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愿投资顺利

愿投资顺利

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愿投资顺利

2022-03-23

这些坏人，坏得流脓。叫人重仓进去。被你割？

私募巨头景林发声：重仓买入优质公司的时机到了

愿投资顺利

2021-06-10

这逼从2000年穿越来的吧？他大概不知道有有虚拟货币出现后的世界

抱歉，原内容已删除

愿投资顺利

2021-05-04

巴菲特那两个老头我早就看不惯了，守旧、固执

抱歉，原内容已删除

愿投资顺利

2021-03-07

芒格老了，这两个老顽固始终想不明白bitcoin.

芒格不犯大错原因：把失败原因排成决策前的检查清单

愿投资顺利

2021-03-07

说是这么说，但我对中性化的交易系统彻底失望。

抱歉，原内容已删除

愿投资顺利

2021-02-16

$帕卡(PCAR)$真是个扶不上墙的阿斗

愿投资顺利

2021-02-12

$帕卡(PCAR)$哎，走了。换手率低的再也不玩了，简直就是浪费时间

愿投资顺利

2021-02-12

$帕卡(PCAR)$闹哪样？

愿投资顺利

2021-02-11

$帕卡(PCAR)$没人关注了，哎。成交量感人

愿投资顺利

2021-02-11

$帕卡(PCAR)$换手率也太低了吧

愿投资顺利

2021-02-09

$帕卡(PCAR)$这换手率，服

愿投资顺利

2021-02-05

不会不到90吧[笑哭]

愿投资顺利

2021-02-01

嗯嗯，怎么不说看到1000000000刀？沙雕

抱歉，原内容已删除

愿投资顺利

2021-01-30

$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$怎么期权不能开仓？

愿投资顺利

2021-01-28

$黑莓(BB)$轻轻玩下，效果不错

愿投资顺利

2021-01-28

$BB 20210129 40.0 CALL(BB)$舒服

愿投资顺利

2021-01-28

$游戏驿站(GME)$差不多了，手下留情吧

愿投资顺利

2021-01-27

$纳指ETF(QQQ)$然后突然暴涨。这是怎么回事？

愿投资顺利

2021-01-27

$纳指ETF(QQQ)$下来吧

愿投资顺利

2021-01-26

真是不争气

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n私募巨头景林发声：重仓买入优质公司的时机到了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-23 20:37 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cls.cn/detail/967077><strong>上海证券报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>高云程认为，股票市场恐慌性抛售阶段应该已经在上周发生，所以站在当下往前看，重仓买入并长期持有核心竞争力不断增强的公司的时机已经到来。3月23日，千亿级私募景林资产总经理高云程罕见发声，就近期市场行情、后续市场展望、产品操作思路等做了详细解读。高云程表示，今年一、二季度上市公司基本面承压，其中一季度大概率是股票市场最艰难的时候，而且从流动性和预期的情况看，股票市场最困难的恐慌性抛售阶段已经发生，对于...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cls.cn/detail/967077\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cls.cn/detail/967077","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2221017591","content_text":"高云程认为，股票市场恐慌性抛售阶段应该已经在上周发生，所以站在当下往前看，重仓买入并长期持有核心竞争力不断增强的公司的时机已经到来。3月23日，千亿级私募景林资产总经理高云程罕见发声，就近期市场行情、后续市场展望、产品操作思路等做了详细解读。高云程表示，今年一、二季度上市公司基本面承压，其中一季度大概率是股票市场最艰难的时候，而且从流动性和预期的情况看，股票市场最困难的恐慌性抛售阶段已经发生，对于经历周期依然保持甚至增强了核心竞争力的公司，当下应该是重仓买入并长期持有的时机。据悉，3月17日下午景林资产就曾举办过小型的持有人沟通会，不过在沟通会上部分投资人抱怨其近两年业绩波动较大。对此，高云程表示：“景林资产也在思考更加均衡地投资在不同行业、不同区域上，以提高组合稳定性。”今年以来，市场波动不断加剧，站在当下究竟该更谨慎还是更乐观？高云程认为，今年一季度可能是企业基本面、估值和市场流动性最艰难时刻，而且今年前两个季度更是中国经济最有压力的时候。不过，高云程认为，随着3月以来市场的持续调整，市场估值底部大概率已经出现，后续企业业绩的底部也会随之而来，也就是说，目前是股票市场最艰难的时候。而且股票市场恐慌性抛售阶段应该已经在上周发生，所以站在当下往前看，重仓买入并长期持有核心竞争力不断增强的公司的时机已经到来。高云程分析称，2021年春节后以来，中国股票资产出现大幅下跌，尤其是离岸中国资产（包括港股和中概股）跌跌不休，原因在于四方面：一是2020末开始反垄断和防止资本无序扩张的政策基调，对互联网、教育等行业产生巨大影响；二是民营房地产企业的流动性危机；三是大宗商品价格上涨带来的全球通胀压力；四是大国关系的不确定性。不过，近日国务院金融稳定发展委员会召开的专题会议，高云程认为，非常明确的解答了市场担忧的问题，后续政策出台和经济基本面的复苏会在未来三个季度渐次出现。谈及后续看好的投资机会，高云程表示：“我们不以年度为单位看问题，而是希望以企业生命周期、经济周期和产业技术变革的维度去寻找持续创造价值的公司。目前来看，新能源、人工智能和消费升级领域都有很多机会，其中很多公司已经构建了核心竞争优势，尤其是部分企业已经具备全球竞争力。”底部加仓了优质公司一直以来，景林资产对于中概股的参与度较高。谈及中概股的风险和机会，高云程表示，经过研究和思考，我们认为未来并不存在中概股被退市价格归零的极端情况，而且国务院金融委会议已经明确了这一问题的化解方向，所以景林资产在离岸中国资产暴跌中不但没有恐慌性抛售股票，反而加仓了优质企业。对于市场关注度较高的通胀问题，高云程认为，美国经济面临的通胀是多因素造成的，比如流动性过剩、大宗商品价格上涨等，但目前市场对美联储加息的预期是非常充分的，而且从历史经验来看，每一轮加息周期的市场调整都是发生在第一次加息之前，后续如果流动性和基本面的情况得到改善，中概股和港股中的部分公司会脱颖而出。近一年来，互联网企业调整剧烈，后续是否存在投资机会？高云程表示，网络效应产生的边际成本几乎为零，边际利润却能够最大化，这一特征使得行业产生了大批成功的世界级企业，当然反垄断也确实是针对某些领域的监管必然。但是，这并不能改变现代信息技术带来的效率提升，所以在这一领域我们最关心的还是新技术、新模式的出现带来的颠覆性变化。上周在景林资产的一次小范围投资人沟通会上，部分投资人抱怨近一年来产品业绩不达预期，且波动较大，也有投资人质疑为何景林不做波段降低净值的波动性。对此，高云程今日在交流会中坦言：“我们更愿意在自己能够预测或认知的事情上花精力，比如2020年以来的疫情是一直刷新我们的认知，再比如俄乌冲突发展过程中对能源价格、通货膨胀等问题的影响都非常深远。”对于自下而上注重个股基本面研究的景林资产而言，更注重对于公司本身的研究。如果把太多外部因素纳入，投资决策将难度巨大而且历史证明正确率难以保证。把决策周期拉长，短期外部因素权重就会降低。减少择时和波动操作，能在相对长一些的投资周期中大概率获得更好的投资结果。高云程表示，反思过去一年某些行业的大幅度波动，如何提高组合稳定性和均衡感，是我们在讨论和研究的方向，未来景林资产会更加均衡地投资在不同行业、不同区域的上市公司，让投资人更舒服地持有产品。另外，以后会更加注重发行产品的时间选择，避开市场高点或者投资者情绪较为亢奋的时候，尽量在市场低位募集资金，“这需要渠道、客户和景林资产有共同的价值观，虽然不容易，但是公司努力的方向。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":183360848,"gmtCreate":1623308403784,"gmtModify":1623308403784,"author":{"id":"3560313890845123","authorId":"3560313890845123","name":"愿投资顺利","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a818c9ca78411cea22acb5177e214035","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560313890845123","authorIdStr":"3560313890845123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这逼从2000年穿越来的吧？他大概不知道有有虚拟货币出现后的世界","listText":"这逼从2000年穿越来的吧？他大概不知道有有虚拟货币出现后的世界","text":"这逼从2000年穿越来的吧？他大概不知道有有虚拟货币出现后的世界","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183360848","repostId":"1114501304","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106363286,"gmtCreate":1620088781245,"gmtModify":1620088781245,"author":{"id":"3560313890845123","authorId":"3560313890845123","name":"愿投资顺利","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a818c9ca78411cea22acb5177e214035","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560313890845123","authorIdStr":"3560313890845123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"巴菲特那两个老头我早就看不惯了，守旧、固执","listText":"巴菲特那两个老头我早就看不惯了，守旧、固执","text":"巴菲特那两个老头我早就看不惯了，守旧、固执","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106363286","repostId":"2132308515","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3518584684136698","authorId":"3518584684136698","name":"Baro___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65676d152f0e2dd87bf539b4f1865fe2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3518584684136698","authorIdStr":"3518584684136698"},"content":"人家基金定位就是稳健，是稳健型就信他，是激进型就去追随孙什么的，这玩意没法行程统一认知","text":"人家基金定位就是稳健，是稳健型就信他，是激进型就去追随孙什么的，这玩意没法行程统一认知","html":"人家基金定位就是稳健，是稳健型就信他，是激进型就去追随孙什么的，这玩意没法行程统一认知"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320876355,"gmtCreate":1615085952377,"gmtModify":1703484611690,"author":{"id":"3560313890845123","authorId":"3560313890845123","name":"愿投资顺利","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a818c9ca78411cea22acb5177e214035","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560313890845123","authorIdStr":"3560313890845123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"芒格老了，这两个老顽固始终想不明白bitcoin.","listText":"芒格老了，这两个老顽固始终想不明白bitcoin.","text":"芒格老了，这两个老顽固始终想不明白bitcoin.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320876355","repostId":"1177776581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177776581","pubTimestamp":1614998459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177776581?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-06 10:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"芒格不犯大错原因：把失败原因排成决策前的检查清单","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177776581","media":"投资银行在线","summary":"“大部分人更关心如何在股市投资上成功，查理（芒格）最关心的却是为什么在股市投资上大部分人都失败了。”这是芒格家族财富主要管理者、喜马拉雅资本创始人李录在《穷查理宝典》的序言中提到的。根据李录的观察，在","content":"<p>“<b>大部分人更关心如何在股市投资上成功，查理（芒格）最关心的却是为什么在股市投资上大部分人都失败了。</b>”</p><p>这是芒格家族财富主要管理者、喜马拉雅资本创始人李录在《穷查理宝典》的序言中提到的。</p><p>根据李录的观察，在芒格漫长的一生中，持续不断地收集并研究关于各种各样的著名失败案例，并<b>把那些失败的原因排列成作出正确决策前的检查清单，</b>这使他在人生、事业的决策上几乎从不犯重大错误。</p><p>毫无疑问，《穷查理宝典》是最值得反复读的投资书籍之一。小雅读了不下10遍，在人生的不同阶段读，有着不同的收获。</p><p>其中，李录为此书做的中文序言，是这本书最好的解读，集芒格和李录智慧之大成，既有投资智慧，也充满人生智慧。</p><p>李录非常强调对知识的诚实，反对用教条主义和条条框框对事情做简单定义，之前小雅跟李录先生面对面请教时，李录曾对不要教条做过提醒。</p><p>李录最近在接受国内媒体最新一次访谈时也提到：”我个人很<b>反对用‘主义’去定义很多事......投资是一件实事求是的事</b>。”</p><p>李录在《穷查理宝典》一书的序言中，其实也反复提到了<b>芒格“从来不受任何条条框框的束缚，也没有任何教条</b>。”回过头来再读，会理解更深刻。</p><p>序言中，李录不吝分享了他的人生经历，对我们在成长中如何做选择会有启示；他也慷慨分享了自己对芒格的近距离观察，在细节中可以看到人生智慧。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e6736de7ff6b015d41a94b66f10e85c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>把失败原因排成正确决策前的检查清单</b></p><p>巴菲特说他一生遇人无数，从来没有遇到过像查理这样的人。</p><p>在同查理交往的这些年里，我有幸能近距离了解查理，也对这一点深信不疑。甚至在我所阅读过的古今中外人物传记中也没有发现类似的人。</p><p>查理就是如此独特的人，他的独特性既表现在他的思想上，也表现在他的人格上。</p><p>比如说，查理思考问题总是从逆向开始。</p><p>如果要明白人生如何才能得到幸福，查理首先会研究人生如何才能变得痛苦；</p><p>要研究企业如何做强做大，查理首先研究企业是如何衰败的；</p><p><b>大部分人更关心如何在股市投资上成功，查理最关心的却是为什么在股市投资上大部分人都失败了。</b></p><p>他的这种思考方法来源于下面这句农夫谚语中所蕴含的哲理：<b>我只想知道将来我会死在什么地方，这样我就永远不去那儿了。</b></p><p>查理在他漫长的一生中，持续不断地收集并研究关于各种各样的人物、各行各业的企业以及政府管治、学术研究等各领域中的著名失败案例，并<b>把那些失败的原因排列成作出正确决策前的检查清单，</b>这使他在人生、事业的决策上几乎从不犯重大错误。这点对巴菲特及伯克希尔50年业绩的重要性是再强调也不为过的。</p><p><b>不教条，不受条条框框的束缚</b></p><p>查理的头脑是原创性的，<b>从来不受任何条条框框的束缚，也没有任何教条</b>。他有儿童一样的好奇心，又有第一流科学家所具备的研究素质和科学研究方法，一生都有强烈的求知欲，几乎对所有的问题都感兴趣。</p><p>任何一个问题在他看来都可以使用正确的方法通过自学完全掌握，并可以在前人的基础上进行创新。在这点上他和富兰克林非常相似，类似于一位18、19世纪百科全书式的人物。</p><p>近代很多第一流的专家学者能够在自己狭小的研究领域内做到相对客观，但一旦离开自己的领域不远，就开始变得主观、教条、僵化，或者干脆就失去了自我学习的能力，所以大都免不了瞎子摸象的局限。</p><p><b>查理的脑子就从来没有任何学科的条条框框</b>。他的思想辐射到事业、人生、知识的每一个角落。</p><p>在他看来，世间宇宙万物都是一个相互作用的整体，人类所有的知识都是对这一整体研究的部分尝试，只有把这些知识结合起来，并贯穿在一个思想框架中，才能对正确的认知和决策起到帮助作用。</p><p>所以他提倡要学习在所有学科中真正重要的理论，并在此基础上形成所谓的“普世智慧”，以此为利器去研究商业投资领域的重要问题。查理在本书中详细地阐述了如何才能获得这样的“普世智慧”。</p><p><b>对知识诚实，界定自己的能力圈</b></p><p>查理这种思维方式是<b>基于对知识的诚实</b>。</p><p>他认为，这个世界复杂多变，人类的认知永远存在着限制，所以你必须使用所有的工具，同时要注重收集各种新的可以证否的证据，并随时修正，即所谓“知之为知之，不知为不知”。</p><p>事实上，所有的人都存在思想上的盲点。我们对于自己的专业、旁人或是某一件事情或许能够做到客观，但是对于天下万事万物都秉持客观的态度却是很难的，甚至可以说是有违人之本性的。但是查理却可以做到凡事客观。</p><p>在这本书里，查理也讲到了通过后天的训练是可以培养客观精神的。而这种思维方式的养成将使你看到别人看不到的东西，预测到别人预测不到的未来，从而过上更幸福、自由和成功的生活。</p><p>但即使这样，一个人在一生中真正可以得到的远见卓识仍然非常有限，所以<b>正确的决策必须局限在自己的“能力圈”以内</b>。一种不能够界定其边界的能力当然不能称为真正的能力。</p><p>怎么才能界定自己的能力圈呢？查理说，<b>如果我要拥有一种观点，如果我不能够比全世界最聪明、最有能力、最有资格反驳这个观点的人更能够证否自己，我就不配拥有这个观点。</b></p><p>所以当查理真正地持有某个观点时，他的想法既原创、独特，又几乎从不犯错。</p><p><b>用理性看穿事物的本质</b></p><p>一次，查理邻座一位漂亮的女士坚持让查理用一个词来总结他的成功，查理说是“理性”。然而，<b>查理讲的“理性”却不是我们一般人理解的理性</b>。查理对理性有更苛刻的定义。</p><p>正是这样的“理性”，让查理具有敏锐独到的眼光和洞察力，既使对于完全陌生的领域，他也能一眼看穿事物的本质。</p><p>巴菲特把查理的这个特点称作“两分钟效应”——他说查理比世界上任何人更能在最短时间之内把一个复杂商业的本质说清楚。伯克希尔投资比亚迪的经过就是一个例证。</p><p>记得2003年我第一次同查理谈到比亚迪时，他虽然从没有见过王传福本人，也从未参观过比亚迪的工厂，甚至对中国的市场和文化也相对陌生，可是他当时对比亚迪提出的问题和评论，今天看来仍然是投资比亚迪最实质的问题。</p><p>人人都有盲点，再优秀的人也不例外。</p><p>巴菲特说：“本杰明·格林厄姆曾经教我只买便宜的股票，查理让我改变了这种想法。这是查理对我真正的影响。要让我从格林厄姆的局限理论中走出来，需要一股强大的力量。查理的思想就是那股力量，他扩大了我的视野。”</p><p>对此，我自己也有深切的体会。至少在两个重大问题上，查理帮我指出了我思维上的盲点，如果不是他的帮助，我现在还在从猿到人的进化过程中慢慢爬行。巴菲特50年来在不同的场合反复强调，查理对他本人和伯克希尔的影响完全无人可以取代。</p><p>查理一辈子研究人类灾难性的错误，对于由于人类心理倾向引起的灾难性错误尤其情有独钟。最具贡献的是他预测到，金融衍生产品的泛滥和会计审计制度的漏洞即将给人类带来灾难。</p><p>早在1990年代末期，他和巴菲特先生已经提出了金融衍生产品可能造成灾难性的影响，随着金融衍生产品的泛滥愈演愈烈，他们的警告也不断升级，甚至指出金融衍生产品是金融式的大规模杀伤武器，如果不能得到及时有效的制止，将会给现代文明社会带来灾难性的影响。</p><p>2008年和2009年的金融海啸及全球经济大萧条不幸验证了查理的远见。从另一方面讲，他对这些问题的研究也为防范类似灾难的出现提供了宝贵的经验和知识，特别值得政府、金融界、企业界和学术界重视。</p><p><b>解决实际问题，注重细节</b></p><p>与巴菲特相比，查理的兴趣更为广泛。比如他对科学和软科学几乎所有的领域都有强烈的兴趣和广泛的研究，通过融会贯通，形成了原创性的、独特的芒格思想体系。</p><p>相对于任何来自象牙塔内的思想体系，芒格主义完全为解决实际问题而生。</p><p>比如说，据我所知，查理最早提出并系统研究人类心理倾向在投资和商业决策中的巨大影响。十几年后的今天，行为金融学已经成为经济学中最热门的研究领域，行为经济学也获得了诺贝尔经济学奖的认可。而查理在本书最后一讲“人类误判心理学”中所展现出的理论框架，在未来也很可能得到人们更广泛的理解和应用。</p><p>查理的兴趣不仅限于思考，<b>凡事也喜欢亲历亲为，并注重细节。</b></p><p>他有一艘世界上最大的私人双体游艇，而这艘游艇就是他自己设计的。他还是个出色的建筑师。他按自己的喜好建造房子，从最初的图纸设计到之后的每一个细节，他都全程参与。</p><p>比如他捐助的所有建筑物都是他自己亲自设计的，这包括了斯坦福大学研究生院宿舍楼、哈佛—西湖学校科学馆以及亨廷顿图书馆与园林的稀有图书研究馆。</p><p>查理天生精力充沛。我认识查理是在1996年，那时他72岁。到今年查理86岁，已经过了十几年了。</p><p>在这十几年里，查理的精力完全没有变化。他永远是精力旺盛，很早起身。早餐会议永远是七点半开始。同时由于某些晚宴应酬的缘故，他的睡眠时间可能要比常人少，但这些都不妨碍他旺盛的精力。</p><p>而且，他记忆力惊人，我很多年前跟他讲的比亚迪的营运数字，我都已经记忆模糊了，他还记得。86岁的他记性比我这个年轻人还好。这些都是他天生的优势，但使他异常成功的特质却都是他后天努力获得的。</p><p><b>成功时机重要，人的内在品质更重要</b></p><p>查理对我而言，不仅是合伙人，是长辈，是老师，是朋友，是事业成功的典范，也是人生的楷模。我从他的身上不仅学到了价值投资的道理，也学到了很多做人的道理。</p><p>他让我明白，<b>一个人的成功并不是偶然的，时机固然重要，但人的内在品质更重要。</b></p><p>查理喜欢与人早餐约会，时间通常是七点半。记得第一次与查理吃早餐时，我准时赶到，发现查理已经坐在那里把当天的报纸都看完了。虽然离七点半还差几分钟，但让一位德高望重的老人等我让我心里很不好受。</p><p>第二次约会时，我大约提前了一刻钟到达，发现查理还是已经坐在那里看报纸了。</p><p>到第三次约会，我提前半小时到达，结果查理还是在那里看报纸，仿佛他从未离开过那个座位，终年守候。</p><p>直到第四次，我狠狠心提前一个钟头到达，六点半坐那里等候，到六点四十五的时候，查理悠悠地走进来了，手里拿着一摞报纸，头也不抬地坐下，完全没有注意到我的存在。</p><p>以后我逐渐了解到，查理<b>与人约会一定早到</b>。到了以后也不浪费时间，会拿出准备好的报纸翻阅。</p><p>自从知道查理的这个习惯后，以后我俩再约会，我都会提前到场，也拿一份报纸看，互不打扰，等七点半之后在一起吃早餐聊天。</p><p>偶然查理也会迟到。有一次我带一位来自中国的青年创业者去见查理。查理因为从一个午餐会上赶来而迟到了半个小时。</p><p>一到之后，查理先向我们两个年轻人郑重道歉，并详细解释他迟到的原因，甚至提出午餐会的代客泊车（Valet park）应如何改进才不会耽误客人45分钟的等候时间。</p><p>那位中国青年既惊讶又感动，因为在全世界恐怕找不到一位地位如查理一般的长者会因迟到而向小辈反复道歉。</p><p><b>融入生活，近距离地接触普通人</b></p><p>在跟查理的交往中，另有一件事对我影响很大。有一年查理和我共同参加了一个外地的聚会。</p><p>活动结束后，我要赶回纽约，没想到却在机场的候机厅遇见查理。他庞大的身体在过安检检测器的时候，不知什么原因导致检测器不断鸣叫示警。而查理就一次又一次地折返接受安检，如此折腾半天，好不容易过了安检，他的飞机已经起飞了。</p><p>可查理也不着急，他抽出随身携带的书坐下来阅读，静等下一班飞机。那天正好我的飞机也误点了，我就陪他一起等。</p><p>我问查理：“你有自己的私人飞机，伯克希尔也有专机，你为什么要到商用客机机场去经受这么多的麻烦呢？”</p><p>查理答：“第一，我一个人坐专机太浪费油了。第二，我觉得坐商用飞机更安全。”但查理想说的真正理由是第三条：“<b>我一辈子想要的就是融入生活（engage life），我不希望自己被孤立（isolated）</b>。”</p><p>查理最受不了的就是因为拥有了钱财而失去与世界的联系，把自己隔绝在一个单间，隔绝在占地一层的巨型办公室里，见面要层层通报，过五关斩六将，谁都不能轻易接触到。这样就与现实生活脱节了。</p><p>“手里只要有一本书，我就不会觉得浪费时间。”查理任何时候都随身携带一本书，即使坐在经济舱的中间座位上，他只要拿着书，就安之若素。</p><p>有一次他去西雅图参加一个董事会，依旧按惯例坐经济舱，他身边坐着一位中国小女孩，飞行途中一直在做微积分的功课。</p><p>他对这个中国小女孩印象深刻，因为他很难想像同龄的美国女孩能有这样的定力，在飞机的嘈杂声中专心学习。如果他乘坐私人飞机，他就永远不会有机会近距离接触这些普通人的故事。</p><p><b>严于律己，宽厚待人</b></p><p>查理虽然严于律己，却非常宽厚地对待他真正关心和爱的人，他不吝金钱，总希望他人能多受益。</p><p>他一个人的旅行，无论公务私务都搭乘经济舱，但与太太和家人一起旅行时，查理便会乘搭自己的私人飞机。</p><p>他解释说：太太一辈子为我抚育这么多孩子，付出甚多，身体又不好，我一定要照顾好她。</p><p>查理虽不是斯坦福大学毕业的，但因他太太是斯坦福校友，又是大学董事会成员，查理便向斯坦福大学捐款6000多万美金。</p><p>查理一旦确定了做一件事情，他可以做一辈子。比如说他在哈佛—西湖学校及洛杉矶一间慈善医院的董事会任职长达40年之久。</p><p>对于他所参与的慈善机构而言，查理是非常慷慨的赞助人。而且查理投入的不只是钱，他还投入了大量的时间和精力，以确保这些机构的成功运行。</p><p>查理一生研究人类失败的原因，所以对人性的弱点有着深刻的理解。基于此，他认为<b>人对自己要严格要求，这种生活方式对查理而言是一种道德要求。</b></p><p>在外人看来，查理可能像个苦行僧，但在查理看来，这个过程却是既理性又愉快的，能够让人过上成功、幸福的人生。</p><p>查理就是这么独特。但是想想看，如果芒格和巴菲特不是如此独特的话，他们也不可能一起在50年间为伯克希尔创造出在人类投资史上前无古人、后无来者的业绩。</p><p>近20年来，全世界范围内对巴菲特、芒格研究的兴趣愈发地强烈，将来可能还会愈演愈烈，中英文的书籍汗牛充栋，其中也不乏独到的见解。</p><p>说实话，由我目前的能力来评价芒格的思想其实为时尚早，因为直到今天，我每次和查理谈话，每次重读他的演讲，都会有新的收获。</p><p>这另一方面也说明，我对他的思想理解还是不够。但这些年来查理对我的言传身教，使我有幸对查理的思想和人格有更直观的了解，我这里只想跟读者分享我自己近距离的观察和亲身体会。</p>","source":"lsy1605165391860","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>芒格不犯大错原因：把失败原因排成决策前的检查清单</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n芒格不犯大错原因：把失败原因排成决策前的检查清单\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-06 10:40 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/A_g7i5Yv_xu41-D5pasQCA><strong>投资银行在线</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“大部分人更关心如何在股市投资上成功，查理（芒格）最关心的却是为什么在股市投资上大部分人都失败了。”这是芒格家族财富主要管理者、喜马拉雅资本创始人李录在《穷查理宝典》的序言中提到的。根据李录的观察，在芒格漫长的一生中，持续不断地收集并研究关于各种各样的著名失败案例，并把那些失败的原因排列成作出正确决策前的检查清单，这使他在人生、事业的决策上几乎从不犯重大错误。毫无疑问，《穷查理宝典》是最值得反复读...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/A_g7i5Yv_xu41-D5pasQCA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e6736de7ff6b015d41a94b66f10e85c","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/A_g7i5Yv_xu41-D5pasQCA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177776581","content_text":"“大部分人更关心如何在股市投资上成功，查理（芒格）最关心的却是为什么在股市投资上大部分人都失败了。”这是芒格家族财富主要管理者、喜马拉雅资本创始人李录在《穷查理宝典》的序言中提到的。根据李录的观察，在芒格漫长的一生中，持续不断地收集并研究关于各种各样的著名失败案例，并把那些失败的原因排列成作出正确决策前的检查清单，这使他在人生、事业的决策上几乎从不犯重大错误。毫无疑问，《穷查理宝典》是最值得反复读的投资书籍之一。小雅读了不下10遍，在人生的不同阶段读，有着不同的收获。其中，李录为此书做的中文序言，是这本书最好的解读，集芒格和李录智慧之大成，既有投资智慧，也充满人生智慧。李录非常强调对知识的诚实，反对用教条主义和条条框框对事情做简单定义，之前小雅跟李录先生面对面请教时，李录曾对不要教条做过提醒。李录最近在接受国内媒体最新一次访谈时也提到：”我个人很反对用‘主义’去定义很多事......投资是一件实事求是的事。”李录在《穷查理宝典》一书的序言中，其实也反复提到了芒格“从来不受任何条条框框的束缚，也没有任何教条。”回过头来再读，会理解更深刻。序言中，李录不吝分享了他的人生经历，对我们在成长中如何做选择会有启示；他也慷慨分享了自己对芒格的近距离观察，在细节中可以看到人生智慧。把失败原因排成正确决策前的检查清单巴菲特说他一生遇人无数，从来没有遇到过像查理这样的人。在同查理交往的这些年里，我有幸能近距离了解查理，也对这一点深信不疑。甚至在我所阅读过的古今中外人物传记中也没有发现类似的人。查理就是如此独特的人，他的独特性既表现在他的思想上，也表现在他的人格上。比如说，查理思考问题总是从逆向开始。如果要明白人生如何才能得到幸福，查理首先会研究人生如何才能变得痛苦；要研究企业如何做强做大，查理首先研究企业是如何衰败的；大部分人更关心如何在股市投资上成功，查理最关心的却是为什么在股市投资上大部分人都失败了。他的这种思考方法来源于下面这句农夫谚语中所蕴含的哲理：我只想知道将来我会死在什么地方，这样我就永远不去那儿了。查理在他漫长的一生中，持续不断地收集并研究关于各种各样的人物、各行各业的企业以及政府管治、学术研究等各领域中的著名失败案例，并把那些失败的原因排列成作出正确决策前的检查清单，这使他在人生、事业的决策上几乎从不犯重大错误。这点对巴菲特及伯克希尔50年业绩的重要性是再强调也不为过的。不教条，不受条条框框的束缚查理的头脑是原创性的，从来不受任何条条框框的束缚，也没有任何教条。他有儿童一样的好奇心，又有第一流科学家所具备的研究素质和科学研究方法，一生都有强烈的求知欲，几乎对所有的问题都感兴趣。任何一个问题在他看来都可以使用正确的方法通过自学完全掌握，并可以在前人的基础上进行创新。在这点上他和富兰克林非常相似，类似于一位18、19世纪百科全书式的人物。近代很多第一流的专家学者能够在自己狭小的研究领域内做到相对客观，但一旦离开自己的领域不远，就开始变得主观、教条、僵化，或者干脆就失去了自我学习的能力，所以大都免不了瞎子摸象的局限。查理的脑子就从来没有任何学科的条条框框。他的思想辐射到事业、人生、知识的每一个角落。在他看来，世间宇宙万物都是一个相互作用的整体，人类所有的知识都是对这一整体研究的部分尝试，只有把这些知识结合起来，并贯穿在一个思想框架中，才能对正确的认知和决策起到帮助作用。所以他提倡要学习在所有学科中真正重要的理论，并在此基础上形成所谓的“普世智慧”，以此为利器去研究商业投资领域的重要问题。查理在本书中详细地阐述了如何才能获得这样的“普世智慧”。对知识诚实，界定自己的能力圈查理这种思维方式是基于对知识的诚实。他认为，这个世界复杂多变，人类的认知永远存在着限制，所以你必须使用所有的工具，同时要注重收集各种新的可以证否的证据，并随时修正，即所谓“知之为知之，不知为不知”。事实上，所有的人都存在思想上的盲点。我们对于自己的专业、旁人或是某一件事情或许能够做到客观，但是对于天下万事万物都秉持客观的态度却是很难的，甚至可以说是有违人之本性的。但是查理却可以做到凡事客观。在这本书里，查理也讲到了通过后天的训练是可以培养客观精神的。而这种思维方式的养成将使你看到别人看不到的东西，预测到别人预测不到的未来，从而过上更幸福、自由和成功的生活。但即使这样，一个人在一生中真正可以得到的远见卓识仍然非常有限，所以正确的决策必须局限在自己的“能力圈”以内。一种不能够界定其边界的能力当然不能称为真正的能力。怎么才能界定自己的能力圈呢？查理说，如果我要拥有一种观点，如果我不能够比全世界最聪明、最有能力、最有资格反驳这个观点的人更能够证否自己，我就不配拥有这个观点。所以当查理真正地持有某个观点时，他的想法既原创、独特，又几乎从不犯错。用理性看穿事物的本质一次，查理邻座一位漂亮的女士坚持让查理用一个词来总结他的成功，查理说是“理性”。然而，查理讲的“理性”却不是我们一般人理解的理性。查理对理性有更苛刻的定义。正是这样的“理性”，让查理具有敏锐独到的眼光和洞察力，既使对于完全陌生的领域，他也能一眼看穿事物的本质。巴菲特把查理的这个特点称作“两分钟效应”——他说查理比世界上任何人更能在最短时间之内把一个复杂商业的本质说清楚。伯克希尔投资比亚迪的经过就是一个例证。记得2003年我第一次同查理谈到比亚迪时，他虽然从没有见过王传福本人，也从未参观过比亚迪的工厂，甚至对中国的市场和文化也相对陌生，可是他当时对比亚迪提出的问题和评论，今天看来仍然是投资比亚迪最实质的问题。人人都有盲点，再优秀的人也不例外。巴菲特说：“本杰明·格林厄姆曾经教我只买便宜的股票，查理让我改变了这种想法。这是查理对我真正的影响。要让我从格林厄姆的局限理论中走出来，需要一股强大的力量。查理的思想就是那股力量，他扩大了我的视野。”对此，我自己也有深切的体会。至少在两个重大问题上，查理帮我指出了我思维上的盲点，如果不是他的帮助，我现在还在从猿到人的进化过程中慢慢爬行。巴菲特50年来在不同的场合反复强调，查理对他本人和伯克希尔的影响完全无人可以取代。查理一辈子研究人类灾难性的错误，对于由于人类心理倾向引起的灾难性错误尤其情有独钟。最具贡献的是他预测到，金融衍生产品的泛滥和会计审计制度的漏洞即将给人类带来灾难。早在1990年代末期，他和巴菲特先生已经提出了金融衍生产品可能造成灾难性的影响，随着金融衍生产品的泛滥愈演愈烈，他们的警告也不断升级，甚至指出金融衍生产品是金融式的大规模杀伤武器，如果不能得到及时有效的制止，将会给现代文明社会带来灾难性的影响。2008年和2009年的金融海啸及全球经济大萧条不幸验证了查理的远见。从另一方面讲，他对这些问题的研究也为防范类似灾难的出现提供了宝贵的经验和知识，特别值得政府、金融界、企业界和学术界重视。解决实际问题，注重细节与巴菲特相比，查理的兴趣更为广泛。比如他对科学和软科学几乎所有的领域都有强烈的兴趣和广泛的研究，通过融会贯通，形成了原创性的、独特的芒格思想体系。相对于任何来自象牙塔内的思想体系，芒格主义完全为解决实际问题而生。比如说，据我所知，查理最早提出并系统研究人类心理倾向在投资和商业决策中的巨大影响。十几年后的今天，行为金融学已经成为经济学中最热门的研究领域，行为经济学也获得了诺贝尔经济学奖的认可。而查理在本书最后一讲“人类误判心理学”中所展现出的理论框架，在未来也很可能得到人们更广泛的理解和应用。查理的兴趣不仅限于思考，凡事也喜欢亲历亲为，并注重细节。他有一艘世界上最大的私人双体游艇，而这艘游艇就是他自己设计的。他还是个出色的建筑师。他按自己的喜好建造房子，从最初的图纸设计到之后的每一个细节，他都全程参与。比如他捐助的所有建筑物都是他自己亲自设计的，这包括了斯坦福大学研究生院宿舍楼、哈佛—西湖学校科学馆以及亨廷顿图书馆与园林的稀有图书研究馆。查理天生精力充沛。我认识查理是在1996年，那时他72岁。到今年查理86岁，已经过了十几年了。在这十几年里，查理的精力完全没有变化。他永远是精力旺盛，很早起身。早餐会议永远是七点半开始。同时由于某些晚宴应酬的缘故，他的睡眠时间可能要比常人少，但这些都不妨碍他旺盛的精力。而且，他记忆力惊人，我很多年前跟他讲的比亚迪的营运数字，我都已经记忆模糊了，他还记得。86岁的他记性比我这个年轻人还好。这些都是他天生的优势，但使他异常成功的特质却都是他后天努力获得的。成功时机重要，人的内在品质更重要查理对我而言，不仅是合伙人，是长辈，是老师，是朋友，是事业成功的典范，也是人生的楷模。我从他的身上不仅学到了价值投资的道理，也学到了很多做人的道理。他让我明白，一个人的成功并不是偶然的，时机固然重要，但人的内在品质更重要。查理喜欢与人早餐约会，时间通常是七点半。记得第一次与查理吃早餐时，我准时赶到，发现查理已经坐在那里把当天的报纸都看完了。虽然离七点半还差几分钟，但让一位德高望重的老人等我让我心里很不好受。第二次约会时，我大约提前了一刻钟到达，发现查理还是已经坐在那里看报纸了。到第三次约会，我提前半小时到达，结果查理还是在那里看报纸，仿佛他从未离开过那个座位，终年守候。直到第四次，我狠狠心提前一个钟头到达，六点半坐那里等候，到六点四十五的时候，查理悠悠地走进来了，手里拿着一摞报纸，头也不抬地坐下，完全没有注意到我的存在。以后我逐渐了解到，查理与人约会一定早到。到了以后也不浪费时间，会拿出准备好的报纸翻阅。自从知道查理的这个习惯后，以后我俩再约会，我都会提前到场，也拿一份报纸看，互不打扰，等七点半之后在一起吃早餐聊天。偶然查理也会迟到。有一次我带一位来自中国的青年创业者去见查理。查理因为从一个午餐会上赶来而迟到了半个小时。一到之后，查理先向我们两个年轻人郑重道歉，并详细解释他迟到的原因，甚至提出午餐会的代客泊车（Valet park）应如何改进才不会耽误客人45分钟的等候时间。那位中国青年既惊讶又感动，因为在全世界恐怕找不到一位地位如查理一般的长者会因迟到而向小辈反复道歉。融入生活，近距离地接触普通人在跟查理的交往中，另有一件事对我影响很大。有一年查理和我共同参加了一个外地的聚会。活动结束后，我要赶回纽约，没想到却在机场的候机厅遇见查理。他庞大的身体在过安检检测器的时候，不知什么原因导致检测器不断鸣叫示警。而查理就一次又一次地折返接受安检，如此折腾半天，好不容易过了安检，他的飞机已经起飞了。可查理也不着急，他抽出随身携带的书坐下来阅读，静等下一班飞机。那天正好我的飞机也误点了，我就陪他一起等。我问查理：“你有自己的私人飞机，伯克希尔也有专机，你为什么要到商用客机机场去经受这么多的麻烦呢？”查理答：“第一，我一个人坐专机太浪费油了。第二，我觉得坐商用飞机更安全。”但查理想说的真正理由是第三条：“我一辈子想要的就是融入生活（engage life），我不希望自己被孤立（isolated）。”查理最受不了的就是因为拥有了钱财而失去与世界的联系，把自己隔绝在一个单间，隔绝在占地一层的巨型办公室里，见面要层层通报，过五关斩六将，谁都不能轻易接触到。这样就与现实生活脱节了。“手里只要有一本书，我就不会觉得浪费时间。”查理任何时候都随身携带一本书，即使坐在经济舱的中间座位上，他只要拿着书，就安之若素。有一次他去西雅图参加一个董事会，依旧按惯例坐经济舱，他身边坐着一位中国小女孩，飞行途中一直在做微积分的功课。他对这个中国小女孩印象深刻，因为他很难想像同龄的美国女孩能有这样的定力，在飞机的嘈杂声中专心学习。如果他乘坐私人飞机，他就永远不会有机会近距离接触这些普通人的故事。严于律己，宽厚待人查理虽然严于律己，却非常宽厚地对待他真正关心和爱的人，他不吝金钱，总希望他人能多受益。他一个人的旅行，无论公务私务都搭乘经济舱，但与太太和家人一起旅行时，查理便会乘搭自己的私人飞机。他解释说：太太一辈子为我抚育这么多孩子，付出甚多，身体又不好，我一定要照顾好她。查理虽不是斯坦福大学毕业的，但因他太太是斯坦福校友，又是大学董事会成员，查理便向斯坦福大学捐款6000多万美金。查理一旦确定了做一件事情，他可以做一辈子。比如说他在哈佛—西湖学校及洛杉矶一间慈善医院的董事会任职长达40年之久。对于他所参与的慈善机构而言，查理是非常慷慨的赞助人。而且查理投入的不只是钱，他还投入了大量的时间和精力，以确保这些机构的成功运行。查理一生研究人类失败的原因，所以对人性的弱点有着深刻的理解。基于此，他认为人对自己要严格要求，这种生活方式对查理而言是一种道德要求。在外人看来，查理可能像个苦行僧，但在查理看来，这个过程却是既理性又愉快的，能够让人过上成功、幸福的人生。查理就是这么独特。但是想想看，如果芒格和巴菲特不是如此独特的话，他们也不可能一起在50年间为伯克希尔创造出在人类投资史上前无古人、后无来者的业绩。近20年来，全世界范围内对巴菲特、芒格研究的兴趣愈发地强烈，将来可能还会愈演愈烈，中英文的书籍汗牛充栋，其中也不乏独到的见解。说实话，由我目前的能力来评价芒格的思想其实为时尚早，因为直到今天，我每次和查理谈话，每次重读他的演讲，都会有新的收获。这另一方面也说明，我对他的思想理解还是不够。但这些年来查理对我的言传身教，使我有幸对查理的思想和人格有更直观的了解，我这里只想跟读者分享我自己近距离的观察和亲身体会。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320878614,"gmtCreate":1615085858438,"gmtModify":1703484610824,"author":{"id":"3560313890845123","authorId":"3560313890845123","name":"愿投资顺利","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a818c9ca78411cea22acb5177e214035","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560313890845123","authorIdStr":"3560313890845123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说是这么说，但我对中性化的交易系统彻底失望。","listText":"说是这么说，但我对中性化的交易系统彻底失望。","text":"说是这么说，但我对中性化的交易系统彻底失望。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320878614","repostId":"1150364023","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":385055885,"gmtCreate":1613490104847,"gmtModify":1613490104847,"author":{"id":"3560313890845123","authorId":"3560313890845123","name":"愿投资顺利","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a818c9ca78411cea22acb5177e214035","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560313890845123","authorIdStr":"3560313890845123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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22:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>11月30日讯，美国当选总统拜登正式提名前美联储主席耶伦为美国财长；提名TANDEN为预算主任，ROUSE为经济顾问委员会主席；提名ADEYEMO担任副财政部长，BERNSTEIN和BOUSHEY担任经济顾问委员会成员。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a06d391f5f12d2b670f532352f004ff","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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