辉漠的个人主页 - 老虎社区

辉漠

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IP属地：湖北

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1主题

0勋章

08-05

$GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF(NVD)$ 直接干涨停板呀？

08-05

$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ 这个基金还有跌停的保护措施吗[惊讶]

07-23

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 颤抖吧多散们哈哈哈

07-23

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这波起稳了，盘后直接连着大阴线

07-16

国你妹

重磅！"国家队"，突然出手！

07-08

$(HSTECH)$ 。。。。。

02-06

阅

在港股，哪些公司能活过熊市？

2021-12-13

$阿里那(ARNA)$这公司是巴巴的子公司吗[捂脸] 爆拉

2021-10-21

$滴滴(DIDI)$给我出新闻：审查完毕调查组回去做统计。完了再割一波韭菜

2021-10-18

$滴滴(DIDI)$ 天天看你门发惨有谁比我高的

2021-08-12

$滴滴(DIDI)$每天都是高开低走呀[思考]

2021-08-04

$第一高中教育(FHS)$ 名字起的这么嚣张注定趴下躺好起不来的

2021-07-28

$滴滴(DIDI)$ 我尼玛灰色故意让人看到停牌带来的恐惧么

2021-05-03

$知乎(ZH)$韭菜们老实做空一波短线比做多的赢率大。不洗牌它怎么捞钱，这路子二流中概股屡试不爽呀。

2021-04-30

$知乎(ZH)$我如果没说错两年来跌幅到1至2块涨幅到18封顶。想要捞金的看你有没有这个耐力了（8年的中概股经验告诉你

2016-08-30

$阳光动力(SPI)$ 有小伙伴入这个的么

2016-08-23

这个ETF 是哪个板块的？

$iSectors Post-MPT Growth ETF(PMPT)$ 有虎友知道的吗

这个ETF 是哪个板块的？

2016-08-22

$iSectors Post-MPT Growth ETF(PMPT)$ 这换手率什么意思

2016-08-12

买or等？

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 曾经的我追高，结果连跌 10%了现在看这股一直处于220的界限，老手都知道破了这个点就会有大波线 SO买还是观望呢

2016-08-08

$LendingClub(LC)$ 今天财报如何？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/330599911837752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563357612600728","authorId":"3563357612600728","name":"Johnsonk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d6ab73351a61f0c3e887a3cffcf2aa2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563357612600728","authorIdStr":"3563357612600728"},"content":"打开一看吓了我一跳，我买的时候才15，现在怎么涨到200多那么高了","text":"打开一看吓了我一跳，我买的时候才15，现在怎么涨到200多那么高了","html":"打开一看吓了我一跳，我买的时候才15，现在怎么涨到200多那么高了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":330599175299320,"gmtCreate":1721743161060,"gmtModify":1721743162338,"author":{"id":"36515538373776","authorId":"36515538373776","name":"辉漠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1449146357.png","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36515538373776","authorIdStr":"36515538373776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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这波起稳了，盘后直接连着大阴线","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/330599175299320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":328087177908280,"gmtCreate":1721110540167,"gmtModify":1721110711077,"author":{"id":"36515538373776","authorId":"36515538373776","name":"辉漠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1449146357.png","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36515538373776","authorIdStr":"36515538373776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"国你妹","listText":"国你妹","text":"国你妹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328087177908280","repostId":"1161640157","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161640157","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯，最专业的解读分析，覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1721024560,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161640157?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-07-15 14:22","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"重磅！\"国家队\"，突然出手！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161640157","media":"券商中国","summary":"“国家队”的最新动作，释放重磅信号！据介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。交易完成后，HMI将成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位。“国家队”出手企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家大基金二期投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元，持股比例达24.7701%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>“国家队”的最新动作，释放重磅信号！</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家集成电路产业投资基金二期股份有限公司（以下简称“国家大基金二期”）投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元。据介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，近年来，重庆正持续大举投资半导体产业链，计划建成具有重要影响力的集成电路设计和封测产业集群。目前，重庆已形成“芯片设计-晶圆制造-封装测试-原材料配套”全链条。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另外，A股的半导体产业链也传来一则重磅收购。7月14日晚间，科创板上市芯片设计公司希荻微公告，公司全资子公司HMI拟以约1.09亿元收购韩国创业板科斯达克上市公司Zinitix30.91%的股权。交易完成后，HMI将成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位。</p><p><strong>“国家队”出手</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家大基金二期投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元，持股比例达24.7701%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a79cef3a9cb4bca819fdf07124ca098\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"488\"/></p><p>据悉，重庆芯联微电子有限公司成立于2023年，注册资本87亿元，经营范围包括集成电路设计、集成电路制造、集成电路芯片及产品制造、集成电路芯片设计及服务、半导体器件专用设备制造等。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在国家大基金二期入股后，重庆芯联微电子有限公司共有五位股东，分别是重庆高新区智能制造产业研究院、重庆西永微电子产业园开发有限公司、国家大基金二期、庆铃汽车（集团）有限公司和重庆制造业转型升级私募股权投资基金合伙企业（有限合伙），出资金额分别为30.45亿元、21.55亿元、21.55亿元、1亿元、3.45亿元，持股比例分别为35%、24.77%、24.77%、11.49%和3.97%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83733fc852c366f9cb16073c37305fa3\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，重庆高新区智能制造产业研究院、重庆西永微电子产业园开发有限公司是重庆高新区旗下控股企业，因此重庆市高新区实际控有重庆芯联微59.77%的股权。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据官方介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。公司坐落在重庆西永微电子产业园区，是重庆市和高新区政府重点打造的焦点项目，是重庆市高端制造业和集成电路产业转型升级的重点工程，致力于成为国家集成电路的西部重要战略备份，保障集成电路产业链安全。公司已汇聚来自新加坡、中国台湾和大陆的百余人的工艺专家团队，具备多次完整成功开发成套工艺以及其他高端特色工艺的经验。</p><p><strong>重庆的野心</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是，近年来，重庆持续大举投资半导体产业链，重庆市人民政府办公厅此前发布的《重庆市集成电路设计产业发展行动计划（2023—2027年）》提出，到2027年，全市集成电路设计产业营收突破120亿元，新增企业100家以上，营收超过5亿元的企业1家以上、营收超过2亿元的企业4家以上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另外，《重庆市集成电路封测产业发展行动计划（2023—2027年）》提出，到2027年，全市集成电路封测产业营收突破200亿元，新增企业10家以上，营收超过5亿元的企业2家以上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，重庆市政府提供一系列激励政策支持集成电路产业，包括最高贴息2000万元、对设计类企业提供资金支持等。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前，重庆已形成“芯片设计-晶圆制造-封装测试-原材料配套”全链条，西永微电园产业园是核心功臣。重庆计划建成具有重要影响力的集成电路设计和封测产业集群，有望扩大其作为“西部芯城”的影响力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华润微电子、SK海力士、中电科芯片集团、联合微电子中心、三安光电、意法半导体等集成电路产业链重点企业，都已在重庆“落子”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，位于重庆西永街道的华润微电子，拥有一座月产3万片8英寸硅片的芯片制造工厂。2017年，华润微以股权划拨的方式控股中航微电子，并投资75.5亿元扩建12英寸功率半导体产线，目前扩产项目已量产。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">去年6月，国际半导体巨头意法半导体宣布与三星合作成立一家合资制造厂，进行8英寸碳化硅器件大规模量产，建设总额预计约228亿元；奥松半导体8英寸MEMS特色芯片IDM产业基地正式启动，总投资达35亿元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2023年，西永微电园以约42%的产值占比，近乎占据了重庆集成电路产业的半壁江山。</p><p><strong>一则重磅收购</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>A股的半导体产业链也传来一则重磅收购。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">7月14日晚间，科创板上市芯片设计公司希荻微公告，公司全资子公司HMI拟以约1.09亿元，收购韩国创业板科斯达克上市公司Zinitix 30.91%的股权。交易完成后，HMI将持有Zinitix 30.93%的股权，成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位，并将委派财务负责人等高级管理人员，对其经营、人事、财务等事项拥有决策权，Zinitix将成为公司的控股子公司。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d516ff8afce56ae70bcb38e8712ed92\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"734\" tg-height=\"720\"/></p><p><strong>受此影响，今日早盘，希荻微股价一度大涨超9%，随后涨幅有所回落。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据公告显示，希荻微与Zinitix同属集成电路设计企业，希荻微通过本次交易可快速吸收Zinitix成熟的专利技术、研发资源、客户资源等。同时，Zinitix的摄像头自动对焦芯片产品线与希荻微现有的音圈马达驱动芯片产品线有较强的协同性，有助于公司进一步增大该产品线的市场份额及技术实力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">资料显示，作为中国领先的模拟芯片厂商之一，希荻微是国内少有能成建制引入国际模拟大厂核心研发与管理团队的芯片设计公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据希荻微的公告，本次交易的资金来源为希荻微自有资金和（或）自筹资金。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公告显示，Zinitix于2000年成立，于2019年在韩国创业板科斯达克上市。凭借在模拟芯片领域的深厚积累以及核心技术团队持续研发，Zinitix形成了具备较强行业竞争力的核心技术体系，包括数字设计技术、模拟设计技术、大功率电路设计技术、闭环控制技术、MCU 应用软件技术等，拥有提供多样化产品组合的开发能力，可以满足客户从可穿戴设备和智能手机到笔记本电脑、空调和电视等通用家用电器等广泛的需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Zinitix的主要产品已进入国际知名终端品牌三星电子（Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.）的供应链体系，成为其智能手机等消费电子产品的供应商之一。此外，Zinitix与包括全球智能设备制造商在内的50多个客户建立了业务关系。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>重磅！\"国家队\"，突然出手！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重磅！\"国家队\"，突然出手！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-07-15 14:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>“国家队”的最新动作，释放重磅信号！</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家集成电路产业投资基金二期股份有限公司（以下简称“国家大基金二期”）投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元。据介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，近年来，重庆正持续大举投资半导体产业链，计划建成具有重要影响力的集成电路设计和封测产业集群。目前，重庆已形成“芯片设计-晶圆制造-封装测试-原材料配套”全链条。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另外，A股的半导体产业链也传来一则重磅收购。7月14日晚间，科创板上市芯片设计公司希荻微公告，公司全资子公司HMI拟以约1.09亿元收购韩国创业板科斯达克上市公司Zinitix30.91%的股权。交易完成后，HMI将成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位。</p><p><strong>“国家队”出手</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家大基金二期投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元，持股比例达24.7701%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a79cef3a9cb4bca819fdf07124ca098\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"488\"/></p><p>据悉，重庆芯联微电子有限公司成立于2023年，注册资本87亿元，经营范围包括集成电路设计、集成电路制造、集成电路芯片及产品制造、集成电路芯片设计及服务、半导体器件专用设备制造等。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在国家大基金二期入股后，重庆芯联微电子有限公司共有五位股东，分别是重庆高新区智能制造产业研究院、重庆西永微电子产业园开发有限公司、国家大基金二期、庆铃汽车（集团）有限公司和重庆制造业转型升级私募股权投资基金合伙企业（有限合伙），出资金额分别为30.45亿元、21.55亿元、21.55亿元、1亿元、3.45亿元，持股比例分别为35%、24.77%、24.77%、11.49%和3.97%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83733fc852c366f9cb16073c37305fa3\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，重庆高新区智能制造产业研究院、重庆西永微电子产业园开发有限公司是重庆高新区旗下控股企业，因此重庆市高新区实际控有重庆芯联微59.77%的股权。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据官方介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。公司坐落在重庆西永微电子产业园区，是重庆市和高新区政府重点打造的焦点项目，是重庆市高端制造业和集成电路产业转型升级的重点工程，致力于成为国家集成电路的西部重要战略备份，保障集成电路产业链安全。公司已汇聚来自新加坡、中国台湾和大陆的百余人的工艺专家团队，具备多次完整成功开发成套工艺以及其他高端特色工艺的经验。</p><p><strong>重庆的野心</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是，近年来，重庆持续大举投资半导体产业链，重庆市人民政府办公厅此前发布的《重庆市集成电路设计产业发展行动计划（2023—2027年）》提出，到2027年，全市集成电路设计产业营收突破120亿元，新增企业100家以上，营收超过5亿元的企业1家以上、营收超过2亿元的企业4家以上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另外，《重庆市集成电路封测产业发展行动计划（2023—2027年）》提出，到2027年，全市集成电路封测产业营收突破200亿元，新增企业10家以上，营收超过5亿元的企业2家以上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，重庆市政府提供一系列激励政策支持集成电路产业，包括最高贴息2000万元、对设计类企业提供资金支持等。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前，重庆已形成“芯片设计-晶圆制造-封装测试-原材料配套”全链条，西永微电园产业园是核心功臣。重庆计划建成具有重要影响力的集成电路设计和封测产业集群，有望扩大其作为“西部芯城”的影响力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华润微电子、SK海力士、中电科芯片集团、联合微电子中心、三安光电、意法半导体等集成电路产业链重点企业，都已在重庆“落子”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，位于重庆西永街道的华润微电子，拥有一座月产3万片8英寸硅片的芯片制造工厂。2017年，华润微以股权划拨的方式控股中航微电子，并投资75.5亿元扩建12英寸功率半导体产线，目前扩产项目已量产。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">去年6月，国际半导体巨头意法半导体宣布与三星合作成立一家合资制造厂，进行8英寸碳化硅器件大规模量产，建设总额预计约228亿元；奥松半导体8英寸MEMS特色芯片IDM产业基地正式启动，总投资达35亿元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2023年，西永微电园以约42%的产值占比，近乎占据了重庆集成电路产业的半壁江山。</p><p><strong>一则重磅收购</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>A股的半导体产业链也传来一则重磅收购。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">7月14日晚间，科创板上市芯片设计公司希荻微公告，公司全资子公司HMI拟以约1.09亿元，收购韩国创业板科斯达克上市公司Zinitix 30.91%的股权。交易完成后，HMI将持有Zinitix 30.93%的股权，成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位，并将委派财务负责人等高级管理人员，对其经营、人事、财务等事项拥有决策权，Zinitix将成为公司的控股子公司。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d516ff8afce56ae70bcb38e8712ed92\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"734\" tg-height=\"720\"/></p><p><strong>受此影响，今日早盘，希荻微股价一度大涨超9%，随后涨幅有所回落。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据公告显示，希荻微与Zinitix同属集成电路设计企业，希荻微通过本次交易可快速吸收Zinitix成熟的专利技术、研发资源、客户资源等。同时，Zinitix的摄像头自动对焦芯片产品线与希荻微现有的音圈马达驱动芯片产品线有较强的协同性，有助于公司进一步增大该产品线的市场份额及技术实力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">资料显示，作为中国领先的模拟芯片厂商之一，希荻微是国内少有能成建制引入国际模拟大厂核心研发与管理团队的芯片设计公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据希荻微的公告，本次交易的资金来源为希荻微自有资金和（或）自筹资金。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公告显示，Zinitix于2000年成立，于2019年在韩国创业板科斯达克上市。凭借在模拟芯片领域的深厚积累以及核心技术团队持续研发，Zinitix形成了具备较强行业竞争力的核心技术体系，包括数字设计技术、模拟设计技术、大功率电路设计技术、闭环控制技术、MCU 应用软件技术等，拥有提供多样化产品组合的开发能力，可以满足客户从可穿戴设备和智能手机到笔记本电脑、空调和电视等通用家用电器等广泛的需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Zinitix的主要产品已进入国际知名终端品牌三星电子（Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.）的供应链体系，成为其智能手机等消费电子产品的供应商之一。此外，Zinitix与包括全球智能设备制造商在内的50多个客户建立了业务关系。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161640157","content_text":"“国家队”的最新动作，释放重磅信号！企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家集成电路产业投资基金二期股份有限公司（以下简称“国家大基金二期”）投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元。据介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。值得注意的是，近年来，重庆正持续大举投资半导体产业链，计划建成具有重要影响力的集成电路设计和封测产业集群。目前，重庆已形成“芯片设计-晶圆制造-封装测试-原材料配套”全链条。另外，A股的半导体产业链也传来一则重磅收购。7月14日晚间，科创板上市芯片设计公司希荻微公告，公司全资子公司HMI拟以约1.09亿元收购韩国创业板科斯达克上市公司Zinitix30.91%的股权。交易完成后，HMI将成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位。“国家队”出手企查查APP最新消息显示，近日，国家大基金二期投资了重庆芯联微电子有限公司，认缴出资金额达21.55亿元，持股比例达24.7701%。据悉，重庆芯联微电子有限公司成立于2023年，注册资本87亿元，经营范围包括集成电路设计、集成电路制造、集成电路芯片及产品制造、集成电路芯片设计及服务、半导体器件专用设备制造等。在国家大基金二期入股后，重庆芯联微电子有限公司共有五位股东，分别是重庆高新区智能制造产业研究院、重庆西永微电子产业园开发有限公司、国家大基金二期、庆铃汽车（集团）有限公司和重庆制造业转型升级私募股权投资基金合伙企业（有限合伙），出资金额分别为30.45亿元、21.55亿元、21.55亿元、1亿元、3.45亿元，持股比例分别为35%、24.77%、24.77%、11.49%和3.97%。其中，重庆高新区智能制造产业研究院、重庆西永微电子产业园开发有限公司是重庆高新区旗下控股企业，因此重庆市高新区实际控有重庆芯联微59.77%的股权。据官方介绍，重庆芯联集成电路有限公司是重庆市国资相关单位联合大型汽车整车企业投资的高端车规级12英寸集成电路工艺线项目，项目一期规划产能两万片。公司坐落在重庆西永微电子产业园区，是重庆市和高新区政府重点打造的焦点项目，是重庆市高端制造业和集成电路产业转型升级的重点工程，致力于成为国家集成电路的西部重要战略备份，保障集成电路产业链安全。公司已汇聚来自新加坡、中国台湾和大陆的百余人的工艺专家团队，具备多次完整成功开发成套工艺以及其他高端特色工艺的经验。重庆的野心值得一提的是，近年来，重庆持续大举投资半导体产业链，重庆市人民政府办公厅此前发布的《重庆市集成电路设计产业发展行动计划（2023—2027年）》提出，到2027年，全市集成电路设计产业营收突破120亿元，新增企业100家以上，营收超过5亿元的企业1家以上、营收超过2亿元的企业4家以上。另外，《重庆市集成电路封测产业发展行动计划（2023—2027年）》提出，到2027年，全市集成电路封测产业营收突破200亿元，新增企业10家以上，营收超过5亿元的企业2家以上。与此同时，重庆市政府提供一系列激励政策支持集成电路产业，包括最高贴息2000万元、对设计类企业提供资金支持等。目前，重庆已形成“芯片设计-晶圆制造-封装测试-原材料配套”全链条，西永微电园产业园是核心功臣。重庆计划建成具有重要影响力的集成电路设计和封测产业集群，有望扩大其作为“西部芯城”的影响力。华润微电子、SK海力士、中电科芯片集团、联合微电子中心、三安光电、意法半导体等集成电路产业链重点企业，都已在重庆“落子”。其中，位于重庆西永街道的华润微电子，拥有一座月产3万片8英寸硅片的芯片制造工厂。2017年，华润微以股权划拨的方式控股中航微电子，并投资75.5亿元扩建12英寸功率半导体产线，目前扩产项目已量产。去年6月，国际半导体巨头意法半导体宣布与三星合作成立一家合资制造厂，进行8英寸碳化硅器件大规模量产，建设总额预计约228亿元；奥松半导体8英寸MEMS特色芯片IDM产业基地正式启动，总投资达35亿元。2023年，西永微电园以约42%的产值占比，近乎占据了重庆集成电路产业的半壁江山。一则重磅收购A股的半导体产业链也传来一则重磅收购。7月14日晚间，科创板上市芯片设计公司希荻微公告，公司全资子公司HMI拟以约1.09亿元，收购韩国创业板科斯达克上市公司Zinitix 30.91%的股权。交易完成后，HMI将持有Zinitix 30.93%的股权，成为Zinitix的第一大股东且能够主导其董事会席位，并将委派财务负责人等高级管理人员，对其经营、人事、财务等事项拥有决策权，Zinitix将成为公司的控股子公司。受此影响，今日早盘，希荻微股价一度大涨超9%，随后涨幅有所回落。据公告显示，希荻微与Zinitix同属集成电路设计企业，希荻微通过本次交易可快速吸收Zinitix成熟的专利技术、研发资源、客户资源等。同时，Zinitix的摄像头自动对焦芯片产品线与希荻微现有的音圈马达驱动芯片产品线有较强的协同性，有助于公司进一步增大该产品线的市场份额及技术实力。资料显示，作为中国领先的模拟芯片厂商之一，希荻微是国内少有能成建制引入国际模拟大厂核心研发与管理团队的芯片设计公司。根据希荻微的公告，本次交易的资金来源为希荻微自有资金和（或）自筹资金。公告显示，Zinitix于2000年成立，于2019年在韩国创业板科斯达克上市。凭借在模拟芯片领域的深厚积累以及核心技术团队持续研发，Zinitix形成了具备较强行业竞争力的核心技术体系，包括数字设计技术、模拟设计技术、大功率电路设计技术、闭环控制技术、MCU 应用软件技术等，拥有提供多样化产品组合的开发能力，可以满足客户从可穿戴设备和智能手机到笔记本电脑、空调和电视等通用家用电器等广泛的需求。Zinitix的主要产品已进入国际知名终端品牌三星电子（Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.）的供应链体系，成为其智能手机等消费电子产品的供应商之一。此外，Zinitix与包括全球智能设备制造商在内的50多个客户建立了业务关系。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325171903029496,"gmtCreate":1720416873582,"gmtModify":1720416874803,"author":{"id":"36515538373776","authorId":"36515538373776","name":"辉漠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1449146357.png","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36515538373776","authorIdStr":"36515538373776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$(HSTECH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; 。。。。。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$(HSTECH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; 。。。。。","text":"$(HSTECH)$ 。。。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325171903029496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":270948680499384,"gmtCreate":1707154064380,"gmtModify":1707154065704,"author":{"id":"36515538373776","authorId":"36515538373776","name":"辉漠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1449146357.png","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36515538373776","authorIdStr":"36515538373776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/270948680499384","repostId":"2409437019","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2409437019","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1707148743,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2409437019?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-02-05 23:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"在港股，哪些公司能活过熊市？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2409437019","media":"智通财经","summary":"在港股50多年的漫长历史中，出现过很多轮熊市，每一轮都有不同的特点。因此，学会熊市选股策略至关重要。总结完之后，我们再总结一下哪些公司活不过熊市。如今降息预期稍微松动，而神华、移动这些公司的股票就开始在高位耍赖皮横着不动。亏损股有不少都是2018年港交所新政之后上市的。这些公司如果长期不能盈利的话，最终都将打回原形。港股这种地量成交的股票，往往货源归边，稍微放大一点的成交量就可能引发暴跌清仓式暴跌。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>在港股50多年的漫长历史中，出现过很多轮熊市，每一轮都有不同的特点。自2021年初恒指重上3万点至今，可以说我们一直处在一轮漫长的熊市之中。间中有反弹，但总体趋势是向下的。<strong>因此，学会熊市选股策略至关重要。</strong></p><p><strong>我不知道牛市什么时候重新降临，但只要保证自己在熊市中不死，已经足够跑赢大部分玩家。</strong></p><p>今天我们就来总结下港股市场能够活过熊市的公司有哪些特征。总结完之后，我们再总结一下哪些公司活不过熊市。<strong>概括来说，就是熊市必胜品种和熊市必败品种；那么大家要做的就是：关注前者，远离后者。</strong></p><p><strong>1 熊市必胜品种</strong></p><p><strong>（1）浓眉大眼。</strong><strong>典型案例：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a></strong></p><p>网易这一年多以来的走势及其雄壮。先看图。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922083.png\"/></p><p><strong>（网易2022年底以来股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）</strong></p><p>即便是去年冬至日血腥屠杀25%，到现在也基本上收复跌幅了。相比起来同为游戏板块的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>，却无法收复那天的跌幅，甚至最惨的时候还一度跌破。腾讯和网易的天壤之别我后面再分析，这里先谈谈网易。</p><p><strong>首先</strong>要说的是游戏板块是一个对龙头很友好的板块，而网易由于多年以来坚持精品策略，许多爆款游戏的生命力能够维持十年以上，护城河极其深厚，像早年的大话西游系列、今年的阴阳师、易水寒等等。<strong>其次</strong>就是这些优势使得网易能够常年保持业绩增长，而且这个增长不怎么受经济周期的干扰。<strong>第三</strong>是科技属性是的公司可以持续降本增效，毛利率持续提升。基于这三点，市场对网易一向极度友好。</p><p>其实以上这三点基本上复合了美股科技巨头的特征，按道理应该是会比较好命的。然而一天暴打25%，也算受尽折辱。</p><p>但最终花了一个月左右的时间就能收复跌幅那次的跌幅，说明市场对网易还是比较尊重，该给的尊严会给的。而且现在恒指跌成这个样网易还能基本上保持在高位，那么将来如果指数反弹，网易只会更强。</p><p><strong>（2）躺平收息。</strong><strong>典型案例：<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601088\">中国神华</a></span>，中海油</strong></p><p>市况不好，资金会倾向于保守收息，因此股息股往往会受到青睐。当然这里面还有一个股息和债息收益之间的跷跷板问题。像2023年初开始就一路狂飙的中移动，就是典型的股息股。岔一句体，目前中移动已经是港股还能维持万亿市值的仅存的几枚硕果了，且行且珍惜吧。</p><p>2023年初那一波暴走，看新闻的股民会把它归结为中特估。当然中特估的因素存在不假，但还有另一层就是炒美联储降息。因为<strong>息率一降，你原先的股息率就超了，那么资金就会涌入你的股票，把股价做上去，对应股息率就会降下来，维持平衡。</strong></p><p><strong>这个逻辑和2023年11月初美联储议息会议确定了利率不再上行之后，神华立马开启一轮暴走的逻辑如出一辙</strong>（下图）<strong>。</strong>如今降息预期稍微松动，而神华、移动这些公司的股票就开始在高位耍赖皮横着不动。什么时候降息预期再起一波，这些股票就会继续向上暴走。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922196.png\"/></p><p><strong>（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01088\">中国神华</a>2022年底以来股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）</strong></p><p><strong>（3）周期起伏。</strong><strong>典型案例：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>。</strong></p><p>随着新能源汽车的渗透率逐渐提升，这个板块最初的爆发性已经弱化，反而跟随汽车周期自身的波动性加强。这种板块的公司主要看毛利率，其次看销量。这两个因素构成量和价，即Q（Quantity）和P（Price），即判断周期起伏的一个重要依据。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922320.png\"/></p><p><strong>（理想汽车股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）</strong></p><p>量价齐升——量增价跌——量价齐跌——量缩价涨。</p><p>2023年新能源汽车经历了从量价齐升到量增价跌的相面转换，而2024年将逐渐过渡到量价齐跌的阶段。对于2024年本身，新能源汽车板块应当避一避，目前Tesla已经跌到180，看似还没跌到底。但后面随着周期的好转，是会再起来的。</p><p><strong>2 熊市必败品种</strong></p><p><strong>（1）巨型蓝筹。</strong><strong>典型案例：腾讯、友邦、港交所</strong></p><p>这三只股票其实2023年业绩都不差，像港交所和腾讯某些季度甚至交出了史上最佳业绩，但股价就是这么无脑跌。腾讯很多网友说受制于南非Nasper减持。但我想说，Nasper是2018年3月份宣布的坚持，2018年腾讯最低跌到240不假，但腾讯史上最高股价700出现在2021年初，明显是在Nasper之后。所以Nasper减持是股民的阿Q式自我安慰。</p><p>腾讯不涨的真正原因在于，与指数太接近。恒指一度被称为“腾指”（腾讯指数），腾讯即恒指，那么如果市场大盘差，腾讯也好不了。</p><p>同理适用于港交所、友邦等等巨盘蓝筹股。由于太接近指数，那么如果指数不行，这些股票都不会太好。</p><p><strong>有人会说，你把这些股票拉上去指数不就好了吗？实情是，指数的影响因素很多，有期指、还有指数期权、国际上还有很多指数投机产品，是人家通过这些衍生工具去做指数的价位，然后带动你这些巨蓝筹被动沽盘，而不是反过来。</strong></p><p><strong>（2）长期亏损。</strong><strong>典型案例：哔哩，快手。</strong></p><p>亏损股有不少都是2018年港交所新政之后上市的。当市场流动性充裕的时候市场会给这些股票以耐心，等他们走出烧钱阶段，进而盈利上岸。但现在流动性收紧这么久，叠加港股市场信心堕落，那么投资者就不愿再等下去，或者说没有耐心了。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>属于长期持续不能盈利的，因此看到从2023年初开始就一路阴跌，无法组织起有效的反弹。而快手属于刚刚上岸的，所以去年4-7月份有过一波短暂的上行，最后的灿烂，但随后市场的表现也显示出，不愿再等了。快手的走势总体上比哔哩要漂亮一点，但也难逃最终走向下跌的宿命。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922439.png\"/></p><p><strong>（快手股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）</strong></p><p>当然，还有更多那一波借“上市新规”改革登陆港交所的公司，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">平安好医生</a>、歌礼制药，以及2020-2021那一波IPO热潮的过江之鲫，像奈雪、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02158\">医渡科技</a>之流。这些公司如果长期不能盈利的话，最终都将打回原形。</p><p><strong>（3）过气热点。</strong><strong>典型案例：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00968\">信义光能</a>。</strong></p><p>光伏是过去几年的热点，现在退潮了。将来还能不能起来不一定。</p><p>光伏我倾向于不把它定义为周期，因为他周期太长了，基本上要5-10年才能炒一波，而且中间伴随着技术升级迭代，几乎每一轮周期对于参与者而言都过于惨烈，不论是躬身入局的企业还有投资者。</p><p><strong>（4）无流动性</strong></p><p>太多了，这种股票太多了。不举例了，一天几百万成交金额的，都高危。港股这种地量成交的股票，往往货源归边，稍微放大一点的成交量就可能引发暴跌清仓式暴跌。上周五的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09890\">中旭未来</a>(09890.HK)了解一下。</p><p>好了，必败品种就这些，大家执生回避就好了。</p><p><strong>当然……如果这必败的这几个因素都包含了，也就是说既是指数成分股、盘子不小、还没有业绩支撑持续亏损、而且热点过气市场不愿再给你耐心……那么最终结果一定是死得很惨。</strong>例如：美团。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922708.png\"/></p><p><strong>（美团2022下半年以来股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）</strong></p><p>当然美团在去年\n Q3\n 业绩之前，市场基本上还是对他比较尊重的，虽然不肯涨，但\n 100\n 港元的价格还能保得住。<strong>但是Q3业绩一出，耗尽了市场的最后一点耐心，于是一掊把你干下去，彻底怼烂，水花不打，到现在股价干到65，似乎还没有见底的迹象。</strong></p><p><strong>3 其它风险</strong></p><p>最后还有一类，涉及大国博弈，被夹在大国之间成为牺牲品的公司，或者有这种潜在风险的公司，也应当回避。典型案例：百度。</p><p>1月15日那天百度缺口暴跌11%，至今缺口无法收复，其真实原因大概就与大国博弈有关。这里不便说，大家自己查新闻吧。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922980.png\"/></p><p><strong>（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>股价一日暴跌11%，来源：富途牛牛）</strong></p><p><strong>像百度这种纯广告公司，叠加一点AI属性，放在美股就是Google和Meta这种级别的。</strong>虽然你的广告、\n AI\n 以及业务模式都是别人的低配版，但从估值角度，\n Google\n 和\n Meta\n 能有\n 20—25\n 倍，你百度最起码\n 15-20\n 倍是应该有的。\n 最差也是\n 12-18\n 倍。\n 那么对应到股价上，\n 120\n 附近应该是底部了。</p><p>但\n 1\n 月\n 15\n 日那天就这么赤裸裸地跌穿\n 100\n 。\n 虽然是错杀，但短期内恐怕难以翻身。\n 而且如果他真的就一直在\n 100\n 附近晃的话，老手都知道盘久必跌，最后什么样的投资策略都无效。</p><p><strong>4 总结</strong></p><p>以上大概就是我对2024年港股投资的基本注意事项了。</p><p><strong>再重复一遍，能够扛过熊市的公司，一定是要</strong>（1）有坚实的业绩支撑、或者（2）有牢固的派息收益、以及（3）不涉及大国博弈的标的。</p><p>而那些（1）烧钱的、（2）亏损的、（3）炒概念的、以及（4）盘子太大接近指数或者（5）盘子太小流动性没有的，以及（6）在大国博弈中有可能牺牲的品种，<strong>都应当尽量远离。</strong></p><p>好了，就这些，祝大家投资愉快，一起熬过港股熊市。</p>\n<div>\n<div>\r\n            责任编辑：史文瑞\r\n          </div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>在港股，哪些公司能活过熊市？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n在港股，哪些公司能活过熊市？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-02-05 23:59 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://hk.jrj.com.cn/2024/02/05235939440551.shtml><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在港股50多年的漫长历史中，出现过很多轮熊市，每一轮都有不同的特点。自2021年初恒指重上3万点至今，可以说我们一直处在一轮漫长的熊市之中。间中有反弹，但总体趋势是向下的。因此，学会熊市选股策略至关重要。我不知道牛市什么时候重新降临，但只要保证自己在熊市中不死，已经足够跑赢大部分玩家。今天我们就来总结下港股市场能够活过熊市的公司有哪些特征。总结完之后，我们再总结一下哪些公司活不过熊市。概括来说，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://hk.jrj.com.cn/2024/02/05235939440551.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"http://imgcloud.jrjimg.cn/2024/02/weixin/one_20240205235922083.png","relate_stocks":{"YANG":"三倍做空富时中国ETF-Direxion","YINN":"三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","07226":"XL二南方恒科"},"source_url":"https://hk.jrj.com.cn/2024/02/05235939440551.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2409437019","content_text":"在港股50多年的漫长历史中，出现过很多轮熊市，每一轮都有不同的特点。自2021年初恒指重上3万点至今，可以说我们一直处在一轮漫长的熊市之中。间中有反弹，但总体趋势是向下的。因此，学会熊市选股策略至关重要。我不知道牛市什么时候重新降临，但只要保证自己在熊市中不死，已经足够跑赢大部分玩家。今天我们就来总结下港股市场能够活过熊市的公司有哪些特征。总结完之后，我们再总结一下哪些公司活不过熊市。概括来说，就是熊市必胜品种和熊市必败品种；那么大家要做的就是：关注前者，远离后者。1 熊市必胜品种（1）浓眉大眼。典型案例：网易网易这一年多以来的走势及其雄壮。先看图。（网易2022年底以来股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）即便是去年冬至日血腥屠杀25%，到现在也基本上收复跌幅了。相比起来同为游戏板块的腾讯，却无法收复那天的跌幅，甚至最惨的时候还一度跌破。腾讯和网易的天壤之别我后面再分析，这里先谈谈网易。首先要说的是游戏板块是一个对龙头很友好的板块，而网易由于多年以来坚持精品策略，许多爆款游戏的生命力能够维持十年以上，护城河极其深厚，像早年的大话西游系列、今年的阴阳师、易水寒等等。其次就是这些优势使得网易能够常年保持业绩增长，而且这个增长不怎么受经济周期的干扰。第三是科技属性是的公司可以持续降本增效，毛利率持续提升。基于这三点，市场对网易一向极度友好。其实以上这三点基本上复合了美股科技巨头的特征，按道理应该是会比较好命的。然而一天暴打25%，也算受尽折辱。但最终花了一个月左右的时间就能收复跌幅那次的跌幅，说明市场对网易还是比较尊重，该给的尊严会给的。而且现在恒指跌成这个样网易还能基本上保持在高位，那么将来如果指数反弹，网易只会更强。（2）躺平收息。典型案例：中国神华，中海油市况不好，资金会倾向于保守收息，因此股息股往往会受到青睐。当然这里面还有一个股息和债息收益之间的跷跷板问题。像2023年初开始就一路狂飙的中移动，就是典型的股息股。岔一句体，目前中移动已经是港股还能维持万亿市值的仅存的几枚硕果了，且行且珍惜吧。2023年初那一波暴走，看新闻的股民会把它归结为中特估。当然中特估的因素存在不假，但还有另一层就是炒美联储降息。因为息率一降，你原先的股息率就超了，那么资金就会涌入你的股票，把股价做上去，对应股息率就会降下来，维持平衡。这个逻辑和2023年11月初美联储议息会议确定了利率不再上行之后，神华立马开启一轮暴走的逻辑如出一辙（下图）。如今降息预期稍微松动，而神华、移动这些公司的股票就开始在高位耍赖皮横着不动。什么时候降息预期再起一波，这些股票就会继续向上暴走。（中国神华2022年底以来股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）（3）周期起伏。典型案例：理想汽车。随着新能源汽车的渗透率逐渐提升，这个板块最初的爆发性已经弱化，反而跟随汽车周期自身的波动性加强。这种板块的公司主要看毛利率，其次看销量。这两个因素构成量和价，即Q（Quantity）和P（Price），即判断周期起伏的一个重要依据。（理想汽车股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）量价齐升——量增价跌——量价齐跌——量缩价涨。2023年新能源汽车经历了从量价齐升到量增价跌的相面转换，而2024年将逐渐过渡到量价齐跌的阶段。对于2024年本身，新能源汽车板块应当避一避，目前Tesla已经跌到180，看似还没跌到底。但后面随着周期的好转，是会再起来的。2 熊市必败品种（1）巨型蓝筹。典型案例：腾讯、友邦、港交所这三只股票其实2023年业绩都不差，像港交所和腾讯某些季度甚至交出了史上最佳业绩，但股价就是这么无脑跌。腾讯很多网友说受制于南非Nasper减持。但我想说，Nasper是2018年3月份宣布的坚持，2018年腾讯最低跌到240不假，但腾讯史上最高股价700出现在2021年初，明显是在Nasper之后。所以Nasper减持是股民的阿Q式自我安慰。腾讯不涨的真正原因在于，与指数太接近。恒指一度被称为“腾指”（腾讯指数），腾讯即恒指，那么如果市场大盘差，腾讯也好不了。同理适用于港交所、友邦等等巨盘蓝筹股。由于太接近指数，那么如果指数不行，这些股票都不会太好。有人会说，你把这些股票拉上去指数不就好了吗？实情是，指数的影响因素很多，有期指、还有指数期权、国际上还有很多指数投机产品，是人家通过这些衍生工具去做指数的价位，然后带动你这些巨蓝筹被动沽盘，而不是反过来。（2）长期亏损。典型案例：哔哩，快手。亏损股有不少都是2018年港交所新政之后上市的。当市场流动性充裕的时候市场会给这些股票以耐心，等他们走出烧钱阶段，进而盈利上岸。但现在流动性收紧这么久，叠加港股市场信心堕落，那么投资者就不愿再等下去，或者说没有耐心了。哔哩哔哩属于长期持续不能盈利的，因此看到从2023年初开始就一路阴跌，无法组织起有效的反弹。而快手属于刚刚上岸的，所以去年4-7月份有过一波短暂的上行，最后的灿烂，但随后市场的表现也显示出，不愿再等了。快手的走势总体上比哔哩要漂亮一点，但也难逃最终走向下跌的宿命。（快手股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）当然，还有更多那一波借“上市新规”改革登陆港交所的公司，例如平安好医生、歌礼制药，以及2020-2021那一波IPO热潮的过江之鲫，像奈雪、医渡科技之流。这些公司如果长期不能盈利的话，最终都将打回原形。（3）过气热点。典型案例：信义光能。光伏是过去几年的热点，现在退潮了。将来还能不能起来不一定。光伏我倾向于不把它定义为周期，因为他周期太长了，基本上要5-10年才能炒一波，而且中间伴随着技术升级迭代，几乎每一轮周期对于参与者而言都过于惨烈，不论是躬身入局的企业还有投资者。（4）无流动性太多了，这种股票太多了。不举例了，一天几百万成交金额的，都高危。港股这种地量成交的股票，往往货源归边，稍微放大一点的成交量就可能引发暴跌清仓式暴跌。上周五的中旭未来(09890.HK)了解一下。好了，必败品种就这些，大家执生回避就好了。当然……如果这必败的这几个因素都包含了，也就是说既是指数成分股、盘子不小、还没有业绩支撑持续亏损、而且热点过气市场不愿再给你耐心……那么最终结果一定是死得很惨。例如：美团。（美团2022下半年以来股价走势，数据来源：富途牛牛）当然美团在去年\n Q3\n 业绩之前，市场基本上还是对他比较尊重的，虽然不肯涨，但\n 100\n 港元的价格还能保得住。但是Q3业绩一出，耗尽了市场的最后一点耐心，于是一掊把你干下去，彻底怼烂，水花不打，到现在股价干到65，似乎还没有见底的迹象。3 其它风险最后还有一类，涉及大国博弈，被夹在大国之间成为牺牲品的公司，或者有这种潜在风险的公司，也应当回避。典型案例：百度。1月15日那天百度缺口暴跌11%，至今缺口无法收复，其真实原因大概就与大国博弈有关。这里不便说，大家自己查新闻吧。（百度股价一日暴跌11%，来源：富途牛牛）像百度这种纯广告公司，叠加一点AI属性，放在美股就是Google和Meta这种级别的。虽然你的广告、\n AI\n 以及业务模式都是别人的低配版，但从估值角度，\n Google\n 和\n Meta\n 能有\n 20—25\n 倍，你百度最起码\n 15-20\n 倍是应该有的。\n 最差也是\n 12-18\n 倍。\n 那么对应到股价上，\n 120\n 附近应该是底部了。但\n 1\n 月\n 15\n 日那天就这么赤裸裸地跌穿\n 100\n 。\n 虽然是错杀，但短期内恐怕难以翻身。\n 而且如果他真的就一直在\n 100\n 附近晃的话，老手都知道盘久必跌，最后什么样的投资策略都无效。4 总结以上大概就是我对2024年港股投资的基本注意事项了。再重复一遍，能够扛过熊市的公司，一定是要（1）有坚实的业绩支撑、或者（2）有牢固的派息收益、以及（3）不涉及大国博弈的标的。而那些（1）烧钱的、（2）亏损的、（3）炒概念的、以及（4）盘子太大接近指数或者（5）盘子太小流动性没有的，以及（6）在大国博弈中有可能牺牲的品种，都应当尽量远离。好了，就这些，祝大家投资愉快，一起熬过港股熊市。\n\n\r\n            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