Sucrammis的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Sucrammis

Sucrammis

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IP属地：未知

2关注

4粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-11-11

$SEA LTD(SE)$^_^

2021-11-10

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Let’s reach the stars!

2021-11-09

$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$Time for themoon!

2021-11-08

$SEA LTD(SE)$Wew

2021-11-04

$SEA LTD(SE)$Wew

2021-10-28

$SEA LTD(SE)$Letz go

2021-10-26

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Mooning!

2021-10-25

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$To the moonnnnnn

2021-10-19

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$To the moon!

2021-09-21

$SEA LTD(SE)$To the moon

2021-07-21

Letz goooo

2021-07-18

Interesting company

2021-07-16

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Come on tiger!

2021-07-14

$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$Come on!

2021-07-13

Letz go!

2021-07-12

Let’s reach the moon!

2021-07-12

let’s go!!

2021-07-10

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Let’s get back!

2021-07-10

Faith in you!

2021-07-08

What’s happening :(

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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back!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97b7fa1eab9d1854b0ac0c4fb7770f15","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141887358","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141884740,"gmtCreate":1625847220680,"gmtModify":1631891030300,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Faith in you!&nbsp;","listText":"Faith in you!&nbsp;","text":"Faith in you!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/410f6a719f4d7b06923ab5ee6da16040","width":"750","height":"2399"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141884740","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149535982,"gmtCreate":1625734703946,"gmtModify":1631891030313,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What’s happening :(","listText":"What’s happening :(","text":"What’s happening 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this!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eabae35ee11ffd22098c46b66028ff41","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140142102","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154278527,"gmtCreate":1625532119969,"gmtModify":1631885569984,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>Mooning here we come!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>Mooning here we come!","text":"$Square(SQ)$Mooning here we come!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e251d95d85e47b32f355daef8044867","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154278527","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158025475,"gmtCreate":1625115144097,"gmtModify":1631893256790,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$</a>Mooning letzgo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$</a>Mooning letzgo","text":"$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$Mooning letzgo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fef06056ba5ef33c79ae1f3bbae4ed63","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158025475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114135453,"gmtCreate":1623056360672,"gmtModify":1634095792017,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114135453","repostId":"1112319097","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112319097","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623055213,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112319097?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 16:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Bear Case For Bionano Genomics Carries More Weight","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112319097","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"BNGO is up against some stiff competition as it seeks to hold on to its recent gains.Bionano Genomic","content":"<blockquote><b>BNGO is up against some stiff competition as it seeks to hold on to its recent gains.</b></blockquote><p>Bionano Genomics&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading&nbsp;Monday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c142fe03bfec78aa892afb92fb36fd80\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"439\"></p><p>It’s been quite the year for the life sciences company,<b>Bionano Genomics</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>BNGO</u></b>). BNGO stock was trading for as little as 50 cents late last year before the short squeeze lifted the stock past it past the penny stock territory and then some.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8dcd0cd230a30d7e81413d8aad0e588\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: Connect world / Shutterstock.com</p><p>Reddit traders believe that itsnovel gene diagnostic technology called Saphyrhas an incredible growth runway ahead. However, with its float at roughly 10%, the question is whether BNGO stock can establish its presence in the life sciences sector.</p><p>Bionano Genomics game changer is Saphyr. The product is unique as it relies on gene sequencing and can map an entire genome to enable more effective detection of specific disorders. Moreover, it also allows for more effective integrated testing and accepts various samples, including tissue biopsies, cultured cells, and others.</p><p>With over 2,500 cytogenetic labs, the company believes it has a massive addressable market of over $3 billion. However, several risks can currently outweigh the upside of investing in BNGO stock at this time.</p><p><b>The Bull Case</b></p><p>Naturally, the bull case for BNGO stock is linked to the success of the Saphyr device. Bionano received a huge boost last year. It posted the results of a study that highlighted how Saphyr outperformed a device developed by its rival<b>Pacific Biosciences</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>PACB</u></b>). The genomics sector willramp up to $62.9 billionby 2028, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 15.3% from 2021 to 2028.</p><p>The company is finally showing signs of promise. Its first-quarter results sawits revenues rise by 179%on a year-over-year basis to $3.2 million, which comfortably surpassed estimates of $2.9 million. It alsoposted a net loss of $9.9 million, which showed a solid improvement over the $10.5 million net loss is generated in the same period last year.</p><p>Bionano analyzed more samples in the first quarter than ever before and shipped 11 Saphyr systems in the period. It hopes to take itsinstalled base up to 150 systemsby the conclusion of 2021. In that case, BNGO stock could keep its momentum if it makes significant strides towards its goals.</p><p><b>The Bear Case</b></p><p>There are several risks that Bionano currently faces, which are chomping away at its upside. The first is the stiff competition in the sector. In an industry where there is so much potential for growth, competition is imperative. Bionano has done well to convince investors that it’s carved a niche in one of the subsectors of the market. However, with several crossovers in the sectors, that notion is mostly inaccurate.</p><p>Moreover, with the high competition, companies must focus on product security and differentiation. For example, though Bionano has registered several patents concerning Saphyr, it has outsourced some key manufacturing components. This raises questions about whether competitors can produce similar types of products down the road.</p><p>Furthermore,&nbsp; it must continue to have enough cash to meet its expenditures on research and development. However, Bionano’s cash flows from operating activities were negative last year and were offset by common stock sales and exercise of stock warrants. Hence, the company needs to look at ways to maintain its cash balance that doesn’t involve shareholder dilution.</p><p><b>Concluding Thoughts On BNGO Stock</b></p><p>Six-month returns for Bionano stock are at a dumbfounding 1,150% due to the Reddit-induced short squeeze. However, the stock is now back to earth, and we can finally get down to the brass tacks.</p><p>Its Saphyr system has a robust growth runway ahead, but the risks surrounding its bull case are sizeable at this time. Therefore, it’s tough to invest in the stock unless it makes meaningful progress in the expansion of Saphyr.</p><p><i>On the date of publication, Muslim Farooque did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.&nbsp;The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.comPublishing Guidelines</i></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Bear Case For Bionano Genomics Carries More Weight</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Bear Case For Bionano Genomics Carries More Weight\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 16:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/05/the-bear-case-for-bngo-stock-carries-more-weight/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>BNGO is up against some stiff competition as it seeks to hold on to its recent gains.Bionano Genomics rose more than 9% in premarket trading Monday.It’s been quite the year for the life sciences ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/the-bear-case-for-bngo-stock-carries-more-weight/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNGO":"Bionano Genomics"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/the-bear-case-for-bngo-stock-carries-more-weight/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112319097","content_text":"BNGO is up against some stiff competition as it seeks to hold on to its recent gains.Bionano Genomics rose more than 9% in premarket trading Monday.It’s been quite the year for the life sciences company,Bionano Genomics(NASDAQ:BNGO). BNGO stock was trading for as little as 50 cents late last year before the short squeeze lifted the stock past it past the penny stock territory and then some.Source: Connect world / Shutterstock.comReddit traders believe that itsnovel gene diagnostic technology called Saphyrhas an incredible growth runway ahead. However, with its float at roughly 10%, the question is whether BNGO stock can establish its presence in the life sciences sector.Bionano Genomics game changer is Saphyr. The product is unique as it relies on gene sequencing and can map an entire genome to enable more effective detection of specific disorders. Moreover, it also allows for more effective integrated testing and accepts various samples, including tissue biopsies, cultured cells, and others.With over 2,500 cytogenetic labs, the company believes it has a massive addressable market of over $3 billion. However, several risks can currently outweigh the upside of investing in BNGO stock at this time.The Bull CaseNaturally, the bull case for BNGO stock is linked to the success of the Saphyr device. Bionano received a huge boost last year. It posted the results of a study that highlighted how Saphyr outperformed a device developed by its rivalPacific Biosciences(NASDAQ:PACB). The genomics sector willramp up to $62.9 billionby 2028, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 15.3% from 2021 to 2028.The company is finally showing signs of promise. Its first-quarter results sawits revenues rise by 179%on a year-over-year basis to $3.2 million, which comfortably surpassed estimates of $2.9 million. It alsoposted a net loss of $9.9 million, which showed a solid improvement over the $10.5 million net loss is generated in the same period last year.Bionano analyzed more samples in the first quarter than ever before and shipped 11 Saphyr systems in the period. It hopes to take itsinstalled base up to 150 systemsby the conclusion of 2021. In that case, BNGO stock could keep its momentum if it makes significant strides towards its goals.The Bear CaseThere are several risks that Bionano currently faces, which are chomping away at its upside. The first is the stiff competition in the sector. In an industry where there is so much potential for growth, competition is imperative. Bionano has done well to convince investors that it’s carved a niche in one of the subsectors of the market. However, with several crossovers in the sectors, that notion is mostly inaccurate.Moreover, with the high competition, companies must focus on product security and differentiation. For example, though Bionano has registered several patents concerning Saphyr, it has outsourced some key manufacturing components. This raises questions about whether competitors can produce similar types of products down the road.Furthermore,  it must continue to have enough cash to meet its expenditures on research and development. However, Bionano’s cash flows from operating activities were negative last year and were offset by common stock sales and exercise of stock warrants. Hence, the company needs to look at ways to maintain its cash balance that doesn’t involve shareholder dilution.Concluding Thoughts On BNGO StockSix-month returns for Bionano stock are at a dumbfounding 1,150% due to the Reddit-induced short squeeze. However, the stock is now back to earth, and we can finally get down to the brass tacks.Its Saphyr system has a robust growth runway ahead, but the risks surrounding its bull case are sizeable at this time. Therefore, it’s tough to invest in the stock unless it makes meaningful progress in the expansion of Saphyr.On the date of publication, Muslim Farooque did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.comPublishing Guidelines","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116284776,"gmtCreate":1622804530295,"gmtModify":1634097862197,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"[Grin]&nbsp;","text":"[Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116284776","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>\n <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>\n <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p>\n<p><b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p>\n<p>To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's business growth</b></p>\n<p>Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p>\n<p>On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p>\n<p>Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p>\n<p>This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's future valuation</b></p>\n<p>AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p>\n<p><b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p>\n<p>Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p>\n<p>AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p>\n<p>Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? 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What To Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 15:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119253807,"gmtCreate":1622551506809,"gmtModify":1634100577977,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>😊","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$😊","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50ec2d0d7d28672c799c4ec40194a632","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119253807","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":856619321,"gmtCreate":1635172753807,"gmtModify":1635172753981,"author":{"id":"3567510698843882","authorId":"3567510698843882","name":"Sucrammis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b53e2d1cd4fdf176174f088adbd03e1c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567510698843882","authorIdStr":"3567510698843882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>To the moonnnnnn","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla 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