RFTrader
RFTrader
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avatarRFTrader
2021-10-14
$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ absorbing the weak holders at 0.08 and bid volume at 0.08 is building up. Short term floor price at 0.08 that is supported by Temasek MGO. Declining volume could indicate easing in selling pressure. Risk reward is decent. Waiting for the break up. 
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-31

Should you subscribe SIA MCB?

The $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$MCB rights will start to trade on 2nd Jun 2021, 9 am and last trading day for the rights is on 10th Jun 2021. During this period, investors who do not want to subscribe for their pro-rata share of MCB are able to sell the rights in the open market. Just to recall, during the last MCB rights issue in 2020, the rights traded as low as 0.001 cents as there were no buyers for the rights.Those investors who want to subscribe for the rights are able to do so between 2nd June 2021 and 16th June 2021.Now, here comes the question. Should you subscribe for SIA MCB?Let me paint 2 scenarios for you, assuming that you have subscribed for the MCB.In the first scenario, we assume SIA recovers strongly from the Covid-19 impact i
Should you subscribe SIA MCB?
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-28

Singtel - Bullish price-action

After announcing a 93% drop in H2 net profit during pre-market yesterday, $SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$ gapped down from previous day's closing at 2.46 to open at 2.41, which was right at its uptrend channel's bottom support level.During the first 10 minutes of trading, Singtel's share price continued to trend downwards to a low of 2.38 and momentarily fell out of the uptrend channel. After the first 10 minutes, its share price managed to recover off the early low and for most of the trading day, Singtel was trading between 2.40 and 2.42.During the last hour of trading, some bullish price-action was observed. Singtel's share price climbed to as high as 2.47 on heavy buying volume. It closed the day at 2.45, which was just 1 cent lower than the previous da
Singtel - Bullish price-action
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-20

SIA MCB – A Catch-22 situation

Here comes another round of nightmare for $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ shareholders. Last night, SIA announced a renounceable rights issue of mandatory convertible bonds (“MCB”) to raise another S$6.2 billion from shareholders. In summary, a shareholder of SIA holding 1000 shares will have the right to take up 2090 MCBs issued at par of S$1 per share. Terms of this MCB is generally the same as the one that was issued in Jun 2020. If you have bought SIA shares yesterday, you would have paid around S$4,700 for 1 lot of the shares. But now, you will have to fork out an additional S$2,090 to subscribe for the MCBs, that is if you choose to subscribe for the shares. What do you get out of these MCBs? 1. No coupon payment through
SIA MCB – A Catch-22 situation
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-17

Capitaland - Time to buy now?

Almost a month ago, CapitaLand made a major announcement that it will be restructuring the company by separating the company into 2 distinct units – a real estate development unit and a fund management + lodging unit. The real estate development unit shall be privatized and what is left will be the fund management + lodging unit, which will remain listed on SGX.In return, shareholders of CapitaLand will receive S$0.951 cash per share + 0.155 unit of Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust for each CapitaLand share that they own.According to CapitaLand, the implied consideration to shareholders is S$4.102 per share, comprising cash consideration – S$0.951 per share + 1 share of fund management company for each CapitaLand share held (valued at S$2.823/share based on NAV) + 0.155 unit of of Ca
Capitaland - Time to buy now?
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-24
$KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED(BN4.SI)$ and $SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ have both halted trading of their shares this morning. Looks like the long awaited restructuring of their oil and gas businesses is finally here!
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-04

SIA MCB-R – Why buy at 0.001?

As I continue to follow the trading of $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ MCB Rights in the secondary market, an interesting observation came to me.Earlier when afternoon trading reopened in for the Singapore market, there were approximately 9.2 million of SIA MCB Rights transacted at 0.001 through married deal.9.2 million of SIA MCB Rights doesnt cost a lot. At 0.001, it is worth only $9,200. The next question that came to my mind is what this buyer is planning to do with the MCB Rights.First, he could be a long-term supporter of SIA and he is buying the Rights to subscribe for the MCB. But to subscribe, it will cost him $9.2 million to take up his rights. That is a lot of money! And this money will be locked up for 9 years! Even if the investo
SIA MCB-R – Why buy at 0.001?
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-24

SPH : 4 reasons to avoid

After the initial gap down after the restructuring announcement, $SINGAPORE PRESS HLDGS LTD(T39.SI)$ has since closed the gap and moved back to the pre-announcement price level.Is this gain sustainable?I remained unimpressed by SPH for 4 key reasons:1) SPH is not just giving away it media business for free. It is, in fact, throwing away S$110 mil in cash, SPH and SPR REIT shares to get rid of the media business.2) Transaction is NAV dilutive, dropping from S$2.24 per share to S$2.08 per share. Gearing will rise from 30.9% to 32.4%.3) Lack of confidence in management. The poor handling of media question and attitude of senior management is a good indication of how things are being run in the company.4) Lack of an impressive track record in real
SPH : 4 reasons to avoid
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-18

US markets to power on?

What is the outlook for the US market like? Let us take a quick look at the charts of the key US indices for some insights.DOW JONES- There is a risk of a potential double top formation. After hitting resistance in early June, DJIA has reversed its course and is in a correction mode.- DJIA still remains in the uptrend channel and the medium-term uptrend remains intact. - Yesterdays price action was somewhat slightly bias towards the positive side. The index hit its horizontal support line and buyers came back to support, trimming the loses in the index.- Outlook for DJIA: As the horizontal support line converges with the uptrend channel support line, there should be support at 33,600 level. This level may still be retested in the coming days and if hold up well, we can expect DJIA to start
US markets to power on?
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-02
$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ MCB rights started trading this morning, opening at 0.001 and traded to as high as 0.004. Take note that the previous tranch of MCB is now trading on the secondary market at 1.001. Hence, the implied value of the rights is only 0.001 (1.001 less subscription price of 1, excluding comms). Beware of chasing after the rights. 
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-21
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$ is at a critical support level. 2.30 support must hold, failing which, we may see a new round of selling to 2.15 level. Intraday bid ask volume is turning bearish as bid queue is dropping while ask queue is building up.
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-28

Keppel + SMM - Winner & Loser

One of the major news last week that shook Singapore stock market was the announcement of the consolidation between Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine. For readers who had not read the announcements in detail, here is a quick summary of what is going to happen.1) Non-binding MOU between $KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED(BN4.SI)$ and $SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ to combine Keppel O&M with SMM (“Combined Entity”)- The Combined Entity will be a listed entity, and SMM's shareholders will hold shares in the Combined Entity;- Keppel will receive shares in the Combined Entity and a cash consideration of up to S$500 million;- Keppel intends to distribute to its shareholders all the Combined Entity shares t
Keppel + SMM - Winner & Loser
avatarRFTrader
2021-10-18
avatarRFTrader
2021-08-26
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ Target price Hk$40
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-23
$SARINE TECHNOLOGIES LTD(U77.SI)$ is displaying a beautiful chart set up. Having broken up from the triangle yesterday on high volume, SARINE is retesting its Jan high of 0.70. There is a good probability of clearing 0.70 and after which it may test the next resistance at 0.84.
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-27
Trading plan for $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ :1) SS is still stuck in the downtrend channel despite the surge in price on 14 May. Current downtrend channel top resistance is at 1.64. Traders need to observe the price action near this level. A rejection at this level may trigger more selling. On the other hand, a break up on high volume will increase the likelihood of moving out of the downtrend channel and towards next resistance level at 1.72.2) If price falls below 1.60 in these coming days, it would be safer to cut loss first. Trade with care and DYODD. 
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-09
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$ This trade didn't quite turned out as what I had expected. The long red candle on 28th May (the day after my earlier posting) was perhaps a sign of rejection and bearish engulfing.Whilst I would have cut loss in other circumstances, this time around, diamond hands were activated and I held on to my Singtel shares. Why? This is because of the potential catalysts ahead for Singtel such as tender offer for its AIS shares, partial sale of optus towers, digital bank partnership with grab and possible corporate actions for its infrastructure assets.Current price level is close to support level and I have added today. Praying for the best! 
@RFTrader:Singtel - Bullish price-action
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-20
$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ What is happening to SIA this morning? Some days that the operating numbers are improving whilst others cheer at the funding support (assuming free money from Temasek).From the analyst report I read, some have not priced in any form of dilution or cost from the MCB issues. Without coupon payable, they have effectively treated the MCB as free money to shareholders. This is just pushing a problem to many years down the road when the MCB is nearer to conversion.Perhaps there could also be some invisible hands trying to keep the share price close to the conversion price in order to hold up the secondary market price of the existing MCB and make the MCBs at the money to attract shareholders to subscribe.At this
avatarRFTrader
2021-06-04
$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ For those who wanted to sell your rights but have not done so, it seems like the chance to sell has passed. 115 mil rights queueing to sell at 0.001 now. Bid-ask prices are now at lowest quotable level. 
avatarRFTrader
2021-05-18
$CME Bitcoin - main(BTCmain)$ watch the 41k level... It's coming! 

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