打坐的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2018-07-30

$搜狗(SOGO)$ 王小川祝你娶不到媳妇

2020-03-13

$趣店(QD)$罗敏距离千亿市值差了995.5亿，加油

2020-03-16

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$天天吹逼，A股避险，是辟邪吧

2020-03-16

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$天天表演卖惨给谁看

2020-10-30

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ A股收盘了，汉奸可以扬起了

2019-04-04

$拼多多(PDD)$ 如果巨头挤压就会失败，谷歌不会逃出雅虎的魔爪，苹果不会打破IBM垄断。所以先进一定会战胜落后

2020-08-20

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 汉奸指数

2020-03-24

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$直接拉到最高位，然后套你

2019-08-05

$斗鱼(DOYU)$逼脸都不要了吧

2017-12-19

没有券是怎么做空的？？

$迅雷(XNET)$ 不知道

没有券是怎么做空的？？

2022-03-03

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$中概股一贯的尿性，拉稀

2020-04-10

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$找不到组织方向了[开心] [开心]

2020-03-31

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$这边打个喷嚏，大A得响声雷

2020-03-17

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$这个形状，还真像龟儿子

2020-03-17

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$没本事，高开你大爷

2020-03-16

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$然后猛涨如虎，盘中萎靡如鼠

2018-09-06

$Twitter(TWTR)$ 过分这个沙雕完全跟脸书一个节奏

2020-07-24

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ A股不开盘偷偷涨吧

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万元以下。无论是从成本方面考虑，还是从产业趋势和时代使命来分析，都能看到这个判断背后的必然性。</p><p><strong>01</strong></p><p><strong>单纯的价格战，</strong></p><p><strong>没有未来</strong></p><p>之所以很多人建议小米将汽车价格定在 20 万元以下，主要是因为当前汽车市场正在上演激烈的价格战。</p><p>自 2023 年开始，“价格战”一直是中国汽车市场的关键词。相比去年，今年的价格战呈现出了辐射范围广、优惠幅度高等特点。从几万元的微型纯电小车，到二三十万元的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLX\">豪华</a>车型，都参与其中。价格战让中国车企很头疼，大部分只能硬着头皮坚持打。</p><p>造成这一现象的原因有多方面，包括造车成本相对降低、市场供给失衡以及需求增长放缓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94b62ae6a98f78cae6a3a51494680a20\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\"/></p><p>2023 年 12 月 28 日，小米汽车举办了第一次技术发布会，随后便是持续三个月的价格猜想 | 图片来源：雷军微博</p><p>据了解，碳酸锂价格从 2022 年底的近 60 万元/吨降到目前的 10 万元/吨，极大地降低了动力电池的成本，也成为了当前价格战的契机。在纯电车型的成本中，动力电池的价格占据了约四成，对于车身较小的 A 级汽车来说，动力电池的成本甚至可能占到一半左右。</p><p>同时，由于产品高度同质化，再加上当前内需相对乏力，汽车行业竞争将会非常激烈。根据中国汽车工业协会的预测，2024 年中国汽车销量同比将增长 3%，这一增幅远远低于上一年的 12%。</p><p>产能过剩也是当前汽车市场的一大问题。我国乘用车整体产能布局接近 5500 万辆，而年生产量约为 2300 万辆，利用率仅为五成。一般而言，产能正常的标准为 79% 至 83%，低于 79%，为产能过剩。</p><p>此外，友商在小米 SU7 的价格带的布局，给人一种“围攻”小米汽车的感觉。特别是吉利最近在 15-30 万级布局了五款车型，市场定位与小米 SU7 大致相同，这无疑给小米汽车的定价带来了一定的压力和挑战。</p><p>不过，单纯的降价似乎已经开始“失灵”，降价未必带来销量的提升。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>研究院最新报告显示，不同品牌的降价对销量影响不同：</p><p>豪华头部品牌的降价策略有效，但二线豪华品牌如凯迪拉克、雷克萨斯的销量和价格均未达预期；</p><p>合资品牌优惠比例已增长至 20% 左右，但销量增长力度仍不足，其中日系三大品牌较为严重。</p><p>大多数中国品牌的降价策略有效，虽然优惠力度比豪华和合资品牌要低，但销量在增长。如吉利、长安等品牌通过折扣提升销量。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bfc909080ce7f753254046bb32aead4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\"/></p><p>图片3 月 25 日，小米 SU7 在全国 29 城开启了静态品鉴 | 图片来源：雷军微博</p><p>价格战就像一场“群输游戏”，长期来看不利于任何一方。通过降低价格获取市场份额，可能会损害长期收益，除非降价能够被提高的成本效益抵消。因此，陷于价格战的公司就像陷入泥泞之中，无法自拔，随着消费者越来越挑剔，最终的结果是行业陷入“粪坑蝶泳”般的困局。</p><p>麦肯锡研究报告指出，智能电动汽车市场的一派热闹景象，是建立在对车企盈利能力严重透支的基础上：中国车市规模和利润均占全球汽车产业三成左右，但本土汽车企业的利润总额却不到全球汽车产业总利润的 5%，形成反差。</p><p>长期的微利状态，不仅挫伤投资者积极性，更会阻碍车企提升技术水平，打造长期、可持续竞争力。对于小米这样一家成熟的科技公司来说，以这种逻辑进入市场是很难说得通的。</p><p><strong>02</strong></p><p><strong>性价比配方的变化，</strong></p><p><strong>带来新的优势</strong></p><p>中国企业确实具有丰富的性价比产品经验，小米也曾是“一代宗师”。然而，随着时代的发展和企业实力的变化，性价比的配方也需要不断调整。</p><p>起初，小米以中低价格最高性能为卖点，吸引大批用户，再通过增值服务获取利润。通过提供性能优越、价格亲民的产品，小米迅速在市场上崭露头角。五年内，小米超越了联想等老牌厂商，成为国内前五的互联网公司。</p><p>然而，随着“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">全民</a>造机”热潮兴起，超过 100 个品牌涌入智能手机市场，随之而来的是疯狂扩张、残酷洗牌和低利润率。相比之下，2016 年第四季度，尽管<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>销量仅占 18%，但其利润却占据整个行业的 92%。</p><p>随着市场开始饱和，手机行业的竞争焦点已从传统的硬件配置和价格战，转向了产品本身的用户体验。最明显的表现就是，市场占有率最大的“千元机”越来越少，而旗舰机型却越来越多。</p><p>期间，小米开始向高端市场进军，向上探索性价比的新配方。2019 年，小米和 Redmi 品牌分拆，从红米升级而来的 Redmi 成为独立的品牌，接过极致性价比的标签，而小米手机则定位为追求极致技术和体验。</p><p>今年已经是小米高端化战略的第五年了。由于小米 14 系列的热销，小米在全球高端手机市场的份额去年成功翻倍。财报显示，2023 年，小米手机在中国大陆手机市场的平均单价同比增长超过 19%，创下历史新高。在 4000 元到 6000 元价位段的智能手机市场，小米的市占率达到 16.9%，同比增加了 9.2 个百分点。</p><p>在小米冲击高端之路的过程中，也不乏米粉建议他们把定价抬高一点，但小米依旧坚守性价比不放，只是配方发生了变化。雷军曾多次提到，性价比不是讨论绝对价格，更不是低价，坚持性价比同样可以做高价、做高端。性价比讲究的是比较优势，就是同等价格性能最好，同等性能价格最低。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bb2aa5a90c34632926477231089d5b4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p><p>小米汽车目标是打造移动智能空间 | 图片来源：小米</p><p>同时，对于 2024 年的小米汽车来说，其时代责任已不再是成为普及新能源汽车的“破风者”，而是要追求极致体验，开辟新领域、定义新产品。</p><p>随着中国汽车市场的发展，我们不仅正经历传统汽车向新能源汽车的转变，还见证了市场从增量到存量的转变。与增量市场相比，存量市场的玩法有所不同：大多数购车者已不是第一次购车，他们对产品和体验有更高期待，除了价格外，他们追求品质、工艺、前沿技术，甚至更高端的品牌形象，以彰显自己的品味。</p><p>即便在新能源汽车领域，也已经不再是一片蓝海，其市场渗透率也已接近 40%。2024 年 2 月，国内新能源汽车零售渗透率达到 35.8%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>董事长兼总裁王传福预计，今年新能源汽车单月渗透率将超过 50%。</p><p>对于即将出牌的小米汽车而言，成功的关键在于通过品牌塑造、产品升级和优质服务，实现与竞争对手的差异化，这才是小米真正的使命，也是其生存之道。放弃差异化，回头走价格战老路，对于小米而言，是绝对不可取的选择。</p><p>因此，小米汽车应该避免陷入价格战，SU7 的起售价必定要超过 20 万元。如果要押注一个价格区间，23-25 万元可能更符合小米的定位和市场需求。</p></body></html>","source":"jkgy","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米汽车今日上市！为什么不能卖20万以下？ \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-03-28 09:55 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/4ifNHCO-RmKus2DBqHehLw?global_content=%7B%22promote_id%22%3A13766%2C%22sub_promote_id%22%3A4%7D><strong>极客公园</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月28日晚7点，小米旗下第一款车——小米SU7即将正式上市，这也将为持续3个月的价格争论画上句号。SU7 的价格争议，一个重要的原因，就是小米的精髓“性价比”。2010 年，当年刚成立的小米公司打出广告语：年轻人的第一台手机。2011 年 8 月，小米手机一代正式发布，售价 1999 元，以高性价比赢得了市场。随后，小米成为普及智能手机的“破风者”，带动了中国移动互联网的繁荣。看起来，公众普遍...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/4ifNHCO-RmKus2DBqHehLw?global_content=%7B%22promote_id%22%3A13766%2C%22sub_promote_id%22%3A4%7D\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bfc909080ce7f753254046bb32aead4","relate_stocks":{"LU2097828631.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (EUR) ACC","LU1770034418.SGD":"ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK1523":"武汉本地概念股","BK1193":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","LU2097828474.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (EUR) ACC A","LU2097828714.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"BAZ\" (EUR) ACC","BK1575":"同股不同权","BK1502":"双十一","BK1506":"5G概念","BK1607":"新IT概念","BK1589":"北水核心资产","LU2097828805.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A-AZ\" (USD) ACC","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","LU2097828557.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/4ifNHCO-RmKus2DBqHehLw?global_content=%7B%22promote_id%22%3A13766%2C%22sub_promote_id%22%3A4%7D","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2422597027","content_text":"3月28日晚7点，小米旗下第一款车——小米SU7即将正式上市，这也将为持续3个月的价格争论画上句号。SU7 的价格争议，一个重要的原因，就是小米的精髓“性价比”。2010 年，当年刚成立的小米公司打出广告语：年轻人的第一台手机。2011 年 8 月，小米手机一代正式发布，售价 1999 元，以高性价比赢得了市场。随后，小米成为普及智能手机的“破风者”，带动了中国移动互联网的繁荣。看起来，公众普遍期待小米汽车能延续其手机领域的策略，为年轻一代提供价格适中、技术先进的汽车，成为他们心目中“年轻人的第一台车”。很多人苦口婆心劝雷军，把起售价定在 20 万以下，甚至 9.9 万元。然而，小米确实不应该将汽车价格定在 20 万元以下。无论是从成本方面考虑，还是从产业趋势和时代使命来分析，都能看到这个判断背后的必然性。01单纯的价格战，没有未来之所以很多人建议小米将汽车价格定在 20 万元以下，主要是因为当前汽车市场正在上演激烈的价格战。自 2023 年开始，“价格战”一直是中国汽车市场的关键词。相比去年，今年的价格战呈现出了辐射范围广、优惠幅度高等特点。从几万元的微型纯电小车，到二三十万元的豪华车型，都参与其中。价格战让中国车企很头疼，大部分只能硬着头皮坚持打。造成这一现象的原因有多方面，包括造车成本相对降低、市场供给失衡以及需求增长放缓。2023 年 12 月 28 日，小米汽车举办了第一次技术发布会，随后便是持续三个月的价格猜想 | 图片来源：雷军微博据了解，碳酸锂价格从 2022 年底的近 60 万元/吨降到目前的 10 万元/吨，极大地降低了动力电池的成本，也成为了当前价格战的契机。在纯电车型的成本中，动力电池的价格占据了约四成，对于车身较小的 A 级汽车来说，动力电池的成本甚至可能占到一半左右。同时，由于产品高度同质化，再加上当前内需相对乏力，汽车行业竞争将会非常激烈。根据中国汽车工业协会的预测，2024 年中国汽车销量同比将增长 3%，这一增幅远远低于上一年的 12%。产能过剩也是当前汽车市场的一大问题。我国乘用车整体产能布局接近 5500 万辆，而年生产量约为 2300 万辆，利用率仅为五成。一般而言，产能正常的标准为 79% 至 83%，低于 79%，为产能过剩。此外，友商在小米 SU7 的价格带的布局，给人一种“围攻”小米汽车的感觉。特别是吉利最近在 15-30 万级布局了五款车型，市场定位与小米 SU7 大致相同，这无疑给小米汽车的定价带来了一定的压力和挑战。不过，单纯的降价似乎已经开始“失灵”，降价未必带来销量的提升。汽车之家研究院最新报告显示，不同品牌的降价对销量影响不同：豪华头部品牌的降价策略有效，但二线豪华品牌如凯迪拉克、雷克萨斯的销量和价格均未达预期；合资品牌优惠比例已增长至 20% 左右，但销量增长力度仍不足，其中日系三大品牌较为严重。大多数中国品牌的降价策略有效，虽然优惠力度比豪华和合资品牌要低，但销量在增长。如吉利、长安等品牌通过折扣提升销量。图片3 月 25 日，小米 SU7 在全国 29 城开启了静态品鉴 | 图片来源：雷军微博价格战就像一场“群输游戏”，长期来看不利于任何一方。通过降低价格获取市场份额，可能会损害长期收益，除非降价能够被提高的成本效益抵消。因此，陷于价格战的公司就像陷入泥泞之中，无法自拔，随着消费者越来越挑剔，最终的结果是行业陷入“粪坑蝶泳”般的困局。麦肯锡研究报告指出，智能电动汽车市场的一派热闹景象，是建立在对车企盈利能力严重透支的基础上：中国车市规模和利润均占全球汽车产业三成左右，但本土汽车企业的利润总额却不到全球汽车产业总利润的 5%，形成反差。长期的微利状态，不仅挫伤投资者积极性，更会阻碍车企提升技术水平，打造长期、可持续竞争力。对于小米这样一家成熟的科技公司来说，以这种逻辑进入市场是很难说得通的。02性价比配方的变化，带来新的优势中国企业确实具有丰富的性价比产品经验，小米也曾是“一代宗师”。然而，随着时代的发展和企业实力的变化，性价比的配方也需要不断调整。起初，小米以中低价格最高性能为卖点，吸引大批用户，再通过增值服务获取利润。通过提供性能优越、价格亲民的产品，小米迅速在市场上崭露头角。五年内，小米超越了联想等老牌厂商，成为国内前五的互联网公司。然而，随着“全民造机”热潮兴起，超过 100 个品牌涌入智能手机市场，随之而来的是疯狂扩张、残酷洗牌和低利润率。相比之下，2016 年第四季度，尽管苹果销量仅占 18%，但其利润却占据整个行业的 92%。随着市场开始饱和，手机行业的竞争焦点已从传统的硬件配置和价格战，转向了产品本身的用户体验。最明显的表现就是，市场占有率最大的“千元机”越来越少，而旗舰机型却越来越多。期间，小米开始向高端市场进军，向上探索性价比的新配方。2019 年，小米和 Redmi 品牌分拆，从红米升级而来的 Redmi 成为独立的品牌，接过极致性价比的标签，而小米手机则定位为追求极致技术和体验。今年已经是小米高端化战略的第五年了。由于小米 14 系列的热销，小米在全球高端手机市场的份额去年成功翻倍。财报显示，2023 年，小米手机在中国大陆手机市场的平均单价同比增长超过 19%，创下历史新高。在 4000 元到 6000 元价位段的智能手机市场，小米的市占率达到 16.9%，同比增加了 9.2 个百分点。在小米冲击高端之路的过程中，也不乏米粉建议他们把定价抬高一点，但小米依旧坚守性价比不放，只是配方发生了变化。雷军曾多次提到，性价比不是讨论绝对价格，更不是低价，坚持性价比同样可以做高价、做高端。性价比讲究的是比较优势，就是同等价格性能最好，同等性能价格最低。小米汽车目标是打造移动智能空间 | 图片来源：小米同时，对于 2024 年的小米汽车来说，其时代责任已不再是成为普及新能源汽车的“破风者”，而是要追求极致体验，开辟新领域、定义新产品。随着中国汽车市场的发展，我们不仅正经历传统汽车向新能源汽车的转变，还见证了市场从增量到存量的转变。与增量市场相比，存量市场的玩法有所不同：大多数购车者已不是第一次购车，他们对产品和体验有更高期待，除了价格外，他们追求品质、工艺、前沿技术，甚至更高端的品牌形象，以彰显自己的品味。即便在新能源汽车领域，也已经不再是一片蓝海，其市场渗透率也已接近 40%。2024 年 2 月，国内新能源汽车零售渗透率达到 35.8%。比亚迪董事长兼总裁王传福预计，今年新能源汽车单月渗透率将超过 50%。对于即将出牌的小米汽车而言，成功的关键在于通过品牌塑造、产品升级和优质服务，实现与竞争对手的差异化，这才是小米真正的使命，也是其生存之道。放弃差异化，回头走价格战老路，对于小米而言，是绝对不可取的选择。因此，小米汽车应该避免陷入价格战，SU7 的起售价必定要超过 20 万元。如果要押注一个价格区间，23-25 万元可能更符合小米的定位和市场需求。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":260833253253192,"gmtCreate":1704690041499,"gmtModify":1704690042931,"author":{"id":"3469771373915518","authorId":"3469771373915518","name":"打坐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30916ac954bae6a9b90f7c368dcb2c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"自己都不信吧","listText":"自己都不信吧","text":"自己都不信吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/260833253253192","repostId":"2401715669","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2401715669","pubTimestamp":1704613462,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2401715669?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-07 15:44","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"中信证券：1月中旬，市场将迎来关键拐点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2401715669","media":"中信证券研究 ","summary":"资金跨年效应是近期市场波动的主因。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>开年首周资金的跨年效应显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；1月中旬是关键时点，随着经济数据和地缘扰动的落地，政策将持续加码，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场，市场将迎来重要拐点，当前依然建议优先布局以科创为代表的超跌成长。</p><p><strong>一方面，资金的跨年效应较往年更为显著，无论是避险情绪演绎、机构存量调仓、长期资金加仓，开年资金行为的共识高度集中于红利低波主线，相关交易迅速拥挤，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；美元降息预期下修普遍扰动全球股市，春节前后国内降息概率较大。</strong></p><p><strong>另一方面，1月中旬将迎来关键时点，国内经济数据披露落地，打开政策再加码的重要窗口；中国台湾地区领导人选举落地，资金行为模式将趋于明确，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1901317880\">资金跨年效应显著，是开年市场波动的主因</h2><p><strong>1）资金的跨年效应较往年更为显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波。</strong>首先，根据对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600030\">中信证券</a>渠道调研的数据，样本主动权益公募基金过去4周净赎回率都处于0.1%~0.2%的极低位置，中小型活跃私募投资者的实际仓位已连续12个交易周在68%~71%中低位波动，赎回和降仓都非市场波动的主因。其次，仓位处于高位的公募集中调仓，其前100大重仓股的动态P/E在年前收于12.9X，当时已处于2010年以来1%的极低分位，但本周进一步下探至12.2X新低；以科创50为代表的“机构成长股”在去年录得月线“八连阴”后，开年第一周再次下跌5.2%。再次，本轮外资流出已接近尾声，海外<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHN\">中国基金</a>赎回压力带来的卖出行为已连续2周显著缓和，本周净赎回率缩减至0.04%极低水平，北向资金开年以来的净流出仅55亿元。最后，低配权益的险资和理财子等长期资金今年逐步加仓低估蓝筹的趋势依然较强。综上所述，无论是避险情绪演绎、机构存量调仓、长期资金加仓，开年资金行为的共识高度集中于红利低波主线，相关交易迅速拥挤，开年第一周红利低波指数日均成交额接近200亿元，环比年前一周上升了39%，且相对表现靠前的行业主题几乎都是红利低波品种。</p><p><strong>2）市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致。</strong>首先，2022年以来避开机构重仓股的资金交易行为近期依然在极端化，1月5日收盘的科创50、国证2000、中证2000、万得微盘股指数最新点位分别处于2020年以来的0%、28%、50%、99%分位，分化及其明显。其次，红利低波更多是在经济预期不佳时进行防御性配置的工具，其收益来源包括债性的高股息、股性的防御配置、低波增强风险收益、还有长期持有的复利效应，对参与资金的稳定性有较高需求。最后，当前红利低波交易拥挤更多是资金行为所致，会较快透支其配置性价比，甚至损害其长期安全性：一方面，截至2024年1月5日，红利低波指数和沪深300的PB之比为0.53，处于2021年以来的最高位置；另一方面，市场当前对经济的预期相比政策目标存在较大上修空间，随着经济预期在政策支撑下上修，红利低波相对表现会有走弱。</p><p><strong>3）美元降息预期下修普遍扰动全球股市。</strong>一方面，1月3日发布的美联储会议纪要没有释放进一步鸽派的信息：官员们并未在会议上讨论何时开始降息，且与会者保留了若通胀再次升温就加息的选项；另一方面，美国12月失业率保持在3.7%的低位，低于预期，时薪同比增长反弹至4.1%，高于预期。受其影响，市场对美联储降息的预期从年前的高位下修，驱动近期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>和美债收益率回升。CME数据显示3月降息概率下降至62.3%，5月前降息的概率为92.3%。降息预期下修压制全球市场风险偏好，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>和纳斯达克指数开年第一周分别下跌1.7%和3.34%，全球股市普遍受到负面影响，MSCI全球和新兴市场指数同期分别下跌2.01%和2.37%。我们认为，受实际数据约束，特别是考虑到失业率上行趋势，美联储最早将在今年年中首次启动降息。</p><p><strong>4）国内开年公开市场回笼下，预计春节前后还有降息操作。</strong>一方面，本周（1月2日-1月5日）共有26640亿元央行逆回购到期，央行合计开展2410亿元逆回购操作，净回笼24230亿元；但考虑到去年最后一周高额净投放12570亿元，央行跨年熨平流动性波动的背后，银行间市场整体稳定，本周DR007维持在1.8%以下，一年期同业存单利率维持在2.45%附近。另一方面，回顾近五年的货币政策操作经验，春节前后往往是央行降准降息的重要窗口，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06030\">中信证券</a>研究部FICC小组判断，目前经济修复需求、实际利率情况等角度来看，一季度存在较高的降息概率，春节前后落地可能性较大。</p><h2 id=\"id_3940087007\">1月中旬是关键时点，经济数据落地</h2><p><strong>政策继续加力，资金行为模式趋于明确</strong></p><p><strong>1）1月中旬，受季节性与周期性因素共振影响的经济数据落地。</strong>首先，去年末经济收官数据逐步披露中，显示生产景气进一步放缓，12月制造业PMI较上月下降0.4个百分点至49.0%；产需两端均有回落，生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.2%和48.7%，较前值下降0.5和0.7个百分点。其次，基数影响下预计12月通胀和出口数据温和回升，预算内财政支出快速放量，基建增长表现相对亮眼，固定资产投资增速也料将有所上升。最后，预计信贷投放边际好转叠加政府债发行量较大，社融增速将有所改善。</p><p><strong>2）1月中旬，是把握和部署下一阶段扩张性政策的重要窗口。</strong>1月中是重要的宏观预期校准窗口，政策制定有充分的数据参考后，预计还有再次发力的必要和空间。首先，预计以进求稳的导向不变，中财办副主任韩文秀1月2日在《人民日报》撰文指出，2024年中国经济工作要多出有利于稳预期、稳增长、稳就业的政策，谨慎出台收缩性、抑制性举措，不符合新时代要求的体制机制和政策举措要及时破除。其次，市场关注的“三大工程”改造需要大量中长期低成本资金，近期数据显示央行已重启PSL，三大政策性银行在2023年12月单月新增PSL3500亿元，预计相关资金部分将应用于上述领域，预计后续PSL或将继续投放，今年全年规模不止3500亿元。伴随资金陆续到位，“三大工程”建设也进展积极，深圳、重庆、广州等地在三大工程均有因地制宜的地方实践。</p><p><strong>3）1月中旬，中国台湾地区领导人选举落地，资金行为模式将趋于明确，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场。</strong>2024是全球选举大年，外围频繁扰动是常态，我们认为当前中美关系处于阶段性缓和期。一方面，2023年11月中美两国元首会晤的意义在于在底线问题上管控分歧、在全球挑战上共担责任，会晤后中方致力于淡化摩擦升级，积极倡议推动中美关系健康、稳定、可持续发展。另一方面，12月的中央外事工作会议上再次倡导平等有序的世界多极化和普惠包容的经济全球化，且在美国“去风险”战略的背景下我国已经做好了积极的政策应对，正在尽最大努力将可能带来的负面影响降到最低。此外，2024年中国台湾地区领导人选举将于1月13日开票，近期抹黑大陆的言论频发，国台办发言人1月4日做出回应，认为选举本是对政党、候选人的一次集中检视，而抹黑大陆是民进党的惯用伎俩。我们认为月中时点过后，外部地缘因素对市场预期的扰动将快速回落，资金行为模式将趋于明确，场外配置型资金将逐步入场。</p><p><strong>资金跨年效应显著，月中迎来关键时点</strong></p><p>开年首周资金的跨年效应显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；1月中旬是关键时点，随着经济数据和地缘扰动的落地，政策将持续加码，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场，市场将迎来重要拐点。配置上，当前市场仍处于“三阶段配置策略”中的第二阶段，建议优先布局以科创板为代表的超跌成长，行业配置上则主要围绕科技和医药板块展开。</p><p><strong>风险因素：</strong>中美科技、贸易、金融领域摩擦加剧；国内政策推出、实施力度及经济复苏进度不及预期；海内外宏观流动性超预期收紧，外资流出超预期；地缘政治风险升级。</p></body></html>","source":"zxzqyj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中信证券：1月中旬，市场将迎来关键拐点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-07 15:44 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzUzNTE3NDMwNw==&mid=2247618324&idx=1&sn=f5b2ce9f5ad7292d6f9cd14c04b32ef7&chksm=fbfdd2d98fa2944169af7217e340fe7de1f2d9adb4de674637a902cc1dd400eaa38c822cfb87&scene=0&xtrack=1><strong>中信证券研究 </strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>开年首周资金的跨年效应显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；1月中旬是关键时点，随着经济数据和地缘扰动的落地，政策将持续加码，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场，市场将迎来重要拐点，当前依然建议优先布局以科创为代表的超跌成长。一方面，资金的跨年效应较往年更为显著，无论是避险情绪演绎、机构存量调仓、长期资金加仓，开年资金行为的共识高度集中于红利低波主线，相关交易迅速拥挤，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzUzNTE3NDMwNw==&mid=2247618324&idx=1&sn=f5b2ce9f5ad7292d6f9cd14c04b32ef7&chksm=fbfdd2d98fa2944169af7217e340fe7de1f2d9adb4de674637a902cc1dd400eaa38c822cfb87&scene=0&xtrack=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a651aca6a87489ce40c6a3c876ec996e","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzUzNTE3NDMwNw==&mid=2247618324&idx=1&sn=f5b2ce9f5ad7292d6f9cd14c04b32ef7&chksm=fbfdd2d98fa2944169af7217e340fe7de1f2d9adb4de674637a902cc1dd400eaa38c822cfb87&scene=0&xtrack=1","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2401715669","content_text":"开年首周资金的跨年效应显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；1月中旬是关键时点，随着经济数据和地缘扰动的落地，政策将持续加码，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场，市场将迎来重要拐点，当前依然建议优先布局以科创为代表的超跌成长。一方面，资金的跨年效应较往年更为显著，无论是避险情绪演绎、机构存量调仓、长期资金加仓，开年资金行为的共识高度集中于红利低波主线，相关交易迅速拥挤，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；美元降息预期下修普遍扰动全球股市，春节前后国内降息概率较大。另一方面，1月中旬将迎来关键时点，国内经济数据披露落地，打开政策再加码的重要窗口；中国台湾地区领导人选举落地，资金行为模式将趋于明确，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场。资金跨年效应显著，是开年市场波动的主因1）资金的跨年效应较往年更为显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波。首先，根据对中信证券渠道调研的数据，样本主动权益公募基金过去4周净赎回率都处于0.1%~0.2%的极低位置，中小型活跃私募投资者的实际仓位已连续12个交易周在68%~71%中低位波动，赎回和降仓都非市场波动的主因。其次，仓位处于高位的公募集中调仓，其前100大重仓股的动态P/E在年前收于12.9X，当时已处于2010年以来1%的极低分位，但本周进一步下探至12.2X新低；以科创50为代表的“机构成长股”在去年录得月线“八连阴”后，开年第一周再次下跌5.2%。再次，本轮外资流出已接近尾声，海外中国基金赎回压力带来的卖出行为已连续2周显著缓和，本周净赎回率缩减至0.04%极低水平，北向资金开年以来的净流出仅55亿元。最后，低配权益的险资和理财子等长期资金今年逐步加仓低估蓝筹的趋势依然较强。综上所述，无论是避险情绪演绎、机构存量调仓、长期资金加仓，开年资金行为的共识高度集中于红利低波主线，相关交易迅速拥挤，开年第一周红利低波指数日均成交额接近200亿元，环比年前一周上升了39%，且相对表现靠前的行业主题几乎都是红利低波品种。2）市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致。首先，2022年以来避开机构重仓股的资金交易行为近期依然在极端化，1月5日收盘的科创50、国证2000、中证2000、万得微盘股指数最新点位分别处于2020年以来的0%、28%、50%、99%分位，分化及其明显。其次，红利低波更多是在经济预期不佳时进行防御性配置的工具，其收益来源包括债性的高股息、股性的防御配置、低波增强风险收益、还有长期持有的复利效应，对参与资金的稳定性有较高需求。最后，当前红利低波交易拥挤更多是资金行为所致，会较快透支其配置性价比，甚至损害其长期安全性：一方面，截至2024年1月5日，红利低波指数和沪深300的PB之比为0.53，处于2021年以来的最高位置；另一方面，市场当前对经济的预期相比政策目标存在较大上修空间，随着经济预期在政策支撑下上修，红利低波相对表现会有走弱。3）美元降息预期下修普遍扰动全球股市。一方面，1月3日发布的美联储会议纪要没有释放进一步鸽派的信息：官员们并未在会议上讨论何时开始降息，且与会者保留了若通胀再次升温就加息的选项；另一方面，美国12月失业率保持在3.7%的低位，低于预期，时薪同比增长反弹至4.1%，高于预期。受其影响，市场对美联储降息的预期从年前的高位下修，驱动近期美元指数和美债收益率回升。CME数据显示3月降息概率下降至62.3%，5月前降息的概率为92.3%。降息预期下修压制全球市场风险偏好，标普500和纳斯达克指数开年第一周分别下跌1.7%和3.34%，全球股市普遍受到负面影响，MSCI全球和新兴市场指数同期分别下跌2.01%和2.37%。我们认为，受实际数据约束，特别是考虑到失业率上行趋势，美联储最早将在今年年中首次启动降息。4）国内开年公开市场回笼下，预计春节前后还有降息操作。一方面，本周（1月2日-1月5日）共有26640亿元央行逆回购到期，央行合计开展2410亿元逆回购操作，净回笼24230亿元；但考虑到去年最后一周高额净投放12570亿元，央行跨年熨平流动性波动的背后，银行间市场整体稳定，本周DR007维持在1.8%以下，一年期同业存单利率维持在2.45%附近。另一方面，回顾近五年的货币政策操作经验，春节前后往往是央行降准降息的重要窗口，中信证券研究部FICC小组判断，目前经济修复需求、实际利率情况等角度来看，一季度存在较高的降息概率，春节前后落地可能性较大。1月中旬是关键时点，经济数据落地政策继续加力，资金行为模式趋于明确1）1月中旬，受季节性与周期性因素共振影响的经济数据落地。首先，去年末经济收官数据逐步披露中，显示生产景气进一步放缓，12月制造业PMI较上月下降0.4个百分点至49.0%；产需两端均有回落，生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.2%和48.7%，较前值下降0.5和0.7个百分点。其次，基数影响下预计12月通胀和出口数据温和回升，预算内财政支出快速放量，基建增长表现相对亮眼，固定资产投资增速也料将有所上升。最后，预计信贷投放边际好转叠加政府债发行量较大，社融增速将有所改善。2）1月中旬，是把握和部署下一阶段扩张性政策的重要窗口。1月中是重要的宏观预期校准窗口，政策制定有充分的数据参考后，预计还有再次发力的必要和空间。首先，预计以进求稳的导向不变，中财办副主任韩文秀1月2日在《人民日报》撰文指出，2024年中国经济工作要多出有利于稳预期、稳增长、稳就业的政策，谨慎出台收缩性、抑制性举措，不符合新时代要求的体制机制和政策举措要及时破除。其次，市场关注的“三大工程”改造需要大量中长期低成本资金，近期数据显示央行已重启PSL，三大政策性银行在2023年12月单月新增PSL3500亿元，预计相关资金部分将应用于上述领域，预计后续PSL或将继续投放，今年全年规模不止3500亿元。伴随资金陆续到位，“三大工程”建设也进展积极，深圳、重庆、广州等地在三大工程均有因地制宜的地方实践。3）1月中旬，中国台湾地区领导人选举落地，资金行为模式将趋于明确，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场。2024是全球选举大年，外围频繁扰动是常态，我们认为当前中美关系处于阶段性缓和期。一方面，2023年11月中美两国元首会晤的意义在于在底线问题上管控分歧、在全球挑战上共担责任，会晤后中方致力于淡化摩擦升级，积极倡议推动中美关系健康、稳定、可持续发展。另一方面，12月的中央外事工作会议上再次倡导平等有序的世界多极化和普惠包容的经济全球化，且在美国“去风险”战略的背景下我国已经做好了积极的政策应对，正在尽最大努力将可能带来的负面影响降到最低。此外，2024年中国台湾地区领导人选举将于1月13日开票，近期抹黑大陆的言论频发，国台办发言人1月4日做出回应，认为选举本是对政党、候选人的一次集中检视，而抹黑大陆是民进党的惯用伎俩。我们认为月中时点过后，外部地缘因素对市场预期的扰动将快速回落，资金行为模式将趋于明确，场外配置型资金将逐步入场。资金跨年效应显著，月中迎来关键时点开年首周资金的跨年效应显著，机构调仓和加仓均抱团于红利低波，市场交易生态和风格分化趋于极致；1月中旬是关键时点，随着经济数据和地缘扰动的落地，政策将持续加码，场外配置型资金预计将逐步入场，市场将迎来重要拐点。配置上，当前市场仍处于“三阶段配置策略”中的第二阶段，建议优先布局以科创板为代表的超跌成长，行业配置上则主要围绕科技和医药板块展开。风险因素：中美科技、贸易、金融领域摩擦加剧；国内政策推出、实施力度及经济复苏进度不及预期；海内外宏观流动性超预期收紧，外资流出超预期；地缘政治风险升级。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3541708904593007","authorId":"3541708904593007","name":"巴韭特王多鱼分特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"我感觉挺有道理啊，就是不一定是利好","text":"我感觉挺有道理啊，就是不一定是利好","html":"我感觉挺有道理啊，就是不一定是利好"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":623635098,"gmtCreate":1671279705214,"gmtModify":1671279707035,"author":{"id":"3469771373915518","authorId":"3469771373915518","name":"打坐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30916ac954bae6a9b90f7c368dcb2c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"认不清自己的角色","listText":"认不清自己的角色","text":"认不清自己的角色","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623635098","repostId":"1154649089","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154649089","pubTimestamp":1671279147,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154649089?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-17 20:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉第三大股东廖凯原：找个库克那样的人来替换马斯克","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154649089","media":"资管网","summary":"特斯拉需要也理应拥有一名全职CEO。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国当地时间周四，特斯拉第三大个人股东、华裔企业家廖凯原(KoGuan Leo)在推特上发文，呼吁这家电动汽车制造商找人替换马斯克。廖凯原希望特斯拉任命新的首席执行官代替马斯克，以便他能够专注于经营其他公司，比如SpaceX和推特。</p><p><b>廖凯原在推特上写道：“马斯克抛弃了特斯拉，而特斯拉也没有现职CEO。特斯拉需要也理应拥有一名全职CEO。”</b></p><p>截至今年9月份，廖凯原共持有2270万股特斯拉股票，目前价值35.7亿美元。廖凯原在新冠肺炎疫情初期开始增持特斯拉股票，当时特斯拉股票经拆分调整后的交易价格约为40美元，而现在的股价为157美元。</p><p>到目前为止，特斯拉股价今年已经累计下跌了55%。自马斯克10月底完成收购推特的交易以来，该公司市值已经蒸发了约2250亿美元。这与标准普尔500指数攀升超过3%形成了鲜明对比。</p><p>尽管对股价下跌感到沮丧，但廖凯原并没有出售他持有的特斯拉股票。相反，他正计划买入更多股票，因为他认为该公司的股票价值被低估了，而且在招来专注于激光技术的首席执行官后，该股仍有很大上涨空间。</p><p>廖凯原表示：“坦白地说，我不在乎马斯克的去留。特斯拉是一家伟大的公司，每股160美元的价格很便宜。”他补充说，他希望看到一位像蒂姆·库克（Tim Cook，苹果首席执行官）那样的运营高管来接管公司。</p><p>他还在推特上写道：“<b>马斯克只是个雇工，他也是我们的雇员。尽管他是个骄傲的“创造者”，但特斯拉已经长大了，更需要像库克那样的专业人士。</b>我计划再投资10亿美元购买特斯拉股票，不管有没有马斯克，特斯拉都将成为世界上最大的公司。”</p><p>廖凯原称，如果特斯拉股价在几周内跌破160美元，他将以每股160美元的价格再买入300万股特斯拉股票。但让他感到不安的是，在他买入特斯拉股票的同时，马斯克却在大规模套现。</p><p><b>他在推特上写道：“今天，我又投入了5亿美元来支持特斯拉的股价（每股160美元），而马斯克卖出了价值超过35亿美元的股票，也许在过去的几天里卖得更多。”</b></p><p>在这条推文发布几个小时后，有消息称马斯克本周早些时候出售了2200万股特斯拉股票，套现近36亿美元。马斯克在一周内出售的股票数量与廖凯原持有的全部特斯拉股票相当。</p><p>廖凯原的最新评论与他在1月份发表的言论形成了鲜明对比。当时他在推特上说：“特斯拉的多头们，未来的彩虹就在这里。对幸运的自己微笑吧！”当时，特斯拉的市值为1.2万亿美元，是世界上市值最高的公司之一。但截至周三，该公司市值自2020年11月23日以来首次跌破5000亿美元。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1599271986887","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉第三大股东廖凯原：找个库克那样的人来替换马斯克</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉第三大股东廖凯原：找个库克那样的人来替换马斯克\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-17 20:12 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/61HIybzFlKYFrX3OlI_WmQ><strong>资管网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国当地时间周四，特斯拉第三大个人股东、华裔企业家廖凯原(KoGuan Leo)在推特上发文，呼吁这家电动汽车制造商找人替换马斯克。廖凯原希望特斯拉任命新的首席执行官代替马斯克，以便他能够专注于经营其他公司，比如SpaceX和推特。廖凯原在推特上写道：“马斯克抛弃了特斯拉，而特斯拉也没有现职CEO。特斯拉需要也理应拥有一名全职CEO。”截至今年9月份，廖凯原共持有2270万股特斯拉股票，目前价值...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/61HIybzFlKYFrX3OlI_WmQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21a27825095c956f865e688478d91623","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/61HIybzFlKYFrX3OlI_WmQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154649089","content_text":"美国当地时间周四，特斯拉第三大个人股东、华裔企业家廖凯原(KoGuan Leo)在推特上发文，呼吁这家电动汽车制造商找人替换马斯克。廖凯原希望特斯拉任命新的首席执行官代替马斯克，以便他能够专注于经营其他公司，比如SpaceX和推特。廖凯原在推特上写道：“马斯克抛弃了特斯拉，而特斯拉也没有现职CEO。特斯拉需要也理应拥有一名全职CEO。”截至今年9月份，廖凯原共持有2270万股特斯拉股票，目前价值35.7亿美元。廖凯原在新冠肺炎疫情初期开始增持特斯拉股票，当时特斯拉股票经拆分调整后的交易价格约为40美元，而现在的股价为157美元。到目前为止，特斯拉股价今年已经累计下跌了55%。自马斯克10月底完成收购推特的交易以来，该公司市值已经蒸发了约2250亿美元。这与标准普尔500指数攀升超过3%形成了鲜明对比。尽管对股价下跌感到沮丧，但廖凯原并没有出售他持有的特斯拉股票。相反，他正计划买入更多股票，因为他认为该公司的股票价值被低估了，而且在招来专注于激光技术的首席执行官后，该股仍有很大上涨空间。廖凯原表示：“坦白地说，我不在乎马斯克的去留。特斯拉是一家伟大的公司，每股160美元的价格很便宜。”他补充说，他希望看到一位像蒂姆·库克（Tim Cook，苹果首席执行官）那样的运营高管来接管公司。他还在推特上写道：“马斯克只是个雇工，他也是我们的雇员。尽管他是个骄傲的“创造者”，但特斯拉已经长大了，更需要像库克那样的专业人士。我计划再投资10亿美元购买特斯拉股票，不管有没有马斯克，特斯拉都将成为世界上最大的公司。”廖凯原称，如果特斯拉股价在几周内跌破160美元，他将以每股160美元的价格再买入300万股特斯拉股票。但让他感到不安的是，在他买入特斯拉股票的同时，马斯克却在大规模套现。他在推特上写道：“今天，我又投入了5亿美元来支持特斯拉的股价（每股160美元），而马斯克卖出了价值超过35亿美元的股票，也许在过去的几天里卖得更多。”在这条推文发布几个小时后，有消息称马斯克本周早些时候出售了2200万股特斯拉股票，套现近36亿美元。马斯克在一周内出售的股票数量与廖凯原持有的全部特斯拉股票相当。廖凯原的最新评论与他在1月份发表的言论形成了鲜明对比。当时他在推特上说：“特斯拉的多头们，未来的彩虹就在这里。对幸运的自己微笑吧！”当时，特斯拉的市值为1.2万亿美元，是世界上市值最高的公司之一。但截至周三，该公司市值自2020年11月23日以来首次跌破5000亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":682990569,"gmtCreate":1658714655155,"gmtModify":1658714655155,"author":{"id":"3469771373915518","authorId":"3469771373915518","name":"打坐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30916ac954bae6a9b90f7c368dcb2c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"林志颖概念股","listText":"林志颖概念股","text":"林志颖概念股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/682990569","repostId":"1123141637","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123141637","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658714552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123141637?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-25 10:02","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"恒生科技指数跌超2%，蔚来跌超7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123141637","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月25日讯，恒生科技指数日内跌幅达2%，蔚来跌超7%，理想汽车、小鹏汽车跌超6%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>7月25日讯，恒生科技指数日内跌幅达2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">蔚来</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">理想汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超6%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8e8de8518760eaaba4ad6d3f20c418\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>恒生科技指数跌超2%，蔚来跌超7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n恒生科技指数跌超2%，蔚来跌超7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-25 10:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>7月25日讯，恒生科技指数日内跌幅达2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">蔚来</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">理想汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超6%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8e8de8518760eaaba4ad6d3f20c418\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00dac9da971ee0e08b72a17d0d0b507","relate_stocks":{"BK4526":"热门中概股","NIO":"蔚来","BK1119":"汽车制造商","09866":"蔚来-SW","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4099":"汽车制造商","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility 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21:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"香橼停止做空研究，专注于做多机会","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128991080","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。香橼在","content":"<p>1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。</p><p>“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e0479791c10bfadcd005c790714ac6\" tg-width=\"1978\" tg-height=\"1876\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>香橼在Youtube上发布视频，称将停止做空研究，将专注于做多机会。</span></p><p>此前，香橼1月19日发布了一则针对GME（游戏驿站）的做空视频，认为散户们热爱的GME只值20美元。这激发了大量散户的逆反心理。1月22日，由于账号受到太多人攻击，香橼最终不堪其扰，认怂出局，挂出了“免战牌”。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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21:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。</p><p>“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e0479791c10bfadcd005c790714ac6\" tg-width=\"1978\" tg-height=\"1876\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>香橼在Youtube上发布视频，称将停止做空研究，将专注于做多机会。</span></p><p>此前，香橼1月19日发布了一则针对GME（游戏驿站）的做空视频，认为散户们热爱的GME只值20美元。这激发了大量散户的逆反心理。1月22日，由于账号受到太多人攻击，香橼最终不堪其扰，认怂出局，挂出了“免战牌”。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d858ab277f6ff1e884395cde10096a99","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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