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持续赚钱

持续赚钱

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0勋章

2021-01-28

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@Gentle麦克斯:关于暴涨股选股方法的补充-NOK 实操案列

2021-01-28

2021/01/27 交易笔记 by 持续赚钱

今晚失败记录：交易频繁，对其背后的公司一无了解。交易完全靠感觉，追高，追跌都失败。资金少还拿4，5个股票，跌了没钱补仓，这是失败的主要原因。资金少，应该专注于1个股票，长期跟踪。以提高对股票判断的确定性，要保证有足够的钱补仓，避免错失回调良机。

2021/01/27 交易笔记 by 持续赚钱

2021-01-28

$PLUG 20210129 68.0 CALL(PLUG)$真的慌了，买跌就涨，买涨就跌，心态崩溃了

2021-01-27

都是利好消息，为什么还大跌？

2021-01-26

这样子的形态，不补仓不后悔吗？

2021-01-25

$XPEV 20210129 52.0 CALL(XPEV)$还有4天，我的目标是200%以上的收益

2021-01-25

说了这么多，等于没说

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-01-19

那么这是利好还是利空？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-12-08

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-12-02

$蔚来(NIO)$11月23香橼资本做空蔚来，称其目标价应为25美元，当日大跌7.74%然后连续下跌3个交易日，我们当时是不是很慌？后来熬过来的，没有被洗出去的，现在依然是盈利！从大跌到刷新新高，也只用了6个交易日，时间维度放长一点，现在是一个很好的加仓机会，错过了以后就只能悔恨了。

2020-12-02

$NIO 20201211 59.0 CALL(NIO)$你怎么玩都可以，但请在合约到期前充上60就可以了[看涨]

2020-12-01

$蔚来(NIO)$之前买入的时候觉得很高价，但是现在回头看就不会了，只会恨当时买少了。所以，继续持有吧！或者趁回调可以补一下仓！

2020-11-24

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$到底是选择卖出，去打新港股好呢？还是继续持有呢？大家给点意见！

2020-11-24

$逸仙电商(YSG)$收益不翻倍不放手

2020-11-24

$逸仙电商(YSG)$你们是都跑去买电动车三剑侠了吗？

2020-11-20

$逸仙电商(YSG)$盘前微涨！！一起期待吧！

2020-11-19

$ACB 20201120 9.0 CALL(ACB)$明天到期。我是要亏掉267.23美元还是更多？有没有高人指教一下？万分感谢！

2020-11-16

$ACB 20201120 9.0 CALL(ACB)$还有救吗[流泪]

2020-11-13

$ACB 20201120 9.0 CALL(ACB)$怎么办

2020-11-12

$奥罗拉大麻公司(ACB)$洗完牌没有？我要加仓了！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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实操案列","htmlText":"昨天美股大盘大幅回调，但是那些暴涨股依旧暴涨，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a>&nbsp;,&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$3B家居(BBBY)$</a>&nbsp;昨天写的帖子关于暴涨股刷选的方法以及如何提前布局， 很多小伙伴觉得很有用。 也有些小伙伴表示对进入的时间节点有点难把握。 今天我稍微做个补充，另外也回答几个虎友的提问， 有些问题，没法直接在评论区回复， 因为有些伙伴提问的方式不对，被老虎系统block 了。比如这位老兄问：黑莓<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$黑莓(BB)$</a>&nbsp;还能买吗？&nbsp;这个问题我尝试回复了好几遍， 都被系统提示 “ 审核中”， 所以小伙伴们下次提问某只票能不能买，可以换个说话， 比如写英文， 或者用进场之类的措辞避免被系统Block。 其实我昨天的回复是：成交量放的这么大，如果日内买在低点，收益还是不错的。另一位老兄问这个方法有哪些成功的案列， 我回复是我自己是做成长股的趋势投资的，没有行情的时候，偶尔小仓位做投机也是可以的。 既然分享给大家这个方法， 必然是有效的。 投资能否获得好的收益，知行合一是非常重要的。根据前天交易量选出的如下结果， 除了标红的4个已经启动的暴涨股以外， 大家有没有注意成交量排在第一的是诺基亚<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">$</a>","listText":"昨天美股大盘大幅回调，但是那些暴涨股依旧暴涨，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a>&nbsp;,&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$3B家居(BBBY)$</a>&nbsp;昨天写的帖子关于暴涨股刷选的方法以及如何提前布局， 很多小伙伴觉得很有用。 也有些小伙伴表示对进入的时间节点有点难把握。 今天我稍微做个补充，另外也回答几个虎友的提问， 有些问题，没法直接在评论区回复， 因为有些伙伴提问的方式不对，被老虎系统block 了。比如这位老兄问：黑莓<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$黑莓(BB)$</a>&nbsp;还能买吗？&nbsp;这个问题我尝试回复了好几遍， 都被系统提示 “ 审核中”， 所以小伙伴们下次提问某只票能不能买，可以换个说话， 比如写英文， 或者用进场之类的措辞避免被系统Block。 其实我昨天的回复是：成交量放的这么大，如果日内买在低点，收益还是不错的。另一位老兄问这个方法有哪些成功的案列， 我回复是我自己是做成长股的趋势投资的，没有行情的时候，偶尔小仓位做投机也是可以的。 既然分享给大家这个方法， 必然是有效的。 投资能否获得好的收益，知行合一是非常重要的。根据前天交易量选出的如下结果， 除了标红的4个已经启动的暴涨股以外， 大家有没有注意成交量排在第一的是诺基亚<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">$</a>","text":"昨天美股大盘大幅回调，但是那些暴涨股依旧暴涨，$游戏驿站(GME)$ , $AMC院线(AMC)$ ，$3B家居(BBBY)$ 昨天写的帖子关于暴涨股刷选的方法以及如何提前布局， 很多小伙伴觉得很有用。 也有些小伙伴表示对进入的时间节点有点难把握。 今天我稍微做个补充，另外也回答几个虎友的提问， 有些问题，没法直接在评论区回复， 因为有些伙伴提问的方式不对，被老虎系统block 了。比如这位老兄问：黑莓$黑莓(BB)$ 还能买吗？ 这个问题我尝试回复了好几遍， 都被系统提示 “ 审核中”， 所以小伙伴们下次提问某只票能不能买，可以换个说话， 比如写英文， 或者用进场之类的措辞避免被系统Block。 其实我昨天的回复是：成交量放的这么大，如果日内买在低点，收益还是不错的。另一位老兄问这个方法有哪些成功的案列， 我回复是我自己是做成长股的趋势投资的，没有行情的时候，偶尔小仓位做投机也是可以的。 既然分享给大家这个方法， 必然是有效的。 投资能否获得好的收益，知行合一是非常重要的。根据前天交易量选出的如下结果， 除了标红的4个已经启动的暴涨股以外， 大家有没有注意成交量排在第一的是诺基亚$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90240d5d416cc8e1d39184d84f99916a","width":"688","height":"327"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88a9dba928004cf41774db3266caedff","width":"472","height":"273"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bede3fef25eb2ee55e92b23b45db455","width":"688","height":"308"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/311278602","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":311172545,"gmtCreate":1611770407287,"gmtModify":1703753687956,"author":{"id":"3559968160297256","authorId":"3559968160297256","name":"持续赚钱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04528f38aaa57db28a811178e4abb00","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559968160297256","idStr":"3559968160297256"},"themes":[],"title":"2021/01/27 交易笔记 by 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交易笔记 by 持续赚钱","htmlText":"今晚失败记录：交易频繁，对其背后的公司一无了解。交易完全靠感觉，追高，追跌都失败。资金少还拿4，5个股票，跌了没钱补仓，这是失败的主要原因。资金少，应该专注于1个股票，长期跟踪。以提高对股票判断的确定性，要保证有足够的钱补仓，避免错失回调良机。","listText":"今晚失败记录：交易频繁，对其背后的公司一无了解。交易完全靠感觉，追高，追跌都失败。资金少还拿4，5个股票，跌了没钱补仓，这是失败的主要原因。资金少，应该专注于1个股票，长期跟踪。以提高对股票判断的确定性，要保证有足够的钱补仓，避免错失回调良机。","text":"今晚失败记录：交易频繁，对其背后的公司一无了解。交易完全靠感觉，追高，追跌都失败。资金少还拿4，5个股票，跌了没钱补仓，这是失败的主要原因。资金少，应该专注于1个股票，长期跟踪。以提高对股票判断的确定性，要保证有足够的钱补仓，避免错失回调良机。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/311172545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313265259,"gmtCreate":1611724723871,"gmtModify":1703752663940,"author":{"id":"3559968160297256","authorId":"3559968160297256","name":"持续赚钱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04528f38aaa57db28a811178e4abb00","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559968160297256","idStr":"3559968160297256"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"都是利好消息，为什么还大跌？","listText":"都是利好消息，为什么还大跌？","text":"都是利好消息，为什么还大跌？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a8a5214da3f286c30c526717324357","width":"1080","height":"3069"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313265259","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":319469709,"gmtCreate":1611596168701,"gmtModify":1703751548969,"author":{"id":"3559968160297256","authorId":"3559968160297256","name":"持续赚钱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04528f38aaa57db28a811178e4abb00","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559968160297256","idStr":"3559968160297256"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这样子的形态，不补仓不后悔吗？","listText":"这样子的形态，不补仓不后悔吗？","text":"这样子的形态，不补仓不后悔吗？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9ac90957ea8b76c7df6c874ddc07197","width":"1080","height":"2989"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319469709","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":319263104,"gmtCreate":1611586534508,"gmtModify":1703751271868,"author":{"id":"3559968160297256","authorId":"3559968160297256","name":"持续赚钱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04528f38aaa57db28a811178e4abb00","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559968160297256","idStr":"3559968160297256"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说了这么多，等于没说","listText":"说了这么多，等于没说","text":"说了这么多，等于没说","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319263104","repostId":"1179161946","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179161946","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1611362432,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179161946?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-23 08:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"电动三宝现阶段谁更值得买入？分析师：看好理想汽车","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179161946","media":"腾讯美股","summary":"尽管如此，还是有许多消费者认为电动汽车的收益大于成本，因此其销售正在增加。特别是在中国，政府正在积极推动电动汽车的发展。电动汽车的加速速度快，续航里程短，非常适合中国不断增长的城市中心。在此背景之下，他选出了一只目前值得持有的中国电动汽车股，同时建议投资者应该避免持有其他两只中国电动汽车股。","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>证券1月23日讯，电动汽车正在变得越来越受人欢迎，这一趋势是由社会接受程度、绿色心态以及人们对内燃机确实存在缺陷的认识推动的，其中一些缺陷被电动汽车解决了，它们不仅排放更低，还承诺为车主提供很高的性能。</p>\n<p>目前，电池技术的主要缺点是成本较高，续航时间较短。尽管如此，还是有许多消费者认为电动汽车的收益大于成本，因此其销售正在增加。特别是在中国，政府正在积极推动电动汽车的发展。电动汽车的加速速度快，续航里程短，非常适合中国不断增长的城市中心。</p>\n<p>华尔街投行<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">杰富瑞</a>集团（Jefferies）的分析师亚历克西斯·李（Alexous Lee）对中国电动汽车行业进行了全面评估，他指出，“随着中国推进‘电动化和数字化’的趋势，我们对新能源汽车在中国的前景持乐观态度。虽然全球汽车制造商的合资企业正在迅速推出新车型（混合动力汽车和插电式混合动力汽车），以期达成降低年度企业平均油耗（CAFC）的目标，但中国汽车制造商（无论是传统汽车还是初创企业）都有动力迅速加快采用入门级电动汽车。”</p>\n<p>在此背景之下，他选出了一只目前值得持有的中国电动汽车股，同时建议投资者应该避免持有其他两只中国电动汽车股。</p>\n<p><b>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a></b></p>\n<p>理想汽车（股票代码：LI）号称拥有中国国内最畅销的一款电动汽车车型。在去年10月份，理想汽车售出了3700辆Li One汽车，从而使其投产第一年的总销量达到了2.2万辆。按照目前的销售和生产速度，该公司预计今年的销售量将会翻上一番。</p>\n<p>在中国这个全球最大的电动汽车市场上，这是一件大事。中国生产的电动汽车占全球销量的一半以上，而几乎所有的电动公交车都是中国生产的。成立于2015年的理想汽车一直都专注于插电式混合动力车，这种车型可以插入充电站的方式来维护电池，同时配备了内燃机来作为低密度充电网络的补充。Li One是一款全尺寸SUV混合动力汽车，问世之后在市场上迅速走红。</p>\n<p>理想汽车于2020年7月在纳斯达克挂牌上市，IPO（首次公开募股）发行价为每股11.50美元的股价开盘，首日收盘时上涨了40%。在那之后的几个月里，该股升值了116%。</p>\n<p>在股价大涨的同时，理想汽车的财报也表现强劲。据最近一份财报显示，理想汽车2020年第三季度的汽车销售额为3.63亿美元，环比增长28%，贡献了该公司3.698亿美元总营收中的绝大部分。同样积极的是，该公司的自由现金流环比增长149%，达到1.104亿美元。</p>\n<p>亚历克西斯·李表示，他对理想汽车的技术印象深刻。他指出：“Li One的EREV（增程式电动汽车）动力总成取得了巨大的成功，因为：（1）续航里程更长；（2）低温的影响有限；（3）更容易被购车者接受。在电池成本平价实现之前，这一优势是可持续的，这就使得理想汽车成为了比同业公司更早实现经营现金流正增长和盈利的一家汽车制造商。”</p>\n<p>这位分析师还补充说：“理想汽车是中国第一家成功商业化增程式电动汽车的公司，这是解决司机续航里程焦虑和汽车制造商高BOM（物料清单）的解决方案。增程系统由燃料驱动，除了电池组以外还提供替代电源，这在低温环境下表现得尤为突出，因为在低温环境下，纯电动汽车可能会损失最多50%的里程。”</p>\n<p>他认为，理想汽车的技术对客户和投资者具备关键性的吸引力，因此将其股票评级设定为“买入”，目标价为44.50美元，这个目标价意味着未来一年该股的上行空间为25%。</p>\n<p><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车</b></p>\n<p>在国内市场上，蔚来汽车（股票代码：NIO）正在与埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）旗下的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>公司（股票代码：TSLA）争夺电动汽车市场的头把交椅。蔚来汽车的市值为900亿美元，是国内最大的电动汽车制造商。该公司拥有一系列不同的产品，包括锂离子电池SUV和一款水冷电动跑车等。另外，蔚来汽车还正在设计两款轿车和一款面包车，准备在未来的某个时间发布。</p>\n<p>与此同时，蔚来的汽车也很受国内消费者欢迎。根据蔚来公布的数据，该公司2020年的汽车交付量为43728辆，是2019年交付量的两倍多。在2020年的最后五个月，蔚来的汽车交付量连续5个月实现了增长，其中12月份的交付量超过了7000辆。</p>\n<p>蔚来汽车的营收也一直都在稳步增长，并在2020年第二季度和第三季度显示出显著的同比增长。该公司第二季度的营收增长了137%，第三季度则增长了150%，达到6.54亿美元。</p>\n<p>然而，由于蔚来汽车的股价在过去52周已经暴涨1016%，因此进一步上涨的空间微乎其微——至少亚历克西斯·李是这样认为的，这位分析师将为蔚来汽车的股票评级设定为“持有”，目标价为60美元，仅代表着3%的上行空间。</p>\n<p>“我们使用现金流量贴现法（DCF）来对蔚来汽车的股票进行评估。在我们基于这种方法构建的模型中，我们考虑到了销量稳健增长、2024财年实现净利润、以及2023财年实现自由现金流为正值等假设因素。我们采用了8.1%的WACC（加权平均资本成本）和5%的终端增长率，得出60美元的目标价。”他解释道。</p>\n<p>总体而言，华尔街分析师有7人将蔚来汽车的股票评级设定为“买入”，6人设定为“持有”，这就意味着其共识评级为“温和买入”；这些分析师为该股设定的目标价平均值为57.79美元，相比之下其周四收盘价为58.34美元。</p>\n<p><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a></b></p>\n<p>跟理想汽车一样，小鹏汽车（股票代码：XPEV）也将目标对准了国内中端电动汽车市场，该公司有两款正在生产的车型，分别是G3 SUV和P7轿车。这两款汽车都是远程电动汽车车型，一次充电可以行驶500到700公里，并配备了先进的自动驾驶系统。G3于2018年12月开始交付，P7于2020年6月开始交付。</p>\n<p>小鹏汽车与理想汽车的另一个共同点是，该公司同样于2020年夏天在美国挂牌上市，该公司在8月份的最后一天登陆纽约证券交易所，IPO发行价为每股23.10美元，最终筹资额为15亿美元。自IPO上市以来，该公司的股价上涨了127%，市值达到374亿美元。</p>\n<p>推动小鹏汽车股价上涨的主要原因是，该公司的销售量实现了增长。根据小鹏汽车公布的数据，该公司在2020年第三季度交付了8,578辆汽车，同比增长265%，其中大部分是P7轿车，这款车型的交付量从第二季度的325辆跃升至第三季度的6210辆。在销售量强劲增长的推动下，小鹏汽车第三季度的营收达到了3.1亿美元，同比增长342%。</p>\n<p>亚历克西斯·李认为，小鹏汽车是一家定位良好的公司，但短期而言可能已经达到了增长的极限。他写道：“小鹏汽车对科技驱动型增长的风险敞口非常大。虽然我们看好其在自动驾驶和动力消耗效率方面的专长，但我们对其2021财年的销售量增长预测为120%，低于华尔街分析师的共识预期；而我们对其20222财年销售量增长的预测为129%，则高于共识预期。”</p>\n<p>有鉴于此，他将小鹏汽车的股票评级设定为“持有”，目标价为54.40美元，相比之下该股周四报收于54.31美元。总体而言，华尔街分析师有5人将小鹏汽车的股票评级设定为“买入”，2人设定为“持有”，1人设定为“卖出”，这就意味着其共识评级为“温和买入”；这些分析师为该股设定的目标价平均值为51.25美元。</p>","source":"txmg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n电动三宝现阶段谁更值得买入？分析师：看好理想汽车\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-23 08:40 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://new.qq.com/omn/20210123/20210123A00SL400.html><strong>腾讯美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>腾讯证券1月23日讯，电动汽车正在变得越来越受人欢迎，这一趋势是由社会接受程度、绿色心态以及人们对内燃机确实存在缺陷的认识推动的，其中一些缺陷被电动汽车解决了，它们不仅排放更低，还承诺为车主提供很高的性能。\n目前，电池技术的主要缺点是成本较高，续航时间较短。尽管如此，还是有许多消费者认为电动汽车的收益大于成本，因此其销售正在增加。特别是在中国，政府正在积极推动电动汽车的发展。电动汽车的加速速度快，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://new.qq.com/omn/20210123/20210123A00SL400.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c747260a48201734f4e7374f425698fd","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"http://new.qq.com/omn/20210123/20210123A00SL400.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179161946","content_text":"腾讯证券1月23日讯，电动汽车正在变得越来越受人欢迎，这一趋势是由社会接受程度、绿色心态以及人们对内燃机确实存在缺陷的认识推动的，其中一些缺陷被电动汽车解决了，它们不仅排放更低，还承诺为车主提供很高的性能。\n目前，电池技术的主要缺点是成本较高，续航时间较短。尽管如此，还是有许多消费者认为电动汽车的收益大于成本，因此其销售正在增加。特别是在中国，政府正在积极推动电动汽车的发展。电动汽车的加速速度快，续航里程短，非常适合中国不断增长的城市中心。\n华尔街投行杰富瑞集团（Jefferies）的分析师亚历克西斯·李（Alexous Lee）对中国电动汽车行业进行了全面评估，他指出，“随着中国推进‘电动化和数字化’的趋势，我们对新能源汽车在中国的前景持乐观态度。虽然全球汽车制造商的合资企业正在迅速推出新车型（混合动力汽车和插电式混合动力汽车），以期达成降低年度企业平均油耗（CAFC）的目标，但中国汽车制造商（无论是传统汽车还是初创企业）都有动力迅速加快采用入门级电动汽车。”\n在此背景之下，他选出了一只目前值得持有的中国电动汽车股，同时建议投资者应该避免持有其他两只中国电动汽车股。\n1、理想汽车\n理想汽车（股票代码：LI）号称拥有中国国内最畅销的一款电动汽车车型。在去年10月份，理想汽车售出了3700辆Li One汽车，从而使其投产第一年的总销量达到了2.2万辆。按照目前的销售和生产速度，该公司预计今年的销售量将会翻上一番。\n在中国这个全球最大的电动汽车市场上，这是一件大事。中国生产的电动汽车占全球销量的一半以上，而几乎所有的电动公交车都是中国生产的。成立于2015年的理想汽车一直都专注于插电式混合动力车，这种车型可以插入充电站的方式来维护电池，同时配备了内燃机来作为低密度充电网络的补充。Li One是一款全尺寸SUV混合动力汽车，问世之后在市场上迅速走红。\n理想汽车于2020年7月在纳斯达克挂牌上市，IPO（首次公开募股）发行价为每股11.50美元的股价开盘，首日收盘时上涨了40%。在那之后的几个月里，该股升值了116%。\n在股价大涨的同时，理想汽车的财报也表现强劲。据最近一份财报显示，理想汽车2020年第三季度的汽车销售额为3.63亿美元，环比增长28%，贡献了该公司3.698亿美元总营收中的绝大部分。同样积极的是，该公司的自由现金流环比增长149%，达到1.104亿美元。\n亚历克西斯·李表示，他对理想汽车的技术印象深刻。他指出：“Li One的EREV（增程式电动汽车）动力总成取得了巨大的成功，因为：（1）续航里程更长；（2）低温的影响有限；（3）更容易被购车者接受。在电池成本平价实现之前，这一优势是可持续的，这就使得理想汽车成为了比同业公司更早实现经营现金流正增长和盈利的一家汽车制造商。”\n这位分析师还补充说：“理想汽车是中国第一家成功商业化增程式电动汽车的公司，这是解决司机续航里程焦虑和汽车制造商高BOM（物料清单）的解决方案。增程系统由燃料驱动，除了电池组以外还提供替代电源，这在低温环境下表现得尤为突出，因为在低温环境下，纯电动汽车可能会损失最多50%的里程。”\n他认为，理想汽车的技术对客户和投资者具备关键性的吸引力，因此将其股票评级设定为“买入”，目标价为44.50美元，这个目标价意味着未来一年该股的上行空间为25%。\n2、蔚来汽车\n在国内市场上，蔚来汽车（股票代码：NIO）正在与埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）旗下的特斯拉公司（股票代码：TSLA）争夺电动汽车市场的头把交椅。蔚来汽车的市值为900亿美元，是国内最大的电动汽车制造商。该公司拥有一系列不同的产品，包括锂离子电池SUV和一款水冷电动跑车等。另外，蔚来汽车还正在设计两款轿车和一款面包车，准备在未来的某个时间发布。\n与此同时，蔚来的汽车也很受国内消费者欢迎。根据蔚来公布的数据，该公司2020年的汽车交付量为43728辆，是2019年交付量的两倍多。在2020年的最后五个月，蔚来的汽车交付量连续5个月实现了增长，其中12月份的交付量超过了7000辆。\n蔚来汽车的营收也一直都在稳步增长，并在2020年第二季度和第三季度显示出显著的同比增长。该公司第二季度的营收增长了137%，第三季度则增长了150%，达到6.54亿美元。\n然而，由于蔚来汽车的股价在过去52周已经暴涨1016%，因此进一步上涨的空间微乎其微——至少亚历克西斯·李是这样认为的，这位分析师将为蔚来汽车的股票评级设定为“持有”，目标价为60美元，仅代表着3%的上行空间。\n“我们使用现金流量贴现法（DCF）来对蔚来汽车的股票进行评估。在我们基于这种方法构建的模型中，我们考虑到了销量稳健增长、2024财年实现净利润、以及2023财年实现自由现金流为正值等假设因素。我们采用了8.1%的WACC（加权平均资本成本）和5%的终端增长率，得出60美元的目标价。”他解释道。\n总体而言，华尔街分析师有7人将蔚来汽车的股票评级设定为“买入”，6人设定为“持有”，这就意味着其共识评级为“温和买入”；这些分析师为该股设定的目标价平均值为57.79美元，相比之下其周四收盘价为58.34美元。\n3、小鹏汽车\n跟理想汽车一样，小鹏汽车（股票代码：XPEV）也将目标对准了国内中端电动汽车市场，该公司有两款正在生产的车型，分别是G3 SUV和P7轿车。这两款汽车都是远程电动汽车车型，一次充电可以行驶500到700公里，并配备了先进的自动驾驶系统。G3于2018年12月开始交付，P7于2020年6月开始交付。\n小鹏汽车与理想汽车的另一个共同点是，该公司同样于2020年夏天在美国挂牌上市，该公司在8月份的最后一天登陆纽约证券交易所，IPO发行价为每股23.10美元，最终筹资额为15亿美元。自IPO上市以来，该公司的股价上涨了127%，市值达到374亿美元。\n推动小鹏汽车股价上涨的主要原因是，该公司的销售量实现了增长。根据小鹏汽车公布的数据，该公司在2020年第三季度交付了8,578辆汽车，同比增长265%，其中大部分是P7轿车，这款车型的交付量从第二季度的325辆跃升至第三季度的6210辆。在销售量强劲增长的推动下，小鹏汽车第三季度的营收达到了3.1亿美元，同比增长342%。\n亚历克西斯·李认为，小鹏汽车是一家定位良好的公司，但短期而言可能已经达到了增长的极限。他写道：“小鹏汽车对科技驱动型增长的风险敞口非常大。虽然我们看好其在自动驾驶和动力消耗效率方面的专长，但我们对其2021财年的销售量增长预测为120%，低于华尔街分析师的共识预期；而我们对其20222财年销售量增长的预测为129%，则高于共识预期。”\n有鉴于此，他将小鹏汽车的股票评级设定为“持有”，目标价为54.40美元，相比之下该股周四报收于54.31美元。总体而言，华尔街分析师有5人将小鹏汽车的股票评级设定为“买入”，2人设定为“持有”，1人设定为“卖出”，这就意味着其共识评级为“温和买入”；这些分析师为该股设定的目标价平均值为51.25美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337989727,"gmtCreate":1611051013569,"gmtModify":1703747659178,"author":{"id":"3559968160297256","authorId":"3559968160297256","name":"持续赚钱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04528f38aaa57db28a811178e4abb00","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559968160297256","idStr":"3559968160297256"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那么这是利好还是利空？","listText":"那么这是利好还是利空？","text":"那么这是利好还是利空？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337989727","repostId":"2104712668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2104712668","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1611046968,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2104712668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-19 17:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"蔚来宣布完成价值15亿美元的可转换优先债券","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2104712668","media":"36氪","summary":"36氪获悉，蔚来宣布完成价值15亿美元的可转换优先债券。","content":"<html><body><article><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>获悉，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>宣布完成价值15亿美元的可转换优先债券。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来宣布完成价值15亿美元的可转换优先债券</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蔚来宣布完成价值15亿美元的可转换优先债券\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-19 17:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202101191702527869ed81&s=b><strong>36氪</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>36氪获悉，蔚来宣布完成价值15亿美元的可转换优先债券。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202101191702527869ed81&s=b\">Web 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