苏陈cc5257的个人主页 - 老虎社区

苏陈cc5257

苏陈cc5257

找股做多

IP属地：北京

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1主题

0勋章

11-26 09:04

$NQ100指数主连 2412(NQmain)$ 懂王一顿嘴炮给期指打下来了？ 🫅

10-18

$上证指数(000001.SH)$

01-29

主打一个逗你玩美股接着涨 A股[哟哟]

从美股"杀回"A股！QDII基金反手做多中国资产，什么信号？

01-17

我想问一下什么特色天天跌

习近平：坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路

01-09

二十年一遇的古栽？

“铁口”李蓓：未来中国股市或有“二十年一遇”行情

2023-12-05

$A50指数主连 2312(CNmain)$ 真厉害遥遥领先

2023-12-05

我们要为家人们谋福利[喷血]

证监会党委书记、主席易会满接受新华社记者专访

2023-10-12

$创业板指(399006)$ 还等什么下场抓人吧

2023-10-12

$A50指数主连 2310(CNmain)$ 领导刚喊了一句老乡别...发现台下已经夺门而逃了[开心]

2023-10-09

$苹果(AAPL)$ 国内搞一下苹果是不是可以带崩美股

2023-09-01

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 是不是可以了

2023-08-28

$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 住进ICU了来一句我住院费给你打99折就好了？

2023-08-28

$A50指数主连 2308(CNmain)$ 是不是可以抓人了直接拉到菜市口

2023-08-17

$NQ100指数主连 2309(NQmain)$ 我a中午收盘也弹射一下[捂脸]

2023-08-16

$NQ100指数主连 2309(NQmain)$ A股收盘弹射起步[强]

2023-07-05

$微型NQ100指数主连 2309(MNQmain)$ 纳斯达克永不为奴真强

2023-06-20

$苹果(AAPL)$ YYDS 就是拉

2023-06-20

$NQ100指数主连 2309(NQmain)$ 美股就是演员 A股开盘时间段演水深火热 A股收盘后[哟哟] [哟哟] [哟哟]

2023-06-20

$NQ100指数主连 2309(NQmain)$ 硬

2023-06-16

$NQ100指数主连 2309(NQmain)$ 还是一样的套路纳斯达克永远📈

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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🫅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374956010144176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3558339010864093","authorId":"3558339010864093","name":"乘风破浪的小姐姐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee574eb2b20a387f4db3ff2d770a206f","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3558339010864093","authorIdStr":"3558339010864093"},"content":"之前不是给了四年适应期了吗？[开心]","text":"之前不是给了四年适应期了吗？[开心]","html":"之前不是给了四年适应期了吗？[开心]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361240393457896,"gmtCreate":1729228970673,"gmtModify":1729228971371,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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A股[哟哟]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/268261464760560","repostId":"2406009043","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2406009043","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯，最专业的解读分析，覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1706494800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2406009043?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-29 10:20","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"从美股\"杀回\"A股！QDII基金反手做多中国资产，什么信号？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2406009043","media":"券商中国","summary":"种种迹象显示，买向海外股票的QDII基金正在反手买回国内。富国全球健康生活QDII基金也在去年年末开始反向做多A股和港股的中国资产，并开始出现对美股的偏配。经济复苏提升中国股票吸引力关于QDII反手做多中国资产的考虑，部分QDII基金经理认为复苏的提振将逐步显现在中国资本市场上。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>种种迹象显示，买向海外股票的QDII基金正在反手买回国内。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">多只QDII基金披露的持仓结构信息显示，QDII基金经理不仅开始削减美股资产的比重、增配港股的中国资产，同时还出现增配A股资产的新现象，而在2023年一二三季度曾出现相关QDII逐季削减A股和港股比重，此番反手做多A股资产或已凸显非理性行为爆发后，当前中国股票资产已出现极致的性价比。</p><p><strong>QDII基金从美股“杀回”A股</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">易方达全球成长精选QDII披露的2023年四季报显示，该只QDII在去年末的重仓股持仓中开始逐步凸显A股上市公司的投资比重，增仓A股相关工业机器人与工业软件类的上市公司，使得该基金核心持仓中的A股资产较三季度末有小幅提高，这也是该只基金在去年第一季度末于重仓股持仓中削减A股股票后，首次出现A股重仓股环比提升的现象。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除了核心重仓股开始提升A股仓位，此前主打美股的易方达全球成长精选QDII，还在隐形重仓股中持有比重不少的A股资产和港股资产。最新季报显示，截至2023年12月末，该只基金持有的A股资产占该QDII基金的比重已达到22.06%，根据重仓股仓位分布数据推测，这22%的A股仓位大部分为隐形重仓股和观察仓。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">业内人士判断，大比重的A股观察仓和隐形重仓股意味着，在A股估值极度便宜和政策持续稳定市场的大背景下，相关A股资产的观察仓在市场风向偏好提升后，存在继续提升仓位的可能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">富国全球健康生活QDII基金也在去年年末开始反向做多A股和港股的中国资产，并开始出现对美股的偏配。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">券商中国记者注意到，上述富国旗下相关QDII在2023年第四季度末，大幅增加A股上市公司在重仓股名单中的地位，这与去年第三季度末的A股股票数量较少有所不同。最新持仓显示，该QDII前十大重仓股中的A股股票数量已从此前的1只提升到3只。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，富国全球健康生活QDII还在其全部股票仓位中提升A股和港股的比重，其中A股仓位已出现环比提升，截至2023年12月末的A股仓位比例已达22.96%。港股的中国资产在同期也提升至43.65%，在对包括A股和港股的中国资产进行加仓后，该只QDII的美股仓位已降至3.13%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，赢得去年冠军基金的广发全球精选基金也在去年末显著调减美股仓位，并小幅加仓港股的中国资产。</p><p><strong>经济复苏提升中国股票吸引力</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">关于QDII反手做多中国资产的考虑，部分QDII基金经理认为复苏的提振将逐步显现在中国资本市场上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">广发全球精选QDII基金经理李耀柱表示，已看到了中国经济数据的复苏，去年四季度国内政策进一步落实稳增长措施，财政政策方面，中央增发1万亿元国债，并上调赤字率目标；货币政策方面，商业银行各期限定期存款再度下调；房地产方面，监管当局在金融机构座谈会上提出“三个不低于”；北上优化地产政策，涉及下调首套、二套最低首付比例与房贷利率下限、优化普宅认定标准等多项举措，去年末召开的政策会议及中央经济工作会议针对2024年工作定调“以进促稳、先立后破”，积极的财政政策适度加力、稳健的货币政策灵活适度，并强调增强宏观政策取向一致性，助力中国经济复苏向上，香港资本市场方面，调降香港印花税率至0.1%，也提振了港股市场流动性。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“在区域配置上增加了对于中国资产的配置，低配欧洲和其他新兴市场。”南方全球精选基金经理黄亮认为，在港股投资上保持港股行业长期相对均衡的配置的基础上，维持了原有对于互联网、可选消费、医疗等新经济领域的超配，同时配置了具有一定成长性、低估值的传统行业个股的配置。积极的财政政策也将是恢复市场信心和活力的重要支撑。港股市场对悲观情绪都已经有了充分的股价上的反应。预期以港股市场估值和公司盈利的增长来看，已经具备了非常高的投资价值。一旦美国进入到降息的货币政策周期，港股大概率会有较好的估值修复机会。在行业和个股上，受益于政策面调整的新经济领域以及受益于稳经济政策的传统经济领域都有较好的投资机会。</p><p><strong>中国资产弹性空间或更大</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于当期A股和港股市场的表现，多位基金经理也认为市场底部正在形成，中国资产的弹性空间或比海外股票更大。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根士丹利基金相关人士认为，核心变量为国内政策发力进度。去年底开始发行的万亿国债有望在今年继续发行，同时财政继续加码的可能性仍然较大。从节奏上看，今年一季度政策效果可能难以很快显现，因此上市公司盈利增速预计不高，但后续逐季抬升的概率较高。因此，认为当前市场可能处于磨底状态，红利资产预计表现更好；中长期角度，符合科技自立自强以及真正受益于AI产业高速发展的科技板块、景气度保持在较高水平并且受益于政策持续加码的高端制造板块值得关注。对于2024年中国经济，预计增速仍然能够保持平稳，万亿国债将形成可观的实物工作量，出口也有望走出低谷，这可能存在较大的预期差，北向资金回流的概率增加，有望对A股市场起到很好的助推作用。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">前海开源基金杨德龙认为，经济稳定复苏，上市公司盈利预期增强，这是提振股市表现最根本的措施。1月23日晚间，人民币汇率持续拉升，在离岸人民币兑美元汇率双双涨超200点，认为中概股集体走高，大幅上涨，而富时中国A50指数期货以直线拉升。这也表明海外投资者对于中国资产的看好力度在增强。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上述基金经理认为，一系列的政策利好有望逐步形成合力，带动市场出现探底回升，投资者信心也逐步得到一定的恢复。经过前期的大幅下跌之后，很多优质个股已经跌破了价值，这可能会吸引中长线资金入场布局。而近期国家队的资金通过买入几百亿元规模的ETF，就是用真金白银向市场释放出积极信号。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>从美股\"杀回\"A股！QDII基金反手做多中国资产，什么信号？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n从美股\"杀回\"A股！QDII基金反手做多中国资产，什么信号？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-01-29 10:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>种种迹象显示，买向海外股票的QDII基金正在反手买回国内。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">多只QDII基金披露的持仓结构信息显示，QDII基金经理不仅开始削减美股资产的比重、增配港股的中国资产，同时还出现增配A股资产的新现象，而在2023年一二三季度曾出现相关QDII逐季削减A股和港股比重，此番反手做多A股资产或已凸显非理性行为爆发后，当前中国股票资产已出现极致的性价比。</p><p><strong>QDII基金从美股“杀回”A股</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">易方达全球成长精选QDII披露的2023年四季报显示，该只QDII在去年末的重仓股持仓中开始逐步凸显A股上市公司的投资比重，增仓A股相关工业机器人与工业软件类的上市公司，使得该基金核心持仓中的A股资产较三季度末有小幅提高，这也是该只基金在去年第一季度末于重仓股持仓中削减A股股票后，首次出现A股重仓股环比提升的现象。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除了核心重仓股开始提升A股仓位，此前主打美股的易方达全球成长精选QDII，还在隐形重仓股中持有比重不少的A股资产和港股资产。最新季报显示，截至2023年12月末，该只基金持有的A股资产占该QDII基金的比重已达到22.06%，根据重仓股仓位分布数据推测，这22%的A股仓位大部分为隐形重仓股和观察仓。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">业内人士判断，大比重的A股观察仓和隐形重仓股意味着，在A股估值极度便宜和政策持续稳定市场的大背景下，相关A股资产的观察仓在市场风向偏好提升后，存在继续提升仓位的可能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">富国全球健康生活QDII基金也在去年年末开始反向做多A股和港股的中国资产，并开始出现对美股的偏配。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">券商中国记者注意到，上述富国旗下相关QDII在2023年第四季度末，大幅增加A股上市公司在重仓股名单中的地位，这与去年第三季度末的A股股票数量较少有所不同。最新持仓显示，该QDII前十大重仓股中的A股股票数量已从此前的1只提升到3只。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，富国全球健康生活QDII还在其全部股票仓位中提升A股和港股的比重，其中A股仓位已出现环比提升，截至2023年12月末的A股仓位比例已达22.96%。港股的中国资产在同期也提升至43.65%，在对包括A股和港股的中国资产进行加仓后，该只QDII的美股仓位已降至3.13%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，赢得去年冠军基金的广发全球精选基金也在去年末显著调减美股仓位，并小幅加仓港股的中国资产。</p><p><strong>经济复苏提升中国股票吸引力</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">关于QDII反手做多中国资产的考虑，部分QDII基金经理认为复苏的提振将逐步显现在中国资本市场上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">广发全球精选QDII基金经理李耀柱表示，已看到了中国经济数据的复苏，去年四季度国内政策进一步落实稳增长措施，财政政策方面，中央增发1万亿元国债，并上调赤字率目标；货币政策方面，商业银行各期限定期存款再度下调；房地产方面，监管当局在金融机构座谈会上提出“三个不低于”；北上优化地产政策，涉及下调首套、二套最低首付比例与房贷利率下限、优化普宅认定标准等多项举措，去年末召开的政策会议及中央经济工作会议针对2024年工作定调“以进促稳、先立后破”，积极的财政政策适度加力、稳健的货币政策灵活适度，并强调增强宏观政策取向一致性，助力中国经济复苏向上，香港资本市场方面，调降香港印花税率至0.1%，也提振了港股市场流动性。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“在区域配置上增加了对于中国资产的配置，低配欧洲和其他新兴市场。”南方全球精选基金经理黄亮认为，在港股投资上保持港股行业长期相对均衡的配置的基础上，维持了原有对于互联网、可选消费、医疗等新经济领域的超配，同时配置了具有一定成长性、低估值的传统行业个股的配置。积极的财政政策也将是恢复市场信心和活力的重要支撑。港股市场对悲观情绪都已经有了充分的股价上的反应。预期以港股市场估值和公司盈利的增长来看，已经具备了非常高的投资价值。一旦美国进入到降息的货币政策周期，港股大概率会有较好的估值修复机会。在行业和个股上，受益于政策面调整的新经济领域以及受益于稳经济政策的传统经济领域都有较好的投资机会。</p><p><strong>中国资产弹性空间或更大</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于当期A股和港股市场的表现，多位基金经理也认为市场底部正在形成，中国资产的弹性空间或比海外股票更大。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根士丹利基金相关人士认为，核心变量为国内政策发力进度。去年底开始发行的万亿国债有望在今年继续发行，同时财政继续加码的可能性仍然较大。从节奏上看，今年一季度政策效果可能难以很快显现，因此上市公司盈利增速预计不高，但后续逐季抬升的概率较高。因此，认为当前市场可能处于磨底状态，红利资产预计表现更好；中长期角度，符合科技自立自强以及真正受益于AI产业高速发展的科技板块、景气度保持在较高水平并且受益于政策持续加码的高端制造板块值得关注。对于2024年中国经济，预计增速仍然能够保持平稳，万亿国债将形成可观的实物工作量，出口也有望走出低谷，这可能存在较大的预期差，北向资金回流的概率增加，有望对A股市场起到很好的助推作用。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">前海开源基金杨德龙认为，经济稳定复苏，上市公司盈利预期增强，这是提振股市表现最根本的措施。1月23日晚间，人民币汇率持续拉升，在离岸人民币兑美元汇率双双涨超200点，认为中概股集体走高，大幅上涨，而富时中国A50指数期货以直线拉升。这也表明海外投资者对于中国资产的看好力度在增强。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上述基金经理认为，一系列的政策利好有望逐步形成合力，带动市场出现探底回升，投资者信心也逐步得到一定的恢复。经过前期的大幅下跌之后，很多优质个股已经跌破了价值，这可能会吸引中长线资金入场布局。而近期国家队的资金通过买入几百亿元规模的ETF，就是用真金白银向市场释放出积极信号。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1fbbe0320694c78881052ba4a922685","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA3NjM5MjIwOQ==&mid=2652129686&idx=2&sn=0c501108773e06630fc8b8f16658f72d&chksm=857b15cbac25f23271be785cc1054cbbbd6276596f9768537674c5e355880be6cebf27c40166&scene=0#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2406009043","content_text":"种种迹象显示，买向海外股票的QDII基金正在反手买回国内。多只QDII基金披露的持仓结构信息显示，QDII基金经理不仅开始削减美股资产的比重、增配港股的中国资产，同时还出现增配A股资产的新现象，而在2023年一二三季度曾出现相关QDII逐季削减A股和港股比重，此番反手做多A股资产或已凸显非理性行为爆发后，当前中国股票资产已出现极致的性价比。QDII基金从美股“杀回”A股易方达全球成长精选QDII披露的2023年四季报显示，该只QDII在去年末的重仓股持仓中开始逐步凸显A股上市公司的投资比重，增仓A股相关工业机器人与工业软件类的上市公司，使得该基金核心持仓中的A股资产较三季度末有小幅提高，这也是该只基金在去年第一季度末于重仓股持仓中削减A股股票后，首次出现A股重仓股环比提升的现象。除了核心重仓股开始提升A股仓位，此前主打美股的易方达全球成长精选QDII，还在隐形重仓股中持有比重不少的A股资产和港股资产。最新季报显示，截至2023年12月末，该只基金持有的A股资产占该QDII基金的比重已达到22.06%，根据重仓股仓位分布数据推测，这22%的A股仓位大部分为隐形重仓股和观察仓。业内人士判断，大比重的A股观察仓和隐形重仓股意味着，在A股估值极度便宜和政策持续稳定市场的大背景下，相关A股资产的观察仓在市场风向偏好提升后，存在继续提升仓位的可能。富国全球健康生活QDII基金也在去年年末开始反向做多A股和港股的中国资产，并开始出现对美股的偏配。券商中国记者注意到，上述富国旗下相关QDII在2023年第四季度末，大幅增加A股上市公司在重仓股名单中的地位，这与去年第三季度末的A股股票数量较少有所不同。最新持仓显示，该QDII前十大重仓股中的A股股票数量已从此前的1只提升到3只。与此同时，富国全球健康生活QDII还在其全部股票仓位中提升A股和港股的比重，其中A股仓位已出现环比提升，截至2023年12月末的A股仓位比例已达22.96%。港股的中国资产在同期也提升至43.65%，在对包括A股和港股的中国资产进行加仓后，该只QDII的美股仓位已降至3.13%。此外，赢得去年冠军基金的广发全球精选基金也在去年末显著调减美股仓位，并小幅加仓港股的中国资产。经济复苏提升中国股票吸引力关于QDII反手做多中国资产的考虑，部分QDII基金经理认为复苏的提振将逐步显现在中国资本市场上。广发全球精选QDII基金经理李耀柱表示，已看到了中国经济数据的复苏，去年四季度国内政策进一步落实稳增长措施，财政政策方面，中央增发1万亿元国债，并上调赤字率目标；货币政策方面，商业银行各期限定期存款再度下调；房地产方面，监管当局在金融机构座谈会上提出“三个不低于”；北上优化地产政策，涉及下调首套、二套最低首付比例与房贷利率下限、优化普宅认定标准等多项举措，去年末召开的政策会议及中央经济工作会议针对2024年工作定调“以进促稳、先立后破”，积极的财政政策适度加力、稳健的货币政策灵活适度，并强调增强宏观政策取向一致性，助力中国经济复苏向上，香港资本市场方面，调降香港印花税率至0.1%，也提振了港股市场流动性。“在区域配置上增加了对于中国资产的配置，低配欧洲和其他新兴市场。”南方全球精选基金经理黄亮认为，在港股投资上保持港股行业长期相对均衡的配置的基础上，维持了原有对于互联网、可选消费、医疗等新经济领域的超配，同时配置了具有一定成长性、低估值的传统行业个股的配置。积极的财政政策也将是恢复市场信心和活力的重要支撑。港股市场对悲观情绪都已经有了充分的股价上的反应。预期以港股市场估值和公司盈利的增长来看，已经具备了非常高的投资价值。一旦美国进入到降息的货币政策周期，港股大概率会有较好的估值修复机会。在行业和个股上，受益于政策面调整的新经济领域以及受益于稳经济政策的传统经济领域都有较好的投资机会。中国资产弹性空间或更大对于当期A股和港股市场的表现，多位基金经理也认为市场底部正在形成，中国资产的弹性空间或比海外股票更大。摩根士丹利基金相关人士认为，核心变量为国内政策发力进度。去年底开始发行的万亿国债有望在今年继续发行，同时财政继续加码的可能性仍然较大。从节奏上看，今年一季度政策效果可能难以很快显现，因此上市公司盈利增速预计不高，但后续逐季抬升的概率较高。因此，认为当前市场可能处于磨底状态，红利资产预计表现更好；中长期角度，符合科技自立自强以及真正受益于AI产业高速发展的科技板块、景气度保持在较高水平并且受益于政策持续加码的高端制造板块值得关注。对于2024年中国经济，预计增速仍然能够保持平稳，万亿国债将形成可观的实物工作量，出口也有望走出低谷，这可能存在较大的预期差，北向资金回流的概率增加，有望对A股市场起到很好的助推作用。前海开源基金杨德龙认为，经济稳定复苏，上市公司盈利预期增强，这是提振股市表现最根本的措施。1月23日晚间，人民币汇率持续拉升，在离岸人民币兑美元汇率双双涨超200点，认为中概股集体走高，大幅上涨，而富时中国A50指数期货以直线拉升。这也表明海外投资者对于中国资产的看好力度在增强。上述基金经理认为，一系列的政策利好有望逐步形成合力，带动市场出现探底回升，投资者信心也逐步得到一定的恢复。经过前期的大幅下跌之后，很多优质个股已经跌破了价值，这可能会吸引中长线资金入场布局。而近期国家队的资金通过买入几百亿元规模的ETF，就是用真金白银向市场释放出积极信号。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":263873114378360,"gmtCreate":1705457860266,"gmtModify":1705457861813,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":" 我想问一下 什么特色 天天跌","listText":" 我想问一下 什么特色 天天跌","text":" 我想问一下 什么特色 天天跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/263873114378360","repostId":"1186570676","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1186570676","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1705392076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186570676?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-16 16:01","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"习近平：坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186570676","media":"新华社","summary":"坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路，推动我国金融高质量发展。","content":"<div>\n<p>新华社北京1月16日电　省部级主要领导干部推动金融高质量发展专题研讨班16日上午在中央党校（国家行政学院）开班。中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平在开班式上发表重要讲话强调，中国特色金融发展之路既遵循现代金融发展的客观规律，更具有适合我国国情的鲜明特色，与西方金融模式有本质区别。我们要坚定自信，在实践中继续探索完善，使这条路越走越宽广。中共中央政治局常委赵乐际、王沪宁、丁薛祥、李希，国家...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.news.cn/politics/leaders/20240116/4c19ff40fb9246afa1370a33a9b04757/c.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"xhw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>习近平：坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n习近平：坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-16 16:01 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.news.cn/politics/leaders/20240116/4c19ff40fb9246afa1370a33a9b04757/c.html><strong>新华社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新华社北京1月16日电　省部级主要领导干部推动金融高质量发展专题研讨班16日上午在中央党校（国家行政学院）开班。中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平在开班式上发表重要讲话强调，中国特色金融发展之路既遵循现代金融发展的客观规律，更具有适合我国国情的鲜明特色，与西方金融模式有本质区别。我们要坚定自信，在实践中继续探索完善，使这条路越走越宽广。中共中央政治局常委赵乐际、王沪宁、丁薛祥、李希，国家...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.news.cn/politics/leaders/20240116/4c19ff40fb9246afa1370a33a9b04757/c.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c8bc1fe0be333fe423f7c0c262d5319","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://www.news.cn/politics/leaders/20240116/4c19ff40fb9246afa1370a33a9b04757/c.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186570676","content_text":"新华社北京1月16日电　省部级主要领导干部推动金融高质量发展专题研讨班16日上午在中央党校（国家行政学院）开班。中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平在开班式上发表重要讲话强调，中国特色金融发展之路既遵循现代金融发展的客观规律，更具有适合我国国情的鲜明特色，与西方金融模式有本质区别。我们要坚定自信，在实践中继续探索完善，使这条路越走越宽广。中共中央政治局常委赵乐际、王沪宁、丁薛祥、李希，国家副主席韩正出席开班式，中共中央政治局常委蔡奇主持开班式。习近平指出，党的十八大以来，我们积极探索新时代金融发展规律，不断加深对中国特色社会主义金融本质的认识，不断推进金融实践创新、理论创新、制度创新，积累了宝贵经验，逐步走出一条中国特色金融发展之路，这就是：坚持党中央对金融工作的集中统一领导，坚持以人民为中心的价值取向，坚持把金融服务实体经济作为根本宗旨，坚持把防控风险作为金融工作的永恒主题，坚持在市场化法治化轨道上推进金融创新发展，坚持深化金融供给侧结构性改革，坚持统筹金融开放和安全，坚持稳中求进工作总基调。这几条明确了新时代新征程金融工作怎么看、怎么干，是体现中国特色金融发展之路基本立场、观点、方法的有机整体。习近平强调，金融强国应当基于强大的经济基础，具有领先世界的经济实力、科技实力和综合国力，同时具备一系列关键核心金融要素，即：拥有强大的货币、强大的中央银行、强大的金融机构、强大的国际金融中心、强大的金融监管、强大的金融人才队伍。建设金融强国需要长期努力，久久为功。必须加快构建中国特色现代金融体系，建立健全科学稳健的金融调控体系、结构合理的金融市场体系、分工协作的金融机构体系、完备有效的金融监管体系、多样化专业性的金融产品和服务体系、自主可控安全高效的金融基础设施体系。习近平指出，要着力防范化解金融风险特别是系统性风险。金融监管要“长牙带刺”、有棱有角，关键在于金融监管部门和行业主管部门要明确责任，加强协作配合。在市场准入、审慎监管、行为监管等各个环节，都要严格执法，实现金融监管横向到边、纵向到底。各地要立足一域谋全局，落实好属地风险处置和维稳责任。风险处置过程中要坚决惩治腐败，严防道德风险。金融监管是系统工程，金融管理部门和宏观调控部门、行业主管部门、司法机关、纪检监察机关等都有相应职责，要加强监管协同，健全权责一致的风险处置责任机制。严厉打击金融犯罪。习近平强调，要通过扩大对外开放，提高我国金融资源配置效率和能力，增强国际竞争力和规则影响力，稳慎把握好节奏和力度。要以制度型开放为重点推进金融高水平对外开放，落实准入前国民待遇加负面清单管理制度，对标国际高标准经贸协议中金融领域相关规则，精简限制性措施，增强开放政策的透明度、稳定性和可预期性，规范境外投融资行为，完善对共建“一带一路”的金融支持。要加强境内外金融市场互联互通，提升跨境投融资便利化水平，积极参与国际金融监管改革。要守住开放条件下的金融安全底线。习近平指出，推动金融高质量发展、建设金融强国，要坚持法治和德治相结合，积极培育中国特色金融文化，做到：诚实守信，不逾越底线；以义取利，不唯利是图；稳健审慎，不急功近利；守正创新，不脱实向虚；依法合规，不胡作非为。习近平最后强调，各级领导干部要增强金融思维和金融工作能力，坚持经济和金融一盘棋思想，认真落实中央金融工作会议的各项决策部署，统筹推进经济和金融高质量发展，为以中国式现代化全面推进强国建设、民族复兴伟业作出新的更大贡献。蔡奇在主持开班式时指出，习近平总书记的重要讲话思想深邃、视野宏阔、论述精辟、内涵丰富，具有很强的政治性、理论性、针对性、指导性，对于全党特别是高级干部正确认识我国金融发展面临的形势任务，深化对金融工作本质规律和发展道路的认识，全面增强金融工作本领和风险应对能力，坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路，具有十分重要的意义。要深刻理解把握习近平总书记重要讲话的丰富内涵、精髓要义和实践要求，深刻领悟“两个确立”的决定性意义，坚决做到“两个维护”，切实把思想和行动统一到党中央决策部署上来。中共中央政治局委员、中央书记处书记，全国人大常委会党员副委员长，国务委员，最高人民法院院长，最高人民检察院检察长，全国政协党员副主席以及中央军委委员出席开班式。各省区市和新疆生产建设兵团、中央和国家机关有关部门、有关人民团体，中央管理的金融机构、企业、高校，解放军各单位和武警部队主要负责同志参加研讨班。各民主党派中央、全国工商联及有关方面负责同志列席开班式。（完）","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3586445244443525","authorId":"3586445244443525","name":"牛五","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3586445244443525","authorIdStr":"3586445244443525"},"content":"无限收割的特色","text":"无限收割的特色","html":"无限收割的特色"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":261202092163120,"gmtCreate":1704780200560,"gmtModify":1704780202038,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"二十年一遇的古栽？","listText":"二十年一遇的古栽？","text":"二十年一遇的古栽？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/261202092163120","repostId":"2401840984","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2401840984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1704707414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2401840984?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-08 17:50","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"“铁口”李蓓：未来中国股市或有“二十年一遇”行情","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2401840984","media":"wallstreet","summary":"去年最后一个月净值继续回落。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>去年最后一个月净值继续回落。</p></blockquote><p>净值继续跌，而她继续看好。</p><p>这可能就是李蓓吧。</p><p>1月8日，市场流传出李蓓的一份最新基金月报（2023年12月月报）。</p><p>这是半夏旗下“低波动”系列产品的月报，在月报中，基金经理复盘了过去一个月的操作，并再次重申牛市观点：</p><p>当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部；</p><p>将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2-3轮小牛市的。</p><p>（将来的股市行情）大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。</p><p>然而，在“大喊机会”的同时，李蓓的一只低波动主题（私募）基金在2023年录得近15个点的跌幅，更跑输了大盘指数。</p><p>这可能会让她有点烦心吧。</p><p><strong>2023年“受挫”</strong></p><p>根据业内流传的投资月报，一个隶属于半夏投资低波动系列的私募产品，在2023年实现-14.70%的年度收益，跑输沪深300指数约三个百分点。</p><p>这让半夏无法重复2022年的辉煌，相反在一批百亿私募同行中暂时排名居于中下游之列。</p><p>对于去年12月的操作，李蓓复盘称：<strong>权益类持仓跌幅则大于沪深300指数，一方面是期权权利金在指数低波动背景下面临时间价值的损失，一方面是个股持仓走势弱于沪深300。</strong></p><p>虽然业绩不理想，但李蓓依然信心满满：由于债券和商品市场都并没有大机会，我们把大部分的风险预算留给权益仓位。</p><p>她还指出：“政策沿着预期的方向和节奏循序渐进的落地，后续几个月的时间，效果会逐渐显现出来。资金流动是过去一段时间更主要的矛盾。”</p><p><strong>提及年初“黑天鹅”</strong></p><p>李蓓还提及了2024年开年的行情，并认为：年初市场出现了明显的下跌，尤其基金重仓股下跌惨烈。开年的戏剧一幕再一次提醒我们一个道理，世界充满了黑天鹅，不确定性始终存在。</p><p>但她认为市场出现了增量资金，有如下分析：</p><p>ETF净申购是12月最大的增量，对市场的稳定起了很大的托底作用。</p><p>其它类别的机构，无论私募，保险还是外资仓位，仓位出清的过程都基本完成，仓位的绝对水平都是历史低位。</p><p><strong>给出三点“提示”</strong></p><p>李蓓在月报中给投资人强调以下三点：</p><p><strong>其一，后续要继续规避公募集体超配的行业和个股。</strong>更本质的是：主动公募和主观私募所面临的资金流出趋势，在未来一年都很难逆转。</p><p><strong>其二，这一波公募的卖出降仓位结束后，市场上所有的存量投资者就都会完成仓位出清。</strong>所以虽然年初市场表现的确低于预期，但中期上涨的障碍进一步的扫清了。</p><p><strong>其三，保险资金的入场，是我们之前一直预期的2024年主要的资金增量。</strong>从开年的表现来看，基本上也可以确定这种趋势已经正在发生，保险偏好的高股息类公司，开年后的相对跑赢比之前更加地流畅。</p><p><strong>再提大牛市</strong></p><p>数月以来，李蓓非常坚定看好未来大牛市趋势。</p><p>她在此份月报中再次唱多，指出：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部，<strong>将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2、3轮小牛市的，大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。</strong></p><p>她更把增量资金和市场演变的顺序，做了一番“演绎”：</p><blockquote><p>国家队托底，保险入市推动第一波触底回升；</p><p>基本面担忧缓解后，外资逆转，机构持续加仓引发第二波上涨；</p><p>赚钱效应引发存款搬家推动第三波泡沫化。</p></blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“铁口”李蓓：未来中国股市或有“二十年一遇”行情</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“铁口”李蓓：未来中国股市或有“二十年一遇”行情\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-08 17:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3705875><strong>wallstreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>去年最后一个月净值继续回落。净值继续跌，而她继续看好。这可能就是李蓓吧。1月8日，市场流传出李蓓的一份最新基金月报（2023年12月月报）。这是半夏旗下“低波动”系列产品的月报，在月报中，基金经理复盘了过去一个月的操作，并再次重申牛市观点：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部；将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2-3轮小牛市的。（将来的股市行情）大概率超越5年一遇的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3705875\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3705875","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2401840984","content_text":"去年最后一个月净值继续回落。净值继续跌，而她继续看好。这可能就是李蓓吧。1月8日，市场流传出李蓓的一份最新基金月报（2023年12月月报）。这是半夏旗下“低波动”系列产品的月报，在月报中，基金经理复盘了过去一个月的操作，并再次重申牛市观点：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部；将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2-3轮小牛市的。（将来的股市行情）大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。然而，在“大喊机会”的同时，李蓓的一只低波动主题（私募）基金在2023年录得近15个点的跌幅，更跑输了大盘指数。这可能会让她有点烦心吧。2023年“受挫”根据业内流传的投资月报，一个隶属于半夏投资低波动系列的私募产品，在2023年实现-14.70%的年度收益，跑输沪深300指数约三个百分点。这让半夏无法重复2022年的辉煌，相反在一批百亿私募同行中暂时排名居于中下游之列。对于去年12月的操作，李蓓复盘称：权益类持仓跌幅则大于沪深300指数，一方面是期权权利金在指数低波动背景下面临时间价值的损失，一方面是个股持仓走势弱于沪深300。虽然业绩不理想，但李蓓依然信心满满：由于债券和商品市场都并没有大机会，我们把大部分的风险预算留给权益仓位。她还指出：“政策沿着预期的方向和节奏循序渐进的落地，后续几个月的时间，效果会逐渐显现出来。资金流动是过去一段时间更主要的矛盾。”提及年初“黑天鹅”李蓓还提及了2024年开年的行情，并认为：年初市场出现了明显的下跌，尤其基金重仓股下跌惨烈。开年的戏剧一幕再一次提醒我们一个道理，世界充满了黑天鹅，不确定性始终存在。但她认为市场出现了增量资金，有如下分析：ETF净申购是12月最大的增量，对市场的稳定起了很大的托底作用。其它类别的机构，无论私募，保险还是外资仓位，仓位出清的过程都基本完成，仓位的绝对水平都是历史低位。给出三点“提示”李蓓在月报中给投资人强调以下三点：其一，后续要继续规避公募集体超配的行业和个股。更本质的是：主动公募和主观私募所面临的资金流出趋势，在未来一年都很难逆转。其二，这一波公募的卖出降仓位结束后，市场上所有的存量投资者就都会完成仓位出清。所以虽然年初市场表现的确低于预期，但中期上涨的障碍进一步的扫清了。其三，保险资金的入场，是我们之前一直预期的2024年主要的资金增量。从开年的表现来看，基本上也可以确定这种趋势已经正在发生，保险偏好的高股息类公司，开年后的相对跑赢比之前更加地流畅。再提大牛市数月以来，李蓓非常坚定看好未来大牛市趋势。她在此份月报中再次唱多，指出：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部，将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2、3轮小牛市的，大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。她更把增量资金和市场演变的顺序，做了一番“演绎”：国家队托底，保险入市推动第一波触底回升；基本面担忧缓解后，外资逆转，机构持续加仓引发第二波上涨；赚钱效应引发存款搬家推动第三波泡沫化。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":248712179863616,"gmtCreate":1701758531679,"gmtModify":1701758532662,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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遥遥领先","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/248712179863616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":248706689548416,"gmtCreate":1701757195633,"gmtModify":1701757197176,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我们要为家人们谋福利[喷血]&nbsp;","listText":"我们要为家人们谋福利[喷血]&nbsp;","text":"我们要为家人们谋福利[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/248706689548416","repostId":"1116275853","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116275853","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1701674175,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116275853?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-12-04 15:16","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"证监会党委书记、主席易会满接受新华社记者专访","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116275853","media":"新华社","summary":"全力维护资本市场平稳运行，更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能。","content":"<div>\n<p>新华社记者刘慧　　近期召开的中央金融工作会议指出，更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能，推动股票发行注册制走深走实。证监会如何贯彻落实中央金融工作会议的相关部署？如何更好支持实体经济高质量发展？如何促进资本市场的平稳健康运行？新华社记者专访了证监会党委书记、主席易会满。　　抓紧制定建设中国特色现代资本市场政策框架　　问：中央金融工作会议对“加快建设金融强国”“推动我国金融高质量发展”作出部署，证监会将如何...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.news.cn/politics/2023-12/04/c_1130007494.htm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"XHS1","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>证监会党委书记、主席易会满接受新华社记者专访</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n证监会党委书记、主席易会满接受新华社记者专访\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-12-04 15:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.news.cn/politics/2023-12/04/c_1130007494.htm><strong>新华社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新华社记者刘慧　　近期召开的中央金融工作会议指出，更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能，推动股票发行注册制走深走实。证监会如何贯彻落实中央金融工作会议的相关部署？如何更好支持实体经济高质量发展？如何促进资本市场的平稳健康运行？新华社记者专访了证监会党委书记、主席易会满。　　抓紧制定建设中国特色现代资本市场政策框架　　问：中央金融工作会议对“加快建设金融强国”“推动我国金融高质量发展”作出部署，证监会将如何...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.news.cn/politics/2023-12/04/c_1130007494.htm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e47235940cac4ace00aaf85be84ee412","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://www.news.cn/politics/2023-12/04/c_1130007494.htm","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116275853","content_text":"新华社记者刘慧　　近期召开的中央金融工作会议指出，更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能，推动股票发行注册制走深走实。证监会如何贯彻落实中央金融工作会议的相关部署？如何更好支持实体经济高质量发展？如何促进资本市场的平稳健康运行？新华社记者专访了证监会党委书记、主席易会满。　　抓紧制定建设中国特色现代资本市场政策框架　　问：中央金融工作会议对“加快建设金融强国”“推动我国金融高质量发展”作出部署，证监会将如何贯彻落实？　　答：会议召开以来，我们围绕全面贯彻会议精神，加快建设安全、规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性的资本市场，谋划了一系列落实举措。概括起来，就是把握“一条主线”，做到“三个突出”。　　“一条主线”，就是强化政治引领。坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，深刻把握资本市场监管的政治性、人民性，加强党对资本市场的全面领导，特别是维护党中央集中统一领导，强化各级党组织政治功能和组织功能，切实把党的领导贯彻到资本市场工作各领域各方面各环节。　　“三个突出”：一是突出主责主业。全面强化监管主责主业，提升监管效能，提升对资本市场重点领域风险的源头防控，守牢风险底线，筑牢资本市场健康发展基础。二是突出改革深化。坚持在市场化法治化轨道上推动资本市场改革创新，着力解决资本市场不平衡、不充分突出问题，更好发挥资本市场牵一发而动全身的枢纽功能，为实体经济和投资者提供高质量的服务。三是突出自我革命。坚持刀刃向内，推进证监会系统全面从严治党，更大力度推动中央巡视整改常态化、长效化，锻造忠诚干净担当的高素质专业化干部队伍。　　目前，我们正按照中央部署，围绕上述方面抓紧制定建设中国特色现代资本市场政策框架，将坚持成熟一个、推出一个，扎实推动落地见效。　　围绕健全资本市场功能推出更多务实举措　　问：中央金融工作会议明确指出，“坚持把金融服务实体经济作为根本宗旨”“更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能”。证监会在支持实体经济高质量发展上有什么具体考虑？　　答：更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能，是新时代新征程上党中央赋予资本市场的新定位。资本市场在整个金融市场中体量不算大，但在服务实体经济方面具有独特优势。一是资本市场信息高度透明、价格信号灵敏，是资源配置与政策传导的重要渠道。二是资本市场具有风险共担、利益共享的特点，能够促进完善公司治理，有效激发社会创新创造活力和企业家精神。三是能够优化融资结构，助力稳定宏观杠杆率。四是资本市场覆盖股债期、场内外等丰富的投融资工具，能够满足实体经济和投资者的多元化金融需求。下一步，我们将坚持问题导向，守正创新，围绕健全资本市场功能，推出更多务实举措。　　第一，推动股票发行注册制走深走实。坚持以信息披露为核心的理念不动摇，坚持注册制的基本架构不动摇，加大对高水平科技自立自强、现代化产业体系建设等重点领域的支持力度。加大力度推进投资端改革，吸引更多中长期资金入市，动态优化IPO定价、再融资、减持等制度安排，促进投融资动态平衡。　　第二，健全多层次资本市场体系。积极发展多元化股权融资，坚守各交易所板块定位，支持上海、深圳证券交易所建设世界一流交易所，高质量建设北京证券交易所，推动新三板和区域性股权市场制度和业务创新，更好发挥私募股权创业投资基金积极作用，进一步完善层层递进的市场结构。促进债券市场高质量发展，推动不动产投资信托基金（REITs）市场扩面提质。稳慎有序发展期货和衍生品市场，助力提高大宗商品价格影响力。　　第三，大力提高上市公司质量。资本市场“晴雨表”功能主要通过上市公司来体现。去年，5000余家上市公司实现增加值超过18.23万亿元，占GDP的15.1%，研发投入占全国研发支出的五成。我们将扎实推动新一轮提高上市公司质量三年行动方案落地，突出中国特色公司治理建设。优化并购重组、股权激励、分红等制度安排，健全常态化退市机制，督导上市公司规范治理、诚信经营，支持更多上市公司做优做强，带动产业链供应链上下游、大中小企业协同发展，助力夯实经济高质量发展的微观基础。　　第四，推进资本市场高水平制度型对外开放。统筹开放和安全，稳步推进市场、机构、业务的立体化开放，深化拓展互联互通，便利跨境投融资，同步加强开放条件下的监管能力建设。　　全力维护资本市场稳定运行　　问：中央金融工作会议强调，要全面加强金融监管，有效防范化解金融风险。大家都很关心资本市场的平稳健康运行，证监会在这方面将采取哪些举措？　　答：加强监管、防范风险是金融高质量发展的重要保障。近年来，我们坚持“敬畏市场、敬畏法治、敬畏专业、敬畏风险，发挥各方合力”的监管理念，坚决打好防范化解重大金融风险攻坚战，资本市场重点领域风险持续收敛、总体可控。下一步，我们将着力提升监管适应性、针对性，为资本市场改革发展创造更加有利的环境。　　一是全力维护资本市场稳定运行。风平浪静好行船。我们将加强对股市交易行为、资金流向的监测，建立健全风险综合研判和预警机制。完善一二级市场逆周期调节机制，鼓励和引导上市公司回购、股东增持，发挥好各类经营主体内在稳市作用。健全维护资本市场稳定的应急响应机制，加强分级会商和快速反应，守牢风险底线。　　二是落实监管主责主业。坚持早识别、早预警、早暴露、早处置，着力提升抓早抓小的能力，强化对大股东资金占用、过度杠杆、产业资本与金融资本缺乏隔离等潜在风险隐患的源头治理。健全资本市场防假打假机制，完善行政、民事、刑事立体追责体系，“零容忍”打击欺诈发行、财务造假、操纵市场等违法行为。同时，与有关方面一道，防范好房地产风险、地方债务风险和金融风险的传递共振。　　三是坚决消除监管真空。加强监管协同，依法将各类证券活动全部纳入监管，严厉打击“伪私募”，清理整顿金交所、“伪金交所”。协同有关部门加强对大型企业集团债务风险的监测监管。　　四是加强监管能力建设。落实党和国家机构改革任务，健全内部协同机制，切实提高监管的有效性。同时，加强监管科技建设，强化跨部门信息共享，提升数字化智能化水平，为监管履职提供更有力支撑。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":229581557485736,"gmtCreate":1697076993076,"gmtModify":1697076994113,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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