David huang的个人主页 - 老虎社区

David huang

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2023-12-05

$VinFast Auto(VFS)$

2023-11-22

希望如此

Wedbush：首予VinFast“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价为12美元

2023-11-22

说说你对这篇新闻的看法...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2023-05-03

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@感觉错过好几个亿:$第一共和银行(FRC)$ 这个还开盘吗？有谁知道的吗？怎么硅谷银行破产了都能开盘呀？

2023-05-01

盘前已经大跌了

第一共和银行被FDIC接管！摩根大通：收购交易已经完成

2023-02-19

$Shopify Inc(SHOP)$

2023-01-19

$道琼斯指数主连 2303(YMmain)$

2023-01-18

$天然气主连 2302(NGmain)$

2023-01-03

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@Ivan_甘灿荣:2023前瞻(一)--悲观的纳指

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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16:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>11月22日，Wedbush首予VinFast(VFS)“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价为12美元。</p><p>分析师Daniel Ives和团队参观了VinFast在越南的运营情况后认为，其在越南的工厂有潜力迅速提高产量。该工厂目前可生产250,000辆汽车、类似数量的电动滑板车和3000辆公共汽车，预计到2026年总产量将扩大到95万辆。</p><p>Ives补充说，VinFast强大的资产负债表、现金等价物以及与融资公司Yorkville Advisors签订的高达10亿美元的备用股权协议为其奠定了坚实的财务基础。他相信，VinFast已做好充分准备，为全球电动交通提供持久的产品组合，同时创建一个强大的生态系统，在未来几年实现盈利增长。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be58540d09f556ce3873f51c17c1c967","relate_stocks":{"VFS":"VinFast Auto"},"source_url":"http://hknews.szfuit.com/newRssInfo/feed?original_id=724758121dd93b79630414104e162b85","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2385631322","content_text":"11月22日，Wedbush首予VinFast(VFS)“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价为12美元。分析师Daniel Ives和团队参观了VinFast在越南的运营情况后认为，其在越南的工厂有潜力迅速提高产量。该工厂目前可生产250,000辆汽车、类似数量的电动滑板车和3000辆公共汽车，预计到2026年总产量将扩大到95万辆。Ives补充说，VinFast强大的资产负债表、现金等价物以及与融资公司Yorkville Advisors签订的高达10亿美元的备用股权协议为其奠定了坚实的财务基础。他相信，VinFast已做好充分准备，为全球电动交通提供持久的产品组合，同时创建一个强大的生态系统，在未来几年实现盈利增长。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":244310652834088,"gmtCreate":1700660806060,"gmtModify":1700660807504,"author":{"id":"3572225433717160","authorId":"3572225433717160","name":"David huang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572225433717160","authorIdStr":"3572225433717160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/244310652834088","repostId":"2385631322","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":658796634,"gmtCreate":1683081907428,"gmtModify":1683081908871,"author":{"id":"3572225433717160","authorId":"3572225433717160","name":"David huang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572225433717160","authorIdStr":"3572225433717160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658796634","repostId":"658455019","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":658455019,"gmtCreate":1683022758731,"gmtModify":1683022759870,"author":{"id":"65140849825808","authorId":"65140849825808","name":"感觉错过好几个亿","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c317b5ab739b05d1ed60eeee40312915","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"65140849825808","authorIdStr":"65140849825808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">$第一共和银行(FRC)$&nbsp;</a>这个还开盘吗？ 有谁知道的吗？ 怎么硅谷银行破产了都能开盘呀？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">$第一共和银行(FRC)$&nbsp;</a>这个还开盘吗？ 有谁知道的吗？ 怎么硅谷银行破产了都能开盘呀？","text":"$第一共和银行(FRC)$ 这个还开盘吗？ 有谁知道的吗？ 怎么硅谷银行破产了都能开盘呀？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658455019","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":658495368,"gmtCreate":1682929572555,"gmtModify":1682929574574,"author":{"id":"3572225433717160","authorId":"3572225433717160","name":"David huang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572225433717160","authorIdStr":"3572225433717160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"盘前已经大跌了","listText":"盘前已经大跌了","text":"盘前已经大跌了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658495368","repostId":"1127588347","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127588347","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1682925984,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127588347?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-05-01 15:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"第一共和银行被FDIC接管！摩根大通：收购交易已经完成","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127588347","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月1日，第一共和银行盘前停牌，此前跌超46%。此前，美国加州金融保护和创新部门：指定美国联邦存款保险公司作为第一共和银行的接管人，目前第一共和银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，联邦存款保险公司接受摩根","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>5月1日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">第一共和银行</a>盘前停牌，此前跌超46%。此前，美国加州金融保护和创新部门：指定美国联邦存款保险公司作为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">第一共和银行</a>的接管人，目前第一共和银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，联邦存款保险公司接受<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>对第一共和银行的收购要约。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/801fe0009d7fbe00e4e7bc9ac8541f69\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"870\" tg-height=\"835\"/></p><p><strong>美国联邦存款保险公司官方声明：</strong></p><blockquote>位于加州旧金山的第一共和银行今天被加州金融保护和创新部门关闭，该部门指定联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)为接管方。为了保护存款人，FDIC正与俄亥俄州哥伦布市的摩根大通银行(JPMorgan ChaseBank)签订一项购买和承担协议，以承担第一共和银行的所有存款和几乎所有资产。</blockquote><blockquote>摩根大通提交了收购第一共和银行所有存款的报价。作为交易的部分，第一共和银行在8个州的84个办事处将在今天的正常营业时间内作为摩根大通的分支机构重新开业。第一共和银行的所有存款人将成为摩根大通的存款人，摩根大通将有权利完全访问其所有存款数据。</blockquote><blockquote>存款将继续由FDIC提供保险，客户不需要改变他们的银行关系.以保留他们的存款保险覆盖范围达到适用的限制。第一共和银行的客户应继续使用其现有分行，直到收到摩根大通的通知。目前该银行已完成系统更改，允许摩根大通的其他分行也可以处理其账户。</blockquote><blockquote>截至2023年4月13日，第一共和国银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，总存款约为1039亿美元。除了承担所有存款，摩根大通也同意购买第一共和银行的大部分资产。</blockquote><blockquote>联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)还将与摩根大通就其从前第一共和银行购买的单户家庭、住宅和商业贷款进行亏损分担交易。作为接管人的FDIC和摩根大通将分享损失协议所涉及的贷款损失和潜在的利益回收。亏损分担交易预计将通过将资产保留在私营部门来最大限度地收回资产。该交易也有望最大限度地减少对贷款客户的干扰。 此外，摩根大通将承担所有程序合格的金融合同。</blockquote><blockquote>第一共和国银行的解决方案涉及一个高度竞争的投标过程，最终交易符合联邦存款保险法的最低成本要求。</blockquote><blockquote>联邦存款保险公司估计，存款保险基金的成本将约为130亿美元。这只是一个估计，最终成本将在联邦存款保险公司终止接管时确定。</blockquote><p><strong>摩根大通将向美国联邦存款保险公司支付106亿美元，用于收购第一共和银行</strong></p><blockquote>摩根大通表示将向美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）支付106亿美元，用于收购第一共和银行。此外，摩根大通将偿还来自美国大型银行的250亿美元存款，并取消第一共和银行欠摩根大通的50亿美元存款。美国联邦存款保险公司将向其提供500亿美元的5年期固定利率融资。摩根大通表示，已获得所有监管机构批准，收购第一共和银行的交易已经完成。</blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>第一共和银行被FDIC接管！摩根大通：收购交易已经完成</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n第一共和银行被FDIC接管！摩根大通：收购交易已经完成\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-05-01 15:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>5月1日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">第一共和银行</a>盘前停牌，此前跌超46%。此前，美国加州金融保护和创新部门：指定美国联邦存款保险公司作为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">第一共和银行</a>的接管人，目前第一共和银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，联邦存款保险公司接受<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>对第一共和银行的收购要约。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/801fe0009d7fbe00e4e7bc9ac8541f69\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"870\" tg-height=\"835\"/></p><p><strong>美国联邦存款保险公司官方声明：</strong></p><blockquote>位于加州旧金山的第一共和银行今天被加州金融保护和创新部门关闭，该部门指定联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)为接管方。为了保护存款人，FDIC正与俄亥俄州哥伦布市的摩根大通银行(JPMorgan ChaseBank)签订一项购买和承担协议，以承担第一共和银行的所有存款和几乎所有资产。</blockquote><blockquote>摩根大通提交了收购第一共和银行所有存款的报价。作为交易的部分，第一共和银行在8个州的84个办事处将在今天的正常营业时间内作为摩根大通的分支机构重新开业。第一共和银行的所有存款人将成为摩根大通的存款人，摩根大通将有权利完全访问其所有存款数据。</blockquote><blockquote>存款将继续由FDIC提供保险，客户不需要改变他们的银行关系.以保留他们的存款保险覆盖范围达到适用的限制。第一共和银行的客户应继续使用其现有分行，直到收到摩根大通的通知。目前该银行已完成系统更改，允许摩根大通的其他分行也可以处理其账户。</blockquote><blockquote>截至2023年4月13日，第一共和国银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，总存款约为1039亿美元。除了承担所有存款，摩根大通也同意购买第一共和银行的大部分资产。</blockquote><blockquote>联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)还将与摩根大通就其从前第一共和银行购买的单户家庭、住宅和商业贷款进行亏损分担交易。作为接管人的FDIC和摩根大通将分享损失协议所涉及的贷款损失和潜在的利益回收。亏损分担交易预计将通过将资产保留在私营部门来最大限度地收回资产。该交易也有望最大限度地减少对贷款客户的干扰。 此外，摩根大通将承担所有程序合格的金融合同。</blockquote><blockquote>第一共和国银行的解决方案涉及一个高度竞争的投标过程，最终交易符合联邦存款保险法的最低成本要求。</blockquote><blockquote>联邦存款保险公司估计，存款保险基金的成本将约为130亿美元。这只是一个估计，最终成本将在联邦存款保险公司终止接管时确定。</blockquote><p><strong>摩根大通将向美国联邦存款保险公司支付106亿美元，用于收购第一共和银行</strong></p><blockquote>摩根大通表示将向美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）支付106亿美元，用于收购第一共和银行。此外，摩根大通将偿还来自美国大型银行的250亿美元存款，并取消第一共和银行欠摩根大通的50亿美元存款。美国联邦存款保险公司将向其提供500亿美元的5年期固定利率融资。摩根大通表示，已获得所有监管机构批准，收购第一共和银行的交易已经完成。</blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52e95f8d8c314466bbcd01bdb562ed3f","relate_stocks":{"LU0266013472.USD":"AXA WF - Framlington Longevity Economy A Cap USD","BK4589":"SVB概念","BK4211":"区域性银行","FRCB":"第一共和银行","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4588":"碎股","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127588347","content_text":"5月1日，第一共和银行盘前停牌，此前跌超46%。此前，美国加州金融保护和创新部门：指定美国联邦存款保险公司作为第一共和银行的接管人，目前第一共和银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，联邦存款保险公司接受摩根大通对第一共和银行的收购要约。美国联邦存款保险公司官方声明：位于加州旧金山的第一共和银行今天被加州金融保护和创新部门关闭，该部门指定联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)为接管方。为了保护存款人，FDIC正与俄亥俄州哥伦布市的摩根大通银行(JPMorgan ChaseBank)签订一项购买和承担协议，以承担第一共和银行的所有存款和几乎所有资产。摩根大通提交了收购第一共和银行所有存款的报价。作为交易的部分，第一共和银行在8个州的84个办事处将在今天的正常营业时间内作为摩根大通的分支机构重新开业。第一共和银行的所有存款人将成为摩根大通的存款人，摩根大通将有权利完全访问其所有存款数据。存款将继续由FDIC提供保险，客户不需要改变他们的银行关系.以保留他们的存款保险覆盖范围达到适用的限制。第一共和银行的客户应继续使用其现有分行，直到收到摩根大通的通知。目前该银行已完成系统更改，允许摩根大通的其他分行也可以处理其账户。截至2023年4月13日，第一共和国银行的总资产约为2291亿美元，总存款约为1039亿美元。除了承担所有存款，摩根大通也同意购买第一共和银行的大部分资产。联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)还将与摩根大通就其从前第一共和银行购买的单户家庭、住宅和商业贷款进行亏损分担交易。作为接管人的FDIC和摩根大通将分享损失协议所涉及的贷款损失和潜在的利益回收。亏损分担交易预计将通过将资产保留在私营部门来最大限度地收回资产。该交易也有望最大限度地减少对贷款客户的干扰。 此外，摩根大通将承担所有程序合格的金融合同。第一共和国银行的解决方案涉及一个高度竞争的投标过程，最终交易符合联邦存款保险法的最低成本要求。联邦存款保险公司估计，存款保险基金的成本将约为130亿美元。这只是一个估计，最终成本将在联邦存款保险公司终止接管时确定。摩根大通将向美国联邦存款保险公司支付106亿美元，用于收购第一共和银行摩根大通表示将向美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）支付106亿美元，用于收购第一共和银行。此外，摩根大通将偿还来自美国大型银行的250亿美元存款，并取消第一共和银行欠摩根大通的50亿美元存款。美国联邦存款保险公司将向其提供500亿美元的5年期固定利率融资。摩根大通表示，已获得所有监管机构批准，收购第一共和银行的交易已经完成。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":625704367,"gmtCreate":1676767581660,"gmtModify":1676772604037,"author":{"id":"3572225433717160","authorId":"3572225433717160","name":"David huang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572225433717160","authorIdStr":"3572225433717160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">$Shopify Inc(SHOP)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">$Shopify Inc(SHOP)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$Shopify 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huang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572225433717160","authorIdStr":"3572225433717160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621755151","repostId":"621751173","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":621751173,"gmtCreate":1672718095492,"gmtModify":1672718491811,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"2023前瞻(一)--悲观的纳指","htmlText":"最近的跨年，朋友圈中刷得最多的就是不平静的2022年已过去。诚然对于国内的朋友们来说，全年的生活都被疫情打破，现在的放开将会逐步向好。而对于国外的金融市场来说，恐怕悲观的情绪仅仅只是开端，仍远未到终结。一、美股的驱动是什么?翻开08年以来的美股图表，自美联储08年以来的”0息”时代开始至22年美联储结束超低利率加息应对通胀开始，标普涨幅6.2倍，道指涨幅4.7倍，纳指涨幅11.8倍，三者相距甚大。而其中在美联储慢速加息的2016-2019年期间，标普涨幅79%，道指涨幅86%，纳指涨幅115%，三者差距并不显著。以上数据说明，纳指的波幅受美联储加减息影响甚大，尤其在降息阶段，其涨幅远抛离其它指数。究其原因可能科技股的规模效应相对传统行业更容易受到廉价资金的青睐，而不像传统行业投资周期长，规模效应低，回报慢等。不过当廉价资金不再，资金开始重新追求稳定回报的时候，科技企业恐怕就会受到考验，毕竟具有利润粘性的科技企业凤毛麟角，难免会对其股价进行一轮轮的重估。二、美联储的加息持续？2022年以来，纳指跌幅最大，全年大跌33%。虽然我猜中了美股10月开始有所反弹，但纳指的弱势出乎我的意料。该强不强视为弱，不能因为纳指去年跌多了就认为它跌到位了，如果把这趟下跌视为自08年上涨以来的修正的话，那么现在的跌幅也只是刚刚开始而已。而一切的方向盘就在美联储手中，假若美联储2023年持续加息的话，那么纳指就很难有所表现。而根据我的美元周期推算，美联储的修正式加息周期通常持续2年，而如果规律延续的话那纳指还是有得跌。三、纳指的跌幅？假定上述逻辑和时间都有效的情况下，纳指仍有多少下跌空间？想必是大家关心的问题，这里试着从两个维度测算。1、修正加息抹去降息幅度第一个维度就是当前美联储所加利率已经高于2019年时的利率水平，简单地说，就是疫情以来所降的利率，已经完全抹去。而本次纳指上涨，是由于疫情所带来","listText":"最近的跨年，朋友圈中刷得最多的就是不平静的2022年已过去。诚然对于国内的朋友们来说，全年的生活都被疫情打破，现在的放开将会逐步向好。而对于国外的金融市场来说，恐怕悲观的情绪仅仅只是开端，仍远未到终结。一、美股的驱动是什么?翻开08年以来的美股图表，自美联储08年以来的”0息”时代开始至22年美联储结束超低利率加息应对通胀开始，标普涨幅6.2倍，道指涨幅4.7倍，纳指涨幅11.8倍，三者相距甚大。而其中在美联储慢速加息的2016-2019年期间，标普涨幅79%，道指涨幅86%，纳指涨幅115%，三者差距并不显著。以上数据说明，纳指的波幅受美联储加减息影响甚大，尤其在降息阶段，其涨幅远抛离其它指数。究其原因可能科技股的规模效应相对传统行业更容易受到廉价资金的青睐，而不像传统行业投资周期长，规模效应低，回报慢等。不过当廉价资金不再，资金开始重新追求稳定回报的时候，科技企业恐怕就会受到考验，毕竟具有利润粘性的科技企业凤毛麟角，难免会对其股价进行一轮轮的重估。二、美联储的加息持续？2022年以来，纳指跌幅最大，全年大跌33%。虽然我猜中了美股10月开始有所反弹，但纳指的弱势出乎我的意料。该强不强视为弱，不能因为纳指去年跌多了就认为它跌到位了，如果把这趟下跌视为自08年上涨以来的修正的话，那么现在的跌幅也只是刚刚开始而已。而一切的方向盘就在美联储手中，假若美联储2023年持续加息的话，那么纳指就很难有所表现。而根据我的美元周期推算，美联储的修正式加息周期通常持续2年，而如果规律延续的话那纳指还是有得跌。三、纳指的跌幅？假定上述逻辑和时间都有效的情况下，纳指仍有多少下跌空间？想必是大家关心的问题，这里试着从两个维度测算。1、修正加息抹去降息幅度第一个维度就是当前美联储所加利率已经高于2019年时的利率水平，简单地说，就是疫情以来所降的利率，已经完全抹去。而本次纳指上涨，是由于疫情所带来","text":"最近的跨年，朋友圈中刷得最多的就是不平静的2022年已过去。诚然对于国内的朋友们来说，全年的生活都被疫情打破，现在的放开将会逐步向好。而对于国外的金融市场来说，恐怕悲观的情绪仅仅只是开端，仍远未到终结。一、美股的驱动是什么?翻开08年以来的美股图表，自美联储08年以来的”0息”时代开始至22年美联储结束超低利率加息应对通胀开始，标普涨幅6.2倍，道指涨幅4.7倍，纳指涨幅11.8倍，三者相距甚大。而其中在美联储慢速加息的2016-2019年期间，标普涨幅79%，道指涨幅86%，纳指涨幅115%，三者差距并不显著。以上数据说明，纳指的波幅受美联储加减息影响甚大，尤其在降息阶段，其涨幅远抛离其它指数。究其原因可能科技股的规模效应相对传统行业更容易受到廉价资金的青睐，而不像传统行业投资周期长，规模效应低，回报慢等。不过当廉价资金不再，资金开始重新追求稳定回报的时候，科技企业恐怕就会受到考验，毕竟具有利润粘性的科技企业凤毛麟角，难免会对其股价进行一轮轮的重估。二、美联储的加息持续？2022年以来，纳指跌幅最大，全年大跌33%。虽然我猜中了美股10月开始有所反弹，但纳指的弱势出乎我的意料。该强不强视为弱，不能因为纳指去年跌多了就认为它跌到位了，如果把这趟下跌视为自08年上涨以来的修正的话，那么现在的跌幅也只是刚刚开始而已。而一切的方向盘就在美联储手中，假若美联储2023年持续加息的话，那么纳指就很难有所表现。而根据我的美元周期推算，美联储的修正式加息周期通常持续2年，而如果规律延续的话那纳指还是有得跌。三、纳指的跌幅？假定上述逻辑和时间都有效的情况下，纳指仍有多少下跌空间？想必是大家关心的问题，这里试着从两个维度测算。1、修正加息抹去降息幅度第一个维度就是当前美联储所加利率已经高于2019年时的利率水平，简单地说，就是疫情以来所降的利率，已经完全抹去。而本次纳指上涨，是由于疫情所带来","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b64e8496aae7bc0d6b3e166a36165a06","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15c02d06df1b2e40f3e5b498e91ea173","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a775afb150ad521348fc91878489a70","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621751173","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}