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没有做投机者的天分
2020-12-18
陈老师,是成功的高管、起点很高、也很江湖。但这种江湖本身,凸显了对话中矛盾的地方:1、疫情对于在线教育机构是重大利好,怎么会成为问题?如果不是这重大利好背后的用户增长,恐怕跟谁学的数据更难看。2、跟谁学上市的时候,没有重点推高徒课堂,高途课堂我们见到推广营销也是今年初的事情。3、名师逻辑,如果说名师是霍客重要条件。那么跟谁学的名师比其他家、比学而思好在哪里?细心的人可以比较一下,今年初“跟谁学、高途课堂”,其产品的运营内容,可见其的名师介绍是什么、有哪些名师?3、上市前默默低成获客,高效率转化,可谓是营销届传奇!回顾过去20年我们见过的各种营销传奇都被业界传送,比如小米的参与感,超级符号、私域流量,balbala。可一直想不明白、也可不懂的跟谁学的营销神操作是什么?在深一步,去年的营销独家秘籍管用,今年就不管用了?就变烧钱,砸电视广告了。就变成各种娱乐节目中的植入广告了?这个营销转化效率,业内是可以算的出来的。难道这些效果低下的品牌广告是为了给SEC看的?给SEC一个建议:可以参考其第三方用户数据增长的数据与收入对比,就大概可以看出问题了。以上无法证明跟谁学以前是否做假?因为模式、业务的原因,主要很难证明。希望各位空头注意避险。从长期看,陈老师的故事,大概率还是会继续讲下去,毕竟“取证”这个事还是有很高难度的,现在也可以亏损了。瑞幸就不幸很多,线下一个一个数总是跑不掉的。从投资者的角度,至少股价会回归到一个合理的点位,疫情不在了,红利没有了,竞争激烈了,开始烧钱了,模式大家都一样了,股价可以跌了。
抱歉,原内容已删除
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-19
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
其实喝一杯咖啡有多少人是必需品呢?星巴克30块的咖啡,有15块是要找个地方说事,有5块是因为手里拿着那个品牌,10块钱是真渴了。瑞幸有地方吗?有品牌吗?能装不?我认为不能,能解渴,所以10块一杯。
没有做投机者的天分
2020-05-21
$跟谁学(GSX)$
做假的水平真是比瑞幸差很多,就是占了在线产品不容易统计的便宜。但假就是假!没法用商业逻辑自圆其说!底层逻辑有很大问题!好歹你做假烧烧钱也行!也不见你打广告烧钱,表面做假都懒得做了,水平低啊……
没有做投机者的天分
2020-08-19
$跟谁学(GSX)$
造假这个事儿,不必讨论。逻辑、数据上我信!但逻辑上推到出的造假==股价下跌吗?目前看不等于,从最近低点20到130,好好的上了一课!用某看多跟谁学大企业家的话:有那么多赚钱机会,何必和自己较劲呢?
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-19
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
歪歪一下,这妖股,是不是应该顺着庄稼的思路,你们越是想空,负面新闻越多,我庄稼偏做多!一把梭哈你们小空头
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-18
$Illumina(ILMN)$
基因龙头,坚持看多
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-15
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
这货都被诉讼欺诈了,股票还涨?
没有做投机者的天分
2020-01-30
$恩智浦(NXPI)$
坚持看多,半年内200目标
没有做投机者的天分
2020-01-30
$跟谁学(GSX)$
坚决做空
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-05
$跟谁学(GSX)$
个人浅见:公司市场逻辑确实有问题,但资本操作层面还没有到大空头时机,给空头提个醒
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-18
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
空它
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-05
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
若要让其亡,必先让其狂
没有做投机者的天分
2020-02-03
估计财报比预期好一点
@yode:
$百度(BIDU)$
百度是有什么消息吗
没有做投机者的天分
2020-01-30
$好未来(TAL)$
坚决做空
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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