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与众不同001
2021-07-16
$好未来(TAL)$
今天会不会爆空头呢?没有什么明显的利空。深蹲一下,甩掉之前的获利盘。但是还是有点心惊肉跳。
与众不同001
2021-06-17
$好未来(TAL)$
看来今天还有碗面,昨天就撑得不行了。希望今天能好点。
与众不同001
2021-06-17
是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。
如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?
与众不同001
2021-06-16
$好未来(TAL)$
惊弓之鸟一样,现在学校教的内容简直太简单了。尽管教育商业化严重,好歹对追的紧,学校老师要是能教点真东西,也就不会有校外培训那么大的市场了。感觉还是学校先进步一些,真正把教学质量抓上来。在梳理校外培训市场比较好。现在直接禁止,学校教育也不太行。重点学校考的内容,学校也不教。校外教育的市场还是一样存在。只是更加隐蔽而已。
与众不同001
2020-04-20
$道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares(UDOW)$
要确认短期头部的节奏,兄弟们快跑呀。
与众不同001
2020-04-15
$三倍做多天然气ETN(VelocityShares)(UGAZ)$
抛开工业用气不说,美国,欧洲疫情在家,是不是也把多数时间都放在做饭上呀。感觉天热气用量上应该有支撑吧。
与众不同001
2020-04-02
$三倍做多天然气ETN(VelocityShares)(UGAZ)$
完蛋,这货看来废了。
与众不同001
2020-02-27
$天然气主连(NGmain)$
做多也快归零了,这玩意太猛了。
与众不同001
2019-11-21
$永雄(YXR)$
这个有点意思,逆经济周期的代表,期望有好的表现。
与众不同001
2019-11-02
$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$
犹如一摊死水,不过我觉得快有波动了。下周二见。
与众不同001
2018-04-10
恐慌指数易涨难跌
$二倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$ 指数涨时,波动率指数不往下掉,看来后半夜看跌呀。
恐慌指数易涨难跌
与众不同001
2018-03-15
今天开始看多了$
结束$二倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$ 的持仓,开始三倍做多道指。大神们怎么看?感觉到月底前都是升势。 估计能涨上3个点。纯属预测,不喜勿喷!
今天开始看多了$
与众不同001
2018-03-02
最近一个月的情况!
#模拟晒单争股神# 总结一下,主要还是没管住手,看不准的时候贸然上了带杠杆的ETF,收益没有稳步上升。
最近一个月的情况!
与众不同001
2018-02-17
看不准,清仓了
$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 看不准了,清仓歇一阵了。波动大好赚钱.
看不准,清仓了
与众不同001
2018-02-12
波动增加时,三倍做多和三倍做空是好选择。
$道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares(UDOW)$ 波动性大的时候,三倍做空和三倍做多能放大收益或者亏损。 挺不错!
波动增加时,三倍做多和三倍做空是好选择。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a>看来今天还有碗面,昨天就撑得不行了。希望今天能好点。","text":"$好未来(TAL)$看来今天还有碗面,昨天就撑得不行了。希望今天能好点。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161669811","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161863868,"gmtCreate":1623918053354,"gmtModify":1623918053354,"author":{"id":"3473226192897172","authorId":"3473226192897172","name":"与众不同001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9709280a6e2c6ec685d4e732dde7a3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473226192897172","authorIdStr":"3473226192897172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。","listText":"是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。","text":"是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161863868","repostId":"1101656645","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1101656645","pubTimestamp":1623902534,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101656645?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 12:02","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101656645","media":"古三古四","summary":"校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。","content":"<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!</p>\n<p>最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。</p>\n<p>但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。</p>\n<p>各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。</p>\n<p>太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。</p>\n<p>而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。</p>\n<p><b>中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。</b>能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。</p>\n<p>既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。</p>\n<p><b>校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。</b></p>\n<p>校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。</p>\n<p>这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。</p>\n<p><b>而指挥这场战役的,是高考。</b></p>\n<p><b>一考定终身。</b></p>\n<p>在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。</p>\n<p>十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。</p>\n<p>有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?</p>\n<p>值。非常值。</p>\n<p>如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。</p>\n<p>你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。</p>\n<p>如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。</p>\n<p>这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。</p>\n<p>这么大的产出,当然要拼。</p>\n<p>当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。</p>\n<p>但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。</p>\n<p><b>既然概率高,就值得追求。</b></p>\n<p>那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?</p>\n<p>有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。</p>\n<p><b>这美好的一切真的会发生吗?</b></p>\n<p>假设有一天真发生了。</p>\n<p>张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。</p>\n<p>没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。</p>\n<p>张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。</p>\n<p>就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。</p>\n<p>你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。<b>我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。</b></p>\n<p>再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。</p>\n<p>然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。</p>\n<p>原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。</p>\n<p><b>取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。</b></p>\n<p>这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?</p>\n<p>而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。</p>\n<p>农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?</p>\n<p>这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,<b>我就从需求方转为供给者。</b></p>\n<p>这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。</p>\n<p>中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。</p>\n<p>相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。</p>\n<p>鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。</p>\n<p>而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。</p>\n<p>取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。</p>","source":"lsy1623902592118","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 12:02 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA><strong>古三古四</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","GOTU":"高途","IH":"洪恩","01797":"东方甄选","09901":"新东方-S","DAO":"有道","TAL":"好未来","YQ":"一起教育科技","COE":"51TALK","ZME":"掌门教育"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101656645","content_text":"教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。\n校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。\n校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。\n这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。\n而指挥这场战役的,是高考。\n一考定终身。\n在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。\n十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。\n有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?\n值。非常值。\n如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。\n你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。\n如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。\n这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。\n这么大的产出,当然要拼。\n当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。\n但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。\n既然概率高,就值得追求。\n那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?\n有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。\n这美好的一切真的会发生吗?\n假设有一天真发生了。\n张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。\n没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。\n张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。\n就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。\n你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。\n再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。\n然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。\n原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。\n取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。\n这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?\n而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。\n农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?\n这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,我就从需求方转为供给者。\n这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。\n中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。\n相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。\n鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。\n而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。\n取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":163902464,"gmtCreate":1623855221358,"gmtModify":1623855221358,"author":{"id":"3473226192897172","authorId":"3473226192897172","name":"与众不同001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9709280a6e2c6ec685d4e732dde7a3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473226192897172","authorIdStr":"3473226192897172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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看不准了,清仓歇一阵了。波动大好赚钱.","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/8c2c1fd5063125c7302610001289b972"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3454391093605873","authorId":"3454391093605873","name":"美股小白小白","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3454391093605873","authorIdStr":"3454391093605873"},"content":"做的啥?收益这么高","text":"做的啥?收益这么高","html":"做的啥?收益这么高"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":159260,"gmtCreate":1518426335935,"gmtModify":1704889280976,"author":{"id":"3473226192897172","authorId":"3473226192897172","name":"与众不同001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9709280a6e2c6ec685d4e732dde7a3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473226192897172","authorIdStr":"3473226192897172"},"themes":[],"title":"波动增加时,三倍做多和三倍做空是好选择。","htmlText":"$道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares(UDOW)$ 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挺不错!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159260","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468310140497688","authorId":"3468310140497688","name":"铁牛哥","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3468310140497688","authorIdStr":"3468310140497688"},"content":"波动大不是有杠杆损耗么","text":"波动大不是有杠杆损耗么","html":"波动大不是有杠杆损耗么"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161863868,"gmtCreate":1623918053354,"gmtModify":1623918053354,"author":{"id":"3473226192897172","authorId":"3473226192897172","name":"与众不同001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9709280a6e2c6ec685d4e732dde7a3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473226192897172","authorIdStr":"3473226192897172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。","listText":"是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。","text":"是这意思。小班不好使就改一对一,费用直接从五千奔五万。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161863868","repostId":"1101656645","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1101656645","pubTimestamp":1623902534,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101656645?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 12:02","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101656645","media":"古三古四","summary":"校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。","content":"<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!</p>\n<p>最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。</p>\n<p>但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。</p>\n<p>各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。</p>\n<p>太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。</p>\n<p>而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。</p>\n<p><b>中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。</b>能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。</p>\n<p>既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。</p>\n<p><b>校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。</b></p>\n<p>校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。</p>\n<p>这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。</p>\n<p><b>而指挥这场战役的,是高考。</b></p>\n<p><b>一考定终身。</b></p>\n<p>在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。</p>\n<p>十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。</p>\n<p>有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?</p>\n<p>值。非常值。</p>\n<p>如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。</p>\n<p>你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。</p>\n<p>如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。</p>\n<p>这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。</p>\n<p>这么大的产出,当然要拼。</p>\n<p>当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。</p>\n<p>但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。</p>\n<p><b>既然概率高,就值得追求。</b></p>\n<p>那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?</p>\n<p>有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。</p>\n<p><b>这美好的一切真的会发生吗?</b></p>\n<p>假设有一天真发生了。</p>\n<p>张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。</p>\n<p>没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。</p>\n<p>张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。</p>\n<p>就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。</p>\n<p>你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。<b>我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。</b></p>\n<p>再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。</p>\n<p>然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。</p>\n<p>原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。</p>\n<p><b>取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。</b></p>\n<p>这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?</p>\n<p>而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。</p>\n<p>农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?</p>\n<p>这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,<b>我就从需求方转为供给者。</b></p>\n<p>这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。</p>\n<p>中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。</p>\n<p>相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。</p>\n<p>鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。</p>\n<p>而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。</p>\n<p>取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。</p>","source":"lsy1623902592118","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 12:02 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA><strong>古三古四</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","GOTU":"高途","IH":"洪恩","01797":"东方甄选","09901":"新东方-S","DAO":"有道","TAL":"好未来","YQ":"一起教育科技","COE":"51TALK","ZME":"掌门教育"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101656645","content_text":"教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。\n校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。\n校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。\n这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。\n而指挥这场战役的,是高考。\n一考定终身。\n在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。\n十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。\n有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?\n值。非常值。\n如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。\n你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。\n如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。\n这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。\n这么大的产出,当然要拼。\n当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。\n但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。\n既然概率高,就值得追求。\n那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?\n有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。\n这美好的一切真的会发生吗?\n假设有一天真发生了。\n张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。\n没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。\n张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。\n就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。\n你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。\n再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。\n然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。\n原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。\n取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。\n这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?\n而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。\n农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?\n这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,我就从需求方转为供给者。\n这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。\n中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。\n相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。\n鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。\n而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。\n取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923622798,"gmtCreate":1585836462614,"gmtModify":1704359279584,"author":{"id":"3473226192897172","authorId":"3473226192897172","name":"与众不同001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9709280a6e2c6ec685d4e732dde7a3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473226192897172","authorIdStr":"3473226192897172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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