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股网金来2000
2021-04-23
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
走势堪忧
股网金来2000
2020-02-03
波音-737Max客机停进“飞机坟场”
$波音(BA)$ 据英国《每日邮报》网站报道,有超过35架西南航空公司的波音-737Max客机停在美国加利福尼亚州维克多维尔的“飞机坟场”,场面令人震撼。4个月前,西南航空公司停飞其拥有的所有波音-737Max客机。 去年3月10日,一架载有157人的埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事,机上无人生还,执飞该航班的正是波音-737Max客机。而前年年10月29日,印尼狮航波音-737Max客机坠毁,事故造成189人死亡。 埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事后,大约有20个国家禁止了这一型号飞机飞越其领空,许多航空公司暂停了波音-737Max客机的运营。 美国联邦航空管理局下达该型飞机使用禁令。事故原因调查过程中发现可能是机动特性增强系统(MCAS)运行期间出现故障。目前,波音公司正在消除这些缺陷并更新了飞行训练大纲。
波音-737Max客机停进“飞机坟场”
股网金来2000
2020-01-09
帝国主义都是纸老虎。
特朗普:永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将追加经济制裁
股网金来2000
2019-12-13
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
周末可别出幺蛾子,来个黑色星期一
股网金来2000
2019-09-04
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
9月月k估计收阳
股网金来2000
2019-08-28
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 又要完!
股网金来2000
2019-08-23
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 要开始了
股网金来2000
2019-08-14
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 又得看多了
股网金来2000
2019-08-09
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
川普们乐坏了
股网金来2000
2019-08-04
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
数据不错,周一反弹。
股网金来2000
2019-08-03
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
有一弹?
股网金来2000
2019-08-02
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
川普一定在操纵股市,问题是谁能治得了他。
股网金来2000
2019-07-31
盛衰兴亡一直是世间的规律,只是看要花多长时间而已。
股网金来2000
2019-07-09
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 要完
股网金来2000
2019-06-22
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 君子不立于危墙之下
股网金来2000
2019-05-23
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 感觉要撑不住了。
股网金来2000
2019-05-08
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 老虎客户端pc版更新后各种死机,为什么呢,有遇到的没。
股网金来2000
2019-03-04
$FUT:A50指数主连(CNmain)$掉的挺快
股网金来2000
2019-02-21
$上证指数(000001.SH)$什么情况,跳的好快,谈判崩了?
股网金来2000
2019-02-06
美国下一轮危机的“幕后推手”会是谁?
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ 本轮经济扩张周期已经持续了十年,有越来越多的投资者猜测美国下一次危机将以何种形式在何时到来。 经济不可能无限制扩张,总有一天要结束。在金融市场基本面疲软浮现后,大量资金突然并迅速地出逃风险资产或许将是引发下次经济衰退的导火索。 此外虽然美联储不是经济衰退的直接原因,但是美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 经济扩张总有一天要结束 主流媒体忽视了经济的基本规律,它不是一根线性向上的直线,而是有高低起伏的周期。 (主流媒体期待的经济周期,图片来源:Lance Roberts) (经济周期的真实样貌,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 虽然人们希望经济的扩张周期能够永续,但是这在历史中从未发生过。本轮经济扩张周期的驱动力是大量流动性被注入金融系统,极度宽松的利率政策和迅速飙升的债务累积。 本轮经济扩张再延续4个月就将打破百年历史纪录,目前经济扩张周期最高纪录是1990年7月开始的119个月。 (历史中的经济扩张与经济衰退,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 美联储政策与经济衰退 自从1950年以来的经济衰退都和美联储的货币政策调整有关,但这不意味着是美联储加息直接引起了经济衰退或金融危机。 在整个利率周期中,美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 (1950年以来的经济衰退与美联储基金利率,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 回顾过去的经济衰退后,美联储每次都会放宽货币政策来刺激经济增长。他们如此做是为了阻止经济下滑,但是这同时也扼杀了经济系统自行清除冗余的机会。 宽松的货币政策以及持续放宽的监管的环境导致市场主要参与者的贪得无厌。与此同时,投资者取得资本更容易也助长了他
美国下一轮危机的“幕后推手”会是谁?
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 走势堪忧","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 走势堪忧","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 走势堪忧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376644202","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":915925453,"gmtCreate":1580689864772,"gmtModify":1704341891566,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3478499459586530","authorIdStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"title":"波音-737Max客机停进“飞机坟场”","htmlText":"$波音(BA)$ 据英国《每日邮报》网站报道,有超过35架西南航空公司的波音-737Max客机停在美国加利福尼亚州维克多维尔的“飞机坟场”,场面令人震撼。4个月前,西南航空公司停飞其拥有的所有波音-737Max客机。 去年3月10日,一架载有157人的埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事,机上无人生还,执飞该航班的正是波音-737Max客机。而前年年10月29日,印尼狮航波音-737Max客机坠毁,事故造成189人死亡。 埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事后,大约有20个国家禁止了这一型号飞机飞越其领空,许多航空公司暂停了波音-737Max客机的运营。 美国联邦航空管理局下达该型飞机使用禁令。事故原因调查过程中发现可能是机动特性增强系统(MCAS)运行期间出现故障。目前,波音公司正在消除这些缺陷并更新了飞行训练大纲。","listText":"$波音(BA)$ 据英国《每日邮报》网站报道,有超过35架西南航空公司的波音-737Max客机停在美国加利福尼亚州维克多维尔的“飞机坟场”,场面令人震撼。4个月前,西南航空公司停飞其拥有的所有波音-737Max客机。 去年3月10日,一架载有157人的埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事,机上无人生还,执飞该航班的正是波音-737Max客机。而前年年10月29日,印尼狮航波音-737Max客机坠毁,事故造成189人死亡。 埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事后,大约有20个国家禁止了这一型号飞机飞越其领空,许多航空公司暂停了波音-737Max客机的运营。 美国联邦航空管理局下达该型飞机使用禁令。事故原因调查过程中发现可能是机动特性增强系统(MCAS)运行期间出现故障。目前,波音公司正在消除这些缺陷并更新了飞行训练大纲。","text":"$波音(BA)$ 据英国《每日邮报》网站报道,有超过35架西南航空公司的波音-737Max客机停在美国加利福尼亚州维克多维尔的“飞机坟场”,场面令人震撼。4个月前,西南航空公司停飞其拥有的所有波音-737Max客机。 去年3月10日,一架载有157人的埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事,机上无人生还,执飞该航班的正是波音-737Max客机。而前年年10月29日,印尼狮航波音-737Max客机坠毁,事故造成189人死亡。 埃塞俄比亚航空客机失事后,大约有20个国家禁止了这一型号飞机飞越其领空,许多航空公司暂停了波音-737Max客机的运营。 美国联邦航空管理局下达该型飞机使用禁令。事故原因调查过程中发现可能是机动特性增强系统(MCAS)运行期间出现故障。目前,波音公司正在消除这些缺陷并更新了飞行训练大纲。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7321e374f1c7c0cc505c912063df2c9e"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3fc5bbfe415cab41f0a83140bffed9c"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97a2f701a663992a68a5009b31b92e9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/915925453","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":911752802,"gmtCreate":1578524775106,"gmtModify":1704337726955,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3478499459586530","authorIdStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"帝国主义都是纸老虎。","listText":"帝国主义都是纸老虎。","text":"帝国主义都是纸老虎。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/911752802","repostId":"1109989929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109989929","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1578501000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109989929?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-01-09 00:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特朗普:永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将追加经济制裁","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109989929","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"北京时间1月8日24:00点,美国总统特朗普就伊朗袭击美军基地事件发表讲话。特朗普表示,在昨夜的袭击中,没有美国人受伤,整体受损情况“轻微”。并称永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将对伊朗施加额外的制裁。声","content":"<p>北京时间1月8日<span>24:00点</span>,<span>美国总统特朗普就伊朗袭击美军基地事件发表讲话。特朗普表示,在昨夜的袭击中,没有美国人受伤,整体受损情况“轻微”。并称永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将对伊朗施加额外的制裁。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3140fca4c24f36c58bfb3bb81bf8ecbb\" /></p><p><b>声明主要内容如下:</b></p><p><span>美国总统特朗普声明称,伊朗1月8日的攻击并未造成美国人受伤,攻击仅仅造成轻微的破坏性,伊朗似乎随后退出。伊朗寻求获得核武器,对世界造成威胁;将对伊朗施加额外的制裁。伊朗必须放弃其获得核武器的野心,停止支持恐怖主义。美国不希望使用军事力量,美国的经济实力是最好的威胁。</span></p><p><span>特朗普表示,将要求北约进一步介入中东事宜。美国不需要中东的石油。需要达成一份新的协议以允许伊朗走向繁荣。美国不希望使用军事力量,美国的经济实力是最好的威胁。美国应当与伊朗在打击ISIS等“共同利益”下进一步合作。美国准备好与所有寻求和平的人拥抱和平。</span></p><p><b>市场表现:</b></p><p>美国总统特朗普讲话结束后,美债收益率保持稳定,10年期国债收益率报1.8387%;现货黄金持续下挫,跌破1560美元/盎司关口;WTI原油跌幅扩大至4%,现报60.23美元/桶;美股三大股指短线拉涨,悉数刷新日内高位。道指涨幅扩大至0.5%,纳指现涨0.53%,标普500指数涨0.51%。富时中国A50指数期货短线拉升,涨幅扩大至1%。</p><p><b>此前报道:</b></p><p><span>今早伊朗对伊拉克多个美军基地发动了袭击。关于这次空袭到底有多少伤亡?伊朗和美国目前各执一词,伊朗法尔斯新闻社援引伊朗情报机构官员消息称,美军阿萨德基地内至少有80名美国军人被杀、200人受伤,空袭还摧毁了美军多架无人机和直升机。美国CNN则称美军在本次袭击中“零伤亡”。</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特朗普:永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将追加经济制裁</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普:永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将追加经济制裁\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-01-09 00:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>北京时间1月8日<span>24:00点</span>,<span>美国总统特朗普就伊朗袭击美军基地事件发表讲话。特朗普表示,在昨夜的袭击中,没有美国人受伤,整体受损情况“轻微”。并称永远不会允许伊朗获得核武器,将对伊朗施加额外的制裁。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3140fca4c24f36c58bfb3bb81bf8ecbb\" /></p><p><b>声明主要内容如下:</b></p><p><span>美国总统特朗普声明称,伊朗1月8日的攻击并未造成美国人受伤,攻击仅仅造成轻微的破坏性,伊朗似乎随后退出。伊朗寻求获得核武器,对世界造成威胁;将对伊朗施加额外的制裁。伊朗必须放弃其获得核武器的野心,停止支持恐怖主义。美国不希望使用军事力量,美国的经济实力是最好的威胁。</span></p><p><span>特朗普表示,将要求北约进一步介入中东事宜。美国不需要中东的石油。需要达成一份新的协议以允许伊朗走向繁荣。美国不希望使用军事力量,美国的经济实力是最好的威胁。美国应当与伊朗在打击ISIS等“共同利益”下进一步合作。美国准备好与所有寻求和平的人拥抱和平。</span></p><p><b>市场表现:</b></p><p>美国总统特朗普讲话结束后,美债收益率保持稳定,10年期国债收益率报1.8387%;现货黄金持续下挫,跌破1560美元/盎司关口;WTI原油跌幅扩大至4%,现报60.23美元/桶;美股三大股指短线拉涨,悉数刷新日内高位。道指涨幅扩大至0.5%,纳指现涨0.53%,标普500指数涨0.51%。富时中国A50指数期货短线拉升,涨幅扩大至1%。</p><p><b>此前报道:</b></p><p><span>今早伊朗对伊拉克多个美军基地发动了袭击。关于这次空袭到底有多少伤亡?伊朗和美国目前各执一词,伊朗法尔斯新闻社援引伊朗情报机构官员消息称,美军阿萨德基地内至少有80名美国军人被杀、200人受伤,空袭还摧毁了美军多架无人机和直升机。美国CNN则称美军在本次袭击中“零伤亡”。</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae2ff4f0dbefc0001a653cf1719d84fa","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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The United States appreciates the preparation, diligence, and professionalism shown throughout these meetings by Vice Premier Liu He and his team. The talks covered a wide range of issues, including: (1) the ways in which United States companies are pressured to transfer technology to Chinese companies; (2) the need for stronger protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights in China; (3) the numerous tariff and non-tariff barriers faced by United States companies in Ch","listText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ Statement of the United States Regarding China Talks For the last two days, high-ranking officials from the United States and China have engaged in intense and productive negotiations over the economic relationship between our two countries. The United States appreciates the preparation, diligence, and professionalism shown throughout these meetings by Vice Premier Liu He and his team. The talks covered a wide range of issues, including: (1) the ways in which United States companies are pressured to transfer technology to Chinese companies; (2) the need for stronger protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights in China; (3) the numerous tariff and non-tariff barriers faced by United States companies in Ch","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ Statement of the United States Regarding China Talks For the last two days, high-ranking officials from the United States and China have engaged in intense and productive negotiations over the economic relationship between our two countries. The United States appreciates the preparation, diligence, and professionalism shown throughout these meetings by Vice Premier Liu He and his team. The talks covered a wide range of issues, including: (1) the ways in which United States companies are pressured to transfer technology to Chinese companies; (2) the need for stronger protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights in China; (3) the numerous tariff and non-tariff barriers faced by United States companies in Ch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393327","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"content":"总觉得贸易战的问题不是那么简单的,要是三言两语用谈判就能解决的,那从一开始就没必要发动战争了,所以这其中的矛盾肯定是不可调合的。另外有人觉得这是特朗普的一场政治秀,我个人认为不排除这个原因,但更深层的原因是中美两个大国的世纪碰撞,因此惨烈的争斗是必然的,而贸易战则可能是最温和的一个选项了。路漫漫其修远兮,吾将上下而求索。","text":"总觉得贸易战的问题不是那么简单的,要是三言两语用谈判就能解决的,那从一开始就没必要发动战争了,所以这其中的矛盾肯定是不可调合的。另外有人觉得这是特朗普的一场政治秀,我个人认为不排除这个原因,但更深层的原因是中美两个大国的世纪碰撞,因此惨烈的争斗是必然的,而贸易战则可能是最温和的一个选项了。路漫漫其修远兮,吾将上下而求索。","html":"总觉得贸易战的问题不是那么简单的,要是三言两语用谈判就能解决的,那从一开始就没必要发动战争了,所以这其中的矛盾肯定是不可调合的。另外有人觉得这是特朗普的一场政治秀,我个人认为不排除这个原因,但更深层的原因是中美两个大国的世纪碰撞,因此惨烈的争斗是必然的,而贸易战则可能是最温和的一个选项了。路漫漫其修远兮,吾将上下而求索。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395779,"gmtCreate":1549411918228,"gmtModify":1704788934616,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"title":"美国下一轮危机的“幕后推手”会是谁?","htmlText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ 本轮经济扩张周期已经持续了十年,有越来越多的投资者猜测美国下一次危机将以何种形式在何时到来。 经济不可能无限制扩张,总有一天要结束。在金融市场基本面疲软浮现后,大量资金突然并迅速地出逃风险资产或许将是引发下次经济衰退的导火索。 此外虽然美联储不是经济衰退的直接原因,但是美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 经济扩张总有一天要结束 主流媒体忽视了经济的基本规律,它不是一根线性向上的直线,而是有高低起伏的周期。 (主流媒体期待的经济周期,图片来源:Lance Roberts) (经济周期的真实样貌,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 虽然人们希望经济的扩张周期能够永续,但是这在历史中从未发生过。本轮经济扩张周期的驱动力是大量流动性被注入金融系统,极度宽松的利率政策和迅速飙升的债务累积。 本轮经济扩张再延续4个月就将打破百年历史纪录,目前经济扩张周期最高纪录是1990年7月开始的119个月。 (历史中的经济扩张与经济衰退,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 美联储政策与经济衰退 自从1950年以来的经济衰退都和美联储的货币政策调整有关,但这不意味着是美联储加息直接引起了经济衰退或金融危机。 在整个利率周期中,美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 (1950年以来的经济衰退与美联储基金利率,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 回顾过去的经济衰退后,美联储每次都会放宽货币政策来刺激经济增长。他们如此做是为了阻止经济下滑,但是这同时也扼杀了经济系统自行清除冗余的机会。 宽松的货币政策以及持续放宽的监管的环境导致市场主要参与者的贪得无厌。与此同时,投资者取得资本更容易也助长了他","listText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ 本轮经济扩张周期已经持续了十年,有越来越多的投资者猜测美国下一次危机将以何种形式在何时到来。 经济不可能无限制扩张,总有一天要结束。在金融市场基本面疲软浮现后,大量资金突然并迅速地出逃风险资产或许将是引发下次经济衰退的导火索。 此外虽然美联储不是经济衰退的直接原因,但是美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 经济扩张总有一天要结束 主流媒体忽视了经济的基本规律,它不是一根线性向上的直线,而是有高低起伏的周期。 (主流媒体期待的经济周期,图片来源:Lance Roberts) (经济周期的真实样貌,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 虽然人们希望经济的扩张周期能够永续,但是这在历史中从未发生过。本轮经济扩张周期的驱动力是大量流动性被注入金融系统,极度宽松的利率政策和迅速飙升的债务累积。 本轮经济扩张再延续4个月就将打破百年历史纪录,目前经济扩张周期最高纪录是1990年7月开始的119个月。 (历史中的经济扩张与经济衰退,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 美联储政策与经济衰退 自从1950年以来的经济衰退都和美联储的货币政策调整有关,但这不意味着是美联储加息直接引起了经济衰退或金融危机。 在整个利率周期中,美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 (1950年以来的经济衰退与美联储基金利率,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 回顾过去的经济衰退后,美联储每次都会放宽货币政策来刺激经济增长。他们如此做是为了阻止经济下滑,但是这同时也扼杀了经济系统自行清除冗余的机会。 宽松的货币政策以及持续放宽的监管的环境导致市场主要参与者的贪得无厌。与此同时,投资者取得资本更容易也助长了他","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ 本轮经济扩张周期已经持续了十年,有越来越多的投资者猜测美国下一次危机将以何种形式在何时到来。 经济不可能无限制扩张,总有一天要结束。在金融市场基本面疲软浮现后,大量资金突然并迅速地出逃风险资产或许将是引发下次经济衰退的导火索。 此外虽然美联储不是经济衰退的直接原因,但是美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 经济扩张总有一天要结束 主流媒体忽视了经济的基本规律,它不是一根线性向上的直线,而是有高低起伏的周期。 (主流媒体期待的经济周期,图片来源:Lance Roberts) (经济周期的真实样貌,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 虽然人们希望经济的扩张周期能够永续,但是这在历史中从未发生过。本轮经济扩张周期的驱动力是大量流动性被注入金融系统,极度宽松的利率政策和迅速飙升的债务累积。 本轮经济扩张再延续4个月就将打破百年历史纪录,目前经济扩张周期最高纪录是1990年7月开始的119个月。 (历史中的经济扩张与经济衰退,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 美联储政策与经济衰退 自从1950年以来的经济衰退都和美联储的货币政策调整有关,但这不意味着是美联储加息直接引起了经济衰退或金融危机。 在整个利率周期中,美联储的政策塑造了由信贷驱动的经济扩张,这给危机的滋生提供了土壤。 (1950年以来的经济衰退与美联储基金利率,图片来源:Lance Roberts) 回顾过去的经济衰退后,美联储每次都会放宽货币政策来刺激经济增长。他们如此做是为了阻止经济下滑,但是这同时也扼杀了经济系统自行清除冗余的机会。 宽松的货币政策以及持续放宽的监管的环境导致市场主要参与者的贪得无厌。与此同时,投资者取得资本更容易也助长了他","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf618838af8102834f4de962dafe2b97"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22e2c6247e96746666b7207e948c6ec5"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cd516039201696fe08ce5c5d4c508f9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395779","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3434674559646753","authorId":"3434674559646753","name":"海中霸王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d595c5324caab31d7dcd61f923bd624a","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3434674559646753","idStr":"3434674559646753"},"content":"我觉得可能是天朝的房地产暴跌,引发全球的经济下探!","text":"我觉得可能是天朝的房地产暴跌,引发全球的经济下探!","html":"我觉得可能是天朝的房地产暴跌,引发全球的经济下探!"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375091,"gmtCreate":1547084957107,"gmtModify":1704786334812,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 感觉谈判结果未达预期且对中方不利。","listText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 感觉谈判结果未达预期且对中方不利。","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 感觉谈判结果未达预期且对中方不利。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375091","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3436179208038327","authorId":"3436179208038327","name":"羽化仙","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3436179208038327","idStr":"3436179208038327"},"content":"废话,不纳岁币,美帝会高抬贵手?需量中华之财力,结美帝之欢心~","text":"废话,不纳岁币,美帝会高抬贵手?需量中华之财力,结美帝之欢心~","html":"废话,不纳岁币,美帝会高抬贵手?需量中华之财力,结美帝之欢心~"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331676,"gmtCreate":1542283306361,"gmtModify":1704780936177,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 现在的苹果让我想起曾经的诺基亚。","listText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 现在的苹果让我想起曾经的诺基亚。","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 现在的苹果让我想起曾经的诺基亚。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331676","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3465173740914335","authorId":"3465173740914335","name":"RankShare","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eac6cc67aa5920c88f533799fbe84413","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3465173740914335","idStr":"3465173740914335"},"content":"那谁像下一代的苹果?","text":"那谁像下一代的苹果?","html":"那谁像下一代的苹果?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391874,"gmtCreate":1548890834578,"gmtModify":1704788438728,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 做空好时机","listText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 做空好时机","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 做空好时机","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496317680337859","authorId":"3496317680337859","name":"阿库拉玛塔塔","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3496317680337859","idStr":"3496317680337859"},"content":"不要信他们的,你要信你自己[滑稽][666][666][666][666]","text":"不要信他们的,你要信你自己[滑稽][666][666][666][666]","html":"不要信他们的,你要信你自己[滑稽][666][666][666][666]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355385,"gmtCreate":1544776828588,"gmtModify":1704783921751,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 有一个男子带着狗在街上散步,这狗先跑到前面,再回到主人身边。接着,又跑到前面,看到自己跑得太远,又折回来。整个过程,狗就这样反反复复。最后,他俩同时抵达终点,男子悠闲地走了一公里,而狗走了四公里。男子就是经济,狗则是证券市场。","listText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 有一个男子带着狗在街上散步,这狗先跑到前面,再回到主人身边。接着,又跑到前面,看到自己跑得太远,又折回来。整个过程,狗就这样反反复复。最后,他俩同时抵达终点,男子悠闲地走了一公里,而狗走了四公里。男子就是经济,狗则是证券市场。","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 有一个男子带着狗在街上散步,这狗先跑到前面,再回到主人身边。接着,又跑到前面,看到自己跑得太远,又折回来。整个过程,狗就这样反反复复。最后,他俩同时抵达终点,男子悠闲地走了一公里,而狗走了四公里。男子就是经济,狗则是证券市场。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355385","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326751,"gmtCreate":1541717190600,"gmtModify":1704780289942,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 消息出来了,技术到位了,顶部形成了。","listText":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 消息出来了,技术到位了,顶部形成了。","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 消息出来了,技术到位了,顶部形成了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326751","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3465559991954754","authorId":"3465559991954754","name":"峻宇688","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5b93dc5969211dc5aac307c99a1c7a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3465559991954754","idStr":"3465559991954754"},"content":"还说顶部,最近涨的我都有点怀疑要不要做多了😄","text":"还说顶部,最近涨的我都有点怀疑要不要做多了😄","html":"还说顶部,最近涨的我都有点怀疑要不要做多了😄"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329553,"gmtCreate":1542118806352,"gmtModify":1704780655635,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$别总在2600咣当,奔3000去啊。","listText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$别总在2600咣当,奔3000去啊。","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$别总在2600咣当,奔3000去啊。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329553","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":347204,"gmtCreate":1543993767360,"gmtModify":1704782890768,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$A股明显在耍流氓,知道晚上美股休市,明天A股还能得瑟一天,今天就是不跌,明天等好戏看吧。","listText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$A股明显在耍流氓,知道晚上美股休市,明天A股还能得瑟一天,今天就是不跌,明天等好戏看吧。","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$A股明显在耍流氓,知道晚上美股休市,明天A股还能得瑟一天,今天就是不跌,明天等好戏看吧。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347204","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503101861637632","authorId":"3503101861637632","name":"萧蝶sally","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47359d8d1cd34a1d4a1e6b243e7814e3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3503101861637632","idStr":"3503101861637632"},"content":"A股不跌的原因是长期的横盘积累了太多的支撑力量,支撑位力量高于下跌力量。而不是因为休市得瑟。它的支撑力量完全化解了美股大跌造成的情绪恐慌","text":"A股不跌的原因是长期的横盘积累了太多的支撑力量,支撑位力量高于下跌力量。而不是因为休市得瑟。它的支撑力量完全化解了美股大跌造成的情绪恐慌","html":"A股不跌的原因是长期的横盘积累了太多的支撑力量,支撑位力量高于下跌力量。而不是因为休市得瑟。它的支撑力量完全化解了美股大跌造成的情绪恐慌"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356444,"gmtCreate":1544874957038,"gmtModify":1704784047106,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 中美未来20年会死掐 马云做好思想准备 阿里巴巴集团董事局主席马云再谈中美贸易,他表示,两国复杂关系在未来20年都不会改变。 《联合早报》12月12日报道称,阿里巴巴董事局主席马云在香港出席一带一路论坛表示,中美之间的复杂关系,未来20年都不会改变,也要做好思想准备未来20年双方会“死掐”。即使贸易战过去,中美关系仍会有问题,并非一天可以解决,但相信每次挑战都令中国更强大。 据《星岛日报》报道,马云在论坛表示,从美国大选已有预感中美会有摩擦,“贸易不是问题,中美之间有问题”。他认为,贸易逆差对美国是好事,很多事情看起来坏,其实不那么坏。","listText":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 中美未来20年会死掐 马云做好思想准备 阿里巴巴集团董事局主席马云再谈中美贸易,他表示,两国复杂关系在未来20年都不会改变。 《联合早报》12月12日报道称,阿里巴巴董事局主席马云在香港出席一带一路论坛表示,中美之间的复杂关系,未来20年都不会改变,也要做好思想准备未来20年双方会“死掐”。即使贸易战过去,中美关系仍会有问题,并非一天可以解决,但相信每次挑战都令中国更强大。 据《星岛日报》报道,马云在论坛表示,从美国大选已有预感中美会有摩擦,“贸易不是问题,中美之间有问题”。他认为,贸易逆差对美国是好事,很多事情看起来坏,其实不那么坏。","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 中美未来20年会死掐 马云做好思想准备 阿里巴巴集团董事局主席马云再谈中美贸易,他表示,两国复杂关系在未来20年都不会改变。 《联合早报》12月12日报道称,阿里巴巴董事局主席马云在香港出席一带一路论坛表示,中美之间的复杂关系,未来20年都不会改变,也要做好思想准备未来20年双方会“死掐”。即使贸易战过去,中美关系仍会有问题,并非一天可以解决,但相信每次挑战都令中国更强大。 据《星岛日报》报道,马云在论坛表示,从美国大选已有预感中美会有摩擦,“贸易不是问题,中美之间有问题”。他认为,贸易逆差对美国是好事,很多事情看起来坏,其实不那么坏。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356444","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316938,"gmtCreate":1540697996668,"gmtModify":1704779005366,"author":{"id":"3478499459586530","authorId":"3478499459586530","name":"股网金来2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02858042fbccb3c1881c707754c9d6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478499459586530","idStr":"3478499459586530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 近年来,苹果的手机产品一直被相当一部分消费者认为是手机行业中的标杆,然而,近日苹果手机的两大尴尬事件却似乎让其“标杆地位”发生了实质性的动摇。 尴尬一:iPhone开售首日无人排队,网上拼团已降311元 10月26日,iPhone XR正式开卖,然而杭州、北京、广州等国内首发现场不仅没排队,场面还显得有点冷清。 三里屯iPhoneXR首发现场无人排队,图自网友@imshane 网上拼团已降311元 10月19日,iPhone 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三里屯iPhoneXR首发现场无人排队,图自网友@imshane 网上拼团已降311元 10月19日,iPhone XR在中国预售,每人限购2部,截至目前突破150万台。这一表现并不算亮眼,两个月前,魅族16旗舰机发布后,其官方线上预售量突破了150万人。 iPhone XR在亚马逊也销售低迷。为刺激用户购买,亚马逊推出促销活动,签订iPhone XR 24个月合约合同的用户,可以获得100美元折扣,折合人民币700元左右。即便如此,也没有引发抢购热潮, 目前,天猫、京东尚未公布双十一期间iPhone XR促销方案。 拼多多打响了促销第一枪,有商家已开启预售。以64GB的iPhone 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