Rally to Confirm Support

UCLA的Frank
2019-01-16

Crude oil markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, using the large, round, psychologically important levels, and the support from lower levels to turn things around.

The WTI Crude Oil market rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, using the $50 level as support. The 20 day EMA underneath is starting to turn higher, and it sits just below that level. The 50 day EMA above is offering resistance, and as I have said recently, I think the next move will be based upon a break of one of those levels. If we can break above the 50 day EMA, that could send this market much higher, perhaps reaching towards the $57.50 level, perhaps even the $60 level. At this point, I think pullbacks will continue to find plenty of support though, and I do think that the market will continue to find value hunters.

Brent markets continue to show signs of support at the 20 day EMA, and the 50 day EMA above is resistance. If we can break above the 50 day EMA over here, we will probably go to the $65 handle. If we can break out above that level, then we continue to go much higher. If we break down below the 20 day EMA, we will probably go looking towards the $55 level, an area that should be supportive. We have recently broken through a downtrend line, and that of course is generally a good sign of a trend change. Ultimately, I think that the market will find plenty of value hunters out there, and I do think that after the market has sold off the way we have recently seen, at the very least we are looking for some type of bounce.

$FUT:WTI原油主连(CLmain)$

$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$

$三倍做空原油ETN(DWT)$

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精彩评论

  • 鲨鱼辣椒TP
    2019-01-16
    鲨鱼辣椒TP
    老大,原油目前也是震荡的很厉害,对于天然气季节影响很大,那对原油的影响因素会有哪些呢?对于目前的情况倾向于看多还是看空?
  • T2021120901124
    2019-01-16
    T2021120901124
    翻译一下
    • 零零落落啊啊回复MIX大聪明
      嗯嗯,长周期是真的跌,以后都是清洁能源,需求越来越少会
    • MIX大聪明回复零零落落啊啊
      原油影响因素太多了,国内市场的影响因素也就占十个点。不过技术上有可能还会涨一下的,更长周期看,比如按年看,原油价格会越来越低,除非发生大战
    • 零零落落啊啊回复MIX大聪明
      了解,我是觉得拿的长一点可能会很高,减产加国内市场,只是国内市场还需要时间,汽车行业寒冬得过去
    • MIX大聪明回复零零落落啊啊
      大概率其实会突破这个高点,不过原油我研究很少,就是看线做
    • MIX大聪明回复零零落落啊啊
      前期高点13.42,如果想安全点13.3左右就可以走了,短线也获利足够多了
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