valueinvest的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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11-15

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

小米汽车再突破：雷军今日揭晓全新智能底盘技术驾驶体验全面革新

10-10

2024/10/10 交易笔记 by valueinvest，

2024/10/10 成本现价浮动收益中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% . 5555

2024/10/10 交易笔记 by valueinvest，

05-10

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 老虎证卷是拖死证券，一辈子都涨不了一寸

2023-12-11

$腾讯控股(00700)$ 港股崩盘了吗？怎么老不见天日？？？

2023-11-03

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2023-11-03

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

Ron Baron Says Tesla's Valuation Can Hit $4 Trillion, But "SpaceX Has a Chance to Be Even Bigger"

2023-10-20

vl

特斯拉又被错杀了吗？多家机构认为是的

2020-11-19

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$财报泄露了？

2020-11-09

$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$麦当劳出竞品，吓成这样啊

2020-11-06

$爱奇艺(IQ)$财报哪天

2020-08-20

$特斯拉(TSLA)$天天这么涨，标普还敢把你纳入么？不怕把标普指数每天弄得鸡飞狗跳？[开心]

2020-07-03

$三生制药(01530)$终于有动静了吗

2020-07-02

$三生制药(01530)$很不给力啊

2020-06-12

看来染石我申2000也中不了几签了。

@一条在锅里游泳的鱼:$燃石医学(BNR)$我传奇生物申6000中20，达达申1000中65，老虎的分配原则是，不好的多分点给你，好票就少给！

2020-05-04

$Biomerica Inc(BMRA)$为啥还没有发批文？黄了？[捂脸]

2020-02-04

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 做空的几个兄弟还好吗？伸出手来[捂脸]

2020-01-22

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 盘后过千亿了吗？

2020-01-21

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 我估计和y即将提前交付有关[微笑]

2020-01-14

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 靠，这是非的逼着老马拿奖金吗[捂脸]

2019-12-21

澳门人均这么高了？牛逼

澳门逆袭二十年：教科书级别的闷声发大财

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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06:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小米汽车再突破：雷军今日揭晓全新智能底盘技术 驾驶体验全面革新","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2483864541","media":"快科技","summary":"快科技11月14日消息，雷军宣布，今天上午10点，他会通过视频发布小米汽车技术的新进展：小米智能底盘预研技术。雷军表示，小米汽车创办之初，我们就下定决心：从底层核心技术出发，十倍投入，认认真真造车！雷军将要介绍的小米智能底盘预研技术，无疑会将小米汽车的操控感和舒适性提升到新的高度，我们拭目以待。","content":"<html><body><p>快科技11月14日消息，<strong>雷军宣布，今天上午10点，他会通过视频发布小米汽车技术的新进展：小米<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>底盘预研技术。</strong></p><p>雷军表示，小米汽车创办之初，我们就下定决心：从底层核心技术出发，十倍投入，认认真真造车！</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p>其实<strong>目前的小米SU7就采用了智能底盘技术，核心是全栈自研底盘控制算法</strong>，让车辆驾驶具备全维感知和全局协同控制的能力，不仅能提前感知前方路况的变化，而且毫秒之间快速响应，实现对车身的全局协同控制，让车辆提前做好准备，有效降低安全风险，远超传统汽车的被动底盘控制。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p>除了智能底盘技术，小米SU7的底盘硬件素质也可圈可点，选择了前双球节双叉臂/后五连杆式独立悬架，并为降低非簧载质量采用了全铝制的悬架连杆。</p><p>并且小米SU7搭载了与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601689\">拓普集团</a>联合开发的闭式空气弹簧系统和采埃孚提供的CDC阻尼可变减振器，其中闭式空气弹簧系统比传统开式系统的调节速度可提高100%，强大的调节能力让舒适性和操控性兼得。</p><p>雷军将要介绍的小米智能底盘预研技术，无疑会将小米汽车的操控感和舒适性提升到新的高度，我们拭目以待。</p></body></html>","source":"ifeng_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小米汽车再突破：雷军今日揭晓全新智能底盘技术 驾驶体验全面革新</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米汽车再突破：雷军今日揭晓全新智能底盘技术 驾驶体验全面革新\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-14 06:46 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8eS4Mkjto75><strong>快科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>快科技11月14日消息，雷军宣布，今天上午10点，他会通过视频发布小米汽车技术的新进展：小米智能底盘预研技术。雷军表示，小米汽车创办之初，我们就下定决心：从底层核心技术出发，十倍投入，认认真真造车！其实目前的小米SU7就采用了智能底盘技术，核心是全栈自研底盘控制算法，让车辆驾驶具备全维感知和全局协同控制的能力，不仅能提前感知前方路况的变化，而且毫秒之间快速响应，实现对车身的全局协同控制，让车辆提前...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8eS4Mkjto75\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","LU2097828631.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (EUR) ACC","LU0348825331.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2097828557.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","01810":"小米集团-W","LU1328277881.USD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH FUND \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0345775950.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF ASIAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0359201885.HKD":"BGF CHINA \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU0314109678.HKD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH \"AA\" (HKD) INC","LU0359201612.USD":"贝莱德中国基金A2","LU0164865239.USD":"HSBC GIF CHINESE EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU1813983027.USD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH \"AA\" (USD) INC","XIACY":"小米集团ADR","SG9999002463.SGD":"LionGlobal China Growth SGD","LU0348827113.USD":"ALLIANZ RCM CHINA \"AT\" ACC","BK4563":"昨日强势股","LU0561508036.HKD":"ALLIANZ CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU1023057109.AUD":"BGF CHINA \"A2\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU1770034418.SGD":"ALL 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交易笔记 by valueinvest，","htmlText":"2024/10/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% &nbsp;. 5555","listText":"2024/10/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% &nbsp;. 5555","text":"2024/10/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% . 5555","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71294a3923311c9d2ea8fd15f83a82f","width":"1022","height":"1206"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358342076711328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":304160135094280,"gmtCreate":1715279290710,"gmtModify":1715293215863,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ &nbsp;</a>老虎证卷是拖死证券，一辈子都涨不了一寸","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ &nbsp;</a>老虎证卷是拖死证券，一辈子都涨不了一寸","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 老虎证卷是拖死证券，一辈子都涨不了一寸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304160135094280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":250916073775120,"gmtCreate":1702267022599,"gmtModify":1702267024106,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$&nbsp;</a>港股崩盘了吗？怎么老不见天日？？？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$&nbsp;</a>港股崩盘了吗？怎么老不见天日？？？","text":"$腾讯控股(00700)$ 港股崩盘了吗？怎么老不见天日？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/250916073775120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":237219079159816,"gmtCreate":1698947644289,"gmtModify":1698947645488,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/237219079159816","repostId":"2380600676","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":237217262088440,"gmtCreate":1698947214666,"gmtModify":1698947217841,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/237217262088440","repostId":"2380600676","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2380600676","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1698885828,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2380600676?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-11-02 08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ron Baron Says Tesla's Valuation Can Hit $4 Trillion, But \"SpaceX Has a Chance to Be Even Bigger\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2380600676","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The billionaire investor has beaten the market by betting on Elon Musk. He lands on the MarketWatch 50 list and, in this interview, remains as bullish as ever.When Ron Baron was starting an investment business, he got some advice from Steve Wynn. The casino magnate told Baron to name his investment company after himself as a way to show clients and customers that he promised to stand behind it. Some four decades later, Baron Capital has made its most important investment in Elon Musk, Inc.But Baron is even more bullish on Space Exploration Technologies Corp., better known as SpaceX. The world's busiest rocket-launching company and its large satellite-Internet subsidiary remain private, but Baron said he expects SpaceX will go public and list on a stock exchange wit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The billionaire investor has beaten the market by betting on Elon Musk. He lands on the MarketWatch 50 list and, in this interview, remains as bullish as ever.</p><p>When Ron Baron was starting an investment business, he got some advice from Steve Wynn. The casino magnate told Baron to name his investment company after himself as a way to show clients and customers that he promised to stand behind it. Some four decades later, Baron Capital has made its most important investment in Elon Musk, Inc.</p><p>Baron invested $570 million in Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, mostly between 2014 and 2016, which was about 2% of his assets under management at the time. Today, after selling some shares, Tesla represents about 10.9% of Baron Capital&#39;s $41 billion under management, and the winning position has helped Baron&#39;s main mutual fund become the only mutual fund to beat the Nasdaq COMP over the last 5, 10 and 15 years, according to a recent Bloomberg analysis, during which time it returned 17% annualized.</p><p>&#34;You get rich by being long-term and by being focused, by owning a small amount of companies,&#34; Baron said in an interview.</p><p>Baron epitomizes a bullish buy-and-hold investing style that has worked in the current environment, where a few big tech stocks, like Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a> and Alphabet <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>, have accounted for a disproportionate share of the stock market&#39;s gains. Baron runs a concentrated portfolio and owns one of the best performing big tech companies, Tesla, and has benefitted from the electric-car maker&#39;s remarkable stock-market run. As a result, he lands on The MarketWatch 50 list of the most influential people in markets.</p><p>Musk himself may have just thrown cold water on Tesla&#39;s long-anticipated cybertruck and expressed concern about the ability of consumers to buy his expensive cars in the face of high interest rates. But Baron says Tesla&#39;s stock will keep rising over time and its market capitalization can grow from its current $630 billion to as much as $4 trillion in 10 years.</p><p>&#34;In the case of Tesla, we are convinced that people cannot do what they&#39;re doing and that, ultimately, it&#39;s not just going to be a car company and it&#39;s not just going to be a battery company,&#34; said Baron. &#34;All the other car companies, which 50 years ago, elected to become much more profitable and outsource supplies and compute to other people. We&#39;re going to be like Intel was inside of computers. This is going to be Tesla inside of cars. All the cars are going to be using Tesla autonomous driving. No one else can possibly compete.&#34;</p><p>But Baron is even more bullish on Space Exploration Technologies Corp., better known as SpaceX. The world&#39;s busiest rocket-launching company and its large satellite-Internet subsidiary remain private, but Baron said he expects SpaceX will go public and list on a stock exchange within the next three years.</p><p>Baron invested about $700 million in SpaceX several years ago and a recent secondary share sale in the private market implied a nearly $150 billion valuation recently for the entire company.</p><p>&#34;We think that by 2030 it likely will be worth somewhere around $500 or $600 billion,&#34; Baron said. &#34;And then in the 2030s, that&#39;s when I expect to make another 10 times our money. So we can make over the next 15 or 20 years, we can make 30 to 50 times our money in SpaceX.&#34;</p><p>Baron added, &#34;I think SpaceX has a chance to be even bigger than Tesla in the 2030s.&#34;</p><p>Baron called SpaceX&#39;s satellite-Internet business as &#34;Internet for the planet&#34; and said that it will be much lower cost in many places than what any competitor could hope to provide.</p><p>&#34;In the case of SpaceX, what they&#39;re going to be doing there, the innovation that other people can&#39;t possibly do, is the fact that they are able to launch rockets and re-use them over and over and over again,&#34; said Baron. &#34;So as a result of that, it costs other people to get to space $100 million, $200 million. It costs us a fraction of that amount ... Basically, we can get our satellites to space for a very low cost.&#34;</p><p>What is the risk of betting so big on one man? Baron said the risk was greater when Tesla and SpaceX were smaller companies with fewer people, a period when he thinks the two companies were even more dependent on Musk. But now, Baron said, those companies are teeming with excellent engineers and talented professionals. He added that 3.5 million people applied for jobs at Tesla and SpaceX last year.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s harder to get a job at Tesla and SpaceX than to get into Harvard,&#34; said Baron. &#34;He has the most brilliant people working there, and that isn&#39;t going to change.&#34;</p><p>At the same time, Baron said, Musk is a unique and irreplaceable force.</p><p>&#34;I&#39;m betting he&#39;s going to stay alive for at least 5 or 10 years,&#34; said Baron. &#34;I think that&#39;s a good bet.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ron Baron Says Tesla's Valuation Can Hit $4 Trillion, But \"SpaceX Has a Chance to Be Even Bigger\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRon Baron Says Tesla's Valuation Can Hit $4 Trillion, But \"SpaceX Has a Chance to Be Even Bigger\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-11-02 08:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The billionaire investor has beaten the market by betting on Elon Musk. He lands on the MarketWatch 50 list and, in this interview, remains as bullish as ever.</p><p>When Ron Baron was starting an investment business, he got some advice from Steve Wynn. The casino magnate told Baron to name his investment company after himself as a way to show clients and customers that he promised to stand behind it. Some four decades later, Baron Capital has made its most important investment in Elon Musk, Inc.</p><p>Baron invested $570 million in Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, mostly between 2014 and 2016, which was about 2% of his assets under management at the time. Today, after selling some shares, Tesla represents about 10.9% of Baron Capital&#39;s $41 billion under management, and the winning position has helped Baron&#39;s main mutual fund become the only mutual fund to beat the Nasdaq COMP over the last 5, 10 and 15 years, according to a recent Bloomberg analysis, during which time it returned 17% annualized.</p><p>&#34;You get rich by being long-term and by being focused, by owning a small amount of companies,&#34; Baron said in an interview.</p><p>Baron epitomizes a bullish buy-and-hold investing style that has worked in the current environment, where a few big tech stocks, like Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a> and Alphabet <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>, have accounted for a disproportionate share of the stock market&#39;s gains. Baron runs a concentrated portfolio and owns one of the best performing big tech companies, Tesla, and has benefitted from the electric-car maker&#39;s remarkable stock-market run. As a result, he lands on The MarketWatch 50 list of the most influential people in markets.</p><p>Musk himself may have just thrown cold water on Tesla&#39;s long-anticipated cybertruck and expressed concern about the ability of consumers to buy his expensive cars in the face of high interest rates. But Baron says Tesla&#39;s stock will keep rising over time and its market capitalization can grow from its current $630 billion to as much as $4 trillion in 10 years.</p><p>&#34;In the case of Tesla, we are convinced that people cannot do what they&#39;re doing and that, ultimately, it&#39;s not just going to be a car company and it&#39;s not just going to be a battery company,&#34; said Baron. &#34;All the other car companies, which 50 years ago, elected to become much more profitable and outsource supplies and compute to other people. We&#39;re going to be like Intel was inside of computers. This is going to be Tesla inside of cars. All the cars are going to be using Tesla autonomous driving. No one else can possibly compete.&#34;</p><p>But Baron is even more bullish on Space Exploration Technologies Corp., better known as SpaceX. The world&#39;s busiest rocket-launching company and its large satellite-Internet subsidiary remain private, but Baron said he expects SpaceX will go public and list on a stock exchange within the next three years.</p><p>Baron invested about $700 million in SpaceX several years ago and a recent secondary share sale in the private market implied a nearly $150 billion valuation recently for the entire company.</p><p>&#34;We think that by 2030 it likely will be worth somewhere around $500 or $600 billion,&#34; Baron said. &#34;And then in the 2030s, that&#39;s when I expect to make another 10 times our money. So we can make over the next 15 or 20 years, we can make 30 to 50 times our money in SpaceX.&#34;</p><p>Baron added, &#34;I think SpaceX has a chance to be even bigger than Tesla in the 2030s.&#34;</p><p>Baron called SpaceX&#39;s satellite-Internet business as &#34;Internet for the planet&#34; and said that it will be much lower cost in many places than what any competitor could hope to provide.</p><p>&#34;In the case of SpaceX, what they&#39;re going to be doing there, the innovation that other people can&#39;t possibly do, is the fact that they are able to launch rockets and re-use them over and over and over again,&#34; said Baron. &#34;So as a result of that, it costs other people to get to space $100 million, $200 million. It costs us a fraction of that amount ... Basically, we can get our satellites to space for a very low cost.&#34;</p><p>What is the risk of betting so big on one man? Baron said the risk was greater when Tesla and SpaceX were smaller companies with fewer people, a period when he thinks the two companies were even more dependent on Musk. But now, Baron said, those companies are teeming with excellent engineers and talented professionals. He added that 3.5 million people applied for jobs at Tesla and SpaceX last year.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s harder to get a job at Tesla and SpaceX than to get into Harvard,&#34; said Baron. &#34;He has the most brilliant people working there, and that isn&#39;t going to change.&#34;</p><p>At the same time, Baron said, Musk is a unique and irreplaceable force.</p><p>&#34;I&#39;m betting he&#39;s going to stay alive for at least 5 or 10 years,&#34; said Baron. &#34;I think that&#39;s a good bet.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2380600676","content_text":"The billionaire investor has beaten the market by betting on Elon Musk. He lands on the MarketWatch 50 list and, in this interview, remains as bullish as ever.When Ron Baron was starting an investment business, he got some advice from Steve Wynn. The casino magnate told Baron to name his investment company after himself as a way to show clients and customers that he promised to stand behind it. Some four decades later, Baron Capital has made its most important investment in Elon Musk, Inc.Baron invested $570 million in Tesla $(TSLA)$, mostly between 2014 and 2016, which was about 2% of his assets under management at the time. Today, after selling some shares, Tesla represents about 10.9% of Baron Capital's $41 billion under management, and the winning position has helped Baron's main mutual fund become the only mutual fund to beat the Nasdaq COMP over the last 5, 10 and 15 years, according to a recent Bloomberg analysis, during which time it returned 17% annualized.\"You get rich by being long-term and by being focused, by owning a small amount of companies,\" Baron said in an interview.Baron epitomizes a bullish buy-and-hold investing style that has worked in the current environment, where a few big tech stocks, like Apple $(AAPL)$, Microsoft $(MSFT)$ and Alphabet $(GOOGL)$, have accounted for a disproportionate share of the stock market's gains. Baron runs a concentrated portfolio and owns one of the best performing big tech companies, Tesla, and has benefitted from the electric-car maker's remarkable stock-market run. As a result, he lands on The MarketWatch 50 list of the most influential people in markets.Musk himself may have just thrown cold water on Tesla's long-anticipated cybertruck and expressed concern about the ability of consumers to buy his expensive cars in the face of high interest rates. But Baron says Tesla's stock will keep rising over time and its market capitalization can grow from its current $630 billion to as much as $4 trillion in 10 years.\"In the case of Tesla, we are convinced that people cannot do what they're doing and that, ultimately, it's not just going to be a car company and it's not just going to be a battery company,\" said Baron. \"All the other car companies, which 50 years ago, elected to become much more profitable and outsource supplies and compute to other people. We're going to be like Intel was inside of computers. This is going to be Tesla inside of cars. All the cars are going to be using Tesla autonomous driving. No one else can possibly compete.\"But Baron is even more bullish on Space Exploration Technologies Corp., better known as SpaceX. The world's busiest rocket-launching company and its large satellite-Internet subsidiary remain private, but Baron said he expects SpaceX will go public and list on a stock exchange within the next three years.Baron invested about $700 million in SpaceX several years ago and a recent secondary share sale in the private market implied a nearly $150 billion valuation recently for the entire company.\"We think that by 2030 it likely will be worth somewhere around $500 or $600 billion,\" Baron said. \"And then in the 2030s, that's when I expect to make another 10 times our money. So we can make over the next 15 or 20 years, we can make 30 to 50 times our money in SpaceX.\"Baron added, \"I think SpaceX has a chance to be even bigger than Tesla in the 2030s.\"Baron called SpaceX's satellite-Internet business as \"Internet for the planet\" and said that it will be much lower cost in many places than what any competitor could hope to provide.\"In the case of SpaceX, what they're going to be doing there, the innovation that other people can't possibly do, is the fact that they are able to launch rockets and re-use them over and over and over again,\" said Baron. \"So as a result of that, it costs other people to get to space $100 million, $200 million. It costs us a fraction of that amount ... Basically, we can get our satellites to space for a very low cost.\"What is the risk of betting so big on one man? Baron said the risk was greater when Tesla and SpaceX were smaller companies with fewer people, a period when he thinks the two companies were even more dependent on Musk. But now, Baron said, those companies are teeming with excellent engineers and talented professionals. He added that 3.5 million people applied for jobs at Tesla and SpaceX last year.\"It's harder to get a job at Tesla and SpaceX than to get into Harvard,\" said Baron. \"He has the most brilliant people working there, and that isn't going to change.\"At the same time, Baron said, Musk is a unique and irreplaceable force.\"I'm betting he's going to stay alive for at least 5 or 10 years,\" said Baron. \"I think that's a good bet.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":232583837638848,"gmtCreate":1697810923619,"gmtModify":1697810925002,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"vl","listText":"vl","text":"vl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/232583837638848","repostId":"1121722542","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1121722542","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1697784812,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121722542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-10-20 14:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉又被错杀了吗？多家机构认为是的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121722542","media":"Wind万得","summary":"$特斯拉$本周在财报公布后一度大跌9%，随后一个交易日继续下挫。自从特斯拉迈过“交付地狱”开始盈利之后，这种市场表现是比较罕见的。那么这一次，特斯拉还是像以往那样，属于“错杀”吗？Tom Narayan 重申了对特斯拉股票跑赢大盘的投资评级。Alexander Potter补充称，对特斯拉能源业务的利润率感到“鼓舞”。不过对特斯拉未来表现更加担忧是市场主流情绪。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>本周在财报公布后一度大跌9%，随后一个交易日继续下挫。自从特斯拉迈过“交付地狱”开始盈利之后，这种市场表现是比较罕见的。那么这一次，特斯拉还是像以往那样，属于“错杀”吗？</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5628784ad676f9a51ef0de8e328ab99a\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Evercore ISI分析师Chris McNally表示，特斯拉公布的盈利缺口，标志着其“三年来首次严重失误”。考虑到Cybertruck推出的经济环境和复杂性，这家电动汽车制造商在2024年也发出了更为谨慎的盈利前瞻。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>资本市场分析师Tom Narayan 认为，华尔街这一次可能真是“一叶障目”了。他写道，“投资者可能会将注意力，集中在对2024年的谨慎指引和下一代产品的潜在延迟方面，但我们怀疑这可能是从汽车制造商转变为一级供应商的主要转型的一部分。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Tom Narayan称，“特斯拉的汽车仍然是特斯拉公司的明星产品，但该公司还通过销售全自动驾驶系统赚钱。我们认为销售电力、电子产品、电池、充电，以及最终的全自动驾驶系统，可能会更有利可图。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Tom Narayan 重申了对特斯拉股票跑赢大盘的投资评级。不过他也承认，在下一份盈利报告发布之前，对2024年交付量的普遍预期可能会下降。Tom Narayan将该股的目标价从305美元下调至301美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Piper Sandler的Alexander Potter表示，特斯拉的盈利失误对投资者来说不应该太令人惊讶，认为特斯拉的利润率未来会更好。</strong>他写道：“从积极的方面来看，固定电池业务创下了一个特殊的季度，毛利率为24.4%”；此外，销售成本“也呈好的趋势，这预示着利润率的回升”。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexander Potter补充称，对特斯拉能源业务的利润率感到“鼓舞”。他指出，“随着能源部门利润的增长，投资者可能不再如此专注于汽车业务。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexander Potter对特斯拉的股票给与了增持评级和290美元的目标价，称其为“未来一年（及以后）最喜欢的持股”，尽管“很难确定未来几个月的上行催化剂”。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Baird的Ben Kallo 也持类似观点：“能源和服务业务的不断增长鼓舞人心”，并表示随着特斯拉产品达到一定规模，利润率应该会提高。他给该股的评级是跑赢大盘，目标价为300美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">不过对特斯拉未来表现更加担忧是市场主流情绪。Bernstein分析师Toni Sacconaghi在报告中表示，特斯拉第三季度业绩“疲软”，“对其电话财报会议的评论更令人担忧”。他表示，该公司对墨西哥工厂的“犹豫”尤其令人担忧，因为该工厂预计将成为未来成本更低的Model 2的主要制造工厂。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉又被错杀了吗？多家机构认为是的</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉又被错杀了吗？多家机构认为是的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-10-20 14:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>本周在财报公布后一度大跌9%，随后一个交易日继续下挫。自从特斯拉迈过“交付地狱”开始盈利之后，这种市场表现是比较罕见的。那么这一次，特斯拉还是像以往那样，属于“错杀”吗？</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5628784ad676f9a51ef0de8e328ab99a\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Evercore ISI分析师Chris McNally表示，特斯拉公布的盈利缺口，标志着其“三年来首次严重失误”。考虑到Cybertruck推出的经济环境和复杂性，这家电动汽车制造商在2024年也发出了更为谨慎的盈利前瞻。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>资本市场分析师Tom Narayan 认为，华尔街这一次可能真是“一叶障目”了。他写道，“投资者可能会将注意力，集中在对2024年的谨慎指引和下一代产品的潜在延迟方面，但我们怀疑这可能是从汽车制造商转变为一级供应商的主要转型的一部分。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Tom Narayan称，“特斯拉的汽车仍然是特斯拉公司的明星产品，但该公司还通过销售全自动驾驶系统赚钱。我们认为销售电力、电子产品、电池、充电，以及最终的全自动驾驶系统，可能会更有利可图。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Tom Narayan 重申了对特斯拉股票跑赢大盘的投资评级。不过他也承认，在下一份盈利报告发布之前，对2024年交付量的普遍预期可能会下降。Tom Narayan将该股的目标价从305美元下调至301美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Piper Sandler的Alexander Potter表示，特斯拉的盈利失误对投资者来说不应该太令人惊讶，认为特斯拉的利润率未来会更好。</strong>他写道：“从积极的方面来看，固定电池业务创下了一个特殊的季度，毛利率为24.4%”；此外，销售成本“也呈好的趋势，这预示着利润率的回升”。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexander Potter补充称，对特斯拉能源业务的利润率感到“鼓舞”。他指出，“随着能源部门利润的增长，投资者可能不再如此专注于汽车业务。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexander Potter对特斯拉的股票给与了增持评级和290美元的目标价，称其为“未来一年（及以后）最喜欢的持股”，尽管“很难确定未来几个月的上行催化剂”。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Baird的Ben Kallo 也持类似观点：“能源和服务业务的不断增长鼓舞人心”，并表示随着特斯拉产品达到一定规模，利润率应该会提高。他给该股的评级是跑赢大盘，目标价为300美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">不过对特斯拉未来表现更加担忧是市场主流情绪。Bernstein分析师Toni Sacconaghi在报告中表示，特斯拉第三季度业绩“疲软”，“对其电话财报会议的评论更令人担忧”。他表示，该公司对墨西哥工厂的“犹豫”尤其令人担忧，因为该工厂预计将成为未来成本更低的Model 2的主要制造工厂。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES 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21:44","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"澳门逆袭二十年：教科书级别的闷声发大财","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138906014","media":"丫丫港股圈","summary":"在电影《妈阁有座城》里面，有个片段是房地产商段先生和华仔在澳门进行豪赌，赢了就一铺翻本。虽然段先生一度手气非常好，但却由于一次误判捉错路，最终倾家荡产。\n\n人生其实也像一场局，每分每秒都在揭盅，我们做","content":"<p><span>在电影《妈阁有座城》里面，有个片段是房地产商段先生和华仔在澳门进行豪赌，赢了就一铺翻本。虽然段先生一度手气非常好，但却由于一次误判捉错路，最终倾家荡产。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1b8956a50bab1cb56b37fcb12a639df\"></p>\n<p><span>人生其实也像一场局，每分每秒都在揭盅，我们做的每一个决定都是一次下注。</span></p>\n<p><span>局面的走向，随时可能由下一张牌所改变。</span></p>\n<p><span>今天是澳门回归20周年，澳门政府将宣布一系列利好政策。</span></p>\n<p><span>这一次，\"荷官\"又发牌了，澳门还会继续闷声发大财吗？</span></p>\n<p><b><span>牌面</span></b></p>\n<p><span>在知乎上查找：\"在澳门生活是一种怎样的体验\"，你可以找到各种各样的回答，读完这些回答的感受只有两个字：悠闲。</span></p>\n<p><span>和香港不一样，澳门很小，占地只有32.9平方公里，就算是我们深圳的南山区，也有5个澳门大。在澳门只要办一个赛车比赛，或者举办一个公益马拉松，整个交通都会几乎陷入瘫痪。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e635cda2340aba0304bd19fa854ee4d\"></p>\n<p><span>澳门的生活节奏不是很快，慢吞吞的过完一天时间，是这里的常态。由于主要业务是旅游娱乐业，这里上班时间一般比内地晚两个小时，十点开工，十二点关门，对于游客来说，刚刚好。</span></p>\n<p><span>无论是商场里的店员，还是马路边的街坊，对待游客都很亲切，全然没有优越感。她们闲的时候甚至会跟你扯家常，即使你最终没在那家消费，也会受到很好的待遇。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>而就是这样一个面积狭小，民风淳朴的宜居城市，却同时是人均GDP全球第二高的城市。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>回归二十年，澳门生产总值从1999年的519亿澳门元大幅增至2018年的4447亿澳门元，人均GDP也由1999年的1.55万美元，跃升至2018年的9.2万美元，位列世界第二。</span></p>\n<p><span>回归后，澳门依然保持独立关税区和自由港地位，享有良好的税率和独立的司法，加上中国政府的背书，澳门加入的国际组织从50多个增加到100多个，成为很多海内外商人的贸易中转站。</span></p>\n<p><span>2003年之后，澳门自由行进一步带旺了澳门的旅游、菠菜、零售行业。从2002到2011年，澳门菠菜业收入从235亿澳门元上升至2691亿澳门元，9年增加11倍。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>总体来说，澳门回归二十年，在经济上取得显著的进步。但是在形式上，相比隔壁香港的躁动不安，澳门更愿意闷声发财。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>这里面的最主要的原因，是两者不一样的心态。香港回归时，贵为亚洲四小龙，在英国的统治下蒸蒸日上；而澳门回归时，由于葡萄牙政府放弃治疗，黑帮们趁政治真空疯狂火拼，给澳门留下了史上最黑暗的四年。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff984cc10b7b52a59adcb8a18b14128\"></p>\n<p><span>比如说当时澳门势力最大的黑社会头目尹国驹(绰号\"崩牙驹\")。澳门回归前，尹国驹统领着遍布于港澳地区的10万门徒，控制了澳门的诸多赌场、酒店，被澳门百姓称为\"地下澳督\"。</span></p>\n<p><span>在距离澳门回归仅有两年时，澳葡当局曾经为了加强社会治安，大力扫荡黑帮。尹国驹当然不甘示弱，马上命人投掷炸弹，袭击下令澳门扫黑的澳葡当局二号人物白德安。后者侥幸存命，但座驾被炸毁，澳门警察总部大楼，也被尹国驹的手下掷入炸弹。</span></p>\n<p><span>澳门黑帮的猖獗，可见一斑。当时的澳门人民深受其害，民不聊生。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7943669fa967a1a6ff96ce5d1d9388c8\"></p>\n<p><span>1999年12月20零时，澳门回归中国，随后解放军火速进驻澳门，将\"崩牙驹\"等大佬一一逮捕，澳门本地的杀入案在一年内由37桩降至1桩，社会治安情况明显好转。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>深受黑帮之害的澳门人民，深知安定的社会环境有多重要</span></b><span>，对于回归，他们更多的是感恩，而不是抗拒。</span></p>\n<p><span>澳门回归之后，治安环境明显改善，澳门市民安居乐业，经济水平快速攀升。最后，这些又正向反馈到市民的福利水平上。</span></p>\n<p><span>目前，澳门的福利水平排名全球前列，一位65岁以上的老人每月可领的养老金，林林总总可以到6099澳门元；婴幼儿可享受5260元出生津贴、涵盖13种疾病的免费疫苗，同时幼儿园到高中的15年免费教育，并按学年发放多种补贴。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>老有所养，幼有所依，年轻人自然可以放开手拼搏</span></b><span>。虽然澳门房价也高，市民生活也有压力，却不会像香港那样出现社会撕裂的情况。</span></p>\n<p><span>这场一国两制的试验，香港和澳门用了两种不同的方式演绎，效果如何，见仁见智。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>以上这些就是澳门的\"牌面\"，面积虽然小，但是宜居，政治稳定，市民安居乐业。</span></b></p>\n<p><b><span>发牌</span></b></p>\n<p><span>其实，澳门的\"起手牌\"并不好，能有现在这样的\"牌面\"，离不开国家不断的\"喂牌\"。</span></p>\n<p><span>首先是自身的缺陷：面积太小。澳门占地只有32.9平方公里，人口仅有62万人，市场空间过小决定了其无法发展太多产业。</span></p>\n<p><span>这也是郑裕彤、何鸿燊等一众从澳门发迹的富豪，在上世纪60年代纷纷转战香港的原因。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ee6630103e044aabf8e76f0745c47a\"></p>\n<p><b><span>所以国家给澳门发的第一张牌就是基础设施的建设。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>回归之后，内地各省市纷纷加大与澳门特区的合作。资料显示，维持澳门正常运转的90％以上的淡水、60％左右的电力、80％的粮食和几乎全部的活禽蔬菜，均由内地省市常年不断地供应。</span></p>\n<p><span>除了物资补给，国家在澳门的交通建设上不遗余力。除了花费巨资修建港珠澳大桥，自2012年2月21日开始动工的澳门轻轨氹仔线正式投入运营，该线连接了澳门海、陆、空三个重要口岸，将极大方便当地居民及游客的交通出行。</span></p>\n<p><span>更重要的是，据横琴新区有关负责人透露，横琴新口岸在本月20日预期将具备全面通关条件，但具体开通时间仍需经国家批准。横琴岛面积三倍于澳门现有面积，对地皮紧张的澳门来说，若能加速与横琴融为一体，澳门地理上的劣势将被修补。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>面积小导致的产业结构单一，是澳门的第二个问题。目前，菠菜业占据了澳门接近一半的GDP，针对这个问题，国家发给澳门的第二张牌是发展澳门的金融产业。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>近年来， 国家一直在为澳门创造机会。2018年12月12日，中华(澳门)金融资产交易股份有限公司(简称“澳金所”、“MOX”等)正式挂牌成立，这是一家以债券发行和交易为业务主体的金融资产交易中心。</span></p>\n<p><span>澳金所成立之后，澳门<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBOC\">国际银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601988\">中国银行</a>、中国农业发展银行陆续在澳金所上面发行人民币债券，发行债券的目的很大程度上是稳定澳门的离岸人民币市场。</span></p>\n<p><span>货币的汇率决定于利率，而利率，在市场化条件下，取决于政府债券的收益率。中国政府在澳门发行离岸人民币债券，本质上将为澳门的离岸人民币提供定价值锚。</span></p>\n<p><span>因此，澳金所的成立，一方面为企业提供了直接融资的渠道，另一方面为澳门离岸人民币提供定价机制，</span><span><b>而最终的影响，就是做大澳门的金融市场，提高澳门市场的离岸人民币容量。</b></span></p>\n<p><b><span>这两张牌发下来，澳门的\"牌面\"开始有赢家相，但最后能否顺利\"吃糊\"，还要看最后一张牌：澳门证券交易所能否建立。</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdfc7908864429bba4687c4688d8ce63\"></p>\n<p><span>早在今年10月份，在广州举行的“第八届岭南论坛”上，广州省地方金融监管局党组书记何晓军曾说过，希望将澳门证券交易所打造成人民币离岸市场的纳斯达克。</span></p>\n<p><span>假如能成功建立澳门证券交易所，澳门将撕掉赌城的标签，一跃成为另外一个离岸人民币金融中心，经济、国际地位都将获益。中国的企业也将多一个融资的地方，逐步摆脱对纳斯达克的依赖。</span></p>\n<p><span>诚然，澳门成为金融中心，法律系统、离岸人民币数量都是掣肘。但是，这些问题，实际上都是可以解决的，只要国家的决心够大。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>据路透社消息，澳门回归二十周年有关庆典的时候，有可能向澳门派发这张重要的\"牌\"。未来，牌局的走势如何，我们拭目以待。</span></b></p>\n<p><b><span>下注</span></b></p>\n<p><span>既然澳门的\"牌面\"不错，\"手风\"也似乎可以，那么投资者该如何下注澳门呢？</span></p>\n<p><span>下注之前，我们先看看在赌什么？</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/422d3a25224a4cd3f5fae62981233f5e\"></p>\n<p><b><span>澳门要建证券交易所，配套设施不能少</span></b><span>，比如投行、券商、银行等等，无论是人、场地还是服务，都必然要从零开始建设，届时，资金、人才都会涌入澳门。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>澳交所建好后，第二步就入货</span></b><span>。目前广东省有4.5万家国家级高新技术企业，但其中的上市公司只有600家，上市公司数仅占国家级高新技术企业的1.8%，上市需求巨大。</span></p>\n<p><span>这些企业中，大部分在资金体量、盈利能力等方面暂没有进入沪深证券交易所上市的机会。而假如要到纳斯达克或者港交所上市，结合近一年来贸易战带来的摩擦和香港的暴乱，始终有些受制于人的感觉。</span></p>\n<p><span>而澳门，既有距离上的优势，又有良好的司法和体制，将是这批公司融资的最好去处。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>交易所建好，公司摆上货架，第三步就要开门接客</span></b><span>。澳交所有了好的投资标的，大量手持人民币的外国友人，势必会冲到澳门疯狂撒币。那么无论是澳门的金融业、旅游业，国内急需融资的高新技术企业，都会从中收益。</span></p>\n<p><span>无论从哪个环节来看，澳门都有很大的发展空间。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>所以，我们要赌的，就是澳门交易所建立好带来的改变</span></b><span>。无论是金融设施的建设，还是人才资金涌入后，对澳门房价的影响，又或者是国内公司赴澳上市的发展红利，这种种的变化，都蕴藏着巨大的机会。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54dba6cf12f6a335fe8e16b6b4d056be\"></p>\n<p><b><span>看完回报，我们再来看看赔率：建立交易所的概率有多大。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>首先，人民币国际化是势在必行的，离岸交易中心也是必需的。过去数十年，美国不断的靠\"美元霸权\"在全世界吸血，特别是经历过去一整年的贸易摩擦，我国更需要推动人民币国际化，建立离岸交易中心，将主导权掌握在自己手里面。</span></p>\n<p><span>但是为什么要选择澳门呢？</span></p>\n<p><span>维基百科上对</span><span><b>离岸金融</b></span><span>是这样定义的：离岸金融是指设在某国境内但与该国金融无甚联系，且不受该国金融法规管制的金融机构所进行的资金融通活动。</span></p>\n<p><span>由于国内在金融上有管制，所以国内两大交易所所在地上海和深圳基本可以被排除，潜在的离岸中心只剩下香港和澳门。而近半年，香港的暴乱事件如鲠在喉，假如在香港成立股票交易所，总有受制于人的感觉。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8c6a394e981885a391d21cd0b91e3c8\"></p>\n<p><span>澳门作为经济特区，和香港一样背靠大湾区，本身也拥有极高的货币自由度和流通性，同时，在法律上，澳门享有高度自治，其司法制度更容易被国外投资者接受。</span></p>\n<p><span>但是在政治上，澳门远比香港要稳定，同时还是面向葡萄牙、西班牙等拉美系国家的窗口。</span><b><span>在这里建立中国的纳斯达克，也许真的比香港更合适。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>澳门，也许马上要迎来他们的新\"赌场\"了。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>总结</span></b></p>\n<p><span>人最怕的，其实不是输钱，而是抓了几张本不属于自己的牌，侥幸赢钱。</span></p>\n<p><span>可这些从命运手里偷来的好牌不属于你，早晚要输回给命运。只有到那个时候，你才会知道代价有多大。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79234c557e2a046ffa26313fae52c09b\"></p>\n<p><span>香港、澳门都是一张桌子上的赌客，发牌的荷官是我们强大的祖国。过去几十年，相比手风顺、牌风浪的香港兄弟，澳门兄弟虽然起手牌不好，但是由于荷官发牌发得好，也能闷声发大财。</span></p>\n<p><span>打的回合多了，澳门兄弟逐渐明白了一个道理：这个桌上赌的，不是牌，是国运。</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>澳门逆袭二十年：教科书级别的闷声发大财</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n澳门逆袭二十年：教科书级别的闷声发大财\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1055767104\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72e80eef358bde27914deb6b2315953);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">丫丫港股圈 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2019-12-20 21:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><span>在电影《妈阁有座城》里面，有个片段是房地产商段先生和华仔在澳门进行豪赌，赢了就一铺翻本。虽然段先生一度手气非常好，但却由于一次误判捉错路，最终倾家荡产。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1b8956a50bab1cb56b37fcb12a639df\"></p>\n<p><span>人生其实也像一场局，每分每秒都在揭盅，我们做的每一个决定都是一次下注。</span></p>\n<p><span>局面的走向，随时可能由下一张牌所改变。</span></p>\n<p><span>今天是澳门回归20周年，澳门政府将宣布一系列利好政策。</span></p>\n<p><span>这一次，\"荷官\"又发牌了，澳门还会继续闷声发大财吗？</span></p>\n<p><b><span>牌面</span></b></p>\n<p><span>在知乎上查找：\"在澳门生活是一种怎样的体验\"，你可以找到各种各样的回答，读完这些回答的感受只有两个字：悠闲。</span></p>\n<p><span>和香港不一样，澳门很小，占地只有32.9平方公里，就算是我们深圳的南山区，也有5个澳门大。在澳门只要办一个赛车比赛，或者举办一个公益马拉松，整个交通都会几乎陷入瘫痪。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e635cda2340aba0304bd19fa854ee4d\"></p>\n<p><span>澳门的生活节奏不是很快，慢吞吞的过完一天时间，是这里的常态。由于主要业务是旅游娱乐业，这里上班时间一般比内地晚两个小时，十点开工，十二点关门，对于游客来说，刚刚好。</span></p>\n<p><span>无论是商场里的店员，还是马路边的街坊，对待游客都很亲切，全然没有优越感。她们闲的时候甚至会跟你扯家常，即使你最终没在那家消费，也会受到很好的待遇。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>而就是这样一个面积狭小，民风淳朴的宜居城市，却同时是人均GDP全球第二高的城市。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>回归二十年，澳门生产总值从1999年的519亿澳门元大幅增至2018年的4447亿澳门元，人均GDP也由1999年的1.55万美元，跃升至2018年的9.2万美元，位列世界第二。</span></p>\n<p><span>回归后，澳门依然保持独立关税区和自由港地位，享有良好的税率和独立的司法，加上中国政府的背书，澳门加入的国际组织从50多个增加到100多个，成为很多海内外商人的贸易中转站。</span></p>\n<p><span>2003年之后，澳门自由行进一步带旺了澳门的旅游、菠菜、零售行业。从2002到2011年，澳门菠菜业收入从235亿澳门元上升至2691亿澳门元，9年增加11倍。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>总体来说，澳门回归二十年，在经济上取得显著的进步。但是在形式上，相比隔壁香港的躁动不安，澳门更愿意闷声发财。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>这里面的最主要的原因，是两者不一样的心态。香港回归时，贵为亚洲四小龙，在英国的统治下蒸蒸日上；而澳门回归时，由于葡萄牙政府放弃治疗，黑帮们趁政治真空疯狂火拼，给澳门留下了史上最黑暗的四年。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff984cc10b7b52a59adcb8a18b14128\"></p>\n<p><span>比如说当时澳门势力最大的黑社会头目尹国驹(绰号\"崩牙驹\")。澳门回归前，尹国驹统领着遍布于港澳地区的10万门徒，控制了澳门的诸多赌场、酒店，被澳门百姓称为\"地下澳督\"。</span></p>\n<p><span>在距离澳门回归仅有两年时，澳葡当局曾经为了加强社会治安，大力扫荡黑帮。尹国驹当然不甘示弱，马上命人投掷炸弹，袭击下令澳门扫黑的澳葡当局二号人物白德安。后者侥幸存命，但座驾被炸毁，澳门警察总部大楼，也被尹国驹的手下掷入炸弹。</span></p>\n<p><span>澳门黑帮的猖獗，可见一斑。当时的澳门人民深受其害，民不聊生。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7943669fa967a1a6ff96ce5d1d9388c8\"></p>\n<p><span>1999年12月20零时，澳门回归中国，随后解放军火速进驻澳门，将\"崩牙驹\"等大佬一一逮捕，澳门本地的杀入案在一年内由37桩降至1桩，社会治安情况明显好转。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>深受黑帮之害的澳门人民，深知安定的社会环境有多重要</span></b><span>，对于回归，他们更多的是感恩，而不是抗拒。</span></p>\n<p><span>澳门回归之后，治安环境明显改善，澳门市民安居乐业，经济水平快速攀升。最后，这些又正向反馈到市民的福利水平上。</span></p>\n<p><span>目前，澳门的福利水平排名全球前列，一位65岁以上的老人每月可领的养老金，林林总总可以到6099澳门元；婴幼儿可享受5260元出生津贴、涵盖13种疾病的免费疫苗，同时幼儿园到高中的15年免费教育，并按学年发放多种补贴。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>老有所养，幼有所依，年轻人自然可以放开手拼搏</span></b><span>。虽然澳门房价也高，市民生活也有压力，却不会像香港那样出现社会撕裂的情况。</span></p>\n<p><span>这场一国两制的试验，香港和澳门用了两种不同的方式演绎，效果如何，见仁见智。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>以上这些就是澳门的\"牌面\"，面积虽然小，但是宜居，政治稳定，市民安居乐业。</span></b></p>\n<p><b><span>发牌</span></b></p>\n<p><span>其实，澳门的\"起手牌\"并不好，能有现在这样的\"牌面\"，离不开国家不断的\"喂牌\"。</span></p>\n<p><span>首先是自身的缺陷：面积太小。澳门占地只有32.9平方公里，人口仅有62万人，市场空间过小决定了其无法发展太多产业。</span></p>\n<p><span>这也是郑裕彤、何鸿燊等一众从澳门发迹的富豪，在上世纪60年代纷纷转战香港的原因。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ee6630103e044aabf8e76f0745c47a\"></p>\n<p><b><span>所以国家给澳门发的第一张牌就是基础设施的建设。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>回归之后，内地各省市纷纷加大与澳门特区的合作。资料显示，维持澳门正常运转的90％以上的淡水、60％左右的电力、80％的粮食和几乎全部的活禽蔬菜，均由内地省市常年不断地供应。</span></p>\n<p><span>除了物资补给，国家在澳门的交通建设上不遗余力。除了花费巨资修建港珠澳大桥，自2012年2月21日开始动工的澳门轻轨氹仔线正式投入运营，该线连接了澳门海、陆、空三个重要口岸，将极大方便当地居民及游客的交通出行。</span></p>\n<p><span>更重要的是，据横琴新区有关负责人透露，横琴新口岸在本月20日预期将具备全面通关条件，但具体开通时间仍需经国家批准。横琴岛面积三倍于澳门现有面积，对地皮紧张的澳门来说，若能加速与横琴融为一体，澳门地理上的劣势将被修补。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>面积小导致的产业结构单一，是澳门的第二个问题。目前，菠菜业占据了澳门接近一半的GDP，针对这个问题，国家发给澳门的第二张牌是发展澳门的金融产业。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>近年来， 国家一直在为澳门创造机会。2018年12月12日，中华(澳门)金融资产交易股份有限公司(简称“澳金所”、“MOX”等)正式挂牌成立，这是一家以债券发行和交易为业务主体的金融资产交易中心。</span></p>\n<p><span>澳金所成立之后，澳门<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBOC\">国际银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601988\">中国银行</a>、中国农业发展银行陆续在澳金所上面发行人民币债券，发行债券的目的很大程度上是稳定澳门的离岸人民币市场。</span></p>\n<p><span>货币的汇率决定于利率，而利率，在市场化条件下，取决于政府债券的收益率。中国政府在澳门发行离岸人民币债券，本质上将为澳门的离岸人民币提供定价值锚。</span></p>\n<p><span>因此，澳金所的成立，一方面为企业提供了直接融资的渠道，另一方面为澳门离岸人民币提供定价机制，</span><span><b>而最终的影响，就是做大澳门的金融市场，提高澳门市场的离岸人民币容量。</b></span></p>\n<p><b><span>这两张牌发下来，澳门的\"牌面\"开始有赢家相，但最后能否顺利\"吃糊\"，还要看最后一张牌：澳门证券交易所能否建立。</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdfc7908864429bba4687c4688d8ce63\"></p>\n<p><span>早在今年10月份，在广州举行的“第八届岭南论坛”上，广州省地方金融监管局党组书记何晓军曾说过，希望将澳门证券交易所打造成人民币离岸市场的纳斯达克。</span></p>\n<p><span>假如能成功建立澳门证券交易所，澳门将撕掉赌城的标签，一跃成为另外一个离岸人民币金融中心，经济、国际地位都将获益。中国的企业也将多一个融资的地方，逐步摆脱对纳斯达克的依赖。</span></p>\n<p><span>诚然，澳门成为金融中心，法律系统、离岸人民币数量都是掣肘。但是，这些问题，实际上都是可以解决的，只要国家的决心够大。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>据路透社消息，澳门回归二十周年有关庆典的时候，有可能向澳门派发这张重要的\"牌\"。未来，牌局的走势如何，我们拭目以待。</span></b></p>\n<p><b><span>下注</span></b></p>\n<p><span>既然澳门的\"牌面\"不错，\"手风\"也似乎可以，那么投资者该如何下注澳门呢？</span></p>\n<p><span>下注之前，我们先看看在赌什么？</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/422d3a25224a4cd3f5fae62981233f5e\"></p>\n<p><b><span>澳门要建证券交易所，配套设施不能少</span></b><span>，比如投行、券商、银行等等，无论是人、场地还是服务，都必然要从零开始建设，届时，资金、人才都会涌入澳门。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>澳交所建好后，第二步就入货</span></b><span>。目前广东省有4.5万家国家级高新技术企业，但其中的上市公司只有600家，上市公司数仅占国家级高新技术企业的1.8%，上市需求巨大。</span></p>\n<p><span>这些企业中，大部分在资金体量、盈利能力等方面暂没有进入沪深证券交易所上市的机会。而假如要到纳斯达克或者港交所上市，结合近一年来贸易战带来的摩擦和香港的暴乱，始终有些受制于人的感觉。</span></p>\n<p><span>而澳门，既有距离上的优势，又有良好的司法和体制，将是这批公司融资的最好去处。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>交易所建好，公司摆上货架，第三步就要开门接客</span></b><span>。澳交所有了好的投资标的，大量手持人民币的外国友人，势必会冲到澳门疯狂撒币。那么无论是澳门的金融业、旅游业，国内急需融资的高新技术企业，都会从中收益。</span></p>\n<p><span>无论从哪个环节来看，澳门都有很大的发展空间。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>所以，我们要赌的，就是澳门交易所建立好带来的改变</span></b><span>。无论是金融设施的建设，还是人才资金涌入后，对澳门房价的影响，又或者是国内公司赴澳上市的发展红利，这种种的变化，都蕴藏着巨大的机会。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54dba6cf12f6a335fe8e16b6b4d056be\"></p>\n<p><b><span>看完回报，我们再来看看赔率：建立交易所的概率有多大。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>首先，人民币国际化是势在必行的，离岸交易中心也是必需的。过去数十年，美国不断的靠\"美元霸权\"在全世界吸血，特别是经历过去一整年的贸易摩擦，我国更需要推动人民币国际化，建立离岸交易中心，将主导权掌握在自己手里面。</span></p>\n<p><span>但是为什么要选择澳门呢？</span></p>\n<p><span>维基百科上对</span><span><b>离岸金融</b></span><span>是这样定义的：离岸金融是指设在某国境内但与该国金融无甚联系，且不受该国金融法规管制的金融机构所进行的资金融通活动。</span></p>\n<p><span>由于国内在金融上有管制，所以国内两大交易所所在地上海和深圳基本可以被排除，潜在的离岸中心只剩下香港和澳门。而近半年，香港的暴乱事件如鲠在喉，假如在香港成立股票交易所，总有受制于人的感觉。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8c6a394e981885a391d21cd0b91e3c8\"></p>\n<p><span>澳门作为经济特区，和香港一样背靠大湾区，本身也拥有极高的货币自由度和流通性，同时，在法律上，澳门享有高度自治，其司法制度更容易被国外投资者接受。</span></p>\n<p><span>但是在政治上，澳门远比香港要稳定，同时还是面向葡萄牙、西班牙等拉美系国家的窗口。</span><b><span>在这里建立中国的纳斯达克，也许真的比香港更合适。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>澳门，也许马上要迎来他们的新\"赌场\"了。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>总结</span></b></p>\n<p><span>人最怕的，其实不是输钱，而是抓了几张本不属于自己的牌，侥幸赢钱。</span></p>\n<p><span>可这些从命运手里偷来的好牌不属于你，早晚要输回给命运。只有到那个时候，你才会知道代价有多大。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79234c557e2a046ffa26313fae52c09b\"></p>\n<p><span>香港、澳门都是一张桌子上的赌客，发牌的荷官是我们强大的祖国。过去几十年，相比手风顺、牌风浪的香港兄弟，澳门兄弟虽然起手牌不好，但是由于荷官发牌发得好，也能闷声发大财。</span></p>\n<p><span>打的回合多了，澳门兄弟逐渐明白了一个道理：这个桌上赌的，不是牌，是国运。</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e7dd3078d67c11a6381688213d0b273","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138906014","content_text":"在电影《妈阁有座城》里面，有个片段是房地产商段先生和华仔在澳门进行豪赌，赢了就一铺翻本。虽然段先生一度手气非常好，但却由于一次误判捉错路，最终倾家荡产。\n\n人生其实也像一场局，每分每秒都在揭盅，我们做的每一个决定都是一次下注。\n局面的走向，随时可能由下一张牌所改变。\n今天是澳门回归20周年，澳门政府将宣布一系列利好政策。\n这一次，\"荷官\"又发牌了，澳门还会继续闷声发大财吗？\n牌面\n在知乎上查找：\"在澳门生活是一种怎样的体验\"，你可以找到各种各样的回答，读完这些回答的感受只有两个字：悠闲。\n和香港不一样，澳门很小，占地只有32.9平方公里，就算是我们深圳的南山区，也有5个澳门大。在澳门只要办一个赛车比赛，或者举办一个公益马拉松，整个交通都会几乎陷入瘫痪。\n\n澳门的生活节奏不是很快，慢吞吞的过完一天时间，是这里的常态。由于主要业务是旅游娱乐业，这里上班时间一般比内地晚两个小时，十点开工，十二点关门，对于游客来说，刚刚好。\n无论是商场里的店员，还是马路边的街坊，对待游客都很亲切，全然没有优越感。她们闲的时候甚至会跟你扯家常，即使你最终没在那家消费，也会受到很好的待遇。\n而就是这样一个面积狭小，民风淳朴的宜居城市，却同时是人均GDP全球第二高的城市。\n回归二十年，澳门生产总值从1999年的519亿澳门元大幅增至2018年的4447亿澳门元，人均GDP也由1999年的1.55万美元，跃升至2018年的9.2万美元，位列世界第二。\n回归后，澳门依然保持独立关税区和自由港地位，享有良好的税率和独立的司法，加上中国政府的背书，澳门加入的国际组织从50多个增加到100多个，成为很多海内外商人的贸易中转站。\n2003年之后，澳门自由行进一步带旺了澳门的旅游、菠菜、零售行业。从2002到2011年，澳门菠菜业收入从235亿澳门元上升至2691亿澳门元，9年增加11倍。\n总体来说，澳门回归二十年，在经济上取得显著的进步。但是在形式上，相比隔壁香港的躁动不安，澳门更愿意闷声发财。\n这里面的最主要的原因，是两者不一样的心态。香港回归时，贵为亚洲四小龙，在英国的统治下蒸蒸日上；而澳门回归时，由于葡萄牙政府放弃治疗，黑帮们趁政治真空疯狂火拼，给澳门留下了史上最黑暗的四年。\n\n比如说当时澳门势力最大的黑社会头目尹国驹(绰号\"崩牙驹\")。澳门回归前，尹国驹统领着遍布于港澳地区的10万门徒，控制了澳门的诸多赌场、酒店，被澳门百姓称为\"地下澳督\"。\n在距离澳门回归仅有两年时，澳葡当局曾经为了加强社会治安，大力扫荡黑帮。尹国驹当然不甘示弱，马上命人投掷炸弹，袭击下令澳门扫黑的澳葡当局二号人物白德安。后者侥幸存命，但座驾被炸毁，澳门警察总部大楼，也被尹国驹的手下掷入炸弹。\n澳门黑帮的猖獗，可见一斑。当时的澳门人民深受其害，民不聊生。\n\n1999年12月20零时，澳门回归中国，随后解放军火速进驻澳门，将\"崩牙驹\"等大佬一一逮捕，澳门本地的杀入案在一年内由37桩降至1桩，社会治安情况明显好转。\n深受黑帮之害的澳门人民，深知安定的社会环境有多重要，对于回归，他们更多的是感恩，而不是抗拒。\n澳门回归之后，治安环境明显改善，澳门市民安居乐业，经济水平快速攀升。最后，这些又正向反馈到市民的福利水平上。\n目前，澳门的福利水平排名全球前列，一位65岁以上的老人每月可领的养老金，林林总总可以到6099澳门元；婴幼儿可享受5260元出生津贴、涵盖13种疾病的免费疫苗，同时幼儿园到高中的15年免费教育，并按学年发放多种补贴。\n老有所养，幼有所依，年轻人自然可以放开手拼搏。虽然澳门房价也高，市民生活也有压力，却不会像香港那样出现社会撕裂的情况。\n这场一国两制的试验，香港和澳门用了两种不同的方式演绎，效果如何，见仁见智。\n以上这些就是澳门的\"牌面\"，面积虽然小，但是宜居，政治稳定，市民安居乐业。\n发牌\n其实，澳门的\"起手牌\"并不好，能有现在这样的\"牌面\"，离不开国家不断的\"喂牌\"。\n首先是自身的缺陷：面积太小。澳门占地只有32.9平方公里，人口仅有62万人，市场空间过小决定了其无法发展太多产业。\n这也是郑裕彤、何鸿燊等一众从澳门发迹的富豪，在上世纪60年代纷纷转战香港的原因。\n\n所以国家给澳门发的第一张牌就是基础设施的建设。\n回归之后，内地各省市纷纷加大与澳门特区的合作。资料显示，维持澳门正常运转的90％以上的淡水、60％左右的电力、80％的粮食和几乎全部的活禽蔬菜，均由内地省市常年不断地供应。\n除了物资补给，国家在澳门的交通建设上不遗余力。除了花费巨资修建港珠澳大桥，自2012年2月21日开始动工的澳门轻轨氹仔线正式投入运营，该线连接了澳门海、陆、空三个重要口岸，将极大方便当地居民及游客的交通出行。\n更重要的是，据横琴新区有关负责人透露，横琴新口岸在本月20日预期将具备全面通关条件，但具体开通时间仍需经国家批准。横琴岛面积三倍于澳门现有面积，对地皮紧张的澳门来说，若能加速与横琴融为一体，澳门地理上的劣势将被修补。\n面积小导致的产业结构单一，是澳门的第二个问题。目前，菠菜业占据了澳门接近一半的GDP，针对这个问题，国家发给澳门的第二张牌是发展澳门的金融产业。\n近年来， 国家一直在为澳门创造机会。2018年12月12日，中华(澳门)金融资产交易股份有限公司(简称“澳金所”、“MOX”等)正式挂牌成立，这是一家以债券发行和交易为业务主体的金融资产交易中心。\n澳金所成立之后，澳门国际银行、中国银行、中国农业发展银行陆续在澳金所上面发行人民币债券，发行债券的目的很大程度上是稳定澳门的离岸人民币市场。\n货币的汇率决定于利率，而利率，在市场化条件下，取决于政府债券的收益率。中国政府在澳门发行离岸人民币债券，本质上将为澳门的离岸人民币提供定价值锚。\n因此，澳金所的成立，一方面为企业提供了直接融资的渠道，另一方面为澳门离岸人民币提供定价机制，而最终的影响，就是做大澳门的金融市场，提高澳门市场的离岸人民币容量。\n这两张牌发下来，澳门的\"牌面\"开始有赢家相，但最后能否顺利\"吃糊\"，还要看最后一张牌：澳门证券交易所能否建立。\n\n早在今年10月份，在广州举行的“第八届岭南论坛”上，广州省地方金融监管局党组书记何晓军曾说过，希望将澳门证券交易所打造成人民币离岸市场的纳斯达克。\n假如能成功建立澳门证券交易所，澳门将撕掉赌城的标签，一跃成为另外一个离岸人民币金融中心，经济、国际地位都将获益。中国的企业也将多一个融资的地方，逐步摆脱对纳斯达克的依赖。\n诚然，澳门成为金融中心，法律系统、离岸人民币数量都是掣肘。但是，这些问题，实际上都是可以解决的，只要国家的决心够大。\n据路透社消息，澳门回归二十周年有关庆典的时候，有可能向澳门派发这张重要的\"牌\"。未来，牌局的走势如何，我们拭目以待。\n下注\n既然澳门的\"牌面\"不错，\"手风\"也似乎可以，那么投资者该如何下注澳门呢？\n下注之前，我们先看看在赌什么？\n\n澳门要建证券交易所，配套设施不能少，比如投行、券商、银行等等，无论是人、场地还是服务，都必然要从零开始建设，届时，资金、人才都会涌入澳门。\n澳交所建好后，第二步就入货。目前广东省有4.5万家国家级高新技术企业，但其中的上市公司只有600家，上市公司数仅占国家级高新技术企业的1.8%，上市需求巨大。\n这些企业中，大部分在资金体量、盈利能力等方面暂没有进入沪深证券交易所上市的机会。而假如要到纳斯达克或者港交所上市，结合近一年来贸易战带来的摩擦和香港的暴乱，始终有些受制于人的感觉。\n而澳门，既有距离上的优势，又有良好的司法和体制，将是这批公司融资的最好去处。\n交易所建好，公司摆上货架，第三步就要开门接客。澳交所有了好的投资标的，大量手持人民币的外国友人，势必会冲到澳门疯狂撒币。那么无论是澳门的金融业、旅游业，国内急需融资的高新技术企业，都会从中收益。\n无论从哪个环节来看，澳门都有很大的发展空间。\n所以，我们要赌的，就是澳门交易所建立好带来的改变。无论是金融设施的建设，还是人才资金涌入后，对澳门房价的影响，又或者是国内公司赴澳上市的发展红利，这种种的变化，都蕴藏着巨大的机会。\n\n看完回报，我们再来看看赔率：建立交易所的概率有多大。\n首先，人民币国际化是势在必行的，离岸交易中心也是必需的。过去数十年，美国不断的靠\"美元霸权\"在全世界吸血，特别是经历过去一整年的贸易摩擦，我国更需要推动人民币国际化，建立离岸交易中心，将主导权掌握在自己手里面。\n但是为什么要选择澳门呢？\n维基百科上对离岸金融是这样定义的：离岸金融是指设在某国境内但与该国金融无甚联系，且不受该国金融法规管制的金融机构所进行的资金融通活动。\n由于国内在金融上有管制，所以国内两大交易所所在地上海和深圳基本可以被排除，潜在的离岸中心只剩下香港和澳门。而近半年，香港的暴乱事件如鲠在喉，假如在香港成立股票交易所，总有受制于人的感觉。\n\n澳门作为经济特区，和香港一样背靠大湾区，本身也拥有极高的货币自由度和流通性，同时，在法律上，澳门享有高度自治，其司法制度更容易被国外投资者接受。\n但是在政治上，澳门远比香港要稳定，同时还是面向葡萄牙、西班牙等拉美系国家的窗口。在这里建立中国的纳斯达克，也许真的比香港更合适。\n澳门，也许马上要迎来他们的新\"赌场\"了。\n总结\n人最怕的，其实不是输钱，而是抓了几张本不属于自己的牌，侥幸赢钱。\n可这些从命运手里偷来的好牌不属于你，早晚要输回给命运。只有到那个时候，你才会知道代价有多大。\n\n香港、澳门都是一张桌子上的赌客，发牌的荷官是我们强大的祖国。过去几十年，相比手风顺、牌风浪的香港兄弟，澳门兄弟虽然起手牌不好，但是由于荷官发牌发得好，也能闷声发大财。\n打的回合多了，澳门兄弟逐渐明白了一个道理：这个桌上赌的，不是牌，是国运。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":250764,"gmtCreate":1535120503981,"gmtModify":1704771362335,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"小米和巴巴两个多，把人搞死了。。。百度京东一堆call也废了。。感觉我买啥都是反，快追上队长了。。$京东(JD)$ 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生死未卜。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":33,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/250764","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484136711366577","authorId":"3484136711366577","name":"猫同你讲","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484136711366577","authorIdStr":"3484136711366577"},"content":"人民币开始逆周期调整了，接下来中概股也会上涨","text":"人民币开始逆周期调整了，接下来中概股也会上涨","html":"人民币开始逆周期调整了，接下来中概股也会上涨"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":216715,"gmtCreate":1531291278757,"gmtModify":1704896513365,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$腾讯控股(00700)$ 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入金 18-06-20 72424 HKD RMB6万 18-06-22 168150 HKD RMB14万 18-06-28 58500 HKD RMB 5万 一共入金人民币25万，当时汇率比较高，按照港币计算大概是38K美金。 目前账户资产显示一共还剩下19K美金。所以刚好亏掉一半。 损失比较大的几笔： 1，tesla的call，开始买800USD小赚，后来头脑发热，买入4000USD，3天功夫全部变成废纸。 2，小米的股票和权证，浮亏23K HKD。 3， 腾讯的牛证，昨天爆仓了8KHKD。之前还损失过3K HKD。 4，腾讯的股票损失4K HKD，认购证损失14K HKD。 复星的认购证损失 8K HKD。 5，美股call其它损失最大的是百度，京东，另外还在末日call上损失不少。 主要的几点教训： 1，不止损 2，不止盈 3，做多不做空，把A股逻辑带到没港股了 4，低估了权证和牛证的风险。牛证最高还赚了6K，没有止盈，到后面一直到爆仓没采取任何动作。 5，看低了趋势的力量，经常逆潮流反做。 6， 没有早点认识到大队长的力量。。。 今天止损出了一些小米。后续怎么做，还在思考中。。。","listText":"记一下流水账： 入金 18-06-20 72424 HKD RMB6万 18-06-22 168150 HKD RMB14万 18-06-28 58500 HKD RMB 5万 一共入金人民币25万，当时汇率比较高，按照港币计算大概是38K美金。 目前账户资产显示一共还剩下19K美金。所以刚好亏掉一半。 损失比较大的几笔： 1，tesla的call，开始买800USD小赚，后来头脑发热，买入4000USD，3天功夫全部变成废纸。 2，小米的股票和权证，浮亏23K HKD。 3， 腾讯的牛证，昨天爆仓了8KHKD。之前还损失过3K HKD。 4，腾讯的股票损失4K HKD，认购证损失14K HKD。 复星的认购证损失 8K HKD。 5，美股call其它损失最大的是百度，京东，另外还在末日call上损失不少。 主要的几点教训： 1，不止损 2，不止盈 3，做多不做空，把A股逻辑带到没港股了 4，低估了权证和牛证的风险。牛证最高还赚了6K，没有止盈，到后面一直到爆仓没采取任何动作。 5，看低了趋势的力量，经常逆潮流反做。 6， 没有早点认识到大队长的力量。。。 今天止损出了一些小米。后续怎么做，还在思考中。。。","text":"记一下流水账： 入金 18-06-20 72424 HKD RMB6万 18-06-22 168150 HKD RMB14万 18-06-28 58500 HKD RMB 5万 一共入金人民币25万，当时汇率比较高，按照港币计算大概是38K美金。 目前账户资产显示一共还剩下19K美金。所以刚好亏掉一半。 损失比较大的几笔： 1，tesla的call，开始买800USD小赚，后来头脑发热，买入4000USD，3天功夫全部变成废纸。 2，小米的股票和权证，浮亏23K HKD。 3， 腾讯的牛证，昨天爆仓了8KHKD。之前还损失过3K HKD。 4，腾讯的股票损失4K HKD，认购证损失14K HKD。 复星的认购证损失 8K HKD。 5，美股call其它损失最大的是百度，京东，另外还在末日call上损失不少。 主要的几点教训： 1，不止损 2，不止盈 3，做多不做空，把A股逻辑带到没港股了 4，低估了权证和牛证的风险。牛证最高还赚了6K，没有止盈，到后面一直到爆仓没采取任何动作。 5，看低了趋势的力量，经常逆潮流反做。 6， 没有早点认识到大队长的力量。。。 今天止损出了一些小米。后续怎么做，还在思考中。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/244432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358342076711328,"gmtCreate":1728522573090,"gmtModify":1728522578978,"author":{"id":"3441061610374997","authorId":"3441061610374997","name":"valueinvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c295e66bc3d02e91f28d6742fe7eab2","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441061610374997","authorIdStr":"3441061610374997"},"themes":[],"title":"2024/10/10 交易笔记 by valueinvest，","htmlText":"2024/10/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% &nbsp;. 5555","listText":"2024/10/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% &nbsp;. 5555","text":"2024/10/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 中芯国际(00981) 33.002 30.800 -6.67% . 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