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梦想2201
2023-03-04
美联储加息50bp的概率在不断提升
美国前财长萨默斯喊话美联储:不要关上加息50基点的大门
梦想2201
2023-02-03
去年是越南女首富被割,今年是印度首富被割,华尔街的镰刀谁都不放过
空头“血洗” Adani,受伤的是整个印度
梦想2201
2022-12-15
鲍威尔发言能看到鸽派迹象
美联储鹰派声明后,华尔街将如何应对?
梦想2201
2020-08-01
$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$
波动越来越小了
梦想2201
2020-07-22
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
关了大使馆,利空呀
梦想2201
2020-07-12
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
市场消息:欧佩克+即将放宽减产规模,沙特阿拉伯提议八月份将减产规模从970万桶/日下调至770万桶/日。据悉,欧佩克+国家将在7月15日对此作出最终决定。
梦想2201
2020-06-10
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
在油价不稳定期间,高盛通过大宗商品交易获利10亿美元。(来自金十数据APP)
梦想2201
2020-06-09
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
真正的投资研报都是很贵的,高盛免费发原油唱空研报,非奸即盗
梦想2201
2020-06-09
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
美股市场有多疯狂?页岩气先锋切萨皮克公司(Chesapeake)在数周以来一直被传濒临破产,其股价从上周五收盘时的不到25美元今天一夜之间涨至69.92美元,涨幅超过接近200%,而上周五开盘时,该股仅不到16美元。趁着美联储托市,股市中资金泛滥想大赚一笔的赌徒们也许这次该失望了。因为在收盘不久后,有媒体报道,切萨皮克公司正准备申请破产,这可能会将这家油气公司的控制权拱手让给其高级债权人,现在他们手上的股票可能会毫无价值,该公司的市值为6.84亿美元,在过去两天上涨了425% !
梦想2201
2020-06-08
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
现在还有人敢做空吗?
梦想2201
2020-06-04
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
无视利空消息,就是跌不下去,看来该上涨了
梦想2201
2020-06-02
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
看来是要暴涨了
梦想2201
2020-06-02
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
42USD必须一鼓作气拿下,要不然很容易大幅下跌
梦想2201
2020-05-31
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
【知情人士:欧佩克+讨论提前召开会议】知情人士称,欧佩克+能源部长们正在讨论提前召开欧佩克+会议(从6月9-10日提前至6月4日),以便在可能的产量配额调整时考虑各国的原油提名(原油产量及分配)。会议提前,将导致欧佩克+的6个提供二手数据来源的机构无法提供5月产量数据。阿尔及利亚能源部长阿尔卡布于周六致信欧佩克+能源部长,要求他们在周日前决定是否同意提前召开会议。“我已经和几位部长讨论了这个想法。”阿尔卡布补充道。根据该提议,欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国部长级监督委员会(JMMC)将在6月晚些时候开会,届时二手资料也已出炉。
梦想2201
2020-05-26
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
现在不敢空了
梦想2201
2020-05-25
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
今天美盘停止交易,估计波动不会太大
梦想2201
2020-05-22
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
6月合约的交割价32.38美元应该是现在主力合约的底部。上个月6月合约后面的底部也是5月合约的交割价10美元。
梦想2201
2020-05-19
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
期货在交割日的价格终究还是会回到现货价格
梦想2201
2020-05-18
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
华尔街吃相太难看了吧,明摆着操纵市场
梦想2201
2020-05-15
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
有交割能力的机构可以利用现在6月份合约的期货现货差价进行套利交易
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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height=\"auto\"/></p><p>目前,利率市场对美联储终端利率的预期是——将在9月份攀升至大约5.5%,主要因此前有迹象表明美国经济强劲。这些迹象包括,1月的就业增长加速和制造业活动出现改善,并且CPI和美联储青睐的通胀数据——PCE价格指数显示美国通胀依旧火热。</p><p>萨默斯表示,美联储主席鲍威尔下周“有一个重要的机会”,他将在国会听证会上就美国的经济问题作证,“我认为他有机会重新设定市场预期,解决美联储日益严重的信誉问题”。</p><p>哈佛大学教授、前财政部长萨默斯认为,美联储的决策者们应该先观察下周五公布的2月美国非农就业报告和市场的反应,然后再做决定。他还强调道,最近六次的“数据冲击”已经损害了美联储所寻求的美国经济软着陆的可能性。</p><p><b>在萨默斯看来,这六次“数据冲击”如下:</b></p><p>消费者价格指数的季节性修正,使得“通胀率从2022年最后几个月开始降温”的这一趋势被打破</p><p>1月份的CPI数据显示通胀再度加速上行</p><p>美联储最青睐的通胀指标——个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数也有所回升</p><p>1月份的各项经济指标“表现强劲”</p><p>工资数据“不再显示出我们预期的那种减缓步伐”</p><p>美国国债收益率大幅上升,“全球资产定价之锚”——10年期美债收益率攀升至4%以上</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/408bf51574499aa9cc7e89303466e33d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美国主要通货膨胀率指标再次加速——通胀增速超过预期,同时消费者支出激增</b></p><p>萨默斯表示:“不幸的是,‘过渡团队’提出的论点看起来更像是一厢情愿的想法。”他最近几周还表示,如今美国存在经济突然放缓的风险。</p><p>萨默斯称:“我非常失望地看到,一些美联储官员最近的讲话似乎把3月份加息50个基点的可能性排除在外。”“我希望美联储最高的领导层会对3月份加息50个基点的可能性持不可知论的态度,而不是明确告知市场的态度。”</p><p>美国前财长萨默斯还批评了进步派的民主党人试图左右美国总统拜登对目前空缺的美联储副主席的人选。马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦希望拜登挑选一位副主席来对抗态度转鹰的鲍威尔。她表示,鲍威尔已经明确指出,他将在利率问题上采取极端措施,他愿意让数百万人失去工作。</p><p>萨默斯表示,这场运动将适得其反,他表示:“因为在短期内,现任的官员将希望他们没有被人彻底摆布。而美联储将希望在面对任何政治压力时展示其独立性。”他还表示,随着时间的推移,美联储“政治化”的迹象可能推高美国的中期通胀预期,推高长期收益率,进而推高抵押贷款利率。</p><p>他表示:“对于进步派人士来说,这确实是一种非常错误和有问题的策略,即使他们认为最重要的是降低利率和刺激经济。”“所以我希望他们能放弃这种公开活动。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国前财长萨默斯喊话美联储:不要关上加息50基点的大门\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-04 10:28 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/886929.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国前财政部长萨默斯( Lawrence Summers)昨日接受媒体采访时表示,美联储政策制定者应强调,在一系列强劲的经济数据公布后,本月有可能重回激进加息步伐。“美联储现在应该为3月加息50个基点的预期敞开大门。”萨默斯在表示。“在我看来,如果对美联储处境进行合理的评估将表明,他们已经有一年左右时间没有如此严重地落后于形势了。”然而,一些美联储官员却不这么认为。在本周四,亚特兰大联储主席...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/886929.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42d623bf2f962cffafc93d5db7d45f9c","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4588":"碎股","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/886929.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2316665184","content_text":"美国前财政部长萨默斯( Lawrence Summers)昨日接受媒体采访时表示,美联储政策制定者应强调,在一系列强劲的经济数据公布后,本月有可能重回激进加息步伐。“美联储现在应该为3月加息50个基点的预期敞开大门。”萨默斯在表示。“在我看来,如果对美联储处境进行合理的评估将表明,他们已经有一年左右时间没有如此严重地落后于形势了。”然而,一些美联储官员却不这么认为。在本周四,亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克刚刚强调支持以缓慢且稳步的方式推进加息进程,他表示支持继续加息25个基点。博斯蒂克表示:“现在,我仍然非常坚定地支持保持加息25个基点的行动节奏。对我们来说,保持谨慎和进行仔细调整是合适的,以确保我们不会做得比我们需要的更多,但我们需要做得足够多,以便使通胀达到2%的水平。”博斯蒂克目前建议的利率路径是,在3月和5月进行两次25个基点的的加息,但他表示,如果数据仍然强劲,加息很可能会持续到接下来的一两次会议上。不过利率期货市场显示,美联储在3月21日至22日的政策会议上加息50个基点的可能性很小,加息25个基点已被市场充分消化。在上个月,美联储政策制定者将加息速度放慢至25个基点。目前,利率市场对美联储终端利率的预期是——将在9月份攀升至大约5.5%,主要因此前有迹象表明美国经济强劲。这些迹象包括,1月的就业增长加速和制造业活动出现改善,并且CPI和美联储青睐的通胀数据——PCE价格指数显示美国通胀依旧火热。萨默斯表示,美联储主席鲍威尔下周“有一个重要的机会”,他将在国会听证会上就美国的经济问题作证,“我认为他有机会重新设定市场预期,解决美联储日益严重的信誉问题”。哈佛大学教授、前财政部长萨默斯认为,美联储的决策者们应该先观察下周五公布的2月美国非农就业报告和市场的反应,然后再做决定。他还强调道,最近六次的“数据冲击”已经损害了美联储所寻求的美国经济软着陆的可能性。在萨默斯看来,这六次“数据冲击”如下:消费者价格指数的季节性修正,使得“通胀率从2022年最后几个月开始降温”的这一趋势被打破1月份的CPI数据显示通胀再度加速上行美联储最青睐的通胀指标——个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数也有所回升1月份的各项经济指标“表现强劲”工资数据“不再显示出我们预期的那种减缓步伐”美国国债收益率大幅上升,“全球资产定价之锚”——10年期美债收益率攀升至4%以上美国主要通货膨胀率指标再次加速——通胀增速超过预期,同时消费者支出激增萨默斯表示:“不幸的是,‘过渡团队’提出的论点看起来更像是一厢情愿的想法。”他最近几周还表示,如今美国存在经济突然放缓的风险。萨默斯称:“我非常失望地看到,一些美联储官员最近的讲话似乎把3月份加息50个基点的可能性排除在外。”“我希望美联储最高的领导层会对3月份加息50个基点的可能性持不可知论的态度,而不是明确告知市场的态度。”美国前财长萨默斯还批评了进步派的民主党人试图左右美国总统拜登对目前空缺的美联储副主席的人选。马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦希望拜登挑选一位副主席来对抗态度转鹰的鲍威尔。她表示,鲍威尔已经明确指出,他将在利率问题上采取极端措施,他愿意让数百万人失去工作。萨默斯表示,这场运动将适得其反,他表示:“因为在短期内,现任的官员将希望他们没有被人彻底摆布。而美联储将希望在面对任何政治压力时展示其独立性。”他还表示,随着时间的推移,美联储“政治化”的迹象可能推高美国的中期通胀预期,推高长期收益率,进而推高抵押贷款利率。他表示:“对于进步派人士来说,这确实是一种非常错误和有问题的策略,即使他们认为最重要的是降低利率和刺激经济。”“所以我希望他们能放弃这种公开活动。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":622631787,"gmtCreate":1675427295949,"gmtModify":1675427298315,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"去年是越南女首富被割,今年是印度首富被割,华尔街的镰刀谁都不放过","listText":"去年是越南女首富被割,今年是印度首富被割,华尔街的镰刀谁都不放过","text":"去年是越南女首富被割,今年是印度首富被割,华尔街的镰刀谁都不放过","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622631787","repostId":"1128975299","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128975299","pubTimestamp":1675419921,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128975299?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-03 18:25","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"空头“血洗” Adani,受伤的是整个印度","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128975299","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"当前亚洲首富Gautam Adani喊出那句做空我就是“蓄意攻击印度”时,某种程度上,他是对的。1月24日以来,兴登堡的做空报告已经给Adani集团和整个印度股市带来了灾难性的影响:仅仅一周,整个Ad","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>当前亚洲首富Gautam Adani喊出那句做空我就是“蓄意攻击印度”时,某种程度上,他是对的。</p><p>1月24日以来,兴登堡的做空报告已经给Adani集团和整个印度股市带来了灾难性的影响:仅仅一周,整个Adani集团的市值蒸发超一千亿美元,集团债券大都已跌至垃圾债水平。10天前还名列全球第二富的Adani,在一周之内即戏剧性地跌到了第21位。印度 NIFTY 50指数跌至去年10月以来的最低水平,与年初其他市场纷纷反弹的走势背道而驰。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/630c04a2801a2f0ff902c25d654506a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>就在本周四,做空事件产生的混乱已经蔓延至印度政坛,印度财长亲自下场安抚市场,称Adani集团的问题不会影响印度的宏观经济,而<b>反对党已要求调查Adani和总理莫迪之间的关系。</b></p><p><b>但这场灾难还远未结束,由于Adani集团庞大的体量及其与印度政坛错综复杂的关系,Adani丑闻给整个印度带来的负面影响还将持续发酵。</b></p><p>重量级国企为Adani大股东</p><p>华尔街见闻此前提及,Adani集团实控人Gautam Adani与印度现任总理莫迪关系非同一般。强大的政治人脉助力其在商业上飞黄腾达。但这一联系如今反过来给国有资产带来了巨大风险。</p><p>早在去年12月,已有媒体爆料,<b>印度最大国企之一、旗下资产超过5000亿美元的人寿保险巨头LIC持有Adani集团5家公司累计超95亿美元的股份,比印度公募基金的持股规模大五倍。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f14bc269db17379aea666e4b35cfa3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>一家重量级国企持有如此大规模的私营企业股份,显然并不常见。</p><p>金融研究机构Fintrekk Capital的创始人Amit Kumar Gupta曾在去年忧虑地对媒体表示:</p><blockquote>“考虑到Adani集团的许多公司现金流并不充裕,LIC持有的股份相当高。它持股的许多企业有些甚至不盈利,类似Adani绿色能源这样的成长型公司资本支出巨大……对一家企业集团投入这么多资金是有风险的,因为如果债务状况出现任何问题,可能引发连锁效应。”</blockquote><p>而随着兴登堡的做空报告发布,LIC已经累计亏损超1658亿卢比(20.16亿美元)。<b>作为印度最大的人寿保险公司,LIC在Adani集团上的巨额亏损,很有可能伤害旗下五千万投保人的利益。</b></p><p>背负大量国有银行债务</p><p>除了和国企经济联系紧密,Adani集团还背负着来自国有银行的大量贷款。</p><p>在2022财年,<b>Adani集团的净债务总额接近200亿美元。其中,来自印度国有银行的贷款占21%</b>(2015-2016年,国有银行贷款一度占其债务总额的55%),包括巴罗达银行和旁遮普邦国家银行。在这40多亿美元的国有银行贷款中,有40%来自公共部门银行(PSB)。</p><p>自兴登堡报告发布以来,政府控制的印度国家银行股价已下跌11%。</p><p>此外,近200亿美元的债务中,还有11%来自民营银行贷款,其余债务以公司债券和权益资金的形式存在。</p><p>据媒体报道,截止2022年3月,印度银行贷款的坏账率在主要经济体中名列前茅,高达5.9%。有批评认为,<b>印度银行的资产负债表能如此糟糕,根源在于银行业“任贷唯亲”(easy lending to cronies)的文化:凭借政治上的人脉,一些信用不佳的企业大亨能轻易获得贷款。Adani作为莫迪密友、深度参与印度基建项目的国民企业家,自然在贷款上更是一路获绿灯。</b></p><p>律师事务所KS Legal & Associates的执行合伙人Sonam Chandwani曾在去年对媒体表示:</p><blockquote>“尽管知晓Adani集团杠杆过高的事实,但银行还是在贷款上一直支持Adani。这些银行应该保持谨慎,因为如果该集团陷入违约……可能会带来严重后果。”</blockquote><p><b>作为印度最大的企业之一,Adani集团的业务范围涉及发电输电、煤炭等能源开采领域,并且正在进军可再生能源、机场、数据中心和国防领域。因其和印度基础设施的联系如此之深、如此之广,Adani集团一旦出现大规模违约,不仅会动摇股市,还会动摇印度的整体经济。而Adani和LIC以及国有银行的联系,也让普通的印度人暴露在巨大的金融风险之中。</b></p><p><b>如果事件持续发酵,Adani旗下公司出现违约,因Adani的“大而不能倒”,印度政府将不得不动用公共财政出手救援。</b></p><p>投资者争相出逃,伤害印度市场声誉</p><p>就在10天前,Adani的庞大商业帝国看起来还立于不败之地。但做空报告直接动摇了海外投资者对Adani帝国乃至整个印度的信心。</p><p>兴登堡在其报告中称,Adani利用离岸壳公司进行洗钱,并从上市公司中抽取资金,<b>将Adani集团的迅速崛起描述为“商业史上最大的骗局”。</b></p><p>总部位于新加坡的资产管理公司Global CIO Office的CEO Gary Dugan表示:</p><blockquote>“市场变化非常迅速,国际投资者可能会对投资印度股票的风险进行重新评估,仔细考察如公司治理、透明度、裙带关系和债务等要素。”</blockquote><p>彭博数据显示,1月27日至1月31日,外国机构投资者从印度股市净撤出20亿美元,创下去年3月以来最大的3日抛售幅度。</p><p>一月下旬,有消息称苹果计划将部分手机产线转移到印度,未来甚至在印度生产25%的iPhone。</p><p><b>如今Adani集团的丑闻曝出,让印度成长为国际制造业中心的愿景变得高度不确定。</b></p><p>Natixis SA 亚太区首席经济学家Alicia Garcia Herrero也表示:</p><blockquote>“事实是,随着中国的重新开放,Adani的丑闻来得并不是好时候。外国投资者显然在关注这件事。”</blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>空头“血洗” Adani,受伤的是整个印度</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n空头“血洗” Adani,受伤的是整个印度\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-03 18:25 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3681135><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>当前亚洲首富Gautam Adani喊出那句做空我就是“蓄意攻击印度”时,某种程度上,他是对的。1月24日以来,兴登堡的做空报告已经给Adani集团和整个印度股市带来了灾难性的影响:仅仅一周,整个Adani集团的市值蒸发超一千亿美元,集团债券大都已跌至垃圾债水平。10天前还名列全球第二富的Adani,在一周之内即戏剧性地跌到了第21位。印度 NIFTY 50指数跌至去年10月以来的最低水平,与年初...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3681135\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/726be8ee1c947cd00b8202879a078437","relate_stocks":{"PIN":"印度ETF-PowerShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3681135","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128975299","content_text":"当前亚洲首富Gautam Adani喊出那句做空我就是“蓄意攻击印度”时,某种程度上,他是对的。1月24日以来,兴登堡的做空报告已经给Adani集团和整个印度股市带来了灾难性的影响:仅仅一周,整个Adani集团的市值蒸发超一千亿美元,集团债券大都已跌至垃圾债水平。10天前还名列全球第二富的Adani,在一周之内即戏剧性地跌到了第21位。印度 NIFTY 50指数跌至去年10月以来的最低水平,与年初其他市场纷纷反弹的走势背道而驰。就在本周四,做空事件产生的混乱已经蔓延至印度政坛,印度财长亲自下场安抚市场,称Adani集团的问题不会影响印度的宏观经济,而反对党已要求调查Adani和总理莫迪之间的关系。但这场灾难还远未结束,由于Adani集团庞大的体量及其与印度政坛错综复杂的关系,Adani丑闻给整个印度带来的负面影响还将持续发酵。重量级国企为Adani大股东华尔街见闻此前提及,Adani集团实控人Gautam Adani与印度现任总理莫迪关系非同一般。强大的政治人脉助力其在商业上飞黄腾达。但这一联系如今反过来给国有资产带来了巨大风险。早在去年12月,已有媒体爆料,印度最大国企之一、旗下资产超过5000亿美元的人寿保险巨头LIC持有Adani集团5家公司累计超95亿美元的股份,比印度公募基金的持股规模大五倍。一家重量级国企持有如此大规模的私营企业股份,显然并不常见。金融研究机构Fintrekk Capital的创始人Amit Kumar Gupta曾在去年忧虑地对媒体表示:“考虑到Adani集团的许多公司现金流并不充裕,LIC持有的股份相当高。它持股的许多企业有些甚至不盈利,类似Adani绿色能源这样的成长型公司资本支出巨大……对一家企业集团投入这么多资金是有风险的,因为如果债务状况出现任何问题,可能引发连锁效应。”而随着兴登堡的做空报告发布,LIC已经累计亏损超1658亿卢比(20.16亿美元)。作为印度最大的人寿保险公司,LIC在Adani集团上的巨额亏损,很有可能伤害旗下五千万投保人的利益。背负大量国有银行债务除了和国企经济联系紧密,Adani集团还背负着来自国有银行的大量贷款。在2022财年,Adani集团的净债务总额接近200亿美元。其中,来自印度国有银行的贷款占21%(2015-2016年,国有银行贷款一度占其债务总额的55%),包括巴罗达银行和旁遮普邦国家银行。在这40多亿美元的国有银行贷款中,有40%来自公共部门银行(PSB)。自兴登堡报告发布以来,政府控制的印度国家银行股价已下跌11%。此外,近200亿美元的债务中,还有11%来自民营银行贷款,其余债务以公司债券和权益资金的形式存在。据媒体报道,截止2022年3月,印度银行贷款的坏账率在主要经济体中名列前茅,高达5.9%。有批评认为,印度银行的资产负债表能如此糟糕,根源在于银行业“任贷唯亲”(easy lending to cronies)的文化:凭借政治上的人脉,一些信用不佳的企业大亨能轻易获得贷款。Adani作为莫迪密友、深度参与印度基建项目的国民企业家,自然在贷款上更是一路获绿灯。律师事务所KS Legal & Associates的执行合伙人Sonam Chandwani曾在去年对媒体表示:“尽管知晓Adani集团杠杆过高的事实,但银行还是在贷款上一直支持Adani。这些银行应该保持谨慎,因为如果该集团陷入违约……可能会带来严重后果。”作为印度最大的企业之一,Adani集团的业务范围涉及发电输电、煤炭等能源开采领域,并且正在进军可再生能源、机场、数据中心和国防领域。因其和印度基础设施的联系如此之深、如此之广,Adani集团一旦出现大规模违约,不仅会动摇股市,还会动摇印度的整体经济。而Adani和LIC以及国有银行的联系,也让普通的印度人暴露在巨大的金融风险之中。如果事件持续发酵,Adani旗下公司出现违约,因Adani的“大而不能倒”,印度政府将不得不动用公共财政出手救援。投资者争相出逃,伤害印度市场声誉就在10天前,Adani的庞大商业帝国看起来还立于不败之地。但做空报告直接动摇了海外投资者对Adani帝国乃至整个印度的信心。兴登堡在其报告中称,Adani利用离岸壳公司进行洗钱,并从上市公司中抽取资金,将Adani集团的迅速崛起描述为“商业史上最大的骗局”。总部位于新加坡的资产管理公司Global CIO Office的CEO Gary Dugan表示:“市场变化非常迅速,国际投资者可能会对投资印度股票的风险进行重新评估,仔细考察如公司治理、透明度、裙带关系和债务等要素。”彭博数据显示,1月27日至1月31日,外国机构投资者从印度股市净撤出20亿美元,创下去年3月以来最大的3日抛售幅度。一月下旬,有消息称苹果计划将部分手机产线转移到印度,未来甚至在印度生产25%的iPhone。如今Adani集团的丑闻曝出,让印度成长为国际制造业中心的愿景变得高度不确定。Natixis SA 亚太区首席经济学家Alicia Garcia Herrero也表示:“事实是,随着中国的重新开放,Adani的丑闻来得并不是好时候。外国投资者显然在关注这件事。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":623365371,"gmtCreate":1671073380293,"gmtModify":1671073381970,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"鲍威尔发言能看到鸽派迹象","listText":"鲍威尔发言能看到鸽派迹象","text":"鲍威尔发言能看到鸽派迹象","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623365371","repostId":"2291033349","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2291033349","pubTimestamp":1671089821,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2291033349?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-15 15:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储鹰派声明后,华尔街将如何应对?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291033349","media":"智通财经网","summary":"美联储周三利率决议是一个言语比行动更有分量的例子。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>对于试图衡量美联储鹰派立场程度的投资者来说,美联储周三利率决议是一个言语比行动更有分量的例子。</p><p>智通财经APP获悉,当地时间12月14日,美国联邦储备委员会宣布,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调50个基点到4.25%至4.5%之间,这也是美联储今年第七次加息。作为利率决议的一部分,美联储官员预计明年利率将至少再上升0.5个百分点。这足以压低美国股市,并短暂推高美国国债收益率——美联储本身可能会欢迎这种举措。</p><p>据了解,自从11月2日会议以来,标普500指数截至本周二上涨近7%,是2020年6月以来最佳两次会议期间表现。同时,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>的一个美国金融状况指数下跌0.8%,是2009年8月以来最大两次会议期间降幅。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2d35b86e606cfb9b4f70b488593d3ce\" tg-width=\"1124\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>理查德伯恩斯坦顾问公司(Richard Bernstein Advisors)的副首席投资官Dan</p><p>Suzuki表示:“美国经济增长预期放缓,但还要进一步加息,这对市场来说并不是一个很好的组合,目前市场更大的不确定性是经济增长,而不是美联储。”</p><p>据悉,美联储主席鲍威尔在利率决议后的新闻发布会上发表的言论最初令市场情绪暗淡。鲍威尔称:“在FOMC确信通胀持续下降之前,我认为我们不会考虑降息。”</p><p>22V Research的创始人Dennis DeBusschere表示:“他听起来不像是快乐的Brookings</p><p>Powell。更像是悲伤的Jackson Hole Powell。”</p><p>但当鲍威尔表示政策现在正进入良好状态,并将很快“充分限制”时,一些投资者振作了起来。</p><p>高盛评价鲍威尔讲话称:“市场对终端利率更低的预期和明年下半年降息的乐观情绪一直对美联储不利,在我们看来是不现实的,除非我们看到市场出现金融危机或流动性枯竭,迫使美联储介入并降息。预计美联储将加息至5%以上并保持在这一水平。在这一点上,货币政策仍然不是限制性的。如果明年通胀率低于联邦基金利率,而美联储维持利率不变,货币政策可能就会是限制性的。”</p><p>以下是其他分析师的看法:</p><p>Interactive Brokers首席策略师Steve Sosnick称:</p><p>“红线声明之所以引人注目,是因为它最后划了一条红线——只有利率本身,以及对全球担忧对通胀影响的轻微修正。更高的点阵图和基本不变的声明是对市场预期美联储在2023年加息见顶、暂停加息和政策转向的否定。”</p><p>地平线投资公司(Horizon Investments)投资组合管理主管Zachary Hill在鲍威尔的新闻发布会之前表示:</p><p>“乍一看,美联储在当地时间周三下午2点的声明是鹰派的,包括声明中围绕持续加息的措辞,以及23个点的分布。但经济预测摘要也将2024年的降息次数增加到4个,这跟市场预测非常接近,让多头验证对软着陆的定价。”</p><p>道明证券(TD Securities)美国宏观策略师Oscar Munoz这样评价鲍威尔的言论:</p><p>“他正在匹配点阵图现在告诉你的东西。他没有像最近那样淡化这些点。这本身就是鹰派。”</p><p>基础设施资本顾问公司创始人兼首席执行官Jay Hatfield:</p><p>“在新闻发布会之前,股票和债券价格的关键驱动因素是点阵图,该点阵图比联邦基金期货价格高出约25个基点。我们认为,点阵图的上升已经发出了很好的信号,因此对债券和股票市场的影响非常小。”</p><p>Principal Asset Management首席全球策略师Seema Shah表示:</p><p>“美联储仍然对经济衰退的可能性讳莫如深,但鉴于多数官员都认为风险倾向于下行,可以说,他们对经济前景的担忧远远超过他们愿意承认的程度。这为最近的熊市反弹敲响了丧钟。政策利率仅今年就提高了425个基点,而且还会进一步上调,明年也不会下调,所有这些信息,都将最终令市场接受美国经济衰退在所难免的现实。”</p><p>Guggenheim Partners全球首席投资官Scott Minerd称:</p><p>“我可以笃信的一个历史数据是,美联储总是预测错误。”</p><p>AmeriVet Securities美国利率交易和策略主管Gregory Faranello:</p><p>“市场已经准备挑战美联储了,”2年期收益率远低于美联储5%的政策利率目标。</p><p>更多港股重磅资讯,下载智通财经app</p><p>更多港股及海外理财资讯,请点击www.zhitongcaijing.com(搜索“智通财经”);欲加入智通港股投资群,请加智通客服微信(ztcjkf)</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储鹰派声明后,华尔街将如何应对?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储鹰派声明后,华尔街将如何应对?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-15 15:37 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/847607.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>对于试图衡量美联储鹰派立场程度的投资者来说,美联储周三利率决议是一个言语比行动更有分量的例子。智通财经APP获悉,当地时间12月14日,美国联邦储备委员会宣布,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调50个基点到4.25%至4.5%之间,这也是美联储今年第七次加息。作为利率决议的一部分,美联储官员预计明年利率将至少再上升0.5个百分点。这足以压低美国股市,并短暂推高美国国债收益率——美联储本身可能会欢迎这种举措...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/847607.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5398fed733ffbbc94ab1b9a49946a8","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/847607.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2291033349","content_text":"对于试图衡量美联储鹰派立场程度的投资者来说,美联储周三利率决议是一个言语比行动更有分量的例子。智通财经APP获悉,当地时间12月14日,美国联邦储备委员会宣布,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调50个基点到4.25%至4.5%之间,这也是美联储今年第七次加息。作为利率决议的一部分,美联储官员预计明年利率将至少再上升0.5个百分点。这足以压低美国股市,并短暂推高美国国债收益率——美联储本身可能会欢迎这种举措。据了解,自从11月2日会议以来,标普500指数截至本周二上涨近7%,是2020年6月以来最佳两次会议期间表现。同时,高盛的一个美国金融状况指数下跌0.8%,是2009年8月以来最大两次会议期间降幅。理查德伯恩斯坦顾问公司(Richard Bernstein Advisors)的副首席投资官DanSuzuki表示:“美国经济增长预期放缓,但还要进一步加息,这对市场来说并不是一个很好的组合,目前市场更大的不确定性是经济增长,而不是美联储。”据悉,美联储主席鲍威尔在利率决议后的新闻发布会上发表的言论最初令市场情绪暗淡。鲍威尔称:“在FOMC确信通胀持续下降之前,我认为我们不会考虑降息。”22V Research的创始人Dennis DeBusschere表示:“他听起来不像是快乐的BrookingsPowell。更像是悲伤的Jackson Hole Powell。”但当鲍威尔表示政策现在正进入良好状态,并将很快“充分限制”时,一些投资者振作了起来。高盛评价鲍威尔讲话称:“市场对终端利率更低的预期和明年下半年降息的乐观情绪一直对美联储不利,在我们看来是不现实的,除非我们看到市场出现金融危机或流动性枯竭,迫使美联储介入并降息。预计美联储将加息至5%以上并保持在这一水平。在这一点上,货币政策仍然不是限制性的。如果明年通胀率低于联邦基金利率,而美联储维持利率不变,货币政策可能就会是限制性的。”以下是其他分析师的看法:Interactive Brokers首席策略师Steve Sosnick称:“红线声明之所以引人注目,是因为它最后划了一条红线——只有利率本身,以及对全球担忧对通胀影响的轻微修正。更高的点阵图和基本不变的声明是对市场预期美联储在2023年加息见顶、暂停加息和政策转向的否定。”地平线投资公司(Horizon Investments)投资组合管理主管Zachary Hill在鲍威尔的新闻发布会之前表示:“乍一看,美联储在当地时间周三下午2点的声明是鹰派的,包括声明中围绕持续加息的措辞,以及23个点的分布。但经济预测摘要也将2024年的降息次数增加到4个,这跟市场预测非常接近,让多头验证对软着陆的定价。”道明证券(TD Securities)美国宏观策略师Oscar Munoz这样评价鲍威尔的言论:“他正在匹配点阵图现在告诉你的东西。他没有像最近那样淡化这些点。这本身就是鹰派。”基础设施资本顾问公司创始人兼首席执行官Jay Hatfield:“在新闻发布会之前,股票和债券价格的关键驱动因素是点阵图,该点阵图比联邦基金期货价格高出约25个基点。我们认为,点阵图的上升已经发出了很好的信号,因此对债券和股票市场的影响非常小。”Principal Asset Management首席全球策略师Seema Shah表示:“美联储仍然对经济衰退的可能性讳莫如深,但鉴于多数官员都认为风险倾向于下行,可以说,他们对经济前景的担忧远远超过他们愿意承认的程度。这为最近的熊市反弹敲响了丧钟。政策利率仅今年就提高了425个基点,而且还会进一步上调,明年也不会下调,所有这些信息,都将最终令市场接受美国经济衰退在所难免的现实。”Guggenheim Partners全球首席投资官Scott Minerd称:“我可以笃信的一个历史数据是,美联储总是预测错误。”AmeriVet Securities美国利率交易和策略主管Gregory Faranello:“市场已经准备挑战美联储了,”2年期收益率远低于美联储5%的政策利率目标。更多港股重磅资讯,下载智通财经app更多港股及海外理财资讯,请点击www.zhitongcaijing.com(搜索“智通财经”);欲加入智通港股投资群,请加智通客服微信(ztcjkf)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":942774137,"gmtCreate":1596249817229,"gmtModify":1704211913075,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCO\">$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$</a>波动越来越小了","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCO\">$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$</a>波动越来越小了","text":"$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$波动越来越小了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/942774137","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":948272708,"gmtCreate":1595408744004,"gmtModify":1704208856621,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>关了大使馆,利空呀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>关了大使馆,利空呀","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 关了大使馆,利空呀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/948272708","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":943821881,"gmtCreate":1594517625343,"gmtModify":1704205828439,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>市场消息:欧佩克+即将放宽减产规模,沙特阿拉伯提议八月份将减产规模从970万桶/日下调至770万桶/日。据悉,欧佩克+国家将在7月15日对此作出最终决定。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>市场消息:欧佩克+即将放宽减产规模,沙特阿拉伯提议八月份将减产规模从970万桶/日下调至770万桶/日。据悉,欧佩克+国家将在7月15日对此作出最终决定。","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 市场消息:欧佩克+即将放宽减产规模,沙特阿拉伯提议八月份将减产规模从970万桶/日下调至770万桶/日。据悉,欧佩克+国家将在7月15日对此作出最终决定。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943821881","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505698435193902","authorId":"3505698435193902","authorIdStr":"3505698435193902","name":"bear者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b9e92c6a8a3752fa2b21ae7b82a490","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"这个是利空吧?","text":"这个是利空吧?","html":"这个是利空吧?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956793042,"gmtCreate":1591787786086,"gmtModify":1704196904107,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>在油价不稳定期间,高盛通过大宗商品交易获利10亿美元。(来自金十数据APP)","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>在油价不稳定期间,高盛通过大宗商品交易获利10亿美元。(来自金十数据APP)","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 在油价不稳定期间,高盛通过大宗商品交易获利10亿美元。(来自金十数据APP)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956793042","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547515728830468","authorId":"3547515728830468","authorIdStr":"3547515728830468","name":"神龙哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fef32de538467def35537b1f2e8925f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"行情剧烈变化的时候,就是这帮资本家发财的时候。他们永远有内幕,而是是在事情发生之前已经知晓。滑铁卢之战的结果,最先知道的不是英国女王,而是罗桐柴尔德。","text":"行情剧烈变化的时候,就是这帮资本家发财的时候。他们永远有内幕,而是是在事情发生之前已经知晓。滑铁卢之战的结果,最先知道的不是英国女王,而是罗桐柴尔德。","html":"行情剧烈变化的时候,就是这帮资本家发财的时候。他们永远有内幕,而是是在事情发生之前已经知晓。滑铁卢之战的结果,最先知道的不是英国女王,而是罗桐柴尔德。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956650203,"gmtCreate":1591686010602,"gmtModify":1704196425667,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>真正的投资研报都是很贵的,高盛免费发原油唱空研报,非奸即盗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>真正的投资研报都是很贵的,高盛免费发原油唱空研报,非奸即盗","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 真正的投资研报都是很贵的,高盛免费发原油唱空研报,非奸即盗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956650203","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956607892,"gmtCreate":1591659185716,"gmtModify":1704196338017,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>美股市场有多疯狂?页岩气先锋切萨皮克公司(Chesapeake)在数周以来一直被传濒临破产,其股价从上周五收盘时的不到25美元今天一夜之间涨至69.92美元,涨幅超过接近200%,而上周五开盘时,该股仅不到16美元。趁着美联储托市,股市中资金泛滥想大赚一笔的赌徒们也许这次该失望了。因为在收盘不久后,有媒体报道,切萨皮克公司正准备申请破产,这可能会将这家油气公司的控制权拱手让给其高级债权人,现在他们手上的股票可能会毫无价值,该公司的市值为6.84亿美元,在过去两天上涨了425% !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>美股市场有多疯狂?页岩气先锋切萨皮克公司(Chesapeake)在数周以来一直被传濒临破产,其股价从上周五收盘时的不到25美元今天一夜之间涨至69.92美元,涨幅超过接近200%,而上周五开盘时,该股仅不到16美元。趁着美联储托市,股市中资金泛滥想大赚一笔的赌徒们也许这次该失望了。因为在收盘不久后,有媒体报道,切萨皮克公司正准备申请破产,这可能会将这家油气公司的控制权拱手让给其高级债权人,现在他们手上的股票可能会毫无价值,该公司的市值为6.84亿美元,在过去两天上涨了425% !","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 美股市场有多疯狂?页岩气先锋切萨皮克公司(Chesapeake)在数周以来一直被传濒临破产,其股价从上周五收盘时的不到25美元今天一夜之间涨至69.92美元,涨幅超过接近200%,而上周五开盘时,该股仅不到16美元。趁着美联储托市,股市中资金泛滥想大赚一笔的赌徒们也许这次该失望了。因为在收盘不久后,有媒体报道,切萨皮克公司正准备申请破产,这可能会将这家油气公司的控制权拱手让给其高级债权人,现在他们手上的股票可能会毫无价值,该公司的市值为6.84亿美元,在过去两天上涨了425% 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无视利空消息,就是跌不下去,看来该上涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/958696810","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548215137362003","authorId":"3548215137362003","authorIdStr":"3548215137362003","name":"_____5295","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/665e4d9f123c62ca3547c61807ce840a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"有很大的利空吗","text":"有很大的利空吗","html":"有很大的利空吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":951772341,"gmtCreate":1591086925583,"gmtModify":1704194282465,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>看来是要暴涨了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>看来是要暴涨了","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 看来是要暴涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/951772341","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3523020859331474","authorId":"3523020859331474","authorIdStr":"3523020859331474","name":"好无聊的老头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e848f36c3f05aba43d9dfccd50ca5aa0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"看到40。大缺口还是要休息下,冲锋","text":"看到40。大缺口还是要休息下,冲锋","html":"看到40。大缺口还是要休息下,冲锋"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":951720402,"gmtCreate":1591068431906,"gmtModify":1704194231807,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>42USD必须一鼓作气拿下,要不然很容易大幅下跌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>42USD必须一鼓作气拿下,要不然很容易大幅下跌","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 42USD必须一鼓作气拿下,要不然很容易大幅下跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/951720402","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3495369785830498","authorId":"3495369785830498","authorIdStr":"3495369785830498","name":"我是我唯一","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8e3c5731d33c050acdd6b195e937f5b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"有那么容易吗","text":"有那么容易吗","html":"有那么容易吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":951224810,"gmtCreate":1590876998530,"gmtModify":1704193833558,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 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今天美盘停止交易,估计波动不会太大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/953209681","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":953301002,"gmtCreate":1590116391006,"gmtModify":1704191873587,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>6月合约的交割价32.38美元应该是现在主力合约的底部。上个月6月合约后面的底部也是5月合约的交割价10美元。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>6月合约的交割价32.38美元应该是现在主力合约的底部。上个月6月合约后面的底部也是5月合约的交割价10美元。","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 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有交割能力的机构可以利用现在6月份合约的期货现货差价进行套利交易","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/950721959","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3550758115028407","authorId":"3550758115028407","authorIdStr":"3550758115028407","name":"orangeChen","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"现在原油现货啥价?","text":"现在原油现货啥价?","html":"现在原油现货啥价?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":994702709,"gmtCreate":1566955775001,"gmtModify":1704715380268,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 小米的高管都是大善人,雷军套现做慈善,林斌套现也要做慈善。","listText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 小米的高管都是大善人,雷军套现做慈善,林斌套现也要做慈善。","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 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</a>市场消息:欧佩克+即将放宽减产规模,沙特阿拉伯提议八月份将减产规模从970万桶/日下调至770万桶/日。据悉,欧佩克+国家将在7月15日对此作出最终决定。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>市场消息:欧佩克+即将放宽减产规模,沙特阿拉伯提议八月份将减产规模从970万桶/日下调至770万桶/日。据悉,欧佩克+国家将在7月15日对此作出最终决定。","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 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42USD必须一鼓作气拿下,要不然很容易大幅下跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/951720402","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3495369785830498","authorId":"3495369785830498","authorIdStr":"3495369785830498","name":"我是我唯一","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8e3c5731d33c050acdd6b195e937f5b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"有那么容易吗","text":"有那么容易吗","html":"有那么容易吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":950760756,"gmtCreate":1589530660875,"gmtModify":1704190201814,"author":{"id":"3453705642332745","authorId":"3453705642332745","authorIdStr":"3453705642332745","name":"梦想2201","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>6月合约马上就交割了,但是6月合约的期货和现货差价这么大,完全就是操纵市场","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>6月合约马上就交割了,但是6月合约的期货和现货差价这么大,完全就是操纵市场","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 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