nonewiser的个人主页 - 老虎社区

nonewiser

nonewiser

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2021-09-06

It’s going to be a boring Monday

Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?

2021-08-29

Let’s go!!!

Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play

2021-09-17

Appreciate a like please

EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading

2021-11-10

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Please rocket!

2021-10-02

Sounds good

Amazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO

2021-09-01

🙏🏻

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-28

$Facebook(FB)$Can buy now?

2021-09-08

Yeay

Amazon: Stock Still Attractive With Shift Towards E-Commerce And Cloud Growth

2021-09-06

Beware

Speak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records

2021-09-01

Is this a good time to go in?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-26

So google or Apple?

Apple: Bernstein Forecasts Google Will Pay $15 Billion in FY2021 For Being Default Search Engine on iOS, Up From $10 Billion in 2020, Seen as Creating Higher Risk for Shares

2021-08-25

Will wait and see first

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-03

Pls 👍🏻

Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4

2021-09-15

Didn’t last [What]

EV stocks rose in morning trading

2021-09-14

Please like. TQ

Danger Lurks for These 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks

2021-09-03

It will bounce back soon

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-31

🤔

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-23

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-24

$Walt Disney(DIS)$Countries are opening UP, so will the shares

2021-10-10

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$With the VTLs, will we see a bullish run?

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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rebound","text":"$Alphabet(GOOG)$It will rebound","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/397e6d7ef846f6843bee8d77a7f7e205","width":"1125","height":"3654"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858192419","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853743215,"gmtCreate":1634854817193,"gmtModify":1634854817844,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">$McDonald's(MCD)$</a>Nice","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">$McDonald's(MCD)$</a>Nice","text":"$McDonald's(MCD)$Nice","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edc678d2fc5b8497d20bb170dfabaaf9","width":"1125","height":"3654"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853743215","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853588449,"gmtCreate":1634824368305,"gmtModify":1634825697182,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>It’s coming back","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>It’s coming back","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$It’s coming back","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32809e37c6edd72415f36725f8fcb967","width":"1125","height":"3314"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853588449","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827084229,"gmtCreate":1634370700940,"gmtModify":1634370701567,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>One of my favorites&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>One of my favorites&nbsp;","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$One of my favorites","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827084229","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824107349,"gmtCreate":1634286371665,"gmtModify":1634286371819,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Is it turning up??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Is it turning up??","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Is it turning up??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/539d1e9fce0647d06a0ef5a12f7c5360","width":"1125","height":"3735"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824107349","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":817004818,"gmtCreate":1630888725934,"gmtModify":1631890188953,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s going to be a boring Monday","listText":"It’s going to be a boring Monday","text":"It’s going to be a boring Monday","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817004818","repostId":"1126654067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126654067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630885254,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126654067?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126654067","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be cl","content":"<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p>\n<p>U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p>\n<p>On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc.&nbsp;-owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average,&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;was on track to book its 35th&nbsp;all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p>\n<p>Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was&nbsp;yielding around 1.33%&nbsp;after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p>\n<p>However, the&nbsp;Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that&nbsp;235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil&nbsp;and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p>\n<p>Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p>\n<p>Probably not.</p>\n<p>But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p>\n<p>But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s&nbsp;Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p>\n<p>It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p>\n<p>Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100&nbsp;index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng&nbsp;and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 07:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ICE":"洲际交易所",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126654067","content_text":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.\nOn Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.\nThe S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.\nSifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.\nHowever, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nTrading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.\nIs there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?\nProbably not.\nBut the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nThe S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nBut if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.\nIt is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.\nMarkets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813439236,"gmtCreate":1630226722425,"gmtModify":1704957255506,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let’s go!!!","listText":"Let’s go!!!","text":"Let’s go!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813439236","repostId":"1162964424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162964424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162964424?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162964424","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year  should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is con","content":"<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p>\n<p>IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p>\n<p>Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p>\n<p><b>What happened?</b></p>\n<p>The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p>\n<p>It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p>\n<p><b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p>\n<p>One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p>\n<p>Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p>\n<p>Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p>\n<p>Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p>\n<p>However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p>\n<p>The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-28 08:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162964424","content_text":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.\nBad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.\nWhat happened?\nThe iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.\nIt is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.\nFigure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.\nA quote from Jim Cramer\nOne of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.\nGenerally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:\n\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n\nThe impact to the P&L\nAre higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.\nHolding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.\nHowever, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.\nThe other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885480848,"gmtCreate":1631812157584,"gmtModify":1631888823958,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Appreciate a like please","listText":"Appreciate a like please","text":"Appreciate a like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885480848","repostId":"1138448757","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138448757","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631800047,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138448757?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138448757","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading as its luxury sedan got 520-mile driving range ra","content":"<p>EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;its luxury sedan got 520-mile driving range rating.In addition,Bank of America predicts 50% gain in Lucid, compares EV maker to Tesla and Ferrari.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a80aaa3b21846d26be18701216b5131\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Lucid Group Inc's&nbsp;Air Dream Edition Range luxury sedan has received U.S. government certification for a range of 520 miles, the electric vehicle maker said on Thursday.</p>\n<p>The sedan was the longest-range EV rated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the company said. Rival Tesla's Model S Long Range has an EPA estimated range of 405 miles.</p>\n<p>EV manufacturers are pushing to extend the driving range of their vehicles in a bid to better compete with gasoline-fueled ones. However, as consumers rapidly transition to EVs, charging infrastructure still remains a concern.</p>\n<p>The Biden administration's infrastructure bill includes $7.5 billion for electric vehicle charging stations.</p>\n<p>Lucid made its debut on the Nasdaq in July after completing its merger with a blank-check company backed by Wall Street dealmaker Michael Klein in a deal that valued the combined company at $24 billion.</p>\n<p>The EV maker in August said it would begin deliveries of fully reserved 'Air Dream Edition Range' cars later this year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-16 21:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;its luxury sedan got 520-mile driving range rating.In addition,Bank of America predicts 50% gain in Lucid, compares EV maker to Tesla and Ferrari.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a80aaa3b21846d26be18701216b5131\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Lucid Group Inc's&nbsp;Air Dream Edition Range luxury sedan has received U.S. government certification for a range of 520 miles, the electric vehicle maker said on Thursday.</p>\n<p>The sedan was the longest-range EV rated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the company said. Rival Tesla's Model S Long Range has an EPA estimated range of 405 miles.</p>\n<p>EV manufacturers are pushing to extend the driving range of their vehicles in a bid to better compete with gasoline-fueled ones. However, as consumers rapidly transition to EVs, charging infrastructure still remains a concern.</p>\n<p>The Biden administration's infrastructure bill includes $7.5 billion for electric vehicle charging stations.</p>\n<p>Lucid made its debut on the Nasdaq in July after completing its merger with a blank-check company backed by Wall Street dealmaker Michael Klein in a deal that valued the combined company at $24 billion.</p>\n<p>The EV maker in August said it would begin deliveries of fully reserved 'Air Dream Edition Range' cars later this year.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138448757","content_text":"EV maker Lucid shares jumped 4% in morning trading as its luxury sedan got 520-mile driving range rating.In addition,Bank of America predicts 50% gain in Lucid, compares EV maker to Tesla and Ferrari.\n\nLucid Group Inc's Air Dream Edition Range luxury sedan has received U.S. government certification for a range of 520 miles, the electric vehicle maker said on Thursday.\nThe sedan was the longest-range EV rated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the company said. Rival Tesla's Model S Long Range has an EPA estimated range of 405 miles.\nEV manufacturers are pushing to extend the driving range of their vehicles in a bid to better compete with gasoline-fueled ones. However, as consumers rapidly transition to EVs, charging infrastructure still remains a concern.\nThe Biden administration's infrastructure bill includes $7.5 billion for electric vehicle charging stations.\nLucid made its debut on the Nasdaq in July after completing its merger with a blank-check company backed by Wall Street dealmaker Michael Klein in a deal that valued the combined company at $24 billion.\nThe EV maker in August said it would begin deliveries of fully reserved 'Air Dream Edition Range' cars later this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":847790922,"gmtCreate":1636552402252,"gmtModify":1636552403042,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Please rocket!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Please rocket!","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Please rocket!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b225b0621cab481413090e765dea66a","width":"1125","height":"3409"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847790922","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864701514,"gmtCreate":1633144103071,"gmtModify":1633144103651,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sounds good","listText":"Sounds good","text":"Sounds good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864701514","repostId":"2172696913","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172696913","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1633128660,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172696913?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172696913","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon. Rivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.Rivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehi","content":"<p>Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon</p>\n<p>Rivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.</p>\n<p>Rivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehicle, in December, and plans to deliver electric delivery vehicles, or EDVs, to Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> in December.</p>\n<p>\"Rivian was started from a clean sheet--there was no money, no team, no technology, no suppliers, no brand, and no production infrastructure,\" founder and Chief Executive Robert Scaringe said in a letter to investors included in Friday's filing. \"The lack of constraints was intoxicating for the imagination.\"</p>\n<p>Among the investors in the Irvine, Calif.-based company, which was launched in 2015 and has raised $10.5 billion, are Amazon and Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a> According to its filing, Rivian's fate will be closely tied to Amazon. The company will exclusively provide last-mile delivery vehicles to Amazon for four years, and from years four to six, Amazon will have the right of first refusal to buy its EDVs.</p>\n<p>Rivian, which confidentially filed for its IPO in August, said it had less than $1.07 billion in revenue in its last fiscal year and that its 2020 loss rose to $1.02 billion from $426 million the previous year. Besides the vehicles it is making and developing, the company offers FleetOS, a fleet-management subscription platform.</p>\n<p>The company named a target raise for the IPO of $100 million, but that is typically a placeholder amount that will be updated in future filings. Rivian has applied to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"RIVN,\" and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan were listed as the lead underwriters among 22 banks involved in the offering.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-02 06:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon</p>\n<p>Rivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.</p>\n<p>Rivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehicle, in December, and plans to deliver electric delivery vehicles, or EDVs, to Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> in December.</p>\n<p>\"Rivian was started from a clean sheet--there was no money, no team, no technology, no suppliers, no brand, and no production infrastructure,\" founder and Chief Executive Robert Scaringe said in a letter to investors included in Friday's filing. \"The lack of constraints was intoxicating for the imagination.\"</p>\n<p>Among the investors in the Irvine, Calif.-based company, which was launched in 2015 and has raised $10.5 billion, are Amazon and Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a> According to its filing, Rivian's fate will be closely tied to Amazon. The company will exclusively provide last-mile delivery vehicles to Amazon for four years, and from years four to six, Amazon will have the right of first refusal to buy its EDVs.</p>\n<p>Rivian, which confidentially filed for its IPO in August, said it had less than $1.07 billion in revenue in its last fiscal year and that its 2020 loss rose to $1.02 billion from $426 million the previous year. Besides the vehicles it is making and developing, the company offers FleetOS, a fleet-management subscription platform.</p>\n<p>The company named a target raise for the IPO of $100 million, but that is typically a placeholder amount that will be updated in future filings. Rivian has applied to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"RIVN,\" and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan were listed as the lead underwriters among 22 banks involved in the offering.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172696913","content_text":"Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon\nRivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.\nRivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehicle, in December, and plans to deliver electric delivery vehicles, or EDVs, to Amazon $(AMZN)$ in December.\n\"Rivian was started from a clean sheet--there was no money, no team, no technology, no suppliers, no brand, and no production infrastructure,\" founder and Chief Executive Robert Scaringe said in a letter to investors included in Friday's filing. \"The lack of constraints was intoxicating for the imagination.\"\nAmong the investors in the Irvine, Calif.-based company, which was launched in 2015 and has raised $10.5 billion, are Amazon and Ford Motor Co. $(F)$ According to its filing, Rivian's fate will be closely tied to Amazon. The company will exclusively provide last-mile delivery vehicles to Amazon for four years, and from years four to six, Amazon will have the right of first refusal to buy its EDVs.\nRivian, which confidentially filed for its IPO in August, said it had less than $1.07 billion in revenue in its last fiscal year and that its 2020 loss rose to $1.02 billion from $426 million the previous year. Besides the vehicles it is making and developing, the company offers FleetOS, a fleet-management subscription platform.\nThe company named a target raise for the IPO of $100 million, but that is typically a placeholder amount that will be updated in future filings. Rivian has applied to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"RIVN,\" and Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan were listed as the lead underwriters among 22 banks involved in the offering.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818734781,"gmtCreate":1630449056743,"gmtModify":1631892680423,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙏🏻","listText":"🙏🏻","text":"🙏🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818734781","repostId":"1180856610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":855656042,"gmtCreate":1635374981997,"gmtModify":1635377463008,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a>Can buy now?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a>Can buy now?","text":"$Facebook(FB)$Can buy now?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/390614b2958986451f90a343c029980f","width":"1125","height":"3735"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855656042","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880426608,"gmtCreate":1631074133204,"gmtModify":1631888823965,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeay&nbsp;","listText":"Yeay&nbsp;","text":"Yeay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880426608","repostId":"1143120804","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143120804","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631072080,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143120804?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Stock Still Attractive With Shift Towards E-Commerce And Cloud Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143120804","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe company’s revenue growth in 2020 exceeded our expectations and we revised its growth ra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The company’s revenue growth in 2020 exceeded our expectations and we revised its growth rate forecast to 15.8%.</li>\n <li>While growth is moderating following a stellar year with robust activity, the company remains poised to benefit from the e-commerce shift with a forecast penetration rate of 22% of retail.</li>\n <li>AWS is expected to remain as the number 1 market leader for the foreseeable future.</li>\n <li>We revised our valuation using DCF analysis to obtain a new price target of $4,303,18 from $3,358.73.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ca0bbeb0cb7be66a257f4e9d5f5fa1\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>4kodiak/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Since our previous&nbsp;coverage, Amazon Inc.'s (AMZN) stock has risen by 26% and exceeded our revenue growth expectations of 24.5% and finished 2020 up by 37.6% on exceptional growth of its online retail business growing by 40% to nearly $200 bln and third-party services at $80bln. In this analysis, we re-examine its key growth drivers namely online retail, third party services and AWS.</p>\n<p>Despite the softness in Q2 of its online store sales growth of 13% and soft Q3&nbsp;guidance&nbsp;of 13% YoY at the midpoint, indicating a sign of normalizing growth, the secular growth outlook of the e-commerce market remains attractive from the continued shift towards online retail which Amazon has an established market position. As more consumers shift their purchasing behavior online, the share of e-commerce is forecasted to reach 22% by 2023 from 18% in 2020. We believe that Amazon's well-established market position with a massive Prime membership base as loyal customers and solid logistics and shipping network providing it with an advantage as seen with the rise of its e-commerce marketplace with third-party sellers. Moreover, its cloud business is expected to remain the market leader of the cloud infrastructure market for the foreseeable future with continued commitment towards growth and underpinned by rising data volumes.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a78658eabc40ec60c6713019d6f800c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Amazon</span></p>\n<p><b>E-commerce Sales Outlook Still Attractive Despite Normalizing Growth</b></p>\n<p>Amazon's online store&nbsp;sales&nbsp;have surged 40% in 2020 from 14.8% in the prior year as it benefitted from the prolonged lockdowns and restrictions on physical retailers which saw the accelerated shift towards e-commerce adoption. However, despite the slowdown in its online store growth in Q2 2021 of 13% YoY compared to 41% in Q1, we believe that the company is poised to continue reaping the secular tailwinds of the rising e-commerce adoption.</p>\n<p>According to eMarketer, the share of e-commerce sales is forecasted to&nbsp;reach&nbsp;22% of global retail sales as consumers continue to shift towards online buying. Global retail sales are forecasted to bound back by 7.2% with the vaccination drives across the world and easing business restrictions. Thus, the e-commerce sales forecast is 10.2% in 2021 which represents a normalized growth from 27.6% in 2019 as the penetration rate surged to 18% from 14% in the past year.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Global E-Commerce Market ($ bln)</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2016</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2017</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2018</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2019</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2020</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2021F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total Global Retail Sales ('a')</p></td>\n   <td><p>21,453</p></td>\n   <td><p>22,904</p></td>\n   <td><p>23,560</p></td>\n   <td><p>24,780</p></td>\n   <td><p>23,778</p></td>\n   <td><p>25,490</p></td>\n   <td><p>27,172</p></td>\n   <td><p>28,395</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>2.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>2.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>-4.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>7.20%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.60%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.50%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Retail E-commerce Sales ('b')</p></td>\n   <td><p>1,845</p></td>\n   <td><p>2,382</p></td>\n   <td><p>2,982</p></td>\n   <td><p>3,354</p></td>\n   <td><p>4,280</p></td>\n   <td><p>4,716</p></td>\n   <td><p>5,434</p></td>\n   <td><p>6,247</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Penetration Rate ('c')</b></p></td>\n   <td><p>9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>10%</p></td>\n   <td><p>12%</p></td>\n   <td><p>14%</p></td>\n   <td><p>18%</p></td>\n   <td><p>19%</p></td>\n   <td><p>20%</p></td>\n   <td><p>22%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>* B = C x A</i></p>\n<p><i>Source: Statista, eMarketer, Khaveen Investments</i></p>\n<p>Amazon's established market positioning is an added competitive strength of it to capitalize on the market growth. More specifically, it is hard to win over the company in the key criteria of price, choice and convenience. Evidently, the company's Prime membership continued to grow in 2020 by 15% to 142.5 mln members or roughly 43% of the US&nbsp;population. This indicates the strong attraction of loyal customers to the company providing it with a massive install base. Through Prime membership, consumers are also pushed to buy more to obtain various benefits.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/125c2baa1b52e2787075210f05321e20\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"492\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Backlinko</span></p>\n<p>In addition to Prime members, the company has been able to consistently&nbsp;attract&nbsp;sellers to its platform with 3.3 mln new sellers since 2017 or 3,718 per day. Currently, it has 9.7 mlnsellersworldwide across the US, UK, Germany, Japan, etc. Thus, the company has established itself as the dominant market leader and is far ahead of its next closest competitor in terms of e-commerce sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6272ba7ee8cf6f5aab477b8425f34923\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Marketing Charts</span></p>\n<p>Its market leadership is quite extensive across different product categories and markets as illustrated in the table below. For example, it accounts for Its consumer &amp; consumer electronics sales is the largest product category accounting for 50.2% of the products' total e-commerce sales in the US and 26.7% of total retail sales. This is followed by apparel &amp; accessories, books music &amp; video and furniture and home furnishings which is 32%, 83.2% and 34.2 % of e-commerce sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6765530fd408a02c75515a712af4087\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"725\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: eMarketer</span></p>\n<p>Among the product categories, the electronics category is the most popular among shoppers in the US with 44% of US shoppers having&nbsp;purchased&nbsp;electronics on Amazon. It also sells its own electronicdevicesincluding Echo smart speakers which account for 70% of the US market share followed by Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) and continues to develop the product with newer generations and software&nbsp;updates. In 2020, the company shipped over 38 mln smart speaker&nbsp;units&nbsp;and accounted for 28.3% of the global market share of shipments. We estimated its revenues from the sale of its smart speakers based on the average&nbsp;price&nbsp;of the Echo product family of $103 to be around $3.94 bln in revenues which is around 2% of its online store revenues. However, it also faces increasing competition especially from the Chinese manufacturers such as Baidu (BIDU) and Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF) which dominate the China market.</p>\n<p>All in all, the company has a massive product breadth of 12 mln&nbsp;products&nbsp;excluding books, media, wine and services and with the growing seller base, we expect this product breadth to continue to be expanded and provide customers unique value proposition with product variety.</p>\n<p>Thus, we expect its solid market dominance with an ecosystem of an established customer base and loyal Prime members and a large seller base with extensive market leadership across various key product categories with a broad product breadth to support its long-term growth. We projected its online store growth based on our expectation of its market share at 4.5% based on a 5-year average on the global e-commerce sales.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Amazon Online Stores ($ bln)</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2016</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2017</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2018</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2019</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2020</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2021F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total Retail Sales ('a')</p></td>\n   <td><p>21,453</p></td>\n   <td><p>22,904</p></td>\n   <td><p>23,560</p></td>\n   <td><p>24,780</p></td>\n   <td><p>23,778</p></td>\n   <td><p>25,490</p></td>\n   <td><p>27,172</p></td>\n   <td><p>28,395</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>2.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>2.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>-4.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>7.20%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.60%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.50%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Retail E-commerce Sales ('b')</p></td>\n   <td><p>1,845</p></td>\n   <td><p>2,382</p></td>\n   <td><p>2,982</p></td>\n   <td><p>3,354</p></td>\n   <td><p>4,280</p></td>\n   <td><p>4,716</p></td>\n   <td><p>5,434</p></td>\n   <td><p>6,247</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Penetration Rate ('c')</b></p></td>\n   <td><p>9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>10%</p></td>\n   <td><p>12%</p></td>\n   <td><p>14%</p></td>\n   <td><p>18%</p></td>\n   <td><p>19%</p></td>\n   <td><p>20%</p></td>\n   <td><p>22%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>16.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>20.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.4%</p></td>\n   <td><p>2.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>8.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Amazon Online Stores Revenues ('d')</p></td>\n   <td><p>91.43</p></td>\n   <td><p>108.35</p></td>\n   <td><p>122.99</p></td>\n   <td><p>141.25</p></td>\n   <td><p>197.35</p></td>\n   <td><p>211.74</p></td>\n   <td><p>244.02</p></td>\n   <td><p>280.50</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>18.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>14.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>39.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>7.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Amazon Online Stores Market Share ('e')</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>* B = A x C</i></p>\n<p><i>*D = B x E</i></p>\n<p><i>Source: Statista, Khaveen Investments</i></p>\n<p><b>The Rise of Third-party Seller Services</b></p>\n<p>Another major advantage of the company is its logistics and shipping operations, which has become an impenetrable moat that few other companies will ever have the resources or ability to match, with Amazon partnering with most major delivery providers in the country. By leveraging its robust network, it offers programs to enable sellers to sell their products through its marketplace and fulfill orders through the company.</p>\n<p>With Fulfillment by Amazon ('FBA'), third party sellersstore&nbsp;products in Amazon's fulfillment centers, and it picks, packs, ships, and provide customer service for these products. Amazon is not the seller but earns commissions and related fulfillment and shipping fees including inventory management, payment processing, shipment tracking and reporting from the arrangements from its third-party sellers who are largely comprised of small- and medium-sized businesses.</p>\n<p>Selling on Amazon as a third-party seller is an increasingly popular option for sellers. It ultimately&nbsp;provides&nbsp;more flexibility and control, a stronger brand presence, and better data access. Over the past years, the rise of third-party sellers on Amazon is seen with the rising&nbsp;share&nbsp;of third-party sales as a % of its gross merchandise sales at 62% of total sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed0a2a75af197d4bf9dca92caab27d6c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"539\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FourWeekMBA</span></p>\n<p>The chart below further illustrates Amazon's large network of logistics and shipping. Its fulfillment center network is one of several ways it&nbsp;enhances&nbsp;its logistics and shipping process taking on FedEx and UPS and has been ramping up efforts to launch its delivery network as well with growing fleets of airplanes, drones and vans. Amazon's own logistics business&nbsp;delivered&nbsp;1.9 bln packages in the US.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5732f32df08132a67f1f9ead2376b2fb\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"233\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: WebFX</span></p>\n<p>Moreover, its wide logistics and shipping coverage with over 100 active warehouses across the US with the highest number of facilities in California, Texas and New Jersey. Additionally, it is expanding heavily in the south with the highest number of planned warehouses. For example, the upcoming&nbsp;opening&nbsp;of a 1 million-square-foot fulfillmentcenter in Missouri in 2021 where employees will pack and ship larger-sized customer items like patio furniture, outdoor equipment or rugs. In 2020, it&nbsp;announced&nbsp;plans for 7 new fulfillmentcenters including a 600,000-square-foot facility in Florida, an 855,000-square foot facility in Tennessee and a 625,000square-foot fulfillment center in Texas.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d45f3a6df0a41b23e4f1d8fe2edb77d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: CNBC</span></p>\n<p>Overall, these are among the factors which lead to the company's strength from its wide logistics network in terms of shipping speed. The company is highly popular for its speedy shipping and even has&nbsp;free&nbsp;Two-Day and even Same Day Shipping Programs for Prime members. Based on the survey below, the majority or 80% cited fast and free shipping as the major reason for choosing Amazon. We believe that the company's planned expansion would continue to enhance its logistics network and maintain its popularity among customers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4143366dbcb762fad253420cdb1b5f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p>\n<p>We forecasted the company's retail third-party seller services revenues which consist of fulfillment service-related revenues derived from the sales from third-party sellers. Amazon's third-party gross merchandise sales are forecasted to increase its share of total retail e-commerce sales as a growth rate of 9% based on the past 5-year average with the rising popularity of third-party sales on its marketplace. Moreover, we also forecasted the share of revenues that Amazon earns to grow by 1% from 27.3% based on the 2-year average as Amazon continues to expand its fulfillment capabilities to cater to its third-party sellers. This trend is also believed to be significant for margin expansion of the company as gross margins third-party seller services isestimatedto be between 60% to 75% of sales which is lower than AWS at 80% but still higher than the company's overall gross margin of 37% due to high costs tied up with the cost of sales which&nbsp;represents&nbsp;60% of its total sales.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Third-Party Seller Services Revenues ($ bln)</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2016</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2017</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2018</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2019</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2020</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2021F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Global Retail E-commerce Sales ('a')</p></td>\n   <td><p>1,845</p></td>\n   <td><p>2,382</p></td>\n   <td><p>2,982</p></td>\n   <td><p>3,354</p></td>\n   <td><p>4,280</p></td>\n   <td><p>4,716</p></td>\n   <td><p>5,434</p></td>\n   <td><p>6,247</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Amazon Third Party Market Share ('b')</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.4%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>7.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>8.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>8.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>21%</p></td>\n   <td><p>-2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>-2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>11%</p></td>\n   <td><p>16%</p></td>\n   <td><p>9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Third-party (Amazon marketplace) GMV ('c')</p></td>\n   <td><p>103</p></td>\n   <td><p>130</p></td>\n   <td><p>160</p></td>\n   <td><p>200</p></td>\n   <td><p>295</p></td>\n   <td><p>353</p></td>\n   <td><p>443</p></td>\n   <td><p>553</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>47.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>% Of Revenues ('d')</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>9.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>9.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Retail third-party seller services revenues ('e')</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.99</p></td>\n   <td><p>31.88</p></td>\n   <td><p>42.75</p></td>\n   <td><p>53.76</p></td>\n   <td><p>80.46</p></td>\n   <td><p>97.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>123.25</p></td>\n   <td><p>155.61</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>38.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>34.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>49.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>*C = A x B</i></p>\n<p><i>*E = C x D</i></p>\n<p><i>Source: Amazon, Statista, Khaveen Investments</i></p>\n<p><b>AWS Growth by Data Volume Growth</b></p>\n<p>Another key area of growth of the company is cloud computing with notable largeclientssuch as Netflix (NFLX), Verizon (VZ), Capital One (COF), McDonald's (MCD). AWS revenues grew strongly at 29.5% in 2020 with a market share of 31.8% of the cloud infrastructuremarket. Since its launch nearly 2 decades ago, it has grown to become the market leader for years and looks set to maintain the status quo for the foreseeable future despite rising competition especially from Microsoft (MSFT) and Google gaining market share outpacing Amazon's growth.</p>\n<p>The rapid growth of the cloud infrastructure market is underpinned by the rising volume of global data volume creation at aCAGRof 23% until 2025 as data volume is projected to grow to more than 180 zettabytes as the world becomes more data-driven with the rise of data analytics, 5G and IoT spurring the growth of data creation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d467bae68efe047fa8c695360d5b551c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista, Khaveen Investments</span></p>\n<p>We projected the growth of the cloud infrastructure market based on the forecasted growth of data volume at a 23%&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;through 2025 at an average cloud infrastructure/data growth factor of 1.72.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd3a646de29cd8f5659eeaabcbf4831d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>* A = B x C Source: Statista, Khaveen Investments</span></p>\n<p>Thus, despite the plateauing market share of AWS as competitors like Microsoft outpaces its growth, we still believe in the massive opportunity in the cloud infrastructure market with the growing data volumes. Not to mention, the company has highlighted its commitment towards AWS with new client relationships such as major sports leagues around the world including National Hockey League, the PGA Tour, Formula 1 and the German Bundesliga. Furthermore, it also recently&nbsp;announced&nbsp;a relationship with Dish Network to build out cloud-based 5G infrastructure and would expand its data center footprint in Israel and the United Arab Emirates. It currently offers 80 availability zones across 25 geographic regions and plans to launch 15 more availability zones to support its cloud growth.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ebc384fe7bf254090200574fd352254\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Canalys, Khaveen Investments</span></p>\n<p>All in all, we projected AWS's revenue growth based on our market share forecast assumptions that its market share leadership is slowly chipped away by fast-growing competitors notably Microsoft but still maintaining its market leadership backed by solid large client relationship leveraging AWS. Based on a forecasted market share of 30.7% by 2023, we expect AWS revenues to grow to $81.5 bln.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>AWS Forecasts</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2018</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2019</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2020</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2021F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>AWS Market Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>31.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>31.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>31.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>30.7%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>AWS Revenues ($ bln)</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.66</p></td>\n   <td><p>35.03</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>54.58</p></td>\n   <td><p>66.81</p></td>\n   <td><p>81.52</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>47.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>36.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>20.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.4%</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>Source: Amazon, Canalys, Khaveen Investments</i></p>\n<p>While AWS only makes up 11% of its total revenues, its superior margins of 29% compared to only 2.8% for the other company segments has AWS accounting for 59% of operating income in 2020 which highlights the significance of AWS to its bottom line.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ae44c90f44af56478935039edb4cc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Amazon</span></p>\n<p><b>Antimonopoly and Data Privacy Fine Risk</b></p>\n<p>Amazon has been&nbsp;involved&nbsp;in allegations of the company's approach to unfairly attain data and information from third-party sellers, stated by the Democrats' report with the company's e-commerce market share around 40% in the US. With the reliance of sellers on Amazon's sales channel, Amazon can charge sellers exceptional fees and further penalizing sellers for lowering their prices on other sites. Also, a bipartisan group of House lawmakers is pushing big tech including Amazon for anoverhaulof their business practices under an expansive set of antitrust reforms that would make it harder for dominant platforms to complete mergers and prohibit them from owning businesses that present clear conflicts of interest.</p>\n<p>Whereas in the&nbsp;European Union, Amazon has been hit with the largest GDPR fine to date. The EU is moving beyond data breaches and zeroing in on data practices. Amazon faced a $888 million fine from violating the bloc's data protection rules. Amazon has been accused to violate the EU's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). GDPR allows forfinesof up to 4% of Amazon's revenue, which the released number indicated around 4.2% of Amazon's $21.3 billion income in 2020.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>The company has had average revenue growth of 29.4% in the past 5 years with an average gross and net margin of 38.6% and 3.5% respectively. The strength of the company is its rising margins as its net margins have risen due to the superior growth of its cloud segment which commands higher margins. The AWS segment has a high operating margin of 29.6% versus 2.8% for the remaining business segments.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a075f1644a849d94c77b8707596cf501\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Amazon, Khaveen Investments</span></p>\n<p>More importantly, the company has decent and imposing cash-generating abilities with an average FCF margin of 3.01% in the past 5 years. In 2017, its FCF margin dipped due to the&nbsp;acquisition&nbsp;of Whole Foods for $13.7 bln. The strength of its cash flows is the rising margins as its AWS business which is more profitable exhibits a higher growth than other segments.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78710672b48942ad15fa6ecdd9fffaf9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Amazon, Khaveen Investments</span></p>\n<p>The company's balance sheet strength is its strong ability to meet its debt obligations. It has a net debt of $113 bln in 2020 with an EBITDA/interest coverage ratio of 44x in 2020. Its ratio has steadily increased in the past 5 years from 32x as it grew its profitability with the superior growth of AWS.</p>\n<p>To value Amazon, we used a DCF valuation as the company has had positive free cash flows in the past. We got an industry average EV/EBITDA of 27.64x based on comparable companies as shown in the table below.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Company</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>EV/EBITDA</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Amazon</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.57x</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Alibaba (BABA)</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.14x</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Microsoft</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.89x</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Google</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.46x</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Average</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>24.52x</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>Source: SeekingAlpha</i></p>\n<p>The revenue growth projections aresummarized below based on the revenue breakdown by its online stores, physical stores, retail third party seller services, subscription services, AWS and others. The online store projections are derived from its market share assumption on the forecasted growth of the e-commerce market while physical store sales are based on the retail sales growth rate forecast of 7.2% in 2021. Retail third-party seller services are derived from its share of third-party seller GMV of the total e-commerce market and an assumption of a % cut it earns as revenues from commissions and related fees. The AWS revenues are projected from the cloud market growth based on the rising data volumes forecasts. Other segments are based on its average 3-year growth rates. Beyond 2023, we tapered down our growth forecasts with a weighted CAGR of 14.2% of the e-commerce and cloud computing market through 2027 and tapering down from 12.3% in 2027 with an annual decrease of 2% per year until 2030 as we expect the e-commerce market to become more mature.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Amazon Revenue Projections ($ bln)</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2018</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2019</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2020</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2021F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2022F</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023F</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Online stores</p></td>\n   <td><p>122.99</p></td>\n   <td><p>141.25</p></td>\n   <td><p>197.35</p></td>\n   <td><p>211.74</p></td>\n   <td><p>244.02</p></td>\n   <td><p>280.50</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>14.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>39.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>7.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Physical stores</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.22</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.19</p></td>\n   <td><p>16.23</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.40</p></td>\n   <td><p>18.55</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.38</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>196.9%</p></td>\n   <td><p>-0.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>-5.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>7.20%</p></td>\n   <td><p>6.60%</p></td>\n   <td><p>4.50%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Retail third-party seller services</p></td>\n   <td><p>42.75</p></td>\n   <td><p>53.76</p></td>\n   <td><p>80.46</p></td>\n   <td><p>97.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>123.25</p></td>\n   <td><p>155.61</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>34.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>49.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>26.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Subscription services</p></td>\n   <td><p>14.17</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.21</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.21</p></td>\n   <td><p>34.67</p></td>\n   <td><p>47.68</p></td>\n   <td><p>65.58</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>35.6%</p></td>\n   <td><p>31.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>37.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>37.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>37.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>AWS</p></td>\n   <td><p>25.66</p></td>\n   <td><p>35.03</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>54.58</p></td>\n   <td><p>66.81</p></td>\n   <td><p>81.52</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>47.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>36.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.5%</p></td>\n   <td><p>20.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.4%</p></td>\n   <td><p>22.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Other</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.11</p></td>\n   <td><p>14.09</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.45</p></td>\n   <td><p>31.27</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.60</p></td>\n   <td><p>66.48</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>117.4%</p></td>\n   <td><p>39.4%</p></td>\n   <td><p>52.2%</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.8%</p></td>\n   <td><p>45.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>232.9</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>280.53</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>386.07</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>447.0</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>545.9</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>669.1</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Growth %</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>30.9%</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>20.5%</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>37.6%</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>15.8%</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>22.1%</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>22.6%</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>Source: Amazon, Khaveen Investments</i></p>\n<p>Based on a discount rate of 12.7% (company's WACC), our model shows an upside of 36.9%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74c5d7c65d544d533d2e87bb62270fb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Khaveen Investments</span></p>\n<p><b>Verdict</b></p>\n<p>In conclusion, weanalyzed the company's key growth drivers namely the online retail, third-party seller services and AWS. While the accelerated growth eventually winds down, its growth outlook remains highly attractive as an established and dominant market leader in e-commerce. The share of e-commerce sales as a % of total retail sales is forecasted to keep marching higher with the shift of consumers buyingbehavior towards e-commerce with a forecasted rate of 22% by 2023. The company's Prime member provides it with a loyal customer base roughly half of the US population. Moreover, another key strength is its vast logistics and shipping network and Amazon FBA seeing the continued rise of third-party sellers on its online marketplace. Finally, AWS remains the clear market leader in the foreseeable future with close relationships with large corporate clients and continuous commitment by management to cater to the growing infrastructure needs of the segment. Thus, despite the expected normalizing growth in 2021, we believe that its outlook continued to be buoyed by the rising e-commerce and cloud computing market and revised our growth rate projections to 15.8% in 2021 followed by 22% in 2020. Overall, we rate the stock as a<i>Buy</i>with a price target of<i>$4,363.96.</i></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Stock Still Attractive With Shift Towards E-Commerce And Cloud Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Stock Still Attractive With Shift Towards E-Commerce And Cloud Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-08 11:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453926-amazon-stock-still-attractive><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe company’s revenue growth in 2020 exceeded our expectations and we revised its growth rate forecast to 15.8%.\nWhile growth is moderating following a stellar year with robust activity, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453926-amazon-stock-still-attractive\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453926-amazon-stock-still-attractive","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143120804","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe company’s revenue growth in 2020 exceeded our expectations and we revised its growth rate forecast to 15.8%.\nWhile growth is moderating following a stellar year with robust activity, the company remains poised to benefit from the e-commerce shift with a forecast penetration rate of 22% of retail.\nAWS is expected to remain as the number 1 market leader for the foreseeable future.\nWe revised our valuation using DCF analysis to obtain a new price target of $4,303,18 from $3,358.73.\n\n4kodiak/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nSince our previous coverage, Amazon Inc.'s (AMZN) stock has risen by 26% and exceeded our revenue growth expectations of 24.5% and finished 2020 up by 37.6% on exceptional growth of its online retail business growing by 40% to nearly $200 bln and third-party services at $80bln. In this analysis, we re-examine its key growth drivers namely online retail, third party services and AWS.\nDespite the softness in Q2 of its online store sales growth of 13% and soft Q3 guidance of 13% YoY at the midpoint, indicating a sign of normalizing growth, the secular growth outlook of the e-commerce market remains attractive from the continued shift towards online retail which Amazon has an established market position. As more consumers shift their purchasing behavior online, the share of e-commerce is forecasted to reach 22% by 2023 from 18% in 2020. We believe that Amazon's well-established market position with a massive Prime membership base as loyal customers and solid logistics and shipping network providing it with an advantage as seen with the rise of its e-commerce marketplace with third-party sellers. Moreover, its cloud business is expected to remain the market leader of the cloud infrastructure market for the foreseeable future with continued commitment towards growth and underpinned by rising data volumes.\nSource: Amazon\nE-commerce Sales Outlook Still Attractive Despite Normalizing Growth\nAmazon's online store sales have surged 40% in 2020 from 14.8% in the prior year as it benefitted from the prolonged lockdowns and restrictions on physical retailers which saw the accelerated shift towards e-commerce adoption. However, despite the slowdown in its online store growth in Q2 2021 of 13% YoY compared to 41% in Q1, we believe that the company is poised to continue reaping the secular tailwinds of the rising e-commerce adoption.\nAccording to eMarketer, the share of e-commerce sales is forecasted to reach 22% of global retail sales as consumers continue to shift towards online buying. Global retail sales are forecasted to bound back by 7.2% with the vaccination drives across the world and easing business restrictions. Thus, the e-commerce sales forecast is 10.2% in 2021 which represents a normalized growth from 27.6% in 2019 as the penetration rate surged to 18% from 14% in the past year.\n\n\n\nGlobal E-Commerce Market ($ bln)\n2016\n2017\n2018\n2019\n2020\n2021F\n2022F\n2023F\n\n\nTotal Global Retail Sales ('a')\n21,453\n22,904\n23,560\n24,780\n23,778\n25,490\n27,172\n28,395\n\n\nGrowth %\n2.6%\n6.8%\n2.9%\n5.2%\n-4.0%\n7.20%\n6.60%\n4.50%\n\n\nRetail E-commerce Sales ('b')\n1,845\n2,382\n2,982\n3,354\n4,280\n4,716\n5,434\n6,247\n\n\nGrowth %\n19.2%\n29.1%\n25.2%\n12.5%\n27.6%\n10.2%\n15.2%\n15.0%\n\n\nPenetration Rate ('c')\n9%\n10%\n12%\n14%\n18%\n19%\n20%\n22%\n\n\n\n* B = C x A\nSource: Statista, eMarketer, Khaveen Investments\nAmazon's established market positioning is an added competitive strength of it to capitalize on the market growth. More specifically, it is hard to win over the company in the key criteria of price, choice and convenience. Evidently, the company's Prime membership continued to grow in 2020 by 15% to 142.5 mln members or roughly 43% of the US population. This indicates the strong attraction of loyal customers to the company providing it with a massive install base. Through Prime membership, consumers are also pushed to buy more to obtain various benefits.\nSource: Backlinko\nIn addition to Prime members, the company has been able to consistently attract sellers to its platform with 3.3 mln new sellers since 2017 or 3,718 per day. Currently, it has 9.7 mlnsellersworldwide across the US, UK, Germany, Japan, etc. Thus, the company has established itself as the dominant market leader and is far ahead of its next closest competitor in terms of e-commerce sales.\nSource: Marketing Charts\nIts market leadership is quite extensive across different product categories and markets as illustrated in the table below. For example, it accounts for Its consumer & consumer electronics sales is the largest product category accounting for 50.2% of the products' total e-commerce sales in the US and 26.7% of total retail sales. This is followed by apparel & accessories, books music & video and furniture and home furnishings which is 32%, 83.2% and 34.2 % of e-commerce sales.\nSource: eMarketer\nAmong the product categories, the electronics category is the most popular among shoppers in the US with 44% of US shoppers having purchased electronics on Amazon. It also sells its own electronicdevicesincluding Echo smart speakers which account for 70% of the US market share followed by Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) and continues to develop the product with newer generations and software updates. In 2020, the company shipped over 38 mln smart speaker units and accounted for 28.3% of the global market share of shipments. We estimated its revenues from the sale of its smart speakers based on the average price of the Echo product family of $103 to be around $3.94 bln in revenues which is around 2% of its online store revenues. However, it also faces increasing competition especially from the Chinese manufacturers such as Baidu (BIDU) and Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF) which dominate the China market.\nAll in all, the company has a massive product breadth of 12 mln products excluding books, media, wine and services and with the growing seller base, we expect this product breadth to continue to be expanded and provide customers unique value proposition with product variety.\nThus, we expect its solid market dominance with an ecosystem of an established customer base and loyal Prime members and a large seller base with extensive market leadership across various key product categories with a broad product breadth to support its long-term growth. We projected its online store growth based on our expectation of its market share at 4.5% based on a 5-year average on the global e-commerce sales.\n\n\n\nAmazon Online Stores ($ bln)\n2016\n2017\n2018\n2019\n2020\n2021F\n2022F\n2023F\n\n\nTotal Retail Sales ('a')\n21,453\n22,904\n23,560\n24,780\n23,778\n25,490\n27,172\n28,395\n\n\nGrowth %\n2.6%\n6.8%\n2.9%\n5.2%\n-4.0%\n7.20%\n6.60%\n4.50%\n\n\nRetail E-commerce Sales ('b')\n1,845\n2,382\n2,982\n3,354\n4,280\n4,716\n5,434\n6,247\n\n\nGrowth %\n19.2%\n29.1%\n25.2%\n12.5%\n27.6%\n10.2%\n15.2%\n15.0%\n\n\nPenetration Rate ('c')\n9%\n10%\n12%\n14%\n18%\n19%\n20%\n22%\n\n\nGrowth %\n16.2%\n20.9%\n17.3%\n11.5%\n32.4%\n2.8%\n8.1%\n10.0%\n\n\nAmazon Online Stores Revenues ('d')\n91.43\n108.35\n122.99\n141.25\n197.35\n211.74\n244.02\n280.50\n\n\nGrowth %\n18.5%\n13.5%\n14.8%\n39.7%\n7.3%\n15.2%\n15.0%\n\n\nAmazon Online Stores Market Share ('e')\n5.0%\n4.5%\n4.1%\n4.2%\n4.6%\n4.5%\n4.5%\n4.5%\n\n\n\n* B = A x C\n*D = B x E\nSource: Statista, Khaveen Investments\nThe Rise of Third-party Seller Services\nAnother major advantage of the company is its logistics and shipping operations, which has become an impenetrable moat that few other companies will ever have the resources or ability to match, with Amazon partnering with most major delivery providers in the country. By leveraging its robust network, it offers programs to enable sellers to sell their products through its marketplace and fulfill orders through the company.\nWith Fulfillment by Amazon ('FBA'), third party sellersstore products in Amazon's fulfillment centers, and it picks, packs, ships, and provide customer service for these products. Amazon is not the seller but earns commissions and related fulfillment and shipping fees including inventory management, payment processing, shipment tracking and reporting from the arrangements from its third-party sellers who are largely comprised of small- and medium-sized businesses.\nSelling on Amazon as a third-party seller is an increasingly popular option for sellers. It ultimately provides more flexibility and control, a stronger brand presence, and better data access. Over the past years, the rise of third-party sellers on Amazon is seen with the rising share of third-party sales as a % of its gross merchandise sales at 62% of total sales.\nSource: FourWeekMBA\nThe chart below further illustrates Amazon's large network of logistics and shipping. Its fulfillment center network is one of several ways it enhances its logistics and shipping process taking on FedEx and UPS and has been ramping up efforts to launch its delivery network as well with growing fleets of airplanes, drones and vans. Amazon's own logistics business delivered 1.9 bln packages in the US.\nSource: WebFX\nMoreover, its wide logistics and shipping coverage with over 100 active warehouses across the US with the highest number of facilities in California, Texas and New Jersey. Additionally, it is expanding heavily in the south with the highest number of planned warehouses. For example, the upcoming opening of a 1 million-square-foot fulfillmentcenter in Missouri in 2021 where employees will pack and ship larger-sized customer items like patio furniture, outdoor equipment or rugs. In 2020, it announced plans for 7 new fulfillmentcenters including a 600,000-square-foot facility in Florida, an 855,000-square foot facility in Tennessee and a 625,000square-foot fulfillment center in Texas.\nSource: CNBC\nOverall, these are among the factors which lead to the company's strength from its wide logistics network in terms of shipping speed. The company is highly popular for its speedy shipping and even has free Two-Day and even Same Day Shipping Programs for Prime members. Based on the survey below, the majority or 80% cited fast and free shipping as the major reason for choosing Amazon. We believe that the company's planned expansion would continue to enhance its logistics network and maintain its popularity among customers.\nSource: Statista\nWe forecasted the company's retail third-party seller services revenues which consist of fulfillment service-related revenues derived from the sales from third-party sellers. Amazon's third-party gross merchandise sales are forecasted to increase its share of total retail e-commerce sales as a growth rate of 9% based on the past 5-year average with the rising popularity of third-party sales on its marketplace. Moreover, we also forecasted the share of revenues that Amazon earns to grow by 1% from 27.3% based on the 2-year average as Amazon continues to expand its fulfillment capabilities to cater to its third-party sellers. This trend is also believed to be significant for margin expansion of the company as gross margins third-party seller services isestimatedto be between 60% to 75% of sales which is lower than AWS at 80% but still higher than the company's overall gross margin of 37% due to high costs tied up with the cost of sales which represents 60% of its total sales.\n\n\n\nThird-Party Seller Services Revenues ($ bln)\n2016\n2017\n2018\n2019\n2020\n2021F\n2022F\n2023F\n\n\nGlobal Retail E-commerce Sales ('a')\n1,845\n2,382\n2,982\n3,354\n4,280\n4,716\n5,434\n6,247\n\n\nGrowth %\n19.2%\n29.1%\n25.2%\n12.5%\n27.6%\n10.2%\n15.2%\n15.0%\n\n\nAmazon Third Party Market Share ('b')\n5.6%\n5.5%\n5.4%\n6.0%\n6.9%\n7.5%\n8.1%\n8.9%\n\n\nGrowth %\n21%\n-2%\n-2%\n11%\n16%\n9%\n9%\n9%\n\n\nThird-party (Amazon marketplace) GMV ('c')\n103\n130\n160\n200\n295\n353\n443\n553\n\n\nGrowth %\n26.2%\n23.1%\n25.0%\n47.5%\n19.8%\n25.3%\n25.0%\n\n\n% Of Revenues ('d')\n22.3%\n24.5%\n26.7%\n26.9%\n27.3%\n27.6%\n27.8%\n28.1%\n\n\nGrowth %\n9.9%\n9.0%\n0.6%\n1.5%\n1.0%\n1.0%\n1.0%\n\n\nRetail third-party seller services revenues ('e')\n22.99\n31.88\n42.75\n53.76\n80.46\n97.37\n123.25\n155.61\n\n\nGrowth %\n38.7%\n34.1%\n25.8%\n49.7%\n21.0%\n26.6%\n26.3%\n\n\n\n*C = A x B\n*E = C x D\nSource: Amazon, Statista, Khaveen Investments\nAWS Growth by Data Volume Growth\nAnother key area of growth of the company is cloud computing with notable largeclientssuch as Netflix (NFLX), Verizon (VZ), Capital One (COF), McDonald's (MCD). AWS revenues grew strongly at 29.5% in 2020 with a market share of 31.8% of the cloud infrastructuremarket. Since its launch nearly 2 decades ago, it has grown to become the market leader for years and looks set to maintain the status quo for the foreseeable future despite rising competition especially from Microsoft (MSFT) and Google gaining market share outpacing Amazon's growth.\nThe rapid growth of the cloud infrastructure market is underpinned by the rising volume of global data volume creation at aCAGRof 23% until 2025 as data volume is projected to grow to more than 180 zettabytes as the world becomes more data-driven with the rise of data analytics, 5G and IoT spurring the growth of data creation.\nSource: Statista, Khaveen Investments\nWe projected the growth of the cloud infrastructure market based on the forecasted growth of data volume at a 23% CAGR through 2025 at an average cloud infrastructure/data growth factor of 1.72.\n* A = B x C Source: Statista, Khaveen Investments\nThus, despite the plateauing market share of AWS as competitors like Microsoft outpaces its growth, we still believe in the massive opportunity in the cloud infrastructure market with the growing data volumes. Not to mention, the company has highlighted its commitment towards AWS with new client relationships such as major sports leagues around the world including National Hockey League, the PGA Tour, Formula 1 and the German Bundesliga. Furthermore, it also recently announced a relationship with Dish Network to build out cloud-based 5G infrastructure and would expand its data center footprint in Israel and the United Arab Emirates. It currently offers 80 availability zones across 25 geographic regions and plans to launch 15 more availability zones to support its cloud growth.\nSource: Canalys, Khaveen Investments\nAll in all, we projected AWS's revenue growth based on our market share forecast assumptions that its market share leadership is slowly chipped away by fast-growing competitors notably Microsoft but still maintaining its market leadership backed by solid large client relationship leveraging AWS. Based on a forecasted market share of 30.7% by 2023, we expect AWS revenues to grow to $81.5 bln.\n\n\n\nAWS Forecasts\n2018\n2019\n2020\n2021F\n2022F\n2023F\n\n\nAWS Market Share\n32.6%\n32.3%\n31.8%\n31.2%\n31.0%\n30.7%\n\n\nAWS Revenues ($ bln)\n25.66\n35.03\n45.37\n54.58\n66.81\n81.52\n\n\nGrowth %\n47.0%\n36.5%\n29.5%\n20.3%\n22.4%\n22.0%\n\n\n\nSource: Amazon, Canalys, Khaveen Investments\nWhile AWS only makes up 11% of its total revenues, its superior margins of 29% compared to only 2.8% for the other company segments has AWS accounting for 59% of operating income in 2020 which highlights the significance of AWS to its bottom line.\nSource: Amazon\nAntimonopoly and Data Privacy Fine Risk\nAmazon has been involved in allegations of the company's approach to unfairly attain data and information from third-party sellers, stated by the Democrats' report with the company's e-commerce market share around 40% in the US. With the reliance of sellers on Amazon's sales channel, Amazon can charge sellers exceptional fees and further penalizing sellers for lowering their prices on other sites. Also, a bipartisan group of House lawmakers is pushing big tech including Amazon for anoverhaulof their business practices under an expansive set of antitrust reforms that would make it harder for dominant platforms to complete mergers and prohibit them from owning businesses that present clear conflicts of interest.\nWhereas in the European Union, Amazon has been hit with the largest GDPR fine to date. The EU is moving beyond data breaches and zeroing in on data practices. Amazon faced a $888 million fine from violating the bloc's data protection rules. Amazon has been accused to violate the EU's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). GDPR allows forfinesof up to 4% of Amazon's revenue, which the released number indicated around 4.2% of Amazon's $21.3 billion income in 2020.\nValuation\nThe company has had average revenue growth of 29.4% in the past 5 years with an average gross and net margin of 38.6% and 3.5% respectively. The strength of the company is its rising margins as its net margins have risen due to the superior growth of its cloud segment which commands higher margins. The AWS segment has a high operating margin of 29.6% versus 2.8% for the remaining business segments.\nSource: Amazon, Khaveen Investments\nMore importantly, the company has decent and imposing cash-generating abilities with an average FCF margin of 3.01% in the past 5 years. In 2017, its FCF margin dipped due to the acquisition of Whole Foods for $13.7 bln. The strength of its cash flows is the rising margins as its AWS business which is more profitable exhibits a higher growth than other segments.\nSource: Amazon, Khaveen Investments\nThe company's balance sheet strength is its strong ability to meet its debt obligations. It has a net debt of $113 bln in 2020 with an EBITDA/interest coverage ratio of 44x in 2020. Its ratio has steadily increased in the past 5 years from 32x as it grew its profitability with the superior growth of AWS.\nTo value Amazon, we used a DCF valuation as the company has had positive free cash flows in the past. We got an industry average EV/EBITDA of 27.64x based on comparable companies as shown in the table below.\n\n\n\nCompany\nEV/EBITDA\n\n\nAmazon\n28.57x\n\n\nAlibaba (BABA)\n21.14x\n\n\nMicrosoft\n25.89x\n\n\nGoogle\n22.46x\n\n\nAverage\n24.52x\n\n\n\nSource: SeekingAlpha\nThe revenue growth projections aresummarized below based on the revenue breakdown by its online stores, physical stores, retail third party seller services, subscription services, AWS and others. The online store projections are derived from its market share assumption on the forecasted growth of the e-commerce market while physical store sales are based on the retail sales growth rate forecast of 7.2% in 2021. Retail third-party seller services are derived from its share of third-party seller GMV of the total e-commerce market and an assumption of a % cut it earns as revenues from commissions and related fees. The AWS revenues are projected from the cloud market growth based on the rising data volumes forecasts. Other segments are based on its average 3-year growth rates. Beyond 2023, we tapered down our growth forecasts with a weighted CAGR of 14.2% of the e-commerce and cloud computing market through 2027 and tapering down from 12.3% in 2027 with an annual decrease of 2% per year until 2030 as we expect the e-commerce market to become more mature.\n\n\n\nAmazon Revenue Projections ($ bln)\n2018\n2019\n2020\n2021F\n2022F\n2023F\n\n\nOnline stores\n122.99\n141.25\n197.35\n211.74\n244.02\n280.50\n\n\nGrowth %\n13.5%\n14.8%\n39.7%\n7.3%\n15.2%\n15.0%\n\n\nPhysical stores\n17.22\n17.19\n16.23\n17.40\n18.55\n19.38\n\n\nGrowth %\n196.9%\n-0.2%\n-5.6%\n7.20%\n6.60%\n4.50%\n\n\nRetail third-party seller services\n42.75\n53.76\n80.46\n97.37\n123.25\n155.61\n\n\nGrowth %\n34.1%\n25.8%\n49.7%\n21.0%\n26.6%\n26.3%\n\n\nSubscription services\n14.17\n19.21\n25.21\n34.67\n47.68\n65.58\n\n\nGrowth %\n45.8%\n35.6%\n31.2%\n37.5%\n37.5%\n37.5%\n\n\nAWS\n25.66\n35.03\n45.37\n54.58\n66.81\n81.52\n\n\nGrowth %\n47.0%\n36.5%\n29.5%\n20.3%\n22.4%\n22.0%\n\n\nOther\n10.11\n14.09\n21.45\n31.27\n45.60\n66.48\n\n\nGrowth %\n117.4%\n39.4%\n52.2%\n45.8%\n45.8%\n45.8%\n\n\nTotal\n232.9\n280.53\n386.07\n447.0\n545.9\n669.1\n\n\nTotal Growth %\n30.9%\n20.5%\n37.6%\n15.8%\n22.1%\n22.6%\n\n\n\nSource: Amazon, Khaveen Investments\nBased on a discount rate of 12.7% (company's WACC), our model shows an upside of 36.9%.\nSource: Khaveen Investments\nVerdict\nIn conclusion, weanalyzed the company's key growth drivers namely the online retail, third-party seller services and AWS. While the accelerated growth eventually winds down, its growth outlook remains highly attractive as an established and dominant market leader in e-commerce. The share of e-commerce sales as a % of total retail sales is forecasted to keep marching higher with the shift of consumers buyingbehavior towards e-commerce with a forecasted rate of 22% by 2023. The company's Prime member provides it with a loyal customer base roughly half of the US population. Moreover, another key strength is its vast logistics and shipping network and Amazon FBA seeing the continued rise of third-party sellers on its online marketplace. Finally, AWS remains the clear market leader in the foreseeable future with close relationships with large corporate clients and continuous commitment by management to cater to the growing infrastructure needs of the segment. Thus, despite the expected normalizing growth in 2021, we believe that its outlook continued to be buoyed by the rising e-commerce and cloud computing market and revised our growth rate projections to 15.8% in 2021 followed by 22% in 2020. Overall, we rate the stock as aBuywith a price target of$4,363.96.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817007855,"gmtCreate":1630888852577,"gmtModify":1631890188946,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Beware","listText":"Beware","text":"Beware","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817007855","repostId":"1168498795","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168498795","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630655991,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168498795?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 15:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Speak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168498795","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the ch","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the chunky returns of the past decade.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6573eb955692f754acc1285622febd53\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The S&amp;P 500 is like the three wise monkeys: See no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil.Whatever happens, it just goes up. The market has gone up almost in a straight line since November despite a troubling list of events that could each have justified at least a 5% correction. Investors are incredibly resilient.</p>\n<p>Some things that didn’t matter:a burst bubble in clean-energy stocks;a sharp rise in Treasury yields(to March);a big fall in Treasury yields(since March); China’s crackdown on moneymaking; the Federal Reserve’sshift toward tapering bond purchases; and the rise of the Delta variant.</p>\n<p>On the optimistic side, it is great that the market has been pushed up by a variety of forces, not by wild excess in a single area. We need not worry that the bubble in clean energy will burst and bring down the market, because it has already burst without bringing down the market.</p>\n<p>Throughout all this, the stock market has risen steadily,without a 5% fall since shortly before the election last year. Every time part of the market—technology stocks, cheap stocks, smaller stocks, oil stocks, strong-balance-sheet stocks—stops performing, something else steps in to rescue the broader index. The market seems invulnerable to bad news, and that is unusual. On the face of it, it is also scary, suggesting investors are complacent about danger.</p>\n<p>It is far from unprecedented to go a long time without a correction, with 10 episodes since 1963 when the market lasted more than 200 trading days without a 5% drop. But they were different from the recent run. In every other case, the market was far calmer below the surface. This time, major events led to big swings between sectors, size and types of stock, but none disturbed its steady rise.</p>\n<p>Similarly, the stimulus- and vaccine-driven willingness to take risk across every asset class faded from March onward, so we shouldn’t be too concerned about a switch in investor sentiment. Again, it has already happened.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d8b995934c7f60fadb5834dd078e232\" tg-width=\"320\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Yet,I find it disconcerting that the market seems to go up no matter what. Good news on the economy pushes up stocks sensitive to growth, such as manufacturers and banks. Troubling news on the economy means lower bond yields and so pushes up stocks with profits far in the future (see: Big Tech) whose expansion depends on innovation rather than economic growth, which I understand. That both should push up the wider S&amp;P 500 is what puzzles me.</p>\n<p>The only explanation I have is the old one: “TINA”—There Is No Alternative to Stocks—because yields on alternatives such as bonds are so low. With more savings going into stocks than is cashed out or soaked up by IPOs, the price has to rise. It isn’t a satisfactory story, but it kind of works.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37942e27b25662943d254580733d2954\" tg-width=\"325\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In both good and bad times investors want to buy stocks, so the S&amp;P goes up. But<i>which</i>stocks they choose to buy differs between good and bad times. In good times they want risk-on stocks (cheap value, cyclicals, smaller companies, emerging markets). In bad times they want risk-off stocks (growth, defensive firms, larger companies, developed markets and especially the U.S.).</p>\n<p>The problem with TINA is that the justification for stocks isn’t that they offer good returns in the future, but that they offer better returns than bonds. Bonds offer miserable returns—a guaranteed loss after inflation for 30 years on Treasury inflation-protected securities—so doing better than that isn’t saying much. If lower rewards came with lower risks, that would be fine, but at best the risks are as high as ever, perhaps much higher.</p>\n<p>A simplistic way to quantify how much lower the rewards of stocks are likely to be is to use the earnings yield, the inverse of the forward price/earnings ratio. If companies match analyst profit forecasts, future returns should be about 4%—only slightly higher than was suggested by the measure at the height of the dot-com bubble in 2000. If corporate earnings miss forecasts, future returns could be substantially lower. If valuations fall too, returns are doubly hit, as they were after the dot-com bubble burst, when returns ended up negative for years.</p>\n<p>Quantifying risks is much harder. Inflation risk is higher than before, and so are political (tax and regulation) and geopolitical (trade and supply chain) threats to stocks. The risk that analysts have horribly overestimated earnings or companies are massively overstating earnings is at least as high as usual. Central banks are sure to try to help if stocks plunge, but can’t use the traditional support of rate cuts. Alternative tools such as negative rates and buying a wider range of assets are available, but their risks are less well understood.</p>\n<p>Getting a lower reward for the same or higher risk may still be acceptable, given how expensive the safer alternatives are. But investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the 6.5% or so above inflation of the past century, let alone the 12% above inflation of the past decade.</p>\n<p>The awful choice investors have is to join the monkeys in pretending all is well, or accept the terrible returns of safe assets.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Speak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSpeak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-03 15:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/speak-no-evil-of-the-s-p-500s-neverending-records-11630590653?mod=markets_lead_pos5><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the chunky returns of the past decade.\n\nThe S&P 500 is like the three wise monkeys: See no evil, hear no ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/speak-no-evil-of-the-s-p-500s-neverending-records-11630590653?mod=markets_lead_pos5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/speak-no-evil-of-the-s-p-500s-neverending-records-11630590653?mod=markets_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168498795","content_text":"Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the chunky returns of the past decade.\n\nThe S&P 500 is like the three wise monkeys: See no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil.Whatever happens, it just goes up. The market has gone up almost in a straight line since November despite a troubling list of events that could each have justified at least a 5% correction. Investors are incredibly resilient.\nSome things that didn’t matter:a burst bubble in clean-energy stocks;a sharp rise in Treasury yields(to March);a big fall in Treasury yields(since March); China’s crackdown on moneymaking; the Federal Reserve’sshift toward tapering bond purchases; and the rise of the Delta variant.\nOn the optimistic side, it is great that the market has been pushed up by a variety of forces, not by wild excess in a single area. We need not worry that the bubble in clean energy will burst and bring down the market, because it has already burst without bringing down the market.\nThroughout all this, the stock market has risen steadily,without a 5% fall since shortly before the election last year. Every time part of the market—technology stocks, cheap stocks, smaller stocks, oil stocks, strong-balance-sheet stocks—stops performing, something else steps in to rescue the broader index. The market seems invulnerable to bad news, and that is unusual. On the face of it, it is also scary, suggesting investors are complacent about danger.\nIt is far from unprecedented to go a long time without a correction, with 10 episodes since 1963 when the market lasted more than 200 trading days without a 5% drop. But they were different from the recent run. In every other case, the market was far calmer below the surface. This time, major events led to big swings between sectors, size and types of stock, but none disturbed its steady rise.\nSimilarly, the stimulus- and vaccine-driven willingness to take risk across every asset class faded from March onward, so we shouldn’t be too concerned about a switch in investor sentiment. Again, it has already happened.\nYet,I find it disconcerting that the market seems to go up no matter what. Good news on the economy pushes up stocks sensitive to growth, such as manufacturers and banks. Troubling news on the economy means lower bond yields and so pushes up stocks with profits far in the future (see: Big Tech) whose expansion depends on innovation rather than economic growth, which I understand. That both should push up the wider S&P 500 is what puzzles me.\nThe only explanation I have is the old one: “TINA”—There Is No Alternative to Stocks—because yields on alternatives such as bonds are so low. With more savings going into stocks than is cashed out or soaked up by IPOs, the price has to rise. It isn’t a satisfactory story, but it kind of works.\nIn both good and bad times investors want to buy stocks, so the S&P goes up. Butwhichstocks they choose to buy differs between good and bad times. In good times they want risk-on stocks (cheap value, cyclicals, smaller companies, emerging markets). In bad times they want risk-off stocks (growth, defensive firms, larger companies, developed markets and especially the U.S.).\nThe problem with TINA is that the justification for stocks isn’t that they offer good returns in the future, but that they offer better returns than bonds. Bonds offer miserable returns—a guaranteed loss after inflation for 30 years on Treasury inflation-protected securities—so doing better than that isn’t saying much. If lower rewards came with lower risks, that would be fine, but at best the risks are as high as ever, perhaps much higher.\nA simplistic way to quantify how much lower the rewards of stocks are likely to be is to use the earnings yield, the inverse of the forward price/earnings ratio. If companies match analyst profit forecasts, future returns should be about 4%—only slightly higher than was suggested by the measure at the height of the dot-com bubble in 2000. If corporate earnings miss forecasts, future returns could be substantially lower. If valuations fall too, returns are doubly hit, as they were after the dot-com bubble burst, when returns ended up negative for years.\nQuantifying risks is much harder. Inflation risk is higher than before, and so are political (tax and regulation) and geopolitical (trade and supply chain) threats to stocks. The risk that analysts have horribly overestimated earnings or companies are massively overstating earnings is at least as high as usual. Central banks are sure to try to help if stocks plunge, but can’t use the traditional support of rate cuts. Alternative tools such as negative rates and buying a wider range of assets are available, but their risks are less well understood.\nGetting a lower reward for the same or higher risk may still be acceptable, given how expensive the safer alternatives are. But investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the 6.5% or so above inflation of the past century, let alone the 12% above inflation of the past decade.\nThe awful choice investors have is to join the monkeys in pretending all is well, or accept the terrible returns of safe assets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816925610,"gmtCreate":1630461754530,"gmtModify":1631892680420,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this a good time to go in?","listText":"Is this a good time to go in?","text":"Is this a good time to go in?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816925610","repostId":"1140744418","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810057020,"gmtCreate":1629936319960,"gmtModify":1631892680447,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So google or Apple?","listText":"So google or Apple?","text":"So google or Apple?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810057020","repostId":"2162059919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2162059919","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629934680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2162059919?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-26 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Bernstein Forecasts Google Will Pay $15 Billion in FY2021 For Being Default Search Engine on iOS, Up From $10 Billion in 2020, Seen as Creating Higher Risk for Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162059919","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Bernstein senior analyst Tony Sacconaghi projects Google  will have to pay almost $15 billion to Apple  for being the default search engine on iOS, much higher than what it used to pay previously.Renowned analyst forecasts 2020 payments at about $10 billion, higher than the previous estimate of $8 billion. This figure comes from the analysis of the recent documents released from Apple, as well as a bottom-up analysis of Google's TAC .The 2021 forecast of $15 billion is “amazing” as it contribute","content":"<p>Bernstein senior analyst Tony Sacconaghi projects Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL) will have to pay almost $15 billion to Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) for being the default search engine on iOS, much higher than what it used to pay previously.</p>\n<p>Renowned analyst forecasts 2020 payments at about $10 billion, higher than the previous estimate of $8 billion. This figure comes from the analysis of the recent documents released from Apple, as well as a bottom-up analysis of Google's TAC (traffic acquisition costs).</p>\n<p>“We estimate that Google's TAC payments to Apple (40+% CAGR for CY 2016-2020) are growing notably faster than GOOG's overall TAC (~18% CAGR) – and will likely continue to - for two reasons: (i) Google's payments to Distribution Partners (Apple, other search partnership) are growing faster than to its Network Members (websites); and (ii) Apple's mobile web traffic share has increased substantially over the last 5 years. The upshot is that we estimate that ~39% of Google's TAC will go to Apple in CY2021 up from ~13% in CY2013,” Sacconaghi wrote in a client note.</p>\n<p>The 2021 forecast of $15 billion is “amazing” as it contributes about 850 bps to Services growth YoY and represents about 9% of Apple’s total gross profits. Higher payments from Google also mean higher risks for Apple.</p>\n<p>“We see two potential risks to GOOG's payments to AAPL: (1) regulatory risk, which we believe is real, but likely years away; we see a potential 4-5% impact to Apple's gross profits from an adverse ruling; &amp; (2) that Google chooses to stop paying Apple to be the default search engine altogether, or looks to renegotiate terms and pay less. We have noted in prior research that GOOG is likely paying to ensure Microsoft doesn’t outbid it. That said, with payments likely to approach $18 - $20B in FY 22, it not implausible that Google could revisit its strategy,” Sacconaghi adds.</p>\n<p>As a result, the analyst believes “risk reward is balanced to modestly negative on the stock over the next six months” as shares trade at 27x P/FE, above its historical relative levels (1.25x vs. 0.90x), especially bearing in mind potential for weak to no revenue growth in FY 22.</p>\n<p>Shares of Apple are trading around the $150.00 mark in pre-open Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Berstein has a \"Market Perform\" rating on AAPL with a price target of $132.00 per share.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Bernstein Forecasts Google Will Pay $15 Billion in FY2021 For Being Default Search Engine on iOS, Up From $10 Billion in 2020, Seen as Creating Higher Risk for Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Bernstein Forecasts Google Will Pay $15 Billion in FY2021 For Being Default Search Engine on iOS, Up From $10 Billion in 2020, Seen as Creating Higher Risk for Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 07:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18861344><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bernstein senior analyst Tony Sacconaghi projects Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL) will have to pay almost $15 billion to Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) for being the default search engine on iOS, much higher than what ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18861344\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18861344","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2162059919","content_text":"Bernstein senior analyst Tony Sacconaghi projects Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL) will have to pay almost $15 billion to Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) for being the default search engine on iOS, much higher than what it used to pay previously.\nRenowned analyst forecasts 2020 payments at about $10 billion, higher than the previous estimate of $8 billion. This figure comes from the analysis of the recent documents released from Apple, as well as a bottom-up analysis of Google's TAC (traffic acquisition costs).\n“We estimate that Google's TAC payments to Apple (40+% CAGR for CY 2016-2020) are growing notably faster than GOOG's overall TAC (~18% CAGR) – and will likely continue to - for two reasons: (i) Google's payments to Distribution Partners (Apple, other search partnership) are growing faster than to its Network Members (websites); and (ii) Apple's mobile web traffic share has increased substantially over the last 5 years. The upshot is that we estimate that ~39% of Google's TAC will go to Apple in CY2021 up from ~13% in CY2013,” Sacconaghi wrote in a client note.\nThe 2021 forecast of $15 billion is “amazing” as it contributes about 850 bps to Services growth YoY and represents about 9% of Apple’s total gross profits. Higher payments from Google also mean higher risks for Apple.\n“We see two potential risks to GOOG's payments to AAPL: (1) regulatory risk, which we believe is real, but likely years away; we see a potential 4-5% impact to Apple's gross profits from an adverse ruling; & (2) that Google chooses to stop paying Apple to be the default search engine altogether, or looks to renegotiate terms and pay less. We have noted in prior research that GOOG is likely paying to ensure Microsoft doesn’t outbid it. That said, with payments likely to approach $18 - $20B in FY 22, it not implausible that Google could revisit its strategy,” Sacconaghi adds.\nAs a result, the analyst believes “risk reward is balanced to modestly negative on the stock over the next six months” as shares trade at 27x P/FE, above its historical relative levels (1.25x vs. 0.90x), especially bearing in mind potential for weak to no revenue growth in FY 22.\nShares of Apple are trading around the $150.00 mark in pre-open Wednesday.\nBerstein has a \"Market Perform\" rating on AAPL with a price target of $132.00 per share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834758658,"gmtCreate":1629843705474,"gmtModify":1633682118496,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will wait and see first","listText":"Will wait and see first","text":"Will wait and see first","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834758658","repostId":"1189203464","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867634357,"gmtCreate":1633249210157,"gmtModify":1633249210723,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls 👍🏻&nbsp;","listText":"Pls 👍🏻&nbsp;","text":"Pls 👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867634357","repostId":"1199143925","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199143925","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633078771,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199143925?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199143925","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro ide","content":"<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p>\n<p>Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p>\n<p>Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p>\n<p>Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p>\n<p>Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-01 16:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p>\n<p>Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p>\n<p>Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p>\n<p>Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p>\n<p>Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","GM":"通用汽车","NWSA":"新闻集团"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199143925","content_text":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.\nTake a look at CNBC Pro’s list.Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&P 500′s 16% gain.\nAlaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.\nPower generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.\nOther names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":882306094,"gmtCreate":1631659655818,"gmtModify":1631888823963,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Didn’t last [What]&nbsp;","listText":"Didn’t last [What]&nbsp;","text":"Didn’t last [What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882306094","repostId":"1155175288","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155175288","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631627144,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155175288?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks rose in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155175288","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 0.7% and 2%.Whi","content":"<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 0.7% and 2%.While&nbsp;Lucid Group fell nearly 4%&nbsp;as&nbsp;an equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df9a72b93885e07dad67e2dc86b0156a\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks rose in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks rose in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-14 21:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 0.7% and 2%.While&nbsp;Lucid Group fell nearly 4%&nbsp;as&nbsp;an equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df9a72b93885e07dad67e2dc86b0156a\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155175288","content_text":"EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 0.7% and 2%.While Lucid Group fell nearly 4% as an equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886217084,"gmtCreate":1631594300348,"gmtModify":1631888823963,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like. TQ","listText":"Please like. TQ","text":"Please like. TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886217084","repostId":"2167843475","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2167843475","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1631590680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2167843475?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 11:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Danger Lurks for These 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2167843475","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Big yields might translate into big problems.","content":"<p>Interest rates are low, and that's bringing more fixed-income investors into the equity market. There are plenty of solid dividend payers out there, but some stocks are cruising for a bruising with their fundamentals relative to their payout levels.</p>\n<p><b>Altria</b> (NYSE:MO), <b>Dow Inc.</b> (NYSE:DOW), and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b>&nbsp;(NYSE:LUMN) pack juicy yields between 4.6% and 8.4%. Some are household names, but that doesn't mean danger doesn't lurk in some of these high-yielding dividend stocks.</p>\n<h2>Altria</h2>\n<p>Unlike the two other names on this list, Altria has been a steady grower. Revenue is moving higher for the 10th year in a row. The steady trickle of tobacco as well as acquisitions along the way into other vices -- vaping, cannabis, and drinking -- have kept the top line moving higher.</p>\n<p>It's never been noteworthy growth. Since 2001 the strongest annual revenue growth for Altria is a pedestrian 6.3%. However, the future is not kind. Domestic cigarette shipments dipped last year despite folks working from home, and between changing norms and new regulations we may finally be getting to the end of Altria's growth streak.</p>\n<p>Altria did hike its distributions last month. It has now come through with 56 increases over the past 52 years, now yielding 7.1%. This is great news, but with tobacco products continuing to account for the lion's share of Altria's business do you really think this is what you want to bank on for the future?</p>\n<h2>Dow Inc.</h2>\n<p>Dow Inc. may seem like an odd name on this list. The chemicals giant has paid out 440 consecutive uninterrupted dividends dating back to 1912. It trades at a low earnings multiple, easily able to cover its current 4.6% yield.</p>\n<p>Dow is also coming off a monster quarter where it posted net sales growth of 66%. The problem here is that volume actually only increased 9%. Tight supply and demand fundamentals helped Dow push through a 53% increase in local prices. It's not going to last. Dow's numbers will look great in 2021, but it follows back-to-back years of double-digit percentage declines. Analysts see revenue sliding again in 2022.</p>\n<p>The stock has a healthy payout ratio, but how comfortable are you owning a stock where net sales will have declined in all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of a four-year run? Demand may seem steady for its polyurethanes and other packaging materials, but you need consistent growth to keep the distributions coming at today's heady pace.</p>\n<h2>Lumen Technologies</h2>\n<p>A name change can only take you so far. Lumen is the company formerly known as CenturyLink, a struggling provider of regional and commercial telco services. Back out the acquisition of Level 3 four years ago and this should be its ninth consecutive year of organic revenue declines.</p>\n<p>Lumen's 8.4% yield is tempting, and it's going to woo income investors. The problem is that this hasn't ended well before. It had to slash its dividend by more than half two years ago. It cut its payout six years before that, too.</p>\n<p>In Lumen's defense, it's doing a few things right these days. Earnings and cash flow are moving in the right direction. It's making divestiture moves and it's earmarking the proceeds for growth investments and buybacks that will help shore up the quarterly disbursements. However, with growth expected to keep contracting through at least the next four years it's hard to lean on its chunky yield as reliable.</p>\n<p>There's more to investing in dividend stocks than chunky yields. Altria, Dow, and Lumen have generous payouts, but there are things that need to go right to keep those healthy distributions coming.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Danger Lurks for These 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDanger Lurks for These 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-14 11:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/13/danger-lurks-for-these-3-high-yield-dividend-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Interest rates are low, and that's bringing more fixed-income investors into the equity market. There are plenty of solid dividend payers out there, but some stocks are cruising for a bruising with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/13/danger-lurks-for-these-3-high-yield-dividend-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOW":"陶氏化学","MO":"奥驰亚","LUMN":"Lumen Technologies"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/13/danger-lurks-for-these-3-high-yield-dividend-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2167843475","content_text":"Interest rates are low, and that's bringing more fixed-income investors into the equity market. There are plenty of solid dividend payers out there, but some stocks are cruising for a bruising with their fundamentals relative to their payout levels.\nAltria (NYSE:MO), Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW), and Lumen Technologies (NYSE:LUMN) pack juicy yields between 4.6% and 8.4%. Some are household names, but that doesn't mean danger doesn't lurk in some of these high-yielding dividend stocks.\nAltria\nUnlike the two other names on this list, Altria has been a steady grower. Revenue is moving higher for the 10th year in a row. The steady trickle of tobacco as well as acquisitions along the way into other vices -- vaping, cannabis, and drinking -- have kept the top line moving higher.\nIt's never been noteworthy growth. Since 2001 the strongest annual revenue growth for Altria is a pedestrian 6.3%. However, the future is not kind. Domestic cigarette shipments dipped last year despite folks working from home, and between changing norms and new regulations we may finally be getting to the end of Altria's growth streak.\nAltria did hike its distributions last month. It has now come through with 56 increases over the past 52 years, now yielding 7.1%. This is great news, but with tobacco products continuing to account for the lion's share of Altria's business do you really think this is what you want to bank on for the future?\nDow Inc.\nDow Inc. may seem like an odd name on this list. The chemicals giant has paid out 440 consecutive uninterrupted dividends dating back to 1912. It trades at a low earnings multiple, easily able to cover its current 4.6% yield.\nDow is also coming off a monster quarter where it posted net sales growth of 66%. The problem here is that volume actually only increased 9%. Tight supply and demand fundamentals helped Dow push through a 53% increase in local prices. It's not going to last. Dow's numbers will look great in 2021, but it follows back-to-back years of double-digit percentage declines. Analysts see revenue sliding again in 2022.\nThe stock has a healthy payout ratio, but how comfortable are you owning a stock where net sales will have declined in all but one of a four-year run? Demand may seem steady for its polyurethanes and other packaging materials, but you need consistent growth to keep the distributions coming at today's heady pace.\nLumen Technologies\nA name change can only take you so far. Lumen is the company formerly known as CenturyLink, a struggling provider of regional and commercial telco services. Back out the acquisition of Level 3 four years ago and this should be its ninth consecutive year of organic revenue declines.\nLumen's 8.4% yield is tempting, and it's going to woo income investors. The problem is that this hasn't ended well before. It had to slash its dividend by more than half two years ago. It cut its payout six years before that, too.\nIn Lumen's defense, it's doing a few things right these days. Earnings and cash flow are moving in the right direction. It's making divestiture moves and it's earmarking the proceeds for growth investments and buybacks that will help shore up the quarterly disbursements. However, with growth expected to keep contracting through at least the next four years it's hard to lean on its chunky yield as reliable.\nThere's more to investing in dividend stocks than chunky yields. Altria, Dow, and Lumen have generous payouts, but there are things that need to go right to keep those healthy distributions coming.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815914716,"gmtCreate":1630635106135,"gmtModify":1631890188968,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It will bounce back soon","listText":"It will bounce back soon","text":"It will bounce back soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815914716","repostId":"2164824410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811753766,"gmtCreate":1630361415455,"gmtModify":1704958952572,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;🤔","listText":"&nbsp;🤔","text":"🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811753766","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835565879,"gmtCreate":1629727563591,"gmtModify":1633682891043,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835565879","repostId":"1102818813","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":858624688,"gmtCreate":1635047472738,"gmtModify":1635047473444,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>Countries are opening UP, so will the shares","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>Countries are opening UP, so will the shares","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$Countries are opening UP, so will the shares","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c04c789a05c63e5800f91bb8e805dde","width":"1125","height":"3654"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858624688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828382140,"gmtCreate":1633844768448,"gmtModify":1633844768633,"author":{"id":"4092303713529060","authorId":"4092303713529060","name":"nonewiser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd9b04eb54f9084061713adead32828","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092303713529060","authorIdStr":"4092303713529060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>With the VTLs, will we see a bullish run?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>With the VTLs, will we see a bullish run?","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$With the VTLs, will we see a bullish run?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d075541a621595dd3e12f2f2c323a10c","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828382140","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}