Natural gas markets rally during the trading session on Wednesday only to find sellers at the 50 day EMA. The 50 day EMA is painted in red on the chart and sloping lower. At this point, the question is whether or not we can continue to go lower. Natural gas markets initially rallied during the trading session on Wednesday, reaching towards the 50 a.m. before we rolled over and broke lower. At this point, the $2.60 level should be support, but if we can break down below there I think that the natural gas markets will continue to show the negativity that could send this market down to the $2.50 level. That has been the “floor” in the market and should continue to be so. That being said, we have made a “higher high”, so it’s possible that the market could continue to grind higher but that sh
Natural gas markets broke through a major support level to kick off the week, gapping below the vital $2.75 level. At this point, the market is certainly broken. Natural gas markets gapped lower to kick off the trading session on Monday, but then turned around to reach towards the $2.75 level. We found resistance there, and then fell again. At this point, it looks as if the market is oversold but quite frankly you can’t be a buyer of natural gas at these low levels, as we have broken through the major support. That being said, the $2.50 level underneath is massive support as well, so I think that’s probably where we find buyers again. This is a market that will continue to see sellers but obviously we have gotten so oversold that it’s only a matter of time before buyers will come back in,
The crude oil markets continued to consolidate during the trading session on Thursday as we are essentially stuck in the same area that I have been talking about for several days. WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market pulled back a bit during the trading session on Thursday, as we continue to consolidate between the 20 day EMA underneath, and the 50 day EMA above. We have recently seen a lot of bullish pressure in this marketplace, so it’s not a huge surprise to think that perhaps we will eventually get a breakout. Obviously, after the massive amount of technical damage that has been done in this market there will be a lot of traders out there a bit nervous about going long. Because of this, I think it could be a bit difficult to continue to go higher, but eventually I believe the buyers
Natural gas markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday, breaking above the $3.50 level. This of course is a good sign but I think that what we are looking at is a scenario where there is a massive amount of resistance above, and I do think that the seasonality is starting to turn against natural gas. Natural gas markets tried to rally during most of the trading session on Thursday but continues to struggle above the $3.50 level. Because of this, I think it’s only a matter time before market participants roll over again, as the $3.75 level has been so massive in its resistance. I think if we can break down below the 20 day EMA, pictured in green on the chart, then I think we will go looking to fill the gap underneath. Natural gas markets are oversupplied, but obviously we
Crude oil markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, using the large, round, psychologically important levels, and the support from lower levels to turn things around. The WTI Crude Oil market rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, using the $50 level as support. The 20 day EMA underneath is starting to turn higher, and it sits just below that level. The 50 day EMA above is offering resistance, and as I have said recently, I think the next move will be based upon a break of one of those levels. If we can break above the 50 day EMA, that could send this market much higher, perhaps reaching towards the $57.50 level, perhaps even the $60 level. At this point, I think pullbacks will continue to find plenty of support though, and I do think that the market will c
Natural gas markets have recently gapped higher but is starting to show cracks in the ice again, as we have gotten far ahead of ourselves. As previously mentioned, I think there could be a selling opportunity near the $3.75 level. We have fallen from there. Natural gas markets spiked early on Tuesday, reaching towards the $3.75 level before falling from there. We have reached to the $3.50 level, and it now looks as if we are ready to fall and try to fill the gap. At this point, it looks likely to continue to fall from here, as we have certainly got ahead of ourselves due to the short-term cold snap. Ultimately, this is a market that I think will continue to sell off as there is far too much in the way of supply out there to have demand chew through. Looking at the candle stick for the trad
Natural gas markets gapped higher to kick off the week, slicing through the $3.50 level in early trading. This is an extraordinarily bullish sign, but at this point I think if you are patient enough there is an even better opportunity awaiting you. Natural gas markets gapped higher to kick off the week, breaking above the $3.50 level in early trading. At this point, I think there is plenty of resistance above, and I am simply waiting for some type of exhaustive candle in order to start shorting again. I believe the $3.75 level above is also resistance, and most certainly the $4.00 level will be as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. Overall, I believe that the natural gas markets will continue to rollover, as we head towards Spring contracts in the **res markets. Howe
Natural gas markets tried to rally during most of the day on Thursday but got turned around as we are essentially hanging about the $3.00 level with no real momentum. Natural gas markets continue to be relatively flat, as we hang around the $3.00 level. I think at this point, the market looks very likely to make an explosive move soon, but I also believe that the directionality is probably to the upside, albeit for short-term. The 20 day EMA is close to the $3.32 level, and of course there is a gap above that still needs to be filled. Because of this, I expect a move towards the 20 day EMA, but so far we have not been able to make that move. Once we do, I think at that point looking for signs of exhaustion would be the way to go. At that point you can sell and pick up a little bit of real
Natural gas markets continue to do very little, and the Wednesday session sees more of the same. The $3.00 level has offered significant support, and I think it should continue to be the case. Natural gas markets continue to be very sideways overall as we hover around the $3.00 level. This is a market that has sold off rather drastically, so it makes sense that we would probably hang about. The gap above is of course going to offer a significant amount of selling pressure, but we also need to fill the gap in order to fill the technical needs of the market. The $3.30 level above should be a massive resistance barrier, as quite often you will see a gap filled only to turn right back around. We have seen the 20 day EMA turn down towards that area, so I think it’s only a matter of time before
Natural gas markets bounced a bit during the day on Tuesday, showing signs of resiliency near the $3.00 level. Ultimately though, this is a market that is very bearish. However, at these extraordinarily extended low levels, one would have to think that we are overdone. Natural gas markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, as the $3.00 level has attracted a certain amount of attention. Because of this, I think that we will probably continue to see a lot of noise in this market, but the gap above I think needs to be filled. I’m looking at any rally as an opportunity to do just that, fill the gap. That would send the market towards the $3.30 level, perhaps even higher. The $3.50 level for me is still massive resistance as well, so I think that given enough time we will see
The natural gas markets went back and forth during the trading session on Monday as traders came back to work. It seems as if we are starting to face a significant amount of support, which quite frankly makes sense considering we had sold off so drastically. The natural gas markets went back and forth during the trading session on Monday, as we continue to meander just below the $3.00 level. This is a market that continues to be very bearish, but quite frankly we are so oversold that I think that a bounce is likely. That bounce will more than likely find trouble at the top of the gap, somewhere near the $3.30 level. I’m looking for an exhaustive candle stick in that general vicinity, and therefore will start shorting as soon as I get the opportunity. Beyond that, I think the $3.50 level ab
Natural gas markets have fallen during most of the week but seem to be finding support at a major round figure, which of course is something that always catches my attention. Ultimately, we are oversold so this could be a clue as to where we are going next. The natural gas markets gapped lower to kick off the week, and then broke down below the $3.00 level. By doing so, we entered a very bearish phase of the selloff, but by the end of the week we had started to see a bit of resiliency. At this point in time, I think that the market will probably try to rally from here and go looking towards the top of the gap, closer to the $3.30 level. Natural gas had gotten way ahead of itself. However, now it looks as if it had gotten ahead of itself to the downside as well. Overall, I think that a shor
Natural gas markets sold off during the trading session on Thursday as we continue to see massive bearish pressure. Quite frankly, at this point I think that if you are trying to short this market, you are chasing the trade, one of the best ways to lose money. Natural gas markets got hammered again during the trading session on Thursday, losing over 2%, as we continue to see people jumping out of this market and shorting it based upon the idea of warmer temperatures in the United States, and perhaps a lowering of global demand as it looks like we are going to see a slowing down of economic activity. This means that manufacturers and factories simply won’t need as much energy. Beyond that, crude oil is very cheap and quite frankly there may be people out there betting on the idea of crude o
Natural gas markets continue to show a lot of negativity, breaking below the $3.00 level. The market has rolled over quite drastically to get to this point, as we have wiped out the seasonality of bullishness. Natural gas markets gapped a bit lower during the first major session of the new year, showing signs of weakness yet again. The market has broken below the $3.00 level, which of course is a psychological barrier, but at the end of the day I think there’s probably plenty of bearish pressure above that we can take advantage of. The energy markets have been absolutely hammered lately, and therefore I think you could probably get a bounce. That bounce should be a nice selling opportunity though, as we have seen so much destruction to the bullish case scenario. There is concern about glob