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Lhop
2022-03-28
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
增发啊,韭菜们急着买个啥?光看到拆股了吗?[捂脸]
Lhop
2022-03-28
增发啊,韭菜们
市场消息:特斯拉要求股东就拆股问题进行投票
Lhop
2022-02-17
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
老虎期指数据有问题吧,怎么回事?
Lhop
2022-01-15
前段时间进去的人失望了,之前拉成这样就不祥,price in了,财报稍微有点不近人意就要被砸
Here's Why JPMorgan Chase Is Falling Today
Lhop
2021-10-23
$Snap Inc(SNAP)$
利空出尽买点dip
Lhop
2021-10-22
$英特尔(INTC)$
跌下来的市盈率太感人了,就当分红股也不错了
Lhop
2021-10-22
$英特尔(INTC)$
买了intl的dip,就当分红股也可以了
Lhop
2021-10-22
$英特尔(INTC)$
买了dip
Lhop
2021-10-22
$Facebook(FB)$
[666] 加仓fb,全靠snap同行财报+内部卖股laji[丢脸]
Lhop
2021-10-19
$Facebook(FB)$
元宇宙fb带我们飞吧[鼓掌]
Lhop
2021-10-19
$迪士尼(DIS)$
170~180之间震荡,盘了大半年了,复苏+流媒体,看好它[财迷] [666]
Lhop
2021-10-15
这些负面新闻密集地放出来就是为了在财报出来前不断打压股价吗?[冷漠]
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lhop
2021-10-14
$艾伯维公司(ABBV)$
跟大钱进去赌好运[财迷] [666]
Lhop
2021-10-12
fb🐮
NEC将为Facebook建造连接美国和欧洲的海底光缆
Lhop
2021-10-12
大科技公司里面peg脸书的优势很明显,元宇宙的发展公司不断在前进,能给股东们带来收益,这才是买它的原因吧[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
脸书正面临信用破产危机
Lhop
2021-10-12
高盛反买别墅靠海[开心]
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lhop
2021-10-11
核能,清洁能源,目前已占20%的能源供给,未来必然有更大的发展空间。美股核能龙头ccj。
全球能源危机来袭!我们该警惕什么?
Lhop
2021-10-08
$台积电(TSM)$
这么好的业绩,涨![强] [看涨] q4苹果出货,业绩更加看好[666]
Lhop
2021-10-08
$Cameco Corp(CCJ)$
清洁能源核能目前占发电来源的20%,随着减排和能源缺口的发展,核能大牛市开始就在眼前了[强]
Lhop
2021-10-07
清洁能源必须提到核能,核能占20%的能源供给,荷兰将健新核电站,法国核能占60%的电力供给了。ccj龙头
完美风暴!清洁能源时代的第一场能源危机
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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18:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场消息:特斯拉要求股东就拆股问题进行投票","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149551690","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"市场消息:特斯拉将要求股东在今年的年度股东大会上投票授权增发股份,以实现拆股。特斯拉将要求以股票股息(Stock Dividend)的形式进行拆股,股票股息将视董事会最终批准而定。特斯拉盘前股价拉升,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>市场消息:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>将要求股东在今年的年度股东大会上投票授权增发股份,以实现拆股。</p><p>特斯拉将要求以股票股息(Stock Dividend)的形式进行拆股,股票股息将视董事会最终批准而定。</p><p>特斯拉盘前股价拉升,截至发稿涨超3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ccad69c4bd044bfde2c86dbae63d3f\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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18:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>市场消息:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>将要求股东在今年的年度股东大会上投票授权增发股份,以实现拆股。</p><p>特斯拉将要求以股票股息(Stock Dividend)的形式进行拆股,股票股息将视董事会最终批准而定。</p><p>特斯拉盘前股价拉升,截至发稿涨超3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ccad69c4bd044bfde2c86dbae63d3f\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149551690","content_text":"市场消息:特斯拉将要求股东在今年的年度股东大会上投票授权增发股份,以实现拆股。特斯拉将要求以股票股息(Stock Dividend)的形式进行拆股,股票股息将视董事会最终批准而定。特斯拉盘前股价拉升,截至发稿涨超3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1790,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638105687,"gmtCreate":1645106372507,"gmtModify":1645106372507,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>老虎期指数据有问题吧,怎么回事?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>老虎期指数据有问题吧,怎么回事?","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 老虎期指数据有问题吧,怎么回事?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638105687","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697960596,"gmtCreate":1642215515046,"gmtModify":1642215515046,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"前段时间进去的人失望了,之前拉成这样就不祥,price in了,财报稍微有点不近人意就要被砸","listText":"前段时间进去的人失望了,之前拉成这样就不祥,price in了,财报稍微有点不近人意就要被砸","text":"前段时间进去的人失望了,之前拉成这样就不祥,price in了,财报稍微有点不近人意就要被砸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697960596","repostId":"2203198710","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2203198710","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1642206251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2203198710?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-15 08:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Why JPMorgan Chase Is Falling Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2203198710","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The big bank just kicked off earnings season. Here's what it reported.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>What happened</h2><p>The stock market was having a relatively weak morning on Friday. As of 9:50 a.m. ET, the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> was slightly higher, while the <b>S&P 500</b> and <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> were firmly in negative territory.</p><p>However, <b>JPMorgan Chase</b> (NYSE:JPM) was a big underperformer. Shares were down by 5% for the day, a pretty large pullback for the typically non-volatile big bank stock.</p><h2>So what</h2><p>Keeping with tradition, JPMorgan Chase is the first major company to report its fourth-quarter earnings. And it appears that investors aren't exactly thrilled with the results.</p><p>At first glance, it might seem odd that shares are falling. After all, the bank handily beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines. And there was other good news from the business. For example, JPMorgan Chase announced a $1.8 billion reserve release because loan losses have been far better than anticipated.</p><p>However, management made some negative comments about the next few years that seem to be outweighing the strong numbers. While rising interest rates are generally a positive catalyst for banks, the bank sees rising expenses going forward, including 8% expense growth in 2022 alone due to inflation and wage pressures. As a result, CFO Jeremy Barnum said that the bank will likely miss its 17% return-on-equity target for the next year or two.</p><h2>Now what</h2><p>This is certainly not what investors wanted to hear, as many hoped that the expected interest rate increases in 2022 would finally help drive bank profits higher. However, management made clear that it sees this as a short-term headwind and that its 17% target is still valid going forward. So, now could be a good time for patient long-term investors to take a closer look.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why JPMorgan Chase Is Falling Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why JPMorgan Chase Is Falling Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-15 08:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/heres-why-jpmorgan-chase-is-falling-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happenedThe stock market was having a relatively weak morning on Friday. As of 9:50 a.m. ET, the Nasdaq Composite was slightly higher, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/heres-why-jpmorgan-chase-is-falling-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/heres-why-jpmorgan-chase-is-falling-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203198710","content_text":"What happenedThe stock market was having a relatively weak morning on Friday. As of 9:50 a.m. ET, the Nasdaq Composite was slightly higher, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were firmly in negative territory.However, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) was a big underperformer. Shares were down by 5% for the day, a pretty large pullback for the typically non-volatile big bank stock.So whatKeeping with tradition, JPMorgan Chase is the first major company to report its fourth-quarter earnings. And it appears that investors aren't exactly thrilled with the results.At first glance, it might seem odd that shares are falling. After all, the bank handily beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines. And there was other good news from the business. For example, JPMorgan Chase announced a $1.8 billion reserve release because loan losses have been far better than anticipated.However, management made some negative comments about the next few years that seem to be outweighing the strong numbers. While rising interest rates are generally a positive catalyst for banks, the bank sees rising expenses going forward, including 8% expense growth in 2022 alone due to inflation and wage pressures. As a result, CFO Jeremy Barnum said that the bank will likely miss its 17% return-on-equity target for the next year or two.Now whatThis is certainly not what investors wanted to hear, as many hoped that the expected interest rate increases in 2022 would finally help drive bank profits higher. However, management made clear that it sees this as a short-term headwind and that its 17% target is still valid going forward. So, now could be a good time for patient long-term investors to take a closer look.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851440868,"gmtCreate":1634932042311,"gmtModify":1634932042311,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$Snap Inc(SNAP)$</a>利空出尽买点dip","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$Snap Inc(SNAP)$</a>利空出尽买点dip","text":"$Snap Inc(SNAP)$利空出尽买点dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851440868","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851818620,"gmtCreate":1634891379384,"gmtModify":1634891379384,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>跌下来的市盈率太感人了,就当分红股也不错了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>跌下来的市盈率太感人了,就当分红股也不错了","text":"$英特尔(INTC)$跌下来的市盈率太感人了,就当分红股也不错了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851818620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3536267907686118","authorId":"3536267907686118","name":"sunxshine","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3536267907686118","authorIdStr":"3536267907686118"},"content":"财报很优秀啊,搞不懂为啥跌10个点。","text":"财报很优秀啊,搞不懂为啥跌10个点。","html":"财报很优秀啊,搞不懂为啥跌10个点。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853755024,"gmtCreate":1634854097395,"gmtModify":1634854097395,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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","text":"$Facebook(FB)$元宇宙fb带我们飞吧[鼓掌]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850659453","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850627303,"gmtCreate":1634598148158,"gmtModify":1634598148158,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a>170~180之间震荡,盘了大半年了,复苏+流媒体,看好它[财迷] [666] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a>170~180之间震荡,盘了大半年了,复苏+流媒体,看好它[财迷] [666] ","text":"$迪士尼(DIS)$170~180之间震荡,盘了大半年了,复苏+流媒体,看好它[财迷] [666]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850627303","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824166576,"gmtCreate":1634291544263,"gmtModify":1634291544263,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这些负面新闻密集地放出来就是为了在财报出来前不断打压股价吗?[冷漠] ","listText":"这些负面新闻密集地放出来就是为了在财报出来前不断打压股价吗?[冷漠] 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[666]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822447176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826565781,"gmtCreate":1634039732238,"gmtModify":1634039732238,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fb🐮","listText":"fb🐮","text":"fb🐮","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826565781","repostId":"2174818728","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2174818728","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634023740,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2174818728?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 15:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"NEC将为Facebook建造连接美国和欧洲的海底光缆","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2174818728","media":"C114通信网","summary":"目前为止,全球总计部署了120万公里的海底光缆,足以绕地球30圈。因此,像Facebook和谷歌这样的巨头正在大举投资海底光缆,以确保其通信网络的安全。Facebook是建造2Africa的财团成员之一,2Africa目前将成为世界上最长的海底光缆。NEC总计建造了超过30万公里的海底光缆。印度近日选择NEC为其建造一条从该国主要沿海城市科钦到大约400公里外拉克沙群岛的11个岛屿的光缆。","content":"<html><body><article><p>C114讯 北京时间10月12日消息(艾斯)据Light Reading报道,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>刚刚与日本NEC签订了一份合同,后者将为其建造一条连接美国和欧洲的超高性能海底光纤电缆。</p><p>目前为止,全球总计部署了120万公里的海底光缆,足以绕地球30圈。</p><p>但NEC表示,从2021年到2035年,跨越<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600558\">大西洋</a>的国际数据流量将增长20倍,使其成为数据流量增长最快的线路之一。目前90%以上的国际通信是通过光缆进行的。</p><p>因此,像Facebook和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>这样的巨头正在大举投资海底光缆,以确保其通信网络的安全。目前,在跨大西洋的数据连接方面,他们的投资约占五分之四。</p><p>因此,这意味着,作为海底光缆供应商,如果能够找到一种方法来降低所有这些数据流量的每比特成本,那么这将带来巨大的回报。</p><p>NEC称其新光缆每秒0.5 petabit的容量是“迄今为止长距离中继光纤海底电缆系统中最高的”。这一光缆有24光纤对电缆和中继器,而之前的海底光缆最多只有16光纤对。</p><p>Facebook Connectivity副总裁Dan Rabinovitsj表示,美欧海底光缆项目的部分路段将使用新的铝导体系统,而不是旧的铜导体技术,这使得光缆的建造成本更低。</p><p>他补充说,这条光缆的容量将是2000年代跨大西洋电缆的200倍,并将连接到连接了非洲、亚洲和欧洲的“2Africa”光缆系统。</p><p>Facebook是建造2Africa的财团成员之一,2Africa目前将成为世界上最长的海底光缆。2Africa光缆系统将比旧系统埋深50%,并在已知的海底干扰区域进行铺设。</p><p><strong>光缆大战2.0</strong></p><p>与此相关的是,NEC最近在大型海底光缆合同中获得了更多的份额。NEC总计建造了超过30万公里的海底光缆。</p><p>印度近日选择NEC为其建造一条从该国主要沿海城市科钦到大约400公里外拉克沙群岛的11个岛屿的光缆。这份价值1.43亿美元(107亿卢比)的合同引发了印度国内电信设备制造商的批评,他们指责政府没有选择本土公司。这些印度本土公司还抱怨印度政府调整了招标条件,从而将合同交给了NEC。</p><p>日本NEC、美国SubCom和法国Alcatel Submarine Networks占据了全球光缆市场90%以上的份额。</p><p>随着全球数据传输需求预计将保持以每年30%至40%的速度增长,华为海洋公司(现为中国公司亨通集团所有)等中国企业也在关注如何在需求旺盛的光缆市场分一杯羹。</p><p>但在澳大利亚和日本的支持下,美国一直强烈要求其它国家避免与中国供应商合作,称北京方面可能暗中监视基础设施。</p><p>去年,华为在建造一条连接密克罗尼西亚、基里巴斯和瑙鲁的海底光缆的竞标中击败了竞争对手,但来自这三个国家的一个运营商财团随后告诉华为和另外两家竞标者,他们的投标将不会被考虑。</p><p>与此同时,在研究层面上,NEC表示,该公司最近发现了一种方法,可以在不增加电缆直径的情况下,将四倍多的数据压缩到海底光缆中。</p><p>光缆目前在一根光纤中只有一条线,但该公司表示,他们找到了一种方法,可以将四条光传输线植入进一根不足一毫米粗的玻璃纤维中。</p><p>此外,数据中心给爱尔兰等国家的电力供应带来了压力。</p><p>因此,像Iris这样的大容量海底光缆系统(从爱尔兰到冰岛跨越1700公里,预计将于明年晚些时候完工)可以帮助将一些应用和工作负载转移到北欧国家的数据中心,在那里大自然可以帮助进行冷却,可再生能源供应充足。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NEC将为Facebook建造连接美国和欧洲的海底光缆</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNEC将为Facebook建造连接美国和欧洲的海底光缆\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-12 15:29 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021101215302979fad34f&s=b><strong>C114通信网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>C114讯 北京时间10月12日消息(艾斯)据Light Reading报道,Facebook刚刚与日本NEC签订了一份合同,后者将为其建造一条连接美国和欧洲的超高性能海底光纤电缆。目前为止,全球总计部署了120万公里的海底光缆,足以绕地球30圈。但NEC表示,从2021年到2035年,跨越大西洋的国际数据流量将增长20倍,使其成为数据流量增长最快的线路之一。目前90%以上的国际通信是通过光缆进行...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021101215302979fad34f&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5a3b7b2bdd3ab9f803f408004776e72","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021101215302979fad34f&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2174818728","content_text":"C114讯 北京时间10月12日消息(艾斯)据Light Reading报道,Facebook刚刚与日本NEC签订了一份合同,后者将为其建造一条连接美国和欧洲的超高性能海底光纤电缆。目前为止,全球总计部署了120万公里的海底光缆,足以绕地球30圈。但NEC表示,从2021年到2035年,跨越大西洋的国际数据流量将增长20倍,使其成为数据流量增长最快的线路之一。目前90%以上的国际通信是通过光缆进行的。因此,像Facebook和谷歌这样的巨头正在大举投资海底光缆,以确保其通信网络的安全。目前,在跨大西洋的数据连接方面,他们的投资约占五分之四。因此,这意味着,作为海底光缆供应商,如果能够找到一种方法来降低所有这些数据流量的每比特成本,那么这将带来巨大的回报。NEC称其新光缆每秒0.5 petabit的容量是“迄今为止长距离中继光纤海底电缆系统中最高的”。这一光缆有24光纤对电缆和中继器,而之前的海底光缆最多只有16光纤对。Facebook Connectivity副总裁Dan Rabinovitsj表示,美欧海底光缆项目的部分路段将使用新的铝导体系统,而不是旧的铜导体技术,这使得光缆的建造成本更低。他补充说,这条光缆的容量将是2000年代跨大西洋电缆的200倍,并将连接到连接了非洲、亚洲和欧洲的“2Africa”光缆系统。Facebook是建造2Africa的财团成员之一,2Africa目前将成为世界上最长的海底光缆。2Africa光缆系统将比旧系统埋深50%,并在已知的海底干扰区域进行铺设。光缆大战2.0与此相关的是,NEC最近在大型海底光缆合同中获得了更多的份额。NEC总计建造了超过30万公里的海底光缆。印度近日选择NEC为其建造一条从该国主要沿海城市科钦到大约400公里外拉克沙群岛的11个岛屿的光缆。这份价值1.43亿美元(107亿卢比)的合同引发了印度国内电信设备制造商的批评,他们指责政府没有选择本土公司。这些印度本土公司还抱怨印度政府调整了招标条件,从而将合同交给了NEC。日本NEC、美国SubCom和法国Alcatel Submarine Networks占据了全球光缆市场90%以上的份额。随着全球数据传输需求预计将保持以每年30%至40%的速度增长,华为海洋公司(现为中国公司亨通集团所有)等中国企业也在关注如何在需求旺盛的光缆市场分一杯羹。但在澳大利亚和日本的支持下,美国一直强烈要求其它国家避免与中国供应商合作,称北京方面可能暗中监视基础设施。去年,华为在建造一条连接密克罗尼西亚、基里巴斯和瑙鲁的海底光缆的竞标中击败了竞争对手,但来自这三个国家的一个运营商财团随后告诉华为和另外两家竞标者,他们的投标将不会被考虑。与此同时,在研究层面上,NEC表示,该公司最近发现了一种方法,可以在不增加电缆直径的情况下,将四倍多的数据压缩到海底光缆中。光缆目前在一根光纤中只有一条线,但该公司表示,他们找到了一种方法,可以将四条光传输线植入进一根不足一毫米粗的玻璃纤维中。此外,数据中心给爱尔兰等国家的电力供应带来了压力。因此,像Iris这样的大容量海底光缆系统(从爱尔兰到冰岛跨越1700公里,预计将于明年晚些时候完工)可以帮助将一些应用和工作负载转移到北欧国家的数据中心,在那里大自然可以帮助进行冷却,可再生能源供应充足。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826645540,"gmtCreate":1634018870016,"gmtModify":1634018870016,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大科技公司里面peg脸书的优势很明显,元宇宙的发展公司不断在前进,能给股东们带来收益,这才是买它的原因吧[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"大科技公司里面peg脸书的优势很明显,元宇宙的发展公司不断在前进,能给股东们带来收益,这才是买它的原因吧[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","text":"大科技公司里面peg脸书的优势很明显,元宇宙的发展公司不断在前进,能给股东们带来收益,这才是买它的原因吧[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826645540","repostId":"2174975342","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2174975342","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"研讨公司成败,探究行业兴衰,推动阳光商业。由《财经》公司产业报道团队创建,“媒体+智库”双轮驱动的商业新媒体平台","home_visible":1,"media_name":"财经十一人","id":"1099700195","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c6ac2a9dafc44d0a5e8c2ea84dfb4e2"},"pubTimestamp":1633918921,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2174975342?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 10:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"脸书正面临信用破产危机","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2174975342","media":"财经十一人","summary":"最近这段时间,可谓是脸书(Facebook)历史上最困难的一段时间。从内部爆料到系统宕机再到反垄断诉讼,脸书面临空前压力。按媒体的说法,脸书已经面临“道德破产”(morally bankrupt)的危","content":"<div>\n<p>最近这段时间,可谓是脸书(Facebook)历史上最困难的一段时间。从内部爆料到系统宕机再到反垄断诉讼,脸书面临空前压力。按媒体的说法,脸书已经面临“道德破产”(morally bankrupt)的危险。如果处理不好,脸书很有可能面临着高额罚款甚至被迫拆分的局面。而其中最大的挑战,是由一个叫弗朗西斯·豪根 (Frances Haugen)的前雇员引出的。\n弗朗西斯·豪根--前 脸书 产品经理,曾在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>脸书正面临信用破产危机</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n脸书正面临信用破产危机\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-10-11 10:22 北京时间 <strong>财经十一人</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>最近这段时间,可谓是脸书(Facebook)历史上最困难的一段时间。从内部爆料到系统宕机再到反垄断诉讼,脸书面临空前压力。按媒体的说法,脸书已经面临“道德破产”(morally bankrupt)的危险。如果处理不好,脸书很有可能面临着高额罚款甚至被迫拆分的局面。而其中最大的挑战,是由一个叫弗朗西斯·豪根 (Frances Haugen)的前雇员引出的。\n弗朗西斯·豪根--前 脸书 产品经理,曾在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7c31ff7223af040013ccad134090215","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2174975342","content_text":"最近这段时间,可谓是脸书(Facebook)历史上最困难的一段时间。从内部爆料到系统宕机再到反垄断诉讼,脸书面临空前压力。按媒体的说法,脸书已经面临“道德破产”(morally bankrupt)的危险。如果处理不好,脸书很有可能面临着高额罚款甚至被迫拆分的局面。而其中最大的挑战,是由一个叫弗朗西斯·豪根 (Frances Haugen)的前雇员引出的。\n弗朗西斯·豪根--前 脸书 产品经理,曾在公司的民事诚信(civic integrity)部门工作近两年,直到去年该部门解散。\n豪根女士今年初从脸书离职。离职前她复制了大量公司内部文件。从一个多月前开始,豪根女士开始向媒体提供这些内部文件。通过这些文件,她试图证明脸书公司对于旗下社交媒体平台的管控存在巨大问题:社交媒体对于公众和其上的用户存在潜在危害,公司心知肚明但却一直进行忽视和隐瞒。在具体的业务运营中,脸书一直以盈利指标和增加用户活跃度作为唯一的核心目标,并不断压制公司内部试图降低社交媒体负面影响的努力。\n该媒体在获得文件后进行了仔细甄别,并在新闻App上专门开设了临时的分类新闻“脸书文件”(Facebook Files),逐步披露相关的内容。\n除了提供文件给媒体并接受媒体专访,豪根女士同时将部分文件提交给了美国证券交易委员会(Securities and Exchange Commission, 简称SEC)和国会,并最终推动国会近期邀请豪根女士进行了听证会。\n01 \n三大问题\n从豪根女士目前提供的资料来看,脸书主要面临着这样几个问题:\n其一,通过展示争议性内容增加用户粘性。\n2018年开始脸书的用户活跃度开始下降。为了应对这一变化,脸书在原有动态消息(News Feed)的推送算法上进行了升级,并希望促进朋友和家人间“有意义的社交互动”(meaningful social interactions,简称MSI)。\n但MSI在投入使用后不久,互联网媒体BuzzFeed的首席执行官乔纳·佩雷蒂(Jonah Peretti)就告诉脸书公司,自己平台上的一些高度争议性的内容在脸书上引起病毒式传播。其中某篇涉及白人的文章在脸书上被转发了1.3万次,评论达到1.6万条。其中大部分在抨击BuzzFeed不应该发表这样涉及种族问题的文章。相比较而言,不论是新闻还是其他类型的文章,都无法达到如此高的转发和评论参与。\n这就从一个侧面证实了脸书对于MSI的革新很大程度上导致争议内容更容易被算法所推送,展示到更多的受众面前,并引起下一轮的转发、评论和传播。最终的效果是平台上用户平均的阅读时间更长、转发和评论的参与度更高,从而形成更高的用户活跃度和使用黏性。\n\n图片来源:报告内容之一 -- MSI系统对于用户行为的权重评分,其中有争议性的高回复评论/转发将得到最高的权重评分\n脸书内部负责引导用户合理使用的数据科学家们也发现了MSI带来的改变。他们向上层汇报并希望做出一些调整,以降低算法对于高争议性内容和包含愤怒情绪评论的展示偏好。当意见最终提交给扎克伯格后,他最终否决了运营分析团队对于改变MSI展示倾向性的建议。于是一切照旧。越来越多的争议性内容被高优先级展示,从而推动用户活跃度的增加,这些都是以脸书社交平台上越来越多的偏激和虚假内容泛滥为代价。\n其二,有意淡化Instagram对青少年的负面影响。\n众所周知,脸书在成年人的社交媒体使用中有着接近垄断性的地位。而在18岁以下的青少年中,脸书的渗透率远远不如TikTok和Snapchat这样的后起之秀。唯一例外的是脸书在2012年收购的Instagram。这个图片社交平台得到了相当多青少年的青睐,也是脸书挖掘青少年用户最重要的工具。\n\n为了更好地开拓青少年用户市场,脸书一直在进行Instagram影响青少年用户的研究。2020年的研究发现,“Instagram 非常适合引起年轻人的共鸣并赢得年轻人的青睐。”但随之而来的是,社交媒体上的频繁交互同样有可能给青少年心理带来负面影响。\n2020年3月脸书内部的分析报告显示,强调分享自己的最佳时刻和完美形象,让使用Instagram的青少年陷入对自身形象的怀疑、焦虑乃至抑郁。看着社交圈朋友光鲜亮丽的形象,再浏览算法推送的照片和视频,很容易让青少年产生自惭形秽和挫败的感受。此时社交媒体引导青少年用户的重度使用,只会不断放大这一情绪,最终给用户创造一场完美的风暴。\n\n图片来源:报告内容之二 ——五分之一的英国女性青少年用户觉得Instagram让她们感觉更糟糕\n文件显示,这项研究结果已提交给 脸书 高管,并在 2020 年面向扎克伯格的汇报中被引用。\n尽管众多脸书高层包括扎克伯格都了解Instagram对于青少年的负面影响及相关的研究结果。但在2021年3月出席国会听证会时,扎克伯格在被问及青少年使用社交媒体的心理健康问题时表示“:我们所看到的研究表明,使用社交应用与他人联系可以带来积极的心理健康益处。”\n其三,对知名用户/大V的特殊对待。\n脸书一直强调,自己提供了一个面向现有30亿用户的平等交流平台。脸书旗下各社交媒体的管理标准适用于所有用户。但在实际的业务运营中,脸书建立了一套服务于高知名度用户(微博一般俗称“大V”)的系统,让这些“大V”享受更加宽松的规则约束。这套系统机制被称为“交叉检查”(Cross-check)或“XCheck”。美国前总统特朗普、美国民主党参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦、巴西球星内马尔等都是大“大V”中的一员。\n由于“大V”们的内容往往能够引起大量的转发传播,所以脸书最早是希望借助“交叉检查”进行人工审核,以便甄别“大V”发布的涉及非授权、骚扰或煽动暴力的内容并进行管控。但在实际的运营中,由于审核不及时,往往导致“大V”的不合规内容更长时间暴露在社交媒体上而不能及时删除。2019 年球星内马尔自己的脸书账号上发布了一名指控他强奸的女性的裸照。如果是普通账号发布类似内容通常会被系统自动识别并屏蔽。但内马尔发布的内容持续存在了近一天,在浏览量达到5600万之后才被 脸书 删除。\n脸书的“交叉检查”机制在事实上创造出社交媒体平台上的特权阶层。这个阶层受到的规则约束更少,监管措施也更不及时。按照内部文件显示,纳入“交叉检查”的“大V”数量已经超过了580万。\n02 \n脸书消极应对\n除了以上三点主要问题,豪根女士披露的文件还显示脸书在屏蔽和封锁各种非法内容方面并没有竭尽全力。运营团队曾经向上层管理人员汇报过多种非法内容泛滥,包括中东人贩引诱女性从事性工作、埃塞俄比亚武装团体煽动暴力,以及器官出售和色情交易的内容,很多时候都没有得到积极回应。\n而在新冠肺炎疫情期间,大量宣扬新冠疫苗接种各种离奇副作用的帖子在脸书上流传。反疫苗人士把脸书作为主要的传播平台宣扬各种反疫苗主张。尽管脸书宣称把大力支持推广新冠疫苗作为公司的首要任务,最终反疫苗信息的泛滥说明脸书在管理平台时是极为没有成效的。\n尽管脸书负责维护平台安全的团队,比如“诚信”团队,在积极推动脸书的内部变革,希望减少社交媒体的负面影响。但当变革措施影响到业务发展指标达成时,脸书的领导人往往选择维护企业利润而不是用户安全。\n这一下意识的选择不只是出现在部分脸书的高层身上,而是遍及脸书公司,甚至在创始人扎克伯格身上也一样。这就是脸书企业文化的一部分。所以豪根女士最终认为脸书公司已经“道德破产”,所以站出来向媒体和监管机构“吹哨”揭发。\n就在豪根女士参加国会听证的前一天,脸书的服务突然中断,超过29亿互联网用户无法访问脸书、Instagram、WhatsApp和其他工具。这为脸书危机的解决蒙上了进一步的阴影。\n根据脸书官方提供的消息,脸书这次服务全面中断从美国东部时间10月5日上午11:40左右开始,一直延续了近6个小时。在此期间全球用户都无法使用脸书的服务。官方给出的原因是脸书的维护工程师误操作导致所有数据中心的网络下线,最终导致网站全面断网。\n这次脸书历史上最严重的的宕机偏偏出现在豪根女士举报引起关注的高峰时刻,实在是让人难以置信的巧合。用户对脸书的技术能力和运营水平产生了深深的怀疑。脸书的股价在最近30天内下跌了超过10%,是几个高科技互联网巨头中股票下跌最深的。\n需要指出的是,脸书的麻烦事还不止这些。监管机构和股东向其发起的诉讼案同样让脸书如坐针毡。\n2020年12月美国联邦贸易委员会(Federal Trade Commission,以下简称FTC)起诉脸书涉嫌通过收购两大社交媒体平台Instagram及WhatsApp形成市场垄断,并寻求解除这两个已经完成多年的收购交易。如果FTC一旦胜诉,就意味着脸书现有业务必须拆分为多个实体独立运营,这将是对脸书的沉重打击。所以本周一(10月5日)脸书向哥伦比亚特区联邦法院提交了一份动议,希望法庭驳回FTC的反垄断诉讼。\n另一个股东诉讼案则直接针对脸书创始人扎克伯格。9月22日罗德岛州的两个公共退休基金作为原告提起诉讼,以股东身份指控脸书在向FTC支付50亿美元和解金的金额过高,其目的是保护扎克伯格不在剑桥分析(Cambridge Analytica)数据泄露案中承担个人责任。\n从2016年美国大选中爆出社交媒体被操纵进行政治营销以来,美国社会一直对社交媒体的负面作用报以相当的警惕。\n2021年特朗普在社交媒体上鼓动拥护者到华盛顿抗议,导致其账号被各个社交媒体全面封杀。公众和监管机构对于社交媒体无可取代的地位和对社会生活的巨大影响力有着切身的体会和深深的恐惧。\n到底社交媒体的管理边界在哪里,如何避免社交媒体对公众的负面影响,这些亟待回答的问题再一次被放置在面向公众的聚光灯下。这次脸书前雇员的公开举报给了监管部门一个绝好的机会。相信监管部门会推动脸书进一步透明化社交媒体的管控策略,甚至有可能进一步对社交媒体的推荐算法和虚假内容传播提出监管措施,以避免社交媒体片面追求用户活跃度带来负面效应。\n但尽管是这样,社交媒体上现有的虚假信息泛滥、极端内容横行以及社交媒体重度使用对公众产生的负面影响等问题,目前也没有非常好的解决手段。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826114367,"gmtCreate":1633996940956,"gmtModify":1633996940956,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"高盛反买别墅靠海[开心] ","listText":"高盛反买别墅靠海[开心] ","text":"高盛反买别墅靠海[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826114367","repostId":"2174186317","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828549046,"gmtCreate":1633928156004,"gmtModify":1633928156004,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"核能,清洁能源,目前已占20%的能源供给,未来必然有更大的发展空间。美股核能龙头ccj。","listText":"核能,清洁能源,目前已占20%的能源供给,未来必然有更大的发展空间。美股核能龙头ccj。","text":"核能,清洁能源,目前已占20%的能源供给,未来必然有更大的发展空间。美股核能龙头ccj。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828549046","repostId":"1107010419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107010419","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633919440,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107010419?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 10:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"全球能源危机来袭!我们该警惕什么?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107010419","media":"明晰笔谈","summary":"核心观点\n近期全球能源价格持续上行,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。具体来看,在全球能源结构转型的背景下,此次能源危机主要围绕传统的化石能源展开,包括石油、天然气和煤炭。能源产品的价格一路攀升造成了全","content":"<p><b>核心观点</b></p>\n<p><b>近期全球能源价格持续上行,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。具体来看,在全球能源结构转型的背景下,此次能源危机主要围绕传统的化石能源展开,包括石油、天然气和煤炭。能源产品的价格一路攀升造成了全球范围内的供电紧张,工业生产承压,同时高企的电价以及天然气和汽油短缺也对居民生活造成干扰。预计短期内主要能源产品的价格高位难以改变,新一轮全球通胀来袭,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。此外,借鉴欧洲地区绿色转型经验,我国的能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,预计全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。</b></p>\n<p><b>能源价格一路高歌猛进,全球能源危机来袭。</b>此轮能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开,并伴随着全球电荒和电价高涨。攀升的电价将加剧今年冬天各地区出现停电的风险,而停电可能会进一步推高能源价格,加剧对通胀的担忧。具体来看,8月以来欧洲天然气价格加速上行,波动性也有所增强;石油价格同样一路高歌猛进,其中布伦特原油价格在10月5日升至82.56美元/桶,创2020年疫情爆发后新高;国内焦煤、焦炭、动力煤价格同样涨至历史高位,动力煤价格的高企导致国内发电成本提高,也是限电限产政策的驱动因素之一。</p>\n<p><b>全球能源结构调整为何陷入如此窘境?</b>(1)天然气作为化石能源中相对清洁的能源,被看作是能源转型过程的“良方”,在多国能源转型中扮演了重要角色。其中欧洲地区电力生产结构调整较快,可再生能源、核能、天然气占整体发电结构比重大于煤炭,这也为此次能源危机中天然气价格暴涨埋下了种子。随着生产生活活动的复苏以及季节性用气高峰的到来,欧洲地区对于天然气的需求不断增加;此外,今年以来极端天气较多导致欧洲风电、水电等发电量疲弱,而天然气作为其替代品,相关需求被进一步推升;最后,欧洲与俄罗斯之间的地缘政治因素或也成为欧洲天然气供给陷入紧缺局面的原因之一。(2)石油方面,OPEC+维持原定增产计划,美国原油库存仍处低位,预计供不应求局面短期内难以改变。此外,天然气和煤炭等其他能源的紧缺问题,也在一定程度上引发连带效应,对石油价格形成支撑。</p>\n<p><b>全球能源危机对我国的影响几何?又有哪些警示?</b>近年来,我国能源结构中煤炭仍占主导地位,但其比例下降较快,石油产品和天然气的比重在上升。我国对天然气、原油等能源近年来对外依存度不断增加,因此此次全球能源危机的爆发也将在一定程度上对我国的生产、居民活动产生影响。预计此次全球能源危机或通过原材料价格和电价两条路径对国内产业链造成影响。全球能源危机背景下潜在的输入性通胀叠加国内煤炭处于价格高位,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。欧洲在能源绿色转型中一直走在世界的前列,然而在疫情扰动,自然灾害频发的年份,欧洲的能源转型也暴露了风险,在储能技术尚未成熟的背景下,可再生能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性,无法抵御自然灾害下带来的供给压力。借鉴欧洲的能源转型经验,我国能源结构调整更无法一蹴而就,在能源转型的漫漫长路中,对化石能源仍将存在依赖性。</p>\n<p><b>总结。</b>在全球能源结构转型的大背景下,本轮能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开,与之相伴的是全球性电荒以及高电价,攀升的电价将加大今年冬天各地区出现停电的风险,而停电可能会进一步推高能源价格,加剧对通胀的担忧。此外,此次能源危机反映出传统的化石能源在供能稳定性上的优势以及清洁能源发电韧性的不足。对于我国来说,能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。能源转型之路最终的目标不仅仅是清洁能源,而是具有韧性且可负担的清洁能源。</p>\n<p><b>正文</b></p>\n<p>近期全球能源价格持续上行,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。具体来看,在全球能源结构转型的背景下,此次能源危机主要围绕传统的化石能源展开,包括石油、天然气和煤炭。能源产品的价格一路攀升造成了全球范围内的供电紧张,工业生产承压,同时高企的电价以及天然气和汽油短缺也对居民生活造成干扰。预计短期内主要能源产品的价格高位难以改变,新一轮全球通胀来袭,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。此外,借鉴欧洲地区绿色转型经验,我国的能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,预计全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。</p>\n<p><b>能源价格一路高歌猛进,全球能源危机来袭</b></p>\n<p><b>能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开</b></p>\n<p><b>8月以来欧洲天然气期货价格加速上行,波动性也有所增强。</b>近两年来,欧洲的天然气期货价格一直平稳运行,价格波动较小。但进入2021年,其价格进入了上行通道,其增速在8月后大幅提升。欧洲天然气交易基准荷兰TTF的天然气期货在10月5日一度涨至116.02欧元/兆瓦时,而该期货去年的价格一直在25欧元/兆瓦时水平以下。英国作为受此次天然气价格暴涨影响较大的国家之一,其天然气期货价格在10月后飙升至250便士/千卡以上,远超过去年50便士/千卡的平均水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349be2ca4cf7c8498fd7d52133daf4f1\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f77ed1e6e27b8df4e8a2bc7e3bc9a1e0\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>除天然气外,石油价格同样一路高歌猛进,引发市场对于能源危机的担忧。</b>今年以来,石油价格逐步回暖,2月中旬后布伦特原油和WTI原油期货价格均回升至60美元以上。进入8月,原油期货价格同样出现加速上行趋势,其中布伦特原油价格在10月5日升至82.56美元/桶,创2020年疫情爆发后新高。持续攀升的原油价格或对各国工业生产以及居民生活产生影响,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8d156eb34b12e6d64af65dcf38a4eb6\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>国内焦煤、焦炭、动力煤价格同样涨至历史高位。</b>8月以来,动力煤价格大幅攀升,9月29日达到历史新高的1338元/吨。作为火力发电的主要原料,动力煤价格的高企导致国内发电成本提高,这也是限电限产政策的驱动因素之一。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd133bebdfa5f1ac7cf41bb7e18af482\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>全球能源结构调整为何陷入如此窘境?</b></p>\n<p><b>能源结构转型背景下,多因素推动天然气价格屡创新高</b></p>\n<p><b>全球电力生产的能源结构仍以煤炭为主导,但变化趋势显示煤炭比重降低,天然气和其他可再生资源占比提高。其中欧洲地区调整较快,可再生能源、核能、天然气占整体发电结构比重大于煤炭。</b>早在1996年左右,全球电力生产的结构便已逐步调整,天然气的占比持续走高,并于2004年超过20%。近年来,随着多国绿色经济转型的推进,煤炭的使用比重呈现快速下行趋势(2020年降至35.1%),可再生能源和天然气不断提升。分地区来看,欧洲地区的电力生产结构调整最为迅速,截至2020年可再生能源比重已经达到23.8%,其次为核能和天然气,煤炭在欧洲地区发电结构中占比不大。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c6fb9ec11f3a95089081c3dd6f8830f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"445\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bdb77294a6abaf95df5f9786ea1aba2\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>天然气作为化石能源中相对清洁的能源,被看作是能源转型过程的“良方”,在多国能源转型中扮演了重要角色,这也为此次能源危机中天然气价格暴涨埋下了种子。</b>据中国碳交易网计算结果,与其他能源相比,天然气的二氧化碳排放系数较低,因此其成为了能源结构转型过程中的一个良方。就欧洲而言,从2020年的电力生产结构来看,天然气成为了其第三大发电能源(19.61%),仅次于可再生能源和核能;从2018年最终总消费构成来看,天然气位居第二。天然气对于欧洲地区的重要性也为此次能源危机爆发后其价格暴涨引发欧洲市场担忧埋下了种子。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9be3ee01615abc4d615f0cb969adf7d\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e60954e0d5ec0fbcaf061f15cfa85c9e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>随着生产生活活动的复苏以及季节性用气高峰的到来,欧洲地区对于天然气的需求不断增加。此外今年以来极端天气较多导致欧洲风电、水电等发电量疲弱,而天然气作为其替代品,相关需求被进一步推升。</b>一方面,疫苗接种率逐步提升的背景下,欧洲地区的经济和居民活动逐步修复:2021Q3欧元区制造业产能利用率已恢复至疫情前水平,制造业和服务业的PMI也处于高景气状态;另一方面,随着冬季临近,欧洲地区的天然气消费即将进入季节性高峰,两方面因素导致未来短期内天然气需求激增。此外,今年欧洲干旱天气使得风电、水电的发电量疲弱,欧洲地区被迫增加对天然气等其他能源的需求以填补缺口,进而加剧了天然气的供需矛盾。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f58f1cf5ae668abdee234e221024bd0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>地缘政治因素或也是欧洲天然气供给陷入紧缺局面的原因之一。</b>根据英国石油公司的数据,当前美国和俄罗斯是全球第一大和第二大天然气生产国,2020年两国天然气的产量分别占当年全球总产量的23.7%和16.6%。俄罗斯对欧洲的天然气供应在地理位置上更具优势。据财联社报道:10月6日“俄罗斯总统普京表示俄罗斯对欧洲的天然气出口或将在2021年底达到创纪录水平,但他没有具体说明出口量或何时开始增加供应”。当前“北溪二号”的开通或成为缓解欧洲天然气危机的关键。北溪二号是俄罗斯天然气巨头俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom)和五家欧洲公司的合作项目,Gazprom预计每年可输送550亿立方米的天然气。然而北溪2号最终的通行证是一场美俄欧之间的博弈,充满着复杂的地缘政治因素。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f85b61bae17fa39b2d66a866775f9c96\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>库存新低和替代品紧缺助推原油价格重返80美元</b></p>\n<p><b>OPEC+维持原定增产计划,美国原油库存仍处低位,供不应求局面短期内难以改变。</b>当前疫情虽对全球经济仍存在较多扰动,但摩根大通的全球制造业PMI和服务业PMI显示全球经济正在逐步恢复,原油需求也随之上涨。供给角度,一方面OPEC+在10月4日会议上决定维持现有40万桶/日的增产计划,并未如市场预期的加大增产力度;另一方面原油库存持续去化,美国的原油库存目前已处于近四年来的较低水平。此外,天然气和煤炭等其他能源的紧缺问题,也在一定程度上引发连带效应,为石油价格形成支撑。综上来看原油的供不应求局面短期内难以改变,原油期货价格也顺势站上80美元/桶。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40e1c66dcb427889695435941e6e1e70\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"421\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>全球能源危机对我国的影响几何?又有哪些警示?</b></p>\n<p><b>近年来,我国能源结构中煤炭仍占主导地位,但其比例下降较快,石油产品和天然气的比重在上升。</b>根据国际能源署(IEA)公布的2018年最终总消费构成来看,煤炭仍然是我国主要的能源,但其比重已经呈现下降趋势,而石油产品、天然气的比重则稳步提升。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df55355fe8db65e00c9df1d963211c90\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>我国对天然气、原油等能源近年来对外依存度不断增加。</b>具体来看,2021年我国天然气的自给率在56%-59%区间,而对外依存度在41%-44%区间,自给率和对外依存度逐步趋向50%:50%;原油的自给率和对外依存度则受限于数据,我们仅能从2017年的情况进行推测,当年我国原油自给率约为32.5%左右,对外依存度为67.5%左右,较天然气相比对外依存度更高。因此,此次全球能源危机的爆发也将在一定程度上对我国的生产、居民生活产生影响。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3f91e7d5bbd9e9545cfe2d591b71c34\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>全球能源危机或通过原材料价格、电价等路径对国内化工、电子设备制造业、纺织业等行业的成本造成影响。</b>我们认为此次能源危机将主要通过两条路径对我国的生产活动造成影响:一是原油、天然气和煤炭作为生产所需原材料的一部分,相关行业或将面临一定的原材料成本压力,例如燃料加工业;二是通过“发电成本增加-电价上涨-制造业成本上升”路径间接提升高耗电行业的成本。具体来看,化学制品制造业、电子设备制造业、纺织业等行业在总用电量和用电量增速上均排名靠前,预计能源危机下相关制造业或受到一定影响。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04d9fdd8d940e97ccee8e9ecc48fa052\" tg-width=\"795\" tg-height=\"825\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>全球能源危机背景下潜在的输入性通胀叠加国内煤炭处于价格高位,预计年内通胀压力仍在。</b>今年以来,我国液化天然气和原油进口的价格不断攀升,8月的数据显示液化天然气进口单价达546.99美元/吨,较1月增长142.78%;原油进口均价535.43美元/吨,较1月增长148.03%。鉴于短期内两类能源品在全球市场仍然供不应求,对应的高价或带来输入性通胀的风险。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd010d05f834640086298ea5babaed34\" tg-width=\"1027\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>借鉴欧洲绿色转型经验,我国的能源结构调整不是一朝一夕就可完成的。</b>欧洲在能源转型中一直走在世界的前列,已经实现了清洁能源供电比例高于传统化石能源,且在多年来投资加大的帮助下清洁能源的发电成本逐年下降。然而在疫情扰动、自然灾害频发的年份,欧洲的能源绿色转型也暴露了风险。一方面,在快速发展可再生能源、核能和天然气等清洁能源的同时,欧洲对于传统化石能源的投资不断降低,导致自身化石能源供给严重不足。另一方面,在储能技术尚未成熟的背景下,可再生能源尚未形成可靠的韧性,无法抵御自然灾害下带来的供给压力。借鉴欧洲的能源转型经验,我国能源结构调整更无法一蹴而就。相比较欧洲而言,我国的能源转型刚刚起步,清洁能源发电技术和储能技术尚未成熟、清洁能源发电仍然成本较高。我国的能源转型之路任重道远,充满挑战,预计在能源转型的漫漫长路中,对化石能源仍将存在依赖性。</p>\n<p><b>总结</b></p>\n<p>能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开,与之相伴的是全球性电荒以及高电价,攀升的电价将加大今年冬天各地区出现停电的风险,而停电可能会进一步推高能源价格,加剧对全球通胀的担忧。具体来看:(1)天然气方面,在全球能源结构转型的大背景下,多个经济体对于天然气以及其他清洁能源的需求不断提升,其中欧洲地区转型最快,实现了可再生能源、核能、天然气等清洁能源发电占比高于煤炭。但今年以来极端天气和疫情扰动证明了可再生能源尚未形成可靠的韧性,此外运输能力以及地缘政治等因素也致使欧洲天然气的供应不足,随着激增的需求天然气价格一路攀升,屡创新高。(2)石油方面,OPEC+维持原定增产计划,美国原油库存仍处低位,预计供不应求局面短期内难以改变。此外,天然气和煤炭等其他能源的紧缺问题,也在一定程度上引发连带效应,为石油价格形成支撑;(3)煤炭方面,国内焦煤、焦炭、动力煤价格涨至历史高位,动力煤价格高企拉升了发电成本,或是限电限产的触发因素之一。</p>\n<p>我国对天然气、原油等仍存在一定的对外依赖,此轮全球能源价格的上涨或通过原材料价格、电价等路径对国内生产链造成一定影响,预计对高耗电产业例如化工、电子设备制造业、纺织业等行业的影响较大。考虑到近期国内动力煤等大宗商品价格同样是高位盘旋,我国通胀压力不容忽视。此外,此次能源危机反映出传统的化石能源在供能稳定性上的优势以及清洁能源发电韧性不足。对于我国来说,能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,预计全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。能源转型之路最终的目标不仅仅是清洁能源,而是具有韧性且可负担的清洁能源。</p>","source":"mxbt","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n全球能源危机来袭!我们该警惕什么?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-11 10:30 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/HUowH3Pk2XxzARTIx6lIAQ><strong>明晰笔谈</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>核心观点\n近期全球能源价格持续上行,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。具体来看,在全球能源结构转型的背景下,此次能源危机主要围绕传统的化石能源展开,包括石油、天然气和煤炭。能源产品的价格一路攀升造成了全球范围内的供电紧张,工业生产承压,同时高企的电价以及天然气和汽油短缺也对居民生活造成干扰。预计短期内主要能源产品的价格高位难以改变,新一轮全球通胀来袭,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。此外,借鉴欧洲地区绿色...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/HUowH3Pk2XxzARTIx6lIAQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/368ef711af6ee25f9a9620f52f7101e6","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/HUowH3Pk2XxzARTIx6lIAQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107010419","content_text":"核心观点\n近期全球能源价格持续上行,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。具体来看,在全球能源结构转型的背景下,此次能源危机主要围绕传统的化石能源展开,包括石油、天然气和煤炭。能源产品的价格一路攀升造成了全球范围内的供电紧张,工业生产承压,同时高企的电价以及天然气和汽油短缺也对居民生活造成干扰。预计短期内主要能源产品的价格高位难以改变,新一轮全球通胀来袭,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。此外,借鉴欧洲地区绿色转型经验,我国的能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,预计全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。\n能源价格一路高歌猛进,全球能源危机来袭。此轮能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开,并伴随着全球电荒和电价高涨。攀升的电价将加剧今年冬天各地区出现停电的风险,而停电可能会进一步推高能源价格,加剧对通胀的担忧。具体来看,8月以来欧洲天然气价格加速上行,波动性也有所增强;石油价格同样一路高歌猛进,其中布伦特原油价格在10月5日升至82.56美元/桶,创2020年疫情爆发后新高;国内焦煤、焦炭、动力煤价格同样涨至历史高位,动力煤价格的高企导致国内发电成本提高,也是限电限产政策的驱动因素之一。\n全球能源结构调整为何陷入如此窘境?(1)天然气作为化石能源中相对清洁的能源,被看作是能源转型过程的“良方”,在多国能源转型中扮演了重要角色。其中欧洲地区电力生产结构调整较快,可再生能源、核能、天然气占整体发电结构比重大于煤炭,这也为此次能源危机中天然气价格暴涨埋下了种子。随着生产生活活动的复苏以及季节性用气高峰的到来,欧洲地区对于天然气的需求不断增加;此外,今年以来极端天气较多导致欧洲风电、水电等发电量疲弱,而天然气作为其替代品,相关需求被进一步推升;最后,欧洲与俄罗斯之间的地缘政治因素或也成为欧洲天然气供给陷入紧缺局面的原因之一。(2)石油方面,OPEC+维持原定增产计划,美国原油库存仍处低位,预计供不应求局面短期内难以改变。此外,天然气和煤炭等其他能源的紧缺问题,也在一定程度上引发连带效应,对石油价格形成支撑。\n全球能源危机对我国的影响几何?又有哪些警示?近年来,我国能源结构中煤炭仍占主导地位,但其比例下降较快,石油产品和天然气的比重在上升。我国对天然气、原油等能源近年来对外依存度不断增加,因此此次全球能源危机的爆发也将在一定程度上对我国的生产、居民活动产生影响。预计此次全球能源危机或通过原材料价格和电价两条路径对国内产业链造成影响。全球能源危机背景下潜在的输入性通胀叠加国内煤炭处于价格高位,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。欧洲在能源绿色转型中一直走在世界的前列,然而在疫情扰动,自然灾害频发的年份,欧洲的能源转型也暴露了风险,在储能技术尚未成熟的背景下,可再生能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性,无法抵御自然灾害下带来的供给压力。借鉴欧洲的能源转型经验,我国能源结构调整更无法一蹴而就,在能源转型的漫漫长路中,对化石能源仍将存在依赖性。\n总结。在全球能源结构转型的大背景下,本轮能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开,与之相伴的是全球性电荒以及高电价,攀升的电价将加大今年冬天各地区出现停电的风险,而停电可能会进一步推高能源价格,加剧对通胀的担忧。此外,此次能源危机反映出传统的化石能源在供能稳定性上的优势以及清洁能源发电韧性的不足。对于我国来说,能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。能源转型之路最终的目标不仅仅是清洁能源,而是具有韧性且可负担的清洁能源。\n正文\n近期全球能源价格持续上行,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。具体来看,在全球能源结构转型的背景下,此次能源危机主要围绕传统的化石能源展开,包括石油、天然气和煤炭。能源产品的价格一路攀升造成了全球范围内的供电紧张,工业生产承压,同时高企的电价以及天然气和汽油短缺也对居民生活造成干扰。预计短期内主要能源产品的价格高位难以改变,新一轮全球通胀来袭,我国的通胀压力也不容忽视。此外,借鉴欧洲地区绿色转型经验,我国的能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,预计全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。\n能源价格一路高歌猛进,全球能源危机来袭\n能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开\n8月以来欧洲天然气期货价格加速上行,波动性也有所增强。近两年来,欧洲的天然气期货价格一直平稳运行,价格波动较小。但进入2021年,其价格进入了上行通道,其增速在8月后大幅提升。欧洲天然气交易基准荷兰TTF的天然气期货在10月5日一度涨至116.02欧元/兆瓦时,而该期货去年的价格一直在25欧元/兆瓦时水平以下。英国作为受此次天然气价格暴涨影响较大的国家之一,其天然气期货价格在10月后飙升至250便士/千卡以上,远超过去年50便士/千卡的平均水平。\n\n除天然气外,石油价格同样一路高歌猛进,引发市场对于能源危机的担忧。今年以来,石油价格逐步回暖,2月中旬后布伦特原油和WTI原油期货价格均回升至60美元以上。进入8月,原油期货价格同样出现加速上行趋势,其中布伦特原油价格在10月5日升至82.56美元/桶,创2020年疫情爆发后新高。持续攀升的原油价格或对各国工业生产以及居民生活产生影响,市场对于全球能源危机的担忧渐浓。\n\n国内焦煤、焦炭、动力煤价格同样涨至历史高位。8月以来,动力煤价格大幅攀升,9月29日达到历史新高的1338元/吨。作为火力发电的主要原料,动力煤价格的高企导致国内发电成本提高,这也是限电限产政策的驱动因素之一。\n\n全球能源结构调整为何陷入如此窘境?\n能源结构转型背景下,多因素推动天然气价格屡创新高\n全球电力生产的能源结构仍以煤炭为主导,但变化趋势显示煤炭比重降低,天然气和其他可再生资源占比提高。其中欧洲地区调整较快,可再生能源、核能、天然气占整体发电结构比重大于煤炭。早在1996年左右,全球电力生产的结构便已逐步调整,天然气的占比持续走高,并于2004年超过20%。近年来,随着多国绿色经济转型的推进,煤炭的使用比重呈现快速下行趋势(2020年降至35.1%),可再生能源和天然气不断提升。分地区来看,欧洲地区的电力生产结构调整最为迅速,截至2020年可再生能源比重已经达到23.8%,其次为核能和天然气,煤炭在欧洲地区发电结构中占比不大。\n\n天然气作为化石能源中相对清洁的能源,被看作是能源转型过程的“良方”,在多国能源转型中扮演了重要角色,这也为此次能源危机中天然气价格暴涨埋下了种子。据中国碳交易网计算结果,与其他能源相比,天然气的二氧化碳排放系数较低,因此其成为了能源结构转型过程中的一个良方。就欧洲而言,从2020年的电力生产结构来看,天然气成为了其第三大发电能源(19.61%),仅次于可再生能源和核能;从2018年最终总消费构成来看,天然气位居第二。天然气对于欧洲地区的重要性也为此次能源危机爆发后其价格暴涨引发欧洲市场担忧埋下了种子。\n\n随着生产生活活动的复苏以及季节性用气高峰的到来,欧洲地区对于天然气的需求不断增加。此外今年以来极端天气较多导致欧洲风电、水电等发电量疲弱,而天然气作为其替代品,相关需求被进一步推升。一方面,疫苗接种率逐步提升的背景下,欧洲地区的经济和居民活动逐步修复:2021Q3欧元区制造业产能利用率已恢复至疫情前水平,制造业和服务业的PMI也处于高景气状态;另一方面,随着冬季临近,欧洲地区的天然气消费即将进入季节性高峰,两方面因素导致未来短期内天然气需求激增。此外,今年欧洲干旱天气使得风电、水电的发电量疲弱,欧洲地区被迫增加对天然气等其他能源的需求以填补缺口,进而加剧了天然气的供需矛盾。\n\n地缘政治因素或也是欧洲天然气供给陷入紧缺局面的原因之一。根据英国石油公司的数据,当前美国和俄罗斯是全球第一大和第二大天然气生产国,2020年两国天然气的产量分别占当年全球总产量的23.7%和16.6%。俄罗斯对欧洲的天然气供应在地理位置上更具优势。据财联社报道:10月6日“俄罗斯总统普京表示俄罗斯对欧洲的天然气出口或将在2021年底达到创纪录水平,但他没有具体说明出口量或何时开始增加供应”。当前“北溪二号”的开通或成为缓解欧洲天然气危机的关键。北溪二号是俄罗斯天然气巨头俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom)和五家欧洲公司的合作项目,Gazprom预计每年可输送550亿立方米的天然气。然而北溪2号最终的通行证是一场美俄欧之间的博弈,充满着复杂的地缘政治因素。\n\n库存新低和替代品紧缺助推原油价格重返80美元\nOPEC+维持原定增产计划,美国原油库存仍处低位,供不应求局面短期内难以改变。当前疫情虽对全球经济仍存在较多扰动,但摩根大通的全球制造业PMI和服务业PMI显示全球经济正在逐步恢复,原油需求也随之上涨。供给角度,一方面OPEC+在10月4日会议上决定维持现有40万桶/日的增产计划,并未如市场预期的加大增产力度;另一方面原油库存持续去化,美国的原油库存目前已处于近四年来的较低水平。此外,天然气和煤炭等其他能源的紧缺问题,也在一定程度上引发连带效应,为石油价格形成支撑。综上来看原油的供不应求局面短期内难以改变,原油期货价格也顺势站上80美元/桶。\n\n全球能源危机对我国的影响几何?又有哪些警示?\n近年来,我国能源结构中煤炭仍占主导地位,但其比例下降较快,石油产品和天然气的比重在上升。根据国际能源署(IEA)公布的2018年最终总消费构成来看,煤炭仍然是我国主要的能源,但其比重已经呈现下降趋势,而石油产品、天然气的比重则稳步提升。\n\n我国对天然气、原油等能源近年来对外依存度不断增加。具体来看,2021年我国天然气的自给率在56%-59%区间,而对外依存度在41%-44%区间,自给率和对外依存度逐步趋向50%:50%;原油的自给率和对外依存度则受限于数据,我们仅能从2017年的情况进行推测,当年我国原油自给率约为32.5%左右,对外依存度为67.5%左右,较天然气相比对外依存度更高。因此,此次全球能源危机的爆发也将在一定程度上对我国的生产、居民生活产生影响。\n\n全球能源危机或通过原材料价格、电价等路径对国内化工、电子设备制造业、纺织业等行业的成本造成影响。我们认为此次能源危机将主要通过两条路径对我国的生产活动造成影响:一是原油、天然气和煤炭作为生产所需原材料的一部分,相关行业或将面临一定的原材料成本压力,例如燃料加工业;二是通过“发电成本增加-电价上涨-制造业成本上升”路径间接提升高耗电行业的成本。具体来看,化学制品制造业、电子设备制造业、纺织业等行业在总用电量和用电量增速上均排名靠前,预计能源危机下相关制造业或受到一定影响。\n\n全球能源危机背景下潜在的输入性通胀叠加国内煤炭处于价格高位,预计年内通胀压力仍在。今年以来,我国液化天然气和原油进口的价格不断攀升,8月的数据显示液化天然气进口单价达546.99美元/吨,较1月增长142.78%;原油进口均价535.43美元/吨,较1月增长148.03%。鉴于短期内两类能源品在全球市场仍然供不应求,对应的高价或带来输入性通胀的风险。\n\n借鉴欧洲绿色转型经验,我国的能源结构调整不是一朝一夕就可完成的。欧洲在能源转型中一直走在世界的前列,已经实现了清洁能源供电比例高于传统化石能源,且在多年来投资加大的帮助下清洁能源的发电成本逐年下降。然而在疫情扰动、自然灾害频发的年份,欧洲的能源绿色转型也暴露了风险。一方面,在快速发展可再生能源、核能和天然气等清洁能源的同时,欧洲对于传统化石能源的投资不断降低,导致自身化石能源供给严重不足。另一方面,在储能技术尚未成熟的背景下,可再生能源尚未形成可靠的韧性,无法抵御自然灾害下带来的供给压力。借鉴欧洲的能源转型经验,我国能源结构调整更无法一蹴而就。相比较欧洲而言,我国的能源转型刚刚起步,清洁能源发电技术和储能技术尚未成熟、清洁能源发电仍然成本较高。我国的能源转型之路任重道远,充满挑战,预计在能源转型的漫漫长路中,对化石能源仍将存在依赖性。\n总结\n能源危机围绕天然气、石油、煤炭等化石能源展开,与之相伴的是全球性电荒以及高电价,攀升的电价将加大今年冬天各地区出现停电的风险,而停电可能会进一步推高能源价格,加剧对全球通胀的担忧。具体来看:(1)天然气方面,在全球能源结构转型的大背景下,多个经济体对于天然气以及其他清洁能源的需求不断提升,其中欧洲地区转型最快,实现了可再生能源、核能、天然气等清洁能源发电占比高于煤炭。但今年以来极端天气和疫情扰动证明了可再生能源尚未形成可靠的韧性,此外运输能力以及地缘政治等因素也致使欧洲天然气的供应不足,随着激增的需求天然气价格一路攀升,屡创新高。(2)石油方面,OPEC+维持原定增产计划,美国原油库存仍处低位,预计供不应求局面短期内难以改变。此外,天然气和煤炭等其他能源的紧缺问题,也在一定程度上引发连带效应,为石油价格形成支撑;(3)煤炭方面,国内焦煤、焦炭、动力煤价格涨至历史高位,动力煤价格高企拉升了发电成本,或是限电限产的触发因素之一。\n我国对天然气、原油等仍存在一定的对外依赖,此轮全球能源价格的上涨或通过原材料价格、电价等路径对国内生产链造成一定影响,预计对高耗电产业例如化工、电子设备制造业、纺织业等行业的影响较大。考虑到近期国内动力煤等大宗商品价格同样是高位盘旋,我国通胀压力不容忽视。此外,此次能源危机反映出传统的化石能源在供能稳定性上的优势以及清洁能源发电韧性不足。对于我国来说,能源结构调整无法一蹴而就。在新能源发电尚未形成可靠的韧性、储能技术尚未成熟的情况下,预计全球对化石能源仍将存在不可避免的依赖性。能源转型之路最终的目标不仅仅是清洁能源,而是具有韧性且可负担的清洁能源。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821903338,"gmtCreate":1633681354675,"gmtModify":1633681354675,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>这么好的业绩,涨![强] [看涨] q4苹果出货,业绩更加看好[666] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>这么好的业绩,涨![强] [看涨] q4苹果出货,业绩更加看好[666] ","text":"$台积电(TSM)$这么好的业绩,涨![强] [看涨] q4苹果出货,业绩更加看好[666]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821903338","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823261363,"gmtCreate":1633636545085,"gmtModify":1633636545085,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCJ\">$Cameco Corp(CCJ)$</a>清洁能源核能目前占发电来源的20%,随着减排和能源缺口的发展,核能大牛市开始就在眼前了[强] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCJ\">$Cameco Corp(CCJ)$</a>清洁能源核能目前占发电来源的20%,随着减排和能源缺口的发展,核能大牛市开始就在眼前了[强] ","text":"$Cameco Corp(CCJ)$清洁能源核能目前占发电来源的20%,随着减排和能源缺口的发展,核能大牛市开始就在眼前了[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823261363","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829724007,"gmtCreate":1633560881219,"gmtModify":1633560881219,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"清洁能源必须提到核能,核能占20%的能源供给,荷兰将健新核电站,法国核能占60%的电力供给了。ccj龙头","listText":"清洁能源必须提到核能,核能占20%的能源供给,荷兰将健新核电站,法国核能占60%的电力供给了。ccj龙头","text":"清洁能源必须提到核能,核能占20%的能源供给,荷兰将健新核电站,法国核能占60%的电力供给了。ccj龙头","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829724007","repostId":"1119836545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119836545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633518722,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119836545?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-06 19:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"完美风暴!清洁能源时代的第一场能源危机","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119836545","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"全世界正在经历清洁能源转型带来的第一次重大能源危机。\n包括欧盟27国、英国、巴西和印度等国在内,目前全球已有超30国受到能源危机影响。其中,英国汽油遭到哄抢、巴西电网崩溃,印度电力行业也迎来“完美风暴","content":"<p>全世界正在经历清洁能源转型带来的第一次重大能源危机。</p>\n<p>包括欧盟27国、英国、巴西和印度等国在内,目前全球已有超30国受到能源危机影响。其中,英国汽油遭到哄抢、巴西电网崩溃,印度电力行业也迎来“完美风暴”。</p>\n<p>受到欧洲能源危机的影响,天然气近期跻身全球大宗商品“涨价王”之一。行情数据显示,11月份欧洲天然气供应合同跃升23%,达到了创纪录水平,至每兆瓦时117.50欧元,而6个月前仅为18欧元,较2020年5月创纪录低点更是上涨了超1000%。</p>\n<p>彭博分析认为,此次危机凸显出了欧洲从传统石化能源转向可再生能源的挑战。</p>\n<p>价格压力</p>\n<p>彭博预测,随着世界逐步淘汰化石燃料,转向以电力为动力的汽车、炉灶和供暖系统,到2050年,电力消耗预计将增加60%。</p>\n<p>持续的经济和人口增长也将推动消费增长。随着世界越来越多地走向数字化,这将意味着,当人们比以往任何时候都更需要持续的电力时,这种依赖性就会加剧。</p>\n<p>电力需求激增加上油价波动,意味着未来几十年世界可能会陷入动荡。其后果可能包括能源驱动的通货膨胀,收入加剧不平等,以及迫在眉睫的停电威胁和生产损失。</p>\n<p>全球影响</p>\n<p>地球上的能源系统是相互关联的,由于天然气价格飙升,各国能源都受到了极大的打击。</p>\n<p>英国因为“能源荒”,汽油遭到哄抢,目前这已经给该国食品行业及供应链等带来连锁反应。如果这一问题无法尽快得到解决,那么该国经济很可能将迎来更加严重的问题。</p>\n<p>美国天然气期货价格周二单日上涨9.78%创下历史新高,这是过去10个交易日中出现的第三个单日涨幅超过9%,美国作为世界天然气中心,天然气也是供需紧张。</p>\n<p>作为南美洲最大的经济体,巴西此前有60%的电力是依靠水力发电。不过因为今年天气异常,严重的干旱导致水库的水位下降,水力发电也不再稳定。中化新网称,为了缓解电网崩溃的问题,巴西已经启动天然气发电机,这势必将导致天然气价格提升。</p>\n<p>在印度经济开始复苏的关键时期,一场前所未有的能源危机也不期而至。印度国内的135家燃煤电厂中,有112家只剩下不到一周的存量,超过70家不足三天,有16家甚至已经断供。</p>\n<p>紧张的能源供给</p>\n<p>高盛集团大宗商品研究部全球主管Jeff Currie指出,化石燃料投资不足是能源供给紧张的重要原因之一。</p>\n<p>今年以来,投资者们一直在将资金投入替代能源股,而非化石燃料公司。许多公司则在抛售煤炭和石油股票,认为在能源转型加速之际,这些股票存在风险。一些化石燃料公司已经开始将投资方向转向低碳的未来,而不是仅仅专注于开采和输送更多的石油和天然气。</p>\n<p>Jeff Currie在接受彭博电视台采访时表示:“在世界上许多地方,风能和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">太阳能</a>都已经过剩。”</p>\n<p>在过去的十几年,风能和太阳能的产量激增。但这两种可再生能源都存在着不稳定的因素。而且,与天然气或煤炭不同,电力难以储存大量的电能。然而在电网使用上,供应和需求必须持续、完美地平衡。一旦打破这种平衡,就会导致停电。</p>\n<p>解决储存方案</p>\n<p>未来最大的障碍之一将是储存间歇性风力和水源产生的电力。</p>\n<p>“这种转变既是挑战,也是机遇,”塔夫茨大学气候政策实验室常务董事Amy Myers Jaffe说。</p>\n<p>澳大利亚和加州正在向电网中注入大量电池,以在太阳落山时保持太阳能发电厂的电力供应稳定。这种部署还处于初期阶段,电池本身也是有限的,通常一次只能提供大约四个小时的电力。</p>\n<p>更多的国家和公司都把希望寄托在氢能源上,认为它既是储存能源的一种方式,也是运输和工业的燃料。</p>\n<p>氢可以由可再生能源供电的电解器从水中分离出来,这个过程不会产生温室气体。然后,氢气可以在涡轮中燃烧,或者通过燃料电池发电——所有这些环节都不排放碳。与石油、天然气和煤炭不同,这种“绿色氢”可以在任何有水、有强光或强风的地方生产。</p>\n<p>然而氢能在电力行业大规模应用之前,尚存在着基础设施建设不健全、制氢、储氢和输氢技术存在安全风险等一系列问题。</p>\n<p>在短期内,北半球的暖冬将使天然气价格下降,并使储藏库能够重新填满。但当前的油价飙升提醒人们,尽管世界正试图建立一个新的能源体系,但它仍然依赖于旧的能源体系。</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n完美风暴!清洁能源时代的第一场能源危机\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-06 19:12 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641763><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全世界正在经历清洁能源转型带来的第一次重大能源危机。\n包括欧盟27国、英国、巴西和印度等国在内,目前全球已有超30国受到能源危机影响。其中,英国汽油遭到哄抢、巴西电网崩溃,印度电力行业也迎来“完美风暴”。\n受到欧洲能源危机的影响,天然气近期跻身全球大宗商品“涨价王”之一。行情数据显示,11月份欧洲天然气供应合同跃升23%,达到了创纪录水平,至每兆瓦时117.50欧元,而6个月前仅为18欧元,较...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641763\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d499897995feded240f15260325d83c","relate_stocks":{"159945":"能源"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641763","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1119836545","content_text":"全世界正在经历清洁能源转型带来的第一次重大能源危机。\n包括欧盟27国、英国、巴西和印度等国在内,目前全球已有超30国受到能源危机影响。其中,英国汽油遭到哄抢、巴西电网崩溃,印度电力行业也迎来“完美风暴”。\n受到欧洲能源危机的影响,天然气近期跻身全球大宗商品“涨价王”之一。行情数据显示,11月份欧洲天然气供应合同跃升23%,达到了创纪录水平,至每兆瓦时117.50欧元,而6个月前仅为18欧元,较2020年5月创纪录低点更是上涨了超1000%。\n彭博分析认为,此次危机凸显出了欧洲从传统石化能源转向可再生能源的挑战。\n价格压力\n彭博预测,随着世界逐步淘汰化石燃料,转向以电力为动力的汽车、炉灶和供暖系统,到2050年,电力消耗预计将增加60%。\n持续的经济和人口增长也将推动消费增长。随着世界越来越多地走向数字化,这将意味着,当人们比以往任何时候都更需要持续的电力时,这种依赖性就会加剧。\n电力需求激增加上油价波动,意味着未来几十年世界可能会陷入动荡。其后果可能包括能源驱动的通货膨胀,收入加剧不平等,以及迫在眉睫的停电威胁和生产损失。\n全球影响\n地球上的能源系统是相互关联的,由于天然气价格飙升,各国能源都受到了极大的打击。\n英国因为“能源荒”,汽油遭到哄抢,目前这已经给该国食品行业及供应链等带来连锁反应。如果这一问题无法尽快得到解决,那么该国经济很可能将迎来更加严重的问题。\n美国天然气期货价格周二单日上涨9.78%创下历史新高,这是过去10个交易日中出现的第三个单日涨幅超过9%,美国作为世界天然气中心,天然气也是供需紧张。\n作为南美洲最大的经济体,巴西此前有60%的电力是依靠水力发电。不过因为今年天气异常,严重的干旱导致水库的水位下降,水力发电也不再稳定。中化新网称,为了缓解电网崩溃的问题,巴西已经启动天然气发电机,这势必将导致天然气价格提升。\n在印度经济开始复苏的关键时期,一场前所未有的能源危机也不期而至。印度国内的135家燃煤电厂中,有112家只剩下不到一周的存量,超过70家不足三天,有16家甚至已经断供。\n紧张的能源供给\n高盛集团大宗商品研究部全球主管Jeff Currie指出,化石燃料投资不足是能源供给紧张的重要原因之一。\n今年以来,投资者们一直在将资金投入替代能源股,而非化石燃料公司。许多公司则在抛售煤炭和石油股票,认为在能源转型加速之际,这些股票存在风险。一些化石燃料公司已经开始将投资方向转向低碳的未来,而不是仅仅专注于开采和输送更多的石油和天然气。\nJeff Currie在接受彭博电视台采访时表示:“在世界上许多地方,风能和太阳能都已经过剩。”\n在过去的十几年,风能和太阳能的产量激增。但这两种可再生能源都存在着不稳定的因素。而且,与天然气或煤炭不同,电力难以储存大量的电能。然而在电网使用上,供应和需求必须持续、完美地平衡。一旦打破这种平衡,就会导致停电。\n解决储存方案\n未来最大的障碍之一将是储存间歇性风力和水源产生的电力。\n“这种转变既是挑战,也是机遇,”塔夫茨大学气候政策实验室常务董事Amy Myers Jaffe说。\n澳大利亚和加州正在向电网中注入大量电池,以在太阳落山时保持太阳能发电厂的电力供应稳定。这种部署还处于初期阶段,电池本身也是有限的,通常一次只能提供大约四个小时的电力。\n更多的国家和公司都把希望寄托在氢能源上,认为它既是储存能源的一种方式,也是运输和工业的燃料。\n氢可以由可再生能源供电的电解器从水中分离出来,这个过程不会产生温室气体。然后,氢气可以在涡轮中燃烧,或者通过燃料电池发电——所有这些环节都不排放碳。与石油、天然气和煤炭不同,这种“绿色氢”可以在任何有水、有强光或强风的地方生产。\n然而氢能在电力行业大规模应用之前,尚存在着基础设施建设不健全、制氢、储氢和输氢技术存在安全风险等一系列问题。\n在短期内,北半球的暖冬将使天然气价格下降,并使储藏库能够重新填满。但当前的油价飙升提醒人们,尽管世界正试图建立一个新的能源体系,但它仍然依赖于旧的能源体系。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":333059181,"gmtCreate":1609147689943,"gmtModify":1703737815818,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension 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求链接","text":"有啥负面新闻啊 求链接","html":"有啥负面新闻啊 求链接"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":321481699,"gmtCreate":1615461402011,"gmtModify":1703489363690,"author":{"id":"3567994655869936","authorId":"3567994655869936","name":"Lhop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a01b18ec1f6532bc965385bb36f5d3e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567994655869936","authorIdStr":"3567994655869936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>今晚要涨,不然就会下跌 ,如果震荡就会横盘[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>今晚要涨,不然就会下跌 ,如果震荡就会横盘[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] ","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$今晚要涨,不然就会下跌 ,如果震荡就会横盘[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] 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