也好也好的个人主页 - 老虎社区

也好也好

也好也好

别输给了自己

IP属地：海外

79关注

1粉丝

4主题

0勋章

2021-12-01

$虎牙(HUYA)$ggg

2021-11-05

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@深潜atom:观察阿里之变，双11是最佳窗口

2021-10-26

老虎发威了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-16

[得意] [惊吓]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-05

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-12

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

直播：老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇

2021-06-12

$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$雄起了

2021-06-11

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎活动:【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金

2021-06-10

$爱奇艺(IQ)$有起色了

2021-06-07

$声网(API)$估计是教育业连累的

2021-06-05

$爱奇艺(IQ)$抱团取暖过寒冬

2021-06-04

$老虎证券(TIGR)$都上车吧

2021-06-04

怎一个残字了得

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-03

$和铂医药-B(02142)$有起色了

2021-06-02

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-31

$和铂医药-B(02142)$要雄起？

2021-05-28

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@丫丫港股圈:VR的“狼来了”的故事终于成真了？

2021-05-06

都跑不了

@走马财经:怎么看美团被反垄断立案调查

2021-05-06

$爱奇艺(IQ)$屋漏偏逢连夜雨

2021-04-29

$爱奇艺(IQ)$稳住！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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，双11是最佳窗口","htmlText":"本文系深潜atom第369篇原创作品 2021年的双11如期来临，经历了十三年的双11早已成为全民消费的节日，但在今年却有了更多特殊的意味。 反垄断之后，中国互联网行业面临新变局。互联互通新政的出台，也让外界对互联网公司之间的竞合有新的期待。 阿里巴巴在此前一年里也经历风波。今年的双11有什么变化？这正是观察阿里巴巴在新环境下新的战略、策略的一扇窗口。 01 轻双11硝烟渐淡 其实观察今年双11，很多人都有一个明显感受，就是各家公司往年铺天盖地的战报明显少了很多，甚至10月20日天猫双11预售开启当天，完全没有天猫官方销量增长数据发布。 相比之下，反而是平台上主播、品牌格外活跃，特别是10月20日预售当天第一天登上热搜的“带货一哥”李佳琦、“带货一姐”薇娅，其淘宝直播间观看人数各自都突破了2亿，根据三方机构数据，两人的直播间销售额合计超过了200亿元。 此外，各大品牌也在跃跃欲试，从小米、薇诺娜、科沃斯、李宁这样的传统大牌，再到添可、夸迪、蕉内这样的新品牌，也都通过各种渠道，主动发布了预售期的销售情况，数额依然可观，展示了双11的爆发力。 其实从各大品牌的表现，以及两大淘宝主播的预售三方数据来看，今年双11的预售增长还是非常可观的。官方战报变少了，其实也是一种信号，阿里在秀数据这件事上，比以往的姿态更低了，增长也不再是双十一那个唯一最重要的目标。 △10月20日淘宝主播销售数据 今年双十一，阿里很突出的一个做法，是加大了对消费者和商家体验的关注度。比如，很多人注意到了今年预售提前4个小时，消费者不必再熬夜。其实仔细研究，我们还会发现今年天猫双11的全场优惠券改成了“满200减30”，满减的门槛明显低于前几年的300和400，方便消费者凑单。这些变化表面看并不算大，却十分贴心。 这种贴心其实也体现在商家侧，有人做过梳理，4月份反垄断处罚靴子落地之后，淘宝天猫陆续推出20多项给","listText":"本文系深潜atom第369篇原创作品 2021年的双11如期来临，经历了十三年的双11早已成为全民消费的节日，但在今年却有了更多特殊的意味。 反垄断之后，中国互联网行业面临新变局。互联互通新政的出台，也让外界对互联网公司之间的竞合有新的期待。 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黄铮刚宣布要去摸十年后的石头，字节跳动CEO张一鸣也宣布辞任，把管理工作丢给梁汝波，一如当年写了一半的系统。 有的人觉得这是阴谋论，这些互联网大佬不想步马云后尘，一个个都激流勇退。 但是我不这样认为。 对于张一鸣来说，继续担任CEO，面对的是无止境的汇报、审批、决策，这种工作对于目前的字节跳动来说，是必须的，但是能给现在的字节跳动带来指数级增长吗？未必。 如今字节跳动这般成功，也不是靠山寨微信得来的。与其在买菜团购这些东西上面卷，还不如去看看下一个风口。 中国随着基础设施越来越完善，又有巨大的工程师红利，无数的创新即将爆发，比如说生物科技，比如说人工智能，比如说太空旅行。 作为投资人，要做伟大的投资，也应该向前看。不过，相比起太空旅行这些十年后的石头，最近一个值得看的，是虚拟现实。 Metaverse Metaverse之前又火了一阵。 Metaverse，中文翻译为元宇宙，由科幻作家Neal Stephenson于1992年在其著作《雪崩》中首次提出。这个单词由两个英文单词\"meta\"和\"universe\"组成的衍生词，意思是多元宇宙或者多元空间，和虚拟现实概念异曲同工。 HBO的电视剧《西部世界》就是一个Metaverse的经典例子。整个西部世界就是一个开放的乐园，你可以和朋友在其中自由探索，与AI创造的仿生人NPC互动，体验即兴剧情，沉浸在一个和现实完全不一样的虚拟世界中。 除了电视剧，我们的游戏也开始进入虚拟世界模式。 2017年的全球年度最佳游戏属于任天堂的《塞尔达传说：旷野之息》。在这个游戏中，玩家不需要打怪，不需要刷任务，只需要尽情的去探索这个虚拟世界。我们熟悉的游戏公司米哈游也推出了类似的开放世界类游戏 ——《原神》，同样大获成功。 而《旷野之息》和《原神》的成功，也许仅仅是一个开始。 今年，世界第一大IP宝可梦也将","listText":"最近，大型科技公司的CEO们都卷不动了。 黄铮刚宣布要去摸十年后的石头，字节跳动CEO张一鸣也宣布辞任，把管理工作丢给梁汝波，一如当年写了一半的系统。 有的人觉得这是阴谋论，这些互联网大佬不想步马云后尘，一个个都激流勇退。 但是我不这样认为。 对于张一鸣来说，继续担任CEO，面对的是无止境的汇报、审批、决策，这种工作对于目前的字节跳动来说，是必须的，但是能给现在的字节跳动带来指数级增长吗？未必。 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Metaverse之前又火了一阵。 Metaverse，中文翻译为元宇宙，由科幻作家Neal Stephenson于1992年在其著作《雪崩》中首次提出。这个单词由两个英文单词\"meta\"和\"universe\"组成的衍生词，意思是多元宇宙或者多元空间，和虚拟现实概念异曲同工。 HBO的电视剧《西部世界》就是一个Metaverse的经典例子。整个西部世界就是一个开放的乐园，你可以和朋友在其中自由探索，与AI创造的仿生人NPC互动，体验即兴剧情，沉浸在一个和现实完全不一样的虚拟世界中。 除了电视剧，我们的游戏也开始进入虚拟世界模式。 2017年的全球年度最佳游戏属于任天堂的《塞尔达传说：旷野之息》。在这个游戏中，玩家不需要打怪，不需要刷任务，只需要尽情的去探索这个虚拟世界。我们熟悉的游戏公司米哈游也推出了类似的开放世界类游戏 ——《原神》，同样大获成功。 而《旷野之息》和《原神》的成功，也许仅仅是一个开始。 今年，世界第一大IP宝可梦也将","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/692fdc11813e4574846684965cd14334","width":"600","height":"338"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0f04da8e04a4fa9a8deadd5617b6a64","width":"51","height":"57"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffba399f42db495d998efd10cdc81d34","width":"584","height":"330"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138210499","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":18,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105114070,"gmtCreate":1620277401190,"gmtModify":1620277401190,"author":{"id":"3514170243056000","authorId":"3514170243056000","name":"也好也好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/193e18d34de4e82ea7bbdd54b0edf5ba","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514170243056000","authorIdStr":"3514170243056000"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"都跑不了","listText":"都跑不了","text":"都跑不了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105114070","repostId":"374652923","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":374652923,"gmtCreate":1619445620762,"gmtModify":1619449203296,"author":{"id":"3555926517215344","authorId":"3555926517215344","name":"走马财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/405de4c75e3b97b2d778531943cbe586","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555926517215344","authorIdStr":"3555926517215344"},"themes":[],"title":"怎么看美团被反垄断立案调查","htmlText":"4月26日港股收盘后，市场传出消息，美团被国家市场监督管理总局立案调查，因其此前涉嫌“二选一”垄断行为被举报。可能有人提前获取了消息，美团早盘大幅高开，但高开低走，收盘小跌。美团官方很快做出回应：今日，美团接到国家市场监管总局通知，依法对美团涉嫌垄断行为立案调查。公司将积极配合监管部门调查，进一步提升业务合规管理水平，保障用户以及各方主体合法权益，促进行业长期健康发展，切实履行社会责任。目前公司各项业务正常运行。事情大致就是阿里巴巴被调查的翻版。本文将从结果预期、对应影响以及如何解读三个方面来分析。结果预期乐观预期，美团的反垄断调查结果可能在罚款数千万-10亿之间。中性预期，美团反垄断调查结果可能在罚款10-39亿之间。悲观预期，美团反垄断调查结果可能在罚款39-100亿之间。先说说不同预期的原因。根据阿里巴巴的处罚结果，公告给出的解释是按照阿里2019年营收的4%做出处罚，而处罚标准是4%-10%。美团2019年总营收975亿，如果按照4%的比例计算，结果是39亿，如果按照10%计算，结果是97.5亿，接近100亿。乐观预期的理由是，阿里巴巴的营收，是商家的广告费和佣金，不含快递运输成本，快递费用是商家自己和快递公司结算的，因此阿里巴巴虽然很赚钱，但是它的2019年变现率也不过3.74%。美团外卖的营收，是包含了骑手的送餐费的，这笔费用类似于实物电商中的快递费，因为外卖时效性的原因，平台向商家收取后再分配给骑手更合理。根据2019年美团财报，该部分平均单笔订单分配给骑手的费用大约5元，约占美团外卖营收的70%。2019年美团外卖的变现率是14%，抛开分配给骑手的送餐费后，实际上的变现率也不过4%左右，考虑到外卖订单单均价格远低于阿里的实物电商，这个变现率其实是不高的。如果我们把美团的营收做这样一个拆解，就会发现单纯根据阿里的4%去参考并不公平，真正的计算方式应该是将外卖营","listText":"4月26日港股收盘后，市场传出消息，美团被国家市场监督管理总局立案调查，因其此前涉嫌“二选一”垄断行为被举报。可能有人提前获取了消息，美团早盘大幅高开，但高开低走，收盘小跌。美团官方很快做出回应：今日，美团接到国家市场监管总局通知，依法对美团涉嫌垄断行为立案调查。公司将积极配合监管部门调查，进一步提升业务合规管理水平，保障用户以及各方主体合法权益，促进行业长期健康发展，切实履行社会责任。目前公司各项业务正常运行。事情大致就是阿里巴巴被调查的翻版。本文将从结果预期、对应影响以及如何解读三个方面来分析。结果预期乐观预期，美团的反垄断调查结果可能在罚款数千万-10亿之间。中性预期，美团反垄断调查结果可能在罚款10-39亿之间。悲观预期，美团反垄断调查结果可能在罚款39-100亿之间。先说说不同预期的原因。根据阿里巴巴的处罚结果，公告给出的解释是按照阿里2019年营收的4%做出处罚，而处罚标准是4%-10%。美团2019年总营收975亿，如果按照4%的比例计算，结果是39亿，如果按照10%计算，结果是97.5亿，接近100亿。乐观预期的理由是，阿里巴巴的营收，是商家的广告费和佣金，不含快递运输成本，快递费用是商家自己和快递公司结算的，因此阿里巴巴虽然很赚钱，但是它的2019年变现率也不过3.74%。美团外卖的营收，是包含了骑手的送餐费的，这笔费用类似于实物电商中的快递费，因为外卖时效性的原因，平台向商家收取后再分配给骑手更合理。根据2019年美团财报，该部分平均单笔订单分配给骑手的费用大约5元，约占美团外卖营收的70%。2019年美团外卖的变现率是14%，抛开分配给骑手的送餐费后，实际上的变现率也不过4%左右，考虑到外卖订单单均价格远低于阿里的实物电商，这个变现率其实是不高的。如果我们把美团的营收做这样一个拆解，就会发现单纯根据阿里的4%去参考并不公平，真正的计算方式应该是将外卖营","text":"4月26日港股收盘后，市场传出消息，美团被国家市场监督管理总局立案调查，因其此前涉嫌“二选一”垄断行为被举报。可能有人提前获取了消息，美团早盘大幅高开，但高开低走，收盘小跌。美团官方很快做出回应：今日，美团接到国家市场监管总局通知，依法对美团涉嫌垄断行为立案调查。公司将积极配合监管部门调查，进一步提升业务合规管理水平，保障用户以及各方主体合法权益，促进行业长期健康发展，切实履行社会责任。目前公司各项业务正常运行。事情大致就是阿里巴巴被调查的翻版。本文将从结果预期、对应影响以及如何解读三个方面来分析。结果预期乐观预期，美团的反垄断调查结果可能在罚款数千万-10亿之间。中性预期，美团反垄断调查结果可能在罚款10-39亿之间。悲观预期，美团反垄断调查结果可能在罚款39-100亿之间。先说说不同预期的原因。根据阿里巴巴的处罚结果，公告给出的解释是按照阿里2019年营收的4%做出处罚，而处罚标准是4%-10%。美团2019年总营收975亿，如果按照4%的比例计算，结果是39亿，如果按照10%计算，结果是97.5亿，接近100亿。乐观预期的理由是，阿里巴巴的营收，是商家的广告费和佣金，不含快递运输成本，快递费用是商家自己和快递公司结算的，因此阿里巴巴虽然很赚钱，但是它的2019年变现率也不过3.74%。美团外卖的营收，是包含了骑手的送餐费的，这笔费用类似于实物电商中的快递费，因为外卖时效性的原因，平台向商家收取后再分配给骑手更合理。根据2019年美团财报，该部分平均单笔订单分配给骑手的费用大约5元，约占美团外卖营收的70%。2019年美团外卖的变现率是14%，抛开分配给骑手的送餐费后，实际上的变现率也不过4%左右，考虑到外卖订单单均价格远低于阿里的实物电商，这个变现率其实是不高的。如果我们把美团的营收做这样一个拆解，就会发现单纯根据阿里的4%去参考并不公平，真正的计算方式应该是将外卖营","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfea6fc65d70be8b5f0896579d3f8f41","width":"688","height":"353"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac0092102701fa01989f86a8a2e2edc","width":"550","height":"335"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49c4a80e14cee503caca66125689d35a","width":"678","height":"644"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374652923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105115886,"gmtCreate":1620277327745,"gmtModify":1620277327745,"author":{"id":"3514170243056000","authorId":"351417024305600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