Princes7s的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Princes7s

Princes7s

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：北京

82关注

3粉丝

10主题

0勋章

2022-03-15

$Yalla Group(YALA)$垃圾

2021-07-16

这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底

2021-05-19

$Yalla Group(YALA)$疯了吧

2021-05-11

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点

2021-02-25

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$来吧，加仓加起来

2020-11-27

$Scworx Corp(WORX)$强

2020-11-20

$微贷网(WEI)$汽车金融概念呢

2020-11-11

$蔚来(NIO)$可以挂空单了吗？

2020-11-06

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$优秀！！

2020-11-06

只想知道，有什么能投资的股票

如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？

2020-11-04

$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！

2020-10-27

$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子

2020-10-23

无成交的横盘是啥意思？

2020-10-13

$洪恩教育(IH)$24，收

2020-10-13

$洪恩教育(IH)$看来庄心里有目标价啊

2020-10-03

$特斯拉(TSLA)$大单进了不少

2020-10-02

$Yalla Group(YALA)$没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱

2020-09-28

$特斯拉(TSLA)$既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？

2020-09-25

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@交易员Owen:10个点的调整已经结束了吗？关于当前美股大盘，这里有你应了解的一切

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":3559003862950507,"uuid":"3559003862950507","gmtCreate":1595909840390,"gmtModify":1601130614933,"name":"Princes7s","pinyin":"princes7s","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":82,"tweetSize":19,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":10,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.04.25","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc-1","templateUuid":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc","name":"知识体验官","description":"观看学堂课程满5节","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb5ae275631fb96a92d475cdc85d2302","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2660a1935bd2105e97c9915619936c3","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.06","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2006},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"80.77%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.07%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":6,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":634087339,"gmtCreate":1647282270140,"gmtModify":1647293677971,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>垃圾","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>垃圾","text":"$Yalla Group(YALA)$垃圾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634087339","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170255483,"gmtCreate":1626438762942,"gmtModify":1626438762942,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底","listText":"这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底","text":"这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b1a88d0583bcde9839fe4747aca67c","width":"1125","height":"3525"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170255483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197888618,"gmtCreate":1621439987234,"gmtModify":1621439987234,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>疯了吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>疯了吧","text":"$Yalla Group(YALA)$疯了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197888618","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199781729,"gmtCreate":1620734283661,"gmtModify":1620734283661,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199781729","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1078,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368039617,"gmtCreate":1614265261839,"gmtModify":1614265261839,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>来吧，加仓加起来","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>来吧，加仓加起来","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$来吧，加仓加起来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368039617","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391968503,"gmtCreate":1606470278502,"gmtModify":1703843222452,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WORX\">$Scworx Corp(WORX)$</a>强","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WORX\">$Scworx Corp(WORX)$</a>强","text":"$Scworx Corp(WORX)$强","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391968503","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":399909665,"gmtCreate":1605887790157,"gmtModify":1703840359825,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEI\">$微贷网(WEI)$</a>汽车金融概念呢","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEI\">$微贷网(WEI)$</a>汽车金融概念呢","text":"$微贷网(WEI)$汽车金融概念呢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399909665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":305428122,"gmtCreate":1605027823466,"gmtModify":1703835911585,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>可以挂空单了吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>可以挂空单了吗？","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$可以挂空单了吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/305428122","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":302492623,"gmtCreate":1604677551762,"gmtModify":1703834494277,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>优秀！！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>优秀！！","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$优秀！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302492623","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":302850077,"gmtCreate":1604593253099,"gmtModify":1703834026457,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"只想知道，有什么能投资的股票","listText":"只想知道，有什么能投资的股票","text":"只想知道，有什么能投资的股票","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302850077","repostId":"1110078379","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110078379","pubTimestamp":1604584155,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110078379?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-11-05 21:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110078379","media":"长安街知事","summary":"美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非","content":"<p>美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。</p><p>与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。</p><p>美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。</p><p><b>特朗普说过的狠话</b></p><p>对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是空穴来风，在大选前的几周中，他多次表示可能会拒绝和平移交权力，并强烈怀疑邮寄选票的可靠性。</p><p>9月23日，特朗普说，假如选票显示拜登赢得大选，他不会承诺进行和平的权力交接。“我们得看看到时会发生什么。你知道，我一直强烈抱怨邮寄选票，（邮寄）选票是一场灾难。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6224a8509794bcafe2378f6451edadb\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"976\"><span>美国总统特朗普</span></p><p>随着大选的临近，一些州决定延长邮寄选票的截止日期。特朗普对此非常不满，他强调“选举应在11月3日结束” ，不用去管在那之后寄到的选票。</p><p>特朗普还一再暗示，如果要他接受拜登的胜利，唯一的办法就是经过最高法院来裁决。不久前，自由派大法官金斯伯格去世后，特朗普迅速提名保守派法官巴雷特填补空缺。他明确表示，希望巴雷特能在最高法院任职，从而对选举期间出现的争端做出裁决。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c4f49e038af53694d2560cf3d64ba9e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"772\"><span>特朗普与巴雷特（右）</span></p><p>特朗普似乎已经做好了相应的准备，在选举日之前的周日，他对记者说：“选举一结束，我们就将与律师进行商议。”</p><p><b>特朗普将如何挑战选举结果</b></p><p>美媒认为，特朗普可以用几个不同的方式拒绝承认失败。</p><p>第一种情况是，如果选举日的计票结果显示特朗普以微弱的优势领先，他会在最终结果公布前就宣布获胜。消息人士告诉Axios网站，特朗普一直计划这样做。</p><p>虽然特朗普在11月1日否认了这些报道，但他在11月4日还是这样做了。</p><p>当地时间4日凌晨2点，特朗普在白宫东翼发表投票日之后的首次演讲，在最终计票结果尚未公布的情况下，他自称：“我们正准备赢下这场选举，直白点说，我们已经赢得此次大选。”</p><p>特朗普还表示，他计划向联邦最高法院提起诉讼，要求从4日凌晨4时起各地停止接收邮寄选票。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fd2c08d14a8bb112ec0ae2660aa225d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\"><span>11月3日，人们在美国纽约时报广场观看实时计票结果。</span></p><p>另一种情况是，最终计票结果显示拜登在普选和选举人团中都以微弱的优势胜过特朗普，但特朗普拒绝接受这些结果，理由是对选民欺诈和非法选票。</p><p>同样在4日凌晨，特朗普毫无根据地称此次大选是“对美国公众的欺诈……是我们国家的耻辱”。CNN指出，特朗普坚持认为他领先的那些州应该停止计票，事实上很多合法选票还未计入。</p><p>他还在推特上写道：“我们感到非常震惊，他们（民主党）正在试图窃取美国大选，我们永远都不会让他们得逞，投票所关闭后就（应当）无法再投票！”然而，推特官方直接把他的消息标记并隐藏，将帖文设置共享限制，阻止他进一步宣传。</p><p>作为现任总统，特朗普的权力巨大。正如无党派组织“完整过渡计划”(Transition Integrity Project)创始人罗莎·布鲁克斯所指出的，拜登只能召开新闻发布会，特朗普却可以调动第82空降师。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d4c4cc4e4f59016fc6c42d83f94d7ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"731\"><span>11月3日，工人为美国纽约一家商店安装防护板。</span></p><p>专家预测，在最坏的情况下，特朗普拒绝接受选举结果将引发一场宪法危机，以及广泛的社会动荡和潜在的暴力党派冲突。根据“完整过渡计划”项目的报告，“大选后发生暴力冲突的可能性很高”。</p><p><b>特朗普拒绝让步会导致什么结果？</b></p><p>事实上，仅仅发推特说选举“被操纵”是不足以推翻计票结果的。长期担任共和党选举事务律师，曾在2000年重计选票官司中在布什团队担纲重要角色的知名律师本杰明·金斯伯格指出，“要想成功指责选举是一场欺诈，总统候选人必须逐个区域证明，要搜集足够的欺诈性选票才可以改变选举结果。夸张的言论在选举诉讼中不会产生任何影响。”</p><p>除了把官司打到最高法院之外，特朗普及其团队还有一种理论上的取胜之道：让共和党控制的州立法机构任命特朗普的支持者进入“选举人团” (electoral college)，直接去选特朗普。</p><p>虽然在美国历史上的大部分时间里，各州都允许民众投票决定选举人，但《大西洋月刊》报道说，州议会可以很容易地选择收回选举权，因为宪法将选举人的任命完全交给各州。</p><p>俄亥俄州立大学宪法学教授、选举法专家爱德华·弗利(Edward Foley)指出，在宾夕法尼亚、密歇根州、威斯康星州和北卡罗来纳州这几个竞争非常激烈、而且州长和立法机构分属不同党派的地方，州长（民主党）和州议会（共和党）可以提交两份不同的选举结果。但是在这种情况下，国会是否应该接受州长的选举名单，或者根本不计算该州的选举人票，目前尚无定论。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fd3c2fe15e09c85aee110daefdf976e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\"><span>特朗普（左）与拜登</span></p><p>如何处理两份不同的选举结果？路透社称，学者们提出两种可能：第一，如果两方完全无法达成一致，作为参议院议长的现任副总统彭斯可以决定由谁当选；另一种观点认为，众议院最终会在拜登和特朗普之间做出选择。</p><p>甚至还有一种最出人意料的情况，双方僵持不下，众议院议长佩洛西可能成为代理总统。</p><p>尽管发生的可能性很小，但不论上述哪种情况最终出现，都意味着美国迎来一场宪法危机。</p>","source":"lsy1604584083978","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-11-05 21:49 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/baQ6tm96WAEVJXKpp1AXVg><strong>长安街知事</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。特朗普说过的狠话对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/baQ6tm96WAEVJXKpp1AXVg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6224a8509794bcafe2378f6451edadb","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/baQ6tm96WAEVJXKpp1AXVg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110078379","content_text":"美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。特朗普说过的狠话对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是空穴来风，在大选前的几周中，他多次表示可能会拒绝和平移交权力，并强烈怀疑邮寄选票的可靠性。9月23日，特朗普说，假如选票显示拜登赢得大选，他不会承诺进行和平的权力交接。“我们得看看到时会发生什么。你知道，我一直强烈抱怨邮寄选票，（邮寄）选票是一场灾难。”美国总统特朗普随着大选的临近，一些州决定延长邮寄选票的截止日期。特朗普对此非常不满，他强调“选举应在11月3日结束” ，不用去管在那之后寄到的选票。特朗普还一再暗示，如果要他接受拜登的胜利，唯一的办法就是经过最高法院来裁决。不久前，自由派大法官金斯伯格去世后，特朗普迅速提名保守派法官巴雷特填补空缺。他明确表示，希望巴雷特能在最高法院任职，从而对选举期间出现的争端做出裁决。特朗普与巴雷特（右）特朗普似乎已经做好了相应的准备，在选举日之前的周日，他对记者说：“选举一结束，我们就将与律师进行商议。”特朗普将如何挑战选举结果美媒认为，特朗普可以用几个不同的方式拒绝承认失败。第一种情况是，如果选举日的计票结果显示特朗普以微弱的优势领先，他会在最终结果公布前就宣布获胜。消息人士告诉Axios网站，特朗普一直计划这样做。虽然特朗普在11月1日否认了这些报道，但他在11月4日还是这样做了。当地时间4日凌晨2点，特朗普在白宫东翼发表投票日之后的首次演讲，在最终计票结果尚未公布的情况下，他自称：“我们正准备赢下这场选举，直白点说，我们已经赢得此次大选。”特朗普还表示，他计划向联邦最高法院提起诉讼，要求从4日凌晨4时起各地停止接收邮寄选票。11月3日，人们在美国纽约时报广场观看实时计票结果。另一种情况是，最终计票结果显示拜登在普选和选举人团中都以微弱的优势胜过特朗普，但特朗普拒绝接受这些结果，理由是对选民欺诈和非法选票。同样在4日凌晨，特朗普毫无根据地称此次大选是“对美国公众的欺诈……是我们国家的耻辱”。CNN指出，特朗普坚持认为他领先的那些州应该停止计票，事实上很多合法选票还未计入。他还在推特上写道：“我们感到非常震惊，他们（民主党）正在试图窃取美国大选，我们永远都不会让他们得逞，投票所关闭后就（应当）无法再投票！”然而，推特官方直接把他的消息标记并隐藏，将帖文设置共享限制，阻止他进一步宣传。作为现任总统，特朗普的权力巨大。正如无党派组织“完整过渡计划”(Transition Integrity Project)创始人罗莎·布鲁克斯所指出的，拜登只能召开新闻发布会，特朗普却可以调动第82空降师。11月3日，工人为美国纽约一家商店安装防护板。专家预测，在最坏的情况下，特朗普拒绝接受选举结果将引发一场宪法危机，以及广泛的社会动荡和潜在的暴力党派冲突。根据“完整过渡计划”项目的报告，“大选后发生暴力冲突的可能性很高”。特朗普拒绝让步会导致什么结果？事实上，仅仅发推特说选举“被操纵”是不足以推翻计票结果的。长期担任共和党选举事务律师，曾在2000年重计选票官司中在布什团队担纲重要角色的知名律师本杰明·金斯伯格指出，“要想成功指责选举是一场欺诈，总统候选人必须逐个区域证明，要搜集足够的欺诈性选票才可以改变选举结果。夸张的言论在选举诉讼中不会产生任何影响。”除了把官司打到最高法院之外，特朗普及其团队还有一种理论上的取胜之道：让共和党控制的州立法机构任命特朗普的支持者进入“选举人团” (electoral college)，直接去选特朗普。虽然在美国历史上的大部分时间里，各州都允许民众投票决定选举人，但《大西洋月刊》报道说，州议会可以很容易地选择收回选举权，因为宪法将选举人的任命完全交给各州。俄亥俄州立大学宪法学教授、选举法专家爱德华·弗利(Edward Foley)指出，在宾夕法尼亚、密歇根州、威斯康星州和北卡罗来纳州这几个竞争非常激烈、而且州长和立法机构分属不同党派的地方，州长（民主党）和州议会（共和党）可以提交两份不同的选举结果。但是在这种情况下，国会是否应该接受州长的选举名单，或者根本不计算该州的选举人票，目前尚无定论。特朗普（左）与拜登如何处理两份不同的选举结果？路透社称，学者们提出两种可能：第一，如果两方完全无法达成一致，作为参议院议长的现任副总统彭斯可以决定由谁当选；另一种观点认为，众议院最终会在拜登和特朗普之间做出选择。甚至还有一种最出人意料的情况，双方僵持不下，众议院议长佩洛西可能成为代理总统。尽管发生的可能性很小，但不论上述哪种情况最终出现，都意味着美国迎来一场宪法危机。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":302049012,"gmtCreate":1604502194736,"gmtModify":1703833491102,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302049012","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301448494,"gmtCreate":1603731989718,"gmtModify":1703830542384,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301448494","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301110006,"gmtCreate":1603383886305,"gmtModify":1703829805234,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"无成交的横盘是啥意思？","listText":"无成交的横盘是啥意思？","text":"无成交的横盘是啥意思？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80da44c5f45d3947c73042adcca465d3","width":"1500","height":"3022"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301110006","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":309961208,"gmtCreate":1602518979404,"gmtModify":1703826862408,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>24，收","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>24，收","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$24，收","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/309961208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":309963448,"gmtCreate":1602518810584,"gmtModify":1703826861724,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>看来庄心里有目标价啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>看来庄心里有目标价啊","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$看来庄心里有目标价啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/309963448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977461608,"gmtCreate":1601699699504,"gmtModify":1703825142511,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大单进了不少","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大单进了不少","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$大单进了不少","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977461608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977206280,"gmtCreate":1601571106940,"gmtModify":1703824824261,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱","text":"$Yalla Group(YALA)$没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977206280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3436156022944913","authorId":"3436156022944913","name":"付雷01","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/451a168363072620172ecc45f9ee64b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"什么意思？不是写着177万成交量吗？","text":"什么意思？不是写着177万成交量吗？","html":"什么意思？不是写着177万成交量吗？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974451057,"gmtCreate":1601295699879,"gmtModify":1703823868461,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974451057","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3500501721534624","authorId":"3500501721534624","name":"韭菜叶","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4045406c8ef7d4cfbd540c0bb15faed0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"鬼才逻辑，你周边那些买了手机数码电子产品，大家电等等的是不是都是XX呀[笑哭]","text":"鬼才逻辑，你周边那些买了手机数码电子产品，大家电等等的是不是都是XX呀[笑哭]","html":"鬼才逻辑，你周边那些买了手机数码电子产品，大家电等等的是不是都是XX呀[笑哭]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974611052,"gmtCreate":1601036150976,"gmtModify":1703823413491,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974611052","repostId":"976538100","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":976538100,"gmtCreate":1599751203694,"gmtModify":1703819647145,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"交易员Owen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"10个点的调整已经结束了吗？关于当前美股大盘，这里有你应了解的一切","htmlText":"标题装个像，不喜勿喷😄 纳指终于在50日均线处企稳了，可能你现在最大的两个问题就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已经结束？大盘会就此开始止跌回升吗？ 第二：在下一轮的上涨中，科技股还是否会扮演领涨板块的角色，什么类型的股票才是下一轮行情当中的首选呢？ 这次分享，咱们不说一些虚头八脑的东西，直接解决上面两个问题，而且只用逻辑和数据说话。 首先，美股大跌是否已经结束？ 大跌是结束了，但大幅震荡则是刚刚开始，像之前那样纳指单边上扬的行情应该是不会再出现了。类似前几个交易日那样，突然的闪跌两个到三个点情况，可能还会更多。 为什么？看下面纳指ETF和vix的技术分析图，虽然纳指在50日均线处站稳，但波动率指数VIX并没能随着指数的反弹而跌破50日均线，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指数未来的波动仍然很大。从我经常跟踪的几个盘面指标看，技术面给出的信息很明显，区间震荡。 你看，上方RIS已经跌破50均线，看多情绪降低不少，即便是出现反弹，RSI也没能走破50的中轴线，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，负柱向下延伸，没有企稳的迹象，成交量震荡指标PVO倒是出现背离价格的一波拉升，短期成交量均线高出长期成交量均线不少，这说明目前价格趋势向下，但在大跌后的这个价位有不少买盘认可。短期内跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很难。 特别是能量潮OBV的滞涨，说明买卖盘两方的力量均衡。 显然，恐慌并没有被充分的释放出来，这次的调整就难以决定是不是已经筑底。 我之前分享过多次的一个指标，A/D 积累曲线图（不了解这个指标的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50卖盘信号，也没有被完全的触发,指数触及50日均线又被拉了上去，RSI的50均线反到是跌破。这个图形也意味着盘面会围绕目前的位置做拉锯整理。 第一波的调整已经告一段落，而崩盘又是不可能的，所以就看大盘围绕50日均线会做什么文章吧，假如美联储没有任何态度和行动上的","listText":"标题装个像，不喜勿喷😄 纳指终于在50日均线处企稳了，可能你现在最大的两个问题就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已经结束？大盘会就此开始止跌回升吗？ 第二：在下一轮的上涨中，科技股还是否会扮演领涨板块的角色，什么类型的股票才是下一轮行情当中的首选呢？ 这次分享，咱们不说一些虚头八脑的东西，直接解决上面两个问题，而且只用逻辑和数据说话。 首先，美股大跌是否已经结束？ 大跌是结束了，但大幅震荡则是刚刚开始，像之前那样纳指单边上扬的行情应该是不会再出现了。类似前几个交易日那样，突然的闪跌两个到三个点情况，可能还会更多。 为什么？看下面纳指ETF和vix的技术分析图，虽然纳指在50日均线处站稳，但波动率指数VIX并没能随着指数的反弹而跌破50日均线，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指数未来的波动仍然很大。从我经常跟踪的几个盘面指标看，技术面给出的信息很明显，区间震荡。 你看，上方RIS已经跌破50均线，看多情绪降低不少，即便是出现反弹，RSI也没能走破50的中轴线，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，负柱向下延伸，没有企稳的迹象，成交量震荡指标PVO倒是出现背离价格的一波拉升，短期成交量均线高出长期成交量均线不少，这说明目前价格趋势向下，但在大跌后的这个价位有不少买盘认可。短期内跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很难。 特别是能量潮OBV的滞涨，说明买卖盘两方的力量均衡。 显然，恐慌并没有被充分的释放出来，这次的调整就难以决定是不是已经筑底。 我之前分享过多次的一个指标，A/D 积累曲线图（不了解这个指标的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50卖盘信号，也没有被完全的触发,指数触及50日均线又被拉了上去，RSI的50均线反到是跌破。这个图形也意味着盘面会围绕目前的位置做拉锯整理。 第一波的调整已经告一段落，而崩盘又是不可能的，所以就看大盘围绕50日均线会做什么文章吧，假如美联储没有任何态度和行动上的","text":"标题装个像，不喜勿喷😄 纳指终于在50日均线处企稳了，可能你现在最大的两个问题就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已经结束？大盘会就此开始止跌回升吗？ 第二：在下一轮的上涨中，科技股还是否会扮演领涨板块的角色，什么类型的股票才是下一轮行情当中的首选呢？ 这次分享，咱们不说一些虚头八脑的东西，直接解决上面两个问题，而且只用逻辑和数据说话。 首先，美股大跌是否已经结束？ 大跌是结束了，但大幅震荡则是刚刚开始，像之前那样纳指单边上扬的行情应该是不会再出现了。类似前几个交易日那样，突然的闪跌两个到三个点情况，可能还会更多。 为什么？看下面纳指ETF和vix的技术分析图，虽然纳指在50日均线处站稳，但波动率指数VIX并没能随着指数的反弹而跌破50日均线，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指数未来的波动仍然很大。从我经常跟踪的几个盘面指标看，技术面给出的信息很明显，区间震荡。 你看，上方RIS已经跌破50均线，看多情绪降低不少，即便是出现反弹，RSI也没能走破50的中轴线，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，负柱向下延伸，没有企稳的迹象，成交量震荡指标PVO倒是出现背离价格的一波拉升，短期成交量均线高出长期成交量均线不少，这说明目前价格趋势向下，但在大跌后的这个价位有不少买盘认可。短期内跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很难。 特别是能量潮OBV的滞涨，说明买卖盘两方的力量均衡。 显然，恐慌并没有被充分的释放出来，这次的调整就难以决定是不是已经筑底。 我之前分享过多次的一个指标，A/D 积累曲线图（不了解这个指标的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50卖盘信号，也没有被完全的触发,指数触及50日均线又被拉了上去，RSI的50均线反到是跌破。这个图形也意味着盘面会围绕目前的位置做拉锯整理。 第一波的调整已经告一段落，而崩盘又是不可能的，所以就看大盘围绕50日均线会做什么文章吧，假如美联储没有任何态度和行动上的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6190ece363e9f5719341e43dc997487","width":"1080","height":"615"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceac597f3eb8fc5307959c48e7913e05","width":"837","height":"530"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4497db0828b217c8e66dfa26e5e8710","width":"1080","height":"305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976538100","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":974451057,"gmtCreate":1601295699879,"gmtModify":1703823868461,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$既然未来三年特斯拉电池会带动整车降价，那未来三年的整车销售可以直接理解为，谁买谁是**吧？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974451057","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3500501721534624","authorId":"3500501721534624","name":"韭菜叶","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4045406c8ef7d4cfbd540c0bb15faed0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"鬼才逻辑，你周边那些买了手机数码电子产品，大家电等等的是不是都是XX呀[笑哭]","text":"鬼才逻辑，你周边那些买了手机数码电子产品，大家电等等的是不是都是XX呀[笑哭]","html":"鬼才逻辑，你周边那些买了手机数码电子产品，大家电等等的是不是都是XX呀[笑哭]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":305428122,"gmtCreate":1605027823466,"gmtModify":1703835911585,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>可以挂空单了吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>可以挂空单了吗？","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$可以挂空单了吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/305428122","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977206280,"gmtCreate":1601571106940,"gmtModify":1703824824261,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱","text":"$Yalla Group(YALA)$没有成交量，这太恐怖了😱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977206280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3436156022944913","authorId":"3436156022944913","name":"付雷01","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/451a168363072620172ecc45f9ee64b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"什么意思？不是写着177万成交量吗？","text":"什么意思？不是写着177万成交量吗？","html":"什么意思？不是写着177万成交量吗？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199781729,"gmtCreate":1620734283661,"gmtModify":1620734283661,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$真优秀啊！盘前跌了九个点","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199781729","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1078,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391968503,"gmtCreate":1606470278502,"gmtModify":1703843222452,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WORX\">$Scworx Corp(WORX)$</a>强","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WORX\">$Scworx Corp(WORX)$</a>强","text":"$Scworx Corp(WORX)$强","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391968503","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":302850077,"gmtCreate":1604593253099,"gmtModify":1703834026457,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"只想知道，有什么能投资的股票","listText":"只想知道，有什么能投资的股票","text":"只想知道，有什么能投资的股票","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302850077","repostId":"1110078379","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110078379","pubTimestamp":1604584155,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110078379?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-11-05 21:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110078379","media":"长安街知事","summary":"美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非","content":"<p>美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。</p><p>与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。</p><p>美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。</p><p><b>特朗普说过的狠话</b></p><p>对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是空穴来风，在大选前的几周中，他多次表示可能会拒绝和平移交权力，并强烈怀疑邮寄选票的可靠性。</p><p>9月23日，特朗普说，假如选票显示拜登赢得大选，他不会承诺进行和平的权力交接。“我们得看看到时会发生什么。你知道，我一直强烈抱怨邮寄选票，（邮寄）选票是一场灾难。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6224a8509794bcafe2378f6451edadb\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"976\"><span>美国总统特朗普</span></p><p>随着大选的临近，一些州决定延长邮寄选票的截止日期。特朗普对此非常不满，他强调“选举应在11月3日结束” ，不用去管在那之后寄到的选票。</p><p>特朗普还一再暗示，如果要他接受拜登的胜利，唯一的办法就是经过最高法院来裁决。不久前，自由派大法官金斯伯格去世后，特朗普迅速提名保守派法官巴雷特填补空缺。他明确表示，希望巴雷特能在最高法院任职，从而对选举期间出现的争端做出裁决。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c4f49e038af53694d2560cf3d64ba9e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"772\"><span>特朗普与巴雷特（右）</span></p><p>特朗普似乎已经做好了相应的准备，在选举日之前的周日，他对记者说：“选举一结束，我们就将与律师进行商议。”</p><p><b>特朗普将如何挑战选举结果</b></p><p>美媒认为，特朗普可以用几个不同的方式拒绝承认失败。</p><p>第一种情况是，如果选举日的计票结果显示特朗普以微弱的优势领先，他会在最终结果公布前就宣布获胜。消息人士告诉Axios网站，特朗普一直计划这样做。</p><p>虽然特朗普在11月1日否认了这些报道，但他在11月4日还是这样做了。</p><p>当地时间4日凌晨2点，特朗普在白宫东翼发表投票日之后的首次演讲，在最终计票结果尚未公布的情况下，他自称：“我们正准备赢下这场选举，直白点说，我们已经赢得此次大选。”</p><p>特朗普还表示，他计划向联邦最高法院提起诉讼，要求从4日凌晨4时起各地停止接收邮寄选票。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fd2c08d14a8bb112ec0ae2660aa225d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\"><span>11月3日，人们在美国纽约时报广场观看实时计票结果。</span></p><p>另一种情况是，最终计票结果显示拜登在普选和选举人团中都以微弱的优势胜过特朗普，但特朗普拒绝接受这些结果，理由是对选民欺诈和非法选票。</p><p>同样在4日凌晨，特朗普毫无根据地称此次大选是“对美国公众的欺诈……是我们国家的耻辱”。CNN指出，特朗普坚持认为他领先的那些州应该停止计票，事实上很多合法选票还未计入。</p><p>他还在推特上写道：“我们感到非常震惊，他们（民主党）正在试图窃取美国大选，我们永远都不会让他们得逞，投票所关闭后就（应当）无法再投票！”然而，推特官方直接把他的消息标记并隐藏，将帖文设置共享限制，阻止他进一步宣传。</p><p>作为现任总统，特朗普的权力巨大。正如无党派组织“完整过渡计划”(Transition Integrity Project)创始人罗莎·布鲁克斯所指出的，拜登只能召开新闻发布会，特朗普却可以调动第82空降师。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d4c4cc4e4f59016fc6c42d83f94d7ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"731\"><span>11月3日，工人为美国纽约一家商店安装防护板。</span></p><p>专家预测，在最坏的情况下，特朗普拒绝接受选举结果将引发一场宪法危机，以及广泛的社会动荡和潜在的暴力党派冲突。根据“完整过渡计划”项目的报告，“大选后发生暴力冲突的可能性很高”。</p><p><b>特朗普拒绝让步会导致什么结果？</b></p><p>事实上，仅仅发推特说选举“被操纵”是不足以推翻计票结果的。长期担任共和党选举事务律师，曾在2000年重计选票官司中在布什团队担纲重要角色的知名律师本杰明·金斯伯格指出，“要想成功指责选举是一场欺诈，总统候选人必须逐个区域证明，要搜集足够的欺诈性选票才可以改变选举结果。夸张的言论在选举诉讼中不会产生任何影响。”</p><p>除了把官司打到最高法院之外，特朗普及其团队还有一种理论上的取胜之道：让共和党控制的州立法机构任命特朗普的支持者进入“选举人团” (electoral college)，直接去选特朗普。</p><p>虽然在美国历史上的大部分时间里，各州都允许民众投票决定选举人，但《大西洋月刊》报道说，州议会可以很容易地选择收回选举权，因为宪法将选举人的任命完全交给各州。</p><p>俄亥俄州立大学宪法学教授、选举法专家爱德华·弗利(Edward Foley)指出，在宾夕法尼亚、密歇根州、威斯康星州和北卡罗来纳州这几个竞争非常激烈、而且州长和立法机构分属不同党派的地方，州长（民主党）和州议会（共和党）可以提交两份不同的选举结果。但是在这种情况下，国会是否应该接受州长的选举名单，或者根本不计算该州的选举人票，目前尚无定论。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fd3c2fe15e09c85aee110daefdf976e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\"><span>特朗普（左）与拜登</span></p><p>如何处理两份不同的选举结果？路透社称，学者们提出两种可能：第一，如果两方完全无法达成一致，作为参议院议长的现任副总统彭斯可以决定由谁当选；另一种观点认为，众议院最终会在拜登和特朗普之间做出选择。</p><p>甚至还有一种最出人意料的情况，双方僵持不下，众议院议长佩洛西可能成为代理总统。</p><p>尽管发生的可能性很小，但不论上述哪种情况最终出现，都意味着美国迎来一场宪法危机。</p>","source":"lsy1604584083978","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-11-05 21:49 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/baQ6tm96WAEVJXKpp1AXVg><strong>长安街知事</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。特朗普说过的狠话对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/baQ6tm96WAEVJXKpp1AXVg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6224a8509794bcafe2378f6451edadb","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/baQ6tm96WAEVJXKpp1AXVg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110078379","content_text":"美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。特朗普说过的狠话对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是空穴来风，在大选前的几周中，他多次表示可能会拒绝和平移交权力，并强烈怀疑邮寄选票的可靠性。9月23日，特朗普说，假如选票显示拜登赢得大选，他不会承诺进行和平的权力交接。“我们得看看到时会发生什么。你知道，我一直强烈抱怨邮寄选票，（邮寄）选票是一场灾难。”美国总统特朗普随着大选的临近，一些州决定延长邮寄选票的截止日期。特朗普对此非常不满，他强调“选举应在11月3日结束” ，不用去管在那之后寄到的选票。特朗普还一再暗示，如果要他接受拜登的胜利，唯一的办法就是经过最高法院来裁决。不久前，自由派大法官金斯伯格去世后，特朗普迅速提名保守派法官巴雷特填补空缺。他明确表示，希望巴雷特能在最高法院任职，从而对选举期间出现的争端做出裁决。特朗普与巴雷特（右）特朗普似乎已经做好了相应的准备，在选举日之前的周日，他对记者说：“选举一结束，我们就将与律师进行商议。”特朗普将如何挑战选举结果美媒认为，特朗普可以用几个不同的方式拒绝承认失败。第一种情况是，如果选举日的计票结果显示特朗普以微弱的优势领先，他会在最终结果公布前就宣布获胜。消息人士告诉Axios网站，特朗普一直计划这样做。虽然特朗普在11月1日否认了这些报道，但他在11月4日还是这样做了。当地时间4日凌晨2点，特朗普在白宫东翼发表投票日之后的首次演讲，在最终计票结果尚未公布的情况下，他自称：“我们正准备赢下这场选举，直白点说，我们已经赢得此次大选。”特朗普还表示，他计划向联邦最高法院提起诉讼，要求从4日凌晨4时起各地停止接收邮寄选票。11月3日，人们在美国纽约时报广场观看实时计票结果。另一种情况是，最终计票结果显示拜登在普选和选举人团中都以微弱的优势胜过特朗普，但特朗普拒绝接受这些结果，理由是对选民欺诈和非法选票。同样在4日凌晨，特朗普毫无根据地称此次大选是“对美国公众的欺诈……是我们国家的耻辱”。CNN指出，特朗普坚持认为他领先的那些州应该停止计票，事实上很多合法选票还未计入。他还在推特上写道：“我们感到非常震惊，他们（民主党）正在试图窃取美国大选，我们永远都不会让他们得逞，投票所关闭后就（应当）无法再投票！”然而，推特官方直接把他的消息标记并隐藏，将帖文设置共享限制，阻止他进一步宣传。作为现任总统，特朗普的权力巨大。正如无党派组织“完整过渡计划”(Transition Integrity Project)创始人罗莎·布鲁克斯所指出的，拜登只能召开新闻发布会，特朗普却可以调动第82空降师。11月3日，工人为美国纽约一家商店安装防护板。专家预测，在最坏的情况下，特朗普拒绝接受选举结果将引发一场宪法危机，以及广泛的社会动荡和潜在的暴力党派冲突。根据“完整过渡计划”项目的报告，“大选后发生暴力冲突的可能性很高”。特朗普拒绝让步会导致什么结果？事实上，仅仅发推特说选举“被操纵”是不足以推翻计票结果的。长期担任共和党选举事务律师，曾在2000年重计选票官司中在布什团队担纲重要角色的知名律师本杰明·金斯伯格指出，“要想成功指责选举是一场欺诈，总统候选人必须逐个区域证明，要搜集足够的欺诈性选票才可以改变选举结果。夸张的言论在选举诉讼中不会产生任何影响。”除了把官司打到最高法院之外，特朗普及其团队还有一种理论上的取胜之道：让共和党控制的州立法机构任命特朗普的支持者进入“选举人团” (electoral college)，直接去选特朗普。虽然在美国历史上的大部分时间里，各州都允许民众投票决定选举人，但《大西洋月刊》报道说，州议会可以很容易地选择收回选举权，因为宪法将选举人的任命完全交给各州。俄亥俄州立大学宪法学教授、选举法专家爱德华·弗利(Edward Foley)指出，在宾夕法尼亚、密歇根州、威斯康星州和北卡罗来纳州这几个竞争非常激烈、而且州长和立法机构分属不同党派的地方，州长（民主党）和州议会（共和党）可以提交两份不同的选举结果。但是在这种情况下，国会是否应该接受州长的选举名单，或者根本不计算该州的选举人票，目前尚无定论。特朗普（左）与拜登如何处理两份不同的选举结果？路透社称，学者们提出两种可能：第一，如果两方完全无法达成一致，作为参议院议长的现任副总统彭斯可以决定由谁当选；另一种观点认为，众议院最终会在拜登和特朗普之间做出选择。甚至还有一种最出人意料的情况，双方僵持不下，众议院议长佩洛西可能成为代理总统。尽管发生的可能性很小，但不论上述哪种情况最终出现，都意味着美国迎来一场宪法危机。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":309963448,"gmtCreate":1602518810584,"gmtModify":1703826861724,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>看来庄心里有目标价啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>看来庄心里有目标价啊","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$看来庄心里有目标价啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/309963448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":302049012,"gmtCreate":1604502194736,"gmtModify":1703833491102,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$爬这么高难道是为了看风景吗？不做空，但看空！今晚，跳水冠军就是你！！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302049012","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301448494,"gmtCreate":1603731989718,"gmtModify":1703830542384,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$为什么走势这么猥琐呢？！能大大方方跌完吗？一副拉稀的样子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301448494","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":309961208,"gmtCreate":1602518979404,"gmtModify":1703826862408,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>24，收","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>24，收","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$24，收","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/309961208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634087339,"gmtCreate":1647282270140,"gmtModify":1647293677971,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>垃圾","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>垃圾","text":"$Yalla Group(YALA)$垃圾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634087339","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170255483,"gmtCreate":1626438762942,"gmtModify":1626438762942,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底","listText":"这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底","text":"这么好的公司，为啥要跌，就问要脸不？我准备抄个底","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b1a88d0583bcde9839fe4747aca67c","width":"1125","height":"3525"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170255483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197888618,"gmtCreate":1621439987234,"gmtModify":1621439987234,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>疯了吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YALA\">$Yalla Group(YALA)$</a>疯了吧","text":"$Yalla Group(YALA)$疯了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197888618","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368039617,"gmtCreate":1614265261839,"gmtModify":1614265261839,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>来吧，加仓加起来","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>来吧，加仓加起来","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$来吧，加仓加起来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368039617","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":399909665,"gmtCreate":1605887790157,"gmtModify":1703840359825,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEI\">$微贷网(WEI)$</a>汽车金融概念呢","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEI\">$微贷网(WEI)$</a>汽车金融概念呢","text":"$微贷网(WEI)$汽车金融概念呢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399909665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":302492623,"gmtCreate":1604677551762,"gmtModify":1703834494277,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>优秀！！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>优秀！！","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$优秀！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302492623","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301110006,"gmtCreate":1603383886305,"gmtModify":1703829805234,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"无成交的横盘是啥意思？","listText":"无成交的横盘是啥意思？","text":"无成交的横盘是啥意思？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80da44c5f45d3947c73042adcca465d3","width":"1500","height":"3022"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301110006","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977461608,"gmtCreate":1601699699504,"gmtModify":1703825142511,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大单进了不少","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大单进了不少","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$大单进了不少","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977461608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974611052,"gmtCreate":1601036150976,"gmtModify":1703823413491,"author":{"id":"3559003862950507","authorId":"3559003862950507","name":"Princes7s","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20f8d80d23d662c61d6b0dfd5a2dfaa6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974611052","repostId":"976538100","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":976538100,"gmtCreate":1599751203694,"gmtModify":1703819647145,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"交易员Owen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"10个点的调整已经结束了吗？关于当前美股大盘，这里有你应了解的一切","htmlText":"标题装个像，不喜勿喷😄 纳指终于在50日均线处企稳了，可能你现在最大的两个问题就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已经结束？大盘会就此开始止跌回升吗？ 第二：在下一轮的上涨中，科技股还是否会扮演领涨板块的角色，什么类型的股票才是下一轮行情当中的首选呢？ 这次分享，咱们不说一些虚头八脑的东西，直接解决上面两个问题，而且只用逻辑和数据说话。 首先，美股大跌是否已经结束？ 大跌是结束了，但大幅震荡则是刚刚开始，像之前那样纳指单边上扬的行情应该是不会再出现了。类似前几个交易日那样，突然的闪跌两个到三个点情况，可能还会更多。 为什么？看下面纳指ETF和vix的技术分析图，虽然纳指在50日均线处站稳，但波动率指数VIX并没能随着指数的反弹而跌破50日均线，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指数未来的波动仍然很大。从我经常跟踪的几个盘面指标看，技术面给出的信息很明显，区间震荡。 你看，上方RIS已经跌破50均线，看多情绪降低不少，即便是出现反弹，RSI也没能走破50的中轴线，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，负柱向下延伸，没有企稳的迹象，成交量震荡指标PVO倒是出现背离价格的一波拉升，短期成交量均线高出长期成交量均线不少，这说明目前价格趋势向下，但在大跌后的这个价位有不少买盘认可。短期内跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很难。 特别是能量潮OBV的滞涨，说明买卖盘两方的力量均衡。 显然，恐慌并没有被充分的释放出来，这次的调整就难以决定是不是已经筑底。 我之前分享过多次的一个指标，A/D 积累曲线图（不了解这个指标的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50卖盘信号，也没有被完全的触发,指数触及50日均线又被拉了上去，RSI的50均线反到是跌破。这个图形也意味着盘面会围绕目前的位置做拉锯整理。 第一波的调整已经告一段落，而崩盘又是不可能的，所以就看大盘围绕50日均线会做什么文章吧，假如美联储没有任何态度和行动上的","listText":"标题装个像，不喜勿喷😄 纳指终于在50日均线处企稳了，可能你现在最大的两个问题就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已经结束？大盘会就此开始止跌回升吗？ 第二：在下一轮的上涨中，科技股还是否会扮演领涨板块的角色，什么类型的股票才是下一轮行情当中的首选呢？ 这次分享，咱们不说一些虚头八脑的东西，直接解决上面两个问题，而且只用逻辑和数据说话。 首先，美股大跌是否已经结束？ 大跌是结束了，但大幅震荡则是刚刚开始，像之前那样纳指单边上扬的行情应该是不会再出现了。类似前几个交易日那样，突然的闪跌两个到三个点情况，可能还会更多。 为什么？看下面纳指ETF和vix的技术分析图，虽然纳指在50日均线处站稳，但波动率指数VIX并没能随着指数的反弹而跌破50日均线，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指数未来的波动仍然很大。从我经常跟踪的几个盘面指标看，技术面给出的信息很明显，区间震荡。 你看，上方RIS已经跌破50均线，看多情绪降低不少，即便是出现反弹，RSI也没能走破50的中轴线，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，负柱向下延伸，没有企稳的迹象，成交量震荡指标PVO倒是出现背离价格的一波拉升，短期成交量均线高出长期成交量均线不少，这说明目前价格趋势向下，但在大跌后的这个价位有不少买盘认可。短期内跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很难。 特别是能量潮OBV的滞涨，说明买卖盘两方的力量均衡。 显然，恐慌并没有被充分的释放出来，这次的调整就难以决定是不是已经筑底。 我之前分享过多次的一个指标，A/D 积累曲线图（不了解这个指标的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50卖盘信号，也没有被完全的触发,指数触及50日均线又被拉了上去，RSI的50均线反到是跌破。这个图形也意味着盘面会围绕目前的位置做拉锯整理。 第一波的调整已经告一段落，而崩盘又是不可能的，所以就看大盘围绕50日均线会做什么文章吧，假如美联储没有任何态度和行动上的","text":"标题装个像，不喜勿喷😄 纳指终于在50日均线处企稳了，可能你现在最大的两个问题就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已经结束？大盘会就此开始止跌回升吗？ 第二：在下一轮的上涨中，科技股还是否会扮演领涨板块的角色，什么类型的股票才是下一轮行情当中的首选呢？ 这次分享，咱们不说一些虚头八脑的东西，直接解决上面两个问题，而且只用逻辑和数据说话。 首先，美股大跌是否已经结束？ 大跌是结束了，但大幅震荡则是刚刚开始，像之前那样纳指单边上扬的行情应该是不会再出现了。类似前几个交易日那样，突然的闪跌两个到三个点情况，可能还会更多。 为什么？看下面纳指ETF和vix的技术分析图，虽然纳指在50日均线处站稳，但波动率指数VIX并没能随着指数的反弹而跌破50日均线，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指数未来的波动仍然很大。从我经常跟踪的几个盘面指标看，技术面给出的信息很明显，区间震荡。 你看，上方RIS已经跌破50均线，看多情绪降低不少，即便是出现反弹，RSI也没能走破50的中轴线，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，负柱向下延伸，没有企稳的迹象，成交量震荡指标PVO倒是出现背离价格的一波拉升，短期成交量均线高出长期成交量均线不少，这说明目前价格趋势向下，但在大跌后的这个价位有不少买盘认可。短期内跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很难。 特别是能量潮OBV的滞涨，说明买卖盘两方的力量均衡。 显然，恐慌并没有被充分的释放出来，这次的调整就难以决定是不是已经筑底。 我之前分享过多次的一个指标，A/D 积累曲线图（不了解这个指标的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50卖盘信号，也没有被完全的触发,指数触及50日均线又被拉了上去，RSI的50均线反到是跌破。这个图形也意味着盘面会围绕目前的位置做拉锯整理。 第一波的调整已经告一段落，而崩盘又是不可能的，所以就看大盘围绕50日均线会做什么文章吧，假如美联储没有任何态度和行动上的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6190ece363e9f5719341e43dc997487","width":"1080","height":"615"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceac597f3eb8fc5307959c48e7913e05","width":"837","height":"530"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4497db0828b217c8e66dfa26e5e8710","width":"1080","height":"305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976538100","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}