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1b8f360
积极玩乐,顺便赚钱。
IP属地:广东
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1b8f360
2023-02-09
喊meta要上200的是不是被打爆了?
1b8f360
2022-04-29
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@话题虎:推特“姓马”了,马斯克却可能要破产了,你怎么看
1b8f360
2021-01-20
美滋滋[得意]
1b8f360
2021-01-08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@符家三寶:
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
买PLTR的简单逻辑。大前提是, 1、大数据利用是风口,是未来无论政府或私营公司机构的管理效率,生产效率,决策效率提高的必须技术途径,是人工智能技术及数据技术积累到一定阶段得到的成果。技术变革带来效率提高几次带动社会的巨大经济增长,处于风口的公司那个不是发得像猪头一样? 2、市场容量足够,足够容纳目前崭露头角的几家上市大数据公司。未来增长不会有大问题。 3、pltr成立已超过17年,17年时间足够其公司思考各种可能发展方向无数遍,无需怀疑比我们聪明几百倍的人的能力。软件产品是一堆代码,要转变技术方向也不存在技术鸿沟。 3、pltr现有客户本身技术力量雄厚,他们的选择足以说明pltr技术的先进。花几个亿美金采购的人绝不是傻B。尤其是情报部门和美国陆军,没用的他们会买? 4、现有大数据类公司技术方向并不相同,面向的需求不同,并非正面竞争。起码四五年内不会发生直接竞争。 5、大股东都是行业内的顶级投资人和技术大牛,你不相信自己都应该相信他们。聪明如你,你去投钱干一下十七年都不赚钱的公司试一下?6、如要上市骗钱,找华尔街投行高估几倍上市融资几百亿顺便套现手上股票来得更爽,我大A股的公司没少干这事,偏偏PLTR没干这事。 小前提,1、公司刚上市,要骗钱不搞个发行价四五倍上去能有个什么赚头呢?目前远远没到。 2、短期股价波动只是正常套路,何须惊慌。没有波动那来成交?[开心] 3、但不好意思,往往套路得人心,确实没多少人能熬得过价格的波动。所谓低处未算低,再低你也不敢买。所谓高处未算高,再高你也拿不住。这就是命啊。 4、同类型公司只有它频频被投行分析师唱空,你懂的!呵呵。过几个月或者一年你就知道自己
1b8f360
2020-03-27
满足了,加油(ง •̀_•́)ง
1b8f360
2020-03-19
继续近空远多
1b8f360
2020-03-17
近空远多 继续
1b8f360
2020-03-15
做个反弹走人
1b8f360
2020-03-11
行情还没完
1b8f360
2020-03-05
美股的最小阻力位向下
1b8f360
2020-02-27
继续空vxx
1b8f360
2020-02-25
继续空vxx
1b8f360
2020-02-11
vxx继续跌
1b8f360
2020-02-07
末日轮也不是不可卖,像昨天的tsla,今天的amzn,就算财报前因iv太高不敢买跨也没关系,财报后atm的gamma爆完了再去short深一点的otm也可以,iv crash和time decay送上的肉可不薄。怂就带着保护去short,比如在价格维度long一个没那么虚的,以防gamma继续爆。个人认为没必要,对冲了gamma,也吃不到多少vega。远端long一个同价的就比较贵,形成calendar spread则可以对冲掉部分gamma,theta几乎受影响,但 vega在iv crash情况下不利。远端long一个更虚的便宜些,形成diagonal spread,theta依旧不太受影响,vega只要是没有转正就有利,但就对冲不了多少gamma了,不如不long。所以还不如根据经验去裸short,通常大盘股因事件暴涨后高位横盘,波动率大概率要回落。虽然这不是在押注方向(没什么delta的事),而是在押注方向出现后的iv crash(-vega),但如果delta也配合那就更完美了。可实现一鱼三吃!
1b8f360
2020-02-07
$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$
继续空
1b8f360
2020-02-07
没什么观点,那就空
$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$
1b8f360
2020-02-07
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
盛极必衰?
1b8f360
2020-02-06
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
终于跌了
1b8f360
2020-02-04
继续看好反弹
1b8f360
2020-02-03
一边空指数,一边空vix
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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是不是被打爆了?","text":"喊meta要上200的是不是被打爆了?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35640141d3a3e27a68c22cad93528880","width":"1080","height":"2182"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622769116","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618473352,"gmtCreate":1651161620185,"gmtModify":1651161620185,"author":{"id":"3499391793474633","authorId":"3499391793474633","name":"1b8f360","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618473352","repostId":"618202911","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":618202911,"gmtCreate":1651039451775,"gmtModify":1651044030617,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"推特“姓马”了,马斯克却可能要破产了,你怎么看","htmlText":"当地时间4月25日,推特态度大变,宣布同意马斯克每股54.20美元的现金全资收购,头一点眼一闭,“嫁了”。不过,仍需要监管批准,预计2022年完成。 为啥态度大变,据CNBC的Jim Cramer说法,推特业绩不佳,再想实现高增长难,而且一看,马斯克给的确实不少,于是就点了头。还有一种说法,马斯克找了现有股东来支持他,只要支持的人多,他依旧可以通过要约收购成功。 就在事成的一天后,特斯拉股价却大跌12%。 问题的来源,就在钱的来源上 虽然马斯克已经坐上了世界首富宝座,但他财富的来源主要是靠特斯拉和SpaceX的持股,手上的现金和流动资产,估计只有30亿美元,他要到哪里筹到收购的465亿美元呢? 根据收购文件,这465亿美元,210亿美元来自马斯克“直接或间接”的股权,银行贷款130亿,还有125亿美元来自马斯克手里的特斯拉股票质押贷款资金。 先说这125亿的股票质押贷款资金。 虽然马斯克手里的特斯拉股票不少,但大多都已经质押以供两个“焚金炉”SpaceX和Boring烧。 按照银行20%的质押率来算,马斯克要拿出价值$625亿的特斯拉股票。根据市场猜测,马斯克目前手里可以质押的股票,可能约有8,900万股。也就是说,只要特斯拉股票价格不低到700美元,银行就能把钱给够。 但是别忘了,还有他要自掏腰包的210亿美元呢。 所以,为了凑够自己的210亿美元,马斯克很有可能会选择出售自己手里的特斯拉股票,股价就会下跌,但为了从银行拿到足够的保证金贷款,他又必须将特斯拉股价维持在高位。 一旦股价下跌至900美元以下,他所质押的股份总数高达其所持股份的90%。一旦股票价格下跌约43%(外媒估计),低至不足以维持他35%的保证金质押率,他将被迫追加保证金,不得不出售更多持股或提供额外抵押品(滚雪球效应)。无论是哪一种情况,对于特斯拉股价而言,都是个不小的风险。 或许是对于马斯克这种为了","listText":"当地时间4月25日,推特态度大变,宣布同意马斯克每股54.20美元的现金全资收购,头一点眼一闭,“嫁了”。不过,仍需要监管批准,预计2022年完成。 为啥态度大变,据CNBC的Jim Cramer说法,推特业绩不佳,再想实现高增长难,而且一看,马斯克给的确实不少,于是就点了头。还有一种说法,马斯克找了现有股东来支持他,只要支持的人多,他依旧可以通过要约收购成功。 就在事成的一天后,特斯拉股价却大跌12%。 问题的来源,就在钱的来源上 虽然马斯克已经坐上了世界首富宝座,但他财富的来源主要是靠特斯拉和SpaceX的持股,手上的现金和流动资产,估计只有30亿美元,他要到哪里筹到收购的465亿美元呢? 根据收购文件,这465亿美元,210亿美元来自马斯克“直接或间接”的股权,银行贷款130亿,还有125亿美元来自马斯克手里的特斯拉股票质押贷款资金。 先说这125亿的股票质押贷款资金。 虽然马斯克手里的特斯拉股票不少,但大多都已经质押以供两个“焚金炉”SpaceX和Boring烧。 按照银行20%的质押率来算,马斯克要拿出价值$625亿的特斯拉股票。根据市场猜测,马斯克目前手里可以质押的股票,可能约有8,900万股。也就是说,只要特斯拉股票价格不低到700美元,银行就能把钱给够。 但是别忘了,还有他要自掏腰包的210亿美元呢。 所以,为了凑够自己的210亿美元,马斯克很有可能会选择出售自己手里的特斯拉股票,股价就会下跌,但为了从银行拿到足够的保证金贷款,他又必须将特斯拉股价维持在高位。 一旦股价下跌至900美元以下,他所质押的股份总数高达其所持股份的90%。一旦股票价格下跌约43%(外媒估计),低至不足以维持他35%的保证金质押率,他将被迫追加保证金,不得不出售更多持股或提供额外抵押品(滚雪球效应)。无论是哪一种情况,对于特斯拉股价而言,都是个不小的风险。 或许是对于马斯克这种为了","text":"当地时间4月25日,推特态度大变,宣布同意马斯克每股54.20美元的现金全资收购,头一点眼一闭,“嫁了”。不过,仍需要监管批准,预计2022年完成。 为啥态度大变,据CNBC的Jim Cramer说法,推特业绩不佳,再想实现高增长难,而且一看,马斯克给的确实不少,于是就点了头。还有一种说法,马斯克找了现有股东来支持他,只要支持的人多,他依旧可以通过要约收购成功。 就在事成的一天后,特斯拉股价却大跌12%。 问题的来源,就在钱的来源上 虽然马斯克已经坐上了世界首富宝座,但他财富的来源主要是靠特斯拉和SpaceX的持股,手上的现金和流动资产,估计只有30亿美元,他要到哪里筹到收购的465亿美元呢? 根据收购文件,这465亿美元,210亿美元来自马斯克“直接或间接”的股权,银行贷款130亿,还有125亿美元来自马斯克手里的特斯拉股票质押贷款资金。 先说这125亿的股票质押贷款资金。 虽然马斯克手里的特斯拉股票不少,但大多都已经质押以供两个“焚金炉”SpaceX和Boring烧。 按照银行20%的质押率来算,马斯克要拿出价值$625亿的特斯拉股票。根据市场猜测,马斯克目前手里可以质押的股票,可能约有8,900万股。也就是说,只要特斯拉股票价格不低到700美元,银行就能把钱给够。 但是别忘了,还有他要自掏腰包的210亿美元呢。 所以,为了凑够自己的210亿美元,马斯克很有可能会选择出售自己手里的特斯拉股票,股价就会下跌,但为了从银行拿到足够的保证金贷款,他又必须将特斯拉股价维持在高位。 一旦股价下跌至900美元以下,他所质押的股份总数高达其所持股份的90%。一旦股票价格下跌约43%(外媒估计),低至不足以维持他35%的保证金质押率,他将被迫追加保证金,不得不出售更多持股或提供额外抵押品(滚雪球效应)。无论是哪一种情况,对于特斯拉股价而言,都是个不小的风险。 或许是对于马斯克这种为了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24a2dd27b87178d73b7ca89d92fb0759","width":"839","height":"469"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e8765b1202e76a7f14ef036f9eef07d","width":"519","height":"381"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4603b5d1919adc66596e077a12a1421d","width":"225","height":"225"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618202911","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337582982,"gmtCreate":1611158252446,"gmtModify":1703748517013,"author":{"id":"3499391793474633","authorId":"3499391793474633","name":"1b8f360","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美滋滋[得意] ","listText":"美滋滋[得意] ","text":"美滋滋[得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5cb2ed84754b03f318d57725875b5b2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337582982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336576349,"gmtCreate":1610119662481,"gmtModify":1703742920177,"author":{"id":"3499391793474633","authorId":"3499391793474633","name":"1b8f360","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336576349","repostId":"336803381","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":336803381,"gmtCreate":1610046105343,"gmtModify":1703742367531,"author":{"id":"3557233371542355","authorId":"3557233371542355","name":"符家三寶","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97075d5da8f1506ba6a916c6de82318","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>买PLTR的简单逻辑。大前提是, 1、大数据利用是风口,是未来无论政府或私营公司机构的管理效率,生产效率,决策效率提高的必须技术途径,是人工智能技术及数据技术积累到一定阶段得到的成果。技术变革带来效率提高几次带动社会的巨大经济增长,处于风口的公司那个不是发得像猪头一样? 2、市场容量足够,足够容纳目前崭露头角的几家上市大数据公司。未来增长不会有大问题。 3、pltr成立已超过17年,17年时间足够其公司思考各种可能发展方向无数遍,无需怀疑比我们聪明几百倍的人的能力。软件产品是一堆代码,要转变技术方向也不存在技术鸿沟。 3、pltr现有客户本身技术力量雄厚,他们的选择足以说明pltr技术的先进。花几个亿美金采购的人绝不是傻B。尤其是情报部门和美国陆军,没用的他们会买? 4、现有大数据类公司技术方向并不相同,面向的需求不同,并非正面竞争。起码四五年内不会发生直接竞争。 5、大股东都是行业内的顶级投资人和技术大牛,你不相信自己都应该相信他们。聪明如你,你去投钱干一下十七年都不赚钱的公司试一下?6、如要上市骗钱,找华尔街投行高估几倍上市融资几百亿顺便套现手上股票来得更爽,我大A股的公司没少干这事,偏偏PLTR没干这事。 小前提,1、公司刚上市,要骗钱不搞个发行价四五倍上去能有个什么赚头呢?目前远远没到。 2、短期股价波动只是正常套路,何须惊慌。没有波动那来成交?[开心] 3、但不好意思,往往套路得人心,确实没多少人能熬得过价格的波动。所谓低处未算低,再低你也不敢买。所谓高处未算高,再高你也拿不住。这就是命啊。 4、同类型公司只有它频频被投行分析师唱空,你懂的!呵呵。过几个月或者一年你就知道自己","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>买PLTR的简单逻辑。大前提是, 1、大数据利用是风口,是未来无论政府或私营公司机构的管理效率,生产效率,决策效率提高的必须技术途径,是人工智能技术及数据技术积累到一定阶段得到的成果。技术变革带来效率提高几次带动社会的巨大经济增长,处于风口的公司那个不是发得像猪头一样? 2、市场容量足够,足够容纳目前崭露头角的几家上市大数据公司。未来增长不会有大问题。 3、pltr成立已超过17年,17年时间足够其公司思考各种可能发展方向无数遍,无需怀疑比我们聪明几百倍的人的能力。软件产品是一堆代码,要转变技术方向也不存在技术鸿沟。 3、pltr现有客户本身技术力量雄厚,他们的选择足以说明pltr技术的先进。花几个亿美金采购的人绝不是傻B。尤其是情报部门和美国陆军,没用的他们会买? 4、现有大数据类公司技术方向并不相同,面向的需求不同,并非正面竞争。起码四五年内不会发生直接竞争。 5、大股东都是行业内的顶级投资人和技术大牛,你不相信自己都应该相信他们。聪明如你,你去投钱干一下十七年都不赚钱的公司试一下?6、如要上市骗钱,找华尔街投行高估几倍上市融资几百亿顺便套现手上股票来得更爽,我大A股的公司没少干这事,偏偏PLTR没干这事。 小前提,1、公司刚上市,要骗钱不搞个发行价四五倍上去能有个什么赚头呢?目前远远没到。 2、短期股价波动只是正常套路,何须惊慌。没有波动那来成交?[开心] 3、但不好意思,往往套路得人心,确实没多少人能熬得过价格的波动。所谓低处未算低,再低你也不敢买。所谓高处未算高,再高你也拿不住。这就是命啊。 4、同类型公司只有它频频被投行分析师唱空,你懂的!呵呵。过几个月或者一年你就知道自己","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$买PLTR的简单逻辑。大前提是, 1、大数据利用是风口,是未来无论政府或私营公司机构的管理效率,生产效率,决策效率提高的必须技术途径,是人工智能技术及数据技术积累到一定阶段得到的成果。技术变革带来效率提高几次带动社会的巨大经济增长,处于风口的公司那个不是发得像猪头一样? 2、市场容量足够,足够容纳目前崭露头角的几家上市大数据公司。未来增长不会有大问题。 3、pltr成立已超过17年,17年时间足够其公司思考各种可能发展方向无数遍,无需怀疑比我们聪明几百倍的人的能力。软件产品是一堆代码,要转变技术方向也不存在技术鸿沟。 3、pltr现有客户本身技术力量雄厚,他们的选择足以说明pltr技术的先进。花几个亿美金采购的人绝不是傻B。尤其是情报部门和美国陆军,没用的他们会买? 4、现有大数据类公司技术方向并不相同,面向的需求不同,并非正面竞争。起码四五年内不会发生直接竞争。 5、大股东都是行业内的顶级投资人和技术大牛,你不相信自己都应该相信他们。聪明如你,你去投钱干一下十七年都不赚钱的公司试一下?6、如要上市骗钱,找华尔街投行高估几倍上市融资几百亿顺便套现手上股票来得更爽,我大A股的公司没少干这事,偏偏PLTR没干这事。 小前提,1、公司刚上市,要骗钱不搞个发行价四五倍上去能有个什么赚头呢?目前远远没到。 2、短期股价波动只是正常套路,何须惊慌。没有波动那来成交?[开心] 3、但不好意思,往往套路得人心,确实没多少人能熬得过价格的波动。所谓低处未算低,再低你也不敢买。所谓高处未算高,再高你也拿不住。这就是命啊。 4、同类型公司只有它频频被投行分析师唱空,你懂的!呵呵。过几个月或者一年你就知道自己","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336803381","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":929175389,"gmtCreate":1585276443341,"gmtModify":1704357683127,"author":{"id":"3499391793474633","authorId":"3499391793474633","name":"1b8f360","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"满足了,加油(ง •̀_•́)ง","listText":"满足了,加油(ง •̀_•́)ง","text":"满足了,加油(ง 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为啥态度大变,据CNBC的Jim Cramer说法,推特业绩不佳,再想实现高增长难,而且一看,马斯克给的确实不少,于是就点了头。还有一种说法,马斯克找了现有股东来支持他,只要支持的人多,他依旧可以通过要约收购成功。 就在事成的一天后,特斯拉股价却大跌12%。 问题的来源,就在钱的来源上 虽然马斯克已经坐上了世界首富宝座,但他财富的来源主要是靠特斯拉和SpaceX的持股,手上的现金和流动资产,估计只有30亿美元,他要到哪里筹到收购的465亿美元呢? 根据收购文件,这465亿美元,210亿美元来自马斯克“直接或间接”的股权,银行贷款130亿,还有125亿美元来自马斯克手里的特斯拉股票质押贷款资金。 先说这125亿的股票质押贷款资金。 虽然马斯克手里的特斯拉股票不少,但大多都已经质押以供两个“焚金炉”SpaceX和Boring烧。 按照银行20%的质押率来算,马斯克要拿出价值$625亿的特斯拉股票。根据市场猜测,马斯克目前手里可以质押的股票,可能约有8,900万股。也就是说,只要特斯拉股票价格不低到700美元,银行就能把钱给够。 但是别忘了,还有他要自掏腰包的210亿美元呢。 所以,为了凑够自己的210亿美元,马斯克很有可能会选择出售自己手里的特斯拉股票,股价就会下跌,但为了从银行拿到足够的保证金贷款,他又必须将特斯拉股价维持在高位。 一旦股价下跌至900美元以下,他所质押的股份总数高达其所持股份的90%。一旦股票价格下跌约43%(外媒估计),低至不足以维持他35%的保证金质押率,他将被迫追加保证金,不得不出售更多持股或提供额外抵押品(滚雪球效应)。无论是哪一种情况,对于特斯拉股价而言,都是个不小的风险。 或许是对于马斯克这种为了","listText":"当地时间4月25日,推特态度大变,宣布同意马斯克每股54.20美元的现金全资收购,头一点眼一闭,“嫁了”。不过,仍需要监管批准,预计2022年完成。 为啥态度大变,据CNBC的Jim Cramer说法,推特业绩不佳,再想实现高增长难,而且一看,马斯克给的确实不少,于是就点了头。还有一种说法,马斯克找了现有股东来支持他,只要支持的人多,他依旧可以通过要约收购成功。 就在事成的一天后,特斯拉股价却大跌12%。 问题的来源,就在钱的来源上 虽然马斯克已经坐上了世界首富宝座,但他财富的来源主要是靠特斯拉和SpaceX的持股,手上的现金和流动资产,估计只有30亿美元,他要到哪里筹到收购的465亿美元呢? 根据收购文件,这465亿美元,210亿美元来自马斯克“直接或间接”的股权,银行贷款130亿,还有125亿美元来自马斯克手里的特斯拉股票质押贷款资金。 先说这125亿的股票质押贷款资金。 虽然马斯克手里的特斯拉股票不少,但大多都已经质押以供两个“焚金炉”SpaceX和Boring烧。 按照银行20%的质押率来算,马斯克要拿出价值$625亿的特斯拉股票。根据市场猜测,马斯克目前手里可以质押的股票,可能约有8,900万股。也就是说,只要特斯拉股票价格不低到700美元,银行就能把钱给够。 但是别忘了,还有他要自掏腰包的210亿美元呢。 所以,为了凑够自己的210亿美元,马斯克很有可能会选择出售自己手里的特斯拉股票,股价就会下跌,但为了从银行拿到足够的保证金贷款,他又必须将特斯拉股价维持在高位。 一旦股价下跌至900美元以下,他所质押的股份总数高达其所持股份的90%。一旦股票价格下跌约43%(外媒估计),低至不足以维持他35%的保证金质押率,他将被迫追加保证金,不得不出售更多持股或提供额外抵押品(滚雪球效应)。无论是哪一种情况,对于特斯拉股价而言,都是个不小的风险。 或许是对于马斯克这种为了","text":"当地时间4月25日,推特态度大变,宣布同意马斯克每股54.20美元的现金全资收购,头一点眼一闭,“嫁了”。不过,仍需要监管批准,预计2022年完成。 为啥态度大变,据CNBC的Jim Cramer说法,推特业绩不佳,再想实现高增长难,而且一看,马斯克给的确实不少,于是就点了头。还有一种说法,马斯克找了现有股东来支持他,只要支持的人多,他依旧可以通过要约收购成功。 就在事成的一天后,特斯拉股价却大跌12%。 问题的来源,就在钱的来源上 虽然马斯克已经坐上了世界首富宝座,但他财富的来源主要是靠特斯拉和SpaceX的持股,手上的现金和流动资产,估计只有30亿美元,他要到哪里筹到收购的465亿美元呢? 根据收购文件,这465亿美元,210亿美元来自马斯克“直接或间接”的股权,银行贷款130亿,还有125亿美元来自马斯克手里的特斯拉股票质押贷款资金。 先说这125亿的股票质押贷款资金。 虽然马斯克手里的特斯拉股票不少,但大多都已经质押以供两个“焚金炉”SpaceX和Boring烧。 按照银行20%的质押率来算,马斯克要拿出价值$625亿的特斯拉股票。根据市场猜测,马斯克目前手里可以质押的股票,可能约有8,900万股。也就是说,只要特斯拉股票价格不低到700美元,银行就能把钱给够。 但是别忘了,还有他要自掏腰包的210亿美元呢。 所以,为了凑够自己的210亿美元,马斯克很有可能会选择出售自己手里的特斯拉股票,股价就会下跌,但为了从银行拿到足够的保证金贷款,他又必须将特斯拉股价维持在高位。 一旦股价下跌至900美元以下,他所质押的股份总数高达其所持股份的90%。一旦股票价格下跌约43%(外媒估计),低至不足以维持他35%的保证金质押率,他将被迫追加保证金,不得不出售更多持股或提供额外抵押品(滚雪球效应)。无论是哪一种情况,对于特斯拉股价而言,都是个不小的风险。 或许是对于马斯克这种为了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24a2dd27b87178d73b7ca89d92fb0759","width":"839","height":"469"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e8765b1202e76a7f14ef036f9eef07d","width":"519","height":"381"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4603b5d1919adc66596e077a12a1421d","width":"225","height":"225"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618202911","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337582982,"gmtCreate":1611158252446,"gmtModify":1703748517013,"author":{"id":"3499391793474633","authorId":"3499391793474633","name":"1b8f360","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美滋滋[得意] ","listText":"美滋滋[得意] ","text":"美滋滋[得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5cb2ed84754b03f318d57725875b5b2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337582982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336576349,"gmtCreate":1610119662481,"gmtModify":1703742920177,"author":{"id":"3499391793474633","authorId":"3499391793474633","name":"1b8f360","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336576349","repostId":"336803381","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":336803381,"gmtCreate":1610046105343,"gmtModify":1703742367531,"author":{"id":"3557233371542355","authorId":"3557233371542355","name":"符家三寶","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97075d5da8f1506ba6a916c6de82318","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>买PLTR的简单逻辑。大前提是, 1、大数据利用是风口,是未来无论政府或私营公司机构的管理效率,生产效率,决策效率提高的必须技术途径,是人工智能技术及数据技术积累到一定阶段得到的成果。技术变革带来效率提高几次带动社会的巨大经济增长,处于风口的公司那个不是发得像猪头一样? 2、市场容量足够,足够容纳目前崭露头角的几家上市大数据公司。未来增长不会有大问题。 3、pltr成立已超过17年,17年时间足够其公司思考各种可能发展方向无数遍,无需怀疑比我们聪明几百倍的人的能力。软件产品是一堆代码,要转变技术方向也不存在技术鸿沟。 3、pltr现有客户本身技术力量雄厚,他们的选择足以说明pltr技术的先进。花几个亿美金采购的人绝不是傻B。尤其是情报部门和美国陆军,没用的他们会买? 4、现有大数据类公司技术方向并不相同,面向的需求不同,并非正面竞争。起码四五年内不会发生直接竞争。 5、大股东都是行业内的顶级投资人和技术大牛,你不相信自己都应该相信他们。聪明如你,你去投钱干一下十七年都不赚钱的公司试一下?6、如要上市骗钱,找华尔街投行高估几倍上市融资几百亿顺便套现手上股票来得更爽,我大A股的公司没少干这事,偏偏PLTR没干这事。 小前提,1、公司刚上市,要骗钱不搞个发行价四五倍上去能有个什么赚头呢?目前远远没到。 2、短期股价波动只是正常套路,何须惊慌。没有波动那来成交?[开心] 3、但不好意思,往往套路得人心,确实没多少人能熬得过价格的波动。所谓低处未算低,再低你也不敢买。所谓高处未算高,再高你也拿不住。这就是命啊。 4、同类型公司只有它频频被投行分析师唱空,你懂的!呵呵。过几个月或者一年你就知道自己","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>买PLTR的简单逻辑。大前提是, 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