出预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-06 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%,预估为4.1%,前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后,交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日,由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响,美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹,且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人,为2024年3月以来最大增幅,超过预期的20万人,前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%,符合预期,前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,与前值持平;同比增长4%,超过预期的3.9%,同样与前值持平;</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后,美国短期利率期货上涨,因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高!纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%,标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨;美国国债收益率短线跳水,2年期国债收益率下行超5bp,现报4.096%;美元指数短线走低,日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨,墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称,医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势,零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹,主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出,非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>,达到0.4%,超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事,尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称,乍一看这份报告,我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底,但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率,目标区间的上限为4.75%,比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点,<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示,美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”,因为美国经济“状况非常好”,通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称,<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升,那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化,围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为,鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号,下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期,服务业通胀(不包括住房)将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示,市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息,但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息,最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据,我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比,是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160482155","content_text":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人,预期为20万人,前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人美国11月失业率为4.2%,预估为4.1%,前值为4.1%数据公布后,交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%12月6日,由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响,美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹,且超过预期。美国11月季调后非农就业人口录得增长22.7万人,为2024年3月以来最大增幅,超过预期的20万人,前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。美国11月失业率录得4.2%,符合预期,前值为4.10%。美国11月平均每小时工资环比增长0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,与前值持平;同比增长4%,超过预期的3.9%,同样与前值持平;非农数据公布后,美国短期利率期货上涨,因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%,而就业报告发布前为67%。美股三大股指期货短线走高!纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%,标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨;美国国债收益率短线跳水,2年期国债收益率下行超5bp,现报4.096%;美元指数短线走低,日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨,墨西哥比索创盘中高点。美国劳工统计局称,医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势,零售业就业岗位减少。美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹,主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。机构分析指出,非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲,达到0.4%,超出预期。且失业率上升并不是好事,尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。分析师称,乍一看这份报告,我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底,但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率,目标区间的上限为4.75%,比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点,进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示,美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”,因为美国经济“状况非常好”,通胀水平略高于此前的预期。美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称,如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升,那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”。目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化,围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。分析师Anstey认为,鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号,下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期,服务业通胀(不包括住房)将特别值得关注。分析师Joseph表示,市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息,但随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息,最终在6月或7月再次降息。考虑到即将公布的经济数据,我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比,是一个重大转变。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377632555966920,"gmtCreate":1733232035612,"gmtModify":1733232290827,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a> 国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a> 国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。","text":"$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ 国家商务部发公告称,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等法律法规有关规定,为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务,即日起决定加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制。其中包括:禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项对美国出口;对石墨两用物项对美国出口,实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。 任何国家和地区的组织和个人,违反该规定,将原产于内地相关两用物项转移或提供给美国的组织和个人,将依法追究法律责任。 MP Materials Corporation (MP)是一家美国稀土开采和加工公司,拥有北美唯一的稀土矿山——位于加州的Mountain Pass矿。该公司致力于建立完整的稀土供应链,从采矿、分离到成品磁铁制造。目前,其生产的稀土氧化物广泛用于电动汽车、风电涡轮等领域,还与日本住友集团等公司建立了合作关系。 现在买入MP是不是相当于逆向交易“国产替代”。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377632555966920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377089006539200,"gmtCreate":1733104930579,"gmtModify":1733104933195,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"title":"即使是牛市,也要保障账户中分配有合理的现金。","htmlText":"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.","listText":"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.","text":"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377089006539200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375960621932824,"gmtCreate":1732792499662,"gmtModify":1732792501945,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND","listText":"感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND","text":"感谢特斯拉、MARA、LMND","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375960621932824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369981605437808,"gmtCreate":1731345134593,"gmtModify":1731345462414,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 看好在线保险","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 看好在线保险","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ 看好在线保险","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c12fd8e22c99981d143c14a0996a3a6","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369981605437808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368797993078896,"gmtCreate":1731080051214,"gmtModify":1731080052584,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。","listText":"长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。","text":"长期投资,长期健身,健康生活,为自己,家人买爱的东西。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368797993078896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368197656982008,"gmtCreate":1730940605809,"gmtModify":1730941489634,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02460\">$华润饮料(02460)$</a> 被套住了,长期来看如果能够丰富产品线,应该会有故事可讲吧,先拿到年底。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02460\">$华润饮料(02460)$</a> 被套住了,长期来看如果能够丰富产品线,应该会有故事可讲吧,先拿到年底。","text":"$华润饮料(02460)$ 被套住了,长期来看如果能够丰富产品线,应该会有故事可讲吧,先拿到年底。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8223d3fd723bd21d5c678ef07c042166","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368197656982008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363566341894208,"gmtCreate":1729786589453,"gmtModify":1729787583905,"author":{"id":"4183070168960852","authorId":"4183070168960852","name":"小段爱吃猪脚饭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798c935d8ed52644a47fbaa453f5f055","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4183070168960852","authorIdStr":"4183070168960852"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 应该还有空间吧","listText":"<a 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