陆远90的个人主页 - 老虎社区

陆远90

陆远90

此心光明

IP属地：北京

39关注

10粉丝

4主题

0勋章

2021-08-03

腾讯在游戏上做的很好了？你这是屁股决定脑袋？还是瞎？作为一家没有任何核心技术、在任何一个科技方向上没有重要突破的公司，竟然还能这么高的市值，你还在唱多，不是傻就是瞎，要不就是坏。中国不能没有华为、比亚迪甚至不能没有百度，但腾讯没了没什么影响。腾讯自己内部诊断都说他们最大的竞争力是资本，不是你说的所谓社交、微信。我们缺资本么？？？

@我是大夫:对腾讯定性和逻辑的再思考

2021-02-19

整体分析的不错，谢谢分享。非常支持“广告业务可以支持1000亿市值”的观点，也认可百度虽然现在看起来已经不便宜，但长期依然向好。我也持有百度多头仓位，而且是大量的百度call。收益已经很客观了，但仍持续看好。

@陈达美股投资:我为什么继续看好百度：大放水、预期差与追寻那扑朔的确定性

2021-02-17

$百度(BIDU)$这股不回调么？虽说在车上，这么个涨法心里不太踏实

2020-12-30

$百度(BIDU)$所有中概都涨得比你好

2020-12-30

$小米集团-W(01810)$11都发布了，赶紧来一波走势

2020-12-30

$金山软件(03888)$看好，却没钱上车特[难过]

2020-11-03

活该，膨胀的没边了

阿里巴巴盘前暴跌！蚂蚁集团暂缓科创板上市

2019-06-13

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 我买了阿里的20200117的call，如果阿里近期从美国退市回香港，对我会有什么影响？

2018-07-13

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 小米今天大概率下跌

2018-06-29

看好百度财报行情

$百度(BIDU)$ 看好百度财报，7月拭目以待

看好百度财报行情

2018-04-06

$百度(BIDU)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 盘后这是怎么了？

2018-02-13

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 负面好多，股价这是啥意思啊？拉高了跑路？

2018-01-16

期权涨了点儿

$百度(BIDU)$ 还不错

期权涨了点儿

2018-01-05

空军大队长是老虎运营的账号，鉴定完毕

$百度(BIDU)$ 空军大队长这个账号是老虎用来活跃社区、安慰用户甚至麻醉用户（你们不要一亏了就喊叫，你看我亏了那么多都一直在用坚持用老虎，坚持炒美股）的测试账号，不要再被迷惑了。

空军大队长是老虎运营的账号，鉴定完毕

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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4、互联网依然是代表全球先进发展方向的领域，也是中国最具竞争优势的行业。互联网通过联接对人力、资本、数据进行更有效的整合和配置，其对全球不同地区、不同国家、不同行业的渗透和改造远未结束。Facebook、Google、Amazon等美国互联网巨头仍在成长，中国互联网企业如果不发展了，我们靠什么去和美国竞争？ 二、关于逻辑 K12的团灭让资本市场看到的是监管翻手为云覆手为雨的毫不留情，而本就处于反垄断风口浪尖的互联网企业不确定性骤然上升。 1、游戏不会是下一个K12。限制会有，弄死不会。游戏离民生较远，主要问题是青少年沉溺，其实腾讯在这方面已经做得很好了。不同于K12制造贩卖焦虑，游戏有消磨时间、舒缓压力的作用，人们总要找点精神娱乐吧！假如没有游戏，社会的不稳定因素是不是会更多？只要没有妨碍生育、影响就业，游戏就很安全，而且大国的软实力很大程度上是体现在精神消费品上！游戏行业至暗时刻是在2018年版号冻结时，而非现在。 2、降低广告的现实收入和预期增长。第","listText":"腾讯下跌得始料未及，持仓回撤前所未有。到底是定性和逻辑被政策逆转，还是恐慌情绪导致的非理性宣泄，再思考后，大概有以下看法（不少内容是以前观点的重复）： 一、关于定性 1、腾讯的根基是基于微信的通讯和社交，而通讯和社交涉及政权稳定和制度安全。一个由本土企业垄断、服从配合监管的软件符合国家战略利益。只要根基稳固，总有枝繁叶茂！ 2、评估一个企业护城河的最好办法是把这个企业拿掉，看看对社会的影响。如果突然有一天微信不能使用，我相信社会运转会出问题。通讯社交软件越用越好的自我实现能力及其深度融入14亿中国人日常生活的现实是腾讯攻守兼备的护城河。 3、腾讯的终极风险就两个：一是技术上，手机不再是人机交互的主要载体，而腾讯没有在新硬件上开发出相应产品；二是政策上，发展到国家不能容忍的程度。技术上的风险暂时看不到，政策上的风险苗头初现。 4、互联网依然是代表全球先进发展方向的领域，也是中国最具竞争优势的行业。互联网通过联接对人力、资本、数据进行更有效的整合和配置，其对全球不同地区、不同国家、不同行业的渗透和改造远未结束。Facebook、Google、Amazon等美国互联网巨头仍在成长，中国互联网企业如果不发展了，我们靠什么去和美国竞争？ 二、关于逻辑 K12的团灭让资本市场看到的是监管翻手为云覆手为雨的毫不留情，而本就处于反垄断风口浪尖的互联网企业不确定性骤然上升。 1、游戏不会是下一个K12。限制会有，弄死不会。游戏离民生较远，主要问题是青少年沉溺，其实腾讯在这方面已经做得很好了。不同于K12制造贩卖焦虑，游戏有消磨时间、舒缓压力的作用，人们总要找点精神娱乐吧！假如没有游戏，社会的不稳定因素是不是会更多？只要没有妨碍生育、影响就业，游戏就很安全，而且大国的软实力很大程度上是体现在精神消费品上！游戏行业至暗时刻是在2018年版号冻结时，而非现在。 2、降低广告的现实收入和预期增长。第","text":"腾讯下跌得始料未及，持仓回撤前所未有。到底是定性和逻辑被政策逆转，还是恐慌情绪导致的非理性宣泄，再思考后，大概有以下看法（不少内容是以前观点的重复）： 一、关于定性 1、腾讯的根基是基于微信的通讯和社交，而通讯和社交涉及政权稳定和制度安全。一个由本土企业垄断、服从配合监管的软件符合国家战略利益。只要根基稳固，总有枝繁叶茂！ 2、评估一个企业护城河的最好办法是把这个企业拿掉，看看对社会的影响。如果突然有一天微信不能使用，我相信社会运转会出问题。通讯社交软件越用越好的自我实现能力及其深度融入14亿中国人日常生活的现实是腾讯攻守兼备的护城河。 3、腾讯的终极风险就两个：一是技术上，手机不再是人机交互的主要载体，而腾讯没有在新硬件上开发出相应产品；二是政策上，发展到国家不能容忍的程度。技术上的风险暂时看不到，政策上的风险苗头初现。 4、互联网依然是代表全球先进发展方向的领域，也是中国最具竞争优势的行业。互联网通过联接对人力、资本、数据进行更有效的整合和配置，其对全球不同地区、不同国家、不同行业的渗透和改造远未结束。Facebook、Google、Amazon等美国互联网巨头仍在成长，中国互联网企业如果不发展了，我们靠什么去和美国竞争？ 二、关于逻辑 K12的团灭让资本市场看到的是监管翻手为云覆手为雨的毫不留情，而本就处于反垄断风口浪尖的互联网企业不确定性骤然上升。 1、游戏不会是下一个K12。限制会有，弄死不会。游戏离民生较远，主要问题是青少年沉溺，其实腾讯在这方面已经做得很好了。不同于K12制造贩卖焦虑，游戏有消磨时间、舒缓压力的作用，人们总要找点精神娱乐吧！假如没有游戏，社会的不稳定因素是不是会更多？只要没有妨碍生育、影响就业，游戏就很安全，而且大国的软实力很大程度上是体现在精神消费品上！游戏行业至暗时刻是在2018年版号冻结时，而非现在。 2、降低广告的现实收入和预期增长。第","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802881038","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":387673576,"gmtCreate":1613747096795,"gmtModify":1613747096795,"author":{"id":"3473419012488061","authorId":"3473419012488061","name":"陆远90","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a63010b9357c8e6a7abf71217f535b7c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473419012488061","authorIdStr":"3473419012488061"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"整体分析的不错，谢谢分享。非常支持“广告业务可以支持1000亿市值”的观点，也认可百度虽然现在看起来已经不便宜，但长期依然向好。我也持有百度多头仓位，而且是大量的百度call。收益已经很客观了，但仍持续看好。","listText":"整体分析的不错，谢谢分享。非常支持“广告业务可以支持1000亿市值”的观点，也认可百度虽然现在看起来已经不便宜，但长期依然向好。我也持有百度多头仓位，而且是大量的百度call。收益已经很客观了，但仍持续看好。","text":"整体分析的不错，谢谢分享。非常支持“广告业务可以支持1000亿市值”的观点，也认可百度虽然现在看起来已经不便宜，但长期依然向好。我也持有百度多头仓位，而且是大量的百度call。收益已经很客观了，但仍持续看好。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387673576","repostId":"387808500","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":387808500,"gmtCreate":1613732832800,"gmtModify":1622451470027,"author":{"id":"115535245075020","authorId":"115535245075020","name":"陈达美股投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c77cdf64a6c2c4355eb691def79ccf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"115535245075020","authorIdStr":"115535245075020"},"themes":[],"title":"我为什么继续看好百度：大放水、预期差与追寻那扑朔的确定性","htmlText":"一、长期投资已经很难？先来扯点别的。最近写作的冲动越来越贲张。一般人认为，眼下美股市场的钱越来越好赚了——反正牛市下半场，大家互相抄个作业、往地上一躺、仰面朝上做蛙泳的姿势、市场会撒币在你陶醉的面庞——但我认为们对于长期投资而言，是越来越难。大撒币啊大撒币，我们的投资终将在大撒币的启示录里变得如履薄冰。我觉得如果是要新发一个美股基金，现在是非常痛苦的一个时间点；因为如果货币政策有朝一日能“正常化”，那么这个基金十年的预期收益其实会很低。这不是基金管理人能力的问题，而纯粹是强人所难；类似于一个人都到了秃头的年纪，你让他开始练田径、冲刺全运会。而关键是，越到了这种未来预期收益低的时候，牛市越是峥嵘，也意味着新进入市场的资金如潮水将你我包围。以ARK为代表的的变异物种“主动管理型”ETF，本年度吃下175亿，总资产达到了2000亿美元。全球股市而言，根据美银全球研究的数据，仅过去一周，新资金流入达到了580亿美元。枪火弹药，一车皮一车皮地拉来；但我们放眼望去，发现，靶子好少。（“主动管理型”ETF的逐年剧增）问题的关键是没人知道何时会到头，我也不猜顶，我也不认为有人知道顶在哪里。反正野生股神已经是汗牛充栋。牛市里投资人最大的敌人其实不是贪婪与恐惧，而是嫉妒，适度嫉妒是进步的源泉，但过分嫉妒让你如坐针毡。我们怕自己暴穷和怕隔壁老王暴富，几乎是同一个孩怕。比如很多人认为现在是人生翻盘的大机会，要上大杠杆，一夜暴富。反正一夜暴富的我见过不多，一夜爆仓的倒比比皆是。曾经我们说，一年五倍多如牛毛，五年一倍廖若晨星；但现在没人以年为单位跟你讲这些了，现在都是一天五倍，一周十倍。You 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class=\"title\">\n阿里巴巴盘前暴跌！蚂蚁集团暂缓科创板上市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-11-03 20:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>上交所发布关于暂缓蚂蚁科技集团股份有限公司科创板上市的决定。上交所宣布暂缓蚂蚁集团上市，蚂蚁集团于上交所上市进程的网页，已被删除，科创版网站的多个页面，亦显示不存在。</p><p>蚂蚁科技集团股份有限公司：你公司原申请于2020年11月5日在上海证券交易所（以下简称本所）科创板上市。近日，发生你公司实际控制人及董事长、总经理被有关部门联合进行监管约谈，你公司也报告所处的金融科技监管环境发生变化等重大事项。该重大事项可能导致你公司不符合发行上市条件或者信息披露要求。根据《科创板首次公开发行股票注册管理办法（试行）》第二十六条和《上海证券交易所股票发行上市审核规则》第六十条等规定，并征询保荐机构的意见，本所决定你公司暂缓上市。你公司及保荐人应当依照规定作出公告，说明重大事项相关情况及你公司将暂缓上市。本所将与你公司及保荐人保持沟通。</p><p>上海证券交易所</p><p>二○二○年十一月三日</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab2f6518dcb079c4a4e744cd6d07ebf2\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"470\"></p><p>受此消息影响，阿里巴巴美股盘前下挫超5%。有投行人士指出，如果有公司在上市期间被监管约谈，属会后重大事项，应当被要求补充披露。“补充披露后可以再上市。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ed40c3ed3c911756485214d08b1bb7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"606\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1684aaaa06891b8d2dd04a9941acb502","relate_stocks":{"06688":"蚂蚁集团"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187966711","content_text":"上交所发布关于暂缓蚂蚁科技集团股份有限公司科创板上市的决定。上交所宣布暂缓蚂蚁集团上市，蚂蚁集团于上交所上市进程的网页，已被删除，科创版网站的多个页面，亦显示不存在。蚂蚁科技集团股份有限公司：你公司原申请于2020年11月5日在上海证券交易所（以下简称本所）科创板上市。近日，发生你公司实际控制人及董事长、总经理被有关部门联合进行监管约谈，你公司也报告所处的金融科技监管环境发生变化等重大事项。该重大事项可能导致你公司不符合发行上市条件或者信息披露要求。根据《科创板首次公开发行股票注册管理办法（试行）》第二十六条和《上海证券交易所股票发行上市审核规则》第六十条等规定，并征询保荐机构的意见，本所决定你公司暂缓上市。你公司及保荐人应当依照规定作出公告，说明重大事项相关情况及你公司将暂缓上市。本所将与你公司及保荐人保持沟通。上海证券交易所二○二○年十一月三日受此消息影响，阿里巴巴美股盘前下挫超5%。有投行人士指出，如果有公司在上市期间被监管约谈，属会后重大事项，应当被要求补充披露。“补充披露后可以再上市。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3557743327441108","authorId":"3557743327441108","name":"全村的仰望","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557743327441108","authorIdStr":"3557743327441108"},"content":"马云确实有点飘，但这么一搞，原先想回来IPO那几个估计又打消了念头! 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