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两只哈拉

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2020-04-22

$美国原油ETF(USO)$空溢价

2020-04-19

$美国原油ETF(USO)$分析了下历史数据，理解理解WTI合约出现contango时，对USO价格影响：第一，WTI合约出现contango的时期，USO大概率会出现较大损耗，比如2008年次贷危机后油价反弹阶段；第二，合约没有contango的时期，USO几乎没有损耗，比如2016年到现在这段时间。而且USO对WTI主连价格的变化跟踪的非常好；第三，合约转期对USO的净值是没有影响的，USO之所以损耗，是因为转期后新的主连合约价格向更低的现货价格靠拢(contango时期)；第四，从2007年到现在，出现contango的几率比backwardation高;有不对的地方，欢迎指正

2020-04-16

$美国原油ETF(USO)$已经100% jun20的期货转期完成了

2020-04-03

$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$买张门票，看抄底

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>买张门票，看抄底","text":"$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$买张门票，看抄底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923265080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":922265773,"gmtCreate":1587565131492,"gmtModify":1704364799590,"author":{"id":"3548043504638424","authorId":"3548043504638424","name":"两只哈拉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548043504638424","authorIdStr":"3548043504638424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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