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风城流浪汉
15:28
我平仓了1手
$TSLA 20241122 335.0 PUT$
,特斯拉交易中枢上移,335也打不到,下周预计会测试350,可以大资金入场抢筹码,关注345-355
风城流浪汉
15:27
我平仓了2手
$TSLA 20241122 320.0 PUT$
,特斯拉整体交易中枢上移,320基本打不到,后面可以330-340逐步上移,继续看多
风城流浪汉
15:26
我平仓了3手
$COIN 20241122 330.0 CALL$
,平仓单,短期压力位。 同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中
风城流浪汉
15:26
我平仓了1手
$COIN 20241122 310.0 PUT$
,平仓 同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中
风城流浪汉
15:25
我平仓了100.0股
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,特斯拉和马斯克在大选梭哈了全部身家,风险极高,因此收益也应该成正比,无人驾驶是非常需要政府关系的
风城流浪汉
15:24
我平仓了100.0股
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
,对冲单,点位不够精确。同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中
风城流浪汉
15:23
我开仓了100.0股
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
,山寨币起飞,做多Coin,看到330.但是需要做好风控,其实止损。或者对冲
风城流浪汉
15:22
我平仓了1手
$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$
,小幅亏损单。同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中
风城流浪汉
04:46
我开仓了1手
$MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT$
,MicroStrategy 董事长 Michael Saylor 和怀俄明州参议员 Cynthia Lummis 正在为美国制定比特币储备战略。在最近接受 CNBC 采访时,Saylor 表示,未来五年积累 100 万 BTC 可以使美国国债减少惊人的 16 万亿美元,相当于目前债务的 45%。
风城流浪汉
04:43
我平仓了500.0股
$塔吉特(TGT)$
,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位
风城流浪汉
04:41
我开仓了1手
$MSTR 20241129 360.0 PUT$
,👍,我一个朋友比特币从1万多开始买,中间就是跑了又追……来来回回几乎没赚到钱[捂脸] ,敢坚定持有的真的活该他发大财!👍
风城流浪汉
11-22 15:21
我平仓了2手
$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$
,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。
风城流浪汉
11-22 15:21
我开仓了200.0股
$塔吉特(TGT)$
,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。
风城流浪汉
11-22 12:51
我平仓了3手
$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$
,英伟达(NVIDIA)凭借其在人工智能、高性能计算和图形处理领域的领先地位,长期来看具备持续增长的潜力。其GPU在生成式AI、数据中心和自动驾驶领域的广泛应用,进一步巩固了其行业龙头地位。此外,随着人工智能技术需求的爆发性增长以及元宇宙、边缘计算等新兴领域的推动,英伟达的产品和解决方案将继续受益于市场需求的扩大。加上公司强大的研发能力和生态系统建设,英伟达未来有望持续实现盈利增长,为投资者创造长期价值。
风城流浪汉
11-22 12:50
我平仓了200.0股
$塔吉特(TGT)$
,塔吉特公司(Target Corporation,股票代码:TGT)于2024年11月20日公布了第三季度财报,结果不及市场预期,导致股价下跌约20%,创下一年来的新低。  财务表现: • 收入:第三季度收入为256.7亿美元,略高于去年同期的254亿美元,但低于分析师预期的258.9亿美元。  • 净利润:净利润为8.54亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为1.85美元,低于预期的10.5亿美元和2.28美元。  • 同店销售额:同店销售额下降1.9%,但由于数字销售增长10.8%,整体销售额微增0.3%。  管理层观点: 首席执行官布莱恩·康奈尔(Brian Cornell)表示,公司在本季度面临“波动的运营环境”和“独特的挑战及成本压力”,影响了盈利表现。  未来展望: • 全年预期:公司将全年每股收益预期从之前的9.00至9.70美元下调至8.30至8.90美元。  • 第四季度预期:预计每股收益在1.85至2.45美元之间,低于市场预期的2.66美元。 
风城流浪汉
11-22 12:49
我开仓了1手
$COIN 20241122 315.0 CALL$
,虚拟币板块应该直接拿mstr,coin优势非常弱势,预计本周结算在305左右,空
风城流浪汉
11-19
我开仓了1手
$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$
,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。
风城流浪汉
11-19
我开仓了3手
$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$
,继续看好芯片和人工智能。目前估值高,跟单谨慎。回头机构有补仓需求。
风城流浪汉
11-10
在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不
风城流浪汉
11-07
喝点汤吧太饥渴了
$晶科电子股份(02551)$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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,小幅亏损单。同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374034221961408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373877945196648,"gmtCreate":1732308391291,"gmtModify":1732311008814,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT\">$MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT$ </a>,MicroStrategy 董事长 Michael Saylor 和怀俄明州参议员 Cynthia Lummis 正在为美国制定比特币储备战略。在最近接受 CNBC 采访时,Saylor 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45%。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373877945196648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098233506355600","authorId":"4098233506355600","name":"十四月阙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cd1460deec808dfaa014150ebf538e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4098233506355600","idStr":"4098233506355600"},"content":"有点东西啊,意思是加密还有大空间?","text":"有点东西啊,意思是加密还有大空间?","html":"有点东西啊,意思是加密还有大空间?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373877177782464,"gmtCreate":1732308204963,"gmtModify":1732311009501,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了500.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位","listText":"我平仓了500.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位","text":"我平仓了500.0股$塔吉特(TGT)$ ,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373877177782464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373832294875552,"gmtCreate":1732308114191,"gmtModify":1732311009098,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSTR 20241129 360.0 PUT\">$MSTR 20241129 360.0 PUT$ 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,敢坚定持有的真的活该他发大财!👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373832294875552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373763019305008,"gmtCreate":1732260106035,"gmtModify":1732263462789,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT\">$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$ </a>,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。","listText":"我平仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT\">$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$ </a>,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。","text":"我平仓了2手$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$ ,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373763019305008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000219","authorId":"9000000000000219","name":"商桥Y啊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab7a887f7d1ab09c9b3f648ad7c56ad4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000219","idStr":"9000000000000219"},"content":"這個預判太到位了,投資前景可期 [強]","text":"這個預判太到位了,投資前景可期 [強]","html":"這個預判太到位了,投資前景可期 [強]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373762927649008,"gmtCreate":1732260078607,"gmtModify":1732263465029,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了200.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。","listText":"我开仓了200.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。","text":"我开仓了200.0股$塔吉特(TGT)$ ,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373762927649008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373726156472560,"gmtCreate":1732251101269,"gmtModify":1732253750493,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了3手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$ </a>,英伟达(NVIDIA)凭借其在人工智能、高性能计算和图形处理领域的领先地位,长期来看具备持续增长的潜力。其GPU在生成式AI、数据中心和自动驾驶领域的广泛应用,进一步巩固了其行业龙头地位。此外,随着人工智能技术需求的爆发性增长以及元宇宙、边缘计算等新兴领域的推动,英伟达的产品和解决方案将继续受益于市场需求的扩大。加上公司强大的研发能力和生态系统建设,英伟达未来有望持续实现盈利增长,为投资者创造长期价值。","listText":"我平仓了3手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$ </a>,英伟达(NVIDIA)凭借其在人工智能、高性能计算和图形处理领域的领先地位,长期来看具备持续增长的潜力。其GPU在生成式AI、数据中心和自动驾驶领域的广泛应用,进一步巩固了其行业龙头地位。此外,随着人工智能技术需求的爆发性增长以及元宇宙、边缘计算等新兴领域的推动,英伟达的产品和解决方案将继续受益于市场需求的扩大。加上公司强大的研发能力和生态系统建设,英伟达未来有望持续实现盈利增长,为投资者创造长期价值。","text":"我平仓了3手$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$ ,英伟达(NVIDIA)凭借其在人工智能、高性能计算和图形处理领域的领先地位,长期来看具备持续增长的潜力。其GPU在生成式AI、数据中心和自动驾驶领域的广泛应用,进一步巩固了其行业龙头地位。此外,随着人工智能技术需求的爆发性增长以及元宇宙、边缘计算等新兴领域的推动,英伟达的产品和解决方案将继续受益于市场需求的扩大。加上公司强大的研发能力和生态系统建设,英伟达未来有望持续实现盈利增长,为投资者创造长期价值。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373726156472560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373725975900552,"gmtCreate":1732251059245,"gmtModify":1732253747734,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了200.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,塔吉特公司(Target Corporation,股票代码:TGT)于2024年11月20日公布了第三季度财报,结果不及市场预期,导致股价下跌约20%,创下一年来的新低。  财务表现: • 收入:第三季度收入为256.7亿美元,略高于去年同期的254亿美元,但低于分析师预期的258.9亿美元。  • 净利润:净利润为8.54亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为1.85美元,低于预期的10.5亿美元和2.28美元。  • 同店销售额:同店销售额下降1.9%,但由于数字销售增长10.8%,整体销售额微增0.3%。  管理层观点: 首席执行官布莱恩·康奈尔(Brian Cornell)表示,公司在本季度面临“波动的运营环境”和“独特的挑战及成本压力”,影响了盈利表现。  未来展望: • 全年预期:公司将全年每股收益预期从之前的9.00至9.70美元下调至8.30至8.90美元。  • 第四季度预期:预计每股收益在1.85至2.45美元之间,低于市场预期的2.66美元。 ","listText":"我平仓了200.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,塔吉特公司(Target Corporation,股票代码:TGT)于2024年11月20日公布了第三季度财报,结果不及市场预期,导致股价下跌约20%,创下一年来的新低。  财务表现: • 收入:第三季度收入为256.7亿美元,略高于去年同期的254亿美元,但低于分析师预期的258.9亿美元。  • 净利润:净利润为8.54亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为1.85美元,低于预期的10.5亿美元和2.28美元。  • 同店销售额:同店销售额下降1.9%,但由于数字销售增长10.8%,整体销售额微增0.3%。  管理层观点: 首席执行官布莱恩·康奈尔(Brian Cornell)表示,公司在本季度面临“波动的运营环境”和“独特的挑战及成本压力”,影响了盈利表现。  未来展望: • 全年预期:公司将全年每股收益预期从之前的9.00至9.70美元下调至8.30至8.90美元。  • 第四季度预期:预计每股收益在1.85至2.45美元之间,低于市场预期的2.66美元。 ","text":"我平仓了200.0股$塔吉特(TGT)$ ,塔吉特公司(Target Corporation,股票代码:TGT)于2024年11月20日公布了第三季度财报,结果不及市场预期,导致股价下跌约20%,创下一年来的新低。  财务表现: • 收入:第三季度收入为256.7亿美元,略高于去年同期的254亿美元,但低于分析师预期的258.9亿美元。  • 净利润:净利润为8.54亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为1.85美元,低于预期的10.5亿美元和2.28美元。  • 同店销售额:同店销售额下降1.9%,但由于数字销售增长10.8%,整体销售额微增0.3%。  管理层观点: 首席执行官布莱恩·康奈尔(Brian Cornell)表示,公司在本季度面临“波动的运营环境”和“独特的挑战及成本压力”,影响了盈利表现。  未来展望: • 全年预期:公司将全年每股收益预期从之前的9.00至9.70美元下调至8.30至8.90美元。  • 第四季度预期:预计每股收益在1.85至2.45美元之间,低于市场预期的2.66美元。 ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373725975900552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373724994412664,"gmtCreate":1732250968939,"gmtModify":1732346494926,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241122 315.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241122 315.0 CALL$ </a>,虚拟币板块应该直接拿mstr,coin优势非常弱势,预计本周结算在305左右,空","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241122 315.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241122 315.0 CALL$ </a>,虚拟币板块应该直接拿mstr,coin优势非常弱势,预计本周结算在305左右,空","text":"我开仓了1手$COIN 20241122 315.0 CALL$ ,虚拟币板块应该直接拿mstr,coin优势非常弱势,预计本周结算在305左右,空","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373724994412664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372392748618040,"gmtCreate":1731955853784,"gmtModify":1732346793469,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$ </a>,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$ </a>,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。","text":"我开仓了1手$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$ ,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372392748618040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000663","authorId":"9000000000000663","name":"以肉克刚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63628df5dc89c97600c23240f5960480","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000663","idStr":"9000000000000663"},"content":"长线确实不错,短期波动要小心","text":"长线确实不错,短期波动要小心","html":"长线确实不错,短期波动要小心"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372392345157936,"gmtCreate":1731955755248,"gmtModify":1732219480542,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了3手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$ </a>,继续看好芯片和人工智能。目前估值高,跟单谨慎。回头机构有补仓需求。","listText":"我开仓了3手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$ </a>,继续看好芯片和人工智能。目前估值高,跟单谨慎。回头机构有补仓需求。","text":"我开仓了3手$NVDA 20241122 127.0 PUT$ ,继续看好芯片和人工智能。目前估值高,跟单谨慎。回头机构有补仓需求。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372392345157936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":642,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010333","authorId":"10000000000010333","name":"养生枸杞哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf0f10d260a71a91ff336155b820722","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010333","idStr":"10000000000010333"},"content":"[财迷] 看好芯片和AI,期待你的下一步分析","text":"[财迷] 看好芯片和AI,期待你的下一步分析","html":"[财迷] 看好芯片和AI,期待你的下一步分析"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369413830291456,"gmtCreate":1731230401976,"gmtModify":1731291724896,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不","listText":"在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不","text":"在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ba03ffd9c3e5486c9a34d15dcadc7c","width":"364","height":"572"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369413830291456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484605187023768","authorId":"3484605187023768","name":"宫爆鸡丁23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900ffd15ca1c6d3830754b52a1efd52","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3484605187023768","idStr":"3484605187023768"},"content":"这么低吗[微笑] 现在不都600亿市值了[笑哭]","text":"这么低吗[微笑] 现在不都600亿市值了[笑哭]","html":"这么低吗[微笑] 现在不都600亿市值了[笑哭]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368435203407880,"gmtCreate":1730965946897,"gmtModify":1730965950931,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551078381485740","idStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"喝点汤吧太饥渴了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02551\">$晶科电子股份(02551)$</a> ","listText":"喝点汤吧太饥渴了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02551\">$晶科电子股份(02551)$</a> ","text":"喝点汤吧太饥渴了 $晶科电子股份(02551)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00225511d74dd1dc86b10a343d24b2","width":"870","height":"803"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368435203407880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552480441016819","authorId":"3552480441016819","name":"T20211211647","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c6c1a3ee730885879cf6aab735f7cc9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3552480441016819","idStr":"3552480441016819"},"content":"这个成本多少啊?","text":"这个成本多少啊?","html":"这个成本多少啊?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":373763019305008,"gmtCreate":1732260106035,"gmtModify":1732263462789,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT\">$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$ </a>,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。","listText":"我平仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT\">$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$ </a>,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。","text":"我平仓了2手$TGT 20241122 145.0 PUT$ ,此外,塔吉特在客户体验和创新方面持续投入,尤其是在数字化转型领域的进展显著。其店内提货、当日送达和线上线下整合的全渠道服务赢得了消费者青睐,增强了用户粘性。同时,塔吉特在自有品牌开发上的成功提升了利润率,并吸引了更多价格敏感的消费者。在节假日购物季来临之际,公司有望通过促销活动和库存管理的改善,进一步推动销售表现。长期来看,塔吉特凭借稳健的业务模式和战略调整能力,仍是零售行业中具备潜在价值的投资标的。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373763019305008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000219","authorId":"9000000000000219","name":"商桥Y啊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab7a887f7d1ab09c9b3f648ad7c56ad4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000219","authorIdStr":"9000000000000219"},"content":"這個預判太到位了,投資前景可期 [強]","text":"這個預判太到位了,投資前景可期 [強]","html":"這個預判太到位了,投資前景可期 [強]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373762927649008,"gmtCreate":1732260078607,"gmtModify":1732263465029,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了200.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。","listText":"我开仓了200.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。","text":"我开仓了200.0股$塔吉特(TGT)$ ,抄底。塔吉特(Target)作为美国零售行业的领先品牌,具备强大的品牌影响力和忠诚的客户基础,其灵活的全渠道策略使其能够在电商和实体店领域保持竞争力。尽管短期业绩受到挑战,但公司在提升运营效率和优化供应链方面持续努力,为未来的增长奠定了基础。此外,塔吉特在核心市场的强大市场份额和定价能力,加上其不断调整商品组合以适应消费者需求,表明其在经济环境改善时将有能力实现业绩反弹,为投资者提供长期回报的潜力。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373762927649008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373877945196648,"gmtCreate":1732308391291,"gmtModify":1732311008814,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT\">$MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT$ </a>,MicroStrategy 董事长 Michael Saylor 和怀俄明州参议员 Cynthia Lummis 正在为美国制定比特币储备战略。在最近接受 CNBC 采访时,Saylor 表示,未来五年积累 100 万 BTC 可以使美国国债减少惊人的 16 万亿美元,相当于目前债务的 45%。","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT\">$MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT$ </a>,MicroStrategy 董事长 Michael Saylor 和怀俄明州参议员 Cynthia Lummis 正在为美国制定比特币储备战略。在最近接受 CNBC 采访时,Saylor 表示,未来五年积累 100 万 BTC 可以使美国国债减少惊人的 16 万亿美元,相当于目前债务的 45%。","text":"我开仓了1手$MSTR 20241129 300.0 PUT$ ,MicroStrategy 董事长 Michael Saylor 和怀俄明州参议员 Cynthia Lummis 正在为美国制定比特币储备战略。在最近接受 CNBC 采访时,Saylor 表示,未来五年积累 100 万 BTC 可以使美国国债减少惊人的 16 万亿美元,相当于目前债务的 45%。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373877945196648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098233506355600","authorId":"4098233506355600","name":"十四月阙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cd1460deec808dfaa014150ebf538e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4098233506355600","authorIdStr":"4098233506355600"},"content":"有点东西啊,意思是加密还有大空间?","text":"有点东西啊,意思是加密还有大空间?","html":"有点东西啊,意思是加密还有大空间?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362657626374288,"gmtCreate":1729581302084,"gmtModify":1729582241520,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"写在特斯拉财报前 关注特斯拉多年,也持有特斯拉股票,但是此刻对于特斯拉整体并不乐观。我们投资公司的时候更喜欢的还是具有垄断属性,这种垄断属性在科技行业特别明显。比如苹果手机,谷歌搜索引擎,微软系统,亚马逊购物和云,乃至于英伟达的芯片和cuda生态。但是特斯拉并不具备这样的实力,在汽车赛道上太拥挤了,竞争对手众多,消费者期待太高,同时毛利率逐步向下。整体上特斯拉已经做得相当不错,但这个行业本质上是制造业,只有高级别的无人驾驶真正推出的时候特斯拉才是一家科技企业,同时这项技术还需要垄断市场,那么基于这个标准,此刻的特斯拉就显得有点贵了。 我们看到马斯克政治层面也从跟民主党紧密转向了梭哈共和党,或许这里面也有不少的利益计算。此刻,特斯拉投资或许可以作为川普概念股,但是即便马斯克获得政治酬佣,未必都会特斯拉上面,更有可能是国防军工相关的星链。 同时,也引用上周看到以为朋友评论的一段话来给大家做一个参考,我基本上是认可这样的视角的。“本来昨天想在Tesla robotaxi 之前讲一下观点,后来没来的及写。今天写也不迟。 首先robotaxi 有几大不确定甚至问题。 一是技术,算不确定性,就是赌技术路线和时间。 目前用激光雷达的路线更成熟、更安全。 马的纯视觉和AI分析,更便宜、更接近人类,但是克服最后1%的路况不如有lidar. 如果马的路线不能很快达到无人驾驶的安全需要,市场有可能被别的公司先占。 二是车辆所有权和生态。 以前我分析过,无人车出租有大量清洁维修工作(目前没有分析师讲到这个)。 特斯拉应该不会直接做这块。绝大多数车主也不做,管一个车的出租很不经济。 大概率是大小业主们拥有几台到几万台车出租。三是呼叫平台。是自营呼叫平台、还是用Uber 之类。理论上Tesla 可以烧几十亿搞一个新平台,但也许和Uber 们合作更快。 何况,Uber 这样的平台有很多品牌和车型可以满足","listText":"写在特斯拉财报前 关注特斯拉多年,也持有特斯拉股票,但是此刻对于特斯拉整体并不乐观。我们投资公司的时候更喜欢的还是具有垄断属性,这种垄断属性在科技行业特别明显。比如苹果手机,谷歌搜索引擎,微软系统,亚马逊购物和云,乃至于英伟达的芯片和cuda生态。但是特斯拉并不具备这样的实力,在汽车赛道上太拥挤了,竞争对手众多,消费者期待太高,同时毛利率逐步向下。整体上特斯拉已经做得相当不错,但这个行业本质上是制造业,只有高级别的无人驾驶真正推出的时候特斯拉才是一家科技企业,同时这项技术还需要垄断市场,那么基于这个标准,此刻的特斯拉就显得有点贵了。 我们看到马斯克政治层面也从跟民主党紧密转向了梭哈共和党,或许这里面也有不少的利益计算。此刻,特斯拉投资或许可以作为川普概念股,但是即便马斯克获得政治酬佣,未必都会特斯拉上面,更有可能是国防军工相关的星链。 同时,也引用上周看到以为朋友评论的一段话来给大家做一个参考,我基本上是认可这样的视角的。“本来昨天想在Tesla robotaxi 之前讲一下观点,后来没来的及写。今天写也不迟。 首先robotaxi 有几大不确定甚至问题。 一是技术,算不确定性,就是赌技术路线和时间。 目前用激光雷达的路线更成熟、更安全。 马的纯视觉和AI分析,更便宜、更接近人类,但是克服最后1%的路况不如有lidar. 如果马的路线不能很快达到无人驾驶的安全需要,市场有可能被别的公司先占。 二是车辆所有权和生态。 以前我分析过,无人车出租有大量清洁维修工作(目前没有分析师讲到这个)。 特斯拉应该不会直接做这块。绝大多数车主也不做,管一个车的出租很不经济。 大概率是大小业主们拥有几台到几万台车出租。三是呼叫平台。是自营呼叫平台、还是用Uber 之类。理论上Tesla 可以烧几十亿搞一个新平台,但也许和Uber 们合作更快。 何况,Uber 这样的平台有很多品牌和车型可以满足","text":"写在特斯拉财报前 关注特斯拉多年,也持有特斯拉股票,但是此刻对于特斯拉整体并不乐观。我们投资公司的时候更喜欢的还是具有垄断属性,这种垄断属性在科技行业特别明显。比如苹果手机,谷歌搜索引擎,微软系统,亚马逊购物和云,乃至于英伟达的芯片和cuda生态。但是特斯拉并不具备这样的实力,在汽车赛道上太拥挤了,竞争对手众多,消费者期待太高,同时毛利率逐步向下。整体上特斯拉已经做得相当不错,但这个行业本质上是制造业,只有高级别的无人驾驶真正推出的时候特斯拉才是一家科技企业,同时这项技术还需要垄断市场,那么基于这个标准,此刻的特斯拉就显得有点贵了。 我们看到马斯克政治层面也从跟民主党紧密转向了梭哈共和党,或许这里面也有不少的利益计算。此刻,特斯拉投资或许可以作为川普概念股,但是即便马斯克获得政治酬佣,未必都会特斯拉上面,更有可能是国防军工相关的星链。 同时,也引用上周看到以为朋友评论的一段话来给大家做一个参考,我基本上是认可这样的视角的。“本来昨天想在Tesla robotaxi 之前讲一下观点,后来没来的及写。今天写也不迟。 首先robotaxi 有几大不确定甚至问题。 一是技术,算不确定性,就是赌技术路线和时间。 目前用激光雷达的路线更成熟、更安全。 马的纯视觉和AI分析,更便宜、更接近人类,但是克服最后1%的路况不如有lidar. 如果马的路线不能很快达到无人驾驶的安全需要,市场有可能被别的公司先占。 二是车辆所有权和生态。 以前我分析过,无人车出租有大量清洁维修工作(目前没有分析师讲到这个)。 特斯拉应该不会直接做这块。绝大多数车主也不做,管一个车的出租很不经济。 大概率是大小业主们拥有几台到几万台车出租。三是呼叫平台。是自营呼叫平台、还是用Uber 之类。理论上Tesla 可以烧几十亿搞一个新平台,但也许和Uber 们合作更快。 何况,Uber 这样的平台有很多品牌和车型可以满足","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5678cacfd840926fd4fa88f12101b2fd","width":"187","height":"268"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362657626374288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563270363235900","authorId":"3563270363235900","name":"爱是付出","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0744bf2b16f361a1fca5dbedb057c90","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3563270363235900","authorIdStr":"3563270363235900"},"content":"不赞同。特斯拉依然是新能源汽车不可撼动的行业先驱,是系列行业标准当之无愧的引领者,后续源源不断的各类创新遥遥领先,尽管国产车企站在巨人肩膀上,在某些领域取得了突出成绩,但整体而言,只有特斯拉才具备真正的世界级新能源车企的实力。我依然看好特斯拉!","text":"不赞同。特斯拉依然是新能源汽车不可撼动的行业先驱,是系列行业标准当之无愧的引领者,后续源源不断的各类创新遥遥领先,尽管国产车企站在巨人肩膀上,在某些领域取得了突出成绩,但整体而言,只有特斯拉才具备真正的世界级新能源车企的实力。我依然看好特斯拉!","html":"不赞同。特斯拉依然是新能源汽车不可撼动的行业先驱,是系列行业标准当之无愧的引领者,后续源源不断的各类创新遥遥领先,尽管国产车企站在巨人肩膀上,在某些领域取得了突出成绩,但整体而言,只有特斯拉才具备真正的世界级新能源车企的实力。我依然看好特斯拉!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373877177782464,"gmtCreate":1732308204963,"gmtModify":1732311009501,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了500.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位","listText":"我平仓了500.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$塔吉特(TGT)$ </a>,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位","text":"我平仓了500.0股$塔吉特(TGT)$ ,方向做错,盈亏比没有计算好,引以为戒,可以当做长期仓位","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373877177782464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369413830291456,"gmtCreate":1731230401976,"gmtModify":1731291724896,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不","listText":"在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不","text":"在分析Coinbase的投资价值时,我们可以量化其各个收入板块的贡献,结合财务数据和增长潜力,对其进行更加细致的评估。 1. 交易收入(Trading Revenue) • 占比:交易收入依然是Coinbase的主要收入来源,约占总收入的50%。根据最新财报,第三季度交易收入达到了5.725亿美元。 • 增长潜力:交易收入高度依赖于市场活跃度和交易量,因此在加密货币牛市中会出现快速增长。然而,市场波动性对该部分收入的影响较大,预计Coinbase在加密市场向好时交易收入将出现10-20%的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于交易收入的不稳定性,建议给予此板块较低的估值倍数,例如8-10倍的市盈率。若未来市场条件转好,该板块的潜在价值约为50-60亿美元。 2. 订阅和服务收入(Subscription & Services Revenue) • 占比:该收入板块约占公司总收入的45%,第三季度实现了5.561亿美元的收入。 • 增长潜力:订阅和服务收入包括托管服务、质押等稳定性较高的业务板块,相较于交易收入波动性小。随着Coinbase在机构用户中的拓展,以及比特币现货ETF托管需求增加,这部分业务有望保持20%以上的年化增长率。 • 估值权重:由于其稳定的收入流和较高的增长潜力,可以给予较高的估值倍数,建议20-25倍的市盈率。这意味着此板块的估值可能达到100-120亿美元。 3. 未来业务扩展(如区块链基础设施、DeFi服务等) • 占比:目前在财报中未单独列出,但Coinbase积极布局去中心化金融(DeFi)、区块链基础设施等新兴领域,这些业务预计在未来几年内逐渐增加贡献。 • 增长潜力:DeFi和区块链基础设施业务具有高增长潜力,且受益于行业政策放宽和技术发展。保守估计,未来5年内该板块可能贡献约10-15%的总收入。 • 估值权重:鉴于其未来潜力和较高的不","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ba03ffd9c3e5486c9a34d15dcadc7c","width":"364","height":"572"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369413830291456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484605187023768","authorId":"3484605187023768","name":"宫爆鸡丁23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900ffd15ca1c6d3830754b52a1efd52","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484605187023768","authorIdStr":"3484605187023768"},"content":"这么低吗[微笑] 现在不都600亿市值了[笑哭]","text":"这么低吗[微笑] 现在不都600亿市值了[笑哭]","html":"这么低吗[微笑] 现在不都600亿市值了[笑哭]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360439025242240,"gmtCreate":1729016926510,"gmtModify":1729318934478,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241018 195.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241018 195.0 CALL$ </a>,中性策略 同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241018 195.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241018 195.0 CALL$ </a>,中性策略 同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中","text":"我开仓了1手$COIN 20241018 195.0 CALL$ ,中性策略 同样的事情,相同的选择可以有完全不同的结果、相反的却也可以有相似的结果,所以个人的判断是很微不足道的,要习惯把自己交给命运,要善于把自己托付给信仰和信念,有一个适应巨复杂体系的世界观,但也要找到简单而坚定的信仰或人生观、价值观做依托,这样才不容易陷入焦虑、迷惑与自责之中","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360439025242240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372392748618040,"gmtCreate":1731955853784,"gmtModify":1732346793469,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$ </a>,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$ </a>,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。","text":"我开仓了1手$TSLA 20241122 337.5 CALL$ ,看好特斯拉,短期情绪不稳定估值难确立。值得长期持有的筹码,目前新车型已经扭亏为盈,炒作空间高。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372392748618040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000663","authorId":"9000000000000663","name":"以肉克刚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63628df5dc89c97600c23240f5960480","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000663","authorIdStr":"9000000000000663"},"content":"长线确实不错,短期波动要小心","text":"长线确实不错,短期波动要小心","html":"长线确实不错,短期波动要小心"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368068188676384,"gmtCreate":1730882346542,"gmtModify":1732261615016,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"2024大选基本尘埃落定,或许本来也没有那么焦灼,马斯克和扎克伯格两位都是拥有社群数据的人早早选择了川普。副总统人选既连接了中部大农村的人民,又和硅谷资本搭上线,才思敏捷在媒体镜头前谈吐逻辑清晰。而民主党阵营看不出政策方向,宣传的是川普的负面新闻没有施政主轴以及解决人民诉求的方向。只有在选前之夜,突然不攻击川普展示格局,但是也显得突兀。整体来说哈里斯完全不足以胜任总统,能够代表民主党大概是由于拜登留下来的政治献金换人不方便。而另外一边也是深受白人拥戴,结合了华尔街硅谷产业资本的卷土重来的2.0川普,更加理性务实。参考2020民调最准的机构atlas intel所做的预测,川普会赢七个摇摆州,事实也确实如此。逃过子弹威胁的川普或许真的是天选之子。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a> ","listText":"2024大选基本尘埃落定,或许本来也没有那么焦灼,马斯克和扎克伯格两位都是拥有社群数据的人早早选择了川普。副总统人选既连接了中部大农村的人民,又和硅谷资本搭上线,才思敏捷在媒体镜头前谈吐逻辑清晰。而民主党阵营看不出政策方向,宣传的是川普的负面新闻没有施政主轴以及解决人民诉求的方向。只有在选前之夜,突然不攻击川普展示格局,但是也显得突兀。整体来说哈里斯完全不足以胜任总统,能够代表民主党大概是由于拜登留下来的政治献金换人不方便。而另外一边也是深受白人拥戴,结合了华尔街硅谷产业资本的卷土重来的2.0川普,更加理性务实。参考2020民调最准的机构atlas intel所做的预测,川普会赢七个摇摆州,事实也确实如此。逃过子弹威胁的川普或许真的是天选之子。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a> ","text":"2024大选基本尘埃落定,或许本来也没有那么焦灼,马斯克和扎克伯格两位都是拥有社群数据的人早早选择了川普。副总统人选既连接了中部大农村的人民,又和硅谷资本搭上线,才思敏捷在媒体镜头前谈吐逻辑清晰。而民主党阵营看不出政策方向,宣传的是川普的负面新闻没有施政主轴以及解决人民诉求的方向。只有在选前之夜,突然不攻击川普展示格局,但是也显得突兀。整体来说哈里斯完全不足以胜任总统,能够代表民主党大概是由于拜登留下来的政治献金换人不方便。而另外一边也是深受白人拥戴,结合了华尔街硅谷产业资本的卷土重来的2.0川普,更加理性务实。参考2020民调最准的机构atlas intel所做的预测,川普会赢七个摇摆州,事实也确实如此。逃过子弹威胁的川普或许真的是天选之子。$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $微软(MSFT)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/901ee90a47e568b866ad088ed2add5fb","width":"1290","height":"2394"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368068188676384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"花儿对我笑0","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/709638153318cdfce2439b29cba43798","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"content":"这次选举结果可真让人意外,川普的底牌似乎很多啊","text":"这次选举结果可真让人意外,川普的底牌似乎很多啊","html":"这次选举结果可真让人意外,川普的底牌似乎很多啊"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368435203407880,"gmtCreate":1730965946897,"gmtModify":1730965950931,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"喝点汤吧太饥渴了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02551\">$晶科电子股份(02551)$</a> ","listText":"喝点汤吧太饥渴了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02551\">$晶科电子股份(02551)$</a> ","text":"喝点汤吧太饥渴了 $晶科电子股份(02551)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00225511d74dd1dc86b10a343d24b2","width":"870","height":"803"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368435203407880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552480441016819","authorId":"3552480441016819","name":"T20211211647","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c6c1a3ee730885879cf6aab735f7cc9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3552480441016819","authorIdStr":"3552480441016819"},"content":"这个成本多少啊?","text":"这个成本多少啊?","html":"这个成本多少啊?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365906361192528,"gmtCreate":1730333031584,"gmtModify":1730334769292,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"title":"2024十月纽约之行","htmlText":"在币圈,出现资金越来越往主流币聚集的现象。同样的美股也分分出现往大股票抱团取暖。在投资领域,马太效应显著。因此一个具有稳健投资回报的市场,并且可以看到增量资金的市场才是我们应该追逐的,而此时的港股并非如此。我们没有看到更加有创造力的引领时代的公司在香港或者在香港上市,以往的复制粘贴时代也已经过去,甚至无时无刻财务上还有雷。 我的观点是依然应该把精力放在能够给你持续挣钱的市场。这周末在纽约玩,jelly cat这样的概念我个人无感但是不影响它的热度,在曼哈顿门店晚上八点前队伍已经排满,业务也不一定能挣多少钱,这种模式似乎挣钱最多的还是拥有地理位置优越的门店和网络的流量的公司,但是ip孵化之后总能挣一波。到中央公园看秋叶,周杰伦在曾在这里板凳上留影。同样的下午看了sleep no more的剧,最便宜的票180,平均客单价应该是250以上,从去年开始说的要结束了到今天还是继续最后的演出场次,挣钱真的太容易了。类似的ip多年后还能拿出来再挣一波,类似的ip也容易孵化。继续文学经典作品莎士比亚的诸多名著进行改编,加入现代化元素,只要是在纽约,我一点都不怀疑这样的作品会持续的产出。看完以后,走了highland,是一个很精心准备的路线,沿途可以打卡。最后走到底的时候看到了海,走到小岛上,可以坐下来安静的看海,这里的景致一点都不落俗。夜幕降临,眺望新泽西的高楼。然后去了xian famous food这家店已经开了多家分店,人均20刀就能吃饱,比起很多快餐来说性价比很高,不得不说他家美国化做得真成功,店里就我们一桌中国人,而且味道也依然不错。纽约的酒店是真的贵,300-500刀一晚上很正常,这还仅仅是普通的周末,不知道跨年夜还有多疯狂。总的体会就是,现在挣钱的公司还是很多,但是线上线下流量渠道是重点,而线上渠道似乎更加具有延展性,应该布局类","listText":"在币圈,出现资金越来越往主流币聚集的现象。同样的美股也分分出现往大股票抱团取暖。在投资领域,马太效应显著。因此一个具有稳健投资回报的市场,并且可以看到增量资金的市场才是我们应该追逐的,而此时的港股并非如此。我们没有看到更加有创造力的引领时代的公司在香港或者在香港上市,以往的复制粘贴时代也已经过去,甚至无时无刻财务上还有雷。 我的观点是依然应该把精力放在能够给你持续挣钱的市场。这周末在纽约玩,jelly cat这样的概念我个人无感但是不影响它的热度,在曼哈顿门店晚上八点前队伍已经排满,业务也不一定能挣多少钱,这种模式似乎挣钱最多的还是拥有地理位置优越的门店和网络的流量的公司,但是ip孵化之后总能挣一波。到中央公园看秋叶,周杰伦在曾在这里板凳上留影。同样的下午看了sleep no more的剧,最便宜的票180,平均客单价应该是250以上,从去年开始说的要结束了到今天还是继续最后的演出场次,挣钱真的太容易了。类似的ip多年后还能拿出来再挣一波,类似的ip也容易孵化。继续文学经典作品莎士比亚的诸多名著进行改编,加入现代化元素,只要是在纽约,我一点都不怀疑这样的作品会持续的产出。看完以后,走了highland,是一个很精心准备的路线,沿途可以打卡。最后走到底的时候看到了海,走到小岛上,可以坐下来安静的看海,这里的景致一点都不落俗。夜幕降临,眺望新泽西的高楼。然后去了xian famous food这家店已经开了多家分店,人均20刀就能吃饱,比起很多快餐来说性价比很高,不得不说他家美国化做得真成功,店里就我们一桌中国人,而且味道也依然不错。纽约的酒店是真的贵,300-500刀一晚上很正常,这还仅仅是普通的周末,不知道跨年夜还有多疯狂。总的体会就是,现在挣钱的公司还是很多,但是线上线下流量渠道是重点,而线上渠道似乎更加具有延展性,应该布局类","text":"在币圈,出现资金越来越往主流币聚集的现象。同样的美股也分分出现往大股票抱团取暖。在投资领域,马太效应显著。因此一个具有稳健投资回报的市场,并且可以看到增量资金的市场才是我们应该追逐的,而此时的港股并非如此。我们没有看到更加有创造力的引领时代的公司在香港或者在香港上市,以往的复制粘贴时代也已经过去,甚至无时无刻财务上还有雷。 我的观点是依然应该把精力放在能够给你持续挣钱的市场。这周末在纽约玩,jelly cat这样的概念我个人无感但是不影响它的热度,在曼哈顿门店晚上八点前队伍已经排满,业务也不一定能挣多少钱,这种模式似乎挣钱最多的还是拥有地理位置优越的门店和网络的流量的公司,但是ip孵化之后总能挣一波。到中央公园看秋叶,周杰伦在曾在这里板凳上留影。同样的下午看了sleep no more的剧,最便宜的票180,平均客单价应该是250以上,从去年开始说的要结束了到今天还是继续最后的演出场次,挣钱真的太容易了。类似的ip多年后还能拿出来再挣一波,类似的ip也容易孵化。继续文学经典作品莎士比亚的诸多名著进行改编,加入现代化元素,只要是在纽约,我一点都不怀疑这样的作品会持续的产出。看完以后,走了highland,是一个很精心准备的路线,沿途可以打卡。最后走到底的时候看到了海,走到小岛上,可以坐下来安静的看海,这里的景致一点都不落俗。夜幕降临,眺望新泽西的高楼。然后去了xian famous food这家店已经开了多家分店,人均20刀就能吃饱,比起很多快餐来说性价比很高,不得不说他家美国化做得真成功,店里就我们一桌中国人,而且味道也依然不错。纽约的酒店是真的贵,300-500刀一晚上很正常,这还仅仅是普通的周末,不知道跨年夜还有多疯狂。总的体会就是,现在挣钱的公司还是很多,但是线上线下流量渠道是重点,而线上渠道似乎更加具有延展性,应该布局类","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a303fdf1c8eb23a90c8389b589016487","width":"3024","height":"4032"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bebaeec2e2b8eb9ff55437cb1abd8657","width":"4032","height":"3024"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a17451518276c7d442897b3ee2422a08","width":"3024","height":"4032"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365906361192528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667577115702","authorId":"3527667577115702","name":"小米死多头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c36273dc153f2f9e76fe9da987b5084","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667577115702","authorIdStr":"3527667577115702"},"content":"没去看自由女神吗?","text":"没去看自由女神吗?","html":"没去看自由女神吗?"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363547306238152,"gmtCreate":1729799258205,"gmtModify":1729923159663,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN 20241025 185.0 PUT\">$AMZN 20241025 185.0 PUT$ </a>,圣诞感恩节消费季,黑五即将到来,可以做前段。目前业务基本稳定,电商或者云业务。","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN 20241025 185.0 PUT\">$AMZN 20241025 185.0 PUT$ </a>,圣诞感恩节消费季,黑五即将到来,可以做前段。目前业务基本稳定,电商或者云业务。","text":"我开仓了1手$AMZN 20241025 185.0 PUT$ ,圣诞感恩节消费季,黑五即将到来,可以做前段。目前业务基本稳定,电商或者云业务。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363547306238152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363614966173832,"gmtCreate":1729798609713,"gmtModify":1730906093939,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JNJ 20241025 162.5 PUT\">$JNJ 20241025 162.5 PUT$ </a>,稳定建仓标的,长期roe20企业,医药板块龙头股票,布局年底股票市场","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JNJ 20241025 162.5 PUT\">$JNJ 20241025 162.5 PUT$ </a>,稳定建仓标的,长期roe20企业,医药板块龙头股票,布局年底股票市场","text":"我开仓了1手$JNJ 20241025 162.5 PUT$ ,稳定建仓标的,长期roe20企业,医药板块龙头股票,布局年底股票市场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363614966173832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010318","authorId":"10000000000010318","name":"轻松一生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1584a930352929352fc60c172053bcc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010318","authorIdStr":"10000000000010318"},"content":"我认同你的观点,医药板块中的龙头股票是稳定建仓的好标的","text":"我认同你的观点,医药板块中的龙头股票是稳定建仓的好标的","html":"我认同你的观点,医药板块中的龙头股票是稳定建仓的好标的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359874622906648,"gmtCreate":1728867934467,"gmtModify":1728870125043,"author":{"id":"3551078381485740","authorId":"3551078381485740","name":"风城流浪汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c28c81a1593917f812b9d023f100fb2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551078381485740","authorIdStr":"3551078381485740"},"themes":[],"title":"Coin还是Mstr?虚拟币概念板块的表现回测","htmlText":"Mstr一骑绝尘 基于最近的表现,很多投资朋友都有疑问,为什么coin这么拉。基于年初2024年一月一号至今,到今年九月底,涨幅已经基本被吞。关于表现差可能有若干原因,比如coin主要跟随山寨币,比如潜在竞争对手较多,比如整体交易量下降,而MSTR主要对标bitcoin。这些都是市场尝试给的解释,事实上,资金在第三季度离开coinbase更为明显,包含了很多的内部抛售,币价疲软,市场热点仍在ai等方面因素。因此身边也有朋友果断跳船到了mstr,结果论mstr是币圈概念股的龙一,如果我们拉长近一年的数据,mstr数据超过币本身,超过交易所,也超过矿企。 结论 如果一定要投资币,似乎mstr是更好的标的,至少资金是这么认为。同时从商业模式来说,mstr更加简单粗暴,而交易所充满严格的监管挑战,需要花的成本远远大于囤积本身。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ </a> ","listText":"Mstr一骑绝尘 基于最近的表现,很多投资朋友都有疑问,为什么coin这么拉。基于年初2024年一月一号至今,到今年九月底,涨幅已经基本被吞。关于表现差可能有若干原因,比如coin主要跟随山寨币,比如潜在竞争对手较多,比如整体交易量下降,而MSTR主要对标bitcoin。这些都是市场尝试给的解释,事实上,资金在第三季度离开coinbase更为明显,包含了很多的内部抛售,币价疲软,市场热点仍在ai等方面因素。因此身边也有朋友果断跳船到了mstr,结果论mstr是币圈概念股的龙一,如果我们拉长近一年的数据,mstr数据超过币本身,超过交易所,也超过矿企。 结论 如果一定要投资币,似乎mstr是更好的标的,至少资金是这么认为。同时从商业模式来说,mstr更加简单粗暴,而交易所充满严格的监管挑战,需要花的成本远远大于囤积本身。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ </a> ","text":"Mstr一骑绝尘 基于最近的表现,很多投资朋友都有疑问,为什么coin这么拉。基于年初2024年一月一号至今,到今年九月底,涨幅已经基本被吞。关于表现差可能有若干原因,比如coin主要跟随山寨币,比如潜在竞争对手较多,比如整体交易量下降,而MSTR主要对标bitcoin。这些都是市场尝试给的解释,事实上,资金在第三季度离开coinbase更为明显,包含了很多的内部抛售,币价疲软,市场热点仍在ai等方面因素。因此身边也有朋友果断跳船到了mstr,结果论mstr是币圈概念股的龙一,如果我们拉长近一年的数据,mstr数据超过币本身,超过交易所,也超过矿企。 结论 如果一定要投资币,似乎mstr是更好的标的,至少资金是这么认为。同时从商业模式来说,mstr更加简单粗暴,而交易所充满严格的监管挑战,需要花的成本远远大于囤积本身。 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67e3a724bee632a86351eb4e26c9d6b4","width":"1424","height":"1156"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359874622906648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4088626949262520","authorId":"4088626949262520","name":"Inmoretion","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f3cf18d9385e273efad9ac0cebbc66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4088626949262520","authorIdStr":"4088626949262520"},"content":"现在搞山寨币的好多","text":"现在搞山寨币的好多","html":"现在搞山寨币的好多"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}