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我为什么来美股赚钱,就是因为膝盖不好,跪不下去。
IP属地:北京
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做交易
2021-06-10
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
反正wish是卖破烂的。买什么我不关心。谁买我也不关心。我只看好wish的物流构架。未来wish的物流才是赚钱的核心法宝。算法其次。卖的那些破烂就算不是中国假货商供货。也会是越南、印度、孟加拉、印尼、墨西哥、马来西亚这种国家供货。产业链在转移。不要以为没了大C全世界买破烂的就完蛋了。物流才是核心中的核心。wish不是亚马逊。但是伴随大通胀大萧条各国穷人越来越多。wish会超越亚马逊。
做交易
2021-03-05
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
请大家注意。现在按理论已经进入C浪中了。是否最后的超级杀跌基本快能够验证了。但大概还会强烈动荡一周多直到美联储会议。问题是请大家观察一下。这次跌幅最大的是哪个板块。反正我一直想伺机买入的餐饮、娱乐、赌场、旅游交通相关的股票跌幅并不大。很多股票甚至没怎么跌还在涨。所以这次大盘回调与去年的熔断区别很大。注意这些区别可能会为我们指一条路出来。最后C浪不要急于抄底。能暴跌就会涨回去。鲍爷讲话我看了。现在我感觉他的中心思想就一个:美元疲软快一年了,必须重新立威。美元才是美联储的基础。股市不是。债市也不是。大宗更不是。所以我建议留好手里的美元。这是弹药是翻盘的基础。保持好心态等待C浪尾部出现。收起惊恐和贪婪。去年我们能暴赚。记住今年也能。四次熔断我们都趟过来了。这点科技股修正算个屁。对不[你懂的]
做交易
2021-03-26
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
我这人不会看线看图。如果形成双底。会发生什么🤔
做交易
2022-06-16
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
着实令人失望。我期望值是每个月加息2%。连加10个月。这样才能以最快速度抄底美股和美债。
做交易
2020-11-14
$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$
今天主力都给逗出来了
做交易
2022-06-13
$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$
4块钱开仓收
做交易
2021-06-24
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
13以上买的不要。这几天跌下去给我们补仓的机会。过些日子还会涨起来。还会上下震荡。今年看到40元。未来即使纳斯达克不再抱有成长股。wish我也看到1000。想赚快钱的可以撤退了。这股不适合你们
做交易
2021-06-11
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
投机分子已经开始割肉跑路了。投资派的兄弟们还在不在?出来报个道
做交易
2021-03-18
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
我说两个我的观点 不赞同的也没必要抬杠。一乐就行。第一呢。这股票未来前景不小。美国经济面越差这网站业绩越好。所以可以长期关注。第二。我希望你们大家努力做空三天。把股价做到1美元。剩下时刻的就交给我好了。谢谢大家
做交易
2021-03-17
$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$
$挪威邮轮(NCLH)$
我心目中的收货价格。1美元。希望三天内跌到1美。我满仓杀入。然后爱涨不涨
做交易
2021-06-26
$每日优鲜(MF)$
有人在wish那边发。我就过来看看。刚看了一下数据。超大单抛售比较多。不排除故意打压股价。但目前机构在抛单。反到散户很坚挺。既然已经亏那么多了。割肉就没什么意义了。今春给我的教训就是绝不能碰中概股。对我而言。老虎打新好像也只能打中概股。美股欧股可能不鸟老虎
做交易
2021-06-08
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
你们使劲做空吧。我支持你们。我已经准备好20w了。我要收购wish51%的股票。
做交易
2022-06-10
俄乌战争。拜登推波助澜。禁止美国页岩油。拜登搞的。众投行集体唱空美国经济。拜登能不知道?众议院议长家属成了近两年美股赢家。无论多空踩点精准。😂
盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?
做交易
2021-06-09
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
坏了。升破布林中轨了
做交易
2021-02-26
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
我现在愤怒的说:不炒美股的也就算了。炒美股的去年还那么支持拜登。我算见识到真正的“爱国”投资者了(舔最臭的腚,挨最毒的打)。川普要在,安敢如此!这两天看老虎论坛有那么几块料。去年大选最活跃,为拜登摇旗呐喊,各种大骂川普。昨天哭喊着陪了几万十几万美金。看不清利害关系。眼瞎心也瞎。送一句话:活他X该!
做交易
2021-06-26
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
好家伙。本周居然站稳14元。wish总是让人感觉意外
做交易
2021-06-09
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
换手率162%。放量超过刚发行。果然是wsb那帮人干的。
做交易
2021-02-27
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
说好的利率1.5崩盘呢?刚才利率1.5。结果大盘反弹。华尔街和金融媒体可不是这么告诉我们的。说明了什么?
做交易
2020-10-28
$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$
说实话我倒希望大选前暴跌。因为川普连任应该没什么问题。大选后会回复走势。就像3月。多好的收票机会
做交易
2021-07-03
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
今天下跌还真别怪庄家。散户踩踏😂。大单特大单一直在买入。中单持平。小单一直在出货。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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[捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":680882007,"gmtCreate":1654873773511,"gmtModify":1704860764783,"author":{"id":"3546424579004635","authorId":"3546424579004635","name":"做交易","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feec768c87975d534907b560f26f68cd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546424579004635","authorIdStr":"3546424579004635"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"俄乌战争。拜登推波助澜。禁止美国页岩油。拜登搞的。众投行集体唱空美国经济。拜登能不知道?众议院议长家属成了近两年美股赢家。无论多空踩点精准。😂","listText":"俄乌战争。拜登推波助澜。禁止美国页岩油。拜登搞的。众投行集体唱空美国经济。拜登能不知道?众议院议长家属成了近两年美股赢家。无论多空踩点精准。😂","text":"俄乌战争。拜登推波助澜。禁止美国页岩油。拜登搞的。众投行集体唱空美国经济。拜登能不知道?众议院议长家属成了近两年美股赢家。无论多空踩点精准。😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680882007","repostId":"1193263764","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193263764","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点,观察市场,提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1654866446,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193263764?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-10 21:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193263764","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>CPI数据继续爆表,美股盘前转跌,中概股盘前普遍上涨。</p><p><b>5月CPI毫无意外爆表</b></p><p>全球最关注的宏观数据出来,美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高,同比提高8.6%,超过分析师预期;核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外,下图是过去7年全美汽油价格(蓝色)和CPI曲线(白色),汽油价格涨到天上,CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨,人民币下跌破6.7,这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb7a1f2148b2a0da557f54ef86da4b5\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"293\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>抛开原油和食物价格高企之外,美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%,衣服-0.8% -> +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据,但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实,二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。</p><p>看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致,让我们不得不问一个问题,美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗?或者说,加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗?答案非常明显,美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格,红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候,俄乌战争开始后,美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5,上涨幅度40%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c3bf05d9d12aa822d9336871d75d981\" tg-width=\"530\" tg-height=\"231\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>现在美联储看见高通胀,想也不想原因就去控制货币供给,似乎货币收缩以后,原油价格就会下降,食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来,全美汽油价格(白色)和美联储的隔夜利率(蓝色)放在下图,这两者有关系吗?看到汽油价格高就想到加息,就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样,美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9ca0e4b772cd6358b0c29737d2a48ba\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息,那么美国经济只能硬着陆,不可避免。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 21:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>CPI数据继续爆表,美股盘前转跌,中概股盘前普遍上涨。</p><p><b>5月CPI毫无意外爆表</b></p><p>全球最关注的宏观数据出来,美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高,同比提高8.6%,超过分析师预期;核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外,下图是过去7年全美汽油价格(蓝色)和CPI曲线(白色),汽油价格涨到天上,CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨,人民币下跌破6.7,这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb7a1f2148b2a0da557f54ef86da4b5\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"293\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>抛开原油和食物价格高企之外,美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%,衣服-0.8% -> +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据,但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实,二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。</p><p>看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致,让我们不得不问一个问题,美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗?或者说,加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗?答案非常明显,美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格,红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候,俄乌战争开始后,美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5,上涨幅度40%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c3bf05d9d12aa822d9336871d75d981\" tg-width=\"530\" tg-height=\"231\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>现在美联储看见高通胀,想也不想原因就去控制货币供给,似乎货币收缩以后,原油价格就会下降,食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来,全美汽油价格(白色)和美联储的隔夜利率(蓝色)放在下图,这两者有关系吗?看到汽油价格高就想到加息,就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样,美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9ca0e4b772cd6358b0c29737d2a48ba\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息,那么美国经济只能硬着陆,不可避免。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193263764","content_text":"CPI数据继续爆表,美股盘前转跌,中概股盘前普遍上涨。5月CPI毫无意外爆表全球最关注的宏观数据出来,美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高,同比提高8.6%,超过分析师预期;核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外,下图是过去7年全美汽油价格(蓝色)和CPI曲线(白色),汽油价格涨到天上,CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨,人民币下跌破6.7,这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。抛开原油和食物价格高企之外,美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%,衣服-0.8% -> +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据,但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实,二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致,让我们不得不问一个问题,美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗?或者说,加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗?答案非常明显,美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格,红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候,俄乌战争开始后,美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5,上涨幅度40%。现在美联储看见高通胀,想也不想原因就去控制货币供给,似乎货币收缩以后,原油价格就会下降,食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来,全美汽油价格(白色)和美联储的隔夜利率(蓝色)放在下图,这两者有关系吗?看到汽油价格高就想到加息,就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样,美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息,那么美国经济只能硬着陆,不可避免。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561622693123331","authorId":"3561622693123331","name":"old_gun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/186dd9a253fd0b299e3220a50422e728","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561622693123331","authorIdStr":"3561622693123331"},"content":"拜登禁页岩油?为啥?油价这么高,正好可以多搞搞页岩油啊","text":"拜登禁页岩油?为啥?油价这么高,正好可以多搞搞页岩油啊","html":"拜登禁页岩油?为啥?油价这么高,正好可以多搞搞页岩油啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808638314,"gmtCreate":1627572464938,"gmtModify":1627572681219,"author":{"id":"3546424579004635","authorId":"3546424579004635","name":"做交易","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feec768c87975d534907b560f26f68cd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546424579004635","authorIdStr":"3546424579004635"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>大家先别太高兴。8月才开始真的涨。现在很多资金是从A股回美股的。对中小是利好。前段时间有人说wish得罪了卖家。现在亚马逊也这么干了。而且做得比wish更狠。一封就是几十亿金额的店铺。所以得罪卖家这点并不是wish的坏处。至少不是它暴跌的理由吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>大家先别太高兴。8月才开始真的涨。现在很多资金是从A股回美股的。对中小是利好。前段时间有人说wish得罪了卖家。现在亚马逊也这么干了。而且做得比wish更狠。一封就是几十亿金额的店铺。所以得罪卖家这点并不是wish的坏处。至少不是它暴跌的理由吧","text":"$ContextLogic 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21:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193263764","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>CPI数据继续爆表,美股盘前转跌,中概股盘前普遍上涨。</p><p><b>5月CPI毫无意外爆表</b></p><p>全球最关注的宏观数据出来,美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高,同比提高8.6%,超过分析师预期;核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外,下图是过去7年全美汽油价格(蓝色)和CPI曲线(白色),汽油价格涨到天上,CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨,人民币下跌破6.7,这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb7a1f2148b2a0da557f54ef86da4b5\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"293\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>抛开原油和食物价格高企之外,美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%,衣服-0.8% -> +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据,但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实,二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。</p><p>看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致,让我们不得不问一个问题,美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗?或者说,加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗?答案非常明显,美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格,红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候,俄乌战争开始后,美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5,上涨幅度40%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c3bf05d9d12aa822d9336871d75d981\" tg-width=\"530\" tg-height=\"231\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>现在美联储看见高通胀,想也不想原因就去控制货币供给,似乎货币收缩以后,原油价格就会下降,食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来,全美汽油价格(白色)和美联储的隔夜利率(蓝色)放在下图,这两者有关系吗?看到汽油价格高就想到加息,就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样,美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9ca0e4b772cd6358b0c29737d2a48ba\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息,那么美国经济只能硬着陆,不可避免。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前观察:CPI超预期爆表,美联储已经毫无办法?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 21:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>CPI数据继续爆表,美股盘前转跌,中概股盘前普遍上涨。</p><p><b>5月CPI毫无意外爆表</b></p><p>全球最关注的宏观数据出来,美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高,同比提高8.6%,超过分析师预期;核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外,下图是过去7年全美汽油价格(蓝色)和CPI曲线(白色),汽油价格涨到天上,CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨,人民币下跌破6.7,这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb7a1f2148b2a0da557f54ef86da4b5\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"293\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>抛开原油和食物价格高企之外,美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%,衣服-0.8% -> +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据,但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实,二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。</p><p>看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致,让我们不得不问一个问题,美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗?或者说,加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗?答案非常明显,美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格,红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候,俄乌战争开始后,美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5,上涨幅度40%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c3bf05d9d12aa822d9336871d75d981\" tg-width=\"530\" tg-height=\"231\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>现在美联储看见高通胀,想也不想原因就去控制货币供给,似乎货币收缩以后,原油价格就会下降,食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来,全美汽油价格(白色)和美联储的隔夜利率(蓝色)放在下图,这两者有关系吗?看到汽油价格高就想到加息,就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样,美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9ca0e4b772cd6358b0c29737d2a48ba\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息,那么美国经济只能硬着陆,不可避免。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193263764","content_text":"CPI数据继续爆表,美股盘前转跌,中概股盘前普遍上涨。5月CPI毫无意外爆表全球最关注的宏观数据出来,美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高,同比提高8.6%,超过分析师预期;核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外,下图是过去7年全美汽油价格(蓝色)和CPI曲线(白色),汽油价格涨到天上,CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨,人民币下跌破6.7,这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。抛开原油和食物价格高企之外,美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%,衣服-0.8% -> +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据,但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实,二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致,让我们不得不问一个问题,美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗?或者说,加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗?答案非常明显,美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格,红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候,俄乌战争开始后,美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5,上涨幅度40%。现在美联储看见高通胀,想也不想原因就去控制货币供给,似乎货币收缩以后,原油价格就会下降,食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来,全美汽油价格(白色)和美联储的隔夜利率(蓝色)放在下图,这两者有关系吗?看到汽油价格高就想到加息,就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样,美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。美国原油不增产,俄乌战争打不停,原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息,那么美国经济只能硬着陆,不可避免。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561622693123331","authorId":"3561622693123331","name":"old_gun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/186dd9a253fd0b299e3220a50422e728","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3561622693123331","idStr":"3561622693123331"},"content":"拜登禁页岩油?为啥?油价这么高,正好可以多搞搞页岩油啊","text":"拜登禁页岩油?为啥?油价这么高,正好可以多搞搞页岩油啊","html":"拜登禁页岩油?为啥?油价这么高,正好可以多搞搞页岩油啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":180925397,"gmtCreate":1623170805219,"gmtModify":1623170805219,"author":{"id":"3546424579004635","authorId":"3546424579004635","name":"做交易","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feec768c87975d534907b560f26f68cd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546424579004635","idStr":"3546424579004635"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>我现在愤怒的说:不炒美股的也就算了。炒美股的去年还那么支持拜登。我算见识到真正的“爱国”投资者了(舔最臭的腚,挨最毒的打)。川普要在,安敢如此!这两天看老虎论坛有那么几块料。去年大选最活跃,为拜登摇旗呐喊,各种大骂川普。昨天哭喊着陪了几万十几万美金。看不清利害关系。眼瞎心也瞎。送一句话:活他X该!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>我现在愤怒的说:不炒美股的也就算了。炒美股的去年还那么支持拜登。我算见识到真正的“爱国”投资者了(舔最臭的腚,挨最毒的打)。川普要在,安敢如此!这两天看老虎论坛有那么几块料。去年大选最活跃,为拜登摇旗呐喊,各种大骂川普。昨天哭喊着陪了几万十几万美金。看不清利害关系。眼瞎心也瞎。送一句话:活他X该!","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$我现在愤怒的说:不炒美股的也就算了。炒美股的去年还那么支持拜登。我算见识到真正的“爱国”投资者了(舔最臭的腚,挨最毒的打)。川普要在,安敢如此!这两天看老虎论坛有那么几块料。去年大选最活跃,为拜登摇旗呐喊,各种大骂川普。昨天哭喊着陪了几万十几万美金。看不清利害关系。眼瞎心也瞎。送一句话:活他X该!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368712218","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3483014023794403","authorId":"3483014023794403","name":"华尔街泽连斯基","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e611868ed60c4c4b9b54135b80b20bda","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3483014023794403","idStr":"3483014023794403"},"content":"涨跌正常的 川普在的时候也因为疫情关系跌了很多","text":"涨跌正常的 川普在的时候也因为疫情关系跌了很多","html":"涨跌正常的 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