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瓜仔
2021-02-17
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
账户里的零头买了1股老虎 没想到收益喜人
瓜仔
2022-10-18
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
反弹感觉还有好几天
瓜仔
2022-10-10
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
做多的机构开始摆烂了吗
瓜仔
2021-08-30
$Lightspeed POS Inc(LSPD)$
老虎只有我在守护这个股的评论区了
瓜仔
2022-10-13
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$
瓜仔
2022-10-13
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
说不定下个月的cpi要破这个月的记录
瓜仔
2022-10-03
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
熟悉的剧情熟悉的套路
瓜仔
2021-09-13
$Lightspeed POS Inc(LSPD)$
挺刺激
瓜仔
2021-03-28
$Shopify Inc(SHOP)$
一个个的爆仓 堪称新时代蝴蝶效应
瓜仔
2021-10-04
$Lightspeed POS Inc(LSPD)$
杀人诛心
瓜仔
2021-08-05
$Lightspeed POS Inc(LSPD)$
守得云开见月明
瓜仔
2022-10-26
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
3612万
瓜仔
2022-10-26
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
这周第五波也不结束吗
瓜仔
2022-10-06
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
多空这波反复横跳完 又要继续跌
瓜仔
2022-10-04
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
这周的剧情我猜是先涨 然后周五又是那个熟悉的周五
瓜仔
2021-11-04
$Lightspeed POS Inc(LSPD)$
什么节奏
瓜仔
2021-10-04
华尔街跑的最快了 还演什么慌
美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了
瓜仔
2021-09-10
$Micro Focus Intl PLC(MFGP)$
结结实实过了韭菜节
瓜仔
2021-09-07
$Micro Focus Intl PLC(MFGP)$
这个票还能拿吗[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]
瓜仔
2021-08-05
$Lightspeed POS Inc(LSPD)$
给人看傻了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Inc(LSPD)$杀人诛心","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820168314","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820161576,"gmtCreate":1633359337035,"gmtModify":1633359337035,"author":{"id":"3546299775175807","authorId":"3546299775175807","name":"瓜仔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6026309264a81c44339fbf2a7287f27d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546299775175807","authorIdStr":"3546299775175807"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"华尔街跑的最快了 还演什么慌","listText":"华尔街跑的最快了 还演什么慌","text":"华尔街跑的最快了 还演什么慌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820161576","repostId":"2171166936","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2171166936","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632970599,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2171166936?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 10:56","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2171166936","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。美国债务上限谈判仍处于僵局。当地时间9月29日,美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。","content":"<p>智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。</p>\n<p>从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>首席执行官Jamie </p>\n<p>Dimon表示,该行正在为可能发生的\"潜在灾难性事件\"做准备,纽约联邦储备银行行长John </p>\n<p>Williams也警告称,如果债务上限问题找不到解决方案,可能会引发负面市场反应。</p>\n<p>BMO Global Asset Management高级投资策略师Jon Adams表示,\"未来几周立法日程非常紧凑,短期内存在重大尾部风险。\" </p>\n<p>“我们的观点是,冷静的头脑最终会占上风。”</p>\n<p>美国债务上限谈判仍处于僵局。当地时间9月29日,美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。但共和党人将有可能在参议院阻止该法案通过。美国财政部长耶伦敦促国会在10月18日之前采取行动,避免对经济造成“严重伤害”。</p>\n<p>“政府关门没什么大不了的,但如果他们继续玩债务上限的游戏,可能会造成大问题,”并导致整个金融市场的大幅抛售, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHW\">嘉信理财</a>交易和衍生品部门总经理Randy </p>\n<p>Frederick表示。</p>\n<p>国会未能及时采取行动防止政府关门或债务违约的可能性越来越大,一些人认为这是导致近几天股市走软的原因之一。</p>\n<p>\"很难知道市场是否真的在乎债务上限,\" 嘉信理财首席固定收益策略师Kathy Jones表示。 “如果你比较理性,你可能不会,因为问题总会解决。 </p>\n<p>另一方面,这是一个你不能忽视的风险。”</p>\n<p>华尔街缺乏紧迫感的一个迹象是,标准普尔500指数周三微涨0.2%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>分析师Michelle </p>\n<p>Wan周二写道,到目前为止,投资者对即将到来的最后期限并不在意,他们相信官员们最终会像以往那样达成协议以避免债务违约。</p>\n<p>然而,与债务上限相关的紧张情绪已经在国库券市场上表现出来。Tallbacken Capital Advisors首席执行官Michael </p>\n<p>Purves周一在一份报告中称,三个月期国债价格反映出市场存在紧张情绪,这个券种原本被认为不太会像一个月期国债那样受到违约风险影响。不过,Purves表示,市场紧张情绪还未像2011、2013及2015年那样强烈。</p>\n<p>目前,一个月期国库券收益率为0.07%,高于三个月期国库券收益率0.04%。 今年年初,两者的收益率都在0.08%左右。</p>\n<p>投资组合经理通常会避免持有存在违约风险的票据,即使违约可能性非常低。这可能导致一些债券的收益率高于较长期限的债券,这是一种不太寻常的现象,因为收益率通常会随着期限拉长而上升。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd54e342f75579e181da2772f54d4d1c\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"546\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">蒙特利尔银行</a>分析师表示,由于投资者的注意力仍集中在华盛顿,短期收益率的扭曲现象“可能会持续下去,直至达成协议。\"</p>\n<p>另一个担忧迹象是,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TD\">道明银行</a>的分析师指出,交投清淡的美国信用违约互换(cds)急剧增加。</p>\n<p>过去的危机动摇了市场——但只是暂时的。2011 年技术性违约以及随后美国债务评级被下调,导致标普 500 </p>\n<p>指数下挫近20%,当债务上限方案通过后,美股指数逐渐回暖。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46fd3893ebd48e37925fd1a302c69f73\" tg-width=\"1028\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>CFRA Research的首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示,2013年另一次延长债务上限谈判导致标普500指数下跌5.8%,但市场对2016年或2018年类似的最后期限几乎没有反应,因为华尔街开始认为危机是人为制造的。</p>\n<p>追踪货币市场的投资研究公司Crane Data创始人Peter Crane表示,货币市场等敏感市场的恐慌程度并未上升。</p>\n<p>Crane表示:“他们可能会到最后一分钟才采取行动,但大家都知道双方都在虚张声势。”</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 10:56 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/568620.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。\n从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。 摩根大通首席执行官Jamie \nDimon表示,该行正在为可能发生的\"潜在灾难性事件\"做准备,纽约联邦储备银行行长John \nWilliams也警告称,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/568620.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a106188796ec9abb78b8a3cfbae334a5","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/568620.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2171166936","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。\n从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。 摩根大通首席执行官Jamie \nDimon表示,该行正在为可能发生的\"潜在灾难性事件\"做准备,纽约联邦储备银行行长John \nWilliams也警告称,如果债务上限问题找不到解决方案,可能会引发负面市场反应。\nBMO Global Asset Management高级投资策略师Jon Adams表示,\"未来几周立法日程非常紧凑,短期内存在重大尾部风险。\" \n“我们的观点是,冷静的头脑最终会占上风。”\n美国债务上限谈判仍处于僵局。当地时间9月29日,美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。但共和党人将有可能在参议院阻止该法案通过。美国财政部长耶伦敦促国会在10月18日之前采取行动,避免对经济造成“严重伤害”。\n“政府关门没什么大不了的,但如果他们继续玩债务上限的游戏,可能会造成大问题,”并导致整个金融市场的大幅抛售, 嘉信理财交易和衍生品部门总经理Randy \nFrederick表示。\n国会未能及时采取行动防止政府关门或债务违约的可能性越来越大,一些人认为这是导致近几天股市走软的原因之一。\n\"很难知道市场是否真的在乎债务上限,\" 嘉信理财首席固定收益策略师Kathy Jones表示。 “如果你比较理性,你可能不会,因为问题总会解决。 \n另一方面,这是一个你不能忽视的风险。”\n华尔街缺乏紧迫感的一个迹象是,标准普尔500指数周三微涨0.2%。\n富国银行分析师Michelle \nWan周二写道,到目前为止,投资者对即将到来的最后期限并不在意,他们相信官员们最终会像以往那样达成协议以避免债务违约。\n然而,与债务上限相关的紧张情绪已经在国库券市场上表现出来。Tallbacken Capital Advisors首席执行官Michael \nPurves周一在一份报告中称,三个月期国债价格反映出市场存在紧张情绪,这个券种原本被认为不太会像一个月期国债那样受到违约风险影响。不过,Purves表示,市场紧张情绪还未像2011、2013及2015年那样强烈。\n目前,一个月期国库券收益率为0.07%,高于三个月期国库券收益率0.04%。 今年年初,两者的收益率都在0.08%左右。\n投资组合经理通常会避免持有存在违约风险的票据,即使违约可能性非常低。这可能导致一些债券的收益率高于较长期限的债券,这是一种不太寻常的现象,因为收益率通常会随着期限拉长而上升。\n\n蒙特利尔银行分析师表示,由于投资者的注意力仍集中在华盛顿,短期收益率的扭曲现象“可能会持续下去,直至达成协议。\"\n另一个担忧迹象是,道明银行的分析师指出,交投清淡的美国信用违约互换(cds)急剧增加。\n过去的危机动摇了市场——但只是暂时的。2011 年技术性违约以及随后美国债务评级被下调,导致标普 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还演什么慌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820161576","repostId":"2171166936","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2171166936","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632970599,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2171166936?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 10:56","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2171166936","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。美国债务上限谈判仍处于僵局。当地时间9月29日,美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。","content":"<p>智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。</p>\n<p>从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>首席执行官Jamie </p>\n<p>Dimon表示,该行正在为可能发生的\"潜在灾难性事件\"做准备,纽约联邦储备银行行长John </p>\n<p>Williams也警告称,如果债务上限问题找不到解决方案,可能会引发负面市场反应。</p>\n<p>BMO Global Asset Management高级投资策略师Jon Adams表示,\"未来几周立法日程非常紧凑,短期内存在重大尾部风险。\" </p>\n<p>“我们的观点是,冷静的头脑最终会占上风。”</p>\n<p>美国债务上限谈判仍处于僵局。当地时间9月29日,美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。但共和党人将有可能在参议院阻止该法案通过。美国财政部长耶伦敦促国会在10月18日之前采取行动,避免对经济造成“严重伤害”。</p>\n<p>“政府关门没什么大不了的,但如果他们继续玩债务上限的游戏,可能会造成大问题,”并导致整个金融市场的大幅抛售, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHW\">嘉信理财</a>交易和衍生品部门总经理Randy </p>\n<p>Frederick表示。</p>\n<p>国会未能及时采取行动防止政府关门或债务违约的可能性越来越大,一些人认为这是导致近几天股市走软的原因之一。</p>\n<p>\"很难知道市场是否真的在乎债务上限,\" 嘉信理财首席固定收益策略师Kathy Jones表示。 “如果你比较理性,你可能不会,因为问题总会解决。 </p>\n<p>另一方面,这是一个你不能忽视的风险。”</p>\n<p>华尔街缺乏紧迫感的一个迹象是,标准普尔500指数周三微涨0.2%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>分析师Michelle </p>\n<p>Wan周二写道,到目前为止,投资者对即将到来的最后期限并不在意,他们相信官员们最终会像以往那样达成协议以避免债务违约。</p>\n<p>然而,与债务上限相关的紧张情绪已经在国库券市场上表现出来。Tallbacken Capital Advisors首席执行官Michael </p>\n<p>Purves周一在一份报告中称,三个月期国债价格反映出市场存在紧张情绪,这个券种原本被认为不太会像一个月期国债那样受到违约风险影响。不过,Purves表示,市场紧张情绪还未像2011、2013及2015年那样强烈。</p>\n<p>目前,一个月期国库券收益率为0.07%,高于三个月期国库券收益率0.04%。 今年年初,两者的收益率都在0.08%左右。</p>\n<p>投资组合经理通常会避免持有存在违约风险的票据,即使违约可能性非常低。这可能导致一些债券的收益率高于较长期限的债券,这是一种不太寻常的现象,因为收益率通常会随着期限拉长而上升。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd54e342f75579e181da2772f54d4d1c\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"546\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">蒙特利尔银行</a>分析师表示,由于投资者的注意力仍集中在华盛顿,短期收益率的扭曲现象“可能会持续下去,直至达成协议。\"</p>\n<p>另一个担忧迹象是,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TD\">道明银行</a>的分析师指出,交投清淡的美国信用违约互换(cds)急剧增加。</p>\n<p>过去的危机动摇了市场——但只是暂时的。2011 年技术性违约以及随后美国债务评级被下调,导致标普 500 </p>\n<p>指数下挫近20%,当债务上限方案通过后,美股指数逐渐回暖。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46fd3893ebd48e37925fd1a302c69f73\" tg-width=\"1028\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>CFRA Research的首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示,2013年另一次延长债务上限谈判导致标普500指数下跌5.8%,但市场对2016年或2018年类似的最后期限几乎没有反应,因为华尔街开始认为危机是人为制造的。</p>\n<p>追踪货币市场的投资研究公司Crane Data创始人Peter Crane表示,货币市场等敏感市场的恐慌程度并未上升。</p>\n<p>Crane表示:“他们可能会到最后一分钟才采取行动,但大家都知道双方都在虚张声势。”</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国债务上限危机发酵,华尔街开始慌了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 10:56 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/568620.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。\n从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。 摩根大通首席执行官Jamie \nDimon表示,该行正在为可能发生的\"潜在灾难性事件\"做准备,纽约联邦储备银行行长John \nWilliams也警告称,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/568620.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a106188796ec9abb78b8a3cfbae334a5","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/568620.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2171166936","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉,如果美国国会不就债务上限采取行动,爆发财政危机的可能性虽小但也越来越大,这引起了美国投资者的关注,并影响到某些资产的价格,不过很少有人认为美国最终会违约。\n从政策制定者到华尔街银行家,都发出了有关谈判拖到最后一刻的风险的警告。 摩根大通首席执行官Jamie \nDimon表示,该行正在为可能发生的\"潜在灾难性事件\"做准备,纽约联邦储备银行行长John \nWilliams也警告称,如果债务上限问题找不到解决方案,可能会引发负面市场反应。\nBMO Global Asset Management高级投资策略师Jon Adams表示,\"未来几周立法日程非常紧凑,短期内存在重大尾部风险。\" \n“我们的观点是,冷静的头脑最终会占上风。”\n美国债务上限谈判仍处于僵局。当地时间9月29日,美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。但共和党人将有可能在参议院阻止该法案通过。美国财政部长耶伦敦促国会在10月18日之前采取行动,避免对经济造成“严重伤害”。\n“政府关门没什么大不了的,但如果他们继续玩债务上限的游戏,可能会造成大问题,”并导致整个金融市场的大幅抛售, 嘉信理财交易和衍生品部门总经理Randy \nFrederick表示。\n国会未能及时采取行动防止政府关门或债务违约的可能性越来越大,一些人认为这是导致近几天股市走软的原因之一。\n\"很难知道市场是否真的在乎债务上限,\" 嘉信理财首席固定收益策略师Kathy Jones表示。 “如果你比较理性,你可能不会,因为问题总会解决。 \n另一方面,这是一个你不能忽视的风险。”\n华尔街缺乏紧迫感的一个迹象是,标准普尔500指数周三微涨0.2%。\n富国银行分析师Michelle \nWan周二写道,到目前为止,投资者对即将到来的最后期限并不在意,他们相信官员们最终会像以往那样达成协议以避免债务违约。\n然而,与债务上限相关的紧张情绪已经在国库券市场上表现出来。Tallbacken Capital Advisors首席执行官Michael \nPurves周一在一份报告中称,三个月期国债价格反映出市场存在紧张情绪,这个券种原本被认为不太会像一个月期国债那样受到违约风险影响。不过,Purves表示,市场紧张情绪还未像2011、2013及2015年那样强烈。\n目前,一个月期国库券收益率为0.07%,高于三个月期国库券收益率0.04%。 今年年初,两者的收益率都在0.08%左右。\n投资组合经理通常会避免持有存在违约风险的票据,即使违约可能性非常低。这可能导致一些债券的收益率高于较长期限的债券,这是一种不太寻常的现象,因为收益率通常会随着期限拉长而上升。\n\n蒙特利尔银行分析师表示,由于投资者的注意力仍集中在华盛顿,短期收益率的扭曲现象“可能会持续下去,直至达成协议。\"\n另一个担忧迹象是,道明银行的分析师指出,交投清淡的美国信用违约互换(cds)急剧增加。\n过去的危机动摇了市场——但只是暂时的。2011 年技术性违约以及随后美国债务评级被下调,导致标普 500 \n指数下挫近20%,当债务上限方案通过后,美股指数逐渐回暖。\n\nCFRA Research的首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示,2013年另一次延长债务上限谈判导致标普500指数下跌5.8%,但市场对2016年或2018年类似的最后期限几乎没有反应,因为华尔街开始认为危机是人为制造的。\n追踪货币市场的投资研究公司Crane Data创始人Peter Crane表示,货币市场等敏感市场的恐慌程度并未上升。\nCrane表示:“他们可能会到最后一分钟才采取行动,但大家都知道双方都在虚张声势。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":883298123,"gmtCreate":1631241557262,"gmtModify":1631241557262,"author":{"id":"3546299775175807","authorId":"3546299775175807","name":"瓜仔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6026309264a81c44339fbf2a7287f27d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546299775175807","authorIdStr":"3546299775175807"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFGP\">$Micro Focus Intl PLC(MFGP)$</a>结结实实过了韭菜节","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFGP\">$Micro Focus Intl PLC(MFGP)$</a>结结实实过了韭菜节","text":"$Micro Focus Intl 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