EggsyWong的个人主页 - 老虎社区

EggsyWong

EggsyWong

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2021-10-26

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-10-21

$PayPal(PYPL)$drop more

2021-10-21

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2021-10-21

$ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF(BITO)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-10-19

$SNAP 20230120 80.0 CALL(SNAP)$Let’s go

2021-10-19

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-10-18

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Wow

2021-10-18

$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$🌟🌟🌟

2021-10-14

$SEA LTD(SE)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-10-10

$Digital Turbine(APPS)$road to 80

2021-10-10

$SEA LTD(SE)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-10-09

$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$Buy more

2021-10-07

$SEA LTD(SE)$great

2021-10-07

$Sea Ltd(SE)$go

2021-10-06

$Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$Huat ah

2021-10-06

$XLF 20230120 34.0 CALL(XLF)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-09-29

$SEA LTD(SE)$🎉🎉🎉

2021-09-29

$SEA LTD(SE)$🎉🎉🎉

2021-09-24

$SEA LTD(SE)$🔥🔥🔥

2021-09-23

$SEA LTD(SE)$🤩🤩🤩

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Wall Street gained ground again on Wednesday, with chipmakers and financials he","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street gained ground again on Wednesday, with chipmakers and financials helping to push the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq to record closing highs as investors look to the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium for assurances that Federal Reserve’s timeline for policy tightening remains intact.</p>\n<p>With few negative catalysts to sour the risk-on sentiment, all three major U.S. indexes ended the session modestly higher.</p>\n<p>“Positive news on vaccination approvals, and expectations that the Fed won’t shock markets at Jackson Hole, are helping to keep equity prices higher,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York, who added “it’s a very quiet market as many investors are sitting on the beach this week.”</p>\n<p>Rising U.S. Treasury yields boosted rate sensitive financials, and sectors that stand to gain most from economic revival - smallcaps, chips and transports - were outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>Days after the Food and Drug Administration gave full approval to the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, companies and institutions are moving toward either mandated inoculation, or penalization for those who forego the shot.</p>\n<p>The Pentagon and Delta Air Lines are the latest to enact such measures, with Ford Motor Co and others potentially following suit.</p>\n<p>For an interactive graphic on global vaccine deployment and new infection rates, click here.</p>\n<p>The session marked the S&amp;P 500’s 51st record high close so far this year.</p>\n<p>Analysts polled by Reuters, however, see the stock market staying rangebound for the remainder of 2021, with the S&amp;P 500 ending the year little changed as the pandemic recovery, along with corporate earnings growth, lose steam.</p>\n<p>“Following a long run, equity indexes have cooled off as the next engine of growth is unclear,” Carter at Lenox Wealth Advisors added. “Fiscal and monetary stimulus may have lost their oomph to push markets higher still.”</p>\n<p>Tame economic data, including flat new orders for core capital goods, reinforced the notion that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is unlikely to hint at a shortened timeline for policy tightening at the virtual Jackson Hole Symposium, due to get underway on Friday.</p>\n<p>“(The) expectation is that Fed won’t scare markets, and will announce only a cautious tapering,” Carter said.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 39.24 points, or 0.11%, to 35,405.5, the S&amp;P 500 gained 9.96 points, or 0.22%, to 4,496.19 and the Nasdaq Composite added 22.06 points, or 0.15%, to 15,041.86.</p>\n<p>Financials were the clear winners among 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, gaining more than 1%. Healthcare stocks suffered the largest percentage decline.</p>\n<p>Chipmakers Nvidia Corp and Applied Materials rose 1.9% and 1.2%, respectively, and along with mega-cap growth stocks Alphabet Inc, Tesla Inc and Facebook Inc, provided the biggest boost to the Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>Nordstrom Inc tumbled 17.6% after the department store operator posted a 6% decline in quarterly revenue from pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc announced a special dividend and raised its annual sales and profit forecast, sending its shares surging 13.3%.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.31-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 63 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 125 new highs and 33 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.29 billion shares, compared with the 9.00 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq notch all-time closing highs ahead of Jackson Hole</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq notch all-time closing highs ahead of Jackson Hole\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 07:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-nasdaq-notch-all-time-closing-highs-ahead-of-jackson-hole-idUSKBN2FQ0Y4><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street gained ground again on Wednesday, with chipmakers and financials helping to push the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to record closing highs as investors look to the upcoming ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-nasdaq-notch-all-time-closing-highs-ahead-of-jackson-hole-idUSKBN2FQ0Y4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","NVDA":"英伟达",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JWN":"诺德斯特龙",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-nasdaq-notch-all-time-closing-highs-ahead-of-jackson-hole-idUSKBN2FQ0Y4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197778368","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street gained ground again on Wednesday, with chipmakers and financials helping to push the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to record closing highs as investors look to the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium for assurances that Federal Reserve’s timeline for policy tightening remains intact.\nWith few negative catalysts to sour the risk-on sentiment, all three major U.S. indexes ended the session modestly higher.\n“Positive news on vaccination approvals, and expectations that the Fed won’t shock markets at Jackson Hole, are helping to keep equity prices higher,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York, who added “it’s a very quiet market as many investors are sitting on the beach this week.”\nRising U.S. Treasury yields boosted rate sensitive financials, and sectors that stand to gain most from economic revival - smallcaps, chips and transports - were outperforming the broader market.\nDays after the Food and Drug Administration gave full approval to the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, companies and institutions are moving toward either mandated inoculation, or penalization for those who forego the shot.\nThe Pentagon and Delta Air Lines are the latest to enact such measures, with Ford Motor Co and others potentially following suit.\nFor an interactive graphic on global vaccine deployment and new infection rates, click here.\nThe session marked the S&P 500’s 51st record high close so far this year.\nAnalysts polled by Reuters, however, see the stock market staying rangebound for the remainder of 2021, with the S&P 500 ending the year little changed as the pandemic recovery, along with corporate earnings growth, lose steam.\n“Following a long run, equity indexes have cooled off as the next engine of growth is unclear,” Carter at Lenox Wealth Advisors added. “Fiscal and monetary stimulus may have lost their oomph to push markets higher still.”\nTame economic data, including flat new orders for core capital goods, reinforced the notion that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is unlikely to hint at a shortened timeline for policy tightening at the virtual Jackson Hole Symposium, due to get underway on Friday.\n“(The) expectation is that Fed won’t scare markets, and will announce only a cautious tapering,” Carter said.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 39.24 points, or 0.11%, to 35,405.5, the S&P 500 gained 9.96 points, or 0.22%, to 4,496.19 and the Nasdaq Composite added 22.06 points, or 0.15%, to 15,041.86.\nFinancials were the clear winners among 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, gaining more than 1%. Healthcare stocks suffered the largest percentage decline.\nChipmakers Nvidia Corp and Applied Materials rose 1.9% and 1.2%, respectively, and along with mega-cap growth stocks Alphabet Inc, Tesla Inc and Facebook Inc, provided the biggest boost to the Nasdaq.\nNordstrom Inc tumbled 17.6% after the department store operator posted a 6% decline in quarterly revenue from pre-pandemic levels.\nDick’s Sporting Goods Inc announced a special dividend and raised its annual sales and profit forecast, sending its shares surging 13.3%.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.31-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 63 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 125 new highs and 33 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 8.29 billion shares, compared with the 9.00 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896894584,"gmtCreate":1628566708748,"gmtModify":1633746092401,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment&nbsp;","listText":"Comment&nbsp;","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896894584","repostId":"1149989510","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":90,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830992734,"gmtCreate":1628998222728,"gmtModify":1633688059431,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like","listText":"Help like","text":"Help like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830992734","repostId":"1133270372","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133270372","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628988501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133270372?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 08:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Plug Power Be In 10 Years?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133270372","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPlug Power is active in an attractive industry with huge growth tailwinds.\nIt serves low-ri","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Plug Power is active in an attractive industry with huge growth tailwinds.</li>\n <li>It serves low-risk customers and has a strong position in its industry.</li>\n <li>Shares are pricing in a lot of future growth, and investors should consider what actual per-share returns might look like before deploying money at current valuations.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fa1aea5535d99338f385c168062b218\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Fokusiert/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Plug Power, Inc. (PLUG) is active in a high-growth industry, which translates into a strong long-term business growth outlook, as long as the company can capitalize on its goals and management executes well. The company is, however, not profitable yet, and the path to meaningful net profits holds some uncertainties still. Taking a longer-term view, we can expect that Plug Power will generate positive net profits despite the fact that shares are valuing the company at a relatively high current valuation. From a risk-reward standpoint, there may be better picks available, though, despite the fact that I believe that shares will trade materially higher in 2031.</p>\n<p><b>Plug Power Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>Plug Power, Inc. has seen its share price move up and down violently over the last year:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d940297249151eddcccf6440d20ef031\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares trade 130% higher than 12 months ago, but at the same time, shares trade at just one-third of the all-time high today. In early 2021, shares exploded upwards at a time when other renewable/new energy and related stocks, including EV plays, benefited from massive investor enthusiasm. Since then, enthusiasm seems to have cooled, and shares have reverted back to the $20s. At current prices, Plug Power, Inc. is valued at $16 billion based on a diluted share count of a little less than 600 million. Analysts are pretty bullish on the stock right now, as the consensus price target of $41 implies an upside potential of around 50% from current prices throughout the next year. It should be noted, however, that the analyst consensus price target has been lowered in recent months, and may continue to be lowered going forward. Due to non-existent profits PLUG can't be valued on an earnings basis, but shares trade for around 30x this year's revenue, which is quite expensive.</p>\n<p><b>Plug Power Stock Prediction</b></p>\n<p>Plug Power, Inc. is active in an absolute growth industry, as hydrogen fuel cells will see huge demand growth in coming years as they allow for an environmentally friendly alternative to other fuels. Plug Power, as a turnkey provider in a market leadership position for this technology, is well-positioned to capitalize on this megatrend. Through a network of global partnerships, including with Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP), Plug Power is working on growing the green hydrogen industryglobally:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91a8e3b57882e429c9eace431bd1f541\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Plug Power presentation</span></p>\n<p>Plug Power's green hydrogen can be used for powering trucks, busses, and other vehicles, while the company is also providing environmentally friendly alternatives to diesel generators in the megawatt scale range that can be used by utilities, for example. The company is, on top of that, also working on other ventures that are not ready to be commercialized yet, such as powering aircraft with hydrogen. Plug Power will have at least 5 hydrogen plants running in the US in 2024, i.e. three years from now, with more projects being in the pipeline both in the US and in overseas markets such as Europe.</p>\n<p>80% of Plug Power's customers are what the company calls blue chip customers, which includes companies such as Amazon (AMZN). These companies are oftentimes highly inclined to improve their CO2 footprint in order to receive better ESG ratings, and at the same time, these are low-risk customers as their strong balance sheets and cash flows mean that the risk of liquidity or solvency issues is negligible. Overall, Plug Power thus works with attractive counterparts, and their financial firepower means that Plug Power is not forced to sell its products at bargain prices, which is why the company has been able to generate relatively attractive product gross margins in the 30s in recent quarters.</p>\n<p>Due to the still relatively small scale of the company, Plug Power is not profitable on a net basis or operating basis, however. The company's operating expenses, relative to the revenues that Plug Power generates, are still too high for now. This should, however, change over time, as operating leverage and improving product margins should allow Plug Power to grow gross profits relative to operating expenses, which will result in improving profitability. Analysts are currently predicting positive net profits for fiscal 2024, or three years from now. It would, of course, be better if Plug Power had hit that point already, but for long-term oriented investors, two more years of negative profits will not be a disaster.</p>\n<p>When investing in a company such as Plug Power, the very near term is not too relevant, but what matters more is the longer-term potential of the company to grow its revenue and profits. Through the combination of ESG tailwinds, massive market growth, and its market leadership position, Plug Power seems to be well-positioned to grow its revenue for many years to come:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d6f0576ba51f219d85b18d90ccaf6f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Analysts are currently predicting that revenues will grow at 50%+ a year over the next three years, while growth is forecasted to remain almost 30% through at least 2030, which equates to a highly attractive long-term growth outlook. There are, of course, no guarantees that this will indeed happen, as some risks to the business model remain. The company is not profitable yet, thus funding of future growth projects could theoretically become a problem. On top of that, it is possible that other players with deep pockets will try to disrupt the market or gain market share. The risk of that is, I believe, due to Plug Power's leadership position, not very large. But should the market become more competitive, non-profitable Plug Power might run into problems if it were to run into market share fights that could pressure margins.</p>\n<p>Some execution risks do thus remain for sure, and investors shouldn't see the above growth projections as crystal-clear forecasts that are infallible. Instead, however, the above predictions showcase what a base-case scenario could look like, and actual results might be better or worse than that. Overall, it can be said that the longer-term outlook for Plug Power's business is excellent, as the company should be able to grow at an attractive pace for many years to come, as investors, companies, and consumers put more and more emphasis on a smaller carbon footprint. Obvious growth prospects for an industry do not, however, automatically translate into share price gains. Those that bought shares of Cisco (CSCO) at the highs during the dot.com bubble, for example, are still in the red today, 22 years later, despite the massive growth the business has experienced in that time frame. Valuations should be considered as well, and Plug Power is far from cheap today.</p>\n<p><b>Plug Power Stock Forecast For 2030</b></p>\n<p>Today, Plug Power is trading for around 32x this year's expected revenue. If that was an earnings multiple, the stock still wouldn't be especially cheap, relative to how the average company is valued. At more than 30x sales, shares do seem very expensive. When we consider PLUG's growth outlook over the coming decade, that is relativized to some degree, but I believe that shares are still trading above fair value.</p>\n<p>If the analyst consensus estimate for 2030's revenues is correct, at $10.5 billion, then shares are trading at around 1.5x 2030's revenue right now. Many industrial names are trading for 1x to 2x this year's revenue right now, which indicates how much future growth is priced into PLUG's stock already. One can, of course, argue that PLUG's growth outlook in 2030 is likely still better than that of the average company today, as it seems very much possible for PLUG to grow at a double-digit rate well beyond 2030. But still, shares upside for PLUG's shares is not too great over the coming decade, I believe.</p>\n<p>If PLUG were to trade at a still relatively steep 3.5x revenue in 2030, this gets us to a market cap estimate of around $37billion, or roughly 2.3x as much as today. PLUG's share count will, however, not stay unchanged over the next decade, which is why returns on a per-share basis will be lower than that. If we assume that the share count climbs by just 2% a year, 2030's share count will stand at a little above 700 million. At a $37 billion market capitalization, each individual stock would then trade at around $53, which would mean a return of ~100% from today. On an annual basis, this would equate to returns of 8%. 8% annual returns are far from bad, but many things have to go right for that to happen -- PLUG has to execute well, deliver on growth projects, and avoid massive share issuance. When we also consider that this estimate requires a still rather high 3.5x sales multiple in 2030, then those returns are not great enough to warrant a buy rating, I believe. It would be different of 8% returns could come from a very de-risked blue chip with very low uncertainties, but that is not the case here. For reference, if PLUG executes well and hits growth estimates, but its shares trade for 2.5x sales in 2030, then the share price, assuming 2% annual dilution, would be $37, which would equate to just 4% annual returns. PLUG's share count has risen by around 50% over the last year alone, and even though I don't expect similar dilution in coming years, it is at least possible for PLUG's share count to rise by significantly more than 2% a year, which would pressure returns further.</p>\n<p>Overall, I do not believe that investors will lose money with PLUG over the next decade or more. But I also do not believe that investors will see very attractive returns in that time frame, despite the fact that Plug Power's underlying business growth outlook is highly attractive. Shares are pricing in a lot of future growth already, and I believe that returns in the sub-10% range can also be generated through lower-risk investments, with less volatile stocks.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion: Where Could Plug Power Be In 10 Years?</b></p>\n<p>One can't know that today, but we can make educated guesses. According to may scenarios laid out above, PLUG could trade at $37-$55 in 2030, factoring in another year of growth, we could end up at $40-$60 in 2031, I believe -- if many things go right. In case there are major hiccups with growth projects, or if the share count rises more than expected, these estimates may be too high.</p>\n<p>Overall, I believe that there is considerable long-term upside potential for PLUG's shares, but expected returns in the mid-to-high-single digits range are not gigantic, and the same returns can be generated through more mature, less volatile investments with fewer uncertainties and less execution risk. I thus do think that PLUG is not a buy right here, even though I like the company's growth prospects and its position in an attractive industry.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Plug Power Be In 10 Years?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Plug Power Be In 10 Years?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-15 08:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449266-plug-power-stock-in-10-years><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPlug Power is active in an attractive industry with huge growth tailwinds.\nIt serves low-risk customers and has a strong position in its industry.\nShares are pricing in a lot of future growth...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449266-plug-power-stock-in-10-years\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449266-plug-power-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133270372","content_text":"Summary\n\nPlug Power is active in an attractive industry with huge growth tailwinds.\nIt serves low-risk customers and has a strong position in its industry.\nShares are pricing in a lot of future growth, and investors should consider what actual per-share returns might look like before deploying money at current valuations.\n\nFokusiert/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nPlug Power, Inc. (PLUG) is active in a high-growth industry, which translates into a strong long-term business growth outlook, as long as the company can capitalize on its goals and management executes well. The company is, however, not profitable yet, and the path to meaningful net profits holds some uncertainties still. Taking a longer-term view, we can expect that Plug Power will generate positive net profits despite the fact that shares are valuing the company at a relatively high current valuation. From a risk-reward standpoint, there may be better picks available, though, despite the fact that I believe that shares will trade materially higher in 2031.\nPlug Power Stock Price\nPlug Power, Inc. has seen its share price move up and down violently over the last year:\nData by YCharts\nShares trade 130% higher than 12 months ago, but at the same time, shares trade at just one-third of the all-time high today. In early 2021, shares exploded upwards at a time when other renewable/new energy and related stocks, including EV plays, benefited from massive investor enthusiasm. Since then, enthusiasm seems to have cooled, and shares have reverted back to the $20s. At current prices, Plug Power, Inc. is valued at $16 billion based on a diluted share count of a little less than 600 million. Analysts are pretty bullish on the stock right now, as the consensus price target of $41 implies an upside potential of around 50% from current prices throughout the next year. It should be noted, however, that the analyst consensus price target has been lowered in recent months, and may continue to be lowered going forward. Due to non-existent profits PLUG can't be valued on an earnings basis, but shares trade for around 30x this year's revenue, which is quite expensive.\nPlug Power Stock Prediction\nPlug Power, Inc. is active in an absolute growth industry, as hydrogen fuel cells will see huge demand growth in coming years as they allow for an environmentally friendly alternative to other fuels. Plug Power, as a turnkey provider in a market leadership position for this technology, is well-positioned to capitalize on this megatrend. Through a network of global partnerships, including with Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP), Plug Power is working on growing the green hydrogen industryglobally:\nSource: Plug Power presentation\nPlug Power's green hydrogen can be used for powering trucks, busses, and other vehicles, while the company is also providing environmentally friendly alternatives to diesel generators in the megawatt scale range that can be used by utilities, for example. The company is, on top of that, also working on other ventures that are not ready to be commercialized yet, such as powering aircraft with hydrogen. Plug Power will have at least 5 hydrogen plants running in the US in 2024, i.e. three years from now, with more projects being in the pipeline both in the US and in overseas markets such as Europe.\n80% of Plug Power's customers are what the company calls blue chip customers, which includes companies such as Amazon (AMZN). These companies are oftentimes highly inclined to improve their CO2 footprint in order to receive better ESG ratings, and at the same time, these are low-risk customers as their strong balance sheets and cash flows mean that the risk of liquidity or solvency issues is negligible. Overall, Plug Power thus works with attractive counterparts, and their financial firepower means that Plug Power is not forced to sell its products at bargain prices, which is why the company has been able to generate relatively attractive product gross margins in the 30s in recent quarters.\nDue to the still relatively small scale of the company, Plug Power is not profitable on a net basis or operating basis, however. The company's operating expenses, relative to the revenues that Plug Power generates, are still too high for now. This should, however, change over time, as operating leverage and improving product margins should allow Plug Power to grow gross profits relative to operating expenses, which will result in improving profitability. Analysts are currently predicting positive net profits for fiscal 2024, or three years from now. It would, of course, be better if Plug Power had hit that point already, but for long-term oriented investors, two more years of negative profits will not be a disaster.\nWhen investing in a company such as Plug Power, the very near term is not too relevant, but what matters more is the longer-term potential of the company to grow its revenue and profits. Through the combination of ESG tailwinds, massive market growth, and its market leadership position, Plug Power seems to be well-positioned to grow its revenue for many years to come:\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAnalysts are currently predicting that revenues will grow at 50%+ a year over the next three years, while growth is forecasted to remain almost 30% through at least 2030, which equates to a highly attractive long-term growth outlook. There are, of course, no guarantees that this will indeed happen, as some risks to the business model remain. The company is not profitable yet, thus funding of future growth projects could theoretically become a problem. On top of that, it is possible that other players with deep pockets will try to disrupt the market or gain market share. The risk of that is, I believe, due to Plug Power's leadership position, not very large. But should the market become more competitive, non-profitable Plug Power might run into problems if it were to run into market share fights that could pressure margins.\nSome execution risks do thus remain for sure, and investors shouldn't see the above growth projections as crystal-clear forecasts that are infallible. Instead, however, the above predictions showcase what a base-case scenario could look like, and actual results might be better or worse than that. Overall, it can be said that the longer-term outlook for Plug Power's business is excellent, as the company should be able to grow at an attractive pace for many years to come, as investors, companies, and consumers put more and more emphasis on a smaller carbon footprint. Obvious growth prospects for an industry do not, however, automatically translate into share price gains. Those that bought shares of Cisco (CSCO) at the highs during the dot.com bubble, for example, are still in the red today, 22 years later, despite the massive growth the business has experienced in that time frame. Valuations should be considered as well, and Plug Power is far from cheap today.\nPlug Power Stock Forecast For 2030\nToday, Plug Power is trading for around 32x this year's expected revenue. If that was an earnings multiple, the stock still wouldn't be especially cheap, relative to how the average company is valued. At more than 30x sales, shares do seem very expensive. When we consider PLUG's growth outlook over the coming decade, that is relativized to some degree, but I believe that shares are still trading above fair value.\nIf the analyst consensus estimate for 2030's revenues is correct, at $10.5 billion, then shares are trading at around 1.5x 2030's revenue right now. Many industrial names are trading for 1x to 2x this year's revenue right now, which indicates how much future growth is priced into PLUG's stock already. One can, of course, argue that PLUG's growth outlook in 2030 is likely still better than that of the average company today, as it seems very much possible for PLUG to grow at a double-digit rate well beyond 2030. But still, shares upside for PLUG's shares is not too great over the coming decade, I believe.\nIf PLUG were to trade at a still relatively steep 3.5x revenue in 2030, this gets us to a market cap estimate of around $37billion, or roughly 2.3x as much as today. PLUG's share count will, however, not stay unchanged over the next decade, which is why returns on a per-share basis will be lower than that. If we assume that the share count climbs by just 2% a year, 2030's share count will stand at a little above 700 million. At a $37 billion market capitalization, each individual stock would then trade at around $53, which would mean a return of ~100% from today. On an annual basis, this would equate to returns of 8%. 8% annual returns are far from bad, but many things have to go right for that to happen -- PLUG has to execute well, deliver on growth projects, and avoid massive share issuance. When we also consider that this estimate requires a still rather high 3.5x sales multiple in 2030, then those returns are not great enough to warrant a buy rating, I believe. It would be different of 8% returns could come from a very de-risked blue chip with very low uncertainties, but that is not the case here. For reference, if PLUG executes well and hits growth estimates, but its shares trade for 2.5x sales in 2030, then the share price, assuming 2% annual dilution, would be $37, which would equate to just 4% annual returns. PLUG's share count has risen by around 50% over the last year alone, and even though I don't expect similar dilution in coming years, it is at least possible for PLUG's share count to rise by significantly more than 2% a year, which would pressure returns further.\nOverall, I do not believe that investors will lose money with PLUG over the next decade or more. But I also do not believe that investors will see very attractive returns in that time frame, despite the fact that Plug Power's underlying business growth outlook is highly attractive. Shares are pricing in a lot of future growth already, and I believe that returns in the sub-10% range can also be generated through lower-risk investments, with less volatile stocks.\nConclusion: Where Could Plug Power Be In 10 Years?\nOne can't know that today, but we can make educated guesses. According to may scenarios laid out above, PLUG could trade at $37-$55 in 2030, factoring in another year of growth, we could end up at $40-$60 in 2031, I believe -- if many things go right. In case there are major hiccups with growth projects, or if the share count rises more than expected, these estimates may be too high.\nOverall, I believe that there is considerable long-term upside potential for PLUG's shares, but expected returns in the mid-to-high-single digits range are not gigantic, and the same returns can be generated through more mature, less volatile investments with fewer uncertainties and less execution risk. I thus do think that PLUG is not a buy right here, even though I like the company's growth prospects and its position in an attractive industry.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":853909812,"gmtCreate":1634747459421,"gmtModify":1634747459771,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853909812","repostId":"2176516480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2176516480","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1634741060,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176516480?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Stocks That Can Turn $500 Into $7,500 (Or More)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176516480","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There are few better roads to building wealth over your lifetime than investing in the stock market.","content":"<p>There are few better roads to building wealth over your lifetime than investing in the stock market. The long-term average return for the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has been about 11% per year, and that's through depressions and recessions, war and civil unrest.</p>\n<p>The one certainty seems to be that no matter how bad things get, things always get better and actually improve. The beauty of stock investing is that you don't actually need to have a lot of money to get started and turn a small grubstake into a retirement nest egg.</p>\n<p>You could park $500 in the stock index for 25 years and not add another dollar and have it turn into $7,500 at those market averages. But the following two stocks should help your small investing acorn turn into a mighty oak portfolio, and likely well before the next decade begins.</p>\n<h2>Fiverr</h2>\n<p>The gig economy is here to stay, and <b>Fiverr</b> (NYSE:FVRR) has become a key driver of its acceptance as an alternative income generating channel. The freelancing platform has moved well beyond its early days when each gig was priced at just $5, and that has helped it grow into an important resource for creatives and those who need their services. The pandemic actually made it essential.</p>\n<p>Fiverr's technology platform connects freelancers with individuals and companies in need of their services. Instead of going through an agency, the buyer finds them on Fiverr through posted gigs, or packages with set prices for their work, including experience and how many jobs they may already have in the queue.</p>\n<p>Revenue surged 77% in 2020 to $189.5 million, and while the market has treated the stock as if no one will ever need to buy a gig again as the economy reopens (shares are down 2% year to date compared to a 19% gain for the S&amp;P 500), management forecasts revenue will still rise 50% this year.</p>\n<p>Despite Fiverr's decline, shares remain expensive, trading at 27 times sales, or some nine times what the index trades at. Yet there are some good reasons to believe the freelance platform can readily grow into its valuation.</p>\n<p>Although the Israeli company estimates the total freelance market to be $750 billion annually and its addressable portion in the U.S. to be over $100 billion, Fiverr looks forward to expanding its business well beyond the English-speaking world, which currently represents around 70% of its revenue. International expansion will be a key focus for the future.</p>\n<p>Wall Street forecasts that Fiverr's adjusted earnings of $0.12 per share last year can grow to $1.57 per share by 2023, or a compounded growth rate of 135% annually. With share prices tending to follow earnings, the gig shop should see its stock follow suit and its current, seemingly overheated valuation looking like a very cool opportunity.</p>\n<h2>Genuine Parts</h2>\n<p>The computer chip shortage continues to plague the auto industry, and that's good news for <b>Genuine Parts</b> (NYSE:GPC), the owner of the NAPA Auto Parts chain of aftermarket auto parts stores. With auto sales forecast to fall 7% to 15.5 million vehicles this year because manufacturers can't get the chips needed to ship the cars to dealers, the market for used autos looks brighter and for aftermarket parts better still.</p>\n<p>For example, <b>Ford</b> has just 42 days of new inventory supply while <b>Nissan</b> has just 27, and <b>Honda</b> and <b>Toyota</b> both have just 17 days. With few cars available to buy, prices rising on those that are on dealer lots, and the crunch causing used car prices to soar, consumers are going to be looking to maintain their existing jalopies for a lot longer.</p>\n<p>You can see it playing out with Genuine Parts results with first half net sales up 17% from last year, but the effect is causing sales to accelerate as they were 25% higher in the second quarter. They were also 12% higher than they were for the same quarter pre-pandemic.</p>\n<p>Wall Street sees the auto parts dealer steadily growing sales at 5% a year for the next five years, which doesn't sound like it's setting the world on fire, but add in its dividend payment and investors have a sure and steady winner on their hands.</p>\n<p>Genuine Parts has paid dividends for nearly 100 years and has increased the payout annually for 65 straight years, making it a member of an elite group of stocks known as Dividend Kings. The dividend currently yields 2.6% annually, and with the retailer paying out less than 30% of its free cash flow in dividends, it's a secure line of income that investors can count on for years to come.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Stocks That Can Turn $500 Into $7,500 (Or More)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Stocks That Can Turn $500 Into $7,500 (Or More)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-20 22:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/20/2-stocks-that-can-turn-500-into-7500-or-more/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There are few better roads to building wealth over your lifetime than investing in the stock market. The long-term average return for the S&P 500 has been about 11% per year, and that's through ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/20/2-stocks-that-can-turn-500-into-7500-or-more/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GPC":"Genuine Parts Co","FVRR":"Fiverr International Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/20/2-stocks-that-can-turn-500-into-7500-or-more/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176516480","content_text":"There are few better roads to building wealth over your lifetime than investing in the stock market. The long-term average return for the S&P 500 has been about 11% per year, and that's through depressions and recessions, war and civil unrest.\nThe one certainty seems to be that no matter how bad things get, things always get better and actually improve. The beauty of stock investing is that you don't actually need to have a lot of money to get started and turn a small grubstake into a retirement nest egg.\nYou could park $500 in the stock index for 25 years and not add another dollar and have it turn into $7,500 at those market averages. But the following two stocks should help your small investing acorn turn into a mighty oak portfolio, and likely well before the next decade begins.\nFiverr\nThe gig economy is here to stay, and Fiverr (NYSE:FVRR) has become a key driver of its acceptance as an alternative income generating channel. The freelancing platform has moved well beyond its early days when each gig was priced at just $5, and that has helped it grow into an important resource for creatives and those who need their services. The pandemic actually made it essential.\nFiverr's technology platform connects freelancers with individuals and companies in need of their services. Instead of going through an agency, the buyer finds them on Fiverr through posted gigs, or packages with set prices for their work, including experience and how many jobs they may already have in the queue.\nRevenue surged 77% in 2020 to $189.5 million, and while the market has treated the stock as if no one will ever need to buy a gig again as the economy reopens (shares are down 2% year to date compared to a 19% gain for the S&P 500), management forecasts revenue will still rise 50% this year.\nDespite Fiverr's decline, shares remain expensive, trading at 27 times sales, or some nine times what the index trades at. Yet there are some good reasons to believe the freelance platform can readily grow into its valuation.\nAlthough the Israeli company estimates the total freelance market to be $750 billion annually and its addressable portion in the U.S. to be over $100 billion, Fiverr looks forward to expanding its business well beyond the English-speaking world, which currently represents around 70% of its revenue. International expansion will be a key focus for the future.\nWall Street forecasts that Fiverr's adjusted earnings of $0.12 per share last year can grow to $1.57 per share by 2023, or a compounded growth rate of 135% annually. With share prices tending to follow earnings, the gig shop should see its stock follow suit and its current, seemingly overheated valuation looking like a very cool opportunity.\nGenuine Parts\nThe computer chip shortage continues to plague the auto industry, and that's good news for Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC), the owner of the NAPA Auto Parts chain of aftermarket auto parts stores. With auto sales forecast to fall 7% to 15.5 million vehicles this year because manufacturers can't get the chips needed to ship the cars to dealers, the market for used autos looks brighter and for aftermarket parts better still.\nFor example, Ford has just 42 days of new inventory supply while Nissan has just 27, and Honda and Toyota both have just 17 days. With few cars available to buy, prices rising on those that are on dealer lots, and the crunch causing used car prices to soar, consumers are going to be looking to maintain their existing jalopies for a lot longer.\nYou can see it playing out with Genuine Parts results with first half net sales up 17% from last year, but the effect is causing sales to accelerate as they were 25% higher in the second quarter. They were also 12% higher than they were for the same quarter pre-pandemic.\nWall Street sees the auto parts dealer steadily growing sales at 5% a year for the next five years, which doesn't sound like it's setting the world on fire, but add in its dividend payment and investors have a sure and steady winner on their hands.\nGenuine Parts has paid dividends for nearly 100 years and has increased the payout annually for 65 straight years, making it a member of an elite group of stocks known as Dividend Kings. The dividend currently yields 2.6% annually, and with the retailer paying out less than 30% of its free cash flow in dividends, it's a secure line of income that investors can count on for years to come.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812186532,"gmtCreate":1630564026526,"gmtModify":1631891339388,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812186532","repostId":"2164481914","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2164481914","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1630529217,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2164481914?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-02 04:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech stocks send Nasdaq to fresh record close, boost S&P","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2164481914","media":"Reuters","summary":"Gains for tech stocks, utilities and real estate.\nAugust private jobs growth misses expectations.\nIn","content":"<ul>\n <li>Gains for tech stocks, utilities and real estate.</li>\n <li>August private jobs growth misses expectations.</li>\n <li>Indexes: Dow falls 0.14%, S&amp;P up 0.03%, Nasdaq rises 0.33%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sept 1 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq closed Wednesday at a record high, and the S&amp;P 500 rose but just missed a fresh peak, as September kicked off with renewed buying of technology stocks and private payrolls data, which supported the case for dovish monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Technology stocks , which tend to benefit from a low-rate environment, finished higher. Apple Inc rose 0.4% to its second-highest close, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc , Amazon.com Inc and Google-owner Alphabet Inc all advanced between 0.2% and 0.7%.</p>\n<p>Utilities and real estate - sectors considered as bond-proxies or defensive - were the top performers.</p>\n<p>\"Given there's going to be some choppiness in the economic recovery because of COVID, people will look for where they can find the best future growth potential,\" said Chris Graff, co-chief investment officer at RMB Capital.</p>\n<p>Wall Street's main indexes have hit record highs recently, with the benchmark S&amp;P 500 notching seven straight monthly gains as investors shrugged off risks around a rise in new coronavirus infections and hoped for the Fed to remain dovish in its policy stance.</p>\n<p>Each new data release though is viewed by investors through the prism of whether it could push the Fed to taper sooner rather than later.</p>\n<p>A report by ADP, published ahead of the U.S. government's more comprehensive employment report on Friday, showed private employers hired far fewer workers than expected in August.</p>\n<p>Another set of data on Wednesday showed U.S. manufacturing activity unexpectedly picked up in August amid strong order growth, but a measure of factory employment dropped to a nine-month low, likely as workers remained scarce.</p>\n<p>\"We've got the jobs report on Friday, but what's become more important is the job openings report next week and the CPI release after that, so a lot about employment and inflation in the next couple of weeks which will reset people's expectations for tapering and interest rates,\" Graff added.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 48.2 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 and the Nasdaq Composite added 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38.</p>\n<p>Falling 1.5% on the day, and down for the third straight session, was the energy index.</p>\n<p>Crude prices were flat after OPEC and its allies agreed to stick to their existing policy of gradual output increases. However, the full extent of damage to U.S. energy infrastructure from Hurricane Ida is still being established&nbsp;More than 80% of oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico remains offline, while analysts have warned that restarting Louisiana refineries shut by the storm could take weeks and cost operators tens of millions of dollars in lost revenue.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PBF\">PBF Energy</a> Inc , whose 190,000 barrel-per-day Chalmette, Louisiana, refinery lost power following the storm, slumped 6.8% on Wednesday, taking its losses this week to 11.2%.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.81 billion shares, compared with the 8.99 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 55 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 131 new highs and 17 new lows.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Aditya Soni and Lisa Shumaker)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech stocks send Nasdaq to fresh record close, boost S&P</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech stocks send Nasdaq to fresh record close, boost S&P\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-02 04:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Gains for tech stocks, utilities and real estate.</li>\n <li>August private jobs growth misses expectations.</li>\n <li>Indexes: Dow falls 0.14%, S&amp;P up 0.03%, Nasdaq rises 0.33%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sept 1 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq closed Wednesday at a record high, and the S&amp;P 500 rose but just missed a fresh peak, as September kicked off with renewed buying of technology stocks and private payrolls data, which supported the case for dovish monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Technology stocks , which tend to benefit from a low-rate environment, finished higher. Apple Inc rose 0.4% to its second-highest close, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc , Amazon.com Inc and Google-owner Alphabet Inc all advanced between 0.2% and 0.7%.</p>\n<p>Utilities and real estate - sectors considered as bond-proxies or defensive - were the top performers.</p>\n<p>\"Given there's going to be some choppiness in the economic recovery because of COVID, people will look for where they can find the best future growth potential,\" said Chris Graff, co-chief investment officer at RMB Capital.</p>\n<p>Wall Street's main indexes have hit record highs recently, with the benchmark S&amp;P 500 notching seven straight monthly gains as investors shrugged off risks around a rise in new coronavirus infections and hoped for the Fed to remain dovish in its policy stance.</p>\n<p>Each new data release though is viewed by investors through the prism of whether it could push the Fed to taper sooner rather than later.</p>\n<p>A report by ADP, published ahead of the U.S. government's more comprehensive employment report on Friday, showed private employers hired far fewer workers than expected in August.</p>\n<p>Another set of data on Wednesday showed U.S. manufacturing activity unexpectedly picked up in August amid strong order growth, but a measure of factory employment dropped to a nine-month low, likely as workers remained scarce.</p>\n<p>\"We've got the jobs report on Friday, but what's become more important is the job openings report next week and the CPI release after that, so a lot about employment and inflation in the next couple of weeks which will reset people's expectations for tapering and interest rates,\" Graff added.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 48.2 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 and the Nasdaq Composite added 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38.</p>\n<p>Falling 1.5% on the day, and down for the third straight session, was the energy index.</p>\n<p>Crude prices were flat after OPEC and its allies agreed to stick to their existing policy of gradual output increases. However, the full extent of damage to U.S. energy infrastructure from Hurricane Ida is still being established&nbsp;More than 80% of oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico remains offline, while analysts have warned that restarting Louisiana refineries shut by the storm could take weeks and cost operators tens of millions of dollars in lost revenue.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PBF\">PBF Energy</a> Inc , whose 190,000 barrel-per-day Chalmette, Louisiana, refinery lost power following the storm, slumped 6.8% on Wednesday, taking its losses this week to 11.2%.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.81 billion shares, compared with the 8.99 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 55 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 131 new highs and 17 new lows.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Aditya Soni and Lisa Shumaker)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2164481914","content_text":"Gains for tech stocks, utilities and real estate.\nAugust private jobs growth misses expectations.\nIndexes: Dow falls 0.14%, S&P up 0.03%, Nasdaq rises 0.33%.\n\nSept 1 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq closed Wednesday at a record high, and the S&P 500 rose but just missed a fresh peak, as September kicked off with renewed buying of technology stocks and private payrolls data, which supported the case for dovish monetary policy.\nTechnology stocks , which tend to benefit from a low-rate environment, finished higher. Apple Inc rose 0.4% to its second-highest close, and Facebook Inc , Amazon.com Inc and Google-owner Alphabet Inc all advanced between 0.2% and 0.7%.\nUtilities and real estate - sectors considered as bond-proxies or defensive - were the top performers.\n\"Given there's going to be some choppiness in the economic recovery because of COVID, people will look for where they can find the best future growth potential,\" said Chris Graff, co-chief investment officer at RMB Capital.\nWall Street's main indexes have hit record highs recently, with the benchmark S&P 500 notching seven straight monthly gains as investors shrugged off risks around a rise in new coronavirus infections and hoped for the Fed to remain dovish in its policy stance.\nEach new data release though is viewed by investors through the prism of whether it could push the Fed to taper sooner rather than later.\nA report by ADP, published ahead of the U.S. government's more comprehensive employment report on Friday, showed private employers hired far fewer workers than expected in August.\nAnother set of data on Wednesday showed U.S. manufacturing activity unexpectedly picked up in August amid strong order growth, but a measure of factory employment dropped to a nine-month low, likely as workers remained scarce.\n\"We've got the jobs report on Friday, but what's become more important is the job openings report next week and the CPI release after that, so a lot about employment and inflation in the next couple of weeks which will reset people's expectations for tapering and interest rates,\" Graff added.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 48.2 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53, the S&P 500 gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 and the Nasdaq Composite added 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38.\nFalling 1.5% on the day, and down for the third straight session, was the energy index.\nCrude prices were flat after OPEC and its allies agreed to stick to their existing policy of gradual output increases. However, the full extent of damage to U.S. energy infrastructure from Hurricane Ida is still being established More than 80% of oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico remains offline, while analysts have warned that restarting Louisiana refineries shut by the storm could take weeks and cost operators tens of millions of dollars in lost revenue.\nPBF Energy Inc , whose 190,000 barrel-per-day Chalmette, Louisiana, refinery lost power following the storm, slumped 6.8% on Wednesday, taking its losses this week to 11.2%.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.81 billion shares, compared with the 8.99 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nThe S&P 500 posted 55 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 131 new highs and 17 new lows.\n(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Aditya Soni and Lisa Shumaker)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890477607,"gmtCreate":1628131207709,"gmtModify":1631884833420,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>🚀","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$🚀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce63e21c4f8882d55be0ea06c48b6359","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890477607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817601149,"gmtCreate":1630937073381,"gmtModify":1631891339377,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817601149","repostId":"1183504703","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183504703","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630932846,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183504703?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 20:54","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: Commodities Find Themselves At The Center Of 2021's Most Important Stories","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183504703","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Commodities Tie the Year Together\n2021 has been a harder year for many investors than the headline i","content":"<p><u><b>Commodities Tie the Year Together</b></u></p>\n<p><b>2021 has been a harder year for many investors than the headline indices imply</b>. It’s been a year where ‘ESG’ and ‘Quant’ remain key structural trends in the investment community. And it’s been a year that has seen an almost constant, running debate over the outlook for growth and inflation.&nbsp;Commodities, it just so happens, find themselves at the center of all these stories.</p>\n<p>Let’s start with the challenging year.&nbsp;<b>The casual observer could be forgiven for thinking that 2021 has been a walk in the park, with global equities returning 16% through September 1, with historically low volatility.</b></p>\n<p><b>But under the surface, it’s been hard</b>. It’s been hard in a ‘good’ market like US equities, where major rotations have led to sharp swings in relative performance (US small caps rose +20% through mid-March, and are lower since). And it’s been hard in global equities, where MSCI China has fallen 26% since February 14, while MSCI Europe is up 14% over the same period. Many active managers are lagging their benchmarks.</p>\n<p>Yet quantitatively, it may be an even harder year in rates and FX. We run a&nbsp;Cross-Asset Systematic Trading tool, or CAST, which aims to identify what factors matter for cross-asset performance, and systematically invest based on how those factors look at a given moment. CAST asks “if I do what has historically worked in the market, given current information, what should I do?”.</p>\n<p>Year-to-date, following these historical patterns has led to poorer outcomes in interest rates and FX compared with all other asset classes.&nbsp;Where have historical patterns done better? Commodities. A lot better.</p>\n<p>Investing systematically based on attractive factors (carry, momentum, valuation, supportive fundamentals) has been working better in commodities than any other asset class (credit is second). Why? We have a few theories:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Natural inefficiencies in the commodity market create risk premium.</p></li>\n <li><p>The tendency of commodities to move in longer cycles means that momentum is more effective.</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Central banks aren’t intervening in these markets (and investor flows have been more muted), allowing more ‘normal’ dynamics to play out.</b></p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Given the prominence of quant and systematic investing as themes in investment management, this is pretty important. To the extent one can, go where these types of strategies are working.</p>\n<p>Commodities also tie into a second big investment theme, ESG.&nbsp;The underlying reality and seriousness of climate change remains constant, and indeed, looks even more pressing following the&nbsp;release from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Yet while ESG-linked equities have seen pronounced swings in 2021, commodity markets have delivered a far more consistent message.</p>\n<p>The price for&nbsp;EU Carbon emissions, for example (MO1 Comdty), has risen 88% year-to-date. My colleague Robert Pulleyn has been bullish on the belief that a higher price on emissions is essential to meet the EU’s climate goals. Near term, he sees the risk of a decline given recent gains, before prices resume their upward trend toward €102/ton by 2027 (see&nbsp;Utilities: Carbon: Softness Risk Ahead? Before Upwards March Resumes, August 9, 2021).</p>\n<p>Wait, you might say. If commodity markets are so focused on the realities of climate change, why are oil prices higher this year, not lower? Again, we think the market is actually pretty rational. Shareholder pressure and the threat of future EV adoption is causing oil producers to dramatically reduce their capex plans, a development that my colleague Martijn Rats believes will help limit supply and keep prices elevated (see&nbsp;Podcast | Thoughts on the Market: The Curious Case of Norway, EVs and Oil, September 2, 2021).</p>\n<p>ESG and systematic investing are major industry themes. 2021 being harder than the headline indices suggest is something we’re all aware of. But the biggest story of the year is&nbsp;the debate around growth and inflation. What, it seems fair to say, do commodities have to say about that?</p>\n<p>While commodity prices are often synonymous with inflation, our forecasts suggest they’ll now play a smaller role. The biggest downside risk to prices is likely to come from core goods (where demand has been well-above trend), while the biggest risk to the upside is likely to come from rental growth (which is a large share of the basket, and strong). Nonetheless,<b>recent stabilization in commodity prices should reinforce the transitory nature of headline inflation, which our economists expect to moderate into mid-2022</b>.</p>\n<p>On the growth debate, however, commodities are front and center.<b>Our economists see a 3Q slowdown in both the&nbsp;US&nbsp;and&nbsp;China</b>(but not Europe, which is a story for another time). Copper prices and the CRB RIND index, two key harbingers of cyclical strength, remain high, consistent with a view that this economic weakness will be temporary.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/addcaef8407fdc8cf9f4efb87956bf0d\" tg-width=\"1258\" tg-height=\"650\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>We’ll be watching the resilience of these indicators as August data, reported in September, may look poor, and test the market's resolve.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: Commodities Find Themselves At The Center Of 2021's Most Important Stories</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: Commodities Find Themselves At The Center Of 2021's Most Important Stories\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 20:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-commodities-find-themselves-center-all-2021s-most-important-stories><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Commodities Tie the Year Together\n2021 has been a harder year for many investors than the headline indices imply. It’s been a year where ‘ESG’ and ‘Quant’ remain key structural trends in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-commodities-find-themselves-center-all-2021s-most-important-stories\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-commodities-find-themselves-center-all-2021s-most-important-stories","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183504703","content_text":"Commodities Tie the Year Together\n2021 has been a harder year for many investors than the headline indices imply. It’s been a year where ‘ESG’ and ‘Quant’ remain key structural trends in the investment community. And it’s been a year that has seen an almost constant, running debate over the outlook for growth and inflation. Commodities, it just so happens, find themselves at the center of all these stories.\nLet’s start with the challenging year. The casual observer could be forgiven for thinking that 2021 has been a walk in the park, with global equities returning 16% through September 1, with historically low volatility.\nBut under the surface, it’s been hard. It’s been hard in a ‘good’ market like US equities, where major rotations have led to sharp swings in relative performance (US small caps rose +20% through mid-March, and are lower since). And it’s been hard in global equities, where MSCI China has fallen 26% since February 14, while MSCI Europe is up 14% over the same period. Many active managers are lagging their benchmarks.\nYet quantitatively, it may be an even harder year in rates and FX. We run a Cross-Asset Systematic Trading tool, or CAST, which aims to identify what factors matter for cross-asset performance, and systematically invest based on how those factors look at a given moment. CAST asks “if I do what has historically worked in the market, given current information, what should I do?”.\nYear-to-date, following these historical patterns has led to poorer outcomes in interest rates and FX compared with all other asset classes. Where have historical patterns done better? Commodities. A lot better.\nInvesting systematically based on attractive factors (carry, momentum, valuation, supportive fundamentals) has been working better in commodities than any other asset class (credit is second). Why? We have a few theories:\n\nNatural inefficiencies in the commodity market create risk premium.\nThe tendency of commodities to move in longer cycles means that momentum is more effective.\nCentral banks aren’t intervening in these markets (and investor flows have been more muted), allowing more ‘normal’ dynamics to play out.\n\nGiven the prominence of quant and systematic investing as themes in investment management, this is pretty important. To the extent one can, go where these types of strategies are working.\nCommodities also tie into a second big investment theme, ESG. The underlying reality and seriousness of climate change remains constant, and indeed, looks even more pressing following the release from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Yet while ESG-linked equities have seen pronounced swings in 2021, commodity markets have delivered a far more consistent message.\nThe price for EU Carbon emissions, for example (MO1 Comdty), has risen 88% year-to-date. My colleague Robert Pulleyn has been bullish on the belief that a higher price on emissions is essential to meet the EU’s climate goals. Near term, he sees the risk of a decline given recent gains, before prices resume their upward trend toward €102/ton by 2027 (see Utilities: Carbon: Softness Risk Ahead? Before Upwards March Resumes, August 9, 2021).\nWait, you might say. If commodity markets are so focused on the realities of climate change, why are oil prices higher this year, not lower? Again, we think the market is actually pretty rational. Shareholder pressure and the threat of future EV adoption is causing oil producers to dramatically reduce their capex plans, a development that my colleague Martijn Rats believes will help limit supply and keep prices elevated (see Podcast | Thoughts on the Market: The Curious Case of Norway, EVs and Oil, September 2, 2021).\nESG and systematic investing are major industry themes. 2021 being harder than the headline indices suggest is something we’re all aware of. But the biggest story of the year is the debate around growth and inflation. What, it seems fair to say, do commodities have to say about that?\nWhile commodity prices are often synonymous with inflation, our forecasts suggest they’ll now play a smaller role. The biggest downside risk to prices is likely to come from core goods (where demand has been well-above trend), while the biggest risk to the upside is likely to come from rental growth (which is a large share of the basket, and strong). Nonetheless,recent stabilization in commodity prices should reinforce the transitory nature of headline inflation, which our economists expect to moderate into mid-2022.\nOn the growth debate, however, commodities are front and center.Our economists see a 3Q slowdown in both the US and China(but not Europe, which is a story for another time). Copper prices and the CRB RIND index, two key harbingers of cyclical strength, remain high, consistent with a view that this economic weakness will be temporary.\n\nWe’ll be watching the resilience of these indicators as August data, reported in September, may look poor, and test the market's resolve.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":88,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810984772,"gmtCreate":1629939624496,"gmtModify":1631893034638,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810984772","repostId":"1197778368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":863550030,"gmtCreate":1632407413720,"gmtModify":1632731330336,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>🤩🤩🤩","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>🤩🤩🤩","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$🤩🤩🤩","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f79f692f29d8d0be0b208ff4a6c2a3a9","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863550030","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887661344,"gmtCreate":1632027866388,"gmtModify":1632803229565,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liek","listText":"Liek","text":"Liek","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887661344","repostId":"2168508165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813007437,"gmtCreate":1630111882329,"gmtModify":1704956076141,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"com","listText":"com","text":"com","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813007437","repostId":"1123342356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834397507,"gmtCreate":1629770714309,"gmtModify":1631893034648,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834397507","repostId":"2161708272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161708272","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629768824,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2161708272?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ContextLogic Inc. and the Problems With Cheap User Acquisition","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161708272","media":"Simply Wall St.","summary":"This article was originally published on Simply Wall St News\nContextLogic Inc. (NASDAQ:WISH) has gai","content":"<p><i>This article was originally published on Simply Wall St News</i></p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">ContextLogic Inc.</a> </b>(NASDAQ:WISH) has gained a lot of attention recently, and investors are split between thinking that the company has high potential based on gross margins and revenue, and those who are concerned that the bottom has yet to be reached. In this article we will look at the performance, predictions as well as take a look at expenses and see why the market might have such a divergent view on the company.</p>\n<p><i>On a quick side note, ContextLogic's Vice President of Operations, </i><i><b>Thomas Chuang resigned</b></i><i> on the 17th August, and the resignation was published on the 23rd August.</i></p>\n<h3>Performance &amp; Estimates</h3>\n<p>The company announced quarter-to-date total revenue through July 2021 was down approximately 40% compared with the prior quarter, while Marketplace revenue was down approximately 55% compared to the same period. <b>With the pullback in digital ad spending, The company expects third quarter revenue to decline further.</b></p>\n<p>ContextLogic Inc. reported earnings results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2021. For the quarter, revenue of $656 million compared to $701 million a year ago.</p>\n<p>Loss from operations was $114 million compared to income from operations $12 million a year ago.</p>\n<p>Net loss was $111 million, compared to $11 million a year ago.</p>\n<p><b>Analysts have decreased the price target to US$9.83</b>, down from US$17.10. The current price target is an average from 11 analysts and is&nbsp;47% above last closing price of US$6.69.</p>\n<p>View our latest analysis for ContextLogic</p>\n<p>You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c962dfa724cfa8c29cc63f2bc341909f\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">NasdaqGS:WISH Earnings and Revenue Growth August 23rd 2021</p>\n<p>ContextLogic is well known by investors, and plenty of analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for ContextLogic in this <b>interactive</b> graph of future profit estimates.</p>\n<h3>Notable Business Expenses</h3>\n<p>Now that we have the fundamentals, let's take a dive into ContextLogic's expenses and see what they might reveal about the future and business model.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb1a8d980b59beda8cbd0ab66dfcb2d\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">NasdaqGS:WISH Q2 Earnings Report Snippet, August 23rd 2021</p>\n<p>Normally, when you see a young growth company, you expect a large portion of business expenses to go towards sales and marketing. With time, these expenses should result in growth of the company and provide a solid foundation for the future.</p>\n<p>In the case of ContextLogic, the goal of a marketing campaign would be that it attracts clients, makes them buy products and offer them a platform where <b>they become repeat buyers</b>. If these criteria are not met, the marketing campaign is mostly wasted. Just imagine spending close to a Billion USD, just so your platform is known to many people, but on average they make <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> purchase and never visit again. Purchases do not create value, unless the client is satisfied with the product and buys again.</p>\n<p>Looking at the figure above, it seems that the company is investing all of its gross profit plus some more into marketing. However, our ttm revenue growth chart above, show that <b>sales is declining</b>, even on the back of the pandemic, which was a positive catalyst for many e-commerce businesses. Even the sheer percentage of marketing spend, suggests that management is trying hard to acquire new users.</p>\n<p>In their latest report, ContextLogic defines this clearly: <i>\"Our model relies on cost-effectively adding new users, converting those users into buyers and improving engagement and monetization of those buyers on Wish over time...\".</i></p>\n<p>From the outside, in the past few quarters, it looked like the company was steadily growing, <b>but investors might be faced with the prospect of it being \"cheap growth\"</b>, or growth at the expense of margins and costly marketing campaigns.</p>\n<p>If we turn and look at buyer statistics <i>(page 22)</i>, we see that LTM (Last Twelve Months) Active Users <b>declined to 50 million</b> in Q2 2021 vs the 70 million in Q2 2020. These are the users that have bought at least 1 product in the last 12 months.</p>\n<p>The numbers suggest stagnation at best - if we write off the pandemic effect as a booster to sales. But the 22% decrease in buyers is indicative of a weak marketing strategy, or simply, an unpleasant shopping experience for consumers. It is interesting to note, that management offers no substantial explanation to the drop in LTM Active Users, and presents is as <i>\"primarily driven by lower monthly active users and reduced conversion\".</i></p>\n<h3>Conclusion</h3>\n<p>A lot of investors seem to have lost money investing in ContextLogic, and we desire to caution our readers that people with vested interests in a stock going up, may present opinions that tend to selectively focus on revenue growth, draw parallels between WISH, Amazon, JD, Alibaba, Dollar General, and overfocus on the yearly sales to price. We need to remember that stocks are forward-looking, and <b>do our best to estimate what is left of the company after the cash has been burnt away from marketing and other expenses.</b></p>\n<p>Companies can only flash their application so many times in the form of ads, before users decide if it is worth their while and memorable. In the case of ContextLogic, it is hard to make that case.</p>\n<p><b>We've identified 2 fundamental warning signs </b> with ContextLogic, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.</p>\n<p>We will like ContextLogic better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this <b>free</b> list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.</p>\n<p><i>Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.</i></p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ContextLogic Inc. and the Problems With Cheap User Acquisition</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContextLogic Inc. and the Problems With Cheap User Acquisition\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 09:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/contextlogic-inc-nasdaq-wish-problems-010444103.html><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This article was originally published on Simply Wall St News\nContextLogic Inc. (NASDAQ:WISH) has gained a lot of attention recently, and investors are split between thinking that the company has high ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/contextlogic-inc-nasdaq-wish-problems-010444103.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/contextlogic-inc-nasdaq-wish-problems-010444103.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2161708272","content_text":"This article was originally published on Simply Wall St News\nContextLogic Inc. (NASDAQ:WISH) has gained a lot of attention recently, and investors are split between thinking that the company has high potential based on gross margins and revenue, and those who are concerned that the bottom has yet to be reached. In this article we will look at the performance, predictions as well as take a look at expenses and see why the market might have such a divergent view on the company.\nOn a quick side note, ContextLogic's Vice President of Operations, Thomas Chuang resigned on the 17th August, and the resignation was published on the 23rd August.\nPerformance & Estimates\nThe company announced quarter-to-date total revenue through July 2021 was down approximately 40% compared with the prior quarter, while Marketplace revenue was down approximately 55% compared to the same period. With the pullback in digital ad spending, The company expects third quarter revenue to decline further.\nContextLogic Inc. reported earnings results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2021. For the quarter, revenue of $656 million compared to $701 million a year ago.\nLoss from operations was $114 million compared to income from operations $12 million a year ago.\nNet loss was $111 million, compared to $11 million a year ago.\nAnalysts have decreased the price target to US$9.83, down from US$17.10. The current price target is an average from 11 analysts and is 47% above last closing price of US$6.69.\nView our latest analysis for ContextLogic\nYou can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).\nNasdaqGS:WISH Earnings and Revenue Growth August 23rd 2021\nContextLogic is well known by investors, and plenty of analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for ContextLogic in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.\nNotable Business Expenses\nNow that we have the fundamentals, let's take a dive into ContextLogic's expenses and see what they might reveal about the future and business model.\nNasdaqGS:WISH Q2 Earnings Report Snippet, August 23rd 2021\nNormally, when you see a young growth company, you expect a large portion of business expenses to go towards sales and marketing. With time, these expenses should result in growth of the company and provide a solid foundation for the future.\nIn the case of ContextLogic, the goal of a marketing campaign would be that it attracts clients, makes them buy products and offer them a platform where they become repeat buyers. If these criteria are not met, the marketing campaign is mostly wasted. Just imagine spending close to a Billion USD, just so your platform is known to many people, but on average they make one purchase and never visit again. Purchases do not create value, unless the client is satisfied with the product and buys again.\nLooking at the figure above, it seems that the company is investing all of its gross profit plus some more into marketing. However, our ttm revenue growth chart above, show that sales is declining, even on the back of the pandemic, which was a positive catalyst for many e-commerce businesses. Even the sheer percentage of marketing spend, suggests that management is trying hard to acquire new users.\nIn their latest report, ContextLogic defines this clearly: \"Our model relies on cost-effectively adding new users, converting those users into buyers and improving engagement and monetization of those buyers on Wish over time...\".\nFrom the outside, in the past few quarters, it looked like the company was steadily growing, but investors might be faced with the prospect of it being \"cheap growth\", or growth at the expense of margins and costly marketing campaigns.\nIf we turn and look at buyer statistics (page 22), we see that LTM (Last Twelve Months) Active Users declined to 50 million in Q2 2021 vs the 70 million in Q2 2020. These are the users that have bought at least 1 product in the last 12 months.\nThe numbers suggest stagnation at best - if we write off the pandemic effect as a booster to sales. But the 22% decrease in buyers is indicative of a weak marketing strategy, or simply, an unpleasant shopping experience for consumers. It is interesting to note, that management offers no substantial explanation to the drop in LTM Active Users, and presents is as \"primarily driven by lower monthly active users and reduced conversion\".\nConclusion\nA lot of investors seem to have lost money investing in ContextLogic, and we desire to caution our readers that people with vested interests in a stock going up, may present opinions that tend to selectively focus on revenue growth, draw parallels between WISH, Amazon, JD, Alibaba, Dollar General, and overfocus on the yearly sales to price. We need to remember that stocks are forward-looking, and do our best to estimate what is left of the company after the cash has been burnt away from marketing and other expenses.\nCompanies can only flash their application so many times in the form of ads, before users decide if it is worth their while and memorable. In the case of ContextLogic, it is hard to make that case.\nWe've identified 2 fundamental warning signs  with ContextLogic, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.\nWe will like ContextLogic better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.\nPlease note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834393514,"gmtCreate":1629770409938,"gmtModify":1631884205981,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$Digital Turbine(APPS)$</a>🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$Digital Turbine(APPS)$</a>🚀🚀🚀","text":"$Digital Turbine(APPS)$🚀🚀🚀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f2ca95a3a7906a242ce4dcf9ae6853e","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834393514","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830415643,"gmtCreate":1629089222682,"gmtModify":1631884206136,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$Digital Turbine(APPS)$</a>🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$Digital Turbine(APPS)$</a>🚀🚀🚀","text":"$Digital Turbine(APPS)$🚀🚀🚀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae169c73879a474a73d820fdb563ba1","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830415643","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891264203,"gmtCreate":1628392782702,"gmtModify":1631885747766,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHPT\">$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$</a>🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHPT\">$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$</a>🚀🚀","text":"$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$🚀🚀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5f938b647b75e38fc5d0a5ca9ab98c3","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891264203","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891124759,"gmtCreate":1628352603671,"gmtModify":1631884833290,"author":{"id":"4087265138408030","authorId":"4087265138408030","name":"EggsyWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a036343f764ee355082a0cf28926d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087265138408030","authorIdStr":"4087265138408030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a>🚀🚀🚀","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$🚀🚀🚀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02869ba9743745901d64fbdc66804549","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891124759","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}