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牛布理
2022-11-08
分享
@侃见财经:推特收购完成之后,马斯克将成为推特唯一的董事! 根据相关媒体报道,马斯克在收购完推特之后,就开启了一轮“折腾”。10月28日,推特工程师们被要求打印出最近30天到60天的代码,交给马斯克和特斯拉的工程师审查。审查完之后,马斯克又要求他们撕掉代码,并在电脑上展现出来。 马斯克之所以这么做是因为,他要筛选出谁是真正能干活的人,顺便淘汰那些不常写代码的员工。 在买下推特之前他就曾表示要开掉推特75%的员工。但在推特总部时,他又安慰说不准备裁员75%。但从当下的做法来看,大概率会按照他自己的计划实行裁员。 实际上,买下推特之后,推特将会私有化,而马斯克首先要解决的就是盈利问题,这几年由于互联网情况并不好,所以广告收入也有所下滑,因此如何提振推特的收入以及增加盈利就成了第一位。 因此,尽管看马斯克的有些行为比较荒诞,但是算经济账还是很精明的。
$Twitter(TWTR)$
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
牛布理
2022-11-07
😁
@诗与星空:老乡颜宁和她的医疗帝国梦
牛布理
2022-10-22
分享
@话题虎:美联储CPI重磅数据袭来!美股能否绝地反击?
牛布理
2022-10-20
$奈飞(NFLX)$
牛布理
2022-10-18
分享
@Buy_Sell:🔥【10月13日】三大指数齐跌,特朗普概念股盘后逆市拉升!今天买点啥?
牛布理
2022-10-18
分享
@话题虎:美联储CPI重磅数据袭来!美股能否绝地反击?
牛布理
2022-10-18
分享
@梅姨求索记:刺激了!现在到底多便宜了?
牛布理
2022-10-18
分享
@Buy_Sell:🔥【10月13日】三大指数齐跌,特朗普概念股盘后逆市拉升!今天买点啥?
牛布理
2022-10-18
分享
@话题虎:美联储CPI重磅数据袭来!美股能否绝地反击?
牛布理
2022-10-18
分享
@梅姨求索记:刺激了!现在到底多便宜了?
牛布理
2022-10-18
$苹果(AAPL)$
分享
牛布理
2022-10-17
$迪士尼(DIS)$
分享
牛布理
2022-10-17
$苹果(AAPL)$
分享
牛布理
2022-10-16
$汽车之家(ATHM)$
分享
牛布理
2022-10-16
$苹果(AAPL)$
分享
牛布理
2022-10-16
分享
@JRcapital:【实盘挑战:操作一百次,资产不归零系列】 《第六次操作》 今晚大盘居然暴涨了,大家挣钱了没有? 今晚小挣了一点,离归零又远了一点点,继续努力。
$纳指ETF(QQQ)$
$标普500(.SPX)$
$Cassava Sciences Inc(SAVA)$
最近市场比较敏感,波动幅度都很大。 本周五还有非农数据,目前多空都不好判断,先买入一手宽跨式期权,保持盘感和试错,等待周四再加大仓位赌一下非农数控。
牛布理
2022-10-16
分享
@期权小班长:提防本周五的非农,数据公布大概会有负转折
牛布理
2022-10-16
分享
@Ivan_甘灿荣:10月重点之月来临,出现拐点的概率很高
牛布理
2022-10-16
分享一下
@Buy_Sell:🔥【10月12日】美股涨跌不一,纳指年内二度跌入熊市!今天买点啥?
牛布理
2022-10-16
分享
@小虎AV:马斯克旗下隧道挖掘公司the Boring Company推出一款名为“烧焦头发”的香水。马斯克还亲自叫卖:请买我的香水,这样我就能买下推特了。这款香水每瓶售价100美元,马斯克还将社交媒体账号简介改成了“香水销售员”。从目前的销售情况来看,该香水已经实现了300万美元的交易额。今年9月,马斯克曾在Twitter上预告过这种香水,没想到如此之快就成为了现实。$Twitter(TWTR)$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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根据相关媒体报道,马斯克在收购完推特之后,就开启了一轮“折腾”。10月28日,推特工程师们被要求打印出最近30天到60天的代码,交给马斯克和特斯拉的工程师审查。审查完之后,马斯克又要求他们撕掉代码,并在电脑上展现出来。 马斯克之所以这么做是因为,他要筛选出谁是真正能干活的人,顺便淘汰那些不常写代码的员工。 在买下推特之前他就曾表示要开掉推特75%的员工。但在推特总部时,他又安慰说不准备裁员75%。但从当下的做法来看,大概率会按照他自己的计划实行裁员。 实际上,买下推特之后,推特将会私有化,而马斯克首先要解决的就是盈利问题,这几年由于互联网情况并不好,所以广告收入也有所下滑,因此如何提振推特的收入以及增加盈利就成了第一位。 因此,尽管看马斯克的有些行为比较荒诞,但是算经济账还是很精明的。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"推特收购完成之后,马斯克将成为推特唯一的董事! 根据相关媒体报道,马斯克在收购完推特之后,就开启了一轮“折腾”。10月28日,推特工程师们被要求打印出最近30天到60天的代码,交给马斯克和特斯拉的工程师审查。审查完之后,马斯克又要求他们撕掉代码,并在电脑上展现出来。 马斯克之所以这么做是因为,他要筛选出谁是真正能干活的人,顺便淘汰那些不常写代码的员工。 在买下推特之前他就曾表示要开掉推特75%的员工。但在推特总部时,他又安慰说不准备裁员75%。但从当下的做法来看,大概率会按照他自己的计划实行裁员。 实际上,买下推特之后,推特将会私有化,而马斯克首先要解决的就是盈利问题,这几年由于互联网情况并不好,所以广告收入也有所下滑,因此如何提振推特的收入以及增加盈利就成了第一位。 因此,尽管看马斯克的有些行为比较荒诞,但是算经济账还是很精明的。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"推特收购完成之后,马斯克将成为推特唯一的董事! 根据相关媒体报道,马斯克在收购完推特之后,就开启了一轮“折腾”。10月28日,推特工程师们被要求打印出最近30天到60天的代码,交给马斯克和特斯拉的工程师审查。审查完之后,马斯克又要求他们撕掉代码,并在电脑上展现出来。 马斯克之所以这么做是因为,他要筛选出谁是真正能干活的人,顺便淘汰那些不常写代码的员工。 在买下推特之前他就曾表示要开掉推特75%的员工。但在推特总部时,他又安慰说不准备裁员75%。但从当下的做法来看,大概率会按照他自己的计划实行裁员。 实际上,买下推特之后,推特将会私有化,而马斯克首先要解决的就是盈利问题,这几年由于互联网情况并不好,所以广告收入也有所下滑,因此如何提振推特的收入以及增加盈利就成了第一位。 因此,尽管看马斯克的有些行为比较荒诞,但是算经济账还是很精明的。$Twitter(TWTR)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1239cfdbc8de64ccca741e9f006411a","width":"1342","height":"926"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665299441","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664927220,"gmtCreate":1667773539360,"gmtModify":1667773541640,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁","listText":"😁","text":"😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664927220","repostId":"664984820","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664984820,"gmtCreate":1667696400000,"gmtModify":1667721866487,"author":{"id":"3570059771774754","authorId":"3570059771774754","name":"诗与星空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dd845f8861ad74d77c50e7f7a23583f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570059771774754","idStr":"3570059771774754"},"themes":[],"title":"老乡颜宁和她的医疗帝国梦","htmlText":"文:诗与星空(ID: SingingUnderStars) 颜宁是章丘人,是李清照的老乡。 章丘有个美丽的景区,叫百脉泉,在李清照怀念少女时代的诗词里,很多关于风景的描写,都源自于此。 常记溪亭日暮,沉醉不知归路... ... 现在章丘是济南的一个区,可惜的是,颜宁回国没有回到济南,而是去了深圳。 颜宁去美国的时候,一部分人称中国缺乏留住高科技人才的环境,这国怎,定体问。 颜宁回中国的时候,这部分人称颜宁的研究已经过时了,回中国,这国怎,定体问。 2017年5月,颜宁接受美国普林斯顿大学邀请,受聘普林斯顿大学分子生物学系雪莉·蒂尔曼终身讲席教授,在2019年4月当选美国国家科学院外籍院士,在2021年4月当选美国艺术与科学院院士。 截止到2022年5月,美国国家科学院一共已有2512名院士、517名外籍院士。 可以说,无论从哪个角度,颜宁都是全球最顶级的科学家之一。 她的主要研究领域,是重要膜蛋白的结构与功能机理。 有一种说法,她的研究方向已经逐渐被AI取代。 其实,这个领域中,AI只能是补充手段,可以减少确定结构过程中的很多麻烦,但最终仍脱离不开科研人员的实验验证。即使基于当前模型,预测的准确率达100%,也不能在不进行湿实验的情况下确定该结构的准确性。 顶级科学家可以利用AI技术实现革命性的突破,绝不会被AI取代。 这么简单的道理,是不懂,还是装不懂? 深圳医学科学院的定位其实非常高,2021年3月,深圳市政府公报印发《深圳医学科学院建设方案》,深圳医学科学院按照全新机制,主要建设“四平台一智库”,力争到本世纪中叶成为全球著名医学研究机构。 根据《方案》中的发展目标,到2025年,以深圳医学科学院为中枢和桥梁的深圳医学科技协同创新共同体基本建成,部分重点领域研究取得进展,针对重点人群和重大疾病的防治技术获得阶段性突破,医学科技创新能力得到提升,深圳医学科学院运行机制逐步","listText":"文:诗与星空(ID: SingingUnderStars) 颜宁是章丘人,是李清照的老乡。 章丘有个美丽的景区,叫百脉泉,在李清照怀念少女时代的诗词里,很多关于风景的描写,都源自于此。 常记溪亭日暮,沉醉不知归路... ... 现在章丘是济南的一个区,可惜的是,颜宁回国没有回到济南,而是去了深圳。 颜宁去美国的时候,一部分人称中国缺乏留住高科技人才的环境,这国怎,定体问。 颜宁回中国的时候,这部分人称颜宁的研究已经过时了,回中国,这国怎,定体问。 2017年5月,颜宁接受美国普林斯顿大学邀请,受聘普林斯顿大学分子生物学系雪莉·蒂尔曼终身讲席教授,在2019年4月当选美国国家科学院外籍院士,在2021年4月当选美国艺术与科学院院士。 截止到2022年5月,美国国家科学院一共已有2512名院士、517名外籍院士。 可以说,无论从哪个角度,颜宁都是全球最顶级的科学家之一。 她的主要研究领域,是重要膜蛋白的结构与功能机理。 有一种说法,她的研究方向已经逐渐被AI取代。 其实,这个领域中,AI只能是补充手段,可以减少确定结构过程中的很多麻烦,但最终仍脱离不开科研人员的实验验证。即使基于当前模型,预测的准确率达100%,也不能在不进行湿实验的情况下确定该结构的准确性。 顶级科学家可以利用AI技术实现革命性的突破,绝不会被AI取代。 这么简单的道理,是不懂,还是装不懂? 深圳医学科学院的定位其实非常高,2021年3月,深圳市政府公报印发《深圳医学科学院建设方案》,深圳医学科学院按照全新机制,主要建设“四平台一智库”,力争到本世纪中叶成为全球著名医学研究机构。 根据《方案》中的发展目标,到2025年,以深圳医学科学院为中枢和桥梁的深圳医学科技协同创新共同体基本建成,部分重点领域研究取得进展,针对重点人群和重大疾病的防治技术获得阶段性突破,医学科技创新能力得到提升,深圳医学科学院运行机制逐步","text":"文:诗与星空(ID: SingingUnderStars) 颜宁是章丘人,是李清照的老乡。 章丘有个美丽的景区,叫百脉泉,在李清照怀念少女时代的诗词里,很多关于风景的描写,都源自于此。 常记溪亭日暮,沉醉不知归路... ... 现在章丘是济南的一个区,可惜的是,颜宁回国没有回到济南,而是去了深圳。 颜宁去美国的时候,一部分人称中国缺乏留住高科技人才的环境,这国怎,定体问。 颜宁回中国的时候,这部分人称颜宁的研究已经过时了,回中国,这国怎,定体问。 2017年5月,颜宁接受美国普林斯顿大学邀请,受聘普林斯顿大学分子生物学系雪莉·蒂尔曼终身讲席教授,在2019年4月当选美国国家科学院外籍院士,在2021年4月当选美国艺术与科学院院士。 截止到2022年5月,美国国家科学院一共已有2512名院士、517名外籍院士。 可以说,无论从哪个角度,颜宁都是全球最顶级的科学家之一。 她的主要研究领域,是重要膜蛋白的结构与功能机理。 有一种说法,她的研究方向已经逐渐被AI取代。 其实,这个领域中,AI只能是补充手段,可以减少确定结构过程中的很多麻烦,但最终仍脱离不开科研人员的实验验证。即使基于当前模型,预测的准确率达100%,也不能在不进行湿实验的情况下确定该结构的准确性。 顶级科学家可以利用AI技术实现革命性的突破,绝不会被AI取代。 这么简单的道理,是不懂,还是装不懂? 深圳医学科学院的定位其实非常高,2021年3月,深圳市政府公报印发《深圳医学科学院建设方案》,深圳医学科学院按照全新机制,主要建设“四平台一智库”,力争到本世纪中叶成为全球著名医学研究机构。 根据《方案》中的发展目标,到2025年,以深圳医学科学院为中枢和桥梁的深圳医学科技协同创新共同体基本建成,部分重点领域研究取得进展,针对重点人群和重大疾病的防治技术获得阶段性突破,医学科技创新能力得到提升,深圳医学科学院运行机制逐步","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/165a032473f7427c95c92ad1e4ade245"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a320ce196cb4b1e8252256d1e695635"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dd7a5583465482db68d3e4966d447f3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664984820","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":662639958,"gmtCreate":1666397199474,"gmtModify":1666397201958,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662639958","repostId":"666861289","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666861289,"gmtCreate":1665555785041,"gmtModify":1665556726993,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"美联储CPI重磅数据袭来!美股能否绝地反击?","htmlText":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661819869\" target=\"_blank\">惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?</a>)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","listText":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661819869\" target=\"_blank\">惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?</a>)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","text":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43cf79f1b9c4446e086806dc392d8ed2","width":"840","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666861289","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2068,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662326590,"gmtCreate":1666219487211,"gmtModify":1666219489240,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a>","text":"$奈飞(NFLX)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/173bc87c0cfbd4ab7c98045529e6bfa6","width":"1080","height":"1880"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662326590","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":662000156,"gmtCreate":1666045424575,"gmtModify":1666045427278,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662000156","repostId":"666686546","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666686546,"gmtCreate":1665624695585,"gmtModify":1665624731079,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667596890271","idStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🔥【10月13日】三大指数齐跌,特朗普概念股盘后逆市拉升!今天买点啥?","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月13日讯,仍将大幅加息?隔夜美股纳指、标普6连跌。港股恒指平开,国指跌0.15%,恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,百度、京东、网易、美团小幅下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">$哔哩哔哩-W(09626)$</a> 跌3.65%。燃气股继续走低,内银股、乳制品股、体育用品股、手机概念股多数下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">$招商银行(03968)$</a> 再跌近5%。另一方面,生物科技股大涨,百济神州、科济药业均大涨近15%,电子烟概念股思摩尔国际延续昨日上涨,餐饮股、光伏股、铝业股纷纷反弹,中国铝业涨超4%。美股市场美国9月PPI通胀超预期,美联储会议纪要鹰派支持继续加息至限制增长水平。纳指再创两年新低,与标普指数均录得连续第6个交易日下跌。此外,市场等待即将在周四发布的9月CPI通胀数据。经济和需求堪忧,以及鹰派加息预期下的美元走强。截止收盘,标普500指数跌0.33%,纳斯达克指数跌0.09%,道琼斯指数跌0.1%。标普500指数和纳指日线六连跌,标普500指数收于2020年11月以来最低水平,纳指续创2020年7月来新低。世纪铝业涨超9%,美国铝业公司涨超5%,白宫表示,考虑禁止进口俄罗斯铝。大型科技股多数上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 涨超3%,谷歌、亚马逊、微软小幅上涨,苹果、脸书小幅下跌。荷兰健康科技公司飞利浦的欧股和美股均跌约12%,发布第三季度盈利预警,核心利润或同比骤降60%。周三盘后,谷歌将特朗普创办的社交媒体平台Truth Social加入谷歌Play应用商店。此前在","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月13日讯,仍将大幅加息?隔夜美股纳指、标普6连跌。港股恒指平开,国指跌0.15%,恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,百度、京东、网易、美团小幅下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">$哔哩哔哩-W(09626)$</a> 跌3.65%。燃气股继续走低,内银股、乳制品股、体育用品股、手机概念股多数下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">$招商银行(03968)$</a> 再跌近5%。另一方面,生物科技股大涨,百济神州、科济药业均大涨近15%,电子烟概念股思摩尔国际延续昨日上涨,餐饮股、光伏股、铝业股纷纷反弹,中国铝业涨超4%。美股市场美国9月PPI通胀超预期,美联储会议纪要鹰派支持继续加息至限制增长水平。纳指再创两年新低,与标普指数均录得连续第6个交易日下跌。此外,市场等待即将在周四发布的9月CPI通胀数据。经济和需求堪忧,以及鹰派加息预期下的美元走强。截止收盘,标普500指数跌0.33%,纳斯达克指数跌0.09%,道琼斯指数跌0.1%。标普500指数和纳指日线六连跌,标普500指数收于2020年11月以来最低水平,纳指续创2020年7月来新低。世纪铝业涨超9%,美国铝业公司涨超5%,白宫表示,考虑禁止进口俄罗斯铝。大型科技股多数上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 涨超3%,谷歌、亚马逊、微软小幅上涨,苹果、脸书小幅下跌。荷兰健康科技公司飞利浦的欧股和美股均跌约12%,发布第三季度盈利预警,核心利润或同比骤降60%。周三盘后,谷歌将特朗普创办的社交媒体平台Truth Social加入谷歌Play应用商店。此前在","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月13日讯,仍将大幅加息?隔夜美股纳指、标普6连跌。港股恒指平开,国指跌0.15%,恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,百度、京东、网易、美团小幅下跌,$哔哩哔哩-W(09626)$ 跌3.65%。燃气股继续走低,内银股、乳制品股、体育用品股、手机概念股多数下跌,$招商银行(03968)$ 再跌近5%。另一方面,生物科技股大涨,百济神州、科济药业均大涨近15%,电子烟概念股思摩尔国际延续昨日上涨,餐饮股、光伏股、铝业股纷纷反弹,中国铝业涨超4%。美股市场美国9月PPI通胀超预期,美联储会议纪要鹰派支持继续加息至限制增长水平。纳指再创两年新低,与标普指数均录得连续第6个交易日下跌。此外,市场等待即将在周四发布的9月CPI通胀数据。经济和需求堪忧,以及鹰派加息预期下的美元走强。截止收盘,标普500指数跌0.33%,纳斯达克指数跌0.09%,道琼斯指数跌0.1%。标普500指数和纳指日线六连跌,标普500指数收于2020年11月以来最低水平,纳指续创2020年7月来新低。世纪铝业涨超9%,美国铝业公司涨超5%,白宫表示,考虑禁止进口俄罗斯铝。大型科技股多数上涨,$奈飞(NFLX)$ 涨超3%,谷歌、亚马逊、微软小幅上涨,苹果、脸书小幅下跌。荷兰健康科技公司飞利浦的欧股和美股均跌约12%,发布第三季度盈利预警,核心利润或同比骤降60%。周三盘后,谷歌将特朗普创办的社交媒体平台Truth Social加入谷歌Play应用商店。此前在","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1aa85d877f7de11266bca6ef191ed92","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666686546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662000391,"gmtCreate":1666045416913,"gmtModify":1666045419542,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662000391","repostId":"666861289","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666861289,"gmtCreate":1665555785041,"gmtModify":1665556726993,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"美联储CPI重磅数据袭来!美股能否绝地反击?","htmlText":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661819869\" target=\"_blank\">惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?</a>)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","listText":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661819869\" target=\"_blank\">惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?</a>)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","text":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43cf79f1b9c4446e086806dc392d8ed2","width":"840","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666861289","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662000992,"gmtCreate":1666045402416,"gmtModify":1666045404863,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662000992","repostId":"666307450","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666307450,"gmtCreate":1665402348171,"gmtModify":1665402638414,"author":{"id":"3557456737378186","authorId":"3557456737378186","name":"梅姨求索记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed4d22bba1c68ddec68b8763471a172","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557456737378186","idStr":"3557456737378186"},"themes":[],"title":"刺激了!现在到底多便宜了?","htmlText":"哇哦,没想到节后第一天就这么刺激,大盘直接跌破了3000点!再看看昨天你们的投票,50%看跌,看来都是久经沙场的老韭菜了,已经会给大A把脉了……跌的这么猛,大家都知道现在应该算便宜了吧?毕竟已经3000点以下了,应该没人会说贵了吧?但是,这一跌之后,到底有多便宜了呢?梅姨拉了几个主要指数的点位和估值,我们和4月底比较一下。今天上证指数收盘2974.15点,4月底的时候最低到过2863.65点,按市盈率来算,还有3.5%的下跌空间;值得一提的是,今天沪深300盘中最低到了3715.71点,收于3720.94点,均比4月底最低3757.09点还要低,再创历史新低!今天沪深300市盈率也来到了11倍,比4月底时居然还要便宜2.2%。所以,梅姨今天又加了点沪深300,底部区域安全边际够大,怎么买都安心。当然了,如果不跟4月底比,跟历史最低点比呢?梅姨在《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》中也说过,沪深300历史最低点发生在2014年,当时市盈率是8.03倍,那距离这个历史大底就还有27%的下跌空间。但那可是8年前了……中证500目前市盈率20.2,处于历史9.36%的历史分位,也是低估,但比4月底还是贵了一些。再来看代表A股整体的中证全指,9月19日写《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》时,中证全指当时距离4月底还有10%的下跌空间。今天这一跌,就只有5%的下跌空间了。距离前低又近了一步~总之吧,你看,上证指数、沪深300、创业板指、中证全指,距离4月底基本都在5%以内了,尤其沪深300比4月底都低了。而且今天中证全指的日","listText":"哇哦,没想到节后第一天就这么刺激,大盘直接跌破了3000点!再看看昨天你们的投票,50%看跌,看来都是久经沙场的老韭菜了,已经会给大A把脉了……跌的这么猛,大家都知道现在应该算便宜了吧?毕竟已经3000点以下了,应该没人会说贵了吧?但是,这一跌之后,到底有多便宜了呢?梅姨拉了几个主要指数的点位和估值,我们和4月底比较一下。今天上证指数收盘2974.15点,4月底的时候最低到过2863.65点,按市盈率来算,还有3.5%的下跌空间;值得一提的是,今天沪深300盘中最低到了3715.71点,收于3720.94点,均比4月底最低3757.09点还要低,再创历史新低!今天沪深300市盈率也来到了11倍,比4月底时居然还要便宜2.2%。所以,梅姨今天又加了点沪深300,底部区域安全边际够大,怎么买都安心。当然了,如果不跟4月底比,跟历史最低点比呢?梅姨在《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》中也说过,沪深300历史最低点发生在2014年,当时市盈率是8.03倍,那距离这个历史大底就还有27%的下跌空间。但那可是8年前了……中证500目前市盈率20.2,处于历史9.36%的历史分位,也是低估,但比4月底还是贵了一些。再来看代表A股整体的中证全指,9月19日写《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》时,中证全指当时距离4月底还有10%的下跌空间。今天这一跌,就只有5%的下跌空间了。距离前低又近了一步~总之吧,你看,上证指数、沪深300、创业板指、中证全指,距离4月底基本都在5%以内了,尤其沪深300比4月底都低了。而且今天中证全指的日","text":"哇哦,没想到节后第一天就这么刺激,大盘直接跌破了3000点!再看看昨天你们的投票,50%看跌,看来都是久经沙场的老韭菜了,已经会给大A把脉了……跌的这么猛,大家都知道现在应该算便宜了吧?毕竟已经3000点以下了,应该没人会说贵了吧?但是,这一跌之后,到底有多便宜了呢?梅姨拉了几个主要指数的点位和估值,我们和4月底比较一下。今天上证指数收盘2974.15点,4月底的时候最低到过2863.65点,按市盈率来算,还有3.5%的下跌空间;值得一提的是,今天沪深300盘中最低到了3715.71点,收于3720.94点,均比4月底最低3757.09点还要低,再创历史新低!今天沪深300市盈率也来到了11倍,比4月底时居然还要便宜2.2%。所以,梅姨今天又加了点沪深300,底部区域安全边际够大,怎么买都安心。当然了,如果不跟4月底比,跟历史最低点比呢?梅姨在《你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?》中也说过,沪深300历史最低点发生在2014年,当时市盈率是8.03倍,那距离这个历史大底就还有27%的下跌空间。但那可是8年前了……中证500目前市盈率20.2,处于历史9.36%的历史分位,也是低估,但比4月底还是贵了一些。再来看代表A股整体的中证全指,9月19日写《你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?》时,中证全指当时距离4月底还有10%的下跌空间。今天这一跌,就只有5%的下跌空间了。距离前低又近了一步~总之吧,你看,上证指数、沪深300、创业板指、中证全指,距离4月底基本都在5%以内了,尤其沪深300比4月底都低了。而且今天中证全指的日","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c5a8f4966dc121ca3e4e6c5b62458f3","width":"632","height":"636"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8af4a282d5b38ae424b5f723cef5c0f8","width":"632","height":"195"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/375b4de7ca1b0d6808c933c6857110f3","width":"632","height":"241"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666307450","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666777730,"gmtCreate":1666045341020,"gmtModify":1666045343656,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666777730","repostId":"666686546","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666686546,"gmtCreate":1665624695585,"gmtModify":1665624731079,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667596890271","idStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🔥【10月13日】三大指数齐跌,特朗普概念股盘后逆市拉升!今天买点啥?","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月13日讯,仍将大幅加息?隔夜美股纳指、标普6连跌。港股恒指平开,国指跌0.15%,恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,百度、京东、网易、美团小幅下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">$哔哩哔哩-W(09626)$</a> 跌3.65%。燃气股继续走低,内银股、乳制品股、体育用品股、手机概念股多数下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">$招商银行(03968)$</a> 再跌近5%。另一方面,生物科技股大涨,百济神州、科济药业均大涨近15%,电子烟概念股思摩尔国际延续昨日上涨,餐饮股、光伏股、铝业股纷纷反弹,中国铝业涨超4%。美股市场美国9月PPI通胀超预期,美联储会议纪要鹰派支持继续加息至限制增长水平。纳指再创两年新低,与标普指数均录得连续第6个交易日下跌。此外,市场等待即将在周四发布的9月CPI通胀数据。经济和需求堪忧,以及鹰派加息预期下的美元走强。截止收盘,标普500指数跌0.33%,纳斯达克指数跌0.09%,道琼斯指数跌0.1%。标普500指数和纳指日线六连跌,标普500指数收于2020年11月以来最低水平,纳指续创2020年7月来新低。世纪铝业涨超9%,美国铝业公司涨超5%,白宫表示,考虑禁止进口俄罗斯铝。大型科技股多数上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 涨超3%,谷歌、亚马逊、微软小幅上涨,苹果、脸书小幅下跌。荷兰健康科技公司飞利浦的欧股和美股均跌约12%,发布第三季度盈利预警,核心利润或同比骤降60%。周三盘后,谷歌将特朗普创办的社交媒体平台Truth Social加入谷歌Play应用商店。此前在","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月13日讯,仍将大幅加息?隔夜美股纳指、标普6连跌。港股恒指平开,国指跌0.15%,恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,百度、京东、网易、美团小幅下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">$哔哩哔哩-W(09626)$</a> 跌3.65%。燃气股继续走低,内银股、乳制品股、体育用品股、手机概念股多数下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">$招商银行(03968)$</a> 再跌近5%。另一方面,生物科技股大涨,百济神州、科济药业均大涨近15%,电子烟概念股思摩尔国际延续昨日上涨,餐饮股、光伏股、铝业股纷纷反弹,中国铝业涨超4%。美股市场美国9月PPI通胀超预期,美联储会议纪要鹰派支持继续加息至限制增长水平。纳指再创两年新低,与标普指数均录得连续第6个交易日下跌。此外,市场等待即将在周四发布的9月CPI通胀数据。经济和需求堪忧,以及鹰派加息预期下的美元走强。截止收盘,标普500指数跌0.33%,纳斯达克指数跌0.09%,道琼斯指数跌0.1%。标普500指数和纳指日线六连跌,标普500指数收于2020年11月以来最低水平,纳指续创2020年7月来新低。世纪铝业涨超9%,美国铝业公司涨超5%,白宫表示,考虑禁止进口俄罗斯铝。大型科技股多数上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 涨超3%,谷歌、亚马逊、微软小幅上涨,苹果、脸书小幅下跌。荷兰健康科技公司飞利浦的欧股和美股均跌约12%,发布第三季度盈利预警,核心利润或同比骤降60%。周三盘后,谷歌将特朗普创办的社交媒体平台Truth Social加入谷歌Play应用商店。此前在","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月13日讯,仍将大幅加息?隔夜美股纳指、标普6连跌。港股恒指平开,国指跌0.15%,恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,百度、京东、网易、美团小幅下跌,$哔哩哔哩-W(09626)$ 跌3.65%。燃气股继续走低,内银股、乳制品股、体育用品股、手机概念股多数下跌,$招商银行(03968)$ 再跌近5%。另一方面,生物科技股大涨,百济神州、科济药业均大涨近15%,电子烟概念股思摩尔国际延续昨日上涨,餐饮股、光伏股、铝业股纷纷反弹,中国铝业涨超4%。美股市场美国9月PPI通胀超预期,美联储会议纪要鹰派支持继续加息至限制增长水平。纳指再创两年新低,与标普指数均录得连续第6个交易日下跌。此外,市场等待即将在周四发布的9月CPI通胀数据。经济和需求堪忧,以及鹰派加息预期下的美元走强。截止收盘,标普500指数跌0.33%,纳斯达克指数跌0.09%,道琼斯指数跌0.1%。标普500指数和纳指日线六连跌,标普500指数收于2020年11月以来最低水平,纳指续创2020年7月来新低。世纪铝业涨超9%,美国铝业公司涨超5%,白宫表示,考虑禁止进口俄罗斯铝。大型科技股多数上涨,$奈飞(NFLX)$ 涨超3%,谷歌、亚马逊、微软小幅上涨,苹果、脸书小幅下跌。荷兰健康科技公司飞利浦的欧股和美股均跌约12%,发布第三季度盈利预警,核心利润或同比骤降60%。周三盘后,谷歌将特朗普创办的社交媒体平台Truth Social加入谷歌Play应用商店。此前在","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1aa85d877f7de11266bca6ef191ed92","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666686546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666777436,"gmtCreate":1666045333325,"gmtModify":1666045337629,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666777436","repostId":"666861289","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666861289,"gmtCreate":1665555785041,"gmtModify":1665556726993,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"美联储CPI重磅数据袭来!美股能否绝地反击?","htmlText":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661819869\" target=\"_blank\">惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?</a>)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","listText":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661819869\" target=\"_blank\">惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?</a>)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","text":"本周市场的关注点,重点在即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要,以及9月CPI数据。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要公布时间北京时间周四凌晨2点,回顾9月21日美联储公布经济预期,当日市场直线跳水,三大股指均刷新近2月新低。根据会议发布的利率点阵图,预期中值今年年内进一步加息125个基点,年内美联储已仅剩下两场议息会议。(前文指路→惊魂一夜!美联储鹰派暴击,美股直线跳水,你怎么看?)上周公布了9月非农就业报告,数据比预期的高,失业率还下降到了半个世纪来低谷。一再激进加息,美国劳动力市场依旧保持韧性,也就意味着美联储转鸽希望不大了,反到11月加息75基点的可能性加大。因此,北京时间周四20:30即将公布的CPI的数据,也将成为美联储决定11月是否再次加75个基点的指标。$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 恐慌指数上升3.64%至33.63,创下近三月新高。来源FactSet的数据显示,经济学家预计,美国9月CPI同比将从8月份的8.3%小幅放缓至8.1%,环比涨幅预计将从0.1%升至0.2%,剔除掉波动较大的食品和能源类别后,9月核心CPI将从去年同期的6.3%升至6.5%,但环比涨幅从8月份的0.6%放缓至0.4%。第一种猜测:实际数据符合预期预示着物价上涨或将接近尾声,但通胀依然非常高,美联储极有可能重申鹰派立场,11月再度加息75个基点。第二种猜测:实际数据超出预期摩根大通表示,如果9月份CPI数据介于8.1% - 8.3%之间,那么可能出现“买盘力量**”行情,标普500指","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43cf79f1b9c4446e086806dc392d8ed2","width":"840","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666861289","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666777532,"gmtCreate":1666045326227,"gmtModify":1666045330416,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666777532","repostId":"666307450","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":666307450,"gmtCreate":1665402348171,"gmtModify":1665402638414,"author":{"id":"3557456737378186","authorId":"3557456737378186","name":"梅姨求索记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed4d22bba1c68ddec68b8763471a172","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557456737378186","idStr":"3557456737378186"},"themes":[],"title":"刺激了!现在到底多便宜了?","htmlText":"哇哦,没想到节后第一天就这么刺激,大盘直接跌破了3000点!再看看昨天你们的投票,50%看跌,看来都是久经沙场的老韭菜了,已经会给大A把脉了……跌的这么猛,大家都知道现在应该算便宜了吧?毕竟已经3000点以下了,应该没人会说贵了吧?但是,这一跌之后,到底有多便宜了呢?梅姨拉了几个主要指数的点位和估值,我们和4月底比较一下。今天上证指数收盘2974.15点,4月底的时候最低到过2863.65点,按市盈率来算,还有3.5%的下跌空间;值得一提的是,今天沪深300盘中最低到了3715.71点,收于3720.94点,均比4月底最低3757.09点还要低,再创历史新低!今天沪深300市盈率也来到了11倍,比4月底时居然还要便宜2.2%。所以,梅姨今天又加了点沪深300,底部区域安全边际够大,怎么买都安心。当然了,如果不跟4月底比,跟历史最低点比呢?梅姨在《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》中也说过,沪深300历史最低点发生在2014年,当时市盈率是8.03倍,那距离这个历史大底就还有27%的下跌空间。但那可是8年前了……中证500目前市盈率20.2,处于历史9.36%的历史分位,也是低估,但比4月底还是贵了一些。再来看代表A股整体的中证全指,9月19日写《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》时,中证全指当时距离4月底还有10%的下跌空间。今天这一跌,就只有5%的下跌空间了。距离前低又近了一步~总之吧,你看,上证指数、沪深300、创业板指、中证全指,距离4月底基本都在5%以内了,尤其沪深300比4月底都低了。而且今天中证全指的日","listText":"哇哦,没想到节后第一天就这么刺激,大盘直接跌破了3000点!再看看昨天你们的投票,50%看跌,看来都是久经沙场的老韭菜了,已经会给大A把脉了……跌的这么猛,大家都知道现在应该算便宜了吧?毕竟已经3000点以下了,应该没人会说贵了吧?但是,这一跌之后,到底有多便宜了呢?梅姨拉了几个主要指数的点位和估值,我们和4月底比较一下。今天上证指数收盘2974.15点,4月底的时候最低到过2863.65点,按市盈率来算,还有3.5%的下跌空间;值得一提的是,今天沪深300盘中最低到了3715.71点,收于3720.94点,均比4月底最低3757.09点还要低,再创历史新低!今天沪深300市盈率也来到了11倍,比4月底时居然还要便宜2.2%。所以,梅姨今天又加了点沪深300,底部区域安全边际够大,怎么买都安心。当然了,如果不跟4月底比,跟历史最低点比呢?梅姨在《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》中也说过,沪深300历史最低点发生在2014年,当时市盈率是8.03倍,那距离这个历史大底就还有27%的下跌空间。但那可是8年前了……中证500目前市盈率20.2,处于历史9.36%的历史分位,也是低估,但比4月底还是贵了一些。再来看代表A股整体的中证全指,9月19日写《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/661021233\" target=\"_blank\">你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?</a>》时,中证全指当时距离4月底还有10%的下跌空间。今天这一跌,就只有5%的下跌空间了。距离前低又近了一步~总之吧,你看,上证指数、沪深300、创业板指、中证全指,距离4月底基本都在5%以内了,尤其沪深300比4月底都低了。而且今天中证全指的日","text":"哇哦,没想到节后第一天就这么刺激,大盘直接跌破了3000点!再看看昨天你们的投票,50%看跌,看来都是久经沙场的老韭菜了,已经会给大A把脉了……跌的这么猛,大家都知道现在应该算便宜了吧?毕竟已经3000点以下了,应该没人会说贵了吧?但是,这一跌之后,到底有多便宜了呢?梅姨拉了几个主要指数的点位和估值,我们和4月底比较一下。今天上证指数收盘2974.15点,4月底的时候最低到过2863.65点,按市盈率来算,还有3.5%的下跌空间;值得一提的是,今天沪深300盘中最低到了3715.71点,收于3720.94点,均比4月底最低3757.09点还要低,再创历史新低!今天沪深300市盈率也来到了11倍,比4月底时居然还要便宜2.2%。所以,梅姨今天又加了点沪深300,底部区域安全边际够大,怎么买都安心。当然了,如果不跟4月底比,跟历史最低点比呢?梅姨在《你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?》中也说过,沪深300历史最低点发生在2014年,当时市盈率是8.03倍,那距离这个历史大底就还有27%的下跌空间。但那可是8年前了……中证500目前市盈率20.2,处于历史9.36%的历史分位,也是低估,但比4月底还是贵了一些。再来看代表A股整体的中证全指,9月19日写《你知道,还有多少下跌空间吗?》时,中证全指当时距离4月底还有10%的下跌空间。今天这一跌,就只有5%的下跌空间了。距离前低又近了一步~总之吧,你看,上证指数、沪深300、创业板指、中证全指,距离4月底基本都在5%以内了,尤其沪深300比4月底都低了。而且今天中证全指的日","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c5a8f4966dc121ca3e4e6c5b62458f3","width":"632","height":"636"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8af4a282d5b38ae424b5f723cef5c0f8","width":"632","height":"195"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/375b4de7ca1b0d6808c933c6857110f3","width":"632","height":"241"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666307450","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666777286,"gmtCreate":1666045303045,"gmtModify":1666056825344,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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《第六次操作》 今晚大盘居然暴涨了,大家挣钱了没有? 今晚小挣了一点,离归零又远了一点点,继续努力。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAVA\">$Cassava Sciences Inc(SAVA)$</a> 最近市场比较敏感,波动幅度都很大。 本周五还有非农数据,目前多空都不好判断,先买入一手宽跨式期权,保持盘感和试错,等待周四再加大仓位赌一下非农数控。","listText":"【实盘挑战:操作一百次,资产不归零系列】 《第六次操作》 今晚大盘居然暴涨了,大家挣钱了没有? 今晚小挣了一点,离归零又远了一点点,继续努力。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAVA\">$Cassava Sciences Inc(SAVA)$</a> 最近市场比较敏感,波动幅度都很大。 本周五还有非农数据,目前多空都不好判断,先买入一手宽跨式期权,保持盘感和试错,等待周四再加大仓位赌一下非农数控。","text":"【实盘挑战:操作一百次,资产不归零系列】 《第六次操作》 今晚大盘居然暴涨了,大家挣钱了没有? 今晚小挣了一点,离归零又远了一点点,继续努力。$纳指ETF(QQQ)$$标普500(.SPX)$ $Cassava Sciences Inc(SAVA)$ 最近市场比较敏感,波动幅度都很大。 本周五还有非农数据,目前多空都不好判断,先买入一手宽跨式期权,保持盘感和试错,等待周四再加大仓位赌一下非农数控。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9738cd84a9929a55882648cb07bd27f1","width":"1200","height":"2640"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/668594341","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666486628,"gmtCreate":1665877356565,"gmtModify":1665877359308,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666486628","repostId":"668508725","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":668508725,"gmtCreate":1664890198868,"gmtModify":1664890235725,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"提防本周五的非农,数据公布大概会有负转折","htmlText":"我看有的群在讨论现在反弹的长久性问题,泼个冷水,等数据公布大概会有负转折,具体来说提防本周五的非农。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661451289\" target=\"_blank\">从上周一开始市场就进入到了极端行情中</a>,数据显示需要回调,但极端了一周。说是有回调需求,具体触发还是需要事件。根据市场消息,这两天反弹乐观情绪来源于几国政策干预的结果:日本外汇干预,英国央行临时资产购买以及取消减税计划等等,各国都稍微伸手拦了拦狂奔的美元。美国两年期国债收益率自9月21日以来首次跌至4%以下。但美元美债最终走势还是要看美联储加息政策,不过很遗憾,10月3号纽约联储主席否定了宽松预期,称紧缩仍有很长的路要走(tightening still has “significant” ways to go.)。按我认识的一位交易员的话来讲,收益率上4,很难回头。现在的行情与其说多头入场了,不如说部分空头退场了。乐观的情绪大概率会被现实的通胀数据的打回原形,即就业数据仍然持续强劲超预期,核心cpi数据始终居高不下。前者是本周五非农(10月7日),后者是下周四的9月CPI(10月13日)。这些数据都好预测,基本肯定都超预期。非农CPI市场走势无非就是两种,市场过于乐观,数据落地后浇一头冷水;市场过于悲观,数据落地后反弹。现在的行情毫无疑问就是前者了。而市场的下跌基础来源于估值太高,两个数据体现:现在纳指100的pe为19.8,而根据过去20年的三次经济衰退数据,pe平均在13倍左右。而自1929年以来,连续6个或以上月收盘价低于标普500指数12个月移动均线的股票从峰到谷的跌幅为33.1%,跌幅中值为28.5%。这相当于标普500将进入3450至3220之间的区间。这是之后再担心的事儿了,这周到不了。Q4估值下跌体现的两个方向,除了宏观数据导致的估值整体","listText":"我看有的群在讨论现在反弹的长久性问题,泼个冷水,等数据公布大概会有负转折,具体来说提防本周五的非农。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/661451289\" target=\"_blank\">从上周一开始市场就进入到了极端行情中</a>,数据显示需要回调,但极端了一周。说是有回调需求,具体触发还是需要事件。根据市场消息,这两天反弹乐观情绪来源于几国政策干预的结果:日本外汇干预,英国央行临时资产购买以及取消减税计划等等,各国都稍微伸手拦了拦狂奔的美元。美国两年期国债收益率自9月21日以来首次跌至4%以下。但美元美债最终走势还是要看美联储加息政策,不过很遗憾,10月3号纽约联储主席否定了宽松预期,称紧缩仍有很长的路要走(tightening still has “significant” ways to go.)。按我认识的一位交易员的话来讲,收益率上4,很难回头。现在的行情与其说多头入场了,不如说部分空头退场了。乐观的情绪大概率会被现实的通胀数据的打回原形,即就业数据仍然持续强劲超预期,核心cpi数据始终居高不下。前者是本周五非农(10月7日),后者是下周四的9月CPI(10月13日)。这些数据都好预测,基本肯定都超预期。非农CPI市场走势无非就是两种,市场过于乐观,数据落地后浇一头冷水;市场过于悲观,数据落地后反弹。现在的行情毫无疑问就是前者了。而市场的下跌基础来源于估值太高,两个数据体现:现在纳指100的pe为19.8,而根据过去20年的三次经济衰退数据,pe平均在13倍左右。而自1929年以来,连续6个或以上月收盘价低于标普500指数12个月移动均线的股票从峰到谷的跌幅为33.1%,跌幅中值为28.5%。这相当于标普500将进入3450至3220之间的区间。这是之后再担心的事儿了,这周到不了。Q4估值下跌体现的两个方向,除了宏观数据导致的估值整体","text":"我看有的群在讨论现在反弹的长久性问题,泼个冷水,等数据公布大概会有负转折,具体来说提防本周五的非农。从上周一开始市场就进入到了极端行情中,数据显示需要回调,但极端了一周。说是有回调需求,具体触发还是需要事件。根据市场消息,这两天反弹乐观情绪来源于几国政策干预的结果:日本外汇干预,英国央行临时资产购买以及取消减税计划等等,各国都稍微伸手拦了拦狂奔的美元。美国两年期国债收益率自9月21日以来首次跌至4%以下。但美元美债最终走势还是要看美联储加息政策,不过很遗憾,10月3号纽约联储主席否定了宽松预期,称紧缩仍有很长的路要走(tightening still has “significant” ways to go.)。按我认识的一位交易员的话来讲,收益率上4,很难回头。现在的行情与其说多头入场了,不如说部分空头退场了。乐观的情绪大概率会被现实的通胀数据的打回原形,即就业数据仍然持续强劲超预期,核心cpi数据始终居高不下。前者是本周五非农(10月7日),后者是下周四的9月CPI(10月13日)。这些数据都好预测,基本肯定都超预期。非农CPI市场走势无非就是两种,市场过于乐观,数据落地后浇一头冷水;市场过于悲观,数据落地后反弹。现在的行情毫无疑问就是前者了。而市场的下跌基础来源于估值太高,两个数据体现:现在纳指100的pe为19.8,而根据过去20年的三次经济衰退数据,pe平均在13倍左右。而自1929年以来,连续6个或以上月收盘价低于标普500指数12个月移动均线的股票从峰到谷的跌幅为33.1%,跌幅中值为28.5%。这相当于标普500将进入3450至3220之间的区间。这是之后再担心的事儿了,这周到不了。Q4估值下跌体现的两个方向,除了宏观数据导致的估值整体","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a30c9f7ba972db0534d11ad0b9bb20af","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/748c4b9f0a22b8405d4916d1c559e789","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dd2bccc5d6172ce3a1af9959ec70be8","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/668508725","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666486863,"gmtCreate":1665877348852,"gmtModify":1665877349788,"author":{"id":"3546824261448533","authorId":"3546824261448533","name":"牛布理","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfcb7ddd62ce97ec1760871b898cd187","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546824261448533","idStr":"3546824261448533"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"分享","listText":"分享","text":"分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666486863","repostId":"668266997","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":668266997,"gmtCreate":1664809731619,"gmtModify":1664844470100,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","idStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"10月重点之月来临,出现拐点的概率很高","htmlText":"10月重点之月来临首先祝大家国庆节快乐。国庆节期间,通常是外盘搞事情的时候,或高开或低开,反正有消息出来则波动较大。而10月第一周的消息主要在OPEC会议是否会出现减产的情况,和美股是否在美联储鸽派放风的情况下触底。鉴于10月存在诸多不确定性,因此往往这个月份在某个消息带动下见拐点的概率很高。一、美股指在标普3600点苦苦支撑的时候,美联储的二把手副主席布雷纳德终于鸽派放话了:“她承认美联储面临加息过度和加息太少的两重风险”,这与近两周联储官员一直鹰派讲话的态度,明显出现了分歧,当然最终结果如何一切要看10月公布的CPI数据。估计只要10月CPI数据不太超预期,美联储加息75基点的动力就会下降,股市自然得到喘息。技术上,在10月素来是美股的重要时间点,同时今年还是全球共振的时间点,经常是拐点出现的时间,所以需要大家密切关注。总之做了多头的朋友,买点期权对冲即可,也可以等消息明确股指反弹时,追买期货或期权。二、原油原油下周OPEC+开会,传闻减产100万桶/日,在没有其它利空消息的情况下(如伊核协议或原油增产等),对油价总有提振作用。一旦减产规模落实,油价恐怕会阶段性见底,那么75美元的油价就是未来一段时间油价的低点,想抄底的朋友要注意了。技术上,75美元就是我此前在100美元油价时,告诉大家的油价调整低点。虽然消息面上还并未完美匹配,但不得不防此处就是油价低点的高概率(假如突发利空消息,那只能重新评估)。因此想抄底油价的朋友们,就需要利用好手头上的工具了,做多期货然后买看跌期权对冲。或者小量金字塔布局远期原油期货。三、黄金影响黄金价格的重要消息在下周的CPI数据上,因此还不好断定金价是否见底。当然,下跌速度在上周帖子里说过,由于俄罗斯的军事动员令,使得军事冲突会加剧,使得金价避险情绪有所提升,跌速也有所收窄,因此下个金价重要节点前,估计金价震荡下行为主,等待下次美联储议息会","listText":"10月重点之月来临首先祝大家国庆节快乐。国庆节期间,通常是外盘搞事情的时候,或高开或低开,反正有消息出来则波动较大。而10月第一周的消息主要在OPEC会议是否会出现减产的情况,和美股是否在美联储鸽派放风的情况下触底。鉴于10月存在诸多不确定性,因此往往这个月份在某个消息带动下见拐点的概率很高。一、美股指在标普3600点苦苦支撑的时候,美联储的二把手副主席布雷纳德终于鸽派放话了:“她承认美联储面临加息过度和加息太少的两重风险”,这与近两周联储官员一直鹰派讲话的态度,明显出现了分歧,当然最终结果如何一切要看10月公布的CPI数据。估计只要10月CPI数据不太超预期,美联储加息75基点的动力就会下降,股市自然得到喘息。技术上,在10月素来是美股的重要时间点,同时今年还是全球共振的时间点,经常是拐点出现的时间,所以需要大家密切关注。总之做了多头的朋友,买点期权对冲即可,也可以等消息明确股指反弹时,追买期货或期权。二、原油原油下周OPEC+开会,传闻减产100万桶/日,在没有其它利空消息的情况下(如伊核协议或原油增产等),对油价总有提振作用。一旦减产规模落实,油价恐怕会阶段性见底,那么75美元的油价就是未来一段时间油价的低点,想抄底的朋友要注意了。技术上,75美元就是我此前在100美元油价时,告诉大家的油价调整低点。虽然消息面上还并未完美匹配,但不得不防此处就是油价低点的高概率(假如突发利空消息,那只能重新评估)。因此想抄底油价的朋友们,就需要利用好手头上的工具了,做多期货然后买看跌期权对冲。或者小量金字塔布局远期原油期货。三、黄金影响黄金价格的重要消息在下周的CPI数据上,因此还不好断定金价是否见底。当然,下跌速度在上周帖子里说过,由于俄罗斯的军事动员令,使得军事冲突会加剧,使得金价避险情绪有所提升,跌速也有所收窄,因此下个金价重要节点前,估计金价震荡下行为主,等待下次美联储议息会","text":"10月重点之月来临首先祝大家国庆节快乐。国庆节期间,通常是外盘搞事情的时候,或高开或低开,反正有消息出来则波动较大。而10月第一周的消息主要在OPEC会议是否会出现减产的情况,和美股是否在美联储鸽派放风的情况下触底。鉴于10月存在诸多不确定性,因此往往这个月份在某个消息带动下见拐点的概率很高。一、美股指在标普3600点苦苦支撑的时候,美联储的二把手副主席布雷纳德终于鸽派放话了:“她承认美联储面临加息过度和加息太少的两重风险”,这与近两周联储官员一直鹰派讲话的态度,明显出现了分歧,当然最终结果如何一切要看10月公布的CPI数据。估计只要10月CPI数据不太超预期,美联储加息75基点的动力就会下降,股市自然得到喘息。技术上,在10月素来是美股的重要时间点,同时今年还是全球共振的时间点,经常是拐点出现的时间,所以需要大家密切关注。总之做了多头的朋友,买点期权对冲即可,也可以等消息明确股指反弹时,追买期货或期权。二、原油原油下周OPEC+开会,传闻减产100万桶/日,在没有其它利空消息的情况下(如伊核协议或原油增产等),对油价总有提振作用。一旦减产规模落实,油价恐怕会阶段性见底,那么75美元的油价就是未来一段时间油价的低点,想抄底的朋友要注意了。技术上,75美元就是我此前在100美元油价时,告诉大家的油价调整低点。虽然消息面上还并未完美匹配,但不得不防此处就是油价低点的高概率(假如突发利空消息,那只能重新评估)。因此想抄底油价的朋友们,就需要利用好手头上的工具了,做多期货然后买看跌期权对冲。或者小量金字塔布局远期原油期货。三、黄金影响黄金价格的重要消息在下周的CPI数据上,因此还不好断定金价是否见底。当然,下跌速度在上周帖子里说过,由于俄罗斯的军事动员令,使得军事冲突会加剧,使得金价避险情绪有所提升,跌速也有所收窄,因此下个金价重要节点前,估计金价震荡下行为主,等待下次美联储议息会","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d1793a0394f845bbe2600ab19a8ad48","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8225104c7f46cae5f38b84a87455b5aa","width":"2229","height":"1507"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/432808ef34ca7a34ab126f4f0f67ea01","width":"2245","height":"1518"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/6682669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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、腾讯均下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 小幅高开;燃气股、啤酒股、餐饮股、内银股跌幅明显,招商银行低开近2%,餐饮股、石油股、建材水泥股普跌。另一方面,连读下跌的汽车股部分反弹,生物医药股、体育用品股多数上涨。美股市场美股周二收盘涨跌不一,纳指创两年新低。纳指与标普500连续第五个交易日下跌。市场关注美股财报、通胀数据与紧张的地缘政治形势。国际货币基金组织下调2023年全球GDP预期。英国央行行长贝利称买债救市仅为临时之举,原定本周结束,英镑兑美元从日高跳水逾200点转跌,风险情绪重挫。截至收盘,纳斯达克指数跌1.10%,道琼斯指数涨0.12%,标普500指数跌0.65%。美国科技蓝筹全线下跌,其中苹果跌1.03%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 跌2.90%、亚马逊跌1.28%、谷歌A跌0.69%、微软跌1.68%、英伟达跌0.72%。中概股周二继续出现较大跌幅,纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌3.44%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴</a>","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场10月12日讯,隔夜美股标普500指数和纳指五连跌,中概股继续走低。连跌4日的港股继续低开,恒指跌0.44%,国指跌0.42%,恒生科技指数跌0.85%,三者再度刷新调整低价。盘面上,大型科技股多数继续走低,百度跌近3%,阿里巴巴、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、腾讯均下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a 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