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顺势持仓如探囊取物;逆势持仓如风中残烛
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满盘红
11-06
美国总统大选尘埃落定,特朗普宣布胜选!这些股票或将受益
满盘红
11-06
美国总统大选尘埃落定,特朗普宣布胜选!这些股票或将受益
满盘红
2023-07-19
👍
黄仁勋:NVIDIA的使命是解决几乎不可能的计算问题
满盘红
2023-07-12
配对交易就不是真正的对冲交易,是两个方向的ALL IN 赌博//
@胖虎哒哒
:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的
$Faraday Future(FFIE)$
从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台
$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$
今年涨了660%,直接超越
@胖虎哒哒:私募做空美股亏到崩溃,美国散户爱买的垃圾股到底有多牛?
满盘红
2023-06-29
服不服 还有谁
牛散风云录:陈发树“惨亏”20亿,葛卫东败北,二季度最强牛散竟是他!
满盘红
2023-05-05
赞
@巴伦周刊:电信三巨头:逢低买入,长期持有
满盘红
2023-03-27
赞
马云谈ChatGPT:要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制
满盘红
2023-02-15
赞
Tesla: Master Plan 3 And The Road To $10 Trillion Market Cap
满盘红
2023-01-23
新年快乐 恭喜发财
Alibaba: Ryan Cohen Is Right
满盘红
2023-01-13
一个伟大的时代结束了
腾讯的最大赢家:革自己的命,让自己赚1万亿
满盘红
2022-12-30
反弹目标280刀🪤
@锐评:老虎锐评|特斯拉的Q4交付数据前瞻,空头会被吓到吗
满盘红
2022-12-30
据说韩国股民已经抄底特斯拉成世界第七大股东,几千万干出几十亿人做不到的事,佩服🐾🦍🐾🐾🐾
@话题虎:韩国散户奋勇抄底特斯拉!抄底良机还是神话结局?
满盘红
2022-12-07
揭秘卡塔尔王室家族的投资帝国:3350亿美元的“钞能力”
抱歉,原内容已删除
满盘红
2022-11-01
人心所向
@因歪斯汀_小明:每一次奇迹日,都伴随着放开的“预言”
满盘红
2022-10-30
牛
@权威播报:吸入式新冠疫苗!无锡可以预约啦!
满盘红
2022-10-26
97年救市经验:购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆 回顾1997年亚洲金融危机,香港政府采取了大量购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆、放宽回购等救市措施。 兴业证券研究报告称,1997 年10 月22日国际炒家开始对香港全线出击,大举沽空港股和港汇。香港金融管理局在市场上抛售美元吸纳港元,并且加息,最优惠利率由8.75%提高到9.5%,隔夜拆息率由9%提升至300%。这些措施稳定了汇率,港元汇价在一段时间内保持着比较稳定的局面。 1997 年10月22日到10月28日间,恒生指数下跌了3343.2点 ,跌幅达27%,港股市值累积损失达7000亿港元。1998年8月31日,港府出台限制卖空等7项举措,以巩固成果:限制放空港元,股票和期货交割期限由14天缩短为2天,使得放空头寸必须在2 天内回补。港府将增加银行体系流动资金,以减少受到冲击的机会。 同时,降低期指的杠杆作用也起了救市效果,港府将每张期货面额由5万港元/10000点拉高至12万港元/10000点,同时调降大量持仓申报限额,由500单位降为250单位,迫使炒家暴露身分。股市引入限价放空制度,且期指空方不能主动售予买盘,只能被动地让买盘入货。此外,港府还放宽上市公司大股东增持回购股票限制(当时限制为35%),且公司在购回股票后不用注销,可当作投资的头寸。 相关资料显示,最终港府成功击退国际炒家,但代价是付出过千亿港元外汇基金买入恒生指数成分股,占总市值的7%。在金融市场恢复稳定后,港府于1999年11月决定成立盈富基金,逐步有序地出售手中蓝筹股,尽量减小对市场的影响。盈富基金是港府1998年“汇率保卫战”的副产品,目的是为了“消化”此战后积聚的大量“官股”。 时任香港金融管理局主席的任志刚后来描述,香港金融管理当局在1998年8月才明白过来,还是太慢了。 任志刚曾在采访中表示,1998年8月,香港
抱歉,原内容已删除
满盘红
2022-09-26
赞
揭秘72岁“神秘牛散”12年44倍的造富密码!
满盘红
2022-08-22
AI
你每天看的推文,可能是AI写的
满盘红
2022-08-14
coin
加密货币第一股收美证监会传票,"木头姐"也栽了
满盘红
2022-08-12
01024
快手toB业务于冰:自研芯片或年底后规模量产,要把视频变成轻工业
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15:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国总统大选尘埃落定,特朗普宣布胜选!这些股票或将受益","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184822735","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>11月6日,当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话,宣布在2024年总统选举中获胜。美国“当选总统”特朗普表示,共和党已经重新掌控了参议院,看起来将继续控制众议院。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baea3053170de2a5e8e9852f77048a85\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"4794\"/></p><p><strong>15:29:18</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普向支持者发表讲话,哈里斯取消演讲计划</strong></p><p>当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话。另据美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表演讲,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>15:12:28</strong></p><p>美国众议院议长约翰逊表示,特朗普现在是美国的当选总统。众议院共和党人已做好准备,准备立即就特朗普的美国优先议程采取行动。</p><p><strong>15:07:50</strong></p><p><strong>CNN:特朗普团队对获胜感到自信,但远没有达到当前公布的水平</strong></p><p>据CNN,周二早上,随着投票开始,特朗普的竞选团队满怀信心地醒来。但CNN采访的多名竞选助手并不认为他的胜利会接近今晚公布的数字。</p><p><strong>14:48:27</strong></p><p><strong>美媒测算特朗普已获至少277张选举人票 锁定2024年总统选举胜局</strong></p><p>美国媒体福克斯测算,共和党总统候选人特朗普已获得至少277张选举人票。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05bd5b7917100db9b8b494562e628e85\" title=\"数据来源:福克斯新闻\" tg-width=\"1548\" tg-height=\"538\"/><span>数据来源:福克斯新闻</span></p><p><strong>14:46:17</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:哈里斯预计在康涅狄格州获胜(获得7张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>14:42:37</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州密歇根州,预计已统计70.2%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得52.2%的支持率,而哈里斯获得46%的支持率;在关键州威斯康星州,预计已统计90%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得51.3%的支持,哈里斯获得47.1%的支持。</p><p><strong>14:35:11</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯在明尼苏达州获胜。(该州有10张选举人票)</p><p><strong>14:25:23</strong></p><p>哈里斯的盟友马克·库班表示,特朗普“赢得了公正的胜利”。</p><p><strong>14:21:44</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预测特朗普赢得美国总统选举。</p><p><strong>14:20:27 特朗普夺下宾州</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻,预计特朗普在关键州宾夕法尼亚州获胜。</p><p><strong>14:18:56</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州。</p><p><strong>14:09:29</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州宾夕法尼亚州,预计已统计93%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得51.1%的支持率,而哈里斯获得47.8%的支持率。</p><p><strong>14:08:54</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:特朗普预计在阿拉斯加州获胜。(该州有3张选举人票)</p><p><strong>13:57:38 最后一个摇摆州开票!</strong></p><p>据美联社:在内华达州,经过4%的预计选票统计,特朗普获得71.5%的支持,哈里斯获得26.8%的支持率。</p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州内华达州,预计已统计56.5%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得50.4%的支持率,而哈里斯获得48.1%的支持率。</p><p><strong>13:53 哈里斯暂时不会发表讲话</strong></p><p>据美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表讲话,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>13:24:03</strong></p><p>爱迪生研究预测显示,在战场州密歇根州54%的计票中,特朗普以52%领先哈里斯的46.2%;宾夕法尼亚州88%的计票中,特朗普以50.9%领先哈里斯的48.1%;威斯康星州81%的计票中,特朗普以51%领先哈里斯的47.3%,战场州中哈里斯仅在明尼苏达州领先:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd853860c7152f9da036111c85375eb6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"679\" tg-height=\"412\"/></p><p><strong>13:09:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在内布拉斯加州关键选区赢得1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>13:08:13</strong></p><p>据美联社:共和党赢得美国参议院多数席位。</p><p><strong>13:01:07</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在夏威夷州获胜。</p><p><strong>12:49:05</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计共和党将赢得美国参议院的控制权。</p><p><strong>12:40:58</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计哈里斯在弗吉尼亚州获胜(注:该州有13张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:33:37</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新墨西哥州(5张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:19:19</strong></p><p>据美联社,美国前总统特朗普赢得北卡罗来纳州这一关键战场州。</p><p><strong>12:03:14</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯赢得缅因州。</p><p><strong>12:02:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得华盛顿州(12张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:01:15</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得加利福尼亚州;特朗普赢得爱达荷州。(注:加州有54张选举人票)</p><p><strong>11:40:36</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普在堪萨斯州获胜。</p><p><strong>11:28:38</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预计特朗普将赢得摇摆州佐治亚州。</p><p><strong>11:20:25</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计特朗普赢得爱荷华州。</p><p><strong>11:13:34 </strong>美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获198张选举人票</p><p>美国总统大选计票当地时间11月5日正在进行。根据美联社最新公布数据,特朗普目前已获得198张选举人票,哈里斯得票数暂为99张。</p><p><strong>11:05:00 美国亚利桑那州9个投票站投票时间延长2小时</strong></p><p>据美联社当地时间11月5日报道,一位法官已下令美国亚利桑那州东部的9个投票站将投票时间延长2小时。据悉,该州纳瓦霍族此前提出诉讼,称该地区投票站出现设备故障和印刷选票不足等问题,要求延长投票开放时间。与此同时,纳瓦霍县一些投票站收到了炸弹威胁,导致部分投票站短暂关闭。</p><p><strong>10:53:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得堪萨斯州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:49:52 美国大选实时选情:过半数州投票站已关闭,特朗普累计赢得188张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得99张选举人票</strong></p><p>据美联社报道,截至美国东部时间当天21时30分,美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据美联社数据,特朗普选举人票已升至188张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p><strong>10:41</strong></p><p>唐纳德·特朗普赢得内布拉斯加州第三国会选区的1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>10:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:26:21 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获178张选举人票 哈里斯暂获99张</strong></p><p>美国总统大选计票正在进行。根据美联社初步测算,特朗普选举人票升至178张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p>截至发稿,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普赢得了肯塔基州、印第安纳州、西弗吉尼亚州、亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州、阿肯色州、怀俄明州、路易斯安那州、南达科他州、北达科他州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州。</p><p>美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯赢得了佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗得岛州、华盛顿特区、新泽西州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州。</p><p>美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p><strong>10:10</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄亥俄州(17张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:03:24</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得德克萨斯州(40张选举人票)、路易斯安那州(8张选举人票)和怀俄明州(3张选举人票)。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 夜盘升19%。</p><p><strong>10:02:56</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得北达科他州、内布拉斯加州。</p><p><strong>10:01:59</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得纽约州。</p><p><strong>09:54:00</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得弗吉尼亚州(13张选举人票)和新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:39:46</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得伊利诺伊州(19张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得74张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:34:39</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得特拉华州(3张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得55张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:31</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新泽西州(14张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:30</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普赢得阿肯色州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:13 美16个州和华盛顿特区结束大选投票</strong></p><p>截至当地时间11月5日晚上8点,美国已有16个州和华盛顿特区的投票站陆续关闭。据美联社预测,共和党总统候选人特朗普赢得了亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州,共计获得了95张选举人票。民主党候选人哈里斯赢得了马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗德岛州和华盛顿特区,共计35张候选人票。</p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得马里兰州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得康涅狄格州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得罗德岛。哈里斯赢得哥伦比亚特区。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:52 哈里斯赢得马萨诸塞州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:18 据媒体测算,特朗普赢得佛罗里达州(30 张选举人票)。</strong></p><p><strong>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄克拉荷马州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:01:35 特朗普赢得阿拉巴马州。</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普赢得密西西比州。</strong></p><p><strong>08:59 乔治亚州特朗普领先</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州乔治亚州,预计已统计32.3%的选票,结果显示美国前总统特朗普获得55.6%的支持,美国副总统哈里斯获得43.9%的支持。</p><p><strong>08:46 乔治亚州12个投票站因炸弹威胁延长投票时间</strong></p><p>美国乔治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p><p><strong>08:31 特朗普赢得西弗吉尼亚州(4张选举人票)</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53702b906064ae7b5d9fe5f6664428e6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"751\"/></p><p>消息公布后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 盘后大涨,比特币扩大涨幅,上涨2.0%至70,567美元。</p><p><strong>08:22 美国已有6个州结束总统大选投票</strong></p><p>截至美国东部时间11月5日19时,美国佐治亚州、印第安纳州、肯塔基州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州六个州的投票站关闭。美国东部时间19时30分,北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站将关闭。</p><p>当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。</p><p><strong>08:02 特朗普赢得肯塔基州、印第安纳州。哈里斯赢得佛蒙特州。</strong></p><p><strong>07:40 “存在人为错误” 美国威斯康星州一地将重新计票</strong></p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)当地时间11月5日报道,威斯康星州密尔沃基市发言人杰夫·弗莱明表示,在确认制表机上的门没有正确关闭后,该市将“非常谨慎”地通过制表机重新统计约3万张缺席选票。弗莱明说,所有制表机都被设置为零,选票将再次通过机器。他表示,这可能会给计票过程增加几个小时。弗莱明表示,机器的问题是人为错误造成的,“我们不相信它们被以任何方式篡改了”。</p><p><strong>07:28</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 盘后涨超6%,出口民调结果显示全美44%的选民对特朗普持正面看法。</p><p><strong>07:01</strong></p><p>美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。</p><h2 id=\"id_2180128803\">其他要点:</h2><p>外电消息:马斯克和几位重量级的捐赠人周二晚将齐聚唐纳德·特朗普的海湖庄园,哈里斯突访民主党全国委员会总部,晚上将抵达位于霍华德大学的竞选总部。</p><p><strong>特朗普</strong></p><p>这位共和党候选人当天大部分时间也都会在海湖庄园度过,他佛罗里达投票后就若败选是否会认输的问题发出了含糊不清的信号</p><p>他对记者说:“如果我输了大选—公平的大选—我会第一个出来承认,” 他还表示此次选举到目前为止是公平的</p><p>特朗普竞选团队当晚将在棕榈滩会议中心举办投票日观战晚会,预计数千人到场</p><p>共和党全国委员会主席Michael Whatley对特朗普拿下北卡罗来纳及其它摇摆州感到“谨慎乐观”</p><p><strong>哈里斯</strong></p><p>这位民主党候选人投票日还在摇摆州佐治亚接受电台的采访,激励选民参与投票并呼吁黑人男性选票投给自己</p><p>哈里斯下午突然造访位于华盛顿特区的民主党全国委员会总部,向志愿者表达谢意的同时亲自向选民喊话</p><p>哈里斯将在晚间抵达设在其母校霍华德大学的竞选总部,举办选举夜派对</p><p>一些民主党重量级人物对哈里斯的选情表达了谨慎乐观</p><p><strong>重中之重的宾州</strong></p><p>特朗普预计“摇摆州”宾夕法尼亚的投票结果需要两到三天的时间才能出炉</p><p>他此前已暗示若输掉选举就会像2020年那样宣称宾州存在舞弊</p><p>宾夕法尼亚州截至周一上午的统计显示,今年有近220万份邮寄和缺席选票申请,约180万票已回收;相比之下,2020年有350万份申请,投出270万票</p><p>在这个最关键战场州的人口第二大县Allegheny,官员预计在投票结束后不久就能报告大部分邮寄选票的结果</p><p>费城使用三班制,每班有100 多名工人处理和计算选票</p><p>费城官员Seth Bluestein表示,若宾州选情像2020年那样接近(拜登多出80555票获胜),那就可能要到周三才能统计出足够的选票确定胜负</p><p>如果差距更小(2016年特朗普以44292票获胜),则投票结果可能要到周四揭晓</p><p><strong>亚利桑那州</strong></p><p>这个摇摆州的选情聚焦于Maricopa县,当地有240万登记选民,占到该州半数以上</p><p>是否能拿下Maricopa可能决定亚利桑那的11张选举人票归特朗普还是哈里斯</p><p>Maricopa县官方料在晚8点开始公布第一批结果</p><p><strong>佐治亚州</strong></p><p>佐治亚州是这次总统大选中七个最重要的摇摆州之一,那里的早期选举结果并没有透露多少该州将走向何处的信号。现在,特朗普以60%的支持率领先哈里斯的40%,而该州预计的投票清点数量仅占9%。</p><p>但值得注意的是,亚特兰大地区的两个都市区县都报告了至少70%的预期选票,这两个县的蓝色选票(投给民主党)明显高于2020年的水平,而该州其他许多农村县的蓝色选票明显高于2020年的水平。</p><p>不过,到目前为止,佐治亚州大约四分之三的选票估计是提前投票或缺席投票,这至少应该比选举日的选票更有利于民主党。</p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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15:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>11月6日,当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话,宣布在2024年总统选举中获胜。美国“当选总统”特朗普表示,共和党已经重新掌控了参议院,看起来将继续控制众议院。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baea3053170de2a5e8e9852f77048a85\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"4794\"/></p><p><strong>15:29:18</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普向支持者发表讲话,哈里斯取消演讲计划</strong></p><p>当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话。另据美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表演讲,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>15:12:28</strong></p><p>美国众议院议长约翰逊表示,特朗普现在是美国的当选总统。众议院共和党人已做好准备,准备立即就特朗普的美国优先议程采取行动。</p><p><strong>15:07:50</strong></p><p><strong>CNN:特朗普团队对获胜感到自信,但远没有达到当前公布的水平</strong></p><p>据CNN,周二早上,随着投票开始,特朗普的竞选团队满怀信心地醒来。但CNN采访的多名竞选助手并不认为他的胜利会接近今晚公布的数字。</p><p><strong>14:48:27</strong></p><p><strong>美媒测算特朗普已获至少277张选举人票 锁定2024年总统选举胜局</strong></p><p>美国媒体福克斯测算,共和党总统候选人特朗普已获得至少277张选举人票。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05bd5b7917100db9b8b494562e628e85\" title=\"数据来源:福克斯新闻\" tg-width=\"1548\" tg-height=\"538\"/><span>数据来源:福克斯新闻</span></p><p><strong>14:46:17</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:哈里斯预计在康涅狄格州获胜(获得7张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>14:42:37</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州密歇根州,预计已统计70.2%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得52.2%的支持率,而哈里斯获得46%的支持率;在关键州威斯康星州,预计已统计90%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得51.3%的支持,哈里斯获得47.1%的支持。</p><p><strong>14:35:11</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯在明尼苏达州获胜。(该州有10张选举人票)</p><p><strong>14:25:23</strong></p><p>哈里斯的盟友马克·库班表示,特朗普“赢得了公正的胜利”。</p><p><strong>14:21:44</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预测特朗普赢得美国总统选举。</p><p><strong>14:20:27 特朗普夺下宾州</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻,预计特朗普在关键州宾夕法尼亚州获胜。</p><p><strong>14:18:56</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州。</p><p><strong>14:09:29</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州宾夕法尼亚州,预计已统计93%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得51.1%的支持率,而哈里斯获得47.8%的支持率。</p><p><strong>14:08:54</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:特朗普预计在阿拉斯加州获胜。(该州有3张选举人票)</p><p><strong>13:57:38 最后一个摇摆州开票!</strong></p><p>据美联社:在内华达州,经过4%的预计选票统计,特朗普获得71.5%的支持,哈里斯获得26.8%的支持率。</p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州内华达州,预计已统计56.5%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得50.4%的支持率,而哈里斯获得48.1%的支持率。</p><p><strong>13:53 哈里斯暂时不会发表讲话</strong></p><p>据美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表讲话,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>13:24:03</strong></p><p>爱迪生研究预测显示,在战场州密歇根州54%的计票中,特朗普以52%领先哈里斯的46.2%;宾夕法尼亚州88%的计票中,特朗普以50.9%领先哈里斯的48.1%;威斯康星州81%的计票中,特朗普以51%领先哈里斯的47.3%,战场州中哈里斯仅在明尼苏达州领先:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd853860c7152f9da036111c85375eb6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"679\" tg-height=\"412\"/></p><p><strong>13:09:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在内布拉斯加州关键选区赢得1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>13:08:13</strong></p><p>据美联社:共和党赢得美国参议院多数席位。</p><p><strong>13:01:07</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在夏威夷州获胜。</p><p><strong>12:49:05</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计共和党将赢得美国参议院的控制权。</p><p><strong>12:40:58</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计哈里斯在弗吉尼亚州获胜(注:该州有13张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:33:37</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新墨西哥州(5张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:19:19</strong></p><p>据美联社,美国前总统特朗普赢得北卡罗来纳州这一关键战场州。</p><p><strong>12:03:14</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯赢得缅因州。</p><p><strong>12:02:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得华盛顿州(12张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:01:15</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得加利福尼亚州;特朗普赢得爱达荷州。(注:加州有54张选举人票)</p><p><strong>11:40:36</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普在堪萨斯州获胜。</p><p><strong>11:28:38</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预计特朗普将赢得摇摆州佐治亚州。</p><p><strong>11:20:25</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计特朗普赢得爱荷华州。</p><p><strong>11:13:34 </strong>美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获198张选举人票</p><p>美国总统大选计票当地时间11月5日正在进行。根据美联社最新公布数据,特朗普目前已获得198张选举人票,哈里斯得票数暂为99张。</p><p><strong>11:05:00 美国亚利桑那州9个投票站投票时间延长2小时</strong></p><p>据美联社当地时间11月5日报道,一位法官已下令美国亚利桑那州东部的9个投票站将投票时间延长2小时。据悉,该州纳瓦霍族此前提出诉讼,称该地区投票站出现设备故障和印刷选票不足等问题,要求延长投票开放时间。与此同时,纳瓦霍县一些投票站收到了炸弹威胁,导致部分投票站短暂关闭。</p><p><strong>10:53:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得堪萨斯州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:49:52 美国大选实时选情:过半数州投票站已关闭,特朗普累计赢得188张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得99张选举人票</strong></p><p>据美联社报道,截至美国东部时间当天21时30分,美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据美联社数据,特朗普选举人票已升至188张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p><strong>10:41</strong></p><p>唐纳德·特朗普赢得内布拉斯加州第三国会选区的1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>10:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:26:21 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获178张选举人票 哈里斯暂获99张</strong></p><p>美国总统大选计票正在进行。根据美联社初步测算,特朗普选举人票升至178张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p>截至发稿,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普赢得了肯塔基州、印第安纳州、西弗吉尼亚州、亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州、阿肯色州、怀俄明州、路易斯安那州、南达科他州、北达科他州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州。</p><p>美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯赢得了佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗得岛州、华盛顿特区、新泽西州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州。</p><p>美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p><strong>10:10</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄亥俄州(17张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:03:24</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得德克萨斯州(40张选举人票)、路易斯安那州(8张选举人票)和怀俄明州(3张选举人票)。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 夜盘升19%。</p><p><strong>10:02:56</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得北达科他州、内布拉斯加州。</p><p><strong>10:01:59</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得纽约州。</p><p><strong>09:54:00</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得弗吉尼亚州(13张选举人票)和新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:39:46</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得伊利诺伊州(19张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得74张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:34:39</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得特拉华州(3张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得55张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:31</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新泽西州(14张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:30</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普赢得阿肯色州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:13 美16个州和华盛顿特区结束大选投票</strong></p><p>截至当地时间11月5日晚上8点,美国已有16个州和华盛顿特区的投票站陆续关闭。据美联社预测,共和党总统候选人特朗普赢得了亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州,共计获得了95张选举人票。民主党候选人哈里斯赢得了马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗德岛州和华盛顿特区,共计35张候选人票。</p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得马里兰州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得康涅狄格州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得罗德岛。哈里斯赢得哥伦比亚特区。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:52 哈里斯赢得马萨诸塞州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:18 据媒体测算,特朗普赢得佛罗里达州(30 张选举人票)。</strong></p><p><strong>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄克拉荷马州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:01:35 特朗普赢得阿拉巴马州。</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普赢得密西西比州。</strong></p><p><strong>08:59 乔治亚州特朗普领先</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州乔治亚州,预计已统计32.3%的选票,结果显示美国前总统特朗普获得55.6%的支持,美国副总统哈里斯获得43.9%的支持。</p><p><strong>08:46 乔治亚州12个投票站因炸弹威胁延长投票时间</strong></p><p>美国乔治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p><p><strong>08:31 特朗普赢得西弗吉尼亚州(4张选举人票)</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53702b906064ae7b5d9fe5f6664428e6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"751\"/></p><p>消息公布后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 盘后大涨,比特币扩大涨幅,上涨2.0%至70,567美元。</p><p><strong>08:22 美国已有6个州结束总统大选投票</strong></p><p>截至美国东部时间11月5日19时,美国佐治亚州、印第安纳州、肯塔基州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州六个州的投票站关闭。美国东部时间19时30分,北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站将关闭。</p><p>当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。</p><p><strong>08:02 特朗普赢得肯塔基州、印第安纳州。哈里斯赢得佛蒙特州。</strong></p><p><strong>07:40 “存在人为错误” 美国威斯康星州一地将重新计票</strong></p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)当地时间11月5日报道,威斯康星州密尔沃基市发言人杰夫·弗莱明表示,在确认制表机上的门没有正确关闭后,该市将“非常谨慎”地通过制表机重新统计约3万张缺席选票。弗莱明说,所有制表机都被设置为零,选票将再次通过机器。他表示,这可能会给计票过程增加几个小时。弗莱明表示,机器的问题是人为错误造成的,“我们不相信它们被以任何方式篡改了”。</p><p><strong>07:28</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 盘后涨超6%,出口民调结果显示全美44%的选民对特朗普持正面看法。</p><p><strong>07:01</strong></p><p>美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。</p><h2 id=\"id_2180128803\">其他要点:</h2><p>外电消息:马斯克和几位重量级的捐赠人周二晚将齐聚唐纳德·特朗普的海湖庄园,哈里斯突访民主党全国委员会总部,晚上将抵达位于霍华德大学的竞选总部。</p><p><strong>特朗普</strong></p><p>这位共和党候选人当天大部分时间也都会在海湖庄园度过,他佛罗里达投票后就若败选是否会认输的问题发出了含糊不清的信号</p><p>他对记者说:“如果我输了大选—公平的大选—我会第一个出来承认,” 他还表示此次选举到目前为止是公平的</p><p>特朗普竞选团队当晚将在棕榈滩会议中心举办投票日观战晚会,预计数千人到场</p><p>共和党全国委员会主席Michael Whatley对特朗普拿下北卡罗来纳及其它摇摆州感到“谨慎乐观”</p><p><strong>哈里斯</strong></p><p>这位民主党候选人投票日还在摇摆州佐治亚接受电台的采访,激励选民参与投票并呼吁黑人男性选票投给自己</p><p>哈里斯下午突然造访位于华盛顿特区的民主党全国委员会总部,向志愿者表达谢意的同时亲自向选民喊话</p><p>哈里斯将在晚间抵达设在其母校霍华德大学的竞选总部,举办选举夜派对</p><p>一些民主党重量级人物对哈里斯的选情表达了谨慎乐观</p><p><strong>重中之重的宾州</strong></p><p>特朗普预计“摇摆州”宾夕法尼亚的投票结果需要两到三天的时间才能出炉</p><p>他此前已暗示若输掉选举就会像2020年那样宣称宾州存在舞弊</p><p>宾夕法尼亚州截至周一上午的统计显示,今年有近220万份邮寄和缺席选票申请,约180万票已回收;相比之下,2020年有350万份申请,投出270万票</p><p>在这个最关键战场州的人口第二大县Allegheny,官员预计在投票结束后不久就能报告大部分邮寄选票的结果</p><p>费城使用三班制,每班有100 多名工人处理和计算选票</p><p>费城官员Seth Bluestein表示,若宾州选情像2020年那样接近(拜登多出80555票获胜),那就可能要到周三才能统计出足够的选票确定胜负</p><p>如果差距更小(2016年特朗普以44292票获胜),则投票结果可能要到周四揭晓</p><p><strong>亚利桑那州</strong></p><p>这个摇摆州的选情聚焦于Maricopa县,当地有240万登记选民,占到该州半数以上</p><p>是否能拿下Maricopa可能决定亚利桑那的11张选举人票归特朗普还是哈里斯</p><p>Maricopa县官方料在晚8点开始公布第一批结果</p><p><strong>佐治亚州</strong></p><p>佐治亚州是这次总统大选中七个最重要的摇摆州之一,那里的早期选举结果并没有透露多少该州将走向何处的信号。现在,特朗普以60%的支持率领先哈里斯的40%,而该州预计的投票清点数量仅占9%。</p><p>但值得注意的是,亚特兰大地区的两个都市区县都报告了至少70%的预期选票,这两个县的蓝色选票(投给民主党)明显高于2020年的水平,而该州其他许多农村县的蓝色选票明显高于2020年的水平。</p><p>不过,到目前为止,佐治亚州大约四分之三的选票估计是提前投票或缺席投票,这至少应该比选举日的选票更有利于民主党。</p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae2ff4f0dbefc0001a653cf1719d84fa","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"MicroStrategy","DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184822735","content_text":"11月6日,当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话,宣布在2024年总统选举中获胜。美国“当选总统”特朗普表示,共和党已经重新掌控了参议院,看起来将继续控制众议院。15:29:18特朗普向支持者发表讲话,哈里斯取消演讲计划当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话。另据美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表演讲,“将于明天讲话”。15:12:28美国众议院议长约翰逊表示,特朗普现在是美国的当选总统。众议院共和党人已做好准备,准备立即就特朗普的美国优先议程采取行动。15:07:50CNN:特朗普团队对获胜感到自信,但远没有达到当前公布的水平据CNN,周二早上,随着投票开始,特朗普的竞选团队满怀信心地醒来。但CNN采访的多名竞选助手并不认为他的胜利会接近今晚公布的数字。14:48:27美媒测算特朗普已获至少277张选举人票 锁定2024年总统选举胜局美国媒体福克斯测算,共和党总统候选人特朗普已获得至少277张选举人票。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。数据来源:福克斯新闻14:46:17据爱迪生研究公司:哈里斯预计在康涅狄格州获胜(获得7张选举人票)。14:42:37据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州密歇根州,预计已统计70.2%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得52.2%的支持率,而哈里斯获得46%的支持率;在关键州威斯康星州,预计已统计90%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得51.3%的支持,哈里斯获得47.1%的支持。14:35:11据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯在明尼苏达州获胜。(该州有10张选举人票)14:25:23哈里斯的盟友马克·库班表示,特朗普“赢得了公正的胜利”。14:21:44据决策办公室:预测特朗普赢得美国总统选举。14:20:27 特朗普夺下宾州据福克斯新闻,预计特朗普在关键州宾夕法尼亚州获胜。14:18:56据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州。14:09:29据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州宾夕法尼亚州,预计已统计93%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得51.1%的支持率,而哈里斯获得47.8%的支持率。14:08:54据决策办公室:特朗普预计在阿拉斯加州获胜。(该州有3张选举人票)13:57:38 最后一个摇摆州开票!据美联社:在内华达州,经过4%的预计选票统计,特朗普获得71.5%的支持,哈里斯获得26.8%的支持率。据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州内华达州,预计已统计56.5%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得50.4%的支持率,而哈里斯获得48.1%的支持率。13:53 哈里斯暂时不会发表讲话据美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表讲话,“将于明天讲话”。13:24:03爱迪生研究预测显示,在战场州密歇根州54%的计票中,特朗普以52%领先哈里斯的46.2%;宾夕法尼亚州88%的计票中,特朗普以50.9%领先哈里斯的48.1%;威斯康星州81%的计票中,特朗普以51%领先哈里斯的47.3%,战场州中哈里斯仅在明尼苏达州领先:13:09:47据美联社:预计哈里斯在内布拉斯加州关键选区赢得1张选举人票。13:08:13据美联社:共和党赢得美国参议院多数席位。13:01:07据美联社:预计哈里斯在夏威夷州获胜。12:49:05据福克斯新闻:预计共和党将赢得美国参议院的控制权。12:40:58据NBC新闻:预计哈里斯在弗吉尼亚州获胜(注:该州有13张选举人票)。12:33:37据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新墨西哥州(5张选举人票)。12:19:19据美联社,美国前总统特朗普赢得北卡罗来纳州这一关键战场州。12:03:14据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯赢得缅因州。12:02:47据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得华盛顿州(12张选举人票)。12:01:15据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得加利福尼亚州;特朗普赢得爱达荷州。(注:加州有54张选举人票)11:40:36据美联社:预计特朗普在堪萨斯州获胜。11:28:38据决策办公室:预计特朗普将赢得摇摆州佐治亚州。11:20:25据NBC新闻:预计特朗普赢得爱荷华州。11:13:34 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获198张选举人票美国总统大选计票当地时间11月5日正在进行。根据美联社最新公布数据,特朗普目前已获得198张选举人票,哈里斯得票数暂为99张。11:05:00 美国亚利桑那州9个投票站投票时间延长2小时据美联社当地时间11月5日报道,一位法官已下令美国亚利桑那州东部的9个投票站将投票时间延长2小时。据悉,该州纳瓦霍族此前提出诉讼,称该地区投票站出现设备故障和印刷选票不足等问题,要求延长投票开放时间。与此同时,纳瓦霍县一些投票站收到了炸弹威胁,导致部分投票站短暂关闭。10:53:35据媒体测算,特朗普赢得堪萨斯州(6张选举人票)。10:49:52 美国大选实时选情:过半数州投票站已关闭,特朗普累计赢得188张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得99张选举人票据美联社报道,截至美国东部时间当天21时30分,美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据美联社数据,特朗普选举人票已升至188张,哈里斯暂获99张。10:41唐纳德·特朗普赢得内布拉斯加州第三国会选区的1张选举人票。10:35据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。10:26:21 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获178张选举人票 哈里斯暂获99张美国总统大选计票正在进行。根据美联社初步测算,特朗普选举人票升至178张,哈里斯暂获99张。截至发稿,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普赢得了肯塔基州、印第安纳州、西弗吉尼亚州、亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州、阿肯色州、怀俄明州、路易斯安那州、南达科他州、北达科他州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州。美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯赢得了佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗得岛州、华盛顿特区、新泽西州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。10:10据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄亥俄州(17张选举人票)。10:03:24据媒体测算,特朗普赢得德克萨斯州(40张选举人票)、路易斯安那州(8张选举人票)和怀俄明州(3张选举人票)。 特朗普媒体科技集团 夜盘升19%。10:02:56据媒体测算,特朗普赢得北达科他州、内布拉斯加州。10:01:59据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得纽约州。09:54:00据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得弗吉尼亚州(13张选举人票)和新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。09:39:46据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得伊利诺伊州(19张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得74张选举人票。09:34:39据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得特拉华州(3张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得55张选举人票。09:31据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新泽西州(14张选举人票)。09:30据美联社:预计特朗普赢得阿肯色州(6张选举人票)。09:13 美16个州和华盛顿特区结束大选投票截至当地时间11月5日晚上8点,美国已有16个州和华盛顿特区的投票站陆续关闭。据美联社预测,共和党总统候选人特朗普赢得了亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州,共计获得了95张选举人票。民主党候选人哈里斯赢得了马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗德岛州和华盛顿特区,共计35张候选人票。09:05 哈里斯赢得马里兰州。09:05 哈里斯赢得康涅狄格州。09:05 哈里斯赢得罗德岛。哈里斯赢得哥伦比亚特区。09:02:52 哈里斯赢得马萨诸塞州。09:02:18 据媒体测算,特朗普赢得佛罗里达州(30 张选举人票)。据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄克拉荷马州。09:01:35 特朗普赢得阿拉巴马州。特朗普赢得密西西比州。08:59 乔治亚州特朗普领先据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州乔治亚州,预计已统计32.3%的选票,结果显示美国前总统特朗普获得55.6%的支持,美国副总统哈里斯获得43.9%的支持。08:46 乔治亚州12个投票站因炸弹威胁延长投票时间美国乔治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。08:31 特朗普赢得西弗吉尼亚州(4张选举人票)消息公布后特朗普媒体科技集团 、 特斯拉 盘后大涨,比特币扩大涨幅,上涨2.0%至70,567美元。08:22 美国已有6个州结束总统大选投票截至美国东部时间11月5日19时,美国佐治亚州、印第安纳州、肯塔基州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州六个州的投票站关闭。美国东部时间19时30分,北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站将关闭。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。08:02 特朗普赢得肯塔基州、印第安纳州。哈里斯赢得佛蒙特州。07:40 “存在人为错误” 美国威斯康星州一地将重新计票据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)当地时间11月5日报道,威斯康星州密尔沃基市发言人杰夫·弗莱明表示,在确认制表机上的门没有正确关闭后,该市将“非常谨慎”地通过制表机重新统计约3万张缺席选票。弗莱明说,所有制表机都被设置为零,选票将再次通过机器。他表示,这可能会给计票过程增加几个小时。弗莱明表示,机器的问题是人为错误造成的,“我们不相信它们被以任何方式篡改了”。07:28特朗普媒体科技集团 盘后涨超6%,出口民调结果显示全美44%的选民对特朗普持正面看法。07:01美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。其他要点:外电消息:马斯克和几位重量级的捐赠人周二晚将齐聚唐纳德·特朗普的海湖庄园,哈里斯突访民主党全国委员会总部,晚上将抵达位于霍华德大学的竞选总部。特朗普这位共和党候选人当天大部分时间也都会在海湖庄园度过,他佛罗里达投票后就若败选是否会认输的问题发出了含糊不清的信号他对记者说:“如果我输了大选—公平的大选—我会第一个出来承认,” 他还表示此次选举到目前为止是公平的特朗普竞选团队当晚将在棕榈滩会议中心举办投票日观战晚会,预计数千人到场共和党全国委员会主席Michael Whatley对特朗普拿下北卡罗来纳及其它摇摆州感到“谨慎乐观”哈里斯这位民主党候选人投票日还在摇摆州佐治亚接受电台的采访,激励选民参与投票并呼吁黑人男性选票投给自己哈里斯下午突然造访位于华盛顿特区的民主党全国委员会总部,向志愿者表达谢意的同时亲自向选民喊话哈里斯将在晚间抵达设在其母校霍华德大学的竞选总部,举办选举夜派对一些民主党重量级人物对哈里斯的选情表达了谨慎乐观重中之重的宾州特朗普预计“摇摆州”宾夕法尼亚的投票结果需要两到三天的时间才能出炉他此前已暗示若输掉选举就会像2020年那样宣称宾州存在舞弊宾夕法尼亚州截至周一上午的统计显示,今年有近220万份邮寄和缺席选票申请,约180万票已回收;相比之下,2020年有350万份申请,投出270万票在这个最关键战场州的人口第二大县Allegheny,官员预计在投票结束后不久就能报告大部分邮寄选票的结果费城使用三班制,每班有100 多名工人处理和计算选票费城官员Seth Bluestein表示,若宾州选情像2020年那样接近(拜登多出80555票获胜),那就可能要到周三才能统计出足够的选票确定胜负如果差距更小(2016年特朗普以44292票获胜),则投票结果可能要到周四揭晓亚利桑那州这个摇摆州的选情聚焦于Maricopa县,当地有240万登记选民,占到该州半数以上是否能拿下Maricopa可能决定亚利桑那的11张选举人票归特朗普还是哈里斯Maricopa县官方料在晚8点开始公布第一批结果佐治亚州佐治亚州是这次总统大选中七个最重要的摇摆州之一,那里的早期选举结果并没有透露多少该州将走向何处的信号。现在,特朗普以60%的支持率领先哈里斯的40%,而该州预计的投票清点数量仅占9%。但值得注意的是,亚特兰大地区的两个都市区县都报告了至少70%的预期选票,这两个县的蓝色选票(投给民主党)明显高于2020年的水平,而该州其他许多农村县的蓝色选票明显高于2020年的水平。不过,到目前为止,佐治亚州大约四分之三的选票估计是提前投票或缺席投票,这至少应该比选举日的选票更有利于民主党。据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367866542977240,"gmtCreate":1730851672082,"gmtModify":1730851672609,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"","listText":"","text":"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367866542977240","repostId":"1184822735","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1184822735","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1730877286,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184822735?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-06 15:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国总统大选尘埃落定,特朗普宣布胜选!这些股票或将受益","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184822735","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>11月6日,当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话,宣布在2024年总统选举中获胜。美国“当选总统”特朗普表示,共和党已经重新掌控了参议院,看起来将继续控制众议院。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baea3053170de2a5e8e9852f77048a85\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"4794\"/></p><p><strong>15:29:18</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普向支持者发表讲话,哈里斯取消演讲计划</strong></p><p>当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话。另据美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表演讲,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>15:12:28</strong></p><p>美国众议院议长约翰逊表示,特朗普现在是美国的当选总统。众议院共和党人已做好准备,准备立即就特朗普的美国优先议程采取行动。</p><p><strong>15:07:50</strong></p><p><strong>CNN:特朗普团队对获胜感到自信,但远没有达到当前公布的水平</strong></p><p>据CNN,周二早上,随着投票开始,特朗普的竞选团队满怀信心地醒来。但CNN采访的多名竞选助手并不认为他的胜利会接近今晚公布的数字。</p><p><strong>14:48:27</strong></p><p><strong>美媒测算特朗普已获至少277张选举人票 锁定2024年总统选举胜局</strong></p><p>美国媒体福克斯测算,共和党总统候选人特朗普已获得至少277张选举人票。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05bd5b7917100db9b8b494562e628e85\" title=\"数据来源:福克斯新闻\" tg-width=\"1548\" tg-height=\"538\"/><span>数据来源:福克斯新闻</span></p><p><strong>14:46:17</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:哈里斯预计在康涅狄格州获胜(获得7张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>14:42:37</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州密歇根州,预计已统计70.2%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得52.2%的支持率,而哈里斯获得46%的支持率;在关键州威斯康星州,预计已统计90%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得51.3%的支持,哈里斯获得47.1%的支持。</p><p><strong>14:35:11</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯在明尼苏达州获胜。(该州有10张选举人票)</p><p><strong>14:25:23</strong></p><p>哈里斯的盟友马克·库班表示,特朗普“赢得了公正的胜利”。</p><p><strong>14:21:44</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预测特朗普赢得美国总统选举。</p><p><strong>14:20:27 特朗普夺下宾州</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻,预计特朗普在关键州宾夕法尼亚州获胜。</p><p><strong>14:18:56</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州。</p><p><strong>14:09:29</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州宾夕法尼亚州,预计已统计93%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得51.1%的支持率,而哈里斯获得47.8%的支持率。</p><p><strong>14:08:54</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:特朗普预计在阿拉斯加州获胜。(该州有3张选举人票)</p><p><strong>13:57:38 最后一个摇摆州开票!</strong></p><p>据美联社:在内华达州,经过4%的预计选票统计,特朗普获得71.5%的支持,哈里斯获得26.8%的支持率。</p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州内华达州,预计已统计56.5%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得50.4%的支持率,而哈里斯获得48.1%的支持率。</p><p><strong>13:53 哈里斯暂时不会发表讲话</strong></p><p>据美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表讲话,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>13:24:03</strong></p><p>爱迪生研究预测显示,在战场州密歇根州54%的计票中,特朗普以52%领先哈里斯的46.2%;宾夕法尼亚州88%的计票中,特朗普以50.9%领先哈里斯的48.1%;威斯康星州81%的计票中,特朗普以51%领先哈里斯的47.3%,战场州中哈里斯仅在明尼苏达州领先:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd853860c7152f9da036111c85375eb6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"679\" tg-height=\"412\"/></p><p><strong>13:09:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在内布拉斯加州关键选区赢得1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>13:08:13</strong></p><p>据美联社:共和党赢得美国参议院多数席位。</p><p><strong>13:01:07</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在夏威夷州获胜。</p><p><strong>12:49:05</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计共和党将赢得美国参议院的控制权。</p><p><strong>12:40:58</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计哈里斯在弗吉尼亚州获胜(注:该州有13张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:33:37</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新墨西哥州(5张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:19:19</strong></p><p>据美联社,美国前总统特朗普赢得北卡罗来纳州这一关键战场州。</p><p><strong>12:03:14</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯赢得缅因州。</p><p><strong>12:02:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得华盛顿州(12张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:01:15</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得加利福尼亚州;特朗普赢得爱达荷州。(注:加州有54张选举人票)</p><p><strong>11:40:36</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普在堪萨斯州获胜。</p><p><strong>11:28:38</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预计特朗普将赢得摇摆州佐治亚州。</p><p><strong>11:20:25</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计特朗普赢得爱荷华州。</p><p><strong>11:13:34 </strong>美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获198张选举人票</p><p>美国总统大选计票当地时间11月5日正在进行。根据美联社最新公布数据,特朗普目前已获得198张选举人票,哈里斯得票数暂为99张。</p><p><strong>11:05:00 美国亚利桑那州9个投票站投票时间延长2小时</strong></p><p>据美联社当地时间11月5日报道,一位法官已下令美国亚利桑那州东部的9个投票站将投票时间延长2小时。据悉,该州纳瓦霍族此前提出诉讼,称该地区投票站出现设备故障和印刷选票不足等问题,要求延长投票开放时间。与此同时,纳瓦霍县一些投票站收到了炸弹威胁,导致部分投票站短暂关闭。</p><p><strong>10:53:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得堪萨斯州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:49:52 美国大选实时选情:过半数州投票站已关闭,特朗普累计赢得188张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得99张选举人票</strong></p><p>据美联社报道,截至美国东部时间当天21时30分,美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据美联社数据,特朗普选举人票已升至188张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p><strong>10:41</strong></p><p>唐纳德·特朗普赢得内布拉斯加州第三国会选区的1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>10:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:26:21 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获178张选举人票 哈里斯暂获99张</strong></p><p>美国总统大选计票正在进行。根据美联社初步测算,特朗普选举人票升至178张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p>截至发稿,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普赢得了肯塔基州、印第安纳州、西弗吉尼亚州、亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州、阿肯色州、怀俄明州、路易斯安那州、南达科他州、北达科他州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州。</p><p>美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯赢得了佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗得岛州、华盛顿特区、新泽西州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州。</p><p>美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p><strong>10:10</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄亥俄州(17张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:03:24</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得德克萨斯州(40张选举人票)、路易斯安那州(8张选举人票)和怀俄明州(3张选举人票)。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 夜盘升19%。</p><p><strong>10:02:56</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得北达科他州、内布拉斯加州。</p><p><strong>10:01:59</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得纽约州。</p><p><strong>09:54:00</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得弗吉尼亚州(13张选举人票)和新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:39:46</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得伊利诺伊州(19张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得74张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:34:39</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得特拉华州(3张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得55张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:31</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新泽西州(14张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:30</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普赢得阿肯色州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:13 美16个州和华盛顿特区结束大选投票</strong></p><p>截至当地时间11月5日晚上8点,美国已有16个州和华盛顿特区的投票站陆续关闭。据美联社预测,共和党总统候选人特朗普赢得了亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州,共计获得了95张选举人票。民主党候选人哈里斯赢得了马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗德岛州和华盛顿特区,共计35张候选人票。</p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得马里兰州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得康涅狄格州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得罗德岛。哈里斯赢得哥伦比亚特区。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:52 哈里斯赢得马萨诸塞州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:18 据媒体测算,特朗普赢得佛罗里达州(30 张选举人票)。</strong></p><p><strong>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄克拉荷马州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:01:35 特朗普赢得阿拉巴马州。</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普赢得密西西比州。</strong></p><p><strong>08:59 乔治亚州特朗普领先</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州乔治亚州,预计已统计32.3%的选票,结果显示美国前总统特朗普获得55.6%的支持,美国副总统哈里斯获得43.9%的支持。</p><p><strong>08:46 乔治亚州12个投票站因炸弹威胁延长投票时间</strong></p><p>美国乔治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p><p><strong>08:31 特朗普赢得西弗吉尼亚州(4张选举人票)</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53702b906064ae7b5d9fe5f6664428e6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"751\"/></p><p>消息公布后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 盘后大涨,比特币扩大涨幅,上涨2.0%至70,567美元。</p><p><strong>08:22 美国已有6个州结束总统大选投票</strong></p><p>截至美国东部时间11月5日19时,美国佐治亚州、印第安纳州、肯塔基州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州六个州的投票站关闭。美国东部时间19时30分,北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站将关闭。</p><p>当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。</p><p><strong>08:02 特朗普赢得肯塔基州、印第安纳州。哈里斯赢得佛蒙特州。</strong></p><p><strong>07:40 “存在人为错误” 美国威斯康星州一地将重新计票</strong></p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)当地时间11月5日报道,威斯康星州密尔沃基市发言人杰夫·弗莱明表示,在确认制表机上的门没有正确关闭后,该市将“非常谨慎”地通过制表机重新统计约3万张缺席选票。弗莱明说,所有制表机都被设置为零,选票将再次通过机器。他表示,这可能会给计票过程增加几个小时。弗莱明表示,机器的问题是人为错误造成的,“我们不相信它们被以任何方式篡改了”。</p><p><strong>07:28</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 盘后涨超6%,出口民调结果显示全美44%的选民对特朗普持正面看法。</p><p><strong>07:01</strong></p><p>美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。</p><h2 id=\"id_2180128803\">其他要点:</h2><p>外电消息:马斯克和几位重量级的捐赠人周二晚将齐聚唐纳德·特朗普的海湖庄园,哈里斯突访民主党全国委员会总部,晚上将抵达位于霍华德大学的竞选总部。</p><p><strong>特朗普</strong></p><p>这位共和党候选人当天大部分时间也都会在海湖庄园度过,他佛罗里达投票后就若败选是否会认输的问题发出了含糊不清的信号</p><p>他对记者说:“如果我输了大选—公平的大选—我会第一个出来承认,” 他还表示此次选举到目前为止是公平的</p><p>特朗普竞选团队当晚将在棕榈滩会议中心举办投票日观战晚会,预计数千人到场</p><p>共和党全国委员会主席Michael Whatley对特朗普拿下北卡罗来纳及其它摇摆州感到“谨慎乐观”</p><p><strong>哈里斯</strong></p><p>这位民主党候选人投票日还在摇摆州佐治亚接受电台的采访,激励选民参与投票并呼吁黑人男性选票投给自己</p><p>哈里斯下午突然造访位于华盛顿特区的民主党全国委员会总部,向志愿者表达谢意的同时亲自向选民喊话</p><p>哈里斯将在晚间抵达设在其母校霍华德大学的竞选总部,举办选举夜派对</p><p>一些民主党重量级人物对哈里斯的选情表达了谨慎乐观</p><p><strong>重中之重的宾州</strong></p><p>特朗普预计“摇摆州”宾夕法尼亚的投票结果需要两到三天的时间才能出炉</p><p>他此前已暗示若输掉选举就会像2020年那样宣称宾州存在舞弊</p><p>宾夕法尼亚州截至周一上午的统计显示,今年有近220万份邮寄和缺席选票申请,约180万票已回收;相比之下,2020年有350万份申请,投出270万票</p><p>在这个最关键战场州的人口第二大县Allegheny,官员预计在投票结束后不久就能报告大部分邮寄选票的结果</p><p>费城使用三班制,每班有100 多名工人处理和计算选票</p><p>费城官员Seth Bluestein表示,若宾州选情像2020年那样接近(拜登多出80555票获胜),那就可能要到周三才能统计出足够的选票确定胜负</p><p>如果差距更小(2016年特朗普以44292票获胜),则投票结果可能要到周四揭晓</p><p><strong>亚利桑那州</strong></p><p>这个摇摆州的选情聚焦于Maricopa县,当地有240万登记选民,占到该州半数以上</p><p>是否能拿下Maricopa可能决定亚利桑那的11张选举人票归特朗普还是哈里斯</p><p>Maricopa县官方料在晚8点开始公布第一批结果</p><p><strong>佐治亚州</strong></p><p>佐治亚州是这次总统大选中七个最重要的摇摆州之一,那里的早期选举结果并没有透露多少该州将走向何处的信号。现在,特朗普以60%的支持率领先哈里斯的40%,而该州预计的投票清点数量仅占9%。</p><p>但值得注意的是,亚特兰大地区的两个都市区县都报告了至少70%的预期选票,这两个县的蓝色选票(投给民主党)明显高于2020年的水平,而该州其他许多农村县的蓝色选票明显高于2020年的水平。</p><p>不过,到目前为止,佐治亚州大约四分之三的选票估计是提前投票或缺席投票,这至少应该比选举日的选票更有利于民主党。</p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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15:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>11月6日,当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话,宣布在2024年总统选举中获胜。美国“当选总统”特朗普表示,共和党已经重新掌控了参议院,看起来将继续控制众议院。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baea3053170de2a5e8e9852f77048a85\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"4794\"/></p><p><strong>15:29:18</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普向支持者发表讲话,哈里斯取消演讲计划</strong></p><p>当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话。另据美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表演讲,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>15:12:28</strong></p><p>美国众议院议长约翰逊表示,特朗普现在是美国的当选总统。众议院共和党人已做好准备,准备立即就特朗普的美国优先议程采取行动。</p><p><strong>15:07:50</strong></p><p><strong>CNN:特朗普团队对获胜感到自信,但远没有达到当前公布的水平</strong></p><p>据CNN,周二早上,随着投票开始,特朗普的竞选团队满怀信心地醒来。但CNN采访的多名竞选助手并不认为他的胜利会接近今晚公布的数字。</p><p><strong>14:48:27</strong></p><p><strong>美媒测算特朗普已获至少277张选举人票 锁定2024年总统选举胜局</strong></p><p>美国媒体福克斯测算,共和党总统候选人特朗普已获得至少277张选举人票。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05bd5b7917100db9b8b494562e628e85\" title=\"数据来源:福克斯新闻\" tg-width=\"1548\" tg-height=\"538\"/><span>数据来源:福克斯新闻</span></p><p><strong>14:46:17</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:哈里斯预计在康涅狄格州获胜(获得7张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>14:42:37</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州密歇根州,预计已统计70.2%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得52.2%的支持率,而哈里斯获得46%的支持率;在关键州威斯康星州,预计已统计90%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得51.3%的支持,哈里斯获得47.1%的支持。</p><p><strong>14:35:11</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯在明尼苏达州获胜。(该州有10张选举人票)</p><p><strong>14:25:23</strong></p><p>哈里斯的盟友马克·库班表示,特朗普“赢得了公正的胜利”。</p><p><strong>14:21:44</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预测特朗普赢得美国总统选举。</p><p><strong>14:20:27 特朗普夺下宾州</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻,预计特朗普在关键州宾夕法尼亚州获胜。</p><p><strong>14:18:56</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州。</p><p><strong>14:09:29</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州宾夕法尼亚州,预计已统计93%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得51.1%的支持率,而哈里斯获得47.8%的支持率。</p><p><strong>14:08:54</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:特朗普预计在阿拉斯加州获胜。(该州有3张选举人票)</p><p><strong>13:57:38 最后一个摇摆州开票!</strong></p><p>据美联社:在内华达州,经过4%的预计选票统计,特朗普获得71.5%的支持,哈里斯获得26.8%的支持率。</p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州内华达州,预计已统计56.5%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得50.4%的支持率,而哈里斯获得48.1%的支持率。</p><p><strong>13:53 哈里斯暂时不会发表讲话</strong></p><p>据美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表讲话,“将于明天讲话”。</p><p><strong>13:24:03</strong></p><p>爱迪生研究预测显示,在战场州密歇根州54%的计票中,特朗普以52%领先哈里斯的46.2%;宾夕法尼亚州88%的计票中,特朗普以50.9%领先哈里斯的48.1%;威斯康星州81%的计票中,特朗普以51%领先哈里斯的47.3%,战场州中哈里斯仅在明尼苏达州领先:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd853860c7152f9da036111c85375eb6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"679\" tg-height=\"412\"/></p><p><strong>13:09:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在内布拉斯加州关键选区赢得1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>13:08:13</strong></p><p>据美联社:共和党赢得美国参议院多数席位。</p><p><strong>13:01:07</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯在夏威夷州获胜。</p><p><strong>12:49:05</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计共和党将赢得美国参议院的控制权。</p><p><strong>12:40:58</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计哈里斯在弗吉尼亚州获胜(注:该州有13张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:33:37</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新墨西哥州(5张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:19:19</strong></p><p>据美联社,美国前总统特朗普赢得北卡罗来纳州这一关键战场州。</p><p><strong>12:03:14</strong></p><p>据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯赢得缅因州。</p><p><strong>12:02:47</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得华盛顿州(12张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>12:01:15</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得加利福尼亚州;特朗普赢得爱达荷州。(注:加州有54张选举人票)</p><p><strong>11:40:36</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普在堪萨斯州获胜。</p><p><strong>11:28:38</strong></p><p>据决策办公室:预计特朗普将赢得摇摆州佐治亚州。</p><p><strong>11:20:25</strong></p><p>据NBC新闻:预计特朗普赢得爱荷华州。</p><p><strong>11:13:34 </strong>美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获198张选举人票</p><p>美国总统大选计票当地时间11月5日正在进行。根据美联社最新公布数据,特朗普目前已获得198张选举人票,哈里斯得票数暂为99张。</p><p><strong>11:05:00 美国亚利桑那州9个投票站投票时间延长2小时</strong></p><p>据美联社当地时间11月5日报道,一位法官已下令美国亚利桑那州东部的9个投票站将投票时间延长2小时。据悉,该州纳瓦霍族此前提出诉讼,称该地区投票站出现设备故障和印刷选票不足等问题,要求延长投票开放时间。与此同时,纳瓦霍县一些投票站收到了炸弹威胁,导致部分投票站短暂关闭。</p><p><strong>10:53:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得堪萨斯州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:49:52 美国大选实时选情:过半数州投票站已关闭,特朗普累计赢得188张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得99张选举人票</strong></p><p>据美联社报道,截至美国东部时间当天21时30分,美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据美联社数据,特朗普选举人票已升至188张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p><strong>10:41</strong></p><p>唐纳德·特朗普赢得内布拉斯加州第三国会选区的1张选举人票。</p><p><strong>10:35</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:26:21 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获178张选举人票 哈里斯暂获99张</strong></p><p>美国总统大选计票正在进行。根据美联社初步测算,特朗普选举人票升至178张,哈里斯暂获99张。</p><p>截至发稿,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普赢得了肯塔基州、印第安纳州、西弗吉尼亚州、亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州、阿肯色州、怀俄明州、路易斯安那州、南达科他州、北达科他州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州。</p><p>美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯赢得了佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗得岛州、华盛顿特区、新泽西州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州。</p><p>美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。</p><p><strong>10:10</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄亥俄州(17张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>10:03:24</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得德克萨斯州(40张选举人票)、路易斯安那州(8张选举人票)和怀俄明州(3张选举人票)。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 夜盘升19%。</p><p><strong>10:02:56</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得北达科他州、内布拉斯加州。</p><p><strong>10:01:59</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得纽约州。</p><p><strong>09:54:00</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得弗吉尼亚州(13张选举人票)和新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:39:46</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得伊利诺伊州(19张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得74张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:34:39</strong></p><p>据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得特拉华州(3张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得55张选举人票。</p><p><strong>09:31</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新泽西州(14张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:30</strong></p><p>据美联社:预计特朗普赢得阿肯色州(6张选举人票)。</p><p><strong>09:13 美16个州和华盛顿特区结束大选投票</strong></p><p>截至当地时间11月5日晚上8点,美国已有16个州和华盛顿特区的投票站陆续关闭。据美联社预测,共和党总统候选人特朗普赢得了亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州,共计获得了95张选举人票。民主党候选人哈里斯赢得了马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗德岛州和华盛顿特区,共计35张候选人票。</p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得马里兰州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得康涅狄格州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:05 哈里斯赢得罗德岛。哈里斯赢得哥伦比亚特区。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:52 哈里斯赢得马萨诸塞州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:02:18 据媒体测算,特朗普赢得佛罗里达州(30 张选举人票)。</strong></p><p><strong>据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄克拉荷马州。</strong></p><p><strong>09:01:35 特朗普赢得阿拉巴马州。</strong></p><p><strong>特朗普赢得密西西比州。</strong></p><p><strong>08:59 乔治亚州特朗普领先</strong></p><p>据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州乔治亚州,预计已统计32.3%的选票,结果显示美国前总统特朗普获得55.6%的支持,美国副总统哈里斯获得43.9%的支持。</p><p><strong>08:46 乔治亚州12个投票站因炸弹威胁延长投票时间</strong></p><p>美国乔治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p><p><strong>08:31 特朗普赢得西弗吉尼亚州(4张选举人票)</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53702b906064ae7b5d9fe5f6664428e6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"751\"/></p><p>消息公布后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 盘后大涨,比特币扩大涨幅,上涨2.0%至70,567美元。</p><p><strong>08:22 美国已有6个州结束总统大选投票</strong></p><p>截至美国东部时间11月5日19时,美国佐治亚州、印第安纳州、肯塔基州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州六个州的投票站关闭。美国东部时间19时30分,北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站将关闭。</p><p>当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。</p><p><strong>08:02 特朗普赢得肯塔基州、印第安纳州。哈里斯赢得佛蒙特州。</strong></p><p><strong>07:40 “存在人为错误” 美国威斯康星州一地将重新计票</strong></p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)当地时间11月5日报道,威斯康星州密尔沃基市发言人杰夫·弗莱明表示,在确认制表机上的门没有正确关闭后,该市将“非常谨慎”地通过制表机重新统计约3万张缺席选票。弗莱明说,所有制表机都被设置为零,选票将再次通过机器。他表示,这可能会给计票过程增加几个小时。弗莱明表示,机器的问题是人为错误造成的,“我们不相信它们被以任何方式篡改了”。</p><p><strong>07:28</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a> 盘后涨超6%,出口民调结果显示全美44%的选民对特朗普持正面看法。</p><p><strong>07:01</strong></p><p>美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。</p><h2 id=\"id_2180128803\">其他要点:</h2><p>外电消息:马斯克和几位重量级的捐赠人周二晚将齐聚唐纳德·特朗普的海湖庄园,哈里斯突访民主党全国委员会总部,晚上将抵达位于霍华德大学的竞选总部。</p><p><strong>特朗普</strong></p><p>这位共和党候选人当天大部分时间也都会在海湖庄园度过,他佛罗里达投票后就若败选是否会认输的问题发出了含糊不清的信号</p><p>他对记者说:“如果我输了大选—公平的大选—我会第一个出来承认,” 他还表示此次选举到目前为止是公平的</p><p>特朗普竞选团队当晚将在棕榈滩会议中心举办投票日观战晚会,预计数千人到场</p><p>共和党全国委员会主席Michael Whatley对特朗普拿下北卡罗来纳及其它摇摆州感到“谨慎乐观”</p><p><strong>哈里斯</strong></p><p>这位民主党候选人投票日还在摇摆州佐治亚接受电台的采访,激励选民参与投票并呼吁黑人男性选票投给自己</p><p>哈里斯下午突然造访位于华盛顿特区的民主党全国委员会总部,向志愿者表达谢意的同时亲自向选民喊话</p><p>哈里斯将在晚间抵达设在其母校霍华德大学的竞选总部,举办选举夜派对</p><p>一些民主党重量级人物对哈里斯的选情表达了谨慎乐观</p><p><strong>重中之重的宾州</strong></p><p>特朗普预计“摇摆州”宾夕法尼亚的投票结果需要两到三天的时间才能出炉</p><p>他此前已暗示若输掉选举就会像2020年那样宣称宾州存在舞弊</p><p>宾夕法尼亚州截至周一上午的统计显示,今年有近220万份邮寄和缺席选票申请,约180万票已回收;相比之下,2020年有350万份申请,投出270万票</p><p>在这个最关键战场州的人口第二大县Allegheny,官员预计在投票结束后不久就能报告大部分邮寄选票的结果</p><p>费城使用三班制,每班有100 多名工人处理和计算选票</p><p>费城官员Seth Bluestein表示,若宾州选情像2020年那样接近(拜登多出80555票获胜),那就可能要到周三才能统计出足够的选票确定胜负</p><p>如果差距更小(2016年特朗普以44292票获胜),则投票结果可能要到周四揭晓</p><p><strong>亚利桑那州</strong></p><p>这个摇摆州的选情聚焦于Maricopa县,当地有240万登记选民,占到该州半数以上</p><p>是否能拿下Maricopa可能决定亚利桑那的11张选举人票归特朗普还是哈里斯</p><p>Maricopa县官方料在晚8点开始公布第一批结果</p><p><strong>佐治亚州</strong></p><p>佐治亚州是这次总统大选中七个最重要的摇摆州之一,那里的早期选举结果并没有透露多少该州将走向何处的信号。现在,特朗普以60%的支持率领先哈里斯的40%,而该州预计的投票清点数量仅占9%。</p><p>但值得注意的是,亚特兰大地区的两个都市区县都报告了至少70%的预期选票,这两个县的蓝色选票(投给民主党)明显高于2020年的水平,而该州其他许多农村县的蓝色选票明显高于2020年的水平。</p><p>不过,到目前为止,佐治亚州大约四分之三的选票估计是提前投票或缺席投票,这至少应该比选举日的选票更有利于民主党。</p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae2ff4f0dbefc0001a653cf1719d84fa","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"MicroStrategy","DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184822735","content_text":"11月6日,当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话,宣布在2024年总统选举中获胜。美国“当选总统”特朗普表示,共和党已经重新掌控了参议院,看起来将继续控制众议院。15:29:18特朗普向支持者发表讲话,哈里斯取消演讲计划当地时间6日凌晨,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩会议中心发表讲话。另据美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表演讲,“将于明天讲话”。15:12:28美国众议院议长约翰逊表示,特朗普现在是美国的当选总统。众议院共和党人已做好准备,准备立即就特朗普的美国优先议程采取行动。15:07:50CNN:特朗普团队对获胜感到自信,但远没有达到当前公布的水平据CNN,周二早上,随着投票开始,特朗普的竞选团队满怀信心地醒来。但CNN采访的多名竞选助手并不认为他的胜利会接近今晚公布的数字。14:48:27美媒测算特朗普已获至少277张选举人票 锁定2024年总统选举胜局美国媒体福克斯测算,共和党总统候选人特朗普已获得至少277张选举人票。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。数据来源:福克斯新闻14:46:17据爱迪生研究公司:哈里斯预计在康涅狄格州获胜(获得7张选举人票)。14:42:37据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州密歇根州,预计已统计70.2%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得52.2%的支持率,而哈里斯获得46%的支持率;在关键州威斯康星州,预计已统计90%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得51.3%的支持,哈里斯获得47.1%的支持。14:35:11据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯在明尼苏达州获胜。(该州有10张选举人票)14:25:23哈里斯的盟友马克·库班表示,特朗普“赢得了公正的胜利”。14:21:44据决策办公室:预测特朗普赢得美国总统选举。14:20:27 特朗普夺下宾州据福克斯新闻,预计特朗普在关键州宾夕法尼亚州获胜。14:18:56据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州。14:09:29据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州宾夕法尼亚州,预计已统计93%的选票,数据显示特朗普获得51.1%的支持率,而哈里斯获得47.8%的支持率。14:08:54据决策办公室:特朗普预计在阿拉斯加州获胜。(该州有3张选举人票)13:57:38 最后一个摇摆州开票!据美联社:在内华达州,经过4%的预计选票统计,特朗普获得71.5%的支持,哈里斯获得26.8%的支持率。据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州内华达州,预计已统计56.5%的选票,结果显示特朗普获得50.4%的支持率,而哈里斯获得48.1%的支持率。13:53 哈里斯暂时不会发表讲话据美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的竞选团队方面称,哈里斯暂时不会对其支持者发表讲话,“将于明天讲话”。13:24:03爱迪生研究预测显示,在战场州密歇根州54%的计票中,特朗普以52%领先哈里斯的46.2%;宾夕法尼亚州88%的计票中,特朗普以50.9%领先哈里斯的48.1%;威斯康星州81%的计票中,特朗普以51%领先哈里斯的47.3%,战场州中哈里斯仅在明尼苏达州领先:13:09:47据美联社:预计哈里斯在内布拉斯加州关键选区赢得1张选举人票。13:08:13据美联社:共和党赢得美国参议院多数席位。13:01:07据美联社:预计哈里斯在夏威夷州获胜。12:49:05据福克斯新闻:预计共和党将赢得美国参议院的控制权。12:40:58据NBC新闻:预计哈里斯在弗吉尼亚州获胜(注:该州有13张选举人票)。12:33:37据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新墨西哥州(5张选举人票)。12:19:19据美联社,美国前总统特朗普赢得北卡罗来纳州这一关键战场州。12:03:14据福克斯新闻:预计哈里斯赢得缅因州。12:02:47据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得华盛顿州(12张选举人票)。12:01:15据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得加利福尼亚州;特朗普赢得爱达荷州。(注:加州有54张选举人票)11:40:36据美联社:预计特朗普在堪萨斯州获胜。11:28:38据决策办公室:预计特朗普将赢得摇摆州佐治亚州。11:20:25据NBC新闻:预计特朗普赢得爱荷华州。11:13:34 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获198张选举人票美国总统大选计票当地时间11月5日正在进行。根据美联社最新公布数据,特朗普目前已获得198张选举人票,哈里斯得票数暂为99张。11:05:00 美国亚利桑那州9个投票站投票时间延长2小时据美联社当地时间11月5日报道,一位法官已下令美国亚利桑那州东部的9个投票站将投票时间延长2小时。据悉,该州纳瓦霍族此前提出诉讼,称该地区投票站出现设备故障和印刷选票不足等问题,要求延长投票开放时间。与此同时,纳瓦霍县一些投票站收到了炸弹威胁,导致部分投票站短暂关闭。10:53:35据媒体测算,特朗普赢得堪萨斯州(6张选举人票)。10:49:52 美国大选实时选情:过半数州投票站已关闭,特朗普累计赢得188张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得99张选举人票据美联社报道,截至美国东部时间当天21时30分,美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据美联社数据,特朗普选举人票已升至188张,哈里斯暂获99张。10:41唐纳德·特朗普赢得内布拉斯加州第三国会选区的1张选举人票。10:35据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。10:26:21 美国大选实时选情:美媒预测特朗普暂获178张选举人票 哈里斯暂获99张美国总统大选计票正在进行。根据美联社初步测算,特朗普选举人票升至178张,哈里斯暂获99张。截至发稿,美国共和党总统候选人、前总统特朗普赢得了肯塔基州、印第安纳州、西弗吉尼亚州、亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州、阿肯色州、怀俄明州、路易斯安那州、南达科他州、北达科他州、内布拉斯加州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州。美国民主党总统候选人、副总统哈里斯赢得了佛蒙特州、马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗得岛州、华盛顿特区、新泽西州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州。美国总统选举采取选举人团制度,50个州按人口比例分配选举人票,获得538张选举人票中的至少270张即为获胜。10:10据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄亥俄州(17张选举人票)。10:03:24据媒体测算,特朗普赢得德克萨斯州(40张选举人票)、路易斯安那州(8张选举人票)和怀俄明州(3张选举人票)。 特朗普媒体科技集团 夜盘升19%。10:02:56据媒体测算,特朗普赢得北达科他州、内布拉斯加州。10:01:59据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得纽约州。09:54:00据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得弗吉尼亚州(13张选举人票)和新罕布什尔州(4张选举人票)。09:39:46据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得伊利诺伊州(19张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得74张选举人票。09:34:39据媒体测算,哈里斯赢得特拉华州(3张选举人票)。截至目前,特朗普累计赢得111张选举人票,哈里斯累计赢得55张选举人票。09:31据美联社:预计哈里斯赢得新泽西州(14张选举人票)。09:30据美联社:预计特朗普赢得阿肯色州(6张选举人票)。09:13 美16个州和华盛顿特区结束大选投票截至当地时间11月5日晚上8点,美国已有16个州和华盛顿特区的投票站陆续关闭。据美联社预测,共和党总统候选人特朗普赢得了亚拉巴马州、密西西比州、南卡罗来纳州、俄克拉何马州、佛罗里达州、田纳西州,共计获得了95张选举人票。民主党候选人哈里斯赢得了马萨诸塞州、康涅狄格州、马里兰州、罗德岛州和华盛顿特区,共计35张候选人票。09:05 哈里斯赢得马里兰州。09:05 哈里斯赢得康涅狄格州。09:05 哈里斯赢得罗德岛。哈里斯赢得哥伦比亚特区。09:02:52 哈里斯赢得马萨诸塞州。09:02:18 据媒体测算,特朗普赢得佛罗里达州(30 张选举人票)。据媒体测算,特朗普赢得俄克拉荷马州。09:01:35 特朗普赢得阿拉巴马州。特朗普赢得密西西比州。08:59 乔治亚州特朗普领先据爱迪生研究公司:在关键州乔治亚州,预计已统计32.3%的选票,结果显示美国前总统特朗普获得55.6%的支持,美国副总统哈里斯获得43.9%的支持。08:46 乔治亚州12个投票站因炸弹威胁延长投票时间美国乔治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。08:31 特朗普赢得西弗吉尼亚州(4张选举人票)消息公布后特朗普媒体科技集团 、 特斯拉 盘后大涨,比特币扩大涨幅,上涨2.0%至70,567美元。08:22 美国已有6个州结束总统大选投票截至美国东部时间11月5日19时,美国佐治亚州、印第安纳州、肯塔基州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州六个州的投票站关闭。美国东部时间19时30分,北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票站将关闭。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。08:02 特朗普赢得肯塔基州、印第安纳州。哈里斯赢得佛蒙特州。07:40 “存在人为错误” 美国威斯康星州一地将重新计票据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)当地时间11月5日报道,威斯康星州密尔沃基市发言人杰夫·弗莱明表示,在确认制表机上的门没有正确关闭后,该市将“非常谨慎”地通过制表机重新统计约3万张缺席选票。弗莱明说,所有制表机都被设置为零,选票将再次通过机器。他表示,这可能会给计票过程增加几个小时。弗莱明表示,机器的问题是人为错误造成的,“我们不相信它们被以任何方式篡改了”。07:28特朗普媒体科技集团 盘后涨超6%,出口民调结果显示全美44%的选民对特朗普持正面看法。07:01美国东部时间11月5日18时(北京时间6日7时),除个别国会议员选区外,美国印第安纳州和肯塔基州陆续关闭各地投票站,成为2024美国总统大选最早结束投票的两个州,计票工作随即展开。当地时间5日是美国总统选举的正式投票日,因为时区差异和各州规定不同,各州在当日的投票结束时间不尽相同。最晚结束投票的州是阿拉斯加州,在美国东部时间6日凌晨1时结束(北京时间11月6日14时)。夏威夷州是倒数第二个结束投票的州,在美国东部时间6日0时结束投票(北京时间11月6日13时)。其他要点:外电消息:马斯克和几位重量级的捐赠人周二晚将齐聚唐纳德·特朗普的海湖庄园,哈里斯突访民主党全国委员会总部,晚上将抵达位于霍华德大学的竞选总部。特朗普这位共和党候选人当天大部分时间也都会在海湖庄园度过,他佛罗里达投票后就若败选是否会认输的问题发出了含糊不清的信号他对记者说:“如果我输了大选—公平的大选—我会第一个出来承认,” 他还表示此次选举到目前为止是公平的特朗普竞选团队当晚将在棕榈滩会议中心举办投票日观战晚会,预计数千人到场共和党全国委员会主席Michael Whatley对特朗普拿下北卡罗来纳及其它摇摆州感到“谨慎乐观”哈里斯这位民主党候选人投票日还在摇摆州佐治亚接受电台的采访,激励选民参与投票并呼吁黑人男性选票投给自己哈里斯下午突然造访位于华盛顿特区的民主党全国委员会总部,向志愿者表达谢意的同时亲自向选民喊话哈里斯将在晚间抵达设在其母校霍华德大学的竞选总部,举办选举夜派对一些民主党重量级人物对哈里斯的选情表达了谨慎乐观重中之重的宾州特朗普预计“摇摆州”宾夕法尼亚的投票结果需要两到三天的时间才能出炉他此前已暗示若输掉选举就会像2020年那样宣称宾州存在舞弊宾夕法尼亚州截至周一上午的统计显示,今年有近220万份邮寄和缺席选票申请,约180万票已回收;相比之下,2020年有350万份申请,投出270万票在这个最关键战场州的人口第二大县Allegheny,官员预计在投票结束后不久就能报告大部分邮寄选票的结果费城使用三班制,每班有100 多名工人处理和计算选票费城官员Seth Bluestein表示,若宾州选情像2020年那样接近(拜登多出80555票获胜),那就可能要到周三才能统计出足够的选票确定胜负如果差距更小(2016年特朗普以44292票获胜),则投票结果可能要到周四揭晓亚利桑那州这个摇摆州的选情聚焦于Maricopa县,当地有240万登记选民,占到该州半数以上是否能拿下Maricopa可能决定亚利桑那的11张选举人票归特朗普还是哈里斯Maricopa县官方料在晚8点开始公布第一批结果佐治亚州佐治亚州是这次总统大选中七个最重要的摇摆州之一,那里的早期选举结果并没有透露多少该州将走向何处的信号。现在,特朗普以60%的支持率领先哈里斯的40%,而该州预计的投票清点数量仅占9%。但值得注意的是,亚特兰大地区的两个都市区县都报告了至少70%的预期选票,这两个县的蓝色选票(投给民主党)明显高于2020年的水平,而该州其他许多农村县的蓝色选票明显高于2020年的水平。不过,到目前为止,佐治亚州大约四分之三的选票估计是提前投票或缺席投票,这至少应该比选举日的选票更有利于民主党。据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯佩格表示,该州共有12个投票站因炸弹威胁而延长投票时间,另有3个投票站因“正常原因”而延长投票时间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199469097435296,"gmtCreate":1689696968033,"gmtModify":1689696969372,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199469097435296","repostId":"2352530765","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2352530765","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1689636373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2352530765?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-07-18 07:26","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"黄仁勋:NVIDIA的使命是解决几乎不可能的计算问题","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2352530765","media":"快科技","summary":"前不久在跟Sana创始人Joel Hellermark的对话中,黄仁勋谈到了NVIDIA的理念及管理方式。至于NVIDIA,黄仁勋称他们的使命就是去解决那些几乎不可能解决的运算问题,如果一个问题能用普通电脑解决,他就不会去做,NVIDIA要去解决那些解决不了的问题,这样才能吸引想发明新的计算并解决困难问题的优秀人才。有意思的是,黄仁勋在采访中还谈到了市场份额的问题,表示NVIDIA不会关注份额高低,你23%份额,我27%份额,这有什么意义?","content":"<html><body><p>快科技7月17日消息,作为当前半导体及AI芯片领域炙手可热的公司,NVIDIA联合创始人、CEO黄仁勋一言一行很受关注,大把科技公司都在指望他能多卖点AI显卡。</p><p>从当初的2D显卡、3D显卡做到现在的几乎没有对手的AI显卡,黄仁勋几十年来都在主导着公司发展,他是如何管理运营的?前不久在跟Sana创始人Joel Hellermark的对话中,黄仁勋谈到了NVIDIA的理念及管理方式。</p><p>黄仁勋表示,经营管理一家公司,首先第一件事就是从基本原则开始,你创建的这台机器是什么?这个产业是怎样发展?这是一个快速发展的行业吗?它是受到严格监管?</p><p>黄仁勋成,你可以从这个角度来想一下<strong>,“我想和公司一起做几件事情,我想创造什么东西。”</strong></p><p>至于NVIDIA,<strong>黄仁勋称他们的使命就是去解决那些几乎不可能解决的运算问题,</strong>如果一个问题能用普通电脑解决,他就不会去做,NVIDIA要去解决那些解决不了的问题,这样才能吸引想发明新的计算并解决困难问题的优秀人才。</p><p>有意思的是,黄仁勋在采访中还谈到了市场份额的问题,表示NVIDIA不会关注份额高低,你23%份额,我27%份额,这有什么意义?</p><p><img src=\"https://x0.ifengimg.com/ucms/2023_29/44822D16BB2F7423D6B461EA735A1FA2C25933C8_size80_w600_h369.jpg\"/></p><p>总之,用网友能听懂的话说就是——你问我西厂算什么东西,现在我就来告诉你,东厂破不了的案由我西厂来破,东厂不敢管的事我管,一句话东厂管得了的我要管,东厂管不了的我更要管。</p></body></html>","source":"fenghuang_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>黄仁勋:NVIDIA的使命是解决几乎不可能的计算问题</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4141":"半导体产品","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) 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Hellermark的对话中,黄仁勋谈到了NVIDIA的理念及管理方式。黄仁勋表示,经营管理一家公司,首先第一件事就是从基本原则开始,你创建的这台机器是什么?这个产业是怎样发展?这是一个快速发展的行业吗?它是受到严格监管?黄仁勋成,你可以从这个角度来想一下,“我想和公司一起做几件事情,我想创造什么东西。”至于NVIDIA,黄仁勋称他们的使命就是去解决那些几乎不可能解决的运算问题,如果一个问题能用普通电脑解决,他就不会去做,NVIDIA要去解决那些解决不了的问题,这样才能吸引想发明新的计算并解决困难问题的优秀人才。有意思的是,黄仁勋在采访中还谈到了市场份额的问题,表示NVIDIA不会关注份额高低,你23%份额,我27%份额,这有什么意义?总之,用网友能听懂的话说就是——你问我西厂算什么东西,现在我就来告诉你,东厂破不了的案由我西厂来破,东厂不敢管的事我管,一句话东厂管得了的我要管,东厂管不了的我更要管。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197203643834384,"gmtCreate":1689175109671,"gmtModify":1689176482878,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"配对交易就不是真正的对冲交易,是两个方向的ALL IN 赌博//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3510558082622800\">@胖虎哒哒</a>:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 今年涨了660%,直接超越","listText":"配对交易就不是真正的对冲交易,是两个方向的ALL IN 赌博//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3510558082622800\">@胖虎哒哒</a>:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 今年涨了660%,直接超越","text":"配对交易就不是真正的对冲交易,是两个方向的ALL IN 赌博//@胖虎哒哒:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 $Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ 今年涨了660%,直接超越","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/069114bf1f895bba42f99fb1cee93845"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0f5f1b9c29e9f325d232baab82a51c4","width":"573","height":"326"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7fb29540bc10c710e238c531f61b215","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197203643834384","repostId":"197060308381696","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":197060308381696,"gmtCreate":1689139989074,"gmtModify":1689140120116,"author":{"id":"3510558082622800","authorId":"3510558082622800","name":"胖虎哒哒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75b95d9326c02813b7b87ba8c1eccb5a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3510558082622800","authorIdStr":"3510558082622800"},"themes":[],"title":"私募做空美股亏到崩溃,美国散户爱买的垃圾股到底有多牛?","htmlText":"今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 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今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 今年涨了660%,直接超越曾经散户最爱的Meme<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> 涨30%、","text":"今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 $Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ 今年涨了660%,直接超越曾经散户最爱的Meme$游戏驿站(GME)$ 涨30%、","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce71b59a869a5829967106f94230c062","width":"560","height":"240"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0f5f1b9c29e9f325d232baab82a51c4","width":"573","height":"326"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/069114bf1f895bba42f99fb1cee93845"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197060308381696","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":2769,"gmtBegin":1689140076145,"gmtEnd":1689917616860,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"做空垃圾股该不该坚持到底?","choices":[{"id":10170,"sort":1,"name":"做空要及时止损","userSize":39,"voted":false},{"id":10171,"sort":2,"name":"做空要坚定不移","userSize":9,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":192413330477328,"gmtCreate":1688007706479,"gmtModify":1688007707896,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"服不服 还有谁","listText":"服不服 还有谁","text":"服不服 还有谁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192413330477328","repostId":"1105399079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105399079","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1688006735,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105399079?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-29 10:45","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"牛散风云录:陈发树“惨亏”20亿,葛卫东败北,二季度最强牛散竟是他!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105399079","media":"证券市场红周刊","summary":"陈发树是在2018年三季度末新进重仓隆基绿能的,其也因此赚得盆满钵满。截至最新报告期末,陈发树的持股数量已达到历史最高位。此外,在二季度以来浮盈的牛散中,张素芬和夏重阳是独有的“夫妻档”牛散,但其与王富济的投资策略却截然相反。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>二季度即将过去,在市场整体走弱的背景下,牛散江湖也出现了巨震。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以今年一季度末持股市值居前且知名的21位牛散为样本,以其重仓股至今的市场表现进行测算,相比以往,众多知名牛散在二季度大面积产生了浮亏,多至数十亿,少则几千万。其中,“牛散之王”陈发树、“东邪”葛卫东等均在其列,纷纷败北。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但同时,也有少部分牛散逆势大赚特赚。那么,他们制胜的密码是什么呢?</p><p><strong>超七成牛散惜败二季度</strong></p><p><strong>“牛散之王”陈发树罕见折戟</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至6月26日收盘(下同),21位知名牛散今年二季度的炒股成绩单已基本出现,整体来看,浮亏者居多,多达15位,占比超过七成。其中,亏损规模相对较高的是陈发树,多达23.07亿元(见表1)。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c22ee473720d1c0d67898607b85ef82\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"832\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在今年一季度末,陈发树共出现在6家上市公司的前十大流通股东名单,其中持股市值最高的是隆基绿能,但也正是隆基绿能让陈发树产生了较大的浮亏(见表2)。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5915ac1f2d8438c49e67736d505c79fc\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"475\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这或与市场的风格变化有关。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据悉,隆基绿能主营太阳能组件、硅片及硅棒等,是全球最大的单晶硅生产制造商。而在2017年至2021年间,新能源扶持政策不断推出,产业链相关公司的基本面也在不断向好发展,期间更是诞生出了宁德时代这样万亿市值的公司。<strong>作为光伏龙头,隆基绿能也借此起飞,股价在此期间创下了四年十倍的神话。陈发树是在2018年三季度末新进重仓隆基绿能的,其也因此赚得盆满钵满。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但随着新能源的快速发展,扶持政策开始逐级递减,如新能源汽车2022年的补贴标准在2021年基础上退坡30%等,新能源赛道也开始逐渐受到市场主力资金的冷落,整体走起了下坡路。之后至今,市场主线频频更迭,尤其是在去年底OpenAI推出现象级应用ChatGPT之后,市场掀起了追捧AI的浪潮,新能源赛道一直罕有表现的机会。<strong>在这样的背景下,隆基绿能迎来了持续调整,在今年二季度期间更是大跌近30%,陈发树也将因此“受伤”,持股市值大概率会出现明显缩水。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">那么,曾被市场称为“牛散之王”的陈发树会如何解决这种困局?</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据了解,陈发树偏好朝阳行业的龙头公司,等待其进入底部区域买入,再长期持有,而其对隆基绿能就在执行这样的策略。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从近几个财报季陈发树的持股动作来看,在隆基绿能股价不断下滑的同时,陈发树也在不断买入,如在2022年二季度期间就大手笔买入5049.45万股至17361.46万股。截至最新报告期末,陈发树的持股数量已达到历史最高位。</p><p><strong>左手AI、右手新能源</strong></p><p><strong>“东邪”葛卫东也败了</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与陈发树可谓“难兄难弟”,素有“东邪”之称的葛卫东同样“很受伤”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">作为期货、股票“双修”的大佬,葛卫东在具体的投资上也别具一格。如在今年一季度末的重仓股中,既有人工智能龙头科大讯飞,也有新能源电池正极高镍三元龙头容百科技等,整体持仓涵盖了AI和新能源两大领域(见表3)。但综合这些公司二季度末以来的市场表现来看,葛卫东整体浮亏近3亿元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">让葛卫东产生较大的浮亏也是其第一重仓股,这家公司是兆易创新。但不同于隆基绿能,兆易创新正处于当下最热的AI主线。据悉,兆易创新主营存储芯片销售等,是一家全球化芯片设计公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这或与兆易创新业绩不及预期有关。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据梳理,在去年底至今年二季度初,借助AI风口,兆易创新也曾起飞,主力资金一度将公司股价拉高近60%,葛卫东也因此大赚特赚。但在4月底,兆易创新披露了去年以及今年一季度接连下滑的业绩之后,公司的股价也开始应声大跌。对此,兆易创新方面表示,半导体行业在短期内面临了周期下行的压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>尤其是在4月21日至4月26日,兆易创新披露去年年报、今年一季报的前夕,公司股价已累计大跌近20%,“先觉资金”出逃迹象明显。</strong>在这之外,兆易创新的部分大股东也在公司披露业绩报告的同时,推出了减持公司股份的计划。从拟减持股份数量来看,其减持规模较大,如香港赢富得拟减持股份数量占公司的比例达1.78%,占其所持有股份的比例在一半以上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其实,葛卫东是有先见之明的,其在2018年二季度末即新进重仓了兆易创新,并不断增持至2020年四季度末,其也因此收获了兆易创新股价在此期间超一倍的涨幅。<strong>自2021年一季度开始,葛卫东便开始进行获利了结,尤其是在2021年三季度至2022年四季度期间,其更是进行了连续6个季度的减持,持股数量也由近3000万股降至1700万股左右。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在今年一季度期间,葛卫东选择了持股不动,或是因为兆易创新的股价已进入了相对底部的区域,如其最新的报价距离历史高点已缩水近50%。但WSTS(世界半导体贸易统计组织)的数据显示,2023年,仍是全球半导体市场的水逆之年,预计销售额由2022年的5735亿美元降至5566亿美元,作为行业龙头的兆易创新可能也会受到影响,其基本面出现反转可能还需要时间。</p><p><strong>“扫地僧”王富济再次大胜</strong></p><p><strong>“神雕侠侣”携手入驻浮盈榜</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当然,也有部分牛散获得了胜利,重仓股在今年二季度以来产生了一定的浮盈,王富济就是其中之一(见表4)。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ec86be81965a42f97c9816979b0fe5c\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"566\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">成就王富济的依然是“药茅”片仔癀。在今年二季度以来,片仔癀股价微涨1.72%,但凭借一季度末76.89亿元的持股市值,王富济仍将获得超1亿元的浮盈。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据悉,王富济重仓片仔癀颇具传奇色彩。片仔癀的历史最早可追溯到明朝,是专供皇室使用的,后经闽粤一带百姓的传颂,片仔癀的强大功效被传的越来越广。再之后,片仔癀因其保密配方,曾一度成为央视播出的谍战片《隐蔽战线》中海外势力争夺的主要对象。也是在这时,王富济发现了片仔癀的价值。<strong>片仔癀是在2003年登陆上交所的,王富济便是在这时开始逐渐的买入,至2009年二季度末更是现身片仔癀的前十大股东名单,此后便持续重仓至今。也因此,王富济被冠以“扫地僧”的称谓。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在收获片仔癀股价涨幅带来浮盈的同时,王富济还获得了片仔癀的大手笔分红。如片仔癀今年再次推出了每10股派12.5元的分红方案,按照王富济去年年底的持仓数量测算,其将“躺赢”超3000万元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外,在二季度以来浮盈的牛散中,张素芬和夏重阳是独有的“夫妻档”牛散,但其与王富济的投资策略却截然相反。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>据悉,张素芬和夏重阳是温州帮的主要成员,起始时仅携几十万入市,后经过重仓多只大牛股而为人熟知,其资产规模也在不断壮大,如到了今年一季度末,其公开的重仓股的持股市值已接近15亿元。</strong>也因此,张素芬和夏重阳被冠以“神雕侠侣”的称谓。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从其历史持仓来看,张素芬和夏重阳更偏好“广撒网”式的投资,如今年一季度末,其合计共重仓了38家上市公司。从这方面看,极度的分散也是牛散战胜市场的法宝之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">具体到公司层面,张素芬和夏重阳比较喜欢重仓低价、小盘股。如这38家,其目前的最新收盘价有37只在10元以下,仅中国出版在11.59元/股;其目前的最新市值有35只在100亿元以下,仅同方股份、中国出版和新兴铸管在150亿元~300亿元区间(见表5)。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e930bc8a3877e4628f679b3fb3090d38\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"678\"/></p><p><strong>(文中个股仅为举例,不做买卖推荐。)</strong></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1571701096748","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n牛散风云录:陈发树“惨亏”20亿,葛卫东败北,二季度最强牛散竟是他!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-29 10:45 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/dYwwcBgIJl9gqneLX-gQkQ><strong>证券市场红周刊</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>二季度即将过去,在市场整体走弱的背景下,牛散江湖也出现了巨震。以今年一季度末持股市值居前且知名的21位牛散为样本,以其重仓股至今的市场表现进行测算,相比以往,众多知名牛散在二季度大面积产生了浮亏,多至数十亿,少则几千万。其中,“牛散之王”陈发树、“东邪”葛卫东等均在其列,纷纷败北。但同时,也有少部分牛散逆势大赚特赚。那么,他们制胜的密码是什么呢?超七成牛散惜败二季度“牛散之王”陈发树罕见折戟截至6...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/dYwwcBgIJl9gqneLX-gQkQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/dYwwcBgIJl9gqneLX-gQkQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105399079","content_text":"二季度即将过去,在市场整体走弱的背景下,牛散江湖也出现了巨震。以今年一季度末持股市值居前且知名的21位牛散为样本,以其重仓股至今的市场表现进行测算,相比以往,众多知名牛散在二季度大面积产生了浮亏,多至数十亿,少则几千万。其中,“牛散之王”陈发树、“东邪”葛卫东等均在其列,纷纷败北。但同时,也有少部分牛散逆势大赚特赚。那么,他们制胜的密码是什么呢?超七成牛散惜败二季度“牛散之王”陈发树罕见折戟截至6月26日收盘(下同),21位知名牛散今年二季度的炒股成绩单已基本出现,整体来看,浮亏者居多,多达15位,占比超过七成。其中,亏损规模相对较高的是陈发树,多达23.07亿元(见表1)。在今年一季度末,陈发树共出现在6家上市公司的前十大流通股东名单,其中持股市值最高的是隆基绿能,但也正是隆基绿能让陈发树产生了较大的浮亏(见表2)。这或与市场的风格变化有关。据悉,隆基绿能主营太阳能组件、硅片及硅棒等,是全球最大的单晶硅生产制造商。而在2017年至2021年间,新能源扶持政策不断推出,产业链相关公司的基本面也在不断向好发展,期间更是诞生出了宁德时代这样万亿市值的公司。作为光伏龙头,隆基绿能也借此起飞,股价在此期间创下了四年十倍的神话。陈发树是在2018年三季度末新进重仓隆基绿能的,其也因此赚得盆满钵满。但随着新能源的快速发展,扶持政策开始逐级递减,如新能源汽车2022年的补贴标准在2021年基础上退坡30%等,新能源赛道也开始逐渐受到市场主力资金的冷落,整体走起了下坡路。之后至今,市场主线频频更迭,尤其是在去年底OpenAI推出现象级应用ChatGPT之后,市场掀起了追捧AI的浪潮,新能源赛道一直罕有表现的机会。在这样的背景下,隆基绿能迎来了持续调整,在今年二季度期间更是大跌近30%,陈发树也将因此“受伤”,持股市值大概率会出现明显缩水。那么,曾被市场称为“牛散之王”的陈发树会如何解决这种困局?据了解,陈发树偏好朝阳行业的龙头公司,等待其进入底部区域买入,再长期持有,而其对隆基绿能就在执行这样的策略。从近几个财报季陈发树的持股动作来看,在隆基绿能股价不断下滑的同时,陈发树也在不断买入,如在2022年二季度期间就大手笔买入5049.45万股至17361.46万股。截至最新报告期末,陈发树的持股数量已达到历史最高位。左手AI、右手新能源“东邪”葛卫东也败了与陈发树可谓“难兄难弟”,素有“东邪”之称的葛卫东同样“很受伤”。作为期货、股票“双修”的大佬,葛卫东在具体的投资上也别具一格。如在今年一季度末的重仓股中,既有人工智能龙头科大讯飞,也有新能源电池正极高镍三元龙头容百科技等,整体持仓涵盖了AI和新能源两大领域(见表3)。但综合这些公司二季度末以来的市场表现来看,葛卫东整体浮亏近3亿元。让葛卫东产生较大的浮亏也是其第一重仓股,这家公司是兆易创新。但不同于隆基绿能,兆易创新正处于当下最热的AI主线。据悉,兆易创新主营存储芯片销售等,是一家全球化芯片设计公司。这或与兆易创新业绩不及预期有关。据梳理,在去年底至今年二季度初,借助AI风口,兆易创新也曾起飞,主力资金一度将公司股价拉高近60%,葛卫东也因此大赚特赚。但在4月底,兆易创新披露了去年以及今年一季度接连下滑的业绩之后,公司的股价也开始应声大跌。对此,兆易创新方面表示,半导体行业在短期内面临了周期下行的压力。尤其是在4月21日至4月26日,兆易创新披露去年年报、今年一季报的前夕,公司股价已累计大跌近20%,“先觉资金”出逃迹象明显。在这之外,兆易创新的部分大股东也在公司披露业绩报告的同时,推出了减持公司股份的计划。从拟减持股份数量来看,其减持规模较大,如香港赢富得拟减持股份数量占公司的比例达1.78%,占其所持有股份的比例在一半以上。其实,葛卫东是有先见之明的,其在2018年二季度末即新进重仓了兆易创新,并不断增持至2020年四季度末,其也因此收获了兆易创新股价在此期间超一倍的涨幅。自2021年一季度开始,葛卫东便开始进行获利了结,尤其是在2021年三季度至2022年四季度期间,其更是进行了连续6个季度的减持,持股数量也由近3000万股降至1700万股左右。在今年一季度期间,葛卫东选择了持股不动,或是因为兆易创新的股价已进入了相对底部的区域,如其最新的报价距离历史高点已缩水近50%。但WSTS(世界半导体贸易统计组织)的数据显示,2023年,仍是全球半导体市场的水逆之年,预计销售额由2022年的5735亿美元降至5566亿美元,作为行业龙头的兆易创新可能也会受到影响,其基本面出现反转可能还需要时间。“扫地僧”王富济再次大胜“神雕侠侣”携手入驻浮盈榜当然,也有部分牛散获得了胜利,重仓股在今年二季度以来产生了一定的浮盈,王富济就是其中之一(见表4)。成就王富济的依然是“药茅”片仔癀。在今年二季度以来,片仔癀股价微涨1.72%,但凭借一季度末76.89亿元的持股市值,王富济仍将获得超1亿元的浮盈。据悉,王富济重仓片仔癀颇具传奇色彩。片仔癀的历史最早可追溯到明朝,是专供皇室使用的,后经闽粤一带百姓的传颂,片仔癀的强大功效被传的越来越广。再之后,片仔癀因其保密配方,曾一度成为央视播出的谍战片《隐蔽战线》中海外势力争夺的主要对象。也是在这时,王富济发现了片仔癀的价值。片仔癀是在2003年登陆上交所的,王富济便是在这时开始逐渐的买入,至2009年二季度末更是现身片仔癀的前十大股东名单,此后便持续重仓至今。也因此,王富济被冠以“扫地僧”的称谓。在收获片仔癀股价涨幅带来浮盈的同时,王富济还获得了片仔癀的大手笔分红。如片仔癀今年再次推出了每10股派12.5元的分红方案,按照王富济去年年底的持仓数量测算,其将“躺赢”超3000万元。此外,在二季度以来浮盈的牛散中,张素芬和夏重阳是独有的“夫妻档”牛散,但其与王富济的投资策略却截然相反。据悉,张素芬和夏重阳是温州帮的主要成员,起始时仅携几十万入市,后经过重仓多只大牛股而为人熟知,其资产规模也在不断壮大,如到了今年一季度末,其公开的重仓股的持股市值已接近15亿元。也因此,张素芬和夏重阳被冠以“神雕侠侣”的称谓。从其历史持仓来看,张素芬和夏重阳更偏好“广撒网”式的投资,如今年一季度末,其合计共重仓了38家上市公司。从这方面看,极度的分散也是牛散战胜市场的法宝之一。具体到公司层面,张素芬和夏重阳比较喜欢重仓低价、小盘股。如这38家,其目前的最新收盘价有37只在10元以下,仅中国出版在11.59元/股;其目前的最新市值有35只在100亿元以下,仅同方股份、中国出版和新兴铸管在150亿元~300亿元区间(见表5)。(文中个股仅为举例,不做买卖推荐。)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":656043329,"gmtCreate":1683247834961,"gmtModify":1683247836336,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"赞","listText":"赞","text":"赞","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/656043329","repostId":"658642289","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":658642289,"gmtCreate":1682600400000,"gmtModify":1703610369111,"author":{"id":"3524030243818067","authorId":"3524030243818067","name":"巴伦周刊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a88e8bd37e8c66a6dfdca78e1466369","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3524030243818067","authorIdStr":"3524030243818067"},"themes":[],"title":"电信三巨头:逢低买入,长期持有","htmlText":"首选数字化领跑者,兼顾分红与“中特估”带来的价值提升。 4月下旬,中国移动(600941.SH、0941.HK)、中国电信(601728.SH、0728.HK)和中国联通(600050.SH、0762.HK)三家电信运营商纷纷披露2023年一季报,营收和净利润均保持增长。 与此同时,三家公司A股在2023年取得了不错的开局,中国电信、中国移动分别上涨51%和33%,中国联通涨超20%。而同期万得全A指数(881001.WI)涨幅为6.5%。 电信三巨头的超预期市场表现是三方引力向上牵拉的结果:业绩面,三家公司的经营数据持续向好并各有突破;政策面,作为国企改革重点公司的三大运营商得益于中国特色估值体系的探索深化;情绪面,一季度市场资金对AI题材的青睐令一众泛科技股加速升值,电信三巨头是理所当然的优胜者。 这三股力量,恰好也是足够在更长时间周期里兑现价值的力量,所以有理由认为,投资电信三巨头的最行之有效的策略或许是“逢低买入,长期持有”。 逢低买入,首选数字化阶段性领跑者 PE-Band显示,经过近4个月的狂飙上涨后,中国移动和中国电信的A股股价已经明显进入高估区域;中国联通的估值虽相对合理,但也接近近三年历史估值中枢的上沿。换言之,现在买入电信三巨头存在一定概率的追高风险。 但换一个对比角度,结合市值和净利润及增速来看,三家电信公司的市盈率(TTM)并没有高到离谱。 2022年,中国移动实现归属于母公司股东的净利润人民币1254.49亿元,同比增长8.2%。中国电信净利润为275.93亿元人民币,同比增长6.3%。中国电信则为72.99亿元人民币,同比增长15.8%,为三家公司中的最高值。 拉长观察周期,三家公司的净利润增速有所波动,但不改趋势上的增长加速。 数据来源:Wind 制表:《巴伦周刊》中文版","listText":"首选数字化领跑者,兼顾分红与“中特估”带来的价值提升。 4月下旬,中国移动(600941.SH、0941.HK)、中国电信(601728.SH、0728.HK)和中国联通(600050.SH、0762.HK)三家电信运营商纷纷披露2023年一季报,营收和净利润均保持增长。 与此同时,三家公司A股在2023年取得了不错的开局,中国电信、中国移动分别上涨51%和33%,中国联通涨超20%。而同期万得全A指数(881001.WI)涨幅为6.5%。 电信三巨头的超预期市场表现是三方引力向上牵拉的结果:业绩面,三家公司的经营数据持续向好并各有突破;政策面,作为国企改革重点公司的三大运营商得益于中国特色估值体系的探索深化;情绪面,一季度市场资金对AI题材的青睐令一众泛科技股加速升值,电信三巨头是理所当然的优胜者。 这三股力量,恰好也是足够在更长时间周期里兑现价值的力量,所以有理由认为,投资电信三巨头的最行之有效的策略或许是“逢低买入,长期持有”。 逢低买入,首选数字化阶段性领跑者 PE-Band显示,经过近4个月的狂飙上涨后,中国移动和中国电信的A股股价已经明显进入高估区域;中国联通的估值虽相对合理,但也接近近三年历史估值中枢的上沿。换言之,现在买入电信三巨头存在一定概率的追高风险。 但换一个对比角度,结合市值和净利润及增速来看,三家电信公司的市盈率(TTM)并没有高到离谱。 2022年,中国移动实现归属于母公司股东的净利润人民币1254.49亿元,同比增长8.2%。中国电信净利润为275.93亿元人民币,同比增长6.3%。中国电信则为72.99亿元人民币,同比增长15.8%,为三家公司中的最高值。 拉长观察周期,三家公司的净利润增速有所波动,但不改趋势上的增长加速。 数据来源:Wind 制表:《巴伦周刊》中文版","text":"首选数字化领跑者,兼顾分红与“中特估”带来的价值提升。 4月下旬,中国移动(600941.SH、0941.HK)、中国电信(601728.SH、0728.HK)和中国联通(600050.SH、0762.HK)三家电信运营商纷纷披露2023年一季报,营收和净利润均保持增长。 与此同时,三家公司A股在2023年取得了不错的开局,中国电信、中国移动分别上涨51%和33%,中国联通涨超20%。而同期万得全A指数(881001.WI)涨幅为6.5%。 电信三巨头的超预期市场表现是三方引力向上牵拉的结果:业绩面,三家公司的经营数据持续向好并各有突破;政策面,作为国企改革重点公司的三大运营商得益于中国特色估值体系的探索深化;情绪面,一季度市场资金对AI题材的青睐令一众泛科技股加速升值,电信三巨头是理所当然的优胜者。 这三股力量,恰好也是足够在更长时间周期里兑现价值的力量,所以有理由认为,投资电信三巨头的最行之有效的策略或许是“逢低买入,长期持有”。 逢低买入,首选数字化阶段性领跑者 PE-Band显示,经过近4个月的狂飙上涨后,中国移动和中国电信的A股股价已经明显进入高估区域;中国联通的估值虽相对合理,但也接近近三年历史估值中枢的上沿。换言之,现在买入电信三巨头存在一定概率的追高风险。 但换一个对比角度,结合市值和净利润及增速来看,三家电信公司的市盈率(TTM)并没有高到离谱。 2022年,中国移动实现归属于母公司股东的净利润人民币1254.49亿元,同比增长8.2%。中国电信净利润为275.93亿元人民币,同比增长6.3%。中国电信则为72.99亿元人民币,同比增长15.8%,为三家公司中的最高值。 拉长观察周期,三家公司的净利润增速有所波动,但不改趋势上的增长加速。 数据来源:Wind 制表:《巴伦周刊》中文版","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9dd438c79b44e4f974a14b02a6f46fb"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ae91521f254c1082ff978a88db4ef1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4129e7729ef7424498edec75b0c47201"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658642289","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659163439,"gmtCreate":1679897912821,"gmtModify":1679897914268,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"赞","listText":"赞","text":"赞","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659163439","repostId":"1187061146","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187061146","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679897623,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187061146?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-27 14:13","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"马云谈ChatGPT:要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187061146","media":"云谷教育","summary":"新一轮的技术变革对教育带来的挑战与机遇,是云谷一直在认真思考的课题。马老师今天在云谷,和校园长们讨论的还是这个话题。校园长们说,云谷从创校以来,一直在探索如何在人工智能快速发展的时代为孩子提供面向未来","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>新一轮的技术变革对教育带来的挑战与机遇,是云谷一直在认真思考的课题。马老师今天在云谷,和校园长们讨论的还是这个话题。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5eb9faec403bee29113fea673b6fbe0f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"810\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6204a3e712b8028faed954126094c865\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"888\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>校园长们说,云谷从创校以来,一直在探索如何在人工智能快速发展的时代为孩子提供面向未来的教育。</p><p>马老师说,ChatGPT这一类技术已经对教育带来挑战,但是ChatGPT这一类技术只是AI时代的开始。我们要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制,虽然人的体力、脑力比不过机器,但机器只有“芯“,而人有“心”。</p><p>他说,工业时代是知识驱动,知识的竞争;数字时代,是智慧驱动,是创造力和想象力的竞争,是领导力、担当力、责任的竞争,是独立思考的竞争。</p><p>4年师范,6年老师,马老师在任何场合都不掩饰自己对教育的热爱。他曾说,教师是他最喜欢的职业,希望能够有一天重新回到学校当老师,这次回到云谷,他把学校又好好地走了一遍。</p><p>马老师其实一直没有远离学校,而是以各种方式参与和支持教育。他创办的马云公益基金会,把支持乡村教育作为重点方向,激励越来越多的优秀人才投身乡村教育。他创办云谷,用素养教育来帮助孩子找到一生中最大的热爱,成为最好的自己。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1679897640866","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马云谈ChatGPT:要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马云谈ChatGPT:要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-27 14:13 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/kfvrbbwlcVxTm0C2E_AgSQ><strong>云谷教育</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新一轮的技术变革对教育带来的挑战与机遇,是云谷一直在认真思考的课题。马老师今天在云谷,和校园长们讨论的还是这个话题。校园长们说,云谷从创校以来,一直在探索如何在人工智能快速发展的时代为孩子提供面向未来的教育。马老师说,ChatGPT这一类技术已经对教育带来挑战,但是ChatGPT这一类技术只是AI时代的开始。我们要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制,虽然人的体力、脑力比不过机器,但机器...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/kfvrbbwlcVxTm0C2E_AgSQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5eb9faec403bee29113fea673b6fbe0f","relate_stocks":{"161631":"人工智能","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","BABA":"阿里巴巴","LU0251143458.SGD":"Fidelity Emerging Markets A-SGD","LU1046422090.SGD":"Fidelity Pacific A-SGD","09988":"阿里巴巴-W","LU0228367735.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Fund AS SGD","LU0140636845.USD":"施罗德大中华区股票A Acc","LU0048580855.USD":"富达大中华区A","IE0032431581.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GREATER CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0449515922.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"PC\" (USD)ACC","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","BK1588":"回港中概股","LU0320764243.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Emerging Markets A Acc SGD","LU0417516571.SGD":"Allianz Oriental Income Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0348784397.USD":"ALLIANZ ORIENTAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B5MMRT66.SGD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0181495838.USD":"施罗德新兴亚洲A Acc"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/kfvrbbwlcVxTm0C2E_AgSQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187061146","content_text":"新一轮的技术变革对教育带来的挑战与机遇,是云谷一直在认真思考的课题。马老师今天在云谷,和校园长们讨论的还是这个话题。校园长们说,云谷从创校以来,一直在探索如何在人工智能快速发展的时代为孩子提供面向未来的教育。马老师说,ChatGPT这一类技术已经对教育带来挑战,但是ChatGPT这一类技术只是AI时代的开始。我们要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制,虽然人的体力、脑力比不过机器,但机器只有“芯“,而人有“心”。他说,工业时代是知识驱动,知识的竞争;数字时代,是智慧驱动,是创造力和想象力的竞争,是领导力、担当力、责任的竞争,是独立思考的竞争。4年师范,6年老师,马老师在任何场合都不掩饰自己对教育的热爱。他曾说,教师是他最喜欢的职业,希望能够有一天重新回到学校当老师,这次回到云谷,他把学校又好好地走了一遍。马老师其实一直没有远离学校,而是以各种方式参与和支持教育。他创办的马云公益基金会,把支持乡村教育作为重点方向,激励越来越多的优秀人才投身乡村教育。他创办云谷,用素养教育来帮助孩子找到一生中最大的热爱,成为最好的自己。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":625204312,"gmtCreate":1676468304436,"gmtModify":1676468306422,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"赞","listText":"赞","text":"赞","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/625204312","repostId":"1168196713","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168196713","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1676459423,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168196713?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-15 19:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Master Plan 3 And The Road To $10 Trillion Market Cap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168196713","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMaster Plan 1 was published in 2006. 10 years later, Tesla's market cap reached $34 billion.M","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Master Plan 1 was published in 2006. 10 years later, Tesla's market cap reached $34 billion.</li><li>Master Plan 2 was published in 2016. As of this writing, Tesla's market cap reached $623 billion, an 18-fold increase.</li><li>Master Plan 3 is set to be revealed on March 1st, laying the plan towards a $10 trillion market cap.</li><li>This will be a long and difficult road, but management has a track record of delivering what they promise.</li><li>Considering its durable competitive moats, strong financials, and technological megatrends, Tesla has what it takes to reach this status.</li></ul><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the epitome of an innovator, a disruptor.</p><p>It has been on my radar for quite some time but could not bear to buy the hype as its valuation was too crazy. Now, the stock has cratered, which got me interestedin starting a position.</p><p>But instead of buying blindly, I need to do my research first — one of my investment rules is to write an article about the company first before I can buy the stock.</p><p>So, here's my deep dive on Tesla. You need a coffee for this one. Enjoy!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db3789b71392eb09ea6f0ef56502b70c\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>Investment Thesis</h2><p>Ambitious company targets, continued product innovation, and secular industry trends will be the growth engines for Tesla. Its durable competitive moats and strong financial position should protect the company as it marches toward the $10 trillion mark.</p><p>After 2 decadessince its inception, Tesla will be revealing the highly-anticipated Master Plan 3, which could be the catalyst for significant long-term price appreciation.</p><p>More importantly, it will lay out the next phase of hypergrowth initiatives that will accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.</p><p>Shares appear to be trading at fair value — I would consider buying shares during pullbacks.</p><h2>Value Proposition</h2><p>Although current CEO Elon Musk has long been the face of Tesla, he did not actually found the company. In fact, Tesla was founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning.</p><p>Previously, the two engineers co-founded NuvoMedia whichdevelopedthe first-ever e-reader in 1997. After selling the company to Gemstar-TV Guide International for $187 million, the pair decided to join forces once again.</p><p>Combining his love for sports cars and his concern for global warming,Eberhardwanted to build "a car manufacturer that is also a technology company", focusing on crucial components such as "the battery, the computer software, and the proprietary motor".</p><p>And thus, Tesla was born.</p><p>The company was named after the 19th-century inventor, Nikola Tesla, who was well-known for his inventions in the electrical engineering field, more specifically, alternating current generation and transmission.</p><p>The two co-founders began their search for outside capital and that's when Elon Musk came into the picture. In early 2004, Elon Musk led Tesla's $6.5 million Series A funding round, of which Musk contributed $6.35 million, which consequently placed him as chairman of the board.</p><p>Two years later, word of the EV startup began to spread like wildfire. In 2006, Tesla raised additional capital from two separate funding rounds, which include big names such as Google (GOOGL) co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, as well as JPMorgan (JPM).</p><p>Shortly after its funding rounds, Tesla revealed its first-ever sports car prototype, the Roadster, on July 2006.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02699dd638dd949953c28001de755837\" tg-width=\"448\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Roadster</p><p>More importantly, Musk published Tesla's firstMaster Plan, outlining the company's mission as well as its reasoning behind launching the Roadster.</p><blockquote>...the overarching purpose of Tesla Motors (and the reason I am funding the company) is to help expedite the move from a mine-and-burn hydrocarbon economy towards a solar electric economy...</blockquote><blockquote>(Elon Musk —The Secret Tesla Motors Master Plan (just between you and me)</blockquote><p>The Master Plan consists of four oversimplified steps:</p><ol><li>Build sports car</li><li>Use that money to build an affordable car</li><li>Use<i>that</i>money to build an even more affordable car</li><li>While doing above, also provide zero emission electric power generation options</li></ol><p>Step 1 was pretty much done. But getting to steps 2, 3, and 4 was not as easy as Musk would've wanted. It took nearly two years for the Tesla Roadster to finally be delivered to customers. Not to mention, there were three CEO changes in 2007 and 2008 — Musk took the big job on October 2008, in the depths of the global financial crisis.</p><p>Against all odds, Tesla survived.</p><p>In 2009, Tesla unveiled its second car, the Model S, which received an overwhelming response, including a$465 million loanfrom the US Department of Energy. At the same time, the companysold around 2,500 unitsof the Roadster (discontinued in 2012), which had a base price of $109,000.</p><p>With cash flow from operations and outside funding, this huge capital injection allowed Tesla to scale production and finally bring affordable EVs to the masses — the Model S's planned-priced was much lower than the Roadster, at abase price of $57,400.</p><p>Fast forward to today, Tesla is now the most valuable automaker in the world. Along the way, Tesla has poured billions into new products and technology innovations — not just cars. These include EV charging stations, solar power systems, and energy storage solutions.</p><p>Safe to say, everything went according to the company's original Master Plan.</p><p>Many companies would've grown complacent after achieving such a feat. But Tesla is not like other companies — it remains as hungry as ever to fulfill its ultimate mission:</p><blockquote>Accelerating the World's Transition to Sustainable Energy</blockquote><blockquote>(Tesla)</blockquote><p>This is why Musk wasted no time in writing a new Master Plan, perhaps sounding as overly ambitious as he did back when he wrote the first Master Plan.</p><p>In 2016, Musk published Tesla'ssecond Master Plan:</p><ol><li>Create stunning solar roofs with seamlessly integrated battery storage</li><li>Expand the electric vehicle product line to address all major segments</li><li>Develop a self-driving capability that is 10X safer than manual via massive fleet learning</li><li>Enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it</li></ol><p>Let's take a look at Tesla's current product line to get a better understanding of how the company aims to deliver its second Master Plan.</p><p><i><b>Energy Generation and Storage</b></i></p><p>In 2015, Tesla announced that it will be entering the energy generation and storage business bylaunching Tesla Energy— "a suite of batteries for homes, businesses, and utilities fostering a clean energy ecosystem and helping wean the world off fossil fuels."</p><p>To scale this new project quickly, TeslaacquiredSolarCity — at that time, one of the largest solar energy companies in the US — for $2.6 billion.</p><p>Today, Tesla Energy has two distinct offerings:</p><ul><li><b>Solar Energy Generation</b>: Existing homeowners can purchase retrofit Solar Panels to install on their rooftops. These panels are low-profile and durable, delivering maximum solar energy production all year round. On the other hand, homeowners who want the complete package can purchase the Solar Roof, which completely replaces traditional rooftops by combining glass solar tiles and steel roofing tiles. With its solar products, customers can power their homes using the clean, renewable energy of the sun.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d41f8fbe6d8a02941aa157b3641fa66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Solar Panels</p><ul><li><b>Energy Storage</b>: Tesla's solar products also come with Tesla's energy storage solutions, which together, reduce customers' reliance on the grid and thus create a self-sufficient home solar energy system. There are two products in this category. First, the Powerwall is a compact home battery designed to store energy for homes and small commercial facilities. Second, the Megapack caters to larger customers, particularly for commercial, industrial, and utility purposes. Both devices stores clean energy for use anytime.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/171c30c0a78fce3466be214326c8baf9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Megapack</p><p>Customers can also monitor their energy production in real-time and control their systems remotely through the Tesla App.</p><p>Ultimately, Tesla's solar energy system lower both the user's carbon footprint and energy bills, while storing energy for the grid reliably and safely, for use anytime, even with outages.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65502453372793c1cd224407ad675c32\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Solar Panels and Megapacks</p><p>With that said, Musk has completed the first step of Master Plan 2: "Create stunning solar roofs with seamlessly integrated battery storage".</p><p>On to the next one.</p><p><i><b>Automotive</b></i></p><p>As of this writing, Tesla offers four consumer EVs, which when aligned perfectly, produce the codeword "S3XY" (I forgot to mention that Musk is the king of trolls).</p><ul><li><b>Model S</b>: The first Model S was officially launched in June 2012. It represents Tesla's luxury full-size sedan line with some of the most advanced features in EV technology. The base model has a range of up to 405 miles, a top speed of 149mph, and can hit 0-60 in 3.1 seconds. Following Tesla'srecent price cuts, the Model S now starts at $94,990.</li><li><b>Model 3</b>: The Model 3 was first introduced in 2017 and it is Tesla's most affordable car with a starting price of $42,990. This mid-size sedan was designed for mass production and appeal to the average consumer. Compared to the Model S, the Model 3 has lower performance specifications: a range of 272 miles, a top speed of 140mph, and hits 0-60 in 5.8 seconds.</li><li><b>Model X</b>: The first Model X was delivered in 2015. Just like the Model S, the Model X offers consumers high-performance, more-luxurious features. This 7-seater mid-size SUV has a range of 348 miles, a top speed of 155mph, and reaches 0-60 in 3.8 seconds. The base model starts at $109,990.</li><li><b>Model Y</b>: This compact 7-seater SUV completed Tesla's main S3XY lineup. The Model Y was launched at the dawn of the coronavirus outbreak, in March 2020. The Model Y is the more affordable SUV option with a starting price of $54,990. It has a range of 330 miles, a top speed of 145mph, and hits 0-60 in 4.8 seconds.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9c2f0673e0cf230dcb972e8d7e9985a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Model S</p><p>And of course, Tesla's S3XY models are all packed with some of the most advanced technological features in the auto industry. This includes its smart vehicle controls, interactive touchscreen display, and infotainment software, which can be updated via over-the-air software updates. In addition, customers have access to several charging options: 1) Wall Connector home charging, 2) Destination Charging at select locations like hotels and restaurants, and 3) Supercharger Connectors for high-speed charging.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e159e4615871da0a7a4cc7c1f687a1f\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"180\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Supercharger Speed</p><p>Along with passenger vehicles, Tesla is also expanding its product line to "address all major segments" as outlined by Musk in step 2 of Master Plan 2.</p><p>More specifically, Tesla has announced three new vehicles in its automotive lineup:</p><ul><li><b>Cybertruck</b>: This futuristic pickup truck was first unveiled in late 2019. According to itsQ4 release, Cybertruck "remains on track to begin production later this year in Gigafactory Texas". This truck is expected to have a range of up to 500 miles and hits 0-60 in 2.9 seconds.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d62c428fcbaf98c83715931c4d39d19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Cybertruck</p><ul><li><b>Roadster</b>: In 2017, Tesla announced that the company is planning to enter the super sports car market by reintroducing the new and improved Roadster. With an estimated price tag of about $200,000, the Roadster could be the king of electric super sports cars, boasting a top speed of 250mph, 620 miles of range, and hits 0-60 in 1.9s. Impressive.</li><li><b>Semi</b>: The Semi was first unveiled in 2017, which meant Tesla's intention to enter the commercial truck space. In late 2022, Tesla finally delivered its first production Semi. It has the potential to travel 500 miles on a single charge, reach 0-60 in 20 seconds, and operators can save on fuel costs of up to $200,000 within 3 years.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d911d6c64909fddd3648ca6ee7f414\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"287\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Semi Delivery Event Keynote</p><p>With the introduction of these three new vehicles, Tesla is essentially addressing all major segments of the automotive industry, as shown in the picture above.</p><p>But wait.</p><p>What about the mysterious device under the word "ROBOTAXI"?</p><p>Well, as the name suggests, Tesla is also planning to establish an autonomous Tesla ride-hailing network.</p><p>How?</p><p>By fulfilling step 3 of Master Plan 2: "Develop a self-driving capability that is 10X safer than manual via massive fleet learning".</p><p>Currently, Tesla's S3XY lineup is equipped with an AI-based driver-assistance program called Tesla Autopilot. It was first launched in 2014 and it literally allows customers to let go of the steering wheel and let the car do its own driving. This is achievable through Tesla Vision, a 360-degree computer vision system that detects nearby cars and objects within 250 meters.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d9672ce95367cb0bd1a4f371903e5d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"260\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Vision</p><p>By analyzing real-time visual data from its nearby environment as well as historical data collected from billions of miles of driving, the car has the potential to maneuver itself automatically and intelligently. There arethree tiersto this feature:</p><ul><li><b>Basic Autopilot</b>: This is the default feature included in all new Tesla vehicles. This feature enables the car to steer, accelerate and brake automatically within its lane.</li><li><b>Enhanced Autopilot</b>: At an additional cost of $6,000, this package includes more advanced features such as auto lane change, autopark, and smart summon.</li><li><b>Full Self-Driving ("FSD")</b>: At an extra cost of $15,000, customers get all Basic and Enhanced features, as well as the most advanced features such as traffic and stop sign control.</li></ul><p>However, even with FSD, do note that Tesla cars are not fully autonomous yet, as disclosed by Tesla:</p><blockquote>The currently enabled Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving features require active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous. Full autonomy will be dependent on achieving reliability far in excess of human drivers as demonstrated by billions of miles of experience, as well as regulatory approval, which may take longer in some jurisdictions. As Tesla’s Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capabilities evolve, your car will be continuously upgraded through over-the-air software updates.</blockquote><blockquote>(Tesla —Autopilot and Full Self-Driving Capability)</blockquote><p>Nevertheless, Tesla is inching closer and closer to truly becoming FSD-capable, and eventually, Autopilot would become "10X safer" than manual driving. In fact, as of Q3 2022:</p><blockquote>In the 3rd quarter, we recorded<b>one crash for every 6.26 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology</b>. For drivers who were not using Autopilot technology, we recorded one crash for every 1.71 million miles driven. By comparison, the most recent data available fromNHTSAandFHWA(from 2021) shows that in the United States there was an automobile crash approximately every 652,000 miles.</blockquote><blockquote>(Tesla —Tesla's Vehicle Safety Report)</blockquote><p>If we do the math, that makes Tesla Autopilot 9.6 times safer than manual driving. In other words, Musk could basically mark step 3 as "complete".</p><p>Now on to step 4: "Enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it"</p><p>That's Tesla's plan to build an autonomous ride-hailing network of Tesla robotaxis.</p><p>When FSD receives regulatory approval, we could see massive adoption of FSD. And with Tesla's Autopilot progress thus far, it won't be long before step 4 come into full realization. In my opinion, we could see Tesla cars "making money for you" within the next five years. By then, Master Plan 2 is complete.</p><blockquote>When true self-driving is approved by regulators, it will mean that you will be able to summon your Tesla from pretty much anywhere. Once it picks you up, you will be able to sleep, read or do anything else enroute to your destination.</blockquote><blockquote>You will also be able to add your car to the Tesla shared fleet just by tapping a button on the Tesla phone app and have it generate income for you while you're at work or on vacation, significantly offsetting and at times potentially exceeding the monthly loan or lease cost. This dramatically lowers the true cost of ownership to the point where almost anyone could own a Tesla. Since most cars are only in use by their owner for 5% to 10% of the day, the fundamental economic utility of a true self-driving car is likely to be several times that of a car which is not.</blockquote><blockquote>In cities where demand exceeds the supply of customer-owned cars, Tesla will operate its own fleet, ensuring you can always hail a ride from us no matter where you are.</blockquote><blockquote>(Elon Musk —Master Plan, Part Deux)</blockquote><h2>Market Opportunity</h2><p>According to theUnited Nations, fossil fuels are the largest contributor to climate change, accounting for ~75% of greenhouse gas emissions and ~90% of all carbon dioxide emissions. Transportation is one of the major culprits, contributing ~25% of these unwanted emissions due to the combustion of petroleum-based products in internal combustion engines (ICE).</p><p>Musk has long believed that if the world were to continue to burn fossil fuels indefinitely, civilization, at some point, would collapse. To avoid such a disaster, it is necessary for the world to achieve a sustainable energy economy. For Tesla, that means replacing a century-old device: ICE cars.</p><p>Without a doubt, Tesla played a pivotal role in the auto industry as it not only pioneered EVs but also made them available, affordable, and accessible to average consumers, not just for the elites. We can confidently say that Tesla accelerated the world's transition to EVs, inspiring major automakers and small-scale startups to join the electric revolution.</p><p>According toBloomberg, EV sales increased 22-fold from 452k units sold in 2015 to 10.3 million units sold in 2022. Since 2020, EV sales have more than tripled. Bloomberg expects this number to rise in 2023 — albeit at a slower growth pace — to 13.6 million EVs globally, a ~32% increase from last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51e9e8ccb7c45db13acfe7b8e73a2339\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As you can tell, EV markets are expanding quickly and they're taking market share from ICE cars. By estimation, there are now 27 million EVs on the road globally, and that number is expected to reach 40 million by year-end. Although this represents a mere ~3% of the global vehicle fleet, it's a massive increase from less than 1% at the end of 2020.</p><p>The combination of higher EV manufacturing capacity, refreshed federal tax credits, better affordability, climate change awareness, and hype contributed to surging EV adoption. As EVs continue to take share, gas-powered vehicles are struggling to grow, with sales declining YoY in 4 of the last 5 years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b17a8bb632a74438563168bf10a392fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>ARK Invest Big Ideas 2023</p><p>For Tesla, the opportunity lies in taking additional market share from ICE cars.</p><blockquote>Of the 2 billion cars and trucks on the road, we only have about 3.5 million. So, we’ve got a long way to go to even reach 1% of the global fleet.</blockquote><blockquote>(Elon Musk —TSLA 2022 Q3 Earnings Call)</blockquote><p>In the next few decades, ICE vehicles could turn obsolete while EVs become the primary mode of transport. In fact, some countries are working towards being 100% electric. As shown below, Norway's EV share has alreadyreached 83%. On the other hand, EVs in the US only has a 6% market share. This paints a picture of how the EV market could evolve in the next few decades.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8186744d4843d0a2934ad863b79961e0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"577\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Driven</p><p>Not only passenger vehicles, but commercial vehicles are also making their electric transition — global electric commercial vehicle sales should reach almost 600k in 2023, up ~80% from 2022. According to Allied Market Research, theheavy-duty truck market— the subsector where the Tesla Semi operates — could be worth $328 billion by 2031. If Tesla could capture just 5% of this market, that equates to ~$16 billion of revenue opportunity for the company.</p><p>The growth of both passenger and commercial EVs is highly correlated to the growth of EV charging stations, which is a key component of mass EV adoption:</p><ul><li>More EV customers require more EV charging stations.</li><li>More EV charging stations, especially in rural areas, could encourage more EV adoption.</li></ul><p>According to Bloomberg, the number of public EV chargers grew from 1.8 million in 2021 to 2.8 million in 2022. Strategic Market Research reported that theglobal EV charging market could be worth $142 billionby 2030. Again, if Tesla takes a 5% market share, it could generate $7 billion worth of revenue for investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16550c0bafe56dde44b4c0ee7b150052\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Strategic Market Research</p><p>In addition, full self-driving technology could also significantly increase the value of the EV market. There are several benefits to autonomous driving (AD):</p><ul><li>AD systems are<b>safer than manual driving</b>, as discussed in the previous section. This is especially true when we have a drunk or drowsy person behind the wheel.</li><li>Full self-driving cars may mean<b>lower insurance premiums</b>since the AD software — instead of the customer — is in control, and therefore, will be held liable for car accidents.</li><li>Features such as auto parking and car summoning make AD systems<b>more convenient</b>.</li><li>AD systems allow the "driver" to be<b>more productive</b>— hours on the road could be used for work.</li><li>AD systems can be programmed to maintain optimal speeds,<b>saving additional charging costs</b>.</li></ul><p>These benefits are reasons why customers are willing to pay a premium for AD features. According to aMcKinsey surveyinvolving 25,000 participants, about 25% of them said they are likely to opt-in for advanced AD features in their next car purchase. Two-thirds of these interested customers are also willing to pay up to $10,000 for an L4 highway pilot, which is capable of hands-free driving on highways. The chart below shows thedifferent levels of driving automation. For context, Tesla cars are still at Level 2.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81d0ca618deea18398a710b6836484b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SAE</p><p>Whether it be in the form of a one-time fee, subscription, or per-use basis, customers are willing to pay a premium for these features. According to McKinsey, the AD market alone could beworth $300 billion to $400 billionby 2035.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa11e1f47cee564d916e96e5800eb2b2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>McKinsey</p><p>When AD systems achieve adequate levels of performance and safety, autonomous ride-hailing is the next driver of value creation. According to Statista, theride-hailing and taxi marketare worth about $276 billion today. Adding the "autonomous" component could boost the market value of the ride-hailing and taxi industry.</p><p>Although too early to tell, Ark Invest estimated that the autonomous ride-hail industry is likely to create an$11 trillion addressable market. The innovation-focused fund also argued the possibility of autonomous taxis replacing 60% of short-haul airline flights, which means unbundling the domestic airline industry. Only time will tell whether these predictions will come true.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f893081471adbb6d79bd91b87c624b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ark Invest Big Ideas 2023</p><p>Nevertheless, addressing safety concerns, educating consumers, and gaining regulatory support are keys to successfully rolling out autonomous ride-hailing and logistics networks. In the meantime, developing nationwide parking-and-charging infrastructure is essential for robocar deployment. For example, Tesla could partner with industrial REITs like Prologis (PLD) to build dedicated autonomous loading/docking and charging stations in their warehouses to facilitate smooth inbound/outbound operations. Another example would be to partner with parking garage owners to provide parking spaces for Tesla robotaxis to park and stand by for customers to hail a ride.</p><p>Aside from the automotive industry, Tesla also operates in the solar and energy storage industries, which are also in their infancy.</p><p>Solar and energy storage systems are gaining in popularity as they're environmental-friendly, reduce energy bills, and can operate off the grid.</p><p>To elaborate on that last point, currently, the power grid is still struggling with large-scale power outages during extreme weather conditions such as the 2018 California wildfires or the 2021 Texas winter storm. Some of these outages can go on for days or weeks, which, unfortunately, could prove to befatal. With an off-grid solar energy system installed in people's homes, they can worry less about outages.</p><p>For these reasons, people and governments all over the world are investing heavily in solar and energy storage solutions — long-term demand for these solutions should remain robust.</p><p>Based on a study by the IEA, solar photovoltaics' (PV) installed power capacity is expected tobecome the largest source of electricity by 2027while coal, natural gas, nuclear, and oil generation are expected to plateau and decline over time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2719b4062b8a0bdf5f9c5e1116b8a4e1\" tg-width=\"606\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>IEA Renewables 2022</p><p>In addition, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance, energy storage installations are projected to reach a cumulative411 gigawatts by the end of 2030, which is a 15-fold increase from 2021.</p><p>The exponential growth in solar PV and energy storage adoption will be a massive tailwind for solar and energy storage companies all over the world, including Tesla's renewable energy business.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/795dad7a4f87987195b0aca215c9e08c\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"587\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>BloombergNEF</p><p>To sum up this section, Tesla's growth potential revolves around some of the greatest secular trends in modern times, namely EVs, autonomous driving, autonomous ride-hailing, solar energy generation, and energy storage. Tesla, being the frontrunner in each of these trends, should be well positioned as one of, if not, the most dominant force in renewable energy solutions in the coming decades.</p><h2>Business Model</h2><p>Tesla generates revenue from three major operating segments: Automotive, Energy Generation and Storage, and Services and Other.</p><p><i><b>Automotive</b></i></p><p>Automotive Revenue consists of:</p><ul><li>Sales of new S3XY Models and Semi (cash deliveries and lease).</li><li>Premium in-car internet connectivity ($9.99/month or $99/year).</li><li>FSD features.</li><li>Free Supercharging programs.</li><li>Over-the-air software updates.</li><li>Sales of automotive regulatory credits to other automotive manufacturers.</li></ul><p><i><b>Energy Generation and Storage</b></i></p><p>Energy Generation and Storage Revenue include:</p><ul><li>Sales of solar energy generation and energy storage products (Solar Panels, Solar Roof, Powerwall, Megapack, etc.).</li><li>Services related to these products.</li><li>Sales of solar energy systems incentives.</li></ul><p><i><b>Services and Other</b></i></p><p>Services and Other Revenue consist of:</p><ul><li>Vehicle services and maintenance.</li><li>Paid Supercharging (charging price varies depending on location, but theaverage seems to be $0.50/kWh).</li><li>Sales of used vehicles.</li><li>Tesla merchandise (Tesla<i>shorts</i>anyone?).</li><li>In-house vehicle insurance program.</li></ul><p>Now let's dig into Tesla's financials.</p><h2>Growth</h2><p>FY2022 Revenue was $81.5 billion, a 51% increase YoY. In Q4, Revenue was $24.3 billion, a 37% increase YoY. Although growth has been decelerating over the last few quarters, these numbers still demonstrate strong demand for its products. Given Tesla's sheer size, it won't be surprising to see growth continue to decelerate from here. Nevertheless, I believe Tesla will be able to achieve 20%+ growth over the next 5 years, propelled by ambitious company targets, continued product innovation, and secular industry trends.</p><p>Below, you can see how Revenue has trended over the last few quarters.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f676800a9e71815e603a4ac044ff18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Robust Revenue growth was primarily due to surging EV sales. Total Automotive Revenue for FY2022 and Q4 was $71.5 billion and $21.3 billion, up 51% and 33% YoY, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e1f3224c857b8adec4d415f6d38a906\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Automotive Revenue increased primarily due to growth in vehicle production and deliveries. Tesla produced 1.37 million vehicles and delivered 1.31 million vehicles in FY2022, which is a YoY increase of 47% and 40%, respectively. This was made possible by increased production of Model Y at Gigafactory Shanghai and the Fremont Factory, as well as the commencement of production at Gigafactory Berlin and Gigafactory Texas.</p><p>The table below shows the production and delivery numbers over the last few quarters.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f08cbec5acf024def758b96e9124ec59\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"194\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Higher average selling prices (ASP) also contributed to the growth of Automotive Revenue. As you can see below, ASP in 2022 was slightly higher than in 2021. This was due to higher ASP from Model Y sales, as well as significant increases in deliveries in Tesla's luxury Model S/X.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd158c966c18908a7c833418623c11d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Tesla also mentioned that FSD in North America alone contributed $324 million in Automotive Revenue in Q4, which is an annual run rate of about $1.3 billion. Imagine what this figure would be when FSD becomes more mainstream, domestically and globally.</p><p>FY2022 and Q4 Services and Other Revenue both grew by 60% YoY, to $6.1 billion and $1.7 billion. The increase in Services and Other Revenue was due to revenue increases in used vehicle sales, maintenance services, paid Supercharging, insurance services, and retail merchandise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a42b3e5b153bcf1e2429a6bfdd966cea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>The table below shows the growth of Tesla's EV network, which correlates with Services and Other Revenue — as the network expands, more customers will be utilizing these ancillary services.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00e57d4a489044f4c7483f6c91d0807\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Turning to Energy Generation and Storage, Revenue for the segment was $3.9 billion and $1.3 billion in FY2022 and Q4, respectively. This is a YoY increase of 40% and 90%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d64ac8922452f35922ef3ddc8d84edd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>The growth spike in Q4 was primarily due to strong demand in the Energy Storage business. Storage deployments increased by 152% YoY in Q4 to 2.5 GWh, compared to just an 18% increase in solar deployments in Q4. For this reason, Tesla is ramping up production at its dedicated 40 GWh Megapack factory in Lathrop, California to meet excess demand for its storage products.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaea0ee2a8fb83df828749d884f46b5b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Tesla's growth, without a doubt, is nothing short of spectacular. Not only is Tesla's growth a confirmation of the ongoing transition to a sustainable economy, but it also shows how Elon & Co. is able to execute according to their (master) plans amidst a shaky global economy and a challenging competitive landscape. Although we can't expect Tesla to report blistering growth numbers similar to what we've seen in 2021 — deceleration is likely as Tesla expands from a larger base — Tesla's growth story remains intact. Given its track record and future potential, the company is poised to deliver 20%+ growth in the next few years.</p><h2>Profitability</h2><p>Perhaps, one of the biggest competitive advantages that Tesla has over competitors is its level of profitability. Let's have a look.</p><p>Q4 Gross Profit was $5.8 billion, which represents a 24% Gross Margin. This figure has been trending downwards over the last few quarters due to inflationary pressures, temporary suspension of production at Gigafactory Shanghai, and inefficiencies from the new Gigafactory Berlin and Gigafactory Texas. But if we zoom out, Tesla's Gross Margin is trending upwards, showing economies of scale and increased earnings potential.</p><p>Despite the recent downtrend, Tesla's Gross Margin is relatively high compared to competitors. For context, Stellantis (STLA), NIO (NIO), and Ford (F) have Gross Margins of 21%, 13%, and 9%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b64bd3f4c4e393d8ec443831a1831b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>The superior Gross Margin enables Tesla to cut vehicle prices, which could significantly increase market share in terms of the number of vehicles sold. However, many thought that the recentprice cutswere an act of desperation to bump up sales in the face of a deteriorating economy. Musk addressed this concern during the earnings call:</p><blockquote>The most common question we've been getting from investors is about demand. Thus far–so I want to put that concern to rest. Thus far in January, we've seen the strongest orders year-to-date than ever in our history. We currently are seeing<b>orders at almost twice the rate of production</b>.</blockquote><blockquote>(Elon Musk —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Earnings Call)</blockquote><p>Clearly, Tesla's plan to take market share by cutting prices is working. Nonetheless, here's a look at how much Tesla makes, on average, for each unit of vehicle sold. As you can see, Revenue Per Car Delivered is trickling down but take notice that Cost of Revenue Per Car Delivered is also trending downwards. In other words, Tesla is maintaining strong margins even with the lower prices. Management explained this further:</p><blockquote>Our ASPs have generally been on a downward trajectory for many years. Improving affordability is necessary to become a multi-million vehicle produce. While ASPs halved between 2017 and 2022, our operating margin consistently improved from approximately negative 14% to positive 17% in the same period. This margin expansion was achieved through introduction of lower cost models, buildout of localized, more-efficient factories, vehicle cost reduction and operation leverage.</blockquote><blockquote>(Tesla —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation)</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6a9c8892c2274f3a27a263d71b90198\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>On a per-car basis, Tesla makes a 26% Gross Profit Margin (as of Q4). Tesla should see margin pressure in the next few quarters as Tesla drops prices. But this should be partially offset by efficiencies as the new Gigafactories ramp up production.</p><p>Moving on, Gross Margin for the Energy Generation and Storage unit was 12% in Q4, an improvement from -7% last year. This was driven by a higher proportion of Energy Storage sales, which has higher margins than the solar business.</p><p>Services and Other Gross Margin was 6% in Q4. Gross Margin in this segment has been improving as the segment achieves economies of scale through a larger Tesla fleet.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610b1e5f3634015b9de238b97130c648\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Operating Profit in Q4 was $3.9 billion, a record for the company. This represents a 16% Operating Margin, which has trended higher over the last few years. The improvement was due to higher ASP and vehicle deliveries, higher Gross Profit, FSD revenue recognition of $324 million, and lower Stock-based Compensation. This was offset by inflationary pressures, the cost of production ramp of 4680 battery cells, and a negative foreign currency impact of $300 million. Nevertheless, the increasing Operating Margin shows that Tesla is gaining operating leverage as it scales further.</p><p>Again, Tesla has superior Operating Margins compared to competitors — in the latest quarter, Stellantis, NIO, and Ford have Operating Margins of 13%, -30%, and 3%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a551a252b338dd7909349aa81affa595\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Finally, Net Income was $3.7 billion, which represents a Net Margin of 15%. Compared to competitors, Tesla has very little debt, which means lower Interest Expenses, and ultimately higher Earnings for investors. For example, while Stellantis have Operating Margins close to that of Tesla, it has $29.6 billion of Total Debt, compared to just $5.7 billion for Tesla.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d3fdc5abfd3dd9a53b461da510c04a7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Fundamentally, Tesla has formidable profitability metrics, which enables the company to cut prices, spend more on product innovation, as well as scale quickly through production ramp. As the company scales further, we should see profitability continue to improve over time. In the process, shareholders should be rewarded with higher earnings. That is the financial competitive advantage that Tesla has over its competitors. The only other automaker that has comparable profitability levels is Ferrari (RACE), which is not really a competitor as it targets high-end clients.</p><p>But considering its growth rates and potential, Tesla's profitability margins are in a class of its own, beating both the averages for the auto industry and the S&P 500.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/675fa00a61cb717efba4aefad1ebb116\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation</p><h2>Financial Health</h2><p>Turning to the balance sheet, Tesla has Cash & Short-term Investments of $22.2 billion and Total Debt of about $5.8 billion, which brings its Net Cash position to about $16.4 billion. For comparison, Toyota Motors (TM) and Ford have a Net<i>Debt</i>position of $143.6 billion and $108.3 billion, respectively, which limits their potential to grow. Yet another advantage over incumbents.</p><p>Tesla also has a current ratio of about 1.5x, which is relatively liquid and slightly higher than the auto industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aa40eb9555d1d98a55e0ee21bd1c03d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Unlike most pure EV companies, Tesla is already cash flow positive. For example, Rivian (RIVN) and Lucid Motors (LCID) burned $4.7 billion and $1.9 billion in the last twelve months alone, whereas Tesla generated $14.7 billion of Cash from Operations in the same period. While Tesla is reinvesting back its profits for expansion, smaller competitors face bankruptcy risks.</p><p>In 2023, Tesla expects Capital Expenditures to be about $6 to $8 billion in 2023 and between $7 to $9 billion in the following two years. Given its strong Net Cash position and Cash from Operations, Tesla has the luxury to pursue its growth plans with little to no liquidity concerns. All these Capital Expenditures are mainly used for building new Gigafactories and expanding existing production capacities.</p><p>In the last twelve months, Tesla generated $7.6 billion of Free Cash Flow that can be used for other needs such as expanding the team, paying down its remaining debt, as well as buying back shares. As a matter of fact, Tesla has been paying down its debt over the last few years, dropping down from about $15 billion in 2020 to just $5.7 billion in the latest quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/212a9d88c21b76e208ae6919e46631ed\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>All in all, Tesla has one of, if not, the most pristine balance sheets among automaker peers. Its strong balance sheet should help with Musk's growth plans as well as protect the company from impending economic storms.</p><h2>Outlook</h2><p>In terms of the outlook, Tesla does not provide quarterly or annual revenue and earnings guidance. However, management does provide rather vague, but ambitious, targets.</p><blockquote>We are planning to grow production as quickly as possible in alignment with the 50% CAGR target we began guiding to in early 2021. In some years we may grow faster and some we may grow slower, depending on a number of factors.<b>For 2023, we expect to remain ahead of the long-term 50% CAGR witharound 1.8M cars for the year</b>.</blockquote><blockquote>(Tesla —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation)</blockquote><p>Tesla produced 1,369,611 cars in 2022 — 1.8 million units this year represents a ~31% increase from the previous year. Clearly, this growth rate is a far cry from management's long-term target of 50% CAGR. In addition, given that Tesla is growing over an even larger base, I can't imagine Tesla achieving 50% production growth in 2024, let alone 2025.</p><p>Fear not, Tesla is planning some major production expansions which could help the company achieve that 50% target:</p><ul><li>Tesla to invest $1 billion in afactory in Mexico</li><li>Tesla to invest $717 million toexpand Gigafactory Texas.</li><li>Tesla to invest $3.6 billion toexpand Gigafactory Nevada.</li><li>Tesla plans to open aGigafactory in Indonesia.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adcf86d1c7bd724e06ff2784f9957789\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation</p><p>In addition, the company mentioned that:</p><blockquote>Cybertruck remains on track to begin production later this year at Gigafactory Texas. Our next generation platform is under development, with additional details to be shared at Investor Day (March 1st 2023).</blockquote><blockquote>(Tesla —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation)</blockquote><p>Musk also hinted thatMaster Plan 3would be revealed at Investor Day, which should lay out the next hypergrowth initiatives in the next decade. What could Master Plan 3 look like? Here are some of the things that popped into my mind:</p><ul><li>Expand the electric vehicle lineup to the seas and skies.</li><li>Generate renewable energy from other elements such as water and wind.</li><li>Build 99% fully autonomous factories with Dojo and Optimus.</li></ul><p>Elon Musk, being the visionary he is, will come up with far more aggressive plans, which is why I'm looking forward to what he has to say at Investor Day.</p><p>But let's get back to the numbers.</p><p>Q4 ASP was about $53,000, and if we assume an ASP of $50,000 (after price cuts) in 2023, 1.8 million cars sold would translate to $90 billion worth of Automotive Revenue, which is about a 26% increase YoY. Adding the Energy Generation and Storage business and Services and Other segment, Revenue could easily surpass $100 billion in 2023. Analysts expect Revenue to increase 26% YoY, to $102.6 billion in 2023.</p><p>In my view, we could expect a slightly higher figure than analyst estimates as Tesla has a good track record of beating estimates. Perhaps, $105 billion of Revenue in 2023 is a reasonable figure.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06101049067a6534e4a1fdc2dd0414d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>However, given a tough macroeconomic environment, Tesla may fall short of expectations. The near-term outlook may look bleak for some, but I believe the long-term trajectory of the company remains optimistic.</p><h2>Competitive Moats</h2><p>Based on my research and analysis, I identified four competitive moats for Tesla: technology, brand, scale, and cost advantages.</p><p><i><b>Technology</b></i></p><p>Because Tesla ventured into the EV space way earlier than its competitors, Tesla has developed a technology stack that is far ahead of its peers. This stack consists of batteries, powertrains, Gigafactories, charging infrastructure, vehicle software, and Autopilot. Not only has Tesla developed industry-leading EVs, but it has also actually done so at a massive scale.</p><p>Tesla also has a ton of optionality. The technological expertise that the company has can be applied to develop new products, which increases the growth potential and market opportunity of the company. For example, Tesla is developing a supercomputer that Musk claims to be competitive with NVIDIA H1 (NVDA). Another example would be robotaxis, which could be massive if it reaches full scale. Here's one more: Tesla launched its in-house insurance program in 2019 which solidifies its vertically integrated ecosystem.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12e0d76aa3726274e817f817ae105930\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Website — Insurance</p><p>The insurmountable amount of data it has collected since inception has also created a flywheel of improvement whereby additional data fed into the Tesla ecosystem improves the overall performance of the Tesla fleet through machine learning and AI. For instance, as of Q4, Tesla has deployed FSD Beta to roughly 400,000 customers in North America in city streets, which has accumulated about 100 million miles of FSD outside of highways. As Tesla gathers more data each day, it won't be long before FSD becomes mainstream.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acefb1304a041bbd816ba4dedb0eaafe\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation</p><p>Time and time again, Tesla has demonstrated that the company is capable of innovating, which is one of the most powerful competitive advantages any company can have in modern times.</p><p><i><b>Brand</b></i></p><p>Tesla is like a cult. Its brand is so powerful that Tesla doesn't need to spend on marketing to promote its product. Here are some statistics to prove its brand moat:</p><ul><li>According to Experience Benchmarks, Tesla has aNet Promoter Score of 97!</li><li>According to Bloomberg,99% of Tesla customerswould recommend the Model 3 to friends or family.</li><li>According to Consumer Reports, Tesla has thehighest owner satisfactionamong all car brands.</li><li><p>According to Experian, Tesla has the highest brand loyalty —70.7% of Tesla ownerswho sold a Tesla acquired another new Tesla.</p></li></ul><p>Its CEO is also clever to make occasional circus acts to get the world's attention. Uncensored tweets, bizarre dancing, and selling Tesla shorts are some of the creative, perhaps quite involuntary, strategies that Musk has incorporated to attract media attention. What about thefailed Cybertruck demowhere a steel ball shattered the "bulletproof" windows of the vehicle? I believe it was done on purpose to gain media attention.</p><p>That's guerilla marketing 101.</p><p><i><b>Scale</b></i></p><p>Tesla is the largest EV company in the world. According to CleanTechnica, Tesla has an18.2% market sharein the global pure-battery EV market in 2022. Although this is a drop from 23% and 21% in 2020 and 2021, respectively, an 18.2% market share is still commendable and it is still far ahead of second-place Chinese EV maker BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF). In the US alone, Tesla has a58% market share.</p><p>As competition grows, Tesla's market share will naturally shrink. However, I believe Tesla will remain at the top of the EV food chain.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2511b6a1f9d2ccb45e53288ffc15ff9c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CleanTechnica</p><p>Tesla is also a formidable player in autonomous vehicle development. While Tesla is not the leader in autonomous vehicles — startups like Waymo and Cruise are ahead of the game — it could one day be in the future. As mentioned earlier, Tesla's technology enables the company to retrieve vast amounts of data that no other company can come close to. As shown below, there are ~2.7 million Tesla vehicles on the road that are collecting data each day, compared to just ~1,000 and ~300 vehicles for Waymo and Cruise, respectively.</p><p>Sure, these smaller startups may have an edge today, but running a full-scale autonomous ride-hailing network is a different story. For state-of-the-art autonomous driving networks, companies will need substantial amounts of fleet data to put together the highest-performing algorithm for smooth operations. When FSD is fully launched, Tesla could essentially deploy robotaxi services nationwide almost instantly. It's a "winner takes most" market and Tesla is well-positioned to capture this opportunity due to its massive scale.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ed5f541b72294b6500f5b923e140ac8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ark Invest Big Ideas 2023</p><p><i><b>Cost Advantages</b></i></p><p>As discussed in the previous sections, one of the biggest competitive advantages that Tesla possesses is its industry-leading profitability levels.</p><p>Tesla is able to achieve this through economies of scale even with ongoing expansion plans that put pressure on margins. The higher operating margin enables Tesla to slash prices in an attempt to lure more cost-conscious buyers to purchase Tesla cars. For instance, a Wedbush survey found that Tesla istaking market share in Chinafollowing its recent price cuts.</p><p>Such price cuts also force other automakers to consider cutting prices if they want to compete for market share, which puts them in a worse position as they already have thin margins.</p><p>Tesla's ASP has dropped over the years as it aims to bring affordable EVs into the market. The beauty of it is that even with lower ASPs, Tesla is still able to improve Operating Margins.</p><p>That's cost advantages at play and that spells danger for competitors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa8f87f73646b4104df59a00198555c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>Tesla's share price has gone through a roller coaster ride over the last few years. At the November 2021 peak, Tesla's share price reached $400 a share, which represents a $1.2 trillion market cap, a major milestone for the EV company. But Tesla lost its trillion-dollar status in the blink of an eye, plunging more than 75% from its high. Insider selling, Twitter distraction, growth stock selloff, high inflation, and interest rate hikes were some of the reasons why the stock collapsed.</p><p>The selloff seemed endless up until recently — Tesla stock started 2023 with a bang, rallying 100% from the lows of $101 as the markets rebounded and macro conditions turned out better than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/266e711a3b9aec012b980244b77ef6b3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>With that said, is Tesla stock still worth buying after the rally?</p><p>Let's take a look.</p><p>Looking at Tesla's valuation multiples, the stock seemed to be trading cheaply based on historical standards.</p><ul><li><b>Price/Sales of 7.6x</b>, which is at the lower end of its historical range of 1.4x to 33.5x.</li><li><b>Price/Earnings of 54.4x</b>, which is a big discount to its high of 450x.</li><li><b>Price/Free Cash Flow of 82.4x</b>, which is off from its high of 500x.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c23947f049087c332700cfbf099170ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Koyfin</p><p>Now, just because valuation multiples have contracted doesn't mean that Tesla is cheap — we may see another leg down as valuation multiples drop to more reasonable figures.</p><p>What is considered reasonable? Well, that's up to the markets to decide. But for the sake of comparison, Apple (AAPL) and Ford (F) have Price/FCF ratios of 24.5x and 21.1x, respectively.</p><p>Sure, Tesla is disrupting the auto industry and it has higher growth potential than its peers. I acknowledge that Tesla should trade at a premium, but in my opinion, multiples seemed too frothy still.</p><p>Below, I've also done a quick DCF analysis to find the intrinsic value of the company. I try to be as conservative as possible in my assumptions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7628e02a0af004ce5c0b39949511e33a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"104\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Here are my key assumptions:</p><ul><li><b>Revenue Growth:</b>followed analyst estimates in the first three years and then gradually drop to 12%.</li><li><b>Cost of Revenue</b>: improve to 65% of Revenue by 2032 as the company achieves economies of scale and enjoys higher margins from software-related products.</li><li><b>Capital Expenditures</b>: $6 to $8 billion in 2023 and $7 to $9 billion in the following two years, as guided by management.</li></ul><p>Based on the above assumptions, I have the following DCF forecast. I project a $421 billion Revenue by 2032 and an FCF margin of 21.1% — higher than Stellantis' FCF Margin of 9.0% but slightly lower than Apple's FCF Margin of 28.2%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c40c6edc59bbc5886fcc14085dfed4a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>Using a perpetual growth rate and a discount rate of 3% and 12%, respectively, I arrive at an intrinsic value per share of $182. That said, Tesla appears to be trading slightly higher than fair value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c19ed6870338b359082593a6648f9b56\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</p><p>My intrinsic value estimate is also lower than analysts' average price target of $193.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3979ae62aaad3c00ff8d5a3ea9ec6953\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>For growth stocks, I like to apply a wide margin of safety to help me sleep well at night, usually 50% of my already-conservative price target. But in Tesla's case — given its durable competitive moats, fortress balance sheet, and huge growth potential — I may use a lower margin of safety.</p><p>If we see a pullback in prices, I'd be interested in starting a position in the stock. If it hits new lows, I'll be aggressively buying to make Tesla a core holding in my portfolio.</p><p>I see the potential for the stock to generate significant alpha. Just look at the returns ever since Master Plan 2 was released on 20 July 2016 — shares surged more than 2,000%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb66c3f9f16f234dcadb27a04975efc2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Musk has a history of delivering what he promised. Tesla Investor Day is approaching and Master Plan 3 will be revealed. If Musk delivers once again, we could see another 2,000% increase in the stock, which will blow past the $10 trillion mark. This will be a long, difficult road for sure, but I believe Tesla has what it takes to achieve this coveted milestone. Even Musk thinks so:</p><blockquote>I’m of the opinion that we can far exceed Apple’s current market cap. In fact, I see a potential path for Tesla to be worth more than Apple and Saudi Aramco combined.</blockquote><blockquote>(Elon Musk —TSLA FY2022 Q3 Earnings Call)</blockquote><h2>Catalysts</h2><ul><li><b>Roadster, Cybertruck, and Others</b>: With the recent launch of the Tesla Semi, the additions of the Roadster and Cybertruck should provide a boost to Revenue, and therefore, investor sentiment. Future unveiling of other vehicle types can also bring hype to the markets — some examples include eVTOLs, buses, and boats.</li><li><b>Optimus and Dojo</b>: Tesla unveiled Optimus, an autonomous humanoid robot, on AI Day in October 2022, which could costless than $20,000. The company also unveiled the updatedDojo supercomputerwhich Musk claimed could be a “service that you can use that’s available online where you can train your models way faster and for less money.” Not much has surfaced about these products but they definitely open new revenue streams for Tesla once they are commercialized.</li><li><b>Robotaxi</b>: Continued FSD development and the official launch of the robotaxi network could potentially disrupt the ride-hailing industry, particularly the duopoly held by Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT). When drivers are not involved, the costs of running a ride-hailing network significantly decrease, which will be extremely difficult for Uber and Lyft to compete with. When this robotaxi feature "enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it", the incentive to purchase a Tesla increases.</li><li><b>Insider Buying</b>: Over the last two years, Musk has soldalmost $40 billionworth of Tesla stock, which is also a major reason why the stock sold off. Although Musk reassured investors that he won't sell any more stock for the next two years, Musk purchasing stock could provide the plot twist and confidence that the markets need.</li><li><b>Master Plan 3</b>: It's been 7 years since Master Plan 2 was released. On March 1st, 2023, Musk will reveal the new Master Plan. Mark your calendars.</li></ul><h2>Risks</h2><ul><li><b>Rising Costs</b>: Limited supply of raw materials and raging inflation could put pressure on Tesla's profitability. Although Tesla is the one automaker that is best positioned to withstand this problem, uncontrollably high prices mean Tesla needs to sacrifice margins or increase prices, which could decrease sales volume and slow down EV adoption.</li><li><b>China Exit</b>: Due to geopolitical tensions, there's a certain level of risk where Tesla needs to shut down operations in China, which supplies most of the exports to non-US markets.</li><li><b>Competition</b>: This is by far the biggest bear argument against Tesla. All this competition could take market share from Tesla as well as put pressure on margins. Competitors include:</li><li><b>Cannibalization</b>: If the cost of hailing Tesla robotaxis is low enough and if access to robotaxis is super convenient, it could potentially reduce the need for people to purchase cars. As such, the development of one product may cannibalize the sales of another product — in this case, robotaxis cannibalizing auto sales. According to Ark Invest, global auto sales may decline as robotaxis hit the road.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f388e050c88f26297ca29200e5c65a2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ark Invest Big Ideas 2023</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Tesla is accelerating the world's transition to sustainable energy. The company is riding the wave of megatrends including EVs, self-driving technology, and clean energy.</p><p>Tesla possesses technology, brand, scale, and cost advantages moats. The company is backed by strong management with a proven track record of execution and delivering the unthinkable. With its strong cash flow and balance sheet, the company has incredible growth potential for decades to come.</p><p>For these reasons, I believe Tesla stock is a great long-term buy, although we may see volatility (as it has always been with Tesla) following the rally in recent weeks.</p><p>Ever since Master Plan 2 was published, shares have returned handsomely for investors. All eyes are on Master Plan 3 as Musk lays the steps necessary to take Tesla to the next level — and potentially to $10 trillion stardom.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e0086188e3245f3210be656ca4e46f0\" tg-width=\"587\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Twitter</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Master Plan 3 And The Road To $10 Trillion Market Cap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Master Plan 3 And The Road To $10 Trillion Market Cap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-15 19:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4577973-tesla-master-plan-3-road-to-10-trillion-market-cap><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMaster Plan 1 was published in 2006. 10 years later, Tesla's market cap reached $34 billion.Master Plan 2 was published in 2016. As of this writing, Tesla's market cap reached $623 billion, an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4577973-tesla-master-plan-3-road-to-10-trillion-market-cap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4577973-tesla-master-plan-3-road-to-10-trillion-market-cap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168196713","content_text":"SummaryMaster Plan 1 was published in 2006. 10 years later, Tesla's market cap reached $34 billion.Master Plan 2 was published in 2016. As of this writing, Tesla's market cap reached $623 billion, an 18-fold increase.Master Plan 3 is set to be revealed on March 1st, laying the plan towards a $10 trillion market cap.This will be a long and difficult road, but management has a track record of delivering what they promise.Considering its durable competitive moats, strong financials, and technological megatrends, Tesla has what it takes to reach this status.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the epitome of an innovator, a disruptor.It has been on my radar for quite some time but could not bear to buy the hype as its valuation was too crazy. Now, the stock has cratered, which got me interestedin starting a position.But instead of buying blindly, I need to do my research first — one of my investment rules is to write an article about the company first before I can buy the stock.So, here's my deep dive on Tesla. You need a coffee for this one. Enjoy!Investment ThesisAmbitious company targets, continued product innovation, and secular industry trends will be the growth engines for Tesla. Its durable competitive moats and strong financial position should protect the company as it marches toward the $10 trillion mark.After 2 decadessince its inception, Tesla will be revealing the highly-anticipated Master Plan 3, which could be the catalyst for significant long-term price appreciation.More importantly, it will lay out the next phase of hypergrowth initiatives that will accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.Shares appear to be trading at fair value — I would consider buying shares during pullbacks.Value PropositionAlthough current CEO Elon Musk has long been the face of Tesla, he did not actually found the company. In fact, Tesla was founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning.Previously, the two engineers co-founded NuvoMedia whichdevelopedthe first-ever e-reader in 1997. After selling the company to Gemstar-TV Guide International for $187 million, the pair decided to join forces once again.Combining his love for sports cars and his concern for global warming,Eberhardwanted to build \"a car manufacturer that is also a technology company\", focusing on crucial components such as \"the battery, the computer software, and the proprietary motor\".And thus, Tesla was born.The company was named after the 19th-century inventor, Nikola Tesla, who was well-known for his inventions in the electrical engineering field, more specifically, alternating current generation and transmission.The two co-founders began their search for outside capital and that's when Elon Musk came into the picture. In early 2004, Elon Musk led Tesla's $6.5 million Series A funding round, of which Musk contributed $6.35 million, which consequently placed him as chairman of the board.Two years later, word of the EV startup began to spread like wildfire. In 2006, Tesla raised additional capital from two separate funding rounds, which include big names such as Google (GOOGL) co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, as well as JPMorgan (JPM).Shortly after its funding rounds, Tesla revealed its first-ever sports car prototype, the Roadster, on July 2006.Tesla Website — RoadsterMore importantly, Musk published Tesla's firstMaster Plan, outlining the company's mission as well as its reasoning behind launching the Roadster....the overarching purpose of Tesla Motors (and the reason I am funding the company) is to help expedite the move from a mine-and-burn hydrocarbon economy towards a solar electric economy...(Elon Musk —The Secret Tesla Motors Master Plan (just between you and me)The Master Plan consists of four oversimplified steps:Build sports carUse that money to build an affordable carUsethatmoney to build an even more affordable carWhile doing above, also provide zero emission electric power generation optionsStep 1 was pretty much done. But getting to steps 2, 3, and 4 was not as easy as Musk would've wanted. It took nearly two years for the Tesla Roadster to finally be delivered to customers. Not to mention, there were three CEO changes in 2007 and 2008 — Musk took the big job on October 2008, in the depths of the global financial crisis.Against all odds, Tesla survived.In 2009, Tesla unveiled its second car, the Model S, which received an overwhelming response, including a$465 million loanfrom the US Department of Energy. At the same time, the companysold around 2,500 unitsof the Roadster (discontinued in 2012), which had a base price of $109,000.With cash flow from operations and outside funding, this huge capital injection allowed Tesla to scale production and finally bring affordable EVs to the masses — the Model S's planned-priced was much lower than the Roadster, at abase price of $57,400.Fast forward to today, Tesla is now the most valuable automaker in the world. Along the way, Tesla has poured billions into new products and technology innovations — not just cars. These include EV charging stations, solar power systems, and energy storage solutions.Safe to say, everything went according to the company's original Master Plan.Many companies would've grown complacent after achieving such a feat. But Tesla is not like other companies — it remains as hungry as ever to fulfill its ultimate mission:Accelerating the World's Transition to Sustainable Energy(Tesla)This is why Musk wasted no time in writing a new Master Plan, perhaps sounding as overly ambitious as he did back when he wrote the first Master Plan.In 2016, Musk published Tesla'ssecond Master Plan:Create stunning solar roofs with seamlessly integrated battery storageExpand the electric vehicle product line to address all major segmentsDevelop a self-driving capability that is 10X safer than manual via massive fleet learningEnable your car to make money for you when you aren't using itLet's take a look at Tesla's current product line to get a better understanding of how the company aims to deliver its second Master Plan.Energy Generation and StorageIn 2015, Tesla announced that it will be entering the energy generation and storage business bylaunching Tesla Energy— \"a suite of batteries for homes, businesses, and utilities fostering a clean energy ecosystem and helping wean the world off fossil fuels.\"To scale this new project quickly, TeslaacquiredSolarCity — at that time, one of the largest solar energy companies in the US — for $2.6 billion.Today, Tesla Energy has two distinct offerings:Solar Energy Generation: Existing homeowners can purchase retrofit Solar Panels to install on their rooftops. These panels are low-profile and durable, delivering maximum solar energy production all year round. On the other hand, homeowners who want the complete package can purchase the Solar Roof, which completely replaces traditional rooftops by combining glass solar tiles and steel roofing tiles. With its solar products, customers can power their homes using the clean, renewable energy of the sun.Tesla Website — Solar PanelsEnergy Storage: Tesla's solar products also come with Tesla's energy storage solutions, which together, reduce customers' reliance on the grid and thus create a self-sufficient home solar energy system. There are two products in this category. First, the Powerwall is a compact home battery designed to store energy for homes and small commercial facilities. Second, the Megapack caters to larger customers, particularly for commercial, industrial, and utility purposes. Both devices stores clean energy for use anytime.Tesla Website — MegapackCustomers can also monitor their energy production in real-time and control their systems remotely through the Tesla App.Ultimately, Tesla's solar energy system lower both the user's carbon footprint and energy bills, while storing energy for the grid reliably and safely, for use anytime, even with outages.Tesla Website — Solar Panels and MegapacksWith that said, Musk has completed the first step of Master Plan 2: \"Create stunning solar roofs with seamlessly integrated battery storage\".On to the next one.AutomotiveAs of this writing, Tesla offers four consumer EVs, which when aligned perfectly, produce the codeword \"S3XY\" (I forgot to mention that Musk is the king of trolls).Model S: The first Model S was officially launched in June 2012. It represents Tesla's luxury full-size sedan line with some of the most advanced features in EV technology. The base model has a range of up to 405 miles, a top speed of 149mph, and can hit 0-60 in 3.1 seconds. Following Tesla'srecent price cuts, the Model S now starts at $94,990.Model 3: The Model 3 was first introduced in 2017 and it is Tesla's most affordable car with a starting price of $42,990. This mid-size sedan was designed for mass production and appeal to the average consumer. Compared to the Model S, the Model 3 has lower performance specifications: a range of 272 miles, a top speed of 140mph, and hits 0-60 in 5.8 seconds.Model X: The first Model X was delivered in 2015. Just like the Model S, the Model X offers consumers high-performance, more-luxurious features. This 7-seater mid-size SUV has a range of 348 miles, a top speed of 155mph, and reaches 0-60 in 3.8 seconds. The base model starts at $109,990.Model Y: This compact 7-seater SUV completed Tesla's main S3XY lineup. The Model Y was launched at the dawn of the coronavirus outbreak, in March 2020. The Model Y is the more affordable SUV option with a starting price of $54,990. It has a range of 330 miles, a top speed of 145mph, and hits 0-60 in 4.8 seconds.Tesla Website — Model SAnd of course, Tesla's S3XY models are all packed with some of the most advanced technological features in the auto industry. This includes its smart vehicle controls, interactive touchscreen display, and infotainment software, which can be updated via over-the-air software updates. In addition, customers have access to several charging options: 1) Wall Connector home charging, 2) Destination Charging at select locations like hotels and restaurants, and 3) Supercharger Connectors for high-speed charging.Tesla Website — Supercharger SpeedAlong with passenger vehicles, Tesla is also expanding its product line to \"address all major segments\" as outlined by Musk in step 2 of Master Plan 2.More specifically, Tesla has announced three new vehicles in its automotive lineup:Cybertruck: This futuristic pickup truck was first unveiled in late 2019. According to itsQ4 release, Cybertruck \"remains on track to begin production later this year in Gigafactory Texas\". This truck is expected to have a range of up to 500 miles and hits 0-60 in 2.9 seconds.Tesla Website — CybertruckRoadster: In 2017, Tesla announced that the company is planning to enter the super sports car market by reintroducing the new and improved Roadster. With an estimated price tag of about $200,000, the Roadster could be the king of electric super sports cars, boasting a top speed of 250mph, 620 miles of range, and hits 0-60 in 1.9s. Impressive.Semi: The Semi was first unveiled in 2017, which meant Tesla's intention to enter the commercial truck space. In late 2022, Tesla finally delivered its first production Semi. It has the potential to travel 500 miles on a single charge, reach 0-60 in 20 seconds, and operators can save on fuel costs of up to $200,000 within 3 years.Tesla Semi Delivery Event KeynoteWith the introduction of these three new vehicles, Tesla is essentially addressing all major segments of the automotive industry, as shown in the picture above.But wait.What about the mysterious device under the word \"ROBOTAXI\"?Well, as the name suggests, Tesla is also planning to establish an autonomous Tesla ride-hailing network.How?By fulfilling step 3 of Master Plan 2: \"Develop a self-driving capability that is 10X safer than manual via massive fleet learning\".Currently, Tesla's S3XY lineup is equipped with an AI-based driver-assistance program called Tesla Autopilot. It was first launched in 2014 and it literally allows customers to let go of the steering wheel and let the car do its own driving. This is achievable through Tesla Vision, a 360-degree computer vision system that detects nearby cars and objects within 250 meters.Tesla Website — VisionBy analyzing real-time visual data from its nearby environment as well as historical data collected from billions of miles of driving, the car has the potential to maneuver itself automatically and intelligently. There arethree tiersto this feature:Basic Autopilot: This is the default feature included in all new Tesla vehicles. This feature enables the car to steer, accelerate and brake automatically within its lane.Enhanced Autopilot: At an additional cost of $6,000, this package includes more advanced features such as auto lane change, autopark, and smart summon.Full Self-Driving (\"FSD\"): At an extra cost of $15,000, customers get all Basic and Enhanced features, as well as the most advanced features such as traffic and stop sign control.However, even with FSD, do note that Tesla cars are not fully autonomous yet, as disclosed by Tesla:The currently enabled Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving features require active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous. Full autonomy will be dependent on achieving reliability far in excess of human drivers as demonstrated by billions of miles of experience, as well as regulatory approval, which may take longer in some jurisdictions. As Tesla’s Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capabilities evolve, your car will be continuously upgraded through over-the-air software updates.(Tesla —Autopilot and Full Self-Driving Capability)Nevertheless, Tesla is inching closer and closer to truly becoming FSD-capable, and eventually, Autopilot would become \"10X safer\" than manual driving. In fact, as of Q3 2022:In the 3rd quarter, we recordedone crash for every 6.26 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology. For drivers who were not using Autopilot technology, we recorded one crash for every 1.71 million miles driven. By comparison, the most recent data available fromNHTSAandFHWA(from 2021) shows that in the United States there was an automobile crash approximately every 652,000 miles.(Tesla —Tesla's Vehicle Safety Report)If we do the math, that makes Tesla Autopilot 9.6 times safer than manual driving. In other words, Musk could basically mark step 3 as \"complete\".Now on to step 4: \"Enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it\"That's Tesla's plan to build an autonomous ride-hailing network of Tesla robotaxis.When FSD receives regulatory approval, we could see massive adoption of FSD. And with Tesla's Autopilot progress thus far, it won't be long before step 4 come into full realization. In my opinion, we could see Tesla cars \"making money for you\" within the next five years. By then, Master Plan 2 is complete.When true self-driving is approved by regulators, it will mean that you will be able to summon your Tesla from pretty much anywhere. Once it picks you up, you will be able to sleep, read or do anything else enroute to your destination.You will also be able to add your car to the Tesla shared fleet just by tapping a button on the Tesla phone app and have it generate income for you while you're at work or on vacation, significantly offsetting and at times potentially exceeding the monthly loan or lease cost. This dramatically lowers the true cost of ownership to the point where almost anyone could own a Tesla. Since most cars are only in use by their owner for 5% to 10% of the day, the fundamental economic utility of a true self-driving car is likely to be several times that of a car which is not.In cities where demand exceeds the supply of customer-owned cars, Tesla will operate its own fleet, ensuring you can always hail a ride from us no matter where you are.(Elon Musk —Master Plan, Part Deux)Market OpportunityAccording to theUnited Nations, fossil fuels are the largest contributor to climate change, accounting for ~75% of greenhouse gas emissions and ~90% of all carbon dioxide emissions. Transportation is one of the major culprits, contributing ~25% of these unwanted emissions due to the combustion of petroleum-based products in internal combustion engines (ICE).Musk has long believed that if the world were to continue to burn fossil fuels indefinitely, civilization, at some point, would collapse. To avoid such a disaster, it is necessary for the world to achieve a sustainable energy economy. For Tesla, that means replacing a century-old device: ICE cars.Without a doubt, Tesla played a pivotal role in the auto industry as it not only pioneered EVs but also made them available, affordable, and accessible to average consumers, not just for the elites. We can confidently say that Tesla accelerated the world's transition to EVs, inspiring major automakers and small-scale startups to join the electric revolution.According toBloomberg, EV sales increased 22-fold from 452k units sold in 2015 to 10.3 million units sold in 2022. Since 2020, EV sales have more than tripled. Bloomberg expects this number to rise in 2023 — albeit at a slower growth pace — to 13.6 million EVs globally, a ~32% increase from last year.BloombergAs you can tell, EV markets are expanding quickly and they're taking market share from ICE cars. By estimation, there are now 27 million EVs on the road globally, and that number is expected to reach 40 million by year-end. Although this represents a mere ~3% of the global vehicle fleet, it's a massive increase from less than 1% at the end of 2020.The combination of higher EV manufacturing capacity, refreshed federal tax credits, better affordability, climate change awareness, and hype contributed to surging EV adoption. As EVs continue to take share, gas-powered vehicles are struggling to grow, with sales declining YoY in 4 of the last 5 years.ARK Invest Big Ideas 2023For Tesla, the opportunity lies in taking additional market share from ICE cars.Of the 2 billion cars and trucks on the road, we only have about 3.5 million. So, we’ve got a long way to go to even reach 1% of the global fleet.(Elon Musk —TSLA 2022 Q3 Earnings Call)In the next few decades, ICE vehicles could turn obsolete while EVs become the primary mode of transport. In fact, some countries are working towards being 100% electric. As shown below, Norway's EV share has alreadyreached 83%. On the other hand, EVs in the US only has a 6% market share. This paints a picture of how the EV market could evolve in the next few decades.The DrivenNot only passenger vehicles, but commercial vehicles are also making their electric transition — global electric commercial vehicle sales should reach almost 600k in 2023, up ~80% from 2022. According to Allied Market Research, theheavy-duty truck market— the subsector where the Tesla Semi operates — could be worth $328 billion by 2031. If Tesla could capture just 5% of this market, that equates to ~$16 billion of revenue opportunity for the company.The growth of both passenger and commercial EVs is highly correlated to the growth of EV charging stations, which is a key component of mass EV adoption:More EV customers require more EV charging stations.More EV charging stations, especially in rural areas, could encourage more EV adoption.According to Bloomberg, the number of public EV chargers grew from 1.8 million in 2021 to 2.8 million in 2022. Strategic Market Research reported that theglobal EV charging market could be worth $142 billionby 2030. Again, if Tesla takes a 5% market share, it could generate $7 billion worth of revenue for investors.Strategic Market ResearchIn addition, full self-driving technology could also significantly increase the value of the EV market. There are several benefits to autonomous driving (AD):AD systems aresafer than manual driving, as discussed in the previous section. This is especially true when we have a drunk or drowsy person behind the wheel.Full self-driving cars may meanlower insurance premiumssince the AD software — instead of the customer — is in control, and therefore, will be held liable for car accidents.Features such as auto parking and car summoning make AD systemsmore convenient.AD systems allow the \"driver\" to bemore productive— hours on the road could be used for work.AD systems can be programmed to maintain optimal speeds,saving additional charging costs.These benefits are reasons why customers are willing to pay a premium for AD features. According to aMcKinsey surveyinvolving 25,000 participants, about 25% of them said they are likely to opt-in for advanced AD features in their next car purchase. Two-thirds of these interested customers are also willing to pay up to $10,000 for an L4 highway pilot, which is capable of hands-free driving on highways. The chart below shows thedifferent levels of driving automation. For context, Tesla cars are still at Level 2.SAEWhether it be in the form of a one-time fee, subscription, or per-use basis, customers are willing to pay a premium for these features. According to McKinsey, the AD market alone could beworth $300 billion to $400 billionby 2035.McKinseyWhen AD systems achieve adequate levels of performance and safety, autonomous ride-hailing is the next driver of value creation. According to Statista, theride-hailing and taxi marketare worth about $276 billion today. Adding the \"autonomous\" component could boost the market value of the ride-hailing and taxi industry.Although too early to tell, Ark Invest estimated that the autonomous ride-hail industry is likely to create an$11 trillion addressable market. The innovation-focused fund also argued the possibility of autonomous taxis replacing 60% of short-haul airline flights, which means unbundling the domestic airline industry. Only time will tell whether these predictions will come true.Ark Invest Big Ideas 2023Nevertheless, addressing safety concerns, educating consumers, and gaining regulatory support are keys to successfully rolling out autonomous ride-hailing and logistics networks. In the meantime, developing nationwide parking-and-charging infrastructure is essential for robocar deployment. For example, Tesla could partner with industrial REITs like Prologis (PLD) to build dedicated autonomous loading/docking and charging stations in their warehouses to facilitate smooth inbound/outbound operations. Another example would be to partner with parking garage owners to provide parking spaces for Tesla robotaxis to park and stand by for customers to hail a ride.Aside from the automotive industry, Tesla also operates in the solar and energy storage industries, which are also in their infancy.Solar and energy storage systems are gaining in popularity as they're environmental-friendly, reduce energy bills, and can operate off the grid.To elaborate on that last point, currently, the power grid is still struggling with large-scale power outages during extreme weather conditions such as the 2018 California wildfires or the 2021 Texas winter storm. Some of these outages can go on for days or weeks, which, unfortunately, could prove to befatal. With an off-grid solar energy system installed in people's homes, they can worry less about outages.For these reasons, people and governments all over the world are investing heavily in solar and energy storage solutions — long-term demand for these solutions should remain robust.Based on a study by the IEA, solar photovoltaics' (PV) installed power capacity is expected tobecome the largest source of electricity by 2027while coal, natural gas, nuclear, and oil generation are expected to plateau and decline over time.IEA Renewables 2022In addition, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance, energy storage installations are projected to reach a cumulative411 gigawatts by the end of 2030, which is a 15-fold increase from 2021.The exponential growth in solar PV and energy storage adoption will be a massive tailwind for solar and energy storage companies all over the world, including Tesla's renewable energy business.BloombergNEFTo sum up this section, Tesla's growth potential revolves around some of the greatest secular trends in modern times, namely EVs, autonomous driving, autonomous ride-hailing, solar energy generation, and energy storage. Tesla, being the frontrunner in each of these trends, should be well positioned as one of, if not, the most dominant force in renewable energy solutions in the coming decades.Business ModelTesla generates revenue from three major operating segments: Automotive, Energy Generation and Storage, and Services and Other.AutomotiveAutomotive Revenue consists of:Sales of new S3XY Models and Semi (cash deliveries and lease).Premium in-car internet connectivity ($9.99/month or $99/year).FSD features.Free Supercharging programs.Over-the-air software updates.Sales of automotive regulatory credits to other automotive manufacturers.Energy Generation and StorageEnergy Generation and Storage Revenue include:Sales of solar energy generation and energy storage products (Solar Panels, Solar Roof, Powerwall, Megapack, etc.).Services related to these products.Sales of solar energy systems incentives.Services and OtherServices and Other Revenue consist of:Vehicle services and maintenance.Paid Supercharging (charging price varies depending on location, but theaverage seems to be $0.50/kWh).Sales of used vehicles.Tesla merchandise (Teslashortsanyone?).In-house vehicle insurance program.Now let's dig into Tesla's financials.GrowthFY2022 Revenue was $81.5 billion, a 51% increase YoY. In Q4, Revenue was $24.3 billion, a 37% increase YoY. Although growth has been decelerating over the last few quarters, these numbers still demonstrate strong demand for its products. Given Tesla's sheer size, it won't be surprising to see growth continue to decelerate from here. Nevertheless, I believe Tesla will be able to achieve 20%+ growth over the next 5 years, propelled by ambitious company targets, continued product innovation, and secular industry trends.Below, you can see how Revenue has trended over the last few quarters.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisRobust Revenue growth was primarily due to surging EV sales. Total Automotive Revenue for FY2022 and Q4 was $71.5 billion and $21.3 billion, up 51% and 33% YoY, respectively.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAutomotive Revenue increased primarily due to growth in vehicle production and deliveries. Tesla produced 1.37 million vehicles and delivered 1.31 million vehicles in FY2022, which is a YoY increase of 47% and 40%, respectively. This was made possible by increased production of Model Y at Gigafactory Shanghai and the Fremont Factory, as well as the commencement of production at Gigafactory Berlin and Gigafactory Texas.The table below shows the production and delivery numbers over the last few quarters.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisHigher average selling prices (ASP) also contributed to the growth of Automotive Revenue. As you can see below, ASP in 2022 was slightly higher than in 2021. This was due to higher ASP from Model Y sales, as well as significant increases in deliveries in Tesla's luxury Model S/X.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisTesla also mentioned that FSD in North America alone contributed $324 million in Automotive Revenue in Q4, which is an annual run rate of about $1.3 billion. Imagine what this figure would be when FSD becomes more mainstream, domestically and globally.FY2022 and Q4 Services and Other Revenue both grew by 60% YoY, to $6.1 billion and $1.7 billion. The increase in Services and Other Revenue was due to revenue increases in used vehicle sales, maintenance services, paid Supercharging, insurance services, and retail merchandise.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe table below shows the growth of Tesla's EV network, which correlates with Services and Other Revenue — as the network expands, more customers will be utilizing these ancillary services.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisTurning to Energy Generation and Storage, Revenue for the segment was $3.9 billion and $1.3 billion in FY2022 and Q4, respectively. This is a YoY increase of 40% and 90%, respectively.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe growth spike in Q4 was primarily due to strong demand in the Energy Storage business. Storage deployments increased by 152% YoY in Q4 to 2.5 GWh, compared to just an 18% increase in solar deployments in Q4. For this reason, Tesla is ramping up production at its dedicated 40 GWh Megapack factory in Lathrop, California to meet excess demand for its storage products.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisTesla's growth, without a doubt, is nothing short of spectacular. Not only is Tesla's growth a confirmation of the ongoing transition to a sustainable economy, but it also shows how Elon & Co. is able to execute according to their (master) plans amidst a shaky global economy and a challenging competitive landscape. Although we can't expect Tesla to report blistering growth numbers similar to what we've seen in 2021 — deceleration is likely as Tesla expands from a larger base — Tesla's growth story remains intact. Given its track record and future potential, the company is poised to deliver 20%+ growth in the next few years.ProfitabilityPerhaps, one of the biggest competitive advantages that Tesla has over competitors is its level of profitability. Let's have a look.Q4 Gross Profit was $5.8 billion, which represents a 24% Gross Margin. This figure has been trending downwards over the last few quarters due to inflationary pressures, temporary suspension of production at Gigafactory Shanghai, and inefficiencies from the new Gigafactory Berlin and Gigafactory Texas. But if we zoom out, Tesla's Gross Margin is trending upwards, showing economies of scale and increased earnings potential.Despite the recent downtrend, Tesla's Gross Margin is relatively high compared to competitors. For context, Stellantis (STLA), NIO (NIO), and Ford (F) have Gross Margins of 21%, 13%, and 9%, respectively.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe superior Gross Margin enables Tesla to cut vehicle prices, which could significantly increase market share in terms of the number of vehicles sold. However, many thought that the recentprice cutswere an act of desperation to bump up sales in the face of a deteriorating economy. Musk addressed this concern during the earnings call:The most common question we've been getting from investors is about demand. Thus far–so I want to put that concern to rest. Thus far in January, we've seen the strongest orders year-to-date than ever in our history. We currently are seeingorders at almost twice the rate of production.(Elon Musk —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Earnings Call)Clearly, Tesla's plan to take market share by cutting prices is working. Nonetheless, here's a look at how much Tesla makes, on average, for each unit of vehicle sold. As you can see, Revenue Per Car Delivered is trickling down but take notice that Cost of Revenue Per Car Delivered is also trending downwards. In other words, Tesla is maintaining strong margins even with the lower prices. Management explained this further:Our ASPs have generally been on a downward trajectory for many years. Improving affordability is necessary to become a multi-million vehicle produce. While ASPs halved between 2017 and 2022, our operating margin consistently improved from approximately negative 14% to positive 17% in the same period. This margin expansion was achieved through introduction of lower cost models, buildout of localized, more-efficient factories, vehicle cost reduction and operation leverage.(Tesla —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation)Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOn a per-car basis, Tesla makes a 26% Gross Profit Margin (as of Q4). Tesla should see margin pressure in the next few quarters as Tesla drops prices. But this should be partially offset by efficiencies as the new Gigafactories ramp up production.Moving on, Gross Margin for the Energy Generation and Storage unit was 12% in Q4, an improvement from -7% last year. This was driven by a higher proportion of Energy Storage sales, which has higher margins than the solar business.Services and Other Gross Margin was 6% in Q4. Gross Margin in this segment has been improving as the segment achieves economies of scale through a larger Tesla fleet.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOperating Profit in Q4 was $3.9 billion, a record for the company. This represents a 16% Operating Margin, which has trended higher over the last few years. The improvement was due to higher ASP and vehicle deliveries, higher Gross Profit, FSD revenue recognition of $324 million, and lower Stock-based Compensation. This was offset by inflationary pressures, the cost of production ramp of 4680 battery cells, and a negative foreign currency impact of $300 million. Nevertheless, the increasing Operating Margin shows that Tesla is gaining operating leverage as it scales further.Again, Tesla has superior Operating Margins compared to competitors — in the latest quarter, Stellantis, NIO, and Ford have Operating Margins of 13%, -30%, and 3%, respectively.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisFinally, Net Income was $3.7 billion, which represents a Net Margin of 15%. Compared to competitors, Tesla has very little debt, which means lower Interest Expenses, and ultimately higher Earnings for investors. For example, while Stellantis have Operating Margins close to that of Tesla, it has $29.6 billion of Total Debt, compared to just $5.7 billion for Tesla.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisFundamentally, Tesla has formidable profitability metrics, which enables the company to cut prices, spend more on product innovation, as well as scale quickly through production ramp. As the company scales further, we should see profitability continue to improve over time. In the process, shareholders should be rewarded with higher earnings. That is the financial competitive advantage that Tesla has over its competitors. The only other automaker that has comparable profitability levels is Ferrari (RACE), which is not really a competitor as it targets high-end clients.But considering its growth rates and potential, Tesla's profitability margins are in a class of its own, beating both the averages for the auto industry and the S&P 500.TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor PresentationFinancial HealthTurning to the balance sheet, Tesla has Cash & Short-term Investments of $22.2 billion and Total Debt of about $5.8 billion, which brings its Net Cash position to about $16.4 billion. For comparison, Toyota Motors (TM) and Ford have a NetDebtposition of $143.6 billion and $108.3 billion, respectively, which limits their potential to grow. Yet another advantage over incumbents.Tesla also has a current ratio of about 1.5x, which is relatively liquid and slightly higher than the auto industry.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisUnlike most pure EV companies, Tesla is already cash flow positive. For example, Rivian (RIVN) and Lucid Motors (LCID) burned $4.7 billion and $1.9 billion in the last twelve months alone, whereas Tesla generated $14.7 billion of Cash from Operations in the same period. While Tesla is reinvesting back its profits for expansion, smaller competitors face bankruptcy risks.In 2023, Tesla expects Capital Expenditures to be about $6 to $8 billion in 2023 and between $7 to $9 billion in the following two years. Given its strong Net Cash position and Cash from Operations, Tesla has the luxury to pursue its growth plans with little to no liquidity concerns. All these Capital Expenditures are mainly used for building new Gigafactories and expanding existing production capacities.In the last twelve months, Tesla generated $7.6 billion of Free Cash Flow that can be used for other needs such as expanding the team, paying down its remaining debt, as well as buying back shares. As a matter of fact, Tesla has been paying down its debt over the last few years, dropping down from about $15 billion in 2020 to just $5.7 billion in the latest quarter.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAll in all, Tesla has one of, if not, the most pristine balance sheets among automaker peers. Its strong balance sheet should help with Musk's growth plans as well as protect the company from impending economic storms.OutlookIn terms of the outlook, Tesla does not provide quarterly or annual revenue and earnings guidance. However, management does provide rather vague, but ambitious, targets.We are planning to grow production as quickly as possible in alignment with the 50% CAGR target we began guiding to in early 2021. In some years we may grow faster and some we may grow slower, depending on a number of factors.For 2023, we expect to remain ahead of the long-term 50% CAGR witharound 1.8M cars for the year.(Tesla —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation)Tesla produced 1,369,611 cars in 2022 — 1.8 million units this year represents a ~31% increase from the previous year. Clearly, this growth rate is a far cry from management's long-term target of 50% CAGR. In addition, given that Tesla is growing over an even larger base, I can't imagine Tesla achieving 50% production growth in 2024, let alone 2025.Fear not, Tesla is planning some major production expansions which could help the company achieve that 50% target:Tesla to invest $1 billion in afactory in MexicoTesla to invest $717 million toexpand Gigafactory Texas.Tesla to invest $3.6 billion toexpand Gigafactory Nevada.Tesla plans to open aGigafactory in Indonesia.Tesla FY2022 Q4 Investor PresentationIn addition, the company mentioned that:Cybertruck remains on track to begin production later this year at Gigafactory Texas. Our next generation platform is under development, with additional details to be shared at Investor Day (March 1st 2023).(Tesla —TSLA FY2022 Q4 Investor Presentation)Musk also hinted thatMaster Plan 3would be revealed at Investor Day, which should lay out the next hypergrowth initiatives in the next decade. What could Master Plan 3 look like? Here are some of the things that popped into my mind:Expand the electric vehicle lineup to the seas and skies.Generate renewable energy from other elements such as water and wind.Build 99% fully autonomous factories with Dojo and Optimus.Elon Musk, being the visionary he is, will come up with far more aggressive plans, which is why I'm looking forward to what he has to say at Investor Day.But let's get back to the numbers.Q4 ASP was about $53,000, and if we assume an ASP of $50,000 (after price cuts) in 2023, 1.8 million cars sold would translate to $90 billion worth of Automotive Revenue, which is about a 26% increase YoY. Adding the Energy Generation and Storage business and Services and Other segment, Revenue could easily surpass $100 billion in 2023. Analysts expect Revenue to increase 26% YoY, to $102.6 billion in 2023.In my view, we could expect a slightly higher figure than analyst estimates as Tesla has a good track record of beating estimates. Perhaps, $105 billion of Revenue in 2023 is a reasonable figure.Seeking AlphaHowever, given a tough macroeconomic environment, Tesla may fall short of expectations. The near-term outlook may look bleak for some, but I believe the long-term trajectory of the company remains optimistic.Competitive MoatsBased on my research and analysis, I identified four competitive moats for Tesla: technology, brand, scale, and cost advantages.TechnologyBecause Tesla ventured into the EV space way earlier than its competitors, Tesla has developed a technology stack that is far ahead of its peers. This stack consists of batteries, powertrains, Gigafactories, charging infrastructure, vehicle software, and Autopilot. Not only has Tesla developed industry-leading EVs, but it has also actually done so at a massive scale.Tesla also has a ton of optionality. The technological expertise that the company has can be applied to develop new products, which increases the growth potential and market opportunity of the company. For example, Tesla is developing a supercomputer that Musk claims to be competitive with NVIDIA H1 (NVDA). Another example would be robotaxis, which could be massive if it reaches full scale. Here's one more: Tesla launched its in-house insurance program in 2019 which solidifies its vertically integrated ecosystem.Tesla Website — InsuranceThe insurmountable amount of data it has collected since inception has also created a flywheel of improvement whereby additional data fed into the Tesla ecosystem improves the overall performance of the Tesla fleet through machine learning and AI. For instance, as of Q4, Tesla has deployed FSD Beta to roughly 400,000 customers in North America in city streets, which has accumulated about 100 million miles of FSD outside of highways. As Tesla gathers more data each day, it won't be long before FSD becomes mainstream.Tesla FY2022 Q4 Investor PresentationTime and time again, Tesla has demonstrated that the company is capable of innovating, which is one of the most powerful competitive advantages any company can have in modern times.BrandTesla is like a cult. Its brand is so powerful that Tesla doesn't need to spend on marketing to promote its product. Here are some statistics to prove its brand moat:According to Experience Benchmarks, Tesla has aNet Promoter Score of 97!According to Bloomberg,99% of Tesla customerswould recommend the Model 3 to friends or family.According to Consumer Reports, Tesla has thehighest owner satisfactionamong all car brands.According to Experian, Tesla has the highest brand loyalty —70.7% of Tesla ownerswho sold a Tesla acquired another new Tesla.Its CEO is also clever to make occasional circus acts to get the world's attention. Uncensored tweets, bizarre dancing, and selling Tesla shorts are some of the creative, perhaps quite involuntary, strategies that Musk has incorporated to attract media attention. What about thefailed Cybertruck demowhere a steel ball shattered the \"bulletproof\" windows of the vehicle? I believe it was done on purpose to gain media attention.That's guerilla marketing 101.ScaleTesla is the largest EV company in the world. According to CleanTechnica, Tesla has an18.2% market sharein the global pure-battery EV market in 2022. Although this is a drop from 23% and 21% in 2020 and 2021, respectively, an 18.2% market share is still commendable and it is still far ahead of second-place Chinese EV maker BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF). In the US alone, Tesla has a58% market share.As competition grows, Tesla's market share will naturally shrink. However, I believe Tesla will remain at the top of the EV food chain.CleanTechnicaTesla is also a formidable player in autonomous vehicle development. While Tesla is not the leader in autonomous vehicles — startups like Waymo and Cruise are ahead of the game — it could one day be in the future. As mentioned earlier, Tesla's technology enables the company to retrieve vast amounts of data that no other company can come close to. As shown below, there are ~2.7 million Tesla vehicles on the road that are collecting data each day, compared to just ~1,000 and ~300 vehicles for Waymo and Cruise, respectively.Sure, these smaller startups may have an edge today, but running a full-scale autonomous ride-hailing network is a different story. For state-of-the-art autonomous driving networks, companies will need substantial amounts of fleet data to put together the highest-performing algorithm for smooth operations. When FSD is fully launched, Tesla could essentially deploy robotaxi services nationwide almost instantly. It's a \"winner takes most\" market and Tesla is well-positioned to capture this opportunity due to its massive scale.Ark Invest Big Ideas 2023Cost AdvantagesAs discussed in the previous sections, one of the biggest competitive advantages that Tesla possesses is its industry-leading profitability levels.Tesla is able to achieve this through economies of scale even with ongoing expansion plans that put pressure on margins. The higher operating margin enables Tesla to slash prices in an attempt to lure more cost-conscious buyers to purchase Tesla cars. For instance, a Wedbush survey found that Tesla istaking market share in Chinafollowing its recent price cuts.Such price cuts also force other automakers to consider cutting prices if they want to compete for market share, which puts them in a worse position as they already have thin margins.Tesla's ASP has dropped over the years as it aims to bring affordable EVs into the market. The beauty of it is that even with lower ASPs, Tesla is still able to improve Operating Margins.That's cost advantages at play and that spells danger for competitors.Tesla FY2022 Q4 Investor PresentationValuationTesla's share price has gone through a roller coaster ride over the last few years. At the November 2021 peak, Tesla's share price reached $400 a share, which represents a $1.2 trillion market cap, a major milestone for the EV company. But Tesla lost its trillion-dollar status in the blink of an eye, plunging more than 75% from its high. Insider selling, Twitter distraction, growth stock selloff, high inflation, and interest rate hikes were some of the reasons why the stock collapsed.The selloff seemed endless up until recently — Tesla stock started 2023 with a bang, rallying 100% from the lows of $101 as the markets rebounded and macro conditions turned out better than expected.Data byYChartsWith that said, is Tesla stock still worth buying after the rally?Let's take a look.Looking at Tesla's valuation multiples, the stock seemed to be trading cheaply based on historical standards.Price/Sales of 7.6x, which is at the lower end of its historical range of 1.4x to 33.5x.Price/Earnings of 54.4x, which is a big discount to its high of 450x.Price/Free Cash Flow of 82.4x, which is off from its high of 500x.KoyfinNow, just because valuation multiples have contracted doesn't mean that Tesla is cheap — we may see another leg down as valuation multiples drop to more reasonable figures.What is considered reasonable? Well, that's up to the markets to decide. But for the sake of comparison, Apple (AAPL) and Ford (F) have Price/FCF ratios of 24.5x and 21.1x, respectively.Sure, Tesla is disrupting the auto industry and it has higher growth potential than its peers. I acknowledge that Tesla should trade at a premium, but in my opinion, multiples seemed too frothy still.Below, I've also done a quick DCF analysis to find the intrinsic value of the company. I try to be as conservative as possible in my assumptions.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisHere are my key assumptions:Revenue Growth:followed analyst estimates in the first three years and then gradually drop to 12%.Cost of Revenue: improve to 65% of Revenue by 2032 as the company achieves economies of scale and enjoys higher margins from software-related products.Capital Expenditures: $6 to $8 billion in 2023 and $7 to $9 billion in the following two years, as guided by management.Based on the above assumptions, I have the following DCF forecast. I project a $421 billion Revenue by 2032 and an FCF margin of 21.1% — higher than Stellantis' FCF Margin of 9.0% but slightly lower than Apple's FCF Margin of 28.2%Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisUsing a perpetual growth rate and a discount rate of 3% and 12%, respectively, I arrive at an intrinsic value per share of $182. That said, Tesla appears to be trading slightly higher than fair value.Tesla Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisMy intrinsic value estimate is also lower than analysts' average price target of $193.Seeking AlphaFor growth stocks, I like to apply a wide margin of safety to help me sleep well at night, usually 50% of my already-conservative price target. But in Tesla's case — given its durable competitive moats, fortress balance sheet, and huge growth potential — I may use a lower margin of safety.If we see a pullback in prices, I'd be interested in starting a position in the stock. If it hits new lows, I'll be aggressively buying to make Tesla a core holding in my portfolio.I see the potential for the stock to generate significant alpha. Just look at the returns ever since Master Plan 2 was released on 20 July 2016 — shares surged more than 2,000%.Data byYChartsMusk has a history of delivering what he promised. Tesla Investor Day is approaching and Master Plan 3 will be revealed. If Musk delivers once again, we could see another 2,000% increase in the stock, which will blow past the $10 trillion mark. This will be a long, difficult road for sure, but I believe Tesla has what it takes to achieve this coveted milestone. Even Musk thinks so:I’m of the opinion that we can far exceed Apple’s current market cap. In fact, I see a potential path for Tesla to be worth more than Apple and Saudi Aramco combined.(Elon Musk —TSLA FY2022 Q3 Earnings Call)CatalystsRoadster, Cybertruck, and Others: With the recent launch of the Tesla Semi, the additions of the Roadster and Cybertruck should provide a boost to Revenue, and therefore, investor sentiment. Future unveiling of other vehicle types can also bring hype to the markets — some examples include eVTOLs, buses, and boats.Optimus and Dojo: Tesla unveiled Optimus, an autonomous humanoid robot, on AI Day in October 2022, which could costless than $20,000. The company also unveiled the updatedDojo supercomputerwhich Musk claimed could be a “service that you can use that’s available online where you can train your models way faster and for less money.” Not much has surfaced about these products but they definitely open new revenue streams for Tesla once they are commercialized.Robotaxi: Continued FSD development and the official launch of the robotaxi network could potentially disrupt the ride-hailing industry, particularly the duopoly held by Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT). When drivers are not involved, the costs of running a ride-hailing network significantly decrease, which will be extremely difficult for Uber and Lyft to compete with. When this robotaxi feature \"enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it\", the incentive to purchase a Tesla increases.Insider Buying: Over the last two years, Musk has soldalmost $40 billionworth of Tesla stock, which is also a major reason why the stock sold off. Although Musk reassured investors that he won't sell any more stock for the next two years, Musk purchasing stock could provide the plot twist and confidence that the markets need.Master Plan 3: It's been 7 years since Master Plan 2 was released. On March 1st, 2023, Musk will reveal the new Master Plan. Mark your calendars.RisksRising Costs: Limited supply of raw materials and raging inflation could put pressure on Tesla's profitability. Although Tesla is the one automaker that is best positioned to withstand this problem, uncontrollably high prices mean Tesla needs to sacrifice margins or increase prices, which could decrease sales volume and slow down EV adoption.China Exit: Due to geopolitical tensions, there's a certain level of risk where Tesla needs to shut down operations in China, which supplies most of the exports to non-US markets.Competition: This is by far the biggest bear argument against Tesla. All this competition could take market share from Tesla as well as put pressure on margins. Competitors include:Cannibalization: If the cost of hailing Tesla robotaxis is low enough and if access to robotaxis is super convenient, it could potentially reduce the need for people to purchase cars. As such, the development of one product may cannibalize the sales of another product — in this case, robotaxis cannibalizing auto sales. According to Ark Invest, global auto sales may decline as robotaxis hit the road.Ark Invest Big Ideas 2023ConclusionTesla is accelerating the world's transition to sustainable energy. The company is riding the wave of megatrends including EVs, self-driving technology, and clean energy.Tesla possesses technology, brand, scale, and cost advantages moats. The company is backed by strong management with a proven track record of execution and delivering the unthinkable. With its strong cash flow and balance sheet, the company has incredible growth potential for decades to come.For these reasons, I believe Tesla stock is a great long-term buy, although we may see volatility (as it has always been with Tesla) following the rally in recent weeks.Ever since Master Plan 2 was published, shares have returned handsomely for investors. All eyes are on Master Plan 3 as Musk lays the steps necessary to take Tesla to the next level — and potentially to $10 trillion stardom.Twitter","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626532542,"gmtCreate":1674459266586,"gmtModify":1674459268511,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"新年快乐 恭喜发财","listText":"新年快乐 恭喜发财","text":"新年快乐 恭喜发财","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626532542","repostId":"2305137769","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2305137769","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1674446190,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2305137769?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-23 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Ryan Cohen Is Right","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2305137769","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe last several weeks have seen news item after news item about Alibaba.The most recent big ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The last several weeks have seen news item after news item about Alibaba.</li><li>The most recent big story was that Ryan Cohen of GameStop fame had taken a position in the stock.</li><li>Some investors worried that Cohen's buy signalled Alibaba deteriorating to meme stock status.</li><li>A close look at Cohen's investing history reveals that he has invested successfully in profitable companies, as well as meme stocks.</li><li>In this article, I show why Ryan Cohen is right about Alibaba stock.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caaaeb7cdfa665bf1550cbf2f7307f8f\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Michael Loccisano</span></p><p>Recently, the big <b>Alibaba</b> (NYSE:BABA) news was that Ryan Cohen of GameStop (GME) fame took a position, hoping to encourage more buybacks. Initially, investors on Twitter expressed dismay at the news, joking that BABA had now officially become a meme stock. Indeed, I added a little to this discourse myself, tweeting out the following half-joking comment:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cea5369c8e31a455acf8272decaa793\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>My post sounds like it is expressing negative sentiment, but wasn't meant to be taken seriously. I have never been a fan of meme stocks, but I know that Ryan Cohen made big returns on his meme investments by buying early. Therefore, I didn't take his endorsements as a negative.</p><p>Indeed, Ryan Cohen's buying could be seen as a positive catalyst. Whatever you think of the meme stocks Cohen is associated with, we know that he is pushing Alibaba to do more buybacks, which could create value for shareholders. There are limits to how effective buybacks can be, but given BABA's modest valuation, they could really work in this case. Alibaba currently has$29 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and generated$3 billion in free cash flow last quarter. Given that the amount of cash this business throws off, it could easily afford to do $10 billion worth of buybacks each year and not run into any solvency issues.</p><p>So, we've got Ryan Cohen advocating a policy that could well work for BABA-indeed, a policy that many BABA shareholders have been wanting for years. BABA has been doing buybacks, but so far it hasn't come anywhere close to hitting the maximum authorized amount. It looks like there's room for more, and who knows how long these bargain prices will last. For this reason, I think Ryan Cohen's investment is a neutral to positive factor for Alibaba, not a negative one.</p><h2>Alibaba - The Buyback Situation Explained</h2><p>Given that Ryan Cohen's activism at Alibaba consists of pushing for more buybacks, it helps to understand where Alibaba stands with respect to buybacks. The company is known to be doing buybacks this year, why does Cohen want more of them?</p><p>Here's what we know about Alibaba's buyback program as it stands now:</p><ul><li><p>The maximum dollar value right now is $25 billion.</p></li><li><p>Last year, the maximum was increased by $15 billion.</p></li><li><p>BABA's annual free cash flow has varied between $7 billion and $28 billion per year.</p></li><li><p>In the most recent quarter, Alibaba's management cut enough costs that FCF grew 61% year-over-year.</p></li><li><p>Alibaba bought back $2 billion worth of stock last fiscal year, and $5.2 billion worth in the last six months.</p></li></ul><p>So, it looks like Alibaba has authorized $18 billion more in buybacks than have actually occurred. Why are the buybacks proceeding so slowly?</p><p>It all has to do with the distinction between authorized and actual buybacks. A company may authorize its executives to do buybacks for any number of reasons, a simple awareness that the company can afford buybacks may be enough for them to do so. Actually doing a buyback is a very different story. If a company has $29 billion in cash and $68 billion in liquid assets, like Alibaba does, it can certainly afford a buyback. But if it has a $68 billion M&A opportunity that it thinks it can triple its money on quickly, then that might be a better use of funds than a buyback. It is well known that Alibaba is investing large sums of money into its Cloud business right now, aiming to make it the AWS of China. AWS has been a huge success for <b>Amazon</b> (AMZN), adding $5.4 billion per quarter to the bottom line, so it should come as no surprise that BABA's management keeps investing in the cloud. It could prove a big winner over the long run, possibly a bigger winner than $18 billion worth of buybacks would be.</p><h2>Why Cohen is Right About Buybacks in Principle</h2><p>If Alibaba's management thinks that investing in its business is a better use of funds than doing buybacks, I won't disagree with them. With that said, Ryan Cohen is correct in principle that buybacks would provide value to Alibaba's shareholders. Generally, when a company is profitable, growing and cheap, buybacks will make it more valuable. With that in mind, here are some key metrics on Alibaba's valuation, growth and profit that demonstrate its stock is worth buying at today's price.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>Alibaba is cheaper than most tech stocks, and cheaper than the S&P 500. Its key valuation ratios include:</p><ul><li><p>P/E: 15.8.</p></li><li><p>Price/sales: 2.6.</p></li><li><p>Price/book: 2.3.</p></li><li><p>Price/operating cash flow: 14.2.</p></li></ul><p>These multiples are all lower than average. For context, the S&P 500 trades at 20 times earnings and 3.7 times book value. So, we've got Alibaba trading for less than a typical U.S. stock here. Sounds good, but is Alibaba growing? Let's take a look.</p><h2>Growth</h2><p>Alibaba's revenue growth has slowed considerably thanks to China's zero COVID policy. With lockdowns crushing demand, its trailing 12 month revenue growth slipped to 5.5%. However, the company cut costs, resulting in the following growth rates in the most recent quarter:</p><ul><li><p>Operating income: up 68%.</p></li><li><p>Free cash flow: up 61%.</p></li><li><p>Adjusted net income: up 19%.</p></li></ul><p>Pretty strong growth observed here. Obviously, growth from cost cuts tends to be a one-time affair, but now that China's Zero COVID policy is officially over, we could see the top-line growth return.</p><h2>Profitability</h2><p>Finally, we have profitability. Alibaba has always been a very profitable company, boasting the following profit metrics for the trailing 12 month period:</p><ul><li><p>Gross profit margin: 36%.</p></li><li><p>EBIT margin: 11.2%.</p></li><li><p>FCF margin: 6%.</p></li><li><p>Net margin: 1.6%.</p></li></ul><p>Obviously, the net margin is a bit weaker than the other metrics, but remember that Alibaba owns a stock portfolio that has been holding back GAAP net income recently. Swap out GAAP net income for adjusted net income and that figure swells to about 10%.</p><h2>Ryan Cohen's Track Record</h2><p>Having demonstrated that Alibaba is a cheap, profitable, and fast growing company, it's now time to look at who has been buying it.</p><p>Ryan Cohen is the most famous person to invest in Alibaba recently. Best known for his involvement in meme stocks, Cohen's name doesn't necessarily inspire a huge amount of confidence.</p><p>However, after doing some research, I determined that Ryan Cohen's investing track record is very good. Here's what we know about Cohen's investments:</p><ul><li><p>He got his start by founding and growing the company Chewy. He sold it for $3.5 billion.</p></li><li><p>He immediately invested the sales proceeds into <b>Apple</b> (AAPL) at $38.25 and <b>Wells Fargo</b> (WFC) at $46.</p></li><li><p>He achieved a 255% return on Apple and a mildly positive return on WFC if you include dividends.</p></li><li><p>He invested in <b>GameStop</b> (GME) and is sitting on an 890% return.</p></li><li><p>He bought <b>Bed Bath &Beyond</b> (BBBY) and sold at a 56.3% return.</p></li></ul><p>Below is a table showing Ryan Cohen's recent investment results. As you can see, he doesn't have a single loser in his portfolio.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Investment</p></td><td><p>Cohen's buy price</p></td><td><p>Cohen's sell price</p></td><td><p>Return</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>AAPL</p></td><td><p>$38.25</p></td><td><p>No sale (currently $136)</p></td><td><p>255%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>WFC</p></td><td><p>$46</p></td><td><p>No known sale (currently $43.5)</p></td><td><p>10.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>GME</p></td><td><p>$2.1</p></td><td><p>$20.79</p></td><td><p>890%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>BBBY</p></td><td><p>$15.56</p></td><td><p>$24.33</p></td><td><p>56.3%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>A note on how I calculated Cohen's Wells Fargo return:</p><p>WFC stock has paid $7.26 in dividends since the first half of 2017. The stock has declined from $46 to $43.5. Therefore, we have a positive $4.26 return ($7.26 in dividends minus $2.5 in capital losses) for a percentage return of 10.3%, assuming no reinvestment.</p><p>So, basically, Ryan Cohen is up on all of his investments since selling Chewy. His involvement in meme stocks may give off bad optics, but remember that he got into GME extremely early; he was not one of the people calling for the stock to go to $500,000 or anything like that. So, we have evidence of a good capital allocator here. His endorsement of Alibaba is not a negative for current shareholders.</p><h2>The Bottom Line</h2><p>The bottom line on Ryan Cohen's investment in Alibaba is this:</p><p>It is no thesis-breaker.</p><p>In fact, it's arguably a slight positive. If you look past the unflattering nature of some of the names Ryan Cohen has bought, you see a capital allocator with a good track record. Cohen got his start buying Apple and Wells Fargo-two value investor favorites-and he made his money on meme stocks by buying long before those stocks entered their speculative mania phase.</p><p>In the meantime, we've got Alibaba trading at a cheap valuation, and growing its cash flows at a rapid pace. Who knows whether Cohen's proposed buybacks are really Alibaba's <i>best</i> use of funds, but we can say for sure that they wouldn't hurt.</p><p>Taking everything into consideration, I'm quite comfortable being in Alibaba stock alongside Ryan Cohen. Maybe Cohen will trigger a flurry of buybacks and retail cloners that take the stock to absurd heights, maybe not. My thesis was never based on that outcome anyway. I'd be quite content to see BABA slowly grind up at 20% CAGR over the next three years, which is what I expect to happen.</p><p><i>This article is written by Growth at a Good Price for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Ryan Cohen Is Right</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Ryan Cohen Is Right\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-23 11:56 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4571395-alibaba-ryan-cohen-took-position-positive><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe last several weeks have seen news item after news item about Alibaba.The most recent big story was that Ryan Cohen of GameStop fame had taken a position in the stock.Some investors worried ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4571395-alibaba-ryan-cohen-took-position-positive\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4571395-alibaba-ryan-cohen-took-position-positive","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2305137769","content_text":"SummaryThe last several weeks have seen news item after news item about Alibaba.The most recent big story was that Ryan Cohen of GameStop fame had taken a position in the stock.Some investors worried that Cohen's buy signalled Alibaba deteriorating to meme stock status.A close look at Cohen's investing history reveals that he has invested successfully in profitable companies, as well as meme stocks.In this article, I show why Ryan Cohen is right about Alibaba stock.Michael LoccisanoRecently, the big Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) news was that Ryan Cohen of GameStop (GME) fame took a position, hoping to encourage more buybacks. Initially, investors on Twitter expressed dismay at the news, joking that BABA had now officially become a meme stock. Indeed, I added a little to this discourse myself, tweeting out the following half-joking comment:My post sounds like it is expressing negative sentiment, but wasn't meant to be taken seriously. I have never been a fan of meme stocks, but I know that Ryan Cohen made big returns on his meme investments by buying early. Therefore, I didn't take his endorsements as a negative.Indeed, Ryan Cohen's buying could be seen as a positive catalyst. Whatever you think of the meme stocks Cohen is associated with, we know that he is pushing Alibaba to do more buybacks, which could create value for shareholders. There are limits to how effective buybacks can be, but given BABA's modest valuation, they could really work in this case. Alibaba currently has$29 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and generated$3 billion in free cash flow last quarter. Given that the amount of cash this business throws off, it could easily afford to do $10 billion worth of buybacks each year and not run into any solvency issues.So, we've got Ryan Cohen advocating a policy that could well work for BABA-indeed, a policy that many BABA shareholders have been wanting for years. BABA has been doing buybacks, but so far it hasn't come anywhere close to hitting the maximum authorized amount. It looks like there's room for more, and who knows how long these bargain prices will last. For this reason, I think Ryan Cohen's investment is a neutral to positive factor for Alibaba, not a negative one.Alibaba - The Buyback Situation ExplainedGiven that Ryan Cohen's activism at Alibaba consists of pushing for more buybacks, it helps to understand where Alibaba stands with respect to buybacks. The company is known to be doing buybacks this year, why does Cohen want more of them?Here's what we know about Alibaba's buyback program as it stands now:The maximum dollar value right now is $25 billion.Last year, the maximum was increased by $15 billion.BABA's annual free cash flow has varied between $7 billion and $28 billion per year.In the most recent quarter, Alibaba's management cut enough costs that FCF grew 61% year-over-year.Alibaba bought back $2 billion worth of stock last fiscal year, and $5.2 billion worth in the last six months.So, it looks like Alibaba has authorized $18 billion more in buybacks than have actually occurred. Why are the buybacks proceeding so slowly?It all has to do with the distinction between authorized and actual buybacks. A company may authorize its executives to do buybacks for any number of reasons, a simple awareness that the company can afford buybacks may be enough for them to do so. Actually doing a buyback is a very different story. If a company has $29 billion in cash and $68 billion in liquid assets, like Alibaba does, it can certainly afford a buyback. But if it has a $68 billion M&A opportunity that it thinks it can triple its money on quickly, then that might be a better use of funds than a buyback. It is well known that Alibaba is investing large sums of money into its Cloud business right now, aiming to make it the AWS of China. AWS has been a huge success for Amazon (AMZN), adding $5.4 billion per quarter to the bottom line, so it should come as no surprise that BABA's management keeps investing in the cloud. It could prove a big winner over the long run, possibly a bigger winner than $18 billion worth of buybacks would be.Why Cohen is Right About Buybacks in PrincipleIf Alibaba's management thinks that investing in its business is a better use of funds than doing buybacks, I won't disagree with them. With that said, Ryan Cohen is correct in principle that buybacks would provide value to Alibaba's shareholders. Generally, when a company is profitable, growing and cheap, buybacks will make it more valuable. With that in mind, here are some key metrics on Alibaba's valuation, growth and profit that demonstrate its stock is worth buying at today's price.ValuationAlibaba is cheaper than most tech stocks, and cheaper than the S&P 500. Its key valuation ratios include:P/E: 15.8.Price/sales: 2.6.Price/book: 2.3.Price/operating cash flow: 14.2.These multiples are all lower than average. For context, the S&P 500 trades at 20 times earnings and 3.7 times book value. So, we've got Alibaba trading for less than a typical U.S. stock here. Sounds good, but is Alibaba growing? Let's take a look.GrowthAlibaba's revenue growth has slowed considerably thanks to China's zero COVID policy. With lockdowns crushing demand, its trailing 12 month revenue growth slipped to 5.5%. However, the company cut costs, resulting in the following growth rates in the most recent quarter:Operating income: up 68%.Free cash flow: up 61%.Adjusted net income: up 19%.Pretty strong growth observed here. Obviously, growth from cost cuts tends to be a one-time affair, but now that China's Zero COVID policy is officially over, we could see the top-line growth return.ProfitabilityFinally, we have profitability. Alibaba has always been a very profitable company, boasting the following profit metrics for the trailing 12 month period:Gross profit margin: 36%.EBIT margin: 11.2%.FCF margin: 6%.Net margin: 1.6%.Obviously, the net margin is a bit weaker than the other metrics, but remember that Alibaba owns a stock portfolio that has been holding back GAAP net income recently. Swap out GAAP net income for adjusted net income and that figure swells to about 10%.Ryan Cohen's Track RecordHaving demonstrated that Alibaba is a cheap, profitable, and fast growing company, it's now time to look at who has been buying it.Ryan Cohen is the most famous person to invest in Alibaba recently. Best known for his involvement in meme stocks, Cohen's name doesn't necessarily inspire a huge amount of confidence.However, after doing some research, I determined that Ryan Cohen's investing track record is very good. Here's what we know about Cohen's investments:He got his start by founding and growing the company Chewy. He sold it for $3.5 billion.He immediately invested the sales proceeds into Apple (AAPL) at $38.25 and Wells Fargo (WFC) at $46.He achieved a 255% return on Apple and a mildly positive return on WFC if you include dividends.He invested in GameStop (GME) and is sitting on an 890% return.He bought Bed Bath &Beyond (BBBY) and sold at a 56.3% return.Below is a table showing Ryan Cohen's recent investment results. As you can see, he doesn't have a single loser in his portfolio.InvestmentCohen's buy priceCohen's sell priceReturnAAPL$38.25No sale (currently $136)255%WFC$46No known sale (currently $43.5)10.3%GME$2.1$20.79890%BBBY$15.56$24.3356.3%A note on how I calculated Cohen's Wells Fargo return:WFC stock has paid $7.26 in dividends since the first half of 2017. The stock has declined from $46 to $43.5. Therefore, we have a positive $4.26 return ($7.26 in dividends minus $2.5 in capital losses) for a percentage return of 10.3%, assuming no reinvestment.So, basically, Ryan Cohen is up on all of his investments since selling Chewy. His involvement in meme stocks may give off bad optics, but remember that he got into GME extremely early; he was not one of the people calling for the stock to go to $500,000 or anything like that. So, we have evidence of a good capital allocator here. His endorsement of Alibaba is not a negative for current shareholders.The Bottom LineThe bottom line on Ryan Cohen's investment in Alibaba is this:It is no thesis-breaker.In fact, it's arguably a slight positive. If you look past the unflattering nature of some of the names Ryan Cohen has bought, you see a capital allocator with a good track record. Cohen got his start buying Apple and Wells Fargo-two value investor favorites-and he made his money on meme stocks by buying long before those stocks entered their speculative mania phase.In the meantime, we've got Alibaba trading at a cheap valuation, and growing its cash flows at a rapid pace. Who knows whether Cohen's proposed buybacks are really Alibaba's best use of funds, but we can say for sure that they wouldn't hurt.Taking everything into consideration, I'm quite comfortable being in Alibaba stock alongside Ryan Cohen. Maybe Cohen will trigger a flurry of buybacks and retail cloners that take the stock to absurd heights, maybe not. My thesis was never based on that outcome anyway. I'd be quite content to see BABA slowly grind up at 20% CAGR over the next three years, which is what I expect to happen.This article is written by Growth at a Good Price for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626024746,"gmtCreate":1673585227085,"gmtModify":1673585229149,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一个伟大的时代结束了","listText":"一个伟大的时代结束了","text":"一个伟大的时代结束了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626024746","repostId":"1168171780","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168171780","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673581645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168171780?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-13 11:47","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"腾讯的最大赢家:革自己的命,让自己赚1万亿","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168171780","media":"远川投资评论","summary":"Naspers作为一家南非报业集团,怎么就把自己最成功的投资做到了腾讯身上?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>直到今天,人们回首中国互联网行业曾经的水大鱼大时,满眼都还是中国创业者与顶级美元VC之间的爱恨情仇。</p><p>来自硅谷的VC们,在他们中国合伙人的带领下,沿着中关村大街寻找中国的谷歌、中国的雅虎、中国的亚马逊。在这非凡的热闹中,孙正义在阿里身上赚到的2000倍回报,至今是这个韩裔日本人在硅谷最有权势的一段记忆,也书写了人们对于投资回报的想象力。</p><p>飞越太平洋的中美航班、美元基金的投融数字,记录着互联网过去的光辉岁月。</p><p>然而,直到2022年腾讯连续发布大股东减持公告,人们才发现,这场造富运动的最大赢家,原来远在聚光灯之外的非洲大陆。</p><p>Naspers 这家来自南非的传媒集团,从不曾写过什么颇具影响力的中国报道,却在某种程度上成为了比孙正义更懂中国的机构投资者。</p><p>2001年,它用3200万美元买下腾讯46.5%的股份后,随着腾讯上市之后的涨幅,二十年来累计回报高达7000多倍,15年里光是股息就拿走了252亿港币。在腾讯风光的时候,Naspers的持股市值最高接近2万亿港币;哪怕鹅厂落难市值腰斩,Narspers手里的股票仍然价值万亿港币,不论截取哪个时间节点,这笔投资几乎都是人类历史上最成功的一个案例。</p><p>Naspers 现任董事长 Ton Vosloo说:“腾讯是 Naspers 王冠上的宝石,也是箭袋中最锐利的箭头。如果腾讯咳嗽,那么 Naspers 会患上肺炎。”</p><p>过分耀眼的成功,甚至让他们的减持理由都充满了凡尔赛的味道。据彭博社的报道,Naspers 长期以来一直为自己所持有的腾讯股份比自身公司更值钱而感到沮丧,减持是缩小差距的一种尝试。</p><p>实际上,同样作为上市公司,在腾讯这个超级底座的支撑下,南非卖报纸起家的Naspers,自身的股价已经走出了一条与其他传统媒体集团截然不同的曲线。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa1bc692c0f67fb949a93fbc2f692078\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"544\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>问题在于,Naspers作为一家南非报业集团,怎么就把自己最成功的投资做到了腾讯身上?</p><p><b>01、投不中的南非机构,没人要的深圳公司</b></p><p>1995年初秋,第一个商业化浏览器Netscape(网景)在美国上市,股价腾飞的速度震惊了华尔街的老古董们[6]。《华尔街日报》锐评:“通用动力公司用了 43 年才在股票市场上值 27 亿美元,而网景花了大约一分钟。”</p><p>网景奠定了现代科技公司 IPO 的模板,借助热情高涨的世纪末牛市,互联网最早的造富神话开始了,连带着孙正义的时间机器理论也开始发光发热——<b>无数海外VC转眼就把目光投向中国,摸着纳斯达克来过长江黄河。</b></p><p>比起后来淘尽26个拉丁字母的BAT( 百度、阿里、腾讯 )、再后来的TMD( 头条、美团、滴滴 )、更后来的PKQ ( 拼多多、快手、趣头条 ),彼时中国互联网最红火的项目——网易、新浪、搜狐,都还长着一副朴素的门户模样。</p><p>1998年网易成为中文互联网排名第一的网站,丁磊回忆:“华尔街投资人抢着要给我们钱,那时公司才十个人左右。” [1] 新浪上市时找了摩根士丹利做合作伙伴,投行大老板们不懂互联网,更不懂中国互联网,开会前十分钟才临时恶补了“点击率”、“IPC”这些初代互联网黑话。但这都不重要,他们只要知道.com的生意能挣大钱就够了。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a698c3ac2367dfae228302eedcd114b\" tg-width=\"306\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>纳斯达克喜迎新浪上市的电子横幅,照片像素透露着年代久远</p><p>远在南非的Naspers同样嗅到商机,在香港设立了办公室,他们的信条是“往长城上扔意大利面 [3]” ——毕竟泱泱中华地大物博,总能粘住几块金砖。</p><p>和押中三大门户的华登、霸菱、RSCO等机构相比,彼时的Naspers在中国过得如坐针毡,这个不起眼的南非公司非但抢不到好项目的谈判桌席位,“扔意大利面”的策略也没有起效。</p><p>九十年代末,Naspers先后在华投资了世纪互联、华体网、脉搏网、易富财经网等多个项目,还有样学样地当起战略投资人,重金帮助被投企业引入西方高管,但最终因水土不服、找不到盈利模式狼狈告吹,在中国足足亏了8000多万美金。</p><p><b>关键是,赚钱没赶上,亏钱没拉下。</b></p><p>随着纳斯达克指数从2000年3月的5048高点开启跳水,千禧年互联网泡沫破裂了,孙正义的资产迅速缩水95%,Naspers的股价也大跌九成,首个年度亏损财报伴随着一个崭新的世纪一起到来,互联网泡沫下的Naspers可谓内外交困。</p><p>在Naspers的香港办公室考虑卸掉那些负担颇重的中国项目时,深圳河对岸的赛格科技园,一个叫腾讯的小公司正焦头烂额地四处找钱。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb37cf93481a123e69811ec971d37be5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>腾讯在赛格科技园的第一间办公室</p><p>2000年底,腾讯推出了QQ 2000版,用户量每天新增50万[4]。一切看起来欣欣向荣。但问题是QQ始终没能盈利,不断新增的服务器像一只永无止境的吞金兽,连最初的金主爸爸IDG都深感养娃不易,萌生退意。</p><p>整个互联网浪潮的泡沫破灭后,IDG投资的数十家互联网公司几乎全部遭受重创,急需套现求生。即时通讯在当时的环境下,只是个前途模糊的边缘业务,IDG就开始张罗着找人接盘腾讯。</p><p>但说实话,当时可选的VC不多,90年代后期全中国的专业创投管理人在广州花园酒店聚餐,熊晓鸽扫视全场,发现一张桌子都坐不满[5]。IDG去新浪、雅虎、联想等大公司拜访了一圈,也没人肯买。</p><p>IDG诚招接盘侠时,Naspers的中国业务部副总裁,顶着自己起的中文名网大为(真名:David Wallerstein)正满中国晃荡,他发现每到一个当地网吧,电脑上都挂着QQ,一些总经理甚至把QQ号码印到了名片上。这让网大为饶有兴致地敲响了腾讯办公室的大门。</p><p><b>一个受挫的南非机构,一个困窘的深圳公司,在命运的偶然中相遇了。</b></p><p>马化腾展示的数据令网大为震惊,当时QQ在中国的用户数已经远超整个非洲的互联网人口。他兴奋地把投资腾讯的计划带到了Naspers的会议桌上,遭到了几乎所有高层反对:你小子之前在中国投了这么多烂公司,现在还想霍霍钱?</p><p>但网大为对此有种来自本能的坚持,最后Naspers的南非CEO Koos Bekker力排众议,拍板梭哈:买!拿着最后一笔3200万美元的可用现金,Naspers从IDG、电信盈科和腾讯主要创始人处买下46.5%股份,成为了腾讯最大的单一股东。</p><p>站在今天回头看,选择不投腾讯才需要理由。但在千禧年开端,山穷水尽之际押注一个不盈利、没人要的中国互联网公司,只能依靠鲁莽的运气。</p><p>如果觉得运气这个形容过于玄妙,也可以借用伏尔泰的话:“<b>没有所谓命运这回事,一切无非是考验、惩罚或补偿。</b>”</p><p>2001年6月,Naspers和腾讯达成交易。就在这个月月底,腾讯首次达成收支平衡。丰厚的补偿正穿越好望角的风暴,向这个远在非洲大陆南端的传媒公司张开双臂。</p><p><b>02、报业巨头、机顶盒大户与互联网猎手</b></p><p>没错,这个在中国互联网早期阶段,干尽了VC活儿的公司,主营业务是传媒,曾经还是最传统的报业传媒。但正是在“不务正业”上的励精图治,让Naspers把自己也变成了一个成长股。</p><p>2014年,Naspers 的股票市值达到 440 亿美元,比20年前翻了 100 倍。相比之下,《纽约时报》市值约为 20 亿美元,股票价格还是80年代中期水平。</p><p>硅谷红杉资本合伙人迈克尔·莫里茨忍不住发了篇名为《纽约时报何去何从》的雄文,借Naspers的成功,痛批传媒同行的数字化转型迂腐落后。</p><p>作为前时代杂志硅谷站记者,迈克尔·莫里茨转行得相当成功,投资列表金光闪耀,包揽了谷歌、雅虎、ebay等赫赫有名的公司,站在了互联网革命的浪尖潮头。这份履历让他有底气对媒体行业重拳出击[7]:</p><p><i>“《纽约时报》错过了电视和网络两次媒体革命......而Naspers的管理层决定驾驭而不是对抗技术浪潮, 超越并智取了世界上其余在互联网挑战中挣扎的老式媒体公司。”</i></p><p>回头看,Naspers的财富密码就是一句话:<b>革自己的命,让自己大赚一笔。</b></p><p>十九世纪末,一位南非钻石大亨投资创办了一份叫《公民报》的荷兰语报纸,这是Naspers最初的起源。二十世纪前期,Naspers通过大量收购向全国扩张,从报纸到图书,逐渐成为南非乃至非洲最大的出版公司。</p><p>但好景不长。八十年代全球有线电视兴盛,同样的浪潮传递到了南非。当时南非首家电视台SABC大受欢迎,五年内占全国广告收入从零一跃到近四分之一,印刷媒体受到剧烈冲击,Naspers旗下4家报纸只有一家盈利。</p><p>正在Naspers高层一筹莫展之时,一个越洋电话打进了办公室。一位正在美国哥伦比亚大学念书的南非年轻人Koos Bekker自告奋勇,要帮Naspers在南非建立一套类似HBO的付费电视体系M-net。</p><p>做电视广告出身的Koos Bekker对纸质报业毫无感情,他公然炮轰:“报纸已经是历史”。在他的大力推动下,一向以保守经营著名的Naspers开始转型。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c200eb6d4a80d6ecfd7e67c595c1fffb\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"692\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>左一为Koos Bekker</p><p>Naspers为M-Net投入了大量资金,第一年亏掉一个亿,机顶盒也没卖出几个。</p><p>但情况很快逆转,随着南非的种族隔离政策瓦解,线下娱乐业受挫,动荡的外部世界让人们更愿意把买燃油的钱用来买一个电视机顶盒,沉浸在显像管的楚门世界之中。M-net的订阅量节节攀升,90年代迈入快速盈利,并通过资产收购向欧、非其他地区扩张。</p><p>九十年代也正是媒体集团兼并风起云涌的时期,默克多、贝卢斯科尼等传媒巨擘在谈判桌上闪电出击,通过大量收购扩张帝国版图。纽约时报集团不甘示弱,大手一挥就花了十多个亿买下《波士顿环球报》、《伍斯特电讯报》等负资产[9]。</p><p>相比世界级大报的这种怀旧服玩法,Naspers没那么重的历史积(包)淀(袱),大刀阔斧地抛弃了自己的报业基因。</p><p>凭借有线电视业务的优秀表现,Naspers成功在约翰内斯堡交易所上市。在最初的十二个月里,股价飙升 322%,成为1994年约翰内斯堡交易所表现最好的股票——全球报业苦苦挣扎在盈利泥沼中时,Naspers的高管们正在南非交易所里抽着雪茄看盘,喜迎上千个百万富翁。</p><p>初尝到媒介转型甜头的Naspers,1997年决定让Koos Bekker做CEO进一步掌舵。Koos Bekker瞄准的新福地,是互联网。他给Naspers定下新的航线:<b>以互联网为纲,在全球远航。其他业务要么为这件事挣钱,要么滚蛋。</b></p><p>在付费电视这一现金牛的支持下,Koos带着Naspers在互联网市场小试牛刀,向全球 100 多家科技企业投入了数十亿美元,股价一路继续膨胀。然而好景不长,后来的故事上文已经提过,2000互联网泡沫喜迎破灭,Napers公司股价大跌九成。Koos在第一个任期内就把公司市值干没了2/3,开玩笑说自己要更新求职简历。</p><p>就是在“之前投科技,今年投简历”的危难之际,网大为带着窘迫的腾讯闯进了Koos的视野,不仅拯救了这个男人的中年危机,也为Naspers的所有资产组合找到了超级底座。</p><p>力排众议扣下扳机的Koos Bekker,被他的传记作者评价道:“<b>他把一个传统的印刷媒体公司变成了太阳城的老虎机——一台赚大钱的机器。</b>”</p><p><b>03、幸运老虎机</b></p><p>约翰内斯堡交易所(JSE)是非洲最大的证券交易所。自从入股腾讯,Napers就成为了交易所里最为特别的存在。</p><p>Sasfin Securities 首席全球股票策略师 David Shapiro曾指出[10],许多投资经理依赖JSE的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和其他被动指数相关工具,这两种股票支撑着南非的储蓄行业。而 Naspers 在 JSE 基准指数中的权重曾一度高达 20%,比贵州茅台在沪深300里的分量还要再重5个宁德时代</p><p>乘着中国互联网经济的红利,Naspers成为了南非市场里穿越周期的核心资产。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9336fa19c6860c8b6ae212355de049f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2021年初,南非在疫情、全国戒严与大范围失业中扑腾,但在遥远的中国,腾讯的股价正在向775元的历史高位步步靠近,Naspers的股价随之坚挺,甚至带动整个约翰内斯堡交易所顶着萎靡的国内经济逆势上扬,所有股指比2020年同期增长11%。</p><p>“Naspers 本质上是一家对腾讯进行大笔投资的控股公司。” 约翰内斯堡的投资经理们在这一点上有共识。</p><p>多年以来,Naspers在腾讯之外广撒网,在互联网金融、外卖、科技等领域投了不少公司。其中不乏好案子,比如和腾讯一起投的BYJU'S,如今已经是印度最大的线上教育平台、外卖集团Delivery Hero,号称在亚太地区GMV排名第一。乌俄战争前持有的mail.ru,则是俄罗斯第二大网络浏览器。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58dbe7d7baa60e6becf6cd3d548f3697\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"603\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2022年Naspers的投资版图概览,来源:Prosus年报</p><p>在回报率上,Naspers也在一些公司身上获得过可观利润。比如2018年退出时在Flipkart 上拿到3.6 倍、Allegro 身上拿到1.6 倍回报。</p><p>但除此之外,Naspers持有的很多互联网公司都还没摆脱烧钱换增长的魔咒,盈利模式不稳定,股价走势如同过山车,比如持股27%的Delivery Hero,在亚洲地区四处迎击新兴的配送公司,2021年难看的年报公布后股价暴跌四成。</p><p>能稳定提供回报的优等生始终是腾讯。</p><p>2017年腾讯的收入以50%的速度高速增长,与此同时Naspers 的数十项其他投资和业务(包括媒体、电子商务和付费电视)的价值在过去两年中已降至负 3400 亿兰特。一年后,Naspers按捺不住打破“持有腾讯一万年”的温情誓言,卖出了 2%的腾讯股票。</p><p>这一口气为Naspers账上带来了100 亿美元现金,其中大部分被投进了在线分类广告、食品配送、支付和教育科技等领域,也就是说,<b>用腾讯给其他不争气的项目转移支付。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19494ffcb8bf79563d240364b2a1a55\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>托腾讯的福,Naspser有了四处出击试错的资本,媒体属性进一步削弱,索性逐渐把自己变成了一个股权投资公司,这与一众苦苦挣扎转型、陷入并购拆分旋涡的传媒公司相比,可谓云泥之别。</p><p>被里根称为美国梦经典代表作的《今日美国报》[13],2013年创始人一咽气,就被股东们迫不及待分拆出去,但并不能阻挡集团连续亏损、股价下走,新冠爆发后陷入裁员风暴。一代传媒大亨默克多恐怕也会对此心有戚戚,他的传媒帝国在进入互联网时代后也再难现风采。</p><p>当然Naspers也不是唯一一个投对过互联网浪潮的媒体集团。</p><p>1985年报业巨头论坛集团掏500万投资了美国在线(AOL),AOL上市恰逢互联网泡沫,论坛报业获得了惊人的数十亿美元回报。论坛报业偏偏还是恋旧,随后又拿这笔钱买下《洛杉矶时报》所在的时代镜报集团,自身很快也陷入了长达四年的破产退市风波。</p><p>传统媒体努力在互联网浪潮中自救,比如推出数字内容和会员付费墙等机制,赶上互联网时代的晚班车,只可惜杯水车薪。</p><p>在一番艰苦卓绝的努力之后,纽约时报的付费订阅用户达到了全球第一的750万。与此同时,奈飞的付费用户超过2.2亿、迪士尼的全球订阅人数突破1亿,这个数字甚至还不敌 HBO订阅数 7680万人的十分之一。由此可见,新闻媒体在全球范围内的式微。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a160da57206183308b3e50df87d4d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1953\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>财新付费订阅人数51万,已经排到全球第十,Visual Capitalist</p><p>时代变了。</p><p>早在那篇2014年的雄文里,莫里茨就尖锐地批评《纽约时报》的努力显得如此徒劳,它“没有说明致力于广泛新闻和信息的互联网资产如何能够产生大量资金。”而早已脱胎换骨的Naspers更是毫无留恋,Koos Bekker坦诚到近乎刻薄[14]:“买下《纽约时报》?我们有这个钱,但没兴趣。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5fd8db479ed9db7e317675cbe82bc00\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2022年10月,上千名纽约时报员工罢工上街求加薪</p><p><b>04、尾声</b></p><p>段永平带着步步高员工抄底苹果时,中国的手机行业正经历智能机元年的洗礼。随后数年,OV逐渐在中国市场站稳脚跟,而段永平买入苹果的操作一直没断。</p><p>他在博客里写:“我要觉得我们能干倒苹果,我怎么会买苹果股票呢?我肯定不会说这话的。”</p><p>这种年轻人加油干实业,我就定投苹果与茅台的奋斗思路,与Naspers的互联网转型有异曲同工之妙——谁也无法保证自己身处的行业永在潮头之上。当一种新技术新形式注定要把传统的模式和业态打碎,与其自己内卷转型,不如押注朝阳产业里的顶级公司。</p><p>这种打不过就炒股,放弃自救把命运交给别人的态度,反而让Naspers活在了牌桌上。这似乎是一出充满了讽刺意味的现实主义戏剧:反正只要投资做得好,主业无人知晓,也没什么大不了。</p><p>但巨大的成功往往掩盖了过于偶然的运气。当公司账上只剩下最后一笔现金时,你究竟会拿去自救,还是赌别人一个不甚清晰的未来?谁又百分之百地知道,ALL IN的赌注,押出来的是绝地反转的腾讯,还是现已退市的搜狐?</p><p>不如承认,命运往往就在玄妙的一瞬间。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1583835599575","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>腾讯的最大赢家:革自己的命,让自己赚1万亿</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; 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float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n腾讯的最大赢家:革自己的命,让自己赚1万亿\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-13 11:47 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/qBLvolhKkj7bMNPoVSIfjg><strong>远川投资评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>直到今天,人们回首中国互联网行业曾经的水大鱼大时,满眼都还是中国创业者与顶级美元VC之间的爱恨情仇。来自硅谷的VC们,在他们中国合伙人的带领下,沿着中关村大街寻找中国的谷歌、中国的雅虎、中国的亚马逊。在这非凡的热闹中,孙正义在阿里身上赚到的2000倍回报,至今是这个韩裔日本人在硅谷最有权势的一段记忆,也书写了人们对于投资回报的想象力。飞越太平洋的中美航班、美元基金的投融数字,记录着互联网过去的光辉...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/qBLvolhKkj7bMNPoVSIfjg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/qBLvolhKkj7bMNPoVSIfjg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168171780","content_text":"直到今天,人们回首中国互联网行业曾经的水大鱼大时,满眼都还是中国创业者与顶级美元VC之间的爱恨情仇。来自硅谷的VC们,在他们中国合伙人的带领下,沿着中关村大街寻找中国的谷歌、中国的雅虎、中国的亚马逊。在这非凡的热闹中,孙正义在阿里身上赚到的2000倍回报,至今是这个韩裔日本人在硅谷最有权势的一段记忆,也书写了人们对于投资回报的想象力。飞越太平洋的中美航班、美元基金的投融数字,记录着互联网过去的光辉岁月。然而,直到2022年腾讯连续发布大股东减持公告,人们才发现,这场造富运动的最大赢家,原来远在聚光灯之外的非洲大陆。Naspers 这家来自南非的传媒集团,从不曾写过什么颇具影响力的中国报道,却在某种程度上成为了比孙正义更懂中国的机构投资者。2001年,它用3200万美元买下腾讯46.5%的股份后,随着腾讯上市之后的涨幅,二十年来累计回报高达7000多倍,15年里光是股息就拿走了252亿港币。在腾讯风光的时候,Naspers的持股市值最高接近2万亿港币;哪怕鹅厂落难市值腰斩,Narspers手里的股票仍然价值万亿港币,不论截取哪个时间节点,这笔投资几乎都是人类历史上最成功的一个案例。Naspers 现任董事长 Ton Vosloo说:“腾讯是 Naspers 王冠上的宝石,也是箭袋中最锐利的箭头。如果腾讯咳嗽,那么 Naspers 会患上肺炎。”过分耀眼的成功,甚至让他们的减持理由都充满了凡尔赛的味道。据彭博社的报道,Naspers 长期以来一直为自己所持有的腾讯股份比自身公司更值钱而感到沮丧,减持是缩小差距的一种尝试。实际上,同样作为上市公司,在腾讯这个超级底座的支撑下,南非卖报纸起家的Naspers,自身的股价已经走出了一条与其他传统媒体集团截然不同的曲线。问题在于,Naspers作为一家南非报业集团,怎么就把自己最成功的投资做到了腾讯身上?01、投不中的南非机构,没人要的深圳公司1995年初秋,第一个商业化浏览器Netscape(网景)在美国上市,股价腾飞的速度震惊了华尔街的老古董们[6]。《华尔街日报》锐评:“通用动力公司用了 43 年才在股票市场上值 27 亿美元,而网景花了大约一分钟。”网景奠定了现代科技公司 IPO 的模板,借助热情高涨的世纪末牛市,互联网最早的造富神话开始了,连带着孙正义的时间机器理论也开始发光发热——无数海外VC转眼就把目光投向中国,摸着纳斯达克来过长江黄河。比起后来淘尽26个拉丁字母的BAT( 百度、阿里、腾讯 )、再后来的TMD( 头条、美团、滴滴 )、更后来的PKQ ( 拼多多、快手、趣头条 ),彼时中国互联网最红火的项目——网易、新浪、搜狐,都还长着一副朴素的门户模样。1998年网易成为中文互联网排名第一的网站,丁磊回忆:“华尔街投资人抢着要给我们钱,那时公司才十个人左右。” [1] 新浪上市时找了摩根士丹利做合作伙伴,投行大老板们不懂互联网,更不懂中国互联网,开会前十分钟才临时恶补了“点击率”、“IPC”这些初代互联网黑话。但这都不重要,他们只要知道.com的生意能挣大钱就够了。纳斯达克喜迎新浪上市的电子横幅,照片像素透露着年代久远远在南非的Naspers同样嗅到商机,在香港设立了办公室,他们的信条是“往长城上扔意大利面 [3]” ——毕竟泱泱中华地大物博,总能粘住几块金砖。和押中三大门户的华登、霸菱、RSCO等机构相比,彼时的Naspers在中国过得如坐针毡,这个不起眼的南非公司非但抢不到好项目的谈判桌席位,“扔意大利面”的策略也没有起效。九十年代末,Naspers先后在华投资了世纪互联、华体网、脉搏网、易富财经网等多个项目,还有样学样地当起战略投资人,重金帮助被投企业引入西方高管,但最终因水土不服、找不到盈利模式狼狈告吹,在中国足足亏了8000多万美金。关键是,赚钱没赶上,亏钱没拉下。随着纳斯达克指数从2000年3月的5048高点开启跳水,千禧年互联网泡沫破裂了,孙正义的资产迅速缩水95%,Naspers的股价也大跌九成,首个年度亏损财报伴随着一个崭新的世纪一起到来,互联网泡沫下的Naspers可谓内外交困。在Naspers的香港办公室考虑卸掉那些负担颇重的中国项目时,深圳河对岸的赛格科技园,一个叫腾讯的小公司正焦头烂额地四处找钱。腾讯在赛格科技园的第一间办公室2000年底,腾讯推出了QQ 2000版,用户量每天新增50万[4]。一切看起来欣欣向荣。但问题是QQ始终没能盈利,不断新增的服务器像一只永无止境的吞金兽,连最初的金主爸爸IDG都深感养娃不易,萌生退意。整个互联网浪潮的泡沫破灭后,IDG投资的数十家互联网公司几乎全部遭受重创,急需套现求生。即时通讯在当时的环境下,只是个前途模糊的边缘业务,IDG就开始张罗着找人接盘腾讯。但说实话,当时可选的VC不多,90年代后期全中国的专业创投管理人在广州花园酒店聚餐,熊晓鸽扫视全场,发现一张桌子都坐不满[5]。IDG去新浪、雅虎、联想等大公司拜访了一圈,也没人肯买。IDG诚招接盘侠时,Naspers的中国业务部副总裁,顶着自己起的中文名网大为(真名:David Wallerstein)正满中国晃荡,他发现每到一个当地网吧,电脑上都挂着QQ,一些总经理甚至把QQ号码印到了名片上。这让网大为饶有兴致地敲响了腾讯办公室的大门。一个受挫的南非机构,一个困窘的深圳公司,在命运的偶然中相遇了。马化腾展示的数据令网大为震惊,当时QQ在中国的用户数已经远超整个非洲的互联网人口。他兴奋地把投资腾讯的计划带到了Naspers的会议桌上,遭到了几乎所有高层反对:你小子之前在中国投了这么多烂公司,现在还想霍霍钱?但网大为对此有种来自本能的坚持,最后Naspers的南非CEO Koos Bekker力排众议,拍板梭哈:买!拿着最后一笔3200万美元的可用现金,Naspers从IDG、电信盈科和腾讯主要创始人处买下46.5%股份,成为了腾讯最大的单一股东。站在今天回头看,选择不投腾讯才需要理由。但在千禧年开端,山穷水尽之际押注一个不盈利、没人要的中国互联网公司,只能依靠鲁莽的运气。如果觉得运气这个形容过于玄妙,也可以借用伏尔泰的话:“没有所谓命运这回事,一切无非是考验、惩罚或补偿。”2001年6月,Naspers和腾讯达成交易。就在这个月月底,腾讯首次达成收支平衡。丰厚的补偿正穿越好望角的风暴,向这个远在非洲大陆南端的传媒公司张开双臂。02、报业巨头、机顶盒大户与互联网猎手没错,这个在中国互联网早期阶段,干尽了VC活儿的公司,主营业务是传媒,曾经还是最传统的报业传媒。但正是在“不务正业”上的励精图治,让Naspers把自己也变成了一个成长股。2014年,Naspers 的股票市值达到 440 亿美元,比20年前翻了 100 倍。相比之下,《纽约时报》市值约为 20 亿美元,股票价格还是80年代中期水平。硅谷红杉资本合伙人迈克尔·莫里茨忍不住发了篇名为《纽约时报何去何从》的雄文,借Naspers的成功,痛批传媒同行的数字化转型迂腐落后。作为前时代杂志硅谷站记者,迈克尔·莫里茨转行得相当成功,投资列表金光闪耀,包揽了谷歌、雅虎、ebay等赫赫有名的公司,站在了互联网革命的浪尖潮头。这份履历让他有底气对媒体行业重拳出击[7]:“《纽约时报》错过了电视和网络两次媒体革命......而Naspers的管理层决定驾驭而不是对抗技术浪潮, 超越并智取了世界上其余在互联网挑战中挣扎的老式媒体公司。”回头看,Naspers的财富密码就是一句话:革自己的命,让自己大赚一笔。十九世纪末,一位南非钻石大亨投资创办了一份叫《公民报》的荷兰语报纸,这是Naspers最初的起源。二十世纪前期,Naspers通过大量收购向全国扩张,从报纸到图书,逐渐成为南非乃至非洲最大的出版公司。但好景不长。八十年代全球有线电视兴盛,同样的浪潮传递到了南非。当时南非首家电视台SABC大受欢迎,五年内占全国广告收入从零一跃到近四分之一,印刷媒体受到剧烈冲击,Naspers旗下4家报纸只有一家盈利。正在Naspers高层一筹莫展之时,一个越洋电话打进了办公室。一位正在美国哥伦比亚大学念书的南非年轻人Koos Bekker自告奋勇,要帮Naspers在南非建立一套类似HBO的付费电视体系M-net。做电视广告出身的Koos Bekker对纸质报业毫无感情,他公然炮轰:“报纸已经是历史”。在他的大力推动下,一向以保守经营著名的Naspers开始转型。左一为Koos BekkerNaspers为M-Net投入了大量资金,第一年亏掉一个亿,机顶盒也没卖出几个。但情况很快逆转,随着南非的种族隔离政策瓦解,线下娱乐业受挫,动荡的外部世界让人们更愿意把买燃油的钱用来买一个电视机顶盒,沉浸在显像管的楚门世界之中。M-net的订阅量节节攀升,90年代迈入快速盈利,并通过资产收购向欧、非其他地区扩张。九十年代也正是媒体集团兼并风起云涌的时期,默克多、贝卢斯科尼等传媒巨擘在谈判桌上闪电出击,通过大量收购扩张帝国版图。纽约时报集团不甘示弱,大手一挥就花了十多个亿买下《波士顿环球报》、《伍斯特电讯报》等负资产[9]。相比世界级大报的这种怀旧服玩法,Naspers没那么重的历史积(包)淀(袱),大刀阔斧地抛弃了自己的报业基因。凭借有线电视业务的优秀表现,Naspers成功在约翰内斯堡交易所上市。在最初的十二个月里,股价飙升 322%,成为1994年约翰内斯堡交易所表现最好的股票——全球报业苦苦挣扎在盈利泥沼中时,Naspers的高管们正在南非交易所里抽着雪茄看盘,喜迎上千个百万富翁。初尝到媒介转型甜头的Naspers,1997年决定让Koos Bekker做CEO进一步掌舵。Koos Bekker瞄准的新福地,是互联网。他给Naspers定下新的航线:以互联网为纲,在全球远航。其他业务要么为这件事挣钱,要么滚蛋。在付费电视这一现金牛的支持下,Koos带着Naspers在互联网市场小试牛刀,向全球 100 多家科技企业投入了数十亿美元,股价一路继续膨胀。然而好景不长,后来的故事上文已经提过,2000互联网泡沫喜迎破灭,Napers公司股价大跌九成。Koos在第一个任期内就把公司市值干没了2/3,开玩笑说自己要更新求职简历。就是在“之前投科技,今年投简历”的危难之际,网大为带着窘迫的腾讯闯进了Koos的视野,不仅拯救了这个男人的中年危机,也为Naspers的所有资产组合找到了超级底座。力排众议扣下扳机的Koos Bekker,被他的传记作者评价道:“他把一个传统的印刷媒体公司变成了太阳城的老虎机——一台赚大钱的机器。”03、幸运老虎机约翰内斯堡交易所(JSE)是非洲最大的证券交易所。自从入股腾讯,Napers就成为了交易所里最为特别的存在。Sasfin Securities 首席全球股票策略师 David Shapiro曾指出[10],许多投资经理依赖JSE的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和其他被动指数相关工具,这两种股票支撑着南非的储蓄行业。而 Naspers 在 JSE 基准指数中的权重曾一度高达 20%,比贵州茅台在沪深300里的分量还要再重5个宁德时代乘着中国互联网经济的红利,Naspers成为了南非市场里穿越周期的核心资产。2021年初,南非在疫情、全国戒严与大范围失业中扑腾,但在遥远的中国,腾讯的股价正在向775元的历史高位步步靠近,Naspers的股价随之坚挺,甚至带动整个约翰内斯堡交易所顶着萎靡的国内经济逆势上扬,所有股指比2020年同期增长11%。“Naspers 本质上是一家对腾讯进行大笔投资的控股公司。” 约翰内斯堡的投资经理们在这一点上有共识。多年以来,Naspers在腾讯之外广撒网,在互联网金融、外卖、科技等领域投了不少公司。其中不乏好案子,比如和腾讯一起投的BYJU'S,如今已经是印度最大的线上教育平台、外卖集团Delivery Hero,号称在亚太地区GMV排名第一。乌俄战争前持有的mail.ru,则是俄罗斯第二大网络浏览器。2022年Naspers的投资版图概览,来源:Prosus年报在回报率上,Naspers也在一些公司身上获得过可观利润。比如2018年退出时在Flipkart 上拿到3.6 倍、Allegro 身上拿到1.6 倍回报。但除此之外,Naspers持有的很多互联网公司都还没摆脱烧钱换增长的魔咒,盈利模式不稳定,股价走势如同过山车,比如持股27%的Delivery Hero,在亚洲地区四处迎击新兴的配送公司,2021年难看的年报公布后股价暴跌四成。能稳定提供回报的优等生始终是腾讯。2017年腾讯的收入以50%的速度高速增长,与此同时Naspers 的数十项其他投资和业务(包括媒体、电子商务和付费电视)的价值在过去两年中已降至负 3400 亿兰特。一年后,Naspers按捺不住打破“持有腾讯一万年”的温情誓言,卖出了 2%的腾讯股票。这一口气为Naspers账上带来了100 亿美元现金,其中大部分被投进了在线分类广告、食品配送、支付和教育科技等领域,也就是说,用腾讯给其他不争气的项目转移支付。托腾讯的福,Naspser有了四处出击试错的资本,媒体属性进一步削弱,索性逐渐把自己变成了一个股权投资公司,这与一众苦苦挣扎转型、陷入并购拆分旋涡的传媒公司相比,可谓云泥之别。被里根称为美国梦经典代表作的《今日美国报》[13],2013年创始人一咽气,就被股东们迫不及待分拆出去,但并不能阻挡集团连续亏损、股价下走,新冠爆发后陷入裁员风暴。一代传媒大亨默克多恐怕也会对此心有戚戚,他的传媒帝国在进入互联网时代后也再难现风采。当然Naspers也不是唯一一个投对过互联网浪潮的媒体集团。1985年报业巨头论坛集团掏500万投资了美国在线(AOL),AOL上市恰逢互联网泡沫,论坛报业获得了惊人的数十亿美元回报。论坛报业偏偏还是恋旧,随后又拿这笔钱买下《洛杉矶时报》所在的时代镜报集团,自身很快也陷入了长达四年的破产退市风波。传统媒体努力在互联网浪潮中自救,比如推出数字内容和会员付费墙等机制,赶上互联网时代的晚班车,只可惜杯水车薪。在一番艰苦卓绝的努力之后,纽约时报的付费订阅用户达到了全球第一的750万。与此同时,奈飞的付费用户超过2.2亿、迪士尼的全球订阅人数突破1亿,这个数字甚至还不敌 HBO订阅数 7680万人的十分之一。由此可见,新闻媒体在全球范围内的式微。财新付费订阅人数51万,已经排到全球第十,Visual Capitalist时代变了。早在那篇2014年的雄文里,莫里茨就尖锐地批评《纽约时报》的努力显得如此徒劳,它“没有说明致力于广泛新闻和信息的互联网资产如何能够产生大量资金。”而早已脱胎换骨的Naspers更是毫无留恋,Koos Bekker坦诚到近乎刻薄[14]:“买下《纽约时报》?我们有这个钱,但没兴趣。”2022年10月,上千名纽约时报员工罢工上街求加薪04、尾声段永平带着步步高员工抄底苹果时,中国的手机行业正经历智能机元年的洗礼。随后数年,OV逐渐在中国市场站稳脚跟,而段永平买入苹果的操作一直没断。他在博客里写:“我要觉得我们能干倒苹果,我怎么会买苹果股票呢?我肯定不会说这话的。”这种年轻人加油干实业,我就定投苹果与茅台的奋斗思路,与Naspers的互联网转型有异曲同工之妙——谁也无法保证自己身处的行业永在潮头之上。当一种新技术新形式注定要把传统的模式和业态打碎,与其自己内卷转型,不如押注朝阳产业里的顶级公司。这种打不过就炒股,放弃自救把命运交给别人的态度,反而让Naspers活在了牌桌上。这似乎是一出充满了讽刺意味的现实主义戏剧:反正只要投资做得好,主业无人知晓,也没什么大不了。但巨大的成功往往掩盖了过于偶然的运气。当公司账上只剩下最后一笔现金时,你究竟会拿去自救,还是赌别人一个不甚清晰的未来?谁又百分之百地知道,ALL IN的赌注,押出来的是绝地反转的腾讯,还是现已退市的搜狐?不如承认,命运往往就在玄妙的一瞬间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621409342,"gmtCreate":1672412060886,"gmtModify":1672412062625,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"反弹目标280刀🪤","listText":"反弹目标280刀🪤","text":"反弹目标280刀🪤","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621409342","repostId":"621223356","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":621223356,"gmtCreate":1672322163975,"gmtModify":1672322313920,"author":{"id":"3527667650848029","authorId":"3527667650848029","name":"锐评","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667650848029","authorIdStr":"3527667650848029"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎锐评|特斯拉的Q4交付数据前瞻,空头会被吓到吗","htmlText":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来,所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候,很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看,多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过,从市场情绪来说,4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识,这个对于多头是一个优势,不好看成为了base case。 特斯拉3Q交付数据出来的时候,市场对于“生产数>交付数”提出了很多疑问,认为是需求疲软的表现。所以最近有一个新闻就很吊诡了,那就是上海工厂停产。一个大胆的猜测,马斯克想让这个季度的“生产数<交付数”,所以把上海工厂停产了,控制生产数。马斯克对于这个4Q的数据同样重视,因为他也不想被资本市场使劲砸盘。马斯克从来不是一个光明磊落的人,所以数据上这里那里稍微tweak一下,完全有可能。此刻,马斯克(数据生产者)也是坚定站在了多头一边。 现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆,乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆(乘联会:11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆,10月为71704辆),凭感觉,42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆,那么空头会被吓到,即使差一点问题不大,因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然,如果最后差得很多,比方只有35万辆的交付,那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。 最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量,但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量,这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样,这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。 前面讨论的是方向问题,但和方向问题同样重要的是仓位问题,取决于这两天(周四和周五)的特斯拉股价。如果这两天股价就大涨空头撤退,那么4Q数据出来之后,空头有弹药反扑;如果这两天股价变动不大,空头继续加码,逼空的现象可能会出现。&n","listText":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来,所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候,很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看,多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过,从市场情绪来说,4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识,这个对于多头是一个优势,不好看成为了base case。 特斯拉3Q交付数据出来的时候,市场对于“生产数>交付数”提出了很多疑问,认为是需求疲软的表现。所以最近有一个新闻就很吊诡了,那就是上海工厂停产。一个大胆的猜测,马斯克想让这个季度的“生产数<交付数”,所以把上海工厂停产了,控制生产数。马斯克对于这个4Q的数据同样重视,因为他也不想被资本市场使劲砸盘。马斯克从来不是一个光明磊落的人,所以数据上这里那里稍微tweak一下,完全有可能。此刻,马斯克(数据生产者)也是坚定站在了多头一边。 现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆,乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆(乘联会:11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆,10月为71704辆),凭感觉,42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆,那么空头会被吓到,即使差一点问题不大,因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然,如果最后差得很多,比方只有35万辆的交付,那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。 最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量,但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量,这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样,这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。 前面讨论的是方向问题,但和方向问题同样重要的是仓位问题,取决于这两天(周四和周五)的特斯拉股价。如果这两天股价就大涨空头撤退,那么4Q数据出来之后,空头有弹药反扑;如果这两天股价变动不大,空头继续加码,逼空的现象可能会出现。&n","text":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来,所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候,很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看,多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过,从市场情绪来说,4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识,这个对于多头是一个优势,不好看成为了base case。 特斯拉3Q交付数据出来的时候,市场对于“生产数>交付数”提出了很多疑问,认为是需求疲软的表现。所以最近有一个新闻就很吊诡了,那就是上海工厂停产。一个大胆的猜测,马斯克想让这个季度的“生产数<交付数”,所以把上海工厂停产了,控制生产数。马斯克对于这个4Q的数据同样重视,因为他也不想被资本市场使劲砸盘。马斯克从来不是一个光明磊落的人,所以数据上这里那里稍微tweak一下,完全有可能。此刻,马斯克(数据生产者)也是坚定站在了多头一边。 现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆,乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆(乘联会:11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆,10月为71704辆),凭感觉,42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆,那么空头会被吓到,即使差一点问题不大,因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然,如果最后差得很多,比方只有35万辆的交付,那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。 最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量,但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量,这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样,这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。 前面讨论的是方向问题,但和方向问题同样重要的是仓位问题,取决于这两天(周四和周五)的特斯拉股价。如果这两天股价就大涨空头撤退,那么4Q数据出来之后,空头有弹药反扑;如果这两天股价变动不大,空头继续加码,逼空的现象可能会出现。&n","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621223356","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621242923,"gmtCreate":1672357714863,"gmtModify":1672357716834,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"据说韩国股民已经抄底特斯拉成世界第七大股东,几千万干出几十亿人做不到的事,佩服🐾🦍🐾🐾🐾","listText":"据说韩国股民已经抄底特斯拉成世界第七大股东,几千万干出几十亿人做不到的事,佩服🐾🦍🐾🐾🐾","text":"据说韩国股民已经抄底特斯拉成世界第七大股东,几千万干出几十亿人做不到的事,佩服🐾🦍🐾🐾🐾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621242923","repostId":"621205779","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":621205779,"gmtCreate":1672293826991,"gmtModify":1672293840206,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"韩国散户奋勇抄底特斯拉!抄底良机还是神话结局?","htmlText":"周二,特斯拉再度大跌11.41%,收于109.10美元,连跌七日,累计跌幅超30%,这也让不少特斯拉的股东们损失惨重,亏到吐血,马斯克也告别了自己全球首富的头衔,同时,空头们却赚的盆满钵满。金融分析公司S3 Partners的数据显示,特斯拉是2022年做空最赚钱的股票,做空特斯拉的投资者在2022年累计暴赚150亿美元,仅在12月就增长了45.4亿美元。特斯拉的暴跌,除了受到马斯克一系列骚操作外,与市场需求的下滑也有关。24日,有报道称特斯拉上海超级工厂开始停产,同时始于本月的上海工厂减产会持续到明年。今年三季度,特斯拉生产的汽车比比全球交付的汽车多出2.2万辆,出现了供过于求,引发对市场需求的担忧。知名特斯拉空头戈登•约翰逊更是大胆给出特斯拉明年23美元左右的目标价。散户高举抄底大旗股价暴跌之际,韩国散户们对特斯拉的爱分毫未减,韩国证券存管局的数据显示,截至12月27日,韩国投资者本月已增持1.6亿美元特斯拉股票,有望连续第三个月实现净买入。至此,韩国散户们年内净买入特斯拉股票已达28亿美元。大举抄底的,还有2020年重仓比特币和特斯拉,一战封神的木头姐。12月,木头姐6次抄底特斯拉,累计买入15.27万股,目前<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 已经是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a> 的第五大重仓股。华尔街日报的一篇文章称,特斯拉的RSI指标一度跌破18.0,从技术分析上,RSI低于30.00意味着股票超卖,特斯拉已经达到了上市12年以来的最严重超卖水平。虽然这并不一定说明疯狂抛售的结束,但反弹行情也可能会随时开启。昨日,特斯拉收盘收涨3.31%,收盘价112.71美元,终止七连跌。你认为特斯拉反弹行情","listText":"周二,特斯拉再度大跌11.41%,收于109.10美元,连跌七日,累计跌幅超30%,这也让不少特斯拉的股东们损失惨重,亏到吐血,马斯克也告别了自己全球首富的头衔,同时,空头们却赚的盆满钵满。金融分析公司S3 Partners的数据显示,特斯拉是2022年做空最赚钱的股票,做空特斯拉的投资者在2022年累计暴赚150亿美元,仅在12月就增长了45.4亿美元。特斯拉的暴跌,除了受到马斯克一系列骚操作外,与市场需求的下滑也有关。24日,有报道称特斯拉上海超级工厂开始停产,同时始于本月的上海工厂减产会持续到明年。今年三季度,特斯拉生产的汽车比比全球交付的汽车多出2.2万辆,出现了供过于求,引发对市场需求的担忧。知名特斯拉空头戈登•约翰逊更是大胆给出特斯拉明年23美元左右的目标价。散户高举抄底大旗股价暴跌之际,韩国散户们对特斯拉的爱分毫未减,韩国证券存管局的数据显示,截至12月27日,韩国投资者本月已增持1.6亿美元特斯拉股票,有望连续第三个月实现净买入。至此,韩国散户们年内净买入特斯拉股票已达28亿美元。大举抄底的,还有2020年重仓比特币和特斯拉,一战封神的木头姐。12月,木头姐6次抄底特斯拉,累计买入15.27万股,目前<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 已经是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a> 的第五大重仓股。华尔街日报的一篇文章称,特斯拉的RSI指标一度跌破18.0,从技术分析上,RSI低于30.00意味着股票超卖,特斯拉已经达到了上市12年以来的最严重超卖水平。虽然这并不一定说明疯狂抛售的结束,但反弹行情也可能会随时开启。昨日,特斯拉收盘收涨3.31%,收盘价112.71美元,终止七连跌。你认为特斯拉反弹行情","text":"周二,特斯拉再度大跌11.41%,收于109.10美元,连跌七日,累计跌幅超30%,这也让不少特斯拉的股东们损失惨重,亏到吐血,马斯克也告别了自己全球首富的头衔,同时,空头们却赚的盆满钵满。金融分析公司S3 Partners的数据显示,特斯拉是2022年做空最赚钱的股票,做空特斯拉的投资者在2022年累计暴赚150亿美元,仅在12月就增长了45.4亿美元。特斯拉的暴跌,除了受到马斯克一系列骚操作外,与市场需求的下滑也有关。24日,有报道称特斯拉上海超级工厂开始停产,同时始于本月的上海工厂减产会持续到明年。今年三季度,特斯拉生产的汽车比比全球交付的汽车多出2.2万辆,出现了供过于求,引发对市场需求的担忧。知名特斯拉空头戈登•约翰逊更是大胆给出特斯拉明年23美元左右的目标价。散户高举抄底大旗股价暴跌之际,韩国散户们对特斯拉的爱分毫未减,韩国证券存管局的数据显示,截至12月27日,韩国投资者本月已增持1.6亿美元特斯拉股票,有望连续第三个月实现净买入。至此,韩国散户们年内净买入特斯拉股票已达28亿美元。大举抄底的,还有2020年重仓比特币和特斯拉,一战封神的木头姐。12月,木头姐6次抄底特斯拉,累计买入15.27万股,目前$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 已经是$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ 的第五大重仓股。华尔街日报的一篇文章称,特斯拉的RSI指标一度跌破18.0,从技术分析上,RSI低于30.00意味着股票超卖,特斯拉已经达到了上市12年以来的最严重超卖水平。虽然这并不一定说明疯狂抛售的结束,但反弹行情也可能会随时开启。昨日,特斯拉收盘收涨3.31%,收盘价112.71美元,终止七连跌。你认为特斯拉反弹行情","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ed2019fdda04b0bb60b092337c2b45","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621205779","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629849153,"gmtCreate":1670427821472,"gmtModify":1670427823050,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"揭秘卡塔尔王室家族的投资帝国:3350亿美元的“钞能力”","listText":"揭秘卡塔尔王室家族的投资帝国:3350亿美元的“钞能力”","text":"揭秘卡塔尔王室家族的投资帝国:3350亿美元的“钞能力”","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629849153","repostId":"1181886278","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665231623,"gmtCreate":1667294632662,"gmtModify":1667294636455,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人心所向","listText":"人心所向","text":"人心所向","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665231623","repostId":"665675695","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":665675695,"gmtCreate":1667286603317,"gmtModify":1667288038594,"author":{"id":"4100398390067080","authorId":"4100398390067080","name":"因歪斯汀_小明","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92de2214fa0fc2b8940065f2b613f309","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4100398390067080","authorIdStr":"4100398390067080"},"themes":[],"title":"每一次奇迹日,都伴随着放开的“预言”","htmlText":"每一次奇迹日,都伴随着放开的“预言”,无论是明年3月,还是十年后、百年后,愿预期与你同在,A们。就在A股即将再次触及果运线之时,偶然与必然的玄学再次发动,平平无奇的奇迹日又来了,机构主推的是生物医药疫苗相关(第四针),再还有无数次预期自己能站起来的景点旅游酒店餐饮,尽管很多人此时此刻可能连家门都出不去。 当经济运行到某个阶段时,它的方向是规律使然难以更改的,如果认为过去的某些行为影响了经济发展,而改变它能够转变经济运行的方向,似乎只是一种新的尝试罢了,既然不变不行那么就期待变了的美好,尽管它可能仍然是一团糟。在规律面前,大概率更改的是运行路径而非结果,所谓殊途同归大抵是如此的。但,这段看似大聪明的话并不重要,当前市场极度敏感的反射弧已经建立:放开→梭哈。 从成交量来看毫无疑问赚钱效应推动仓位回补,贵州茅台为代表的旧价值抱团票迎来了猛烈的涨停反弹,整个市场由于空洞的杀跌而变得“便宜”,也就是遍地黄金买啥都行(仅限于反弹上涨阶段的描述),这种情绪下重要的就是提仓位来匹配。 至于“预言”是真是假,随后反弹能否持续,就像此前复盘所述:一堆洼地但反转靠的不是价值而是消息,被动跟随而不主观预判,尤其是诸如reopening这种无法主观预判的消息,做好羊群中的那只羊。 Q:为什么现在每次反弹都要信? A:因为这种空洞的杀跌早已没有价值概念,任何一次反弹后视镜来看都可能变为反转,更何况是果运线呢。 小助理:哇库哇库 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> ","listText":"每一次奇迹日,都伴随着放开的“预言”,无论是明年3月,还是十年后、百年后,愿预期与你同在,A们。就在A股即将再次触及果运线之时,偶然与必然的玄学再次发动,平平无奇的奇迹日又来了,机构主推的是生物医药疫苗相关(第四针),再还有无数次预期自己能站起来的景点旅游酒店餐饮,尽管很多人此时此刻可能连家门都出不去。 当经济运行到某个阶段时,它的方向是规律使然难以更改的,如果认为过去的某些行为影响了经济发展,而改变它能够转变经济运行的方向,似乎只是一种新的尝试罢了,既然不变不行那么就期待变了的美好,尽管它可能仍然是一团糟。在规律面前,大概率更改的是运行路径而非结果,所谓殊途同归大抵是如此的。但,这段看似大聪明的话并不重要,当前市场极度敏感的反射弧已经建立:放开→梭哈。 从成交量来看毫无疑问赚钱效应推动仓位回补,贵州茅台为代表的旧价值抱团票迎来了猛烈的涨停反弹,整个市场由于空洞的杀跌而变得“便宜”,也就是遍地黄金买啥都行(仅限于反弹上涨阶段的描述),这种情绪下重要的就是提仓位来匹配。 至于“预言”是真是假,随后反弹能否持续,就像此前复盘所述:一堆洼地但反转靠的不是价值而是消息,被动跟随而不主观预判,尤其是诸如reopening这种无法主观预判的消息,做好羊群中的那只羊。 Q:为什么现在每次反弹都要信? A:因为这种空洞的杀跌早已没有价值概念,任何一次反弹后视镜来看都可能变为反转,更何况是果运线呢。 小助理:哇库哇库 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> ","text":"每一次奇迹日,都伴随着放开的“预言”,无论是明年3月,还是十年后、百年后,愿预期与你同在,A们。就在A股即将再次触及果运线之时,偶然与必然的玄学再次发动,平平无奇的奇迹日又来了,机构主推的是生物医药疫苗相关(第四针),再还有无数次预期自己能站起来的景点旅游酒店餐饮,尽管很多人此时此刻可能连家门都出不去。 当经济运行到某个阶段时,它的方向是规律使然难以更改的,如果认为过去的某些行为影响了经济发展,而改变它能够转变经济运行的方向,似乎只是一种新的尝试罢了,既然不变不行那么就期待变了的美好,尽管它可能仍然是一团糟。在规律面前,大概率更改的是运行路径而非结果,所谓殊途同归大抵是如此的。但,这段看似大聪明的话并不重要,当前市场极度敏感的反射弧已经建立:放开→梭哈。 从成交量来看毫无疑问赚钱效应推动仓位回补,贵州茅台为代表的旧价值抱团票迎来了猛烈的涨停反弹,整个市场由于空洞的杀跌而变得“便宜”,也就是遍地黄金买啥都行(仅限于反弹上涨阶段的描述),这种情绪下重要的就是提仓位来匹配。 至于“预言”是真是假,随后反弹能否持续,就像此前复盘所述:一堆洼地但反转靠的不是价值而是消息,被动跟随而不主观预判,尤其是诸如reopening这种无法主观预判的消息,做好羊群中的那只羊。 Q:为什么现在每次反弹都要信? A:因为这种空洞的杀跌早已没有价值概念,任何一次反弹后视镜来看都可能变为反转,更何况是果运线呢。 小助理:哇库哇库 $上证指数(000001.SH)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ea225d63e3e24ea21dee2dede8028d","width":"632","height":"456"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665675695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665170542,"gmtCreate":1667135355986,"gmtModify":1667135359506,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"牛","listText":"牛","text":"牛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665170542","repostId":"665327662","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":665327662,"gmtCreate":1666958158757,"gmtModify":1666958648356,"author":{"id":"3579225183838381","authorId":"3579225183838381","name":"权威播报","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55115d808b829b090586f534ef95b968","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579225183838381","authorIdStr":"3579225183838381"},"themes":[],"title":"吸入式新冠疫苗!无锡可以预约啦!","htmlText":"国内“新冠疫苗加强针”再添新成员 吸入用重组新型冠状病毒疫苗(5型腺病毒载体)已批准作为新冠疫苗加强针使用! ◾吸入用新冠疫苗 顾名思义,通过“经口腔吸入呼吸道”的方式接种新冠疫苗,模拟病毒自然感染人体的过程,从而在呼吸系统建立免疫屏障。 01 这是个什么样的新冠疫苗? 吸入用新冠疫苗,由康希诺生物股份公司研发生产。此前,康希诺生物的“一针苗”已为民众带来了接种便利和免疫保护。而本次吸入用新冠疫苗与上面提到的“一针苗”所使用的疫苗配方是完全相同的。在不改变疫苗成分的基础上,创新给药方式,将疫苗雾化成微小液滴,通过“经口腔吸入呼吸道”的方式接种。 这款疫苗是腺病毒载体新冠疫苗,获第二十三届中国专利金奖,也是我国首个新冠疫苗专利,同时是国内目前唯一得到世界卫生组织认可的创新技术路线新冠疫苗,属于第三代新冠疫苗。 妥妥的高科技啊! 02 哪些人群可选择此疫苗进行加强免疫? (1)18岁及以上人群,且完成基础免疫满6个月人群。 (2)这里的基础免疫,是指已接种2剂次灭活疫苗(北京生物、科兴中维、武汉生物)或接种1剂次康希诺生物腺病毒载体新冠疫苗(肌注剂型)。 (3)本次吸入用新冠疫苗仅用于加强免疫,不可用于基础免疫。 03 接种者完成接种需要哪几步? 工作人员使用专用的雾化给药装置,将疫苗雾化至雾化杯中,并将雾化杯递给受种者。 受种者的吸入步骤可简单概括为三步:呼气、吸气和憋气。 如下图所示: 04 与肌肉注射疫苗相比, 吸入用新冠疫苗有何独特之处? 吸入用新冠疫苗通过口腔吸入的方式,可使雾化后的疫苗经过呼吸道最终抵达肺部,在产生体液免疫和细胞免疫的同时,激发呼吸道黏膜免疫,而呼吸道黏膜免疫可能是预防感染和阻断传播更有效的方法,这也是与肌注疫苗相比,显著的优势所在。 05 这款疫苗所产生的抗体水平如何? 根据临床试验结果显示,采用吸入用新冠疫苗序贯加强,针对奥密克戎变异株的中和抗体","listText":"国内“新冠疫苗加强针”再添新成员 吸入用重组新型冠状病毒疫苗(5型腺病毒载体)已批准作为新冠疫苗加强针使用! ◾吸入用新冠疫苗 顾名思义,通过“经口腔吸入呼吸道”的方式接种新冠疫苗,模拟病毒自然感染人体的过程,从而在呼吸系统建立免疫屏障。 01 这是个什么样的新冠疫苗? 吸入用新冠疫苗,由康希诺生物股份公司研发生产。此前,康希诺生物的“一针苗”已为民众带来了接种便利和免疫保护。而本次吸入用新冠疫苗与上面提到的“一针苗”所使用的疫苗配方是完全相同的。在不改变疫苗成分的基础上,创新给药方式,将疫苗雾化成微小液滴,通过“经口腔吸入呼吸道”的方式接种。 这款疫苗是腺病毒载体新冠疫苗,获第二十三届中国专利金奖,也是我国首个新冠疫苗专利,同时是国内目前唯一得到世界卫生组织认可的创新技术路线新冠疫苗,属于第三代新冠疫苗。 妥妥的高科技啊! 02 哪些人群可选择此疫苗进行加强免疫? (1)18岁及以上人群,且完成基础免疫满6个月人群。 (2)这里的基础免疫,是指已接种2剂次灭活疫苗(北京生物、科兴中维、武汉生物)或接种1剂次康希诺生物腺病毒载体新冠疫苗(肌注剂型)。 (3)本次吸入用新冠疫苗仅用于加强免疫,不可用于基础免疫。 03 接种者完成接种需要哪几步? 工作人员使用专用的雾化给药装置,将疫苗雾化至雾化杯中,并将雾化杯递给受种者。 受种者的吸入步骤可简单概括为三步:呼气、吸气和憋气。 如下图所示: 04 与肌肉注射疫苗相比, 吸入用新冠疫苗有何独特之处? 吸入用新冠疫苗通过口腔吸入的方式,可使雾化后的疫苗经过呼吸道最终抵达肺部,在产生体液免疫和细胞免疫的同时,激发呼吸道黏膜免疫,而呼吸道黏膜免疫可能是预防感染和阻断传播更有效的方法,这也是与肌注疫苗相比,显著的优势所在。 05 这款疫苗所产生的抗体水平如何? 根据临床试验结果显示,采用吸入用新冠疫苗序贯加强,针对奥密克戎变异株的中和抗体","text":"国内“新冠疫苗加强针”再添新成员 吸入用重组新型冠状病毒疫苗(5型腺病毒载体)已批准作为新冠疫苗加强针使用! ◾吸入用新冠疫苗 顾名思义,通过“经口腔吸入呼吸道”的方式接种新冠疫苗,模拟病毒自然感染人体的过程,从而在呼吸系统建立免疫屏障。 01 这是个什么样的新冠疫苗? 吸入用新冠疫苗,由康希诺生物股份公司研发生产。此前,康希诺生物的“一针苗”已为民众带来了接种便利和免疫保护。而本次吸入用新冠疫苗与上面提到的“一针苗”所使用的疫苗配方是完全相同的。在不改变疫苗成分的基础上,创新给药方式,将疫苗雾化成微小液滴,通过“经口腔吸入呼吸道”的方式接种。 这款疫苗是腺病毒载体新冠疫苗,获第二十三届中国专利金奖,也是我国首个新冠疫苗专利,同时是国内目前唯一得到世界卫生组织认可的创新技术路线新冠疫苗,属于第三代新冠疫苗。 妥妥的高科技啊! 02 哪些人群可选择此疫苗进行加强免疫? (1)18岁及以上人群,且完成基础免疫满6个月人群。 (2)这里的基础免疫,是指已接种2剂次灭活疫苗(北京生物、科兴中维、武汉生物)或接种1剂次康希诺生物腺病毒载体新冠疫苗(肌注剂型)。 (3)本次吸入用新冠疫苗仅用于加强免疫,不可用于基础免疫。 03 接种者完成接种需要哪几步? 工作人员使用专用的雾化给药装置,将疫苗雾化至雾化杯中,并将雾化杯递给受种者。 受种者的吸入步骤可简单概括为三步:呼气、吸气和憋气。 如下图所示: 04 与肌肉注射疫苗相比, 吸入用新冠疫苗有何独特之处? 吸入用新冠疫苗通过口腔吸入的方式,可使雾化后的疫苗经过呼吸道最终抵达肺部,在产生体液免疫和细胞免疫的同时,激发呼吸道黏膜免疫,而呼吸道黏膜免疫可能是预防感染和阻断传播更有效的方法,这也是与肌注疫苗相比,显著的优势所在。 05 这款疫苗所产生的抗体水平如何? 根据临床试验结果显示,采用吸入用新冠疫苗序贯加强,针对奥密克戎变异株的中和抗体","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dea0470271bbc249463df65e963a26c","width":"632","height":"342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e7cb0928035346446b0548ac458976d","width":"632","height":"421"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/424d5493202d77e921d58140c4dd4bdc","width":"539","height":"342"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665327662","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662733537,"gmtCreate":1666755989230,"gmtModify":1666756551713,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"97年救市经验:购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆 回顾1997年亚洲金融危机,香港政府采取了大量购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆、放宽回购等救市措施。 兴业证券研究报告称,1997 年10 月22日国际炒家开始对香港全线出击,大举沽空港股和港汇。香港金融管理局在市场上抛售美元吸纳港元,并且加息,最优惠利率由8.75%提高到9.5%,隔夜拆息率由9%提升至300%。这些措施稳定了汇率,港元汇价在一段时间内保持着比较稳定的局面。 1997 年10月22日到10月28日间,恒生指数下跌了3343.2点 ,跌幅达27%,港股市值累积损失达7000亿港元。1998年8月31日,港府出台限制卖空等7项举措,以巩固成果:限制放空港元,股票和期货交割期限由14天缩短为2天,使得放空头寸必须在2 天内回补。港府将增加银行体系流动资金,以减少受到冲击的机会。 同时,降低期指的杠杆作用也起了救市效果,港府将每张期货面额由5万港元/10000点拉高至12万港元/10000点,同时调降大量持仓申报限额,由500单位降为250单位,迫使炒家暴露身分。股市引入限价放空制度,且期指空方不能主动售予买盘,只能被动地让买盘入货。此外,港府还放宽上市公司大股东增持回购股票限制(当时限制为35%),且公司在购回股票后不用注销,可当作投资的头寸。 相关资料显示,最终港府成功击退国际炒家,但代价是付出过千亿港元外汇基金买入恒生指数成分股,占总市值的7%。在金融市场恢复稳定后,港府于1999年11月决定成立盈富基金,逐步有序地出售手中蓝筹股,尽量减小对市场的影响。盈富基金是港府1998年“汇率保卫战”的副产品,目的是为了“消化”此战后积聚的大量“官股”。 时任香港金融管理局主席的任志刚后来描述,香港金融管理当局在1998年8月才明白过来,还是太慢了。 任志刚曾在采访中表示,1998年8月,香港","listText":"97年救市经验:购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆 回顾1997年亚洲金融危机,香港政府采取了大量购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆、放宽回购等救市措施。 兴业证券研究报告称,1997 年10 月22日国际炒家开始对香港全线出击,大举沽空港股和港汇。香港金融管理局在市场上抛售美元吸纳港元,并且加息,最优惠利率由8.75%提高到9.5%,隔夜拆息率由9%提升至300%。这些措施稳定了汇率,港元汇价在一段时间内保持着比较稳定的局面。 1997 年10月22日到10月28日间,恒生指数下跌了3343.2点 ,跌幅达27%,港股市值累积损失达7000亿港元。1998年8月31日,港府出台限制卖空等7项举措,以巩固成果:限制放空港元,股票和期货交割期限由14天缩短为2天,使得放空头寸必须在2 天内回补。港府将增加银行体系流动资金,以减少受到冲击的机会。 同时,降低期指的杠杆作用也起了救市效果,港府将每张期货面额由5万港元/10000点拉高至12万港元/10000点,同时调降大量持仓申报限额,由500单位降为250单位,迫使炒家暴露身分。股市引入限价放空制度,且期指空方不能主动售予买盘,只能被动地让买盘入货。此外,港府还放宽上市公司大股东增持回购股票限制(当时限制为35%),且公司在购回股票后不用注销,可当作投资的头寸。 相关资料显示,最终港府成功击退国际炒家,但代价是付出过千亿港元外汇基金买入恒生指数成分股,占总市值的7%。在金融市场恢复稳定后,港府于1999年11月决定成立盈富基金,逐步有序地出售手中蓝筹股,尽量减小对市场的影响。盈富基金是港府1998年“汇率保卫战”的副产品,目的是为了“消化”此战后积聚的大量“官股”。 时任香港金融管理局主席的任志刚后来描述,香港金融管理当局在1998年8月才明白过来,还是太慢了。 任志刚曾在采访中表示,1998年8月,香港","text":"97年救市经验:购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆 回顾1997年亚洲金融危机,香港政府采取了大量购买港元、加息、限制卖空、降低期指杠杆、放宽回购等救市措施。 兴业证券研究报告称,1997 年10 月22日国际炒家开始对香港全线出击,大举沽空港股和港汇。香港金融管理局在市场上抛售美元吸纳港元,并且加息,最优惠利率由8.75%提高到9.5%,隔夜拆息率由9%提升至300%。这些措施稳定了汇率,港元汇价在一段时间内保持着比较稳定的局面。 1997 年10月22日到10月28日间,恒生指数下跌了3343.2点 ,跌幅达27%,港股市值累积损失达7000亿港元。1998年8月31日,港府出台限制卖空等7项举措,以巩固成果:限制放空港元,股票和期货交割期限由14天缩短为2天,使得放空头寸必须在2 天内回补。港府将增加银行体系流动资金,以减少受到冲击的机会。 同时,降低期指的杠杆作用也起了救市效果,港府将每张期货面额由5万港元/10000点拉高至12万港元/10000点,同时调降大量持仓申报限额,由500单位降为250单位,迫使炒家暴露身分。股市引入限价放空制度,且期指空方不能主动售予买盘,只能被动地让买盘入货。此外,港府还放宽上市公司大股东增持回购股票限制(当时限制为35%),且公司在购回股票后不用注销,可当作投资的头寸。 相关资料显示,最终港府成功击退国际炒家,但代价是付出过千亿港元外汇基金买入恒生指数成分股,占总市值的7%。在金融市场恢复稳定后,港府于1999年11月决定成立盈富基金,逐步有序地出售手中蓝筹股,尽量减小对市场的影响。盈富基金是港府1998年“汇率保卫战”的副产品,目的是为了“消化”此战后积聚的大量“官股”。 时任香港金融管理局主席的任志刚后来描述,香港金融管理当局在1998年8月才明白过来,还是太慢了。 任志刚曾在采访中表示,1998年8月,香港","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662733537","repostId":"2278889743","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":661403071,"gmtCreate":1664165476993,"gmtModify":1664165478191,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"赞","listText":"赞","text":"赞","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661403071","repostId":"1172595137","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1172595137","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664163645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172595137?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-26 11:40","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"揭秘72岁“神秘牛散”12年44倍的造富密码!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172595137","media":"证券市场红周刊","summary":"“神秘牛散”周雪钦最近又现身了。在牛散的队伍当中,周雪钦可谓是一个独特的存在,其手握数十亿资金,但只在上市公司的定增中挖掘投资机会,而且一干就是十余年。近日,周雪钦再度大手笔布局,似乎不顾市场出现的调","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>“神秘牛散”周雪钦最近又现身了。</p><p>在牛散的队伍当中,周雪钦可谓是一个独特的存在,其手握数十亿资金,但只在上市公司的定增中挖掘投资机会,而且一干就是十余年。近日,周雪钦再度大手笔布局,似乎不顾市场出现的调整与分化,不停地“买买买”。那么,周雪钦到底是怎样操盘的?其背后又有哪些“神秘力量”呢?</p><p><b>周雪钦年内“疯狂”扫货,11亿元浮盈近8000万</b></p><p>主营为培育钻石的力量钻石近期公告,公司的定增落下帷幕。在定增投资者获配名单中,周雪钦获配259万股,耗资达4.2亿元。《红周刊》注意到,周雪钦此次的获配体量较大,在获配的14个特定对象中股份数量占比超过10%,仅次于财通基金、中欧基金与南方基金,排名第四。更值得一提的是,周雪钦是14名发行对象中“惟二”的自然人,另一位是知名牛散詹春涛。</p><p>据力量钻石于同日披露的股东信息显示,周雪钦新进成为公司第6大股东。但这只是周雪钦今年参与上市公司定增的“冰山一角”。</p><p>据《红周刊》不完全统计,<b>包括力量钻石在内,周雪钦年内参与定增的上市公司家数至少达到了10家。</b></p><p>如7月19日,英搏尔发布定增报告书显示,周雪钦获配102.06万股,获配金额约5000万元;7月16日,在赛力斯(原为小康股份)的定增中,周雪钦获配461.72万股,获配金额达2.4亿元。此外,周雪钦年内还参与了蔚蓝锂芯、芯源微、德方纳米等公司的定增(见表1)。</p><p>表1:周雪钦年内参与定增(部分)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3b102ee125a1c70cbca5136c2013220\" tg-width=\"837\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>数据来源:Wind</p><p>若以获配金额来测算,<b>周雪钦年内在定增方面的“开支”已经高达11亿元,并且收获颇丰。</b>据统计,这10家公司定增的股份最早的要在今年10月3日解禁,也就是说,目前周雪钦均未减持上述公司。对比这些公司的发行价与9月23日的收盘价来看,周雪钦已浮盈7805.69万元。</p><p>但在广泛参与定增背后,周雪钦的“目标”非常明确。从其年内参与的定增公司行业分布来看,周雪钦的“最爱”主要在新能源领域。如其参与定增的10家公司中,超过半数为新能源领域的公司,包括新能源车产业链公司英搏尔、蔚蓝锂芯、赛力斯、德方纳米、龙蟠科技等;光伏产业链公司鑫铂股份等。</p><p><b>另外需要指出的是,周雪钦不仅只活跃在今年的定增市场中,在近十年也是定增“大户”。</b></p><p>翻阅历史持仓显示,周雪钦曾在2011年就已经开始涉足A股的定增市场,《红周刊》注意到,周雪钦于当年参与了国栋建设(现为正源股份)的定增,当时获配数量1242万股,耗资7824.60万元。</p><p>自此之后,便一发不可收拾。</p><p>2012年~2022年期间,周雪钦几乎每年都活跃在定增市场当中,并且几乎每年都会参与数家公司的定增。据保守统计,近十年里,周雪钦累计参与的上市公司定增数量已经超过30家,其间,新能源公司同样占据多家席位,如2013年参与的锂电材料企业赣锋锂业、2014年参与的光伏太阳能企业爱康科技,<b>周雪钦近十年间参与定增累计耗资至少达到了25亿元(见表2)</b>。</p><p>表2:周雪钦历史定增(部分)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d2a0a893fdb8228e95cf1cf5196ae9\" tg-width=\"581\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>数据来源:Wind</p><p><b>七旬老太背后公司“隐现”,12年定增业绩增长44倍</b></p><p>如此资金雄厚、出手大方且连续十余年均执着于上市公司定增的一位“神秘人物”,究竟有什么来历?其背后又有什么“神秘力量”?</p><p>《红周刊》通过一些线索,找到了一些“答案”。</p><p>据上市公司披露的相关定增信息显示,周雪钦,女,住所为福建省厦门市,1950年生人(见图1),以此来看,周雪钦今年已经72岁了。</p><p>图1:英博尔披露的周雪钦定增信息</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb6f7024212d3ad622436d914d361858\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>图片来源:Wind</p><p><b>这位年过七旬的老太太可不是等闲之辈。</b></p><p>Wind资料显示,周雪钦持有福建鑫鑫投资有限公司(以下简称“鑫鑫投资”)75%的股权(见图2),是该公司的法人、执行董事兼总经理。而鑫鑫投资已经是一家成立了12年的“老牌公司”,其主营业务正是以定增为主要策略的金融投资。《红周刊》注意到,鑫鑫投资的注册、办公地址均为福建省泉州市安溪县,这距离周雪钦的住址不足百公里。此外,从鑫鑫投资的成立日期来看,也正好与周雪钦介入定增的时点相吻合。由此不难看出,周雪钦背后的“金主”,正是这家鑫鑫投资公司。</p><p>图2:周雪钦持股鑫鑫投资信息</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08bdc7a4f069ead49feb192b0c681352\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>图片来源:Wind</p><p><b>值得一提是,A股在近十年当中起起伏伏,而周雪钦或鑫鑫投资则依靠定增实现了惊人的“战绩”。</b></p><p>《红周刊》了解到,2021年,鑫鑫投资共参与了67个定增项目,成功率超过90%。</p><p>而另据公司资料显示,成立12年以来,业绩增长了44.45倍,年化收益高达36.02% 。2021年,鑫鑫一号全年回报率48.28%,大幅跑赢上证指数4.8%以及贵州茅台3.5%(见图3)。公司表示,之所以实现业绩显著增长,与定增策略的灵活性和优越性有关。</p><p>图3:鑫鑫投资一号净值表现</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3eb5711feca6f7aa5e5b15597ad84f0f\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"735\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>图片来源:Wind</p><p><b>《红周刊》注意到,当前公司涉猎的领域主要集中在新能源、芯片、医疗等。周雪钦今年以来的定增偏好,正好与公司的“策略”相吻合。</b></p><p><b>关联人郭伟松也爱定增,新能源等领域或仍为首选</b></p><p><b>在周雪钦背后,还有一位神秘关联人——郭伟松。</b></p><p>《红周刊》注意到,无论从住址、持有公司股权以及定增等方面来看,周雪钦、郭伟松两人均具有多重“交集”。</p><p>从相关公司披露的定增资料显示,郭伟松,男,出生于1974年,住址与周雪钦同为福建省厦门市(见图4)。</p><p>图4:合锻智能披露的郭伟松定增信息</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42284ae46369ad2307dff6390e9a410b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"164\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>图片来源:Wind</p><p>另外,据爱企查资料显示,两人均为福建安溪县尚卿矿业有限公司的股东,周雪钦持股43.04%,郭伟松持股31.65%。不过,该公司已经被吊销执照。</p><p>《红周刊》注意到,周雪钦、郭伟松还曾先后参与过同一家公司不同时段的定增,如晶瑞电材于2020年5月的定增中,周雪钦获配1500.00万元,而晶瑞电材于2021年12月的又一次定增中,郭伟松则获配4002.17万元。此外,新宝股份、德方纳米、蔚蓝锂芯等公司多次的定增中,也先后出现了周雪钦、郭伟松的名字。</p><p><b>而更为“直观”体现两人关联性的是,郭伟松是鑫鑫投资的雪球账号“发言人”。</b>据鑫鑫投资发布的雪球原创专栏显示,其账户名称直接以郭伟松命名,为“郭伟松_鑫鑫投资”。</p><p>虽然难以知晓两人的直接关系,但两人的“关联性”可以说已经确凿无疑了。值得一提的是,这位神秘关联人郭伟松,也是一位定增达人,同时也是鑫鑫投资参与定增中的“主力人物”。《红周刊》另外注意到,从鑫鑫投资发布的一张定增项目收益率的图表来看,不少收益率居前的公司都出现了郭伟松的名字,如多氟多、锦浪科技、泰晶科技、拓邦股份等。</p><p>不过,与周雪钦不同的是,郭伟松在2021年以来才开始在定增市场发力。翻开历史持仓显示,郭伟松曾于2011年6月参与了成飞集成的定增,在沉寂数年之后,郭伟松在2020年突然加码定增。据不完全统计显示,2020年~2021年,郭伟松参与定增的上市公司数量接近40家,期间累计耗资同样接近25亿元。<b>从行业分布来看,与周雪钦也基本保持一致,主要集中在新能源、芯片等领域(见表3)。</b></p><p>表3:郭伟松2020年以来参与定增(部分)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3cea818ac6a1f94f17aeaedd0606407\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"799\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>数据来源:Wind</p><p>奇怪的是,去年还是“定增大户”的郭伟松,在今年的上市公司定增名单中,几乎销声匿迹了。而郭伟松于去年参与的定增,也多集中在今年陆续解禁。不排除在解禁套现资金之后,郭伟松再度加码定增,寻找新的投资机会。那么,新能源、芯片等领域或再次成为郭伟松的首选。</p><p><b>财富翻倍密码:押热门赛道,在相对高点卖出</b></p><p>与其他牛散直接从二级市场“扫货”不同,周雪钦、郭伟松独辟蹊径,通过定增来获取筹码,之所以这样做,不外乎看中了定增本身带来的折价空间,<b>但与此同时,由于定增的限售期(一般为6个月)限制,这显然对卖出时点也带来了困难。</b></p><p>那么,在两人实现如此可观“战绩”的背后,又是怎么操盘的?此外,卖出点位是如何把控的?</p><p>从两人近年参与的定增来看,主要方向锁定在了新能源、芯片等热门赛道,“选对赛道”可谓成功的先决条件。而<b>《红周刊》从两人通过定增进入上市公司前十大流通股股东的案例中,发现了一些“卖出”的操盘技巧。</b></p><p>如周雪钦曾于2019年12月参与了捷捷微电的定增,当时获配数量1140.69万股,获配金额为1.5亿元,2021年1月份,该笔限售股迎来了解禁,而由于2019年12月~2021年1月期间,捷捷微电股价累计大涨超过2倍,解禁市值大幅增至5.56亿元。</p><p>而就在2021一季度,周雪钦新进成为了捷捷微电的前十大流通股东,当时持仓数量降至649.81万股,可见周雪钦在该季度对捷捷微电进行了一定程度的减持。但此后的2021年中报~2021年年报,周雪钦的持仓一直未发生变化(其间因送转,周雪钦持股数由649.81万股变为855.53万股)。2021年年末,周雪钦的持仓市值仍高达2.69亿元,这相较于当初1.5亿元的投资资金尚有亿元浮盈。</p><p>2022年一季度,周雪钦退出了捷捷微电的前十大流通股东名单。而“精准”的是,在捷捷微电解禁后、周雪钦持仓期间,捷捷微电股价正处在历史高位阶段(见图5)。<b>周雪钦可谓顺利卖在了最高点,套现离场。</b></p><p>图5:捷捷微电解禁、周雪钦持仓时段</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab78705e23fad4e3056e12f64f5a1e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"643\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>图片来源:Wind</p><p><b>但定增也绝非财富的“稳增制造机”。</b>今年以来,周雪钦参与的不少公司定增也处于“被套”状态,如今年6月参与的蔚蓝锂芯的定增,目前股价相较于发行价已经下跌30%;今年3月参与的雄帝科技定增,目前股价相较于发行价也同样下跌达到了30%。</p><p>随着市场不断变迁,显然对定增套利提出了更高的“要求”。难怪鑫鑫投资发布了如下这样一段话,“过去我们以ROE能冲击30的公司作为核心投资标的,等估值到了可以接受的区间时买入并长期持有。而如今科技变化日新月异,传统行业变化速度太快了,科创板和创业板注册制让新兴行业得以快速上市融资。传统的高ROE低PE法不再适用当下。对于上市时间不足十年的优秀新兴企业,我们会适当降低ROE要求,更关注企业的成长性,结合高净利润增长率作为选股依据。”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1571701096748","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>揭秘72岁“神秘牛散”12年44倍的造富密码!</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n揭秘72岁“神秘牛散”12年44倍的造富密码!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 11:40 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3cRZueM3Dnhg8IYKb2Z_3g><strong>证券市场红周刊</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“神秘牛散”周雪钦最近又现身了。在牛散的队伍当中,周雪钦可谓是一个独特的存在,其手握数十亿资金,但只在上市公司的定增中挖掘投资机会,而且一干就是十余年。近日,周雪钦再度大手笔布局,似乎不顾市场出现的调整与分化,不停地“买买买”。那么,周雪钦到底是怎样操盘的?其背后又有哪些“神秘力量”呢?周雪钦年内“疯狂”扫货,11亿元浮盈近8000万主营为培育钻石的力量钻石近期公告,公司的定增落下帷幕。在定增...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3cRZueM3Dnhg8IYKb2Z_3g\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3cRZueM3Dnhg8IYKb2Z_3g","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172595137","content_text":"“神秘牛散”周雪钦最近又现身了。在牛散的队伍当中,周雪钦可谓是一个独特的存在,其手握数十亿资金,但只在上市公司的定增中挖掘投资机会,而且一干就是十余年。近日,周雪钦再度大手笔布局,似乎不顾市场出现的调整与分化,不停地“买买买”。那么,周雪钦到底是怎样操盘的?其背后又有哪些“神秘力量”呢?周雪钦年内“疯狂”扫货,11亿元浮盈近8000万主营为培育钻石的力量钻石近期公告,公司的定增落下帷幕。在定增投资者获配名单中,周雪钦获配259万股,耗资达4.2亿元。《红周刊》注意到,周雪钦此次的获配体量较大,在获配的14个特定对象中股份数量占比超过10%,仅次于财通基金、中欧基金与南方基金,排名第四。更值得一提的是,周雪钦是14名发行对象中“惟二”的自然人,另一位是知名牛散詹春涛。据力量钻石于同日披露的股东信息显示,周雪钦新进成为公司第6大股东。但这只是周雪钦今年参与上市公司定增的“冰山一角”。据《红周刊》不完全统计,包括力量钻石在内,周雪钦年内参与定增的上市公司家数至少达到了10家。如7月19日,英搏尔发布定增报告书显示,周雪钦获配102.06万股,获配金额约5000万元;7月16日,在赛力斯(原为小康股份)的定增中,周雪钦获配461.72万股,获配金额达2.4亿元。此外,周雪钦年内还参与了蔚蓝锂芯、芯源微、德方纳米等公司的定增(见表1)。表1:周雪钦年内参与定增(部分)数据来源:Wind若以获配金额来测算,周雪钦年内在定增方面的“开支”已经高达11亿元,并且收获颇丰。据统计,这10家公司定增的股份最早的要在今年10月3日解禁,也就是说,目前周雪钦均未减持上述公司。对比这些公司的发行价与9月23日的收盘价来看,周雪钦已浮盈7805.69万元。但在广泛参与定增背后,周雪钦的“目标”非常明确。从其年内参与的定增公司行业分布来看,周雪钦的“最爱”主要在新能源领域。如其参与定增的10家公司中,超过半数为新能源领域的公司,包括新能源车产业链公司英搏尔、蔚蓝锂芯、赛力斯、德方纳米、龙蟠科技等;光伏产业链公司鑫铂股份等。另外需要指出的是,周雪钦不仅只活跃在今年的定增市场中,在近十年也是定增“大户”。翻阅历史持仓显示,周雪钦曾在2011年就已经开始涉足A股的定增市场,《红周刊》注意到,周雪钦于当年参与了国栋建设(现为正源股份)的定增,当时获配数量1242万股,耗资7824.60万元。自此之后,便一发不可收拾。2012年~2022年期间,周雪钦几乎每年都活跃在定增市场当中,并且几乎每年都会参与数家公司的定增。据保守统计,近十年里,周雪钦累计参与的上市公司定增数量已经超过30家,其间,新能源公司同样占据多家席位,如2013年参与的锂电材料企业赣锋锂业、2014年参与的光伏太阳能企业爱康科技,周雪钦近十年间参与定增累计耗资至少达到了25亿元(见表2)。表2:周雪钦历史定增(部分)数据来源:Wind七旬老太背后公司“隐现”,12年定增业绩增长44倍如此资金雄厚、出手大方且连续十余年均执着于上市公司定增的一位“神秘人物”,究竟有什么来历?其背后又有什么“神秘力量”?《红周刊》通过一些线索,找到了一些“答案”。据上市公司披露的相关定增信息显示,周雪钦,女,住所为福建省厦门市,1950年生人(见图1),以此来看,周雪钦今年已经72岁了。图1:英博尔披露的周雪钦定增信息图片来源:Wind这位年过七旬的老太太可不是等闲之辈。Wind资料显示,周雪钦持有福建鑫鑫投资有限公司(以下简称“鑫鑫投资”)75%的股权(见图2),是该公司的法人、执行董事兼总经理。而鑫鑫投资已经是一家成立了12年的“老牌公司”,其主营业务正是以定增为主要策略的金融投资。《红周刊》注意到,鑫鑫投资的注册、办公地址均为福建省泉州市安溪县,这距离周雪钦的住址不足百公里。此外,从鑫鑫投资的成立日期来看,也正好与周雪钦介入定增的时点相吻合。由此不难看出,周雪钦背后的“金主”,正是这家鑫鑫投资公司。图2:周雪钦持股鑫鑫投资信息图片来源:Wind值得一提是,A股在近十年当中起起伏伏,而周雪钦或鑫鑫投资则依靠定增实现了惊人的“战绩”。《红周刊》了解到,2021年,鑫鑫投资共参与了67个定增项目,成功率超过90%。而另据公司资料显示,成立12年以来,业绩增长了44.45倍,年化收益高达36.02% 。2021年,鑫鑫一号全年回报率48.28%,大幅跑赢上证指数4.8%以及贵州茅台3.5%(见图3)。公司表示,之所以实现业绩显著增长,与定增策略的灵活性和优越性有关。图3:鑫鑫投资一号净值表现图片来源:Wind《红周刊》注意到,当前公司涉猎的领域主要集中在新能源、芯片、医疗等。周雪钦今年以来的定增偏好,正好与公司的“策略”相吻合。关联人郭伟松也爱定增,新能源等领域或仍为首选在周雪钦背后,还有一位神秘关联人——郭伟松。《红周刊》注意到,无论从住址、持有公司股权以及定增等方面来看,周雪钦、郭伟松两人均具有多重“交集”。从相关公司披露的定增资料显示,郭伟松,男,出生于1974年,住址与周雪钦同为福建省厦门市(见图4)。图4:合锻智能披露的郭伟松定增信息图片来源:Wind另外,据爱企查资料显示,两人均为福建安溪县尚卿矿业有限公司的股东,周雪钦持股43.04%,郭伟松持股31.65%。不过,该公司已经被吊销执照。《红周刊》注意到,周雪钦、郭伟松还曾先后参与过同一家公司不同时段的定增,如晶瑞电材于2020年5月的定增中,周雪钦获配1500.00万元,而晶瑞电材于2021年12月的又一次定增中,郭伟松则获配4002.17万元。此外,新宝股份、德方纳米、蔚蓝锂芯等公司多次的定增中,也先后出现了周雪钦、郭伟松的名字。而更为“直观”体现两人关联性的是,郭伟松是鑫鑫投资的雪球账号“发言人”。据鑫鑫投资发布的雪球原创专栏显示,其账户名称直接以郭伟松命名,为“郭伟松_鑫鑫投资”。虽然难以知晓两人的直接关系,但两人的“关联性”可以说已经确凿无疑了。值得一提的是,这位神秘关联人郭伟松,也是一位定增达人,同时也是鑫鑫投资参与定增中的“主力人物”。《红周刊》另外注意到,从鑫鑫投资发布的一张定增项目收益率的图表来看,不少收益率居前的公司都出现了郭伟松的名字,如多氟多、锦浪科技、泰晶科技、拓邦股份等。不过,与周雪钦不同的是,郭伟松在2021年以来才开始在定增市场发力。翻开历史持仓显示,郭伟松曾于2011年6月参与了成飞集成的定增,在沉寂数年之后,郭伟松在2020年突然加码定增。据不完全统计显示,2020年~2021年,郭伟松参与定增的上市公司数量接近40家,期间累计耗资同样接近25亿元。从行业分布来看,与周雪钦也基本保持一致,主要集中在新能源、芯片等领域(见表3)。表3:郭伟松2020年以来参与定增(部分)数据来源:Wind奇怪的是,去年还是“定增大户”的郭伟松,在今年的上市公司定增名单中,几乎销声匿迹了。而郭伟松于去年参与的定增,也多集中在今年陆续解禁。不排除在解禁套现资金之后,郭伟松再度加码定增,寻找新的投资机会。那么,新能源、芯片等领域或再次成为郭伟松的首选。财富翻倍密码:押热门赛道,在相对高点卖出与其他牛散直接从二级市场“扫货”不同,周雪钦、郭伟松独辟蹊径,通过定增来获取筹码,之所以这样做,不外乎看中了定增本身带来的折价空间,但与此同时,由于定增的限售期(一般为6个月)限制,这显然对卖出时点也带来了困难。那么,在两人实现如此可观“战绩”的背后,又是怎么操盘的?此外,卖出点位是如何把控的?从两人近年参与的定增来看,主要方向锁定在了新能源、芯片等热门赛道,“选对赛道”可谓成功的先决条件。而《红周刊》从两人通过定增进入上市公司前十大流通股股东的案例中,发现了一些“卖出”的操盘技巧。如周雪钦曾于2019年12月参与了捷捷微电的定增,当时获配数量1140.69万股,获配金额为1.5亿元,2021年1月份,该笔限售股迎来了解禁,而由于2019年12月~2021年1月期间,捷捷微电股价累计大涨超过2倍,解禁市值大幅增至5.56亿元。而就在2021一季度,周雪钦新进成为了捷捷微电的前十大流通股东,当时持仓数量降至649.81万股,可见周雪钦在该季度对捷捷微电进行了一定程度的减持。但此后的2021年中报~2021年年报,周雪钦的持仓一直未发生变化(其间因送转,周雪钦持股数由649.81万股变为855.53万股)。2021年年末,周雪钦的持仓市值仍高达2.69亿元,这相较于当初1.5亿元的投资资金尚有亿元浮盈。2022年一季度,周雪钦退出了捷捷微电的前十大流通股东名单。而“精准”的是,在捷捷微电解禁后、周雪钦持仓期间,捷捷微电股价正处在历史高位阶段(见图5)。周雪钦可谓顺利卖在了最高点,套现离场。图5:捷捷微电解禁、周雪钦持仓时段图片来源:Wind但定增也绝非财富的“稳增制造机”。今年以来,周雪钦参与的不少公司定增也处于“被套”状态,如今年6月参与的蔚蓝锂芯的定增,目前股价相较于发行价已经下跌30%;今年3月参与的雄帝科技定增,目前股价相较于发行价也同样下跌达到了30%。随着市场不断变迁,显然对定增套利提出了更高的“要求”。难怪鑫鑫投资发布了如下这样一段话,“过去我们以ROE能冲击30的公司作为核心投资标的,等估值到了可以接受的区间时买入并长期持有。而如今科技变化日新月异,传统行业变化速度太快了,科创板和创业板注册制让新兴行业得以快速上市融资。传统的高ROE低PE法不再适用当下。对于上市时间不足十年的优秀新兴企业,我们会适当降低ROE要求,更关注企业的成长性,结合高净利润增长率作为选股依据。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":687578333,"gmtCreate":1661178891427,"gmtModify":1661178891427,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AI","listText":"AI","text":"AI","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687578333","repostId":"2261769516","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2261769516","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661150794,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2261769516?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-22 14:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"你每天看的推文,可能是AI写的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261769516","media":"虎嗅","summary":"单从按时截稿来说,AI确实已经秒杀了大部分作家","content":"<html><body><p><span label=\"备注\">本文来自微信公众号:</span><span>公路商店 (ID:zailushangzazhi)</span><span>,作者:Kirin,编辑:Kirin,设计:叁,头图来自:《机械姬》</span></p><p>每个在deadline前窒息过的文字工作者,都幻想过圈养一只写稿奴隶,只需下达需求,转眼之间就有一篇能交工的文章呈现在眼前。</p><p>如今,这个需求基本被人实现了。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113742673553.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p>如果说早年间的写作AI,就像词穷的小学生,只会互骂“反弹”,如今的人工智能就是经验丰富的连麦主播,随随便便就能整出一篇狠活。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113744528472.png?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/png/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p>古早AI Writer很容易走进语言莫比乌斯环。</p><p>不论是苦于论文查重率的学生党,应付甲方需求的文案小工,亦或是每天要听主编絮叨十几次“再改改”的苦逼编辑,现在或多或少都可以利用科技之光,照亮那泛着油光的脑门。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113745021890.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p>比如“论文改写”功能就深谙洗稿之道,只需把别人的心血复制粘贴进去,轻轻一点就能完成“用自己的话再写一遍”这一操作。</p><p>我从网上节选了一段“母猪的产后护理”论文,一键改写后得到了还算信达雅的答案。</p><blockquote><p>“初产母猪咬仔猪养殖过程中,常出现初产母猪不让仔猪吃奶、咬仔猪的现象。其实母猪出现这种情况有很多原因。一是母性不好。初产母猪由于以前未生过仔猪,没有哺乳方面的经验,就会出现咬仔猪的现象。”<span label=\"备注\">(原文)</span></p><p>——“在初生仔猪咬仔猪时,往往会发生初生母猪不给仔猪喂奶或咬仔猪的情况。事实上,母猪的发病有多种因素。一是做母亲的不称职。第一次分娩的母猪会啃小猪,因为它没有母乳喂养的经历。”<span label=\"备注\">(改写)</span></p></blockquote><p>我现在终于知道短视频平台上那些换汤不换药的文章是从哪来的了。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113747928465.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">以洗稿为生的自媒体从业者们开香槟咯。</p><p>不止于此,AI软件的续写功能可以轻松获得一篇逻辑通顺的文章,足以应付职场上绝大多数的工作报告、年终总结。</p><p>比如我在软件里只写了“在这一年”四个字,软件立刻反哺给我一段年终总结,碍于篇幅,仅截取部分做展示,但你依然能从字里行间感受到浓浓的官腔:</p><blockquote><p>“在这一年,我见证了公司的成长。这一年,我们完成了年初的工作目标,前期工作取得了突破性的进展,为公司的发展壮大,提高抗风险能力和盈利能力奠定了坚实的基础。”</p></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113749647800.png?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/png/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">不出1秒,AI会为你编写出10句以上的续写选项。</p><p>要说最让人感到吃惊的,还是某些软件自带的找图功能。从常见的名词物件,到寒冷、炎热等形容词,甚至一些抽象感受,都能得到若干满意的答案。</p><p>做PPT的人们再也不用在搜索引擎上一页一页翻找示意图了。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113750886348.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/jpg/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">“百年孤独”检索出的图片结果</p><p>B站up主@苏星河牛通 在测试“秘塔写作猫”这一软件时,输入了自己的ID“牛通”一探究竟,要知道这个词是他自己造的,结果还真的得到了一张“牛通”图。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113751246048.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/jpg/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">什么叫“牛通”我不懂,但是真的牛逼。</p><p label=\"图片备注\">图片来源:B站@苏星河牛通如今天下已三分</p><p>不止于此,技术被发明出来的那一瞬间,就一定会被恶用。某用户表示,个别软件已经可以写出文笔不错的小h文了。</p><p>如果,我是说如果,再配合软件自带的女声口播功能,是不是可以认为,一个源源不断冒出骚话的AI女主播就此诞生了?</p><p>英国天文学家爱丁顿曾经提出过一个思想实验:给猴子一台打印机,让它无限地敲下去,能不能敲出莎士比亚的名著?</p><p>这只猴子已经上岗了,只不过是以AI的形式。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113755010442.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p>事实上,由AI撰写的文章已经大规模进入我们的生活了。字节跳动和北大计算机所——万小军团队共同研制的写稿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>“张小明”,在里约奥运会期间已经创作了457篇赛事报道。</p><p>平均每天超过30篇,超越了目前所有肉体凡胎的记者。</p><p>更可怕的是,几乎所有你能想到的中外互联网大厂、科技公司,都开始在AI创作领域下重注。</p><p>美国算法领域的公司,Narrative Science的创始人哈蒙德甚至大胆预测,到2030年,90%以上的新闻将由机器人完成。</p><p>“那是不是说,电视台只需要美女记者是真人就够了,好耶!”——美国网友对此调侃道。</p><p>乐观主义者表示,AI代替人类写手那一天永远不会出现,因为文学来自于人类灵魂深处独有的“感性”,这一点是冷冰冰的机器无法代替的。</p><p>现实可能没那么乐观。</p><p>2016年,日本AI人工智能系统写出了完整小说,并且他们还把这些小说拿去参加了第三届日经新闻社的“星新一奖”比赛,其中部分作品已通过初审。</p><p>评委表示情节毫无破绽。日本科幻小说作家长谷敏思说:“能够完整写出小说太令人震惊了,如果100分满分的话我打60分,未来令人期待。”</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113756409003.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">单从按时截稿来说,AI确实已经秒杀了大部分作家。</p><p>柯洁曾表示人类再也没机会超越阿尔法狗了。</p><p>围棋的数学可能性大约是10的107次方,古今中外已经发生过的所有对局,在这个数学海洋里不过沧海一粟,而AI却能穷举出无限可能性并寻得最优解。</p><p>文学也不过是把文字、单词,按一定逻辑排列组合。换句话说,只要能被0和1代码化的东西,终会被穷举完。</p><p>而这只“猴子”不止是会呆呆地敲击键盘,它会根据读者的大数据反馈不断深度学习,观众的每一次点赞、目光停留,都如同奖励猴子的香蕉,鼓励他认清人类本质。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113758913420.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">就像你的tiktok点赞列表可能比你男朋友还懂你。</p><p>文字工作者担心被AI抢了饭碗,听上去很像被时代抛弃的老逼杞人忧天,但其实科技爆锤人类的事情根本不新鲜。</p><p>——就像我们小时候曾经幻想过未来世界,会飞的汽车在城市间翱翔,生产力大幅度解放,机器人用它独特的智慧和绝对的忠诚为人类服务。</p><p>长大以后,当我们一次次被钉钉的夺命连环call弄到心脏骤停的时候,才突然警醒:机器不是任我们差遣的工人,是挥舞着电子皮鞭的赛博监工。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113802476327.gif?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/gif/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\">赛博朋克不用等到2077</p><p>为了解决心中的担忧,我采访了某自媒体大V,还真的获得了破解人类反杀AI的取胜之道。</p><blockquote><p>“只要现代和未来的人品味足够差,AI就只能学到信息垃圾,这样它们就会一直堕落下去,前人创作的文学瑰宝就无法被超越。”</p></blockquote><p>得到启发,我迫不及待地把这篇文章粘贴进了文本框,用软件自带的打分功能给这篇推文估了估分。53分,根本不及格,其中包含了若干语法字词错误。</p><p>而当我把这篇文章用软件的改写功能修改过后,取得了74分的好成绩。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/content/202208/22/113806914484.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1000/format/jpg/interlace/1/q/85\"/></p><p>或许,这篇文章的真正意义,就是让AI又反复读了几遍文字废品,多学会了几句垃圾话。</p><p>从文学角度,我一败涂地,但从现实意义,这篇文章却是一堵保护人类文明的高墙。</p><p><span label=\"备注\">资料来源</span></p><p><span label=\"备注\">《你看过的许多文章,可能根本不是人类写的?》by 苏星河牛通,bilibili</span></p><p><span label=\"备注\">本文来自微信公众号:</span><span>公路商店 (ID:zailushangzazhi)</span><span>,作者:Kirin,编辑:Kirin</span></p></body></html>","source":"highlight_huxiu","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n你每天看的推文,可能是AI写的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 14:46 北京时间 <a href=https://www.huxiu.com/article/641860.html><strong>虎嗅</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>本文来自微信公众号:公路商店 (ID:zailushangzazhi),作者:Kirin,编辑:Kirin,设计:叁,头图来自:《机械姬》每个在deadline前窒息过的文字工作者,都幻想过圈养一只写稿奴隶,只需下达需求,转眼之间就有一篇能交工的文章呈现在眼前。如今,这个需求基本被人实现了。如果说早年间的写作AI,就像词穷的小学生,只会互骂“反弹”,如今的人工智能就是经验丰富的连麦主播,随随便便就...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.huxiu.com/article/641860.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://img.huxiucdn.com/article/cover/202208/22/124741313619.jpg?imageView2/1/w/720/h/405/|imageMogr2/strip/interlace/1/quality/85/format/jpg","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4508":"社交媒体","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4543":"AI","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4516":"特朗普概念","TWTR":"Twitter","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4528":"SaaS概念","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://www.huxiu.com/article/641860.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261769516","content_text":"本文来自微信公众号:公路商店 (ID:zailushangzazhi),作者:Kirin,编辑:Kirin,设计:叁,头图来自:《机械姬》每个在deadline前窒息过的文字工作者,都幻想过圈养一只写稿奴隶,只需下达需求,转眼之间就有一篇能交工的文章呈现在眼前。如今,这个需求基本被人实现了。如果说早年间的写作AI,就像词穷的小学生,只会互骂“反弹”,如今的人工智能就是经验丰富的连麦主播,随随便便就能整出一篇狠活。古早AI Writer很容易走进语言莫比乌斯环。不论是苦于论文查重率的学生党,应付甲方需求的文案小工,亦或是每天要听主编絮叨十几次“再改改”的苦逼编辑,现在或多或少都可以利用科技之光,照亮那泛着油光的脑门。比如“论文改写”功能就深谙洗稿之道,只需把别人的心血复制粘贴进去,轻轻一点就能完成“用自己的话再写一遍”这一操作。我从网上节选了一段“母猪的产后护理”论文,一键改写后得到了还算信达雅的答案。“初产母猪咬仔猪养殖过程中,常出现初产母猪不让仔猪吃奶、咬仔猪的现象。其实母猪出现这种情况有很多原因。一是母性不好。初产母猪由于以前未生过仔猪,没有哺乳方面的经验,就会出现咬仔猪的现象。”(原文)——“在初生仔猪咬仔猪时,往往会发生初生母猪不给仔猪喂奶或咬仔猪的情况。事实上,母猪的发病有多种因素。一是做母亲的不称职。第一次分娩的母猪会啃小猪,因为它没有母乳喂养的经历。”(改写)我现在终于知道短视频平台上那些换汤不换药的文章是从哪来的了。以洗稿为生的自媒体从业者们开香槟咯。不止于此,AI软件的续写功能可以轻松获得一篇逻辑通顺的文章,足以应付职场上绝大多数的工作报告、年终总结。比如我在软件里只写了“在这一年”四个字,软件立刻反哺给我一段年终总结,碍于篇幅,仅截取部分做展示,但你依然能从字里行间感受到浓浓的官腔:“在这一年,我见证了公司的成长。这一年,我们完成了年初的工作目标,前期工作取得了突破性的进展,为公司的发展壮大,提高抗风险能力和盈利能力奠定了坚实的基础。”不出1秒,AI会为你编写出10句以上的续写选项。要说最让人感到吃惊的,还是某些软件自带的找图功能。从常见的名词物件,到寒冷、炎热等形容词,甚至一些抽象感受,都能得到若干满意的答案。做PPT的人们再也不用在搜索引擎上一页一页翻找示意图了。“百年孤独”检索出的图片结果B站up主@苏星河牛通 在测试“秘塔写作猫”这一软件时,输入了自己的ID“牛通”一探究竟,要知道这个词是他自己造的,结果还真的得到了一张“牛通”图。什么叫“牛通”我不懂,但是真的牛逼。图片来源:B站@苏星河牛通如今天下已三分不止于此,技术被发明出来的那一瞬间,就一定会被恶用。某用户表示,个别软件已经可以写出文笔不错的小h文了。如果,我是说如果,再配合软件自带的女声口播功能,是不是可以认为,一个源源不断冒出骚话的AI女主播就此诞生了?英国天文学家爱丁顿曾经提出过一个思想实验:给猴子一台打印机,让它无限地敲下去,能不能敲出莎士比亚的名著?这只猴子已经上岗了,只不过是以AI的形式。事实上,由AI撰写的文章已经大规模进入我们的生活了。字节跳动和北大计算机所——万小军团队共同研制的写稿机器人“张小明”,在里约奥运会期间已经创作了457篇赛事报道。平均每天超过30篇,超越了目前所有肉体凡胎的记者。更可怕的是,几乎所有你能想到的中外互联网大厂、科技公司,都开始在AI创作领域下重注。美国算法领域的公司,Narrative Science的创始人哈蒙德甚至大胆预测,到2030年,90%以上的新闻将由机器人完成。“那是不是说,电视台只需要美女记者是真人就够了,好耶!”——美国网友对此调侃道。乐观主义者表示,AI代替人类写手那一天永远不会出现,因为文学来自于人类灵魂深处独有的“感性”,这一点是冷冰冰的机器无法代替的。现实可能没那么乐观。2016年,日本AI人工智能系统写出了完整小说,并且他们还把这些小说拿去参加了第三届日经新闻社的“星新一奖”比赛,其中部分作品已通过初审。评委表示情节毫无破绽。日本科幻小说作家长谷敏思说:“能够完整写出小说太令人震惊了,如果100分满分的话我打60分,未来令人期待。”单从按时截稿来说,AI确实已经秒杀了大部分作家。柯洁曾表示人类再也没机会超越阿尔法狗了。围棋的数学可能性大约是10的107次方,古今中外已经发生过的所有对局,在这个数学海洋里不过沧海一粟,而AI却能穷举出无限可能性并寻得最优解。文学也不过是把文字、单词,按一定逻辑排列组合。换句话说,只要能被0和1代码化的东西,终会被穷举完。而这只“猴子”不止是会呆呆地敲击键盘,它会根据读者的大数据反馈不断深度学习,观众的每一次点赞、目光停留,都如同奖励猴子的香蕉,鼓励他认清人类本质。就像你的tiktok点赞列表可能比你男朋友还懂你。文字工作者担心被AI抢了饭碗,听上去很像被时代抛弃的老逼杞人忧天,但其实科技爆锤人类的事情根本不新鲜。——就像我们小时候曾经幻想过未来世界,会飞的汽车在城市间翱翔,生产力大幅度解放,机器人用它独特的智慧和绝对的忠诚为人类服务。长大以后,当我们一次次被钉钉的夺命连环call弄到心脏骤停的时候,才突然警醒:机器不是任我们差遣的工人,是挥舞着电子皮鞭的赛博监工。赛博朋克不用等到2077为了解决心中的担忧,我采访了某自媒体大V,还真的获得了破解人类反杀AI的取胜之道。“只要现代和未来的人品味足够差,AI就只能学到信息垃圾,这样它们就会一直堕落下去,前人创作的文学瑰宝就无法被超越。”得到启发,我迫不及待地把这篇文章粘贴进了文本框,用软件自带的打分功能给这篇推文估了估分。53分,根本不及格,其中包含了若干语法字词错误。而当我把这篇文章用软件的改写功能修改过后,取得了74分的好成绩。或许,这篇文章的真正意义,就是让AI又反复读了几遍文字废品,多学会了几句垃圾话。从文学角度,我一败涂地,但从现实意义,这篇文章却是一堵保护人类文明的高墙。资料来源《你看过的许多文章,可能根本不是人类写的?》by 苏星河牛通,bilibili本文来自微信公众号:公路商店 (ID:zailushangzazhi),作者:Kirin,编辑:Kirin","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1829,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":684584467,"gmtCreate":1660460284564,"gmtModify":1660460284564,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"coin","listText":"coin","text":"coin","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/684584467","repostId":"1107694345","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107694345","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯,最专业的解读分析,覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1660286951,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107694345?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-12 14:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"加密货币第一股收美证监会传票,\"木头姐\"也栽了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107694345","media":"券商中国","summary":"加密货币寒冬之下,美国第一家上市加密货币交易所Coinbase的日子也不好过。据外媒报道,当地时间8月9日,美国加密货币交易所Coinbase Global在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到美国证","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>加密货币寒冬之下,美国第一家上市加密货币交易所Coinbase的日子也不好过。</blockquote><p>据外媒报道,当地时间8月9日,美国加密货币交易所Coinbase Global在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到美国证券交易监督委员会(SEC)的调查传票和要求,内容涉及其上市资产的流程、某些上市资产的分类、质押服务计划、稳定币和收益产品等方面。</p><p><b>同时,财务数据显示,Coinbase第二季度净营收为8.03亿美元,同比下降60%;净亏损为10.94亿美元(约合人民币73.7亿元),而去年同期为盈利16.06亿美元。</b></p><p>今年以来,Coinbase股价下跌逾60%。值得一提的是,Coinbase自上市以来就被“木头姐”Cathie Wood高仓位持有,而由于近期监管上的担忧,“木头姐”曾在今年7月低位减持,导致踏空Coinbase近期反弹行情。</p><p><b>Coinbase承认收到SEC传票</b></p><p>据外媒报道,Coinbase于当地时间8月9日在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到SEC(美国证券交易监督委员会)的调查传票和要求,“内容涉及某些客户计划、运营以及现有和预期的未来产品”,包括其上市资产的流程、某些上市资产的分类、其质押服务计划以及其稳定币和收益产品。</p><p>Coinbase表示,SEC今年5月向该公司发出了一份自愿的信息要求,包括其上市和上市过程,但该交易所还不知道这一调查是否会成为正式调查。该公司在股东信中写道:“我们经常收到来自监管机构的正式和非正式询问,涉及我们对加密经济发展的看法、我们的产品和运营。”</p><p>Coinbase还提到,“2021年1月,加州公平就业和住房部发出了调查传票,要求提供与我们某些商业实践和政策相关的文件和信息,此事仍在进行中。我们打算与此类调查充分合作。”</p><p>此前,据彭博社7月报道,Coinbase正面临一项美国调查,调查内容是它是否不当地让美国人交易本应注册为证券的加密货币。消息一出,Coinbase股价当日应声下跌21%。</p><p>不过,对于被调查的情况,Coinbase在季报中表示:“公司相信,现有法律和监管调查事项的最终解决不会对公司的财务状况、经营结果或现金流产生重大不利影响。”</p><p><b>交易量暴跌,二季度亏损超10亿美元</b></p><p>在8月9日的Form 10-Q文件中,Coinbase2022财年第二季度的业绩也浮出水面。</p><p>报告显示,Coinbase第二季度净营收为8.03亿美元,与上年同期的20.33亿美元相比,降幅达60%;净亏损为10.94亿美元,相比之下上年同期的净利润为16.06亿美元。归属于普通股股东的摊薄净亏损为11.00亿美元,上年同期归属于普通股股东的摊薄净利润为15.93亿美元。</p><p>无论是净收入和收益,Coinbase二季度的数据都处于过去五个季度以来的最低水平;值得注意的是,这也是Coinbase连续两个季度亏损。</p><p>从收入结构看,加密货币交易是Coinbase营收的支柱。Coinbase第二季度总交易营收为6.552亿美元,相比之下上年同期为19.304亿美元;其中,来自于散户投资者的净交易营收为6.162亿美元,而上年同期为18.280亿美元;来自于机构投资者的交易营收为3900万美元,而上年同期为1.024亿美元。</p><p>在Coinbase第二季度的交易营收中,比特币交易营收所占比例为31%,相比上年同期的26%有所增加;以太坊交易营收所占比例为22%,相比上年同期的26%有所下降;其他加密资产交易营收所占比例为47%,相比上年同期的48%略有下降。</p><p>从加密货币交易平台的另两大核心指标——交易规模和用户规模来看,Coinbase也有所下滑。数据显示,二季度平台每月交易用户为 900万,较上一季度下降2%,但二季度总交易额下降至2170亿美元,较第一季度环比下降30%。</p><p>同时,Coinbase平台资产规模为960亿美元,较第一季度末的2560亿美元环比下降63%,较去年同期同比下降近50%。</p><p>对于下半年加密货币的走势,Coinbase官方也没有信心,在财报中,其预计今年第三季度的交易量可能更加疲软,每月平均交易用户可能降低至700-900万区间。</p><p><b>年内股价大跌逾60%</b></p><p>Coinbase是美国第一家上市的加密货币交易所,从某种意义上来说,Coinbase也是全球合规程度最高的加密货币交易平台。</p><p>2021年2月,成立9年的Coinbase正式向纳斯纳克提交招股书,并于当年4月14日登陆纳斯达克,股票代码为“COIN”。这家公司股东包括纽约证券交易所、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BVA.UK\">西班牙对外银行</a>(BBVA)和IDG Ventures、日本东京银行、美国大牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>保险巨头USAA、日本三菱金融集团MUFG等全球知名金融机构。</p><p>今年以来,整个加密市场遭遇寒潮,加密货币总市值纷纷大幅缩水,Terra、三箭资本、Celsius等加密巨头也纷纷倒下。Coinbase的股价也从去年年底以来不断走低。</p><p>从Coinbase近期股价走势来看,自今年5-6月Coinbase触及40美元的历史最低价以来,该公司股价持续反弹回升。截至8月10日收盘,Coinbase股价已近翻倍,但其年内跌幅仍达到62.7%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b386b05217481e15f366b04850bfed8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>在股价不断下跌下,各类资本也不断撤退。</p><p>今年2月25日,Coinbase公布的2021年第四季度和全年财报,就已经显现出各路资本“跑路”的迹象。Coinbase的创始人Brian Armstrong套现了15亿美元,联合创始人Frederick Ehrsam套现了5亿美元。另外,ARK方舟基金以及JP摩根也相继减持,而高瓴资本基本将其清仓。</p><p>近期,“木头姐”Cathie Wood对于Coinbase的操作引发市场热议。据悉,自Coinbase上市以来,Cathie Wood就一直在持续买入Coinbase股票。但监管信息显示,ARK旗下三只ETF在7月26日出售了约141万股的Coinbase股票,价值约7500万美元。这也是“木头姐”今年第一次抛售该股。</p><p>Cathie Wood曾在接受媒体采访时表示,加密货币监管不确定性最终导致其减仓Coinbase。</p><p>不过,从结果来看,“木头姐”在7月砍仓的操作也导致其踏空了Coinbase近期的反弹。自ARK减持以来,Coinbase股价已经上涨了80%以上。</p><p>此前,Coinbase与全球最大的投资管理机构<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>达成合作关系。根据协议,贝莱德的机构客户如果也在Coinbase平台上拥有数字资产,现在将能使用贝莱德的软件工具整合平台Aladdin来管理他们的资产组合,并对投资决策进行风险分析。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>加密货币第一股收美证监会传票,\"木头姐\"也栽了</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n加密货币第一股收美证监会传票,\"木头姐\"也栽了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-12 14:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>加密货币寒冬之下,美国第一家上市加密货币交易所Coinbase的日子也不好过。</blockquote><p>据外媒报道,当地时间8月9日,美国加密货币交易所Coinbase Global在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到美国证券交易监督委员会(SEC)的调查传票和要求,内容涉及其上市资产的流程、某些上市资产的分类、质押服务计划、稳定币和收益产品等方面。</p><p><b>同时,财务数据显示,Coinbase第二季度净营收为8.03亿美元,同比下降60%;净亏损为10.94亿美元(约合人民币73.7亿元),而去年同期为盈利16.06亿美元。</b></p><p>今年以来,Coinbase股价下跌逾60%。值得一提的是,Coinbase自上市以来就被“木头姐”Cathie Wood高仓位持有,而由于近期监管上的担忧,“木头姐”曾在今年7月低位减持,导致踏空Coinbase近期反弹行情。</p><p><b>Coinbase承认收到SEC传票</b></p><p>据外媒报道,Coinbase于当地时间8月9日在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到SEC(美国证券交易监督委员会)的调查传票和要求,“内容涉及某些客户计划、运营以及现有和预期的未来产品”,包括其上市资产的流程、某些上市资产的分类、其质押服务计划以及其稳定币和收益产品。</p><p>Coinbase表示,SEC今年5月向该公司发出了一份自愿的信息要求,包括其上市和上市过程,但该交易所还不知道这一调查是否会成为正式调查。该公司在股东信中写道:“我们经常收到来自监管机构的正式和非正式询问,涉及我们对加密经济发展的看法、我们的产品和运营。”</p><p>Coinbase还提到,“2021年1月,加州公平就业和住房部发出了调查传票,要求提供与我们某些商业实践和政策相关的文件和信息,此事仍在进行中。我们打算与此类调查充分合作。”</p><p>此前,据彭博社7月报道,Coinbase正面临一项美国调查,调查内容是它是否不当地让美国人交易本应注册为证券的加密货币。消息一出,Coinbase股价当日应声下跌21%。</p><p>不过,对于被调查的情况,Coinbase在季报中表示:“公司相信,现有法律和监管调查事项的最终解决不会对公司的财务状况、经营结果或现金流产生重大不利影响。”</p><p><b>交易量暴跌,二季度亏损超10亿美元</b></p><p>在8月9日的Form 10-Q文件中,Coinbase2022财年第二季度的业绩也浮出水面。</p><p>报告显示,Coinbase第二季度净营收为8.03亿美元,与上年同期的20.33亿美元相比,降幅达60%;净亏损为10.94亿美元,相比之下上年同期的净利润为16.06亿美元。归属于普通股股东的摊薄净亏损为11.00亿美元,上年同期归属于普通股股东的摊薄净利润为15.93亿美元。</p><p>无论是净收入和收益,Coinbase二季度的数据都处于过去五个季度以来的最低水平;值得注意的是,这也是Coinbase连续两个季度亏损。</p><p>从收入结构看,加密货币交易是Coinbase营收的支柱。Coinbase第二季度总交易营收为6.552亿美元,相比之下上年同期为19.304亿美元;其中,来自于散户投资者的净交易营收为6.162亿美元,而上年同期为18.280亿美元;来自于机构投资者的交易营收为3900万美元,而上年同期为1.024亿美元。</p><p>在Coinbase第二季度的交易营收中,比特币交易营收所占比例为31%,相比上年同期的26%有所增加;以太坊交易营收所占比例为22%,相比上年同期的26%有所下降;其他加密资产交易营收所占比例为47%,相比上年同期的48%略有下降。</p><p>从加密货币交易平台的另两大核心指标——交易规模和用户规模来看,Coinbase也有所下滑。数据显示,二季度平台每月交易用户为 900万,较上一季度下降2%,但二季度总交易额下降至2170亿美元,较第一季度环比下降30%。</p><p>同时,Coinbase平台资产规模为960亿美元,较第一季度末的2560亿美元环比下降63%,较去年同期同比下降近50%。</p><p>对于下半年加密货币的走势,Coinbase官方也没有信心,在财报中,其预计今年第三季度的交易量可能更加疲软,每月平均交易用户可能降低至700-900万区间。</p><p><b>年内股价大跌逾60%</b></p><p>Coinbase是美国第一家上市的加密货币交易所,从某种意义上来说,Coinbase也是全球合规程度最高的加密货币交易平台。</p><p>2021年2月,成立9年的Coinbase正式向纳斯纳克提交招股书,并于当年4月14日登陆纳斯达克,股票代码为“COIN”。这家公司股东包括纽约证券交易所、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BVA.UK\">西班牙对外银行</a>(BBVA)和IDG Ventures、日本东京银行、美国大牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>保险巨头USAA、日本三菱金融集团MUFG等全球知名金融机构。</p><p>今年以来,整个加密市场遭遇寒潮,加密货币总市值纷纷大幅缩水,Terra、三箭资本、Celsius等加密巨头也纷纷倒下。Coinbase的股价也从去年年底以来不断走低。</p><p>从Coinbase近期股价走势来看,自今年5-6月Coinbase触及40美元的历史最低价以来,该公司股价持续反弹回升。截至8月10日收盘,Coinbase股价已近翻倍,但其年内跌幅仍达到62.7%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b386b05217481e15f366b04850bfed8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>在股价不断下跌下,各类资本也不断撤退。</p><p>今年2月25日,Coinbase公布的2021年第四季度和全年财报,就已经显现出各路资本“跑路”的迹象。Coinbase的创始人Brian Armstrong套现了15亿美元,联合创始人Frederick Ehrsam套现了5亿美元。另外,ARK方舟基金以及JP摩根也相继减持,而高瓴资本基本将其清仓。</p><p>近期,“木头姐”Cathie Wood对于Coinbase的操作引发市场热议。据悉,自Coinbase上市以来,Cathie Wood就一直在持续买入Coinbase股票。但监管信息显示,ARK旗下三只ETF在7月26日出售了约141万股的Coinbase股票,价值约7500万美元。这也是“木头姐”今年第一次抛售该股。</p><p>Cathie Wood曾在接受媒体采访时表示,加密货币监管不确定性最终导致其减仓Coinbase。</p><p>不过,从结果来看,“木头姐”在7月砍仓的操作也导致其踏空了Coinbase近期的反弹。自ARK减持以来,Coinbase股价已经上涨了80%以上。</p><p>此前,Coinbase与全球最大的投资管理机构<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>达成合作关系。根据协议,贝莱德的机构客户如果也在Coinbase平台上拥有数字资产,现在将能使用贝莱德的软件工具整合平台Aladdin来管理他们的资产组合,并对投资决策进行风险分析。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/416ed1de8e9d111af8a0de30b5869845","relate_stocks":{"BTCO":"Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","ARKB":"ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","IBIT":"iShares Bitcoin Trust","BRRR":"Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund","DEFI":"Hashdex Bitcoin ETF","HODL":"VanEck Bitcoin Trust ETF","EZBC":"Franklin Bitcoin ETF","BTCW":"WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund","FBTC":"Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund","BITB":"Bitwise Bitcoin ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107694345","content_text":"加密货币寒冬之下,美国第一家上市加密货币交易所Coinbase的日子也不好过。据外媒报道,当地时间8月9日,美国加密货币交易所Coinbase Global在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到美国证券交易监督委员会(SEC)的调查传票和要求,内容涉及其上市资产的流程、某些上市资产的分类、质押服务计划、稳定币和收益产品等方面。同时,财务数据显示,Coinbase第二季度净营收为8.03亿美元,同比下降60%;净亏损为10.94亿美元(约合人民币73.7亿元),而去年同期为盈利16.06亿美元。今年以来,Coinbase股价下跌逾60%。值得一提的是,Coinbase自上市以来就被“木头姐”Cathie Wood高仓位持有,而由于近期监管上的担忧,“木头姐”曾在今年7月低位减持,导致踏空Coinbase近期反弹行情。Coinbase承认收到SEC传票据外媒报道,Coinbase于当地时间8月9日在Form 10-Q文件中表示,已收到SEC(美国证券交易监督委员会)的调查传票和要求,“内容涉及某些客户计划、运营以及现有和预期的未来产品”,包括其上市资产的流程、某些上市资产的分类、其质押服务计划以及其稳定币和收益产品。Coinbase表示,SEC今年5月向该公司发出了一份自愿的信息要求,包括其上市和上市过程,但该交易所还不知道这一调查是否会成为正式调查。该公司在股东信中写道:“我们经常收到来自监管机构的正式和非正式询问,涉及我们对加密经济发展的看法、我们的产品和运营。”Coinbase还提到,“2021年1月,加州公平就业和住房部发出了调查传票,要求提供与我们某些商业实践和政策相关的文件和信息,此事仍在进行中。我们打算与此类调查充分合作。”此前,据彭博社7月报道,Coinbase正面临一项美国调查,调查内容是它是否不当地让美国人交易本应注册为证券的加密货币。消息一出,Coinbase股价当日应声下跌21%。不过,对于被调查的情况,Coinbase在季报中表示:“公司相信,现有法律和监管调查事项的最终解决不会对公司的财务状况、经营结果或现金流产生重大不利影响。”交易量暴跌,二季度亏损超10亿美元在8月9日的Form 10-Q文件中,Coinbase2022财年第二季度的业绩也浮出水面。报告显示,Coinbase第二季度净营收为8.03亿美元,与上年同期的20.33亿美元相比,降幅达60%;净亏损为10.94亿美元,相比之下上年同期的净利润为16.06亿美元。归属于普通股股东的摊薄净亏损为11.00亿美元,上年同期归属于普通股股东的摊薄净利润为15.93亿美元。无论是净收入和收益,Coinbase二季度的数据都处于过去五个季度以来的最低水平;值得注意的是,这也是Coinbase连续两个季度亏损。从收入结构看,加密货币交易是Coinbase营收的支柱。Coinbase第二季度总交易营收为6.552亿美元,相比之下上年同期为19.304亿美元;其中,来自于散户投资者的净交易营收为6.162亿美元,而上年同期为18.280亿美元;来自于机构投资者的交易营收为3900万美元,而上年同期为1.024亿美元。在Coinbase第二季度的交易营收中,比特币交易营收所占比例为31%,相比上年同期的26%有所增加;以太坊交易营收所占比例为22%,相比上年同期的26%有所下降;其他加密资产交易营收所占比例为47%,相比上年同期的48%略有下降。从加密货币交易平台的另两大核心指标——交易规模和用户规模来看,Coinbase也有所下滑。数据显示,二季度平台每月交易用户为 900万,较上一季度下降2%,但二季度总交易额下降至2170亿美元,较第一季度环比下降30%。同时,Coinbase平台资产规模为960亿美元,较第一季度末的2560亿美元环比下降63%,较去年同期同比下降近50%。对于下半年加密货币的走势,Coinbase官方也没有信心,在财报中,其预计今年第三季度的交易量可能更加疲软,每月平均交易用户可能降低至700-900万区间。年内股价大跌逾60%Coinbase是美国第一家上市的加密货币交易所,从某种意义上来说,Coinbase也是全球合规程度最高的加密货币交易平台。2021年2月,成立9年的Coinbase正式向纳斯纳克提交招股书,并于当年4月14日登陆纳斯达克,股票代码为“COIN”。这家公司股东包括纽约证券交易所、西班牙对外银行(BBVA)和IDG Ventures、日本东京银行、美国大牌金融机构保险巨头USAA、日本三菱金融集团MUFG等全球知名金融机构。今年以来,整个加密市场遭遇寒潮,加密货币总市值纷纷大幅缩水,Terra、三箭资本、Celsius等加密巨头也纷纷倒下。Coinbase的股价也从去年年底以来不断走低。从Coinbase近期股价走势来看,自今年5-6月Coinbase触及40美元的历史最低价以来,该公司股价持续反弹回升。截至8月10日收盘,Coinbase股价已近翻倍,但其年内跌幅仍达到62.7%。在股价不断下跌下,各类资本也不断撤退。今年2月25日,Coinbase公布的2021年第四季度和全年财报,就已经显现出各路资本“跑路”的迹象。Coinbase的创始人Brian Armstrong套现了15亿美元,联合创始人Frederick Ehrsam套现了5亿美元。另外,ARK方舟基金以及JP摩根也相继减持,而高瓴资本基本将其清仓。近期,“木头姐”Cathie Wood对于Coinbase的操作引发市场热议。据悉,自Coinbase上市以来,Cathie Wood就一直在持续买入Coinbase股票。但监管信息显示,ARK旗下三只ETF在7月26日出售了约141万股的Coinbase股票,价值约7500万美元。这也是“木头姐”今年第一次抛售该股。Cathie Wood曾在接受媒体采访时表示,加密货币监管不确定性最终导致其减仓Coinbase。不过,从结果来看,“木头姐”在7月砍仓的操作也导致其踏空了Coinbase近期的反弹。自ARK减持以来,Coinbase股价已经上涨了80%以上。此前,Coinbase与全球最大的投资管理机构贝莱德达成合作关系。根据协议,贝莱德的机构客户如果也在Coinbase平台上拥有数字资产,现在将能使用贝莱德的软件工具整合平台Aladdin来管理他们的资产组合,并对投资决策进行风险分析。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":684204993,"gmtCreate":1660294033817,"gmtModify":1660294033817,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3498272331494472","authorIdStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"01024","listText":"01024","text":"01024","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/684204993","repostId":"2258788432","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2258788432","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660215731,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2258788432?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-11 19:02","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"快手toB业务于冰:自研芯片或年底后规模量产,要把视频变成轻工业","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2258788432","media":"新浪科技","summary":"新浪科技讯 8月10日晚间消息,快手发布视频云品牌StreamLake,正式进军B端业务领域,并推出面向视频直播点播应用的云端智能视频处理SoC芯片SL200和解决方案。在接受媒体采访时,于冰及快手技术副总裁、AI技术及主站技术负责人王仲远分享了快手在To B业务方面的思考。于冰表示,芯片规模量产可能会在年底以后。","content":"<html><body><p>新浪科技讯 8月10日晚间消息,快手发布视频云品牌StreamLake,正式进军B端业务领域,并推出面向视频直播点播应用的云端<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>视频处理SoC芯片SL200和解决方案。</p>\n<p>在接受媒体采访时,于冰及快手技术副总裁、AI技术及主站技术负责人王仲远分享了快手在To B业务方面的思考。</p>\n<figure>\n<img h=\"197\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/transform/747/w550h197/20220811/3223-4245aeb36d32e4e2368d8f0ced2072e2.png\" w=\"550\"/>\n<h2>(图:StreamLake视频AI全景图)</h2>\n</figure>\n<p><strong>快手自研芯片或在年底后规模量产</strong></p>\n<p>本次发布会上,快手发布了自研芯片的进展。据于冰透露,快手以AI和音视频业务为重点,研制出面向视频直播点播应用的云端智能视频处理SoC芯片SL200和解决方案,目前已流片成功,并正在进行线上内测。</p>\n<p>据介绍,该芯片的推出,有助于进一步提升行业技术实力,帮助客户和企业用更低的计算成本,带来更高的收益。目前该芯片还在小规模测试阶段,量产还需要一段时间。</p>\n<p>在采访中,于冰表示,快手自研芯片主要以自用为主,“也在跟行业客户做一些初步探讨,如广电、云游戏、安防都是对视频压缩芯片需求非常大的行业。广电有8K升级的需求,8K视频码率如何降下来,是一个很难的问题。我们做这个芯片,用于直播和短视频的压缩,它能够省大量的计算资源和带宽。”</p>\n<p>此前,字节跳动也进入了自研芯片领域,其自研芯片探索主要围绕自身视频推荐业务展开。不同于阿里、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>等公司扎堆“造芯”,字节跳动和快手的芯片更多围绕视频业务。互联网大厂自研芯片,除了自身需求等原因之外,未来可能带来更为长尾的价值。</p>\n<p>于冰表示,芯片规模量产可能会在年底以后。“业务规模方面,我们希望小步快跑方式,逐步验证。”</p>\n<p><strong>视频云市场增速明显,快手如何打出差异化?</strong></p>\n<div sax-type=\"proxy\"></div><p>近年来,得益于视频在在线教育、直播电商和视频会议办公等场景中的应用,视频云应用得到了快速发展。一份《2022年中国视频云服务行业研究报告》显示,2021年中国视频云服务整体市场规模达到448亿元,未来三年的年复合增长率去到29.5%,増势明显。</p>\n<p>提到行业竞争时,王仲远表示,确实行业里面做云的厂商非常多,友商们也非常优秀。但快手发现,现有的视频云方案还是不能够满足他们的需求,还有很多客户在用上上一代的视频压缩标准,其实中间有技术的障碍,也有商业模式上的矛盾。</p>\n<p>他认为,在非常多的行业,客户在做视频化或者直播化的转型升级的需求还仍然远远没有被满足,这也恰恰是快手决定发布StreamLake品牌的初心 ——快手看到了视频化浪潮,以及视频技术革新和商业模式革新的可能性,“我们认为今天是一个非常重要的时间点。”</p>\n<p>据悉,StreamLake作为一个独立的业务部门,底层是基于快手整个中后台的基础设施,源起技术能力,同时服务于快手的主站平台、直播、电商、商业化和海外这些主业务。</p>\n<p>据王仲远介绍,StreamLake有两个独特性:一是专注于视频AI,围绕视频从创作、理解到分发的全过程进行了非常细致的打磨,相比于行业里面其他的AI提供厂商,快手有大规模数据,尤其在视频的数据场景进行验证;二是跟其他AI厂商相比,除了服务器端的AI技术外,还有手机端AI技术。</p>\n<p>王仲远表示,快手在TO B业务方面坚持两个理念,一是长期有耐心,To B是一个需要周期非常长,需要非常坚定的信心和很强的耐心跟行业合作伙伴一起,去做视频化的转型和升级;二是非常注重成本和效率,以及利润,所以也不会大规模的搞基础设施的投资建设。</p>\n<p>对于下一代互联网的形态,目前还存在比较大的不确定性,但无论承载介质是什么,底层都离不开音视频和AI技术。快手首席技术官陈定佳表示,“我们经常思考,快手过去得到的经验,打磨过的技术,沉淀出的解决方案,能否为更多企业所用?最终,我们以内容汇聚与分发方面的大规模实践经验,将多年积累的技术能力,沉淀为一套可复用的产品体系与服务。”</p>\n<p>他认为,视频化正在赋能千行百业,StreamLake将在创新、体验、规模、成本四个方面为客户提供价值,快手自身发展中所经历的快上线、提品质、扛规模、控成本四个阶段所积累的底层基础设施和技术团队将提供有力支撑。</p>\n<p>于冰透露,快手TO B业务的长期愿景是,最终希望跟合作伙伴一起去把视频的重工业真正变成轻工业,不管从它的操作、交互还是成本都做到真正最理想的情况,让这个视频行业越做越大。(雪梅)</p>\n<div>\n<img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/default/2fb77759/20151125/320X320.png\"/>\n</div>\n</body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>快手toB业务于冰:自研芯片或年底后规模量产,要把视频变成轻工业</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n快手toB业务于冰:自研芯片或年底后规模量产,要把视频变成轻工业\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-11 19:02 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2022-08-11/detail-imizmscv5820894.d.html?vt=4><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新浪科技讯 8月10日晚间消息,快手发布视频云品牌StreamLake,正式进军B端业务领域,并推出面向视频直播点播应用的云端智能视频处理SoC芯片SL200和解决方案。\n在接受媒体采访时,于冰及快手技术副总裁、AI技术及主站技术负责人王仲远分享了快手在To B业务方面的思考。\n\n\n(图:StreamLake视频AI全景图)\n\n快手自研芯片或在年底后规模量产\n本次发布会上,快手发布了自研芯片的进展...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2022-08-11/detail-imizmscv5820894.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/667/w400h267/20220811/89ce-48d341e06794c53faa871aac989279ad.jpg/w120h90l50t15a2.jpg","relate_stocks":{"BK1608":"元宇宙概念","BK1575":"同股不同权","BK1591":"就地过年概念","BK1590":"短视频概念股","BK1095":"互动媒体与服务","01024":"快手-W"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2022-08-11/detail-imizmscv5820894.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2258788432","content_text":"新浪科技讯 8月10日晚间消息,快手发布视频云品牌StreamLake,正式进军B端业务领域,并推出面向视频直播点播应用的云端智能视频处理SoC芯片SL200和解决方案。\n在接受媒体采访时,于冰及快手技术副总裁、AI技术及主站技术负责人王仲远分享了快手在To B业务方面的思考。\n\n\n(图:StreamLake视频AI全景图)\n\n快手自研芯片或在年底后规模量产\n本次发布会上,快手发布了自研芯片的进展。据于冰透露,快手以AI和音视频业务为重点,研制出面向视频直播点播应用的云端智能视频处理SoC芯片SL200和解决方案,目前已流片成功,并正在进行线上内测。\n据介绍,该芯片的推出,有助于进一步提升行业技术实力,帮助客户和企业用更低的计算成本,带来更高的收益。目前该芯片还在小规模测试阶段,量产还需要一段时间。\n在采访中,于冰表示,快手自研芯片主要以自用为主,“也在跟行业客户做一些初步探讨,如广电、云游戏、安防都是对视频压缩芯片需求非常大的行业。广电有8K升级的需求,8K视频码率如何降下来,是一个很难的问题。我们做这个芯片,用于直播和短视频的压缩,它能够省大量的计算资源和带宽。”\n此前,字节跳动也进入了自研芯片领域,其自研芯片探索主要围绕自身视频推荐业务展开。不同于阿里、百度、腾讯等公司扎堆“造芯”,字节跳动和快手的芯片更多围绕视频业务。互联网大厂自研芯片,除了自身需求等原因之外,未来可能带来更为长尾的价值。\n于冰表示,芯片规模量产可能会在年底以后。“业务规模方面,我们希望小步快跑方式,逐步验证。”\n视频云市场增速明显,快手如何打出差异化?\n近年来,得益于视频在在线教育、直播电商和视频会议办公等场景中的应用,视频云应用得到了快速发展。一份《2022年中国视频云服务行业研究报告》显示,2021年中国视频云服务整体市场规模达到448亿元,未来三年的年复合增长率去到29.5%,増势明显。\n提到行业竞争时,王仲远表示,确实行业里面做云的厂商非常多,友商们也非常优秀。但快手发现,现有的视频云方案还是不能够满足他们的需求,还有很多客户在用上上一代的视频压缩标准,其实中间有技术的障碍,也有商业模式上的矛盾。\n他认为,在非常多的行业,客户在做视频化或者直播化的转型升级的需求还仍然远远没有被满足,这也恰恰是快手决定发布StreamLake品牌的初心 ——快手看到了视频化浪潮,以及视频技术革新和商业模式革新的可能性,“我们认为今天是一个非常重要的时间点。”\n据悉,StreamLake作为一个独立的业务部门,底层是基于快手整个中后台的基础设施,源起技术能力,同时服务于快手的主站平台、直播、电商、商业化和海外这些主业务。\n据王仲远介绍,StreamLake有两个独特性:一是专注于视频AI,围绕视频从创作、理解到分发的全过程进行了非常细致的打磨,相比于行业里面其他的AI提供厂商,快手有大规模数据,尤其在视频的数据场景进行验证;二是跟其他AI厂商相比,除了服务器端的AI技术外,还有手机端AI技术。\n王仲远表示,快手在TO B业务方面坚持两个理念,一是长期有耐心,To B是一个需要周期非常长,需要非常坚定的信心和很强的耐心跟行业合作伙伴一起,去做视频化的转型和升级;二是非常注重成本和效率,以及利润,所以也不会大规模的搞基础设施的投资建设。\n对于下一代互联网的形态,目前还存在比较大的不确定性,但无论承载介质是什么,底层都离不开音视频和AI技术。快手首席技术官陈定佳表示,“我们经常思考,快手过去得到的经验,打磨过的技术,沉淀出的解决方案,能否为更多企业所用?最终,我们以内容汇聚与分发方面的大规模实践经验,将多年积累的技术能力,沉淀为一套可复用的产品体系与服务。”\n他认为,视频化正在赋能千行百业,StreamLake将在创新、体验、规模、成本四个方面为客户提供价值,快手自身发展中所经历的快上线、提品质、扛规模、控成本四个阶段所积累的底层基础设施和技术团队将提供有力支撑。\n于冰透露,快手TO 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3510558082622800\">@胖虎哒哒</a>:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 今年涨了660%,直接超越","listText":"配对交易就不是真正的对冲交易,是两个方向的ALL IN 赌博//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3510558082622800\">@胖虎哒哒</a>:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 今年涨了660%,直接超越","text":"配对交易就不是真正的对冲交易,是两个方向的ALL IN 赌博//@胖虎哒哒:今年美股出乎意料的牛,然而国内有家私募却因为做空到崩溃离场,我还挺好奇到底买了啥股票能亏这么多,下面一起来挖一挖吧。省流版深圳有家私募叫善道投资,总经理投资总监杨群勇发了一篇跟持有人道歉的信,解释了为什么亏钱,其在信中坦言做空垃圾股亏到崩溃,被迫平仓所有的美股空头。在经历去年上半年中概回撤后,其引入long-short对冲模式。在下半年成功将产品拉出泥潭。这个短暂的成功,让其一度认为找到了最好的模式。然而,今年栽了。我们没有想到在这么高的利率下,美股居然跑出了这么大的牛市,虽然我们买中了美股今年涨幅最大的AI和算力翻译:涨幅最大的AI和算力,大概率是买了 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 今年涨了190%,妥妥的AI龙头股然而我们用来保护多头的美股垃圾空头个股的涨幅远远大过我们的多头,完全吃掉了多头的收益,尤其最近,美股散户以逼空的名义,疯狂的炒作垃圾股,“越臭越香”,更令我们损失惨重,初步估算,已经给产品净值带来了超过15%的净损失。杨老板是这么总结这几只垃圾股的:从未实现盈利、更没有创造现金流,反而一直在融资,如果不融资今年的债务利率都还不起了。翻译:综上几点,可以锁定几支股票:贾老板的 $Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 从未赚钱,一直靠融资,4月跌51%,但5月涨幅高达44%;二手车平台 $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ 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目标18.88$$苹果(AAPL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/911915128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617500201,"gmtCreate":1654488673608,"gmtModify":1704859482390,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"盖茨和马斯克之间的战争","listText":"盖茨和马斯克之间的战争","text":"盖茨和马斯克之间的战争","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617500201","repostId":"1183072286","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1183072286","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1654480244,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183072286?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-06 09:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"世界首富又开撕!盖茨:做空特斯拉怎么了?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183072286","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"关于马斯克怒怼盖茨“做空特斯拉”的口水仗有了最新进展。近日,微软公司联合创始人比尔·盖茨接受采访的消息又火了!他在访谈中回应了做空特斯拉一事。盖茨称,他在气候变化上的投入比埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>关于马斯克怒怼盖茨“做空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>”的口水仗有了最新进展。近日,微软公司联合创始人比尔·盖茨接受采访的消息又火了!他在访谈中回应了做空特斯拉一事。盖茨称,他在气候变化上的投入比埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多,而且做空也没有伤害到马斯克。</blockquote><p>6月5日,比尔·盖茨在接受最新采访时回应了做空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>一事,称他在气候变化上的投入比特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多,<b>而且做空也没有伤害到马斯克。</b></p><p><b>马斯克随后在报道盖茨这一采访的推文下用叹气回应道:“唉!”</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d83504d9aabe1e54c09608f185bf2ed\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"699\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>01、马斯克一声叹息背后:股价下跌33%,裁员10%</b></p><p>马斯克这声叹息的背后是,荣登过世界首富的马斯克和盖茨已经不是第一次公开摩擦。</p><p>从对待新冠疫情的态度、对电动卡车的看法,再到围绕人工智能的纠葛,亦或是对彼此的评价,都有很大的分歧。</p><p><b>更严重的是,盖茨不仅做空特斯拉,还投巨资反对马斯克收购twitter</b>,而由于收购twitter和裁员消息等,<b>特斯拉股价今年以来已经下跌了约33%,这也是特斯拉自2019年以来第二次裁员</b>,裁员比例为10%,上次裁员是7%,只保留最关键的临时工和承包商。</p><p>此次裁员邮件称:“由于我们在许多领域的人手过多,特斯拉将把带薪员工人数缩减10%。请注意,这不适用于实际制造汽车、电池或安装<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">太阳能</a>的任何员工。将雇佣更多小时工。”裁员消息过后,周五特斯拉股价暴跌9%,市值一夜之间蒸发740亿美元。</p><p>第二天周六下午马斯克赶忙下场“救火”,澄清了他在招聘问题上的立场。马斯克在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>上回答投资者的一个关键问题时写道:</p><blockquote>“(未来12个月特斯拉员工)总人数仍将增加,但年薪制/固定工资的人数应该保持稳定。”</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ce3fb6de5882da276fc1d18dec2d21a\" tg-width=\"566\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>也就是说,特斯拉员工总人数仍将增加,但将雇佣更多的时薪工。</p><p>在紧急救火的这个节骨眼上,相信马斯克对于盖茨的默认做空,唯有一句叹息,言外之意别再火上浇油了。</p><p><b>02、盖茨做空特斯拉事件前情</b></p><p><b>马斯克质疑盖茨做空特斯拉的事件起源于今年4月,</b>当时盖茨与马斯克两人在推特上的一段聊天显示,马斯克拒绝与盖茨在慈善或气候变化倡议方面合作,<b>因为盖茨试图做空特斯拉</b>。马斯克还表示,这与盖茨对抗气候变化的愿景相矛盾,他应该支持特斯拉的电动汽车发展。</p><p>5月27日,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在推特上发布了关于“你更不信任谁?”的主题帖,在与粉丝的互动中再次提及亿万富翁、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>创始人比尔·盖茨。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bae9312b148c80cbb5700afe29cabdb4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>他表示,盖茨一边声称要帮助解决全球变暖问题,一边还“数十亿美元”做空特斯拉,“我想我对他有一些信任问题”</b>。</p><p>粉丝询问比尔·盖茨的空头头寸如何从”5亿美元“增加到”数十亿美元“,马斯克回应称,原来是5亿美元,但后来特斯拉涨了很多,所以现在要花15亿到20亿美元才能了结。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d47e77b69d92f4d5f7636fbc3ac10f9e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/deb1b90c405e0a526e28bcb261a975cd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"256\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>03、盖茨回应:做空特斯拉但不会伤害马斯克</b></p><p>此次盖茨在接受法国YouTube频道“Hugo Decrypte”的采访时,在被问及马斯克的这种立场是否正确时,盖茨回应道:“特斯拉并不缺乏资金,而且该公司确实做了一些‘出色的工作’(气候变化上)。”盖茨还表示,他在应对气候变化方面投入的资金比马斯克或其他人多得多。</p><p>盖茨指出,尽管他承认马斯克“做得很好”,但汽车排放只占总排放量的16%,其他84%也需要解决。“做空特斯拉股票的人不会以任何方式拖累或伤害他。”盖茨补充说。</p><p><b>04、盖茨还投巨资阻碍马斯克收购推特</b></p><p><b>在马斯克收购推特的问题上,盖茨更是公开接受采访,表示质疑。盖茨此前在谈到马斯克收购推特一事时表示:</b>“<b>他可能会让事情变得更糟</b>。”<b>他表示并不看好推特的未来发展趋势,特别是平台言论尺度的把控问题。他还指出,尽管马斯克在特斯拉和SpaceX两家公司都取得了骄人成绩,但经营社交媒体却并非他的强项。</b></p><p><b>此前还有媒体报道称,比尔·盖茨投入了巨额资金反对马斯克收购推特的这笔交易。</b></p><p><b>比尔·盖茨的基金会向26个组织中的11个组织捐赠了数亿美元。这26个激进组织和非政府组织签署了一封致推特广告商的信,要求他们一旦马斯克对内容审核做出改变、恢复该平台的言论自由,就要抵制该平台。</b></p><p>这些组织在给广告商的信中写道:</p><blockquote>马斯克接管推特将进一步毒害我们的信息生态系统,并直接威胁到公共安全,对那些已经十分脆弱和被边缘化的人来说伤害尤其大。</blockquote><blockquote>在马斯克的管理下,如果你们的广告品牌参与进来,推特有可能成为一个容纳错误信息的池塘。在一个对机构和新闻媒体的信任已经处于历史最低点的时代,<b>这会污染我们的信息生态系统。</b></blockquote><p>媒体的报道引用了自由在线基金会(FFO)的研究报告和分析,不仅分析了公开文件,还追踪了从信件签署人到比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会的数亿美元捐款。</p><p>报道称:“<b>在26个反马斯克组织中,总共有11个获得了比尔·盖茨支持的实体资金。”</b></p><p>根据FFO的分析,盖茨基金会向创业基金(New Venture Fund)或通过创业基金分别支付了<b>102笔现金,总计4.57亿美元。</b></p><p>马斯克在推特上写道“是谁资助了这些想要控制你获取信息的组织”后,之后有报道称,<b>这场“反马斯克运动”背后的组织属于富裕的民主党捐赠者及其家庭基金会、工会和欧洲国家的政府。</b></p><p><b>后来有消息称,其中一些组织与亿万富翁慈善家乔治·索罗斯、美国前总统克林顿和奥巴马有资金或联系。</b></p><p><b>05</b></p><p><b>马斯克怒喷:小心盖茨往你们疫苗里加东西</b></p><p><b>盖茨:投资几十亿疫苗值得</b></p><p>马斯克对比尔盖茨·的举动回复称:“这是一个混蛋的行为!”他还回复一位网友说:</p><blockquote><b>你以为这已经够糟糕了,等着瞧他在你的疫苗里放了什么吧。</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25bb753027fb6823bec826842aaa4341\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>莫德纳、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>、BioNTech等开发疫苗的制药巨头,都曾被比尔·盖茨进行过大手笔的投资。甚至连英国药品和健康产品管理局(MHRA)都接受过其他的基金会的捐赠,与他有很深的渊源。</b></p><p><b>比尔·盖茨在接受采访时,也直言不讳地表示,自己的基金会投资过多达10种疫苗、共计几十亿美元,并认为这“非常值得”。</b></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n世界首富又开撕!盖茨:做空特斯拉怎么了?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-06-06 09:50 北京时间 <strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>关于马斯克怒怼盖茨“做空特斯拉”的口水仗有了最新进展。近日,微软公司联合创始人比尔·盖茨接受采访的消息又火了!他在访谈中回应了做空特斯拉一事。盖茨称,他在气候变化上的投入比埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多,而且做空也没有伤害到马斯克。6月5日,比尔·盖茨在接受最新采访时回应了做空特斯拉一事,称他在气候变化上的投入比特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多,而且做空也没有伤害到马斯克。马斯克随后在报道...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3257818b3533f95e4c9cdda52c6907e","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4099":"汽车制造商"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183072286","content_text":"关于马斯克怒怼盖茨“做空特斯拉”的口水仗有了最新进展。近日,微软公司联合创始人比尔·盖茨接受采访的消息又火了!他在访谈中回应了做空特斯拉一事。盖茨称,他在气候变化上的投入比埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多,而且做空也没有伤害到马斯克。6月5日,比尔·盖茨在接受最新采访时回应了做空特斯拉一事,称他在气候变化上的投入比特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克或其他任何人都多,而且做空也没有伤害到马斯克。马斯克随后在报道盖茨这一采访的推文下用叹气回应道:“唉!”01、马斯克一声叹息背后:股价下跌33%,裁员10%马斯克这声叹息的背后是,荣登过世界首富的马斯克和盖茨已经不是第一次公开摩擦。从对待新冠疫情的态度、对电动卡车的看法,再到围绕人工智能的纠葛,亦或是对彼此的评价,都有很大的分歧。更严重的是,盖茨不仅做空特斯拉,还投巨资反对马斯克收购twitter,而由于收购twitter和裁员消息等,特斯拉股价今年以来已经下跌了约33%,这也是特斯拉自2019年以来第二次裁员,裁员比例为10%,上次裁员是7%,只保留最关键的临时工和承包商。此次裁员邮件称:“由于我们在许多领域的人手过多,特斯拉将把带薪员工人数缩减10%。请注意,这不适用于实际制造汽车、电池或安装太阳能的任何员工。将雇佣更多小时工。”裁员消息过后,周五特斯拉股价暴跌9%,市值一夜之间蒸发740亿美元。第二天周六下午马斯克赶忙下场“救火”,澄清了他在招聘问题上的立场。马斯克在Twitter上回答投资者的一个关键问题时写道:“(未来12个月特斯拉员工)总人数仍将增加,但年薪制/固定工资的人数应该保持稳定。”也就是说,特斯拉员工总人数仍将增加,但将雇佣更多的时薪工。在紧急救火的这个节骨眼上,相信马斯克对于盖茨的默认做空,唯有一句叹息,言外之意别再火上浇油了。02、盖茨做空特斯拉事件前情马斯克质疑盖茨做空特斯拉的事件起源于今年4月,当时盖茨与马斯克两人在推特上的一段聊天显示,马斯克拒绝与盖茨在慈善或气候变化倡议方面合作,因为盖茨试图做空特斯拉。马斯克还表示,这与盖茨对抗气候变化的愿景相矛盾,他应该支持特斯拉的电动汽车发展。5月27日,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在推特上发布了关于“你更不信任谁?”的主题帖,在与粉丝的互动中再次提及亿万富翁、微软创始人比尔·盖茨。他表示,盖茨一边声称要帮助解决全球变暖问题,一边还“数十亿美元”做空特斯拉,“我想我对他有一些信任问题”。粉丝询问比尔·盖茨的空头头寸如何从”5亿美元“增加到”数十亿美元“,马斯克回应称,原来是5亿美元,但后来特斯拉涨了很多,所以现在要花15亿到20亿美元才能了结。03、盖茨回应:做空特斯拉但不会伤害马斯克此次盖茨在接受法国YouTube频道“Hugo Decrypte”的采访时,在被问及马斯克的这种立场是否正确时,盖茨回应道:“特斯拉并不缺乏资金,而且该公司确实做了一些‘出色的工作’(气候变化上)。”盖茨还表示,他在应对气候变化方面投入的资金比马斯克或其他人多得多。盖茨指出,尽管他承认马斯克“做得很好”,但汽车排放只占总排放量的16%,其他84%也需要解决。“做空特斯拉股票的人不会以任何方式拖累或伤害他。”盖茨补充说。04、盖茨还投巨资阻碍马斯克收购推特在马斯克收购推特的问题上,盖茨更是公开接受采访,表示质疑。盖茨此前在谈到马斯克收购推特一事时表示:“他可能会让事情变得更糟。”他表示并不看好推特的未来发展趋势,特别是平台言论尺度的把控问题。他还指出,尽管马斯克在特斯拉和SpaceX两家公司都取得了骄人成绩,但经营社交媒体却并非他的强项。此前还有媒体报道称,比尔·盖茨投入了巨额资金反对马斯克收购推特的这笔交易。比尔·盖茨的基金会向26个组织中的11个组织捐赠了数亿美元。这26个激进组织和非政府组织签署了一封致推特广告商的信,要求他们一旦马斯克对内容审核做出改变、恢复该平台的言论自由,就要抵制该平台。这些组织在给广告商的信中写道:马斯克接管推特将进一步毒害我们的信息生态系统,并直接威胁到公共安全,对那些已经十分脆弱和被边缘化的人来说伤害尤其大。在马斯克的管理下,如果你们的广告品牌参与进来,推特有可能成为一个容纳错误信息的池塘。在一个对机构和新闻媒体的信任已经处于历史最低点的时代,这会污染我们的信息生态系统。媒体的报道引用了自由在线基金会(FFO)的研究报告和分析,不仅分析了公开文件,还追踪了从信件签署人到比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会的数亿美元捐款。报道称:“在26个反马斯克组织中,总共有11个获得了比尔·盖茨支持的实体资金。”根据FFO的分析,盖茨基金会向创业基金(New Venture Fund)或通过创业基金分别支付了102笔现金,总计4.57亿美元。马斯克在推特上写道“是谁资助了这些想要控制你获取信息的组织”后,之后有报道称,这场“反马斯克运动”背后的组织属于富裕的民主党捐赠者及其家庭基金会、工会和欧洲国家的政府。后来有消息称,其中一些组织与亿万富翁慈善家乔治·索罗斯、美国前总统克林顿和奥巴马有资金或联系。05马斯克怒喷:小心盖茨往你们疫苗里加东西盖茨:投资几十亿疫苗值得马斯克对比尔盖茨·的举动回复称:“这是一个混蛋的行为!”他还回复一位网友说:你以为这已经够糟糕了,等着瞧他在你的疫苗里放了什么吧。莫德纳、辉瑞、BioNTech等开发疫苗的制药巨头,都曾被比尔·盖茨进行过大手笔的投资。甚至连英国药品和健康产品管理局(MHRA)都接受过其他的基金会的捐赠,与他有很深的渊源。比尔·盖茨在接受采访时,也直言不讳地表示,自己的基金会投资过多达10种疫苗、共计几十亿美元,并认为这“非常值得”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":909432190,"gmtCreate":1556582617210,"gmtModify":1704800776773,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$京东(JD)$ 👀看","listText":"$京东(JD)$ 👀看","text":"$京东(JD)$ 👀看","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637bf2f58276b52a7c5415cf9547b43d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/909432190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334889557,"gmtCreate":1610725153979,"gmtModify":1703746675597,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我预测到一百万亿美元","listText":"我预测到一百万亿美元","text":"我预测到一百万亿美元","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334889557","repostId":"2103181865","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2103181865","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1610605980,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2103181865?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-14 14:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"分析师预测苹果市值明年将突破3万亿美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2103181865","media":"电子发烧友","summary":"iPhone12的持续需求超过了分析公司Wedbush最乐观的预期,该公司预测,到2022年年中,苹果的市值可能会达到3万亿美元。这位分析师还将他的看涨价格调高至200美元,原因是他将对2022年苹果服务和硬件业务的预期分别调高至1.3万亿美元和2.2万亿美元。艾夫斯指出,如果看多,未来12至18个月苹果市值将达到3万亿美元。截止站长之家发稿时间,苹果股价目前为130.88美元,总市值22,020亿美元。","content":"<html><body><article><p>iPhone12的持续需求超过了分析公司Wedbush最乐观的预期,该公司预测,到2022年年中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>的市值可能会达到3万亿美元。</p><p>Wedbush首席分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯(DanielIves)在给投资者的一份报告中写道,根据最近对亚洲供应链的调查显示,iPhone12和iPhone12Pro的需求持续看好。目前的走势高于艾夫斯之前在12月份的牛市预测的走势。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210114145035168d246tosp2k295ex\"/><p>根据这些调查,艾夫斯认为,从供应链来看,iPhone的产量在9,000万部左右。去年12月,Wedbush预测,这一数字约为8000万部左右。</p><p>艾夫斯补充称,目前的iPhone手机销量数据比较Wedbush和华尔街的初步预测增长了35%。</p><p>他预计,在3月份的这个季度,iphone总发货量在过去几周上涨了5%,目前在6,000万至7,000万部之间。对于6月份的季度,最初的发货量在4000万范围内,有上升的可能。艾夫斯写道:“我们已经好几年没见过苹果这样的上升的趋势了”</p><p>这位分析师认为,到2021年,苹果手机的出货量有可能达到2.4亿部,甚至可能达到2.5亿部。这远高于华尔街目前预计的2.18亿部。</p><p>艾夫斯补充称,中国仍是正在进行的“5G超级周期”的核心,预计20%的升级将来自中国地区。</p><p>根据Wedbush对苹果公司2022财年的预测,分析师维持了12个月160美元的价格目标。</p><p>这位分析师还将他的看涨价格调高至200美元,原因是他将对2022年苹果服务和硬件业务的预期分别调高至1.3万亿美元和2.2万亿美元。艾夫斯指出,如果看多,未来12至18个月苹果市值将达到3万亿美元。</p><p>截止站长之家发稿时间,苹果股价目前为130.88美元,<span>总市值</span>22,020亿美元。</p><p>责编AJX</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n分析师预测苹果市值明年将突破3万亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-14 14:33 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021011414503677415a8c&s=b><strong>电子发烧友</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>iPhone12的持续需求超过了分析公司Wedbush最乐观的预期,该公司预测,到2022年年中,苹果的市值可能会达到3万亿美元。Wedbush首席分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯(DanielIves)在给投资者的一份报告中写道,根据最近对亚洲供应链的调查显示,iPhone12和iPhone12Pro的需求持续看好。目前的走势高于艾夫斯之前在12月份的牛市预测的走势。根据这些调查,艾夫斯认为,从供应链来看,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021011414503677415a8c&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b841f5eda278b95023e7905323fa0be","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021011414503677415a8c&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2103181865","content_text":"iPhone12的持续需求超过了分析公司Wedbush最乐观的预期,该公司预测,到2022年年中,苹果的市值可能会达到3万亿美元。Wedbush首席分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯(DanielIves)在给投资者的一份报告中写道,根据最近对亚洲供应链的调查显示,iPhone12和iPhone12Pro的需求持续看好。目前的走势高于艾夫斯之前在12月份的牛市预测的走势。根据这些调查,艾夫斯认为,从供应链来看,iPhone的产量在9,000万部左右。去年12月,Wedbush预测,这一数字约为8000万部左右。艾夫斯补充称,目前的iPhone手机销量数据比较Wedbush和华尔街的初步预测增长了35%。他预计,在3月份的这个季度,iphone总发货量在过去几周上涨了5%,目前在6,000万至7,000万部之间。对于6月份的季度,最初的发货量在4000万范围内,有上升的可能。艾夫斯写道:“我们已经好几年没见过苹果这样的上升的趋势了”这位分析师认为,到2021年,苹果手机的出货量有可能达到2.4亿部,甚至可能达到2.5亿部。这远高于华尔街目前预计的2.18亿部。艾夫斯补充称,中国仍是正在进行的“5G超级周期”的核心,预计20%的升级将来自中国地区。根据Wedbush对苹果公司2022财年的预测,分析师维持了12个月160美元的价格目标。这位分析师还将他的看涨价格调高至200美元,原因是他将对2022年苹果服务和硬件业务的预期分别调高至1.3万亿美元和2.2万亿美元。艾夫斯指出,如果看多,未来12至18个月苹果市值将达到3万亿美元。截止站长之家发稿时间,苹果股价目前为130.88美元,总市值22,020亿美元。责编AJX","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":903454332,"gmtCreate":1557241936126,"gmtModify":1704802122287,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 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还有谁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192413330477328","repostId":"1105399079","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617190305,"gmtCreate":1654091497710,"gmtModify":1704858810311,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"0601","listText":"0601","text":"0601","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617190305","repostId":"1190178627","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190178627","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654089929,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190178627?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-01 21:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克发全员信要求结束远程办公:至少坐班40小时才能居家办公","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190178627","media":"三言财经","summary":"6月1日消息,根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示,马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时,否则就该离开特斯拉。截图显示,这封信发表于当地时间5月31日,马斯克表示,每周至少","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>6月1日消息,根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示,马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时,否则就该离开特斯拉。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fc6110b56ec2b0f83a6c39b2f46fc94\" tg-width=\"690\" tg-height=\"1494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>截图显示,这封信发表于当地时间5月31日,马斯克表示,每周至少在办公室工作40小时的员工才可进行远程工作。他还特地强调“至少40小时”,并且称这个要求比对工厂工人的要求还要低。</p><p>马斯克还表示,对于部分存在特别情况无法做到上述要求的人,马斯克将亲自对这些例外情况直接审查和批准。</p><p>此外,马斯克还强调,所谓“办公室”不能是与工作职责无关的远程分支机构。他举例称,若一名员工负责弗里蒙特(Fremont)工厂人力管理,但却将办公室设置在另一个州,这是不被允许的。</p></body></html>","source":"sycaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta 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href=https://www.toutiao.com/article/7104170199552623141/?app=news_article×tamp=1654089625&use_new_style=1&req_id=202206012120250101410451340E070EA3&group_id=7104170199552623141&share_token=EDF78475-06FD-4002-B427-4F4DEC312D26&tt_from=weixin&utm_source=weixin&utm_medium=toutiao_ios&utm_campaign=client_share&wxshare_count=1&wid=1654089657809><strong>三言财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>6月1日消息,根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示,马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时,否则就该离开特斯拉。截图显示,这封信发表于当地时间5月31日,马斯克表示,每周至少在办公室工作40小时的员工才可进行远程工作。他还特地强调“至少40小时”,并且称这个要求比对工厂工人的要求还要低。马斯克还表示,对于部分存在特别情况无法做到上述要求的人,马斯克将亲自对这些例外情况直接...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.toutiao.com/article/7104170199552623141/?app=news_article×tamp=1654089625&use_new_style=1&req_id=202206012120250101410451340E070EA3&group_id=7104170199552623141&share_token=EDF78475-06FD-4002-B427-4F4DEC312D26&tt_from=weixin&utm_source=weixin&utm_medium=toutiao_ios&utm_campaign=client_share&wxshare_count=1&wid=1654089657809\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e3988a75d33e2b4f95370655c056098","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.toutiao.com/article/7104170199552623141/?app=news_article×tamp=1654089625&use_new_style=1&req_id=202206012120250101410451340E070EA3&group_id=7104170199552623141&share_token=EDF78475-06FD-4002-B427-4F4DEC312D26&tt_from=weixin&utm_source=weixin&utm_medium=toutiao_ios&utm_campaign=client_share&wxshare_count=1&wid=1654089657809","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190178627","content_text":"6月1日消息,根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示,马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时,否则就该离开特斯拉。截图显示,这封信发表于当地时间5月31日,马斯克表示,每周至少在办公室工作40小时的员工才可进行远程工作。他还特地强调“至少40小时”,并且称这个要求比对工厂工人的要求还要低。马斯克还表示,对于部分存在特别情况无法做到上述要求的人,马斯克将亲自对这些例外情况直接审查和批准。此外,马斯克还强调,所谓“办公室”不能是与工作职责无关的远程分支机构。他举例称,若一名员工负责弗里蒙特(Fremont)工厂人力管理,但却将办公室设置在另一个州,这是不被允许的。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":614726382,"gmtCreate":1653895284348,"gmtModify":1704858220484,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"0530","listText":"0530","text":"0530","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85683085eb9fe3d28f6341d3cd260e1c","width":"200","height":"200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/614726382","repostId":"1101564669","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367770192,"gmtCreate":1614983226216,"gmtModify":1703483891846,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367770192","repostId":"2117683465","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2117683465","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614916320,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2117683465?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 11:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"传百度已通过港交所上市聆讯:或下周招股 3月下旬上市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2117683465","media":"新浪财经-自媒体综合","summary":"据彭博报道,百度 已通过港交所的上市聆讯,美银、中信里昂、高盛为百度香港第二上市的联席保荐人。百度,最快于下周招股,有望3月下旬在港交所挂牌,其募资规模最多或达50亿美元。不过,截至目前为止,百度的招股书还没有在港交所网站出现。另外,哔哩哔哩则预计于下周寻求通过港交所聆讯,募资或达30亿美元,高盛、摩根大通、摩根士丹利、瑞银为其联席保荐人。","content":"<html><body><article><p>来源:瑞恩资本</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210305115239568d235c2f5vurcs1w\"/><p>继<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>作为2021年第一家通过聆讯后,中概股香港第二上市速度加快…</p><p>据彭博报道,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>(BIDU)已通过港交所的上市聆讯,美银、中信里昂、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>为百度香港第二上市的联席保荐人。</p><p>百度,最快于下周招股,有望3月下旬在港交所挂牌,其募资规模最多或达50亿美元(约390亿港元)。</p><p>不过,截至目前为止,百度的招股书还没有在港交所网站出现。</p><p>另外,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>(BILI)则预计于下周寻求通过港交所聆讯,募资或达30亿美元,高盛、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>为其联席保荐人。</p><p>中概股的上市速度很快,汽车之家(02518.HK)是3月1日披露招股书、3月4日招股、3月15日上市,前后刚好2周的时间。</p><p>免责声明:自媒体综合提供的内容均源自自媒体,版权归原作者所有,转载请联系原作者并获许可。文章观点仅代表作者本人,不代表<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>立场。若内容涉及投资建议,仅供参考勿作为投资依据。投资有风险,入市需谨慎。</p><p>责任编辑:张海营</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>传百度已通过港交所上市聆讯:或下周招股 3月下旬上市</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103051152397a4a5ea8&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68a814138696b6daf296c3939a776531","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BIDU":"百度"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103051152397a4a5ea8&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2117683465","content_text":"来源:瑞恩资本继汽车之家作为2021年第一家通过聆讯后,中概股香港第二上市速度加快…据彭博报道,百度(BIDU)已通过港交所的上市聆讯,美银、中信里昂、高盛为百度香港第二上市的联席保荐人。百度,最快于下周招股,有望3月下旬在港交所挂牌,其募资规模最多或达50亿美元(约390亿港元)。不过,截至目前为止,百度的招股书还没有在港交所网站出现。另外,哔哩哔哩(BILI)则预计于下周寻求通过港交所聆讯,募资或达30亿美元,高盛、摩根大通、摩根士丹利、瑞银为其联席保荐人。中概股的上市速度很快,汽车之家(02518.HK)是3月1日披露招股书、3月4日招股、3月15日上市,前后刚好2周的时间。免责声明:自媒体综合提供的内容均源自自媒体,版权归原作者所有,转载请联系原作者并获许可。文章观点仅代表作者本人,不代表新浪立场。若内容涉及投资建议,仅供参考勿作为投资依据。投资有风险,入市需谨慎。责任编辑:张海营","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":919883038,"gmtCreate":1576600898824,"gmtModify":1704272081764,"author":{"id":"3498272331494472","authorId":"3498272331494472","name":"满盘红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17ca1a72ad824b939268d7ed04328bb8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498272331494472","idStr":"3498272331494472"},"themes":[],"title":"2019.12.18 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