诗雨影的个人主页 - 老虎社区

诗雨影

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IP属地：北京

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4主题

0勋章

2022-10-28

$快手-W(01024)$**了，破股票

2021-02-19

原来最近一直涨是因为这条消息

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-07-07

$蔚来(NIO)$哎

2020-05-22

$跟谁学(GSX)$跟谁学的辅导员显示每个老师带200个左右的学生，因为我女朋友就是做这一行业的，他们公司带的学生都不超过100人，就这每天都很忙，所以跟谁学有一半以上的学生都是假的

2020-05-19

$拼多多(PDD)$去你大爷的拼多多，我就不信你不会跌

2020-03-19

$达美航空(DAL)$没有最低，只有更低

2020-03-06

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

巴菲特抄底航空股，普通投资者能“抄作业”吗

2020-02-26

$微博(WB)$现在空肯定会跌的

2020-02-25

$蔚来(NIO)$我以为我看错了

2020-02-25

$蔚来(NIO)$实在没钱，有钱的话空他

2020-02-24

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$B站多会发财报

2020-02-18

$跟谁学(GSX)$我想知道他的利润是投资收益，还是经营收益

2020-02-11

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$本来21的成本，昨晚满仓加杠杆补到23.58了。以前没太注意哔站的价值，现在发现哔站是段视频+长视频+直播的风口

2020-02-11

$跟谁学(GSX)$扎心了，昨天做空卖了

2020-02-07

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 最怕蜗牛爬山了，不知道多会是这个头

2020-02-07

$蔚来(NIO)$ 这1亿美元的融资，人家都可以随时换算成每股3美元的股票价值，证明蔚来现在真的太难了

2020-02-06

$跟谁学(GSX)$为何不跌呢

2020-02-01

$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ 感觉金融危机要来了

2020-01-17

$老虎证券(TIGR)$这股活过来了

2020-01-17

$老虎证券(TIGR)$这股活了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>哎","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$哎","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0045c1615770a39ac5c975935748c88a","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/940761482","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3545729114203451","authorId":"3545729114203451","name":"Johnny_Q_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/976ec5ab86f95a05280d0bb413b101f2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3545729114203451","authorIdStr":"3545729114203451"},"content":"抓紧时机入金吧，我这几天准备走入金流程了。下半年看好蔚来。错过了特斯拉，不能再错过蔚来了。","text":"抓紧时机入金吧，我这几天准备走入金流程了。下半年看好蔚来。错过了特斯拉，不能再错过蔚来了。","html":"抓紧时机入金吧，我这几天准备走入金流程了。下半年看好蔚来。错过了特斯拉，不能再错过蔚来了。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":953329658,"gmtCreate":1590138529374,"gmtModify":1704191959863,"author":{"id":"3504216162886110","authorId":"3504216162886110","name":"诗雨影","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3504216162886110","authorIdStr":"3504216162886110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>跟谁学的辅导员显示每个老师带200个左右的学生，因为我女朋友就是做这一行业的，他们公司带的学生都不超过100人，就这每天都很忙，所以跟谁学有一半以上的学生都是假的","text":"$跟谁学(GSX)$跟谁学的辅导员显示每个老师带200个左右的学生，因为我女朋友就是做这一行业的，他们公司带的学生都不超过100人，就这每天都很忙，所以跟谁学有一半以上的学生都是假的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/953329658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3549414952213433","authorId":"3549414952213433","name":"不爱吃土豆倒吐土豆皮的人","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3549414952213433","authorIdStr":"3549414952213433"},"content":"跟谁学辅导老师是带300人","text":"跟谁学辅导老师是带300人","html":"跟谁学辅导老师是带300人"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":959662544,"gmtCreate":1589895160388,"gmtModify":1704191013652,"author":{"id":"3504216162886110","authorId":"3504216162886110","name":"诗雨影","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3504216162886110","authorIdStr":"3504216162886110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>去你大爷的拼多多，我就不信你不会跌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>去你大爷的拼多多，我就不信你不会跌","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$去你大爷的拼多多，我就不信你不会跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/959662544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1070,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967805584,"gmtCreate":1584551707448,"gmtModify":1704354971529,"author":{"id":"3504216162886110","authorId":"3504216162886110","name":"诗雨影","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3504216162886110","authorIdStr":"3504216162886110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a>没有最低，只有更低","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a>没有最低，只有更低","text":"$达美航空(DAL)$没有最低，只有更低","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967805584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":981900389,"gmtCreate":1583468445241,"gmtModify":1704349946231,"author":{"id":"3504216162886110","authorId":"3504216162886110","name":"诗雨影","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3504216162886110","authorIdStr":"3504216162886110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/981900389","repostId":"1147004680","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1147004680","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英为财情Investing","id":"92","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313"},"pubTimestamp":1583407898,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147004680?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-05 19:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特抄底航空股，普通投资者能“抄作业”吗","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147004680","media":"英为财情Investing","summary":"航空股的这一轮暴跌是否已经到了底部？","content":"<p>全球公共卫生危机的爆发，令近日以来华尔街对于航空股的观点十分纠结。买or不买，这是一个问题！</p><p>一方面，人们担心公共卫生危机对于航空股的整体利空，由于疫情的影响，航空公司们的客运量已经出现了大幅下降，这让一众航空公司的业绩前景都蒙上了一层不确定性。在一轮又一轮的大跌以后，这个行业的大部分公司目前的股价已经处于历史较低的水平。</p><p>另一方面，巴菲特选择了在“人们恐惧的时候贪婪”，本周，在伯克希尔哈撒韦提交的资料中显示，公司利用上周股价大跌20%的机会，对达美航空进行了增持，上周四以每股45.48美元至47.14美元的价格买入97.6507万股达美航空股票，最新持股数达7188.6963万股。</p><p>那么，航空股的这一轮暴跌是否已经到了底部？投资者可以逢低买入了吗？买入前，需要先考虑以下两个问题：</p><p><b>疫情影响仍不容小觑，市场担忧航空公司出现亏损</b></p><p>根据英为财情Investing.com的行情数据显示，由于收到全球公共卫生危机的影响，这一板块的四只个股过去一个月时间里都出现了大幅下跌，其中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>下跌达到34.5%，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>的跌幅也仍近17%，同时，由于受到波音停飞事件的影响，一年线和3年线同样不容乐观。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8724542659f958750122b6a28717a17d\" /><span>航空板块部分个股表现，来自英为财情Investing.com</span></p><p>虽然公共卫生事件对航空出行需求的打击终归会下降，但是，航空公司在那之前，能否坚持住，不让债务压垮自己？</p><p>目前来说，一些财务指标显示航空公司的情况还可以，比如载客率和利润率，但是，随着客流量的不断下滑，这些数据还能坚持多久？此前，安信证券指出，疫情影响下航空客流大幅下滑，预计2020年一季度，航空公司将面临较大经营压力，尤其是航空公司背负大量的债务成本以及固定成本，现金流压力较大。</p><p>根据媒体周四的报道显示，花旗银行近日将多家航空公司的目标价均进行了下调，其中，西南航空 (NYSE:LUV)从59美元下调至50美元，美国联合航空(NASDAQ:UAL)被从108美元下调至99美元，达美航空也被从71美元下调至64美元，同时美国航空集团也被从27美元下调至了17美元。</p><p>同时，研究机构Buckingham的分析师Daniel McKenzie此前也对7家航空公司进行了降级处理，并且下调目标价超过50%。他表示，在后市市场需求和业绩前景明朗前，我们对航空股将保持“敬而远之”的态度，在那之前，航空股的情况可能会变得更糟糕。</p><p>这位分析师表示，降级是有数据支撑的，最近几周，从亚洲到美国的机票预定量大幅下降，如果公共卫生危机继续在大西洋两岸持续蔓延，那么从欧洲到美国的机票预定量也会出现同样的大幅下挫，当冲击持续扩大时，这个行业公司亏损的情况就会陆续出现。</p><p>确切来说，航空股的营收会受到多大的影响仍然无从评估，不过《华尔街日报》此前的一篇报道就指出，为了应对公共卫生危机，一些航空公司已经开始削减成本了。</p><p>稍早前，美国联合航空公司推迟了原本安排在周四的投资者日活动，目前预定在9月才会举行。公司表示，目前全球公共卫生危机影响的严重程度仍然不明确，2020年旅游需求料将下滑。今年一月，该公司管理层曾表示，一季度预计营收会增长1%，不过目前这个业绩情况已经无法明朗。</p><p><b>波音737Max停飞事件仍不明朗</b></p><p>英为财情Investing.com此前就在文章《2020年，被波音拖累的航空股能够转运吗？》中指出，波音 (NYSE:BA)事件在2019年拖累了整体航空板块，737 Max的禁飞会导致客容量减少、非燃料单位成本上升，从而限制了航司利润的增长。</p><p>同时，英国飞行数据信息公司OAG的一份报告显示，波音 737 Max的停飞在2019年令全球航空业收入损失41亿美元，其中上面提到的三家航司占到6亿美元。美国航空预计，2019年公司的运力只比2018年增长约1%（先前的预期为增长3%）。美国航空还预计全年的税前利润会因为停飞而受到约5.4亿美元的影响。虽然美国航空和西南航空都与波音达成了赔偿协议，但是美国航空此前表示，预计这份协议不会产生“重大财务影响”。</p><p>数据显示，西南航空、美国航空和美国联合航空分别拥有34架、24架和14架波音737 MAX。此外，达美航空是少数尚未拥有波音737 MAX的航司。</p><p>而波音737Max的复飞仍然遥遥无期，据外媒报道，鉴于波音公司上个月表示，737MAX系列客机无望在今年年中前获得复飞许可，近日，美国多家航空公司宣布将延长停飞波音737MAX至2020年8月后。</p><p>而除了波音停飞事件以外，航空股整体还面临全球贸易局势变化所带来的货运量下滑等危机，同样不得不考虑。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>巴菲特抄底航空股，普通投资者能“抄作业”吗</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特抄底航空股，普通投资者能“抄作业”吗\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-03-05 19:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>全球公共卫生危机的爆发，令近日以来华尔街对于航空股的观点十分纠结。买or不买，这是一个问题！</p><p>一方面，人们担心公共卫生危机对于航空股的整体利空，由于疫情的影响，航空公司们的客运量已经出现了大幅下降，这让一众航空公司的业绩前景都蒙上了一层不确定性。在一轮又一轮的大跌以后，这个行业的大部分公司目前的股价已经处于历史较低的水平。</p><p>另一方面，巴菲特选择了在“人们恐惧的时候贪婪”，本周，在伯克希尔哈撒韦提交的资料中显示，公司利用上周股价大跌20%的机会，对达美航空进行了增持，上周四以每股45.48美元至47.14美元的价格买入97.6507万股达美航空股票，最新持股数达7188.6963万股。</p><p>那么，航空股的这一轮暴跌是否已经到了底部？投资者可以逢低买入了吗？买入前，需要先考虑以下两个问题：</p><p><b>疫情影响仍不容小觑，市场担忧航空公司出现亏损</b></p><p>根据英为财情Investing.com的行情数据显示，由于收到全球公共卫生危机的影响，这一板块的四只个股过去一个月时间里都出现了大幅下跌，其中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>下跌达到34.5%，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>的跌幅也仍近17%，同时，由于受到波音停飞事件的影响，一年线和3年线同样不容乐观。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8724542659f958750122b6a28717a17d\" /><span>航空板块部分个股表现，来自英为财情Investing.com</span></p><p>虽然公共卫生事件对航空出行需求的打击终归会下降，但是，航空公司在那之前，能否坚持住，不让债务压垮自己？</p><p>目前来说，一些财务指标显示航空公司的情况还可以，比如载客率和利润率，但是，随着客流量的不断下滑，这些数据还能坚持多久？此前，安信证券指出，疫情影响下航空客流大幅下滑，预计2020年一季度，航空公司将面临较大经营压力，尤其是航空公司背负大量的债务成本以及固定成本，现金流压力较大。</p><p>根据媒体周四的报道显示，花旗银行近日将多家航空公司的目标价均进行了下调，其中，西南航空 (NYSE:LUV)从59美元下调至50美元，美国联合航空(NASDAQ:UAL)被从108美元下调至99美元，达美航空也被从71美元下调至64美元，同时美国航空集团也被从27美元下调至了17美元。</p><p>同时，研究机构Buckingham的分析师Daniel McKenzie此前也对7家航空公司进行了降级处理，并且下调目标价超过50%。他表示，在后市市场需求和业绩前景明朗前，我们对航空股将保持“敬而远之”的态度，在那之前，航空股的情况可能会变得更糟糕。</p><p>这位分析师表示，降级是有数据支撑的，最近几周，从亚洲到美国的机票预定量大幅下降，如果公共卫生危机继续在大西洋两岸持续蔓延，那么从欧洲到美国的机票预定量也会出现同样的大幅下挫，当冲击持续扩大时，这个行业公司亏损的情况就会陆续出现。</p><p>确切来说，航空股的营收会受到多大的影响仍然无从评估，不过《华尔街日报》此前的一篇报道就指出，为了应对公共卫生危机，一些航空公司已经开始削减成本了。</p><p>稍早前，美国联合航空公司推迟了原本安排在周四的投资者日活动，目前预定在9月才会举行。公司表示，目前全球公共卫生危机影响的严重程度仍然不明确，2020年旅游需求料将下滑。今年一月，该公司管理层曾表示，一季度预计营收会增长1%，不过目前这个业绩情况已经无法明朗。</p><p><b>波音737Max停飞事件仍不明朗</b></p><p>英为财情Investing.com此前就在文章《2020年，被波音拖累的航空股能够转运吗？》中指出，波音 (NYSE:BA)事件在2019年拖累了整体航空板块，737 Max的禁飞会导致客容量减少、非燃料单位成本上升，从而限制了航司利润的增长。</p><p>同时，英国飞行数据信息公司OAG的一份报告显示，波音 737 Max的停飞在2019年令全球航空业收入损失41亿美元，其中上面提到的三家航司占到6亿美元。美国航空预计，2019年公司的运力只比2018年增长约1%（先前的预期为增长3%）。美国航空还预计全年的税前利润会因为停飞而受到约5.4亿美元的影响。虽然美国航空和西南航空都与波音达成了赔偿协议，但是美国航空此前表示，预计这份协议不会产生“重大财务影响”。</p><p>数据显示，西南航空、美国航空和美国联合航空分别拥有34架、24架和14架波音737 MAX。此外，达美航空是少数尚未拥有波音737 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