【国庆计划】选择持股or持币过节?
美国经济数据向好,标普再创新高,美股狂欢还未结束? 此外港A市场呈现全面大反攻态势,【十一黄金周开启,这次大家会选择持股过节,还是持币过节呢?】
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Supermars
11-07
Replying to
@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚
:今天看没什么区别吧?//
@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚
:5块钱的区别//
@Supermars
:矫情, 161和166有什么区别
Supermars
10-04
矫情, 161和166有什么区别
rambo
10-04
抵押了两套房产,一共1500个,券商那里融资1:1,一共3000个,周二全仓杀入
火星坑
10-04
当然是持币啦,比特币现在都六万美金一枚了,我肯定选比特币呀,真是的
勇敢小飞猪
10-04
有空就就做多A50期货,8号前逢低做多,哈哈,赶在韭菜们开到新户前卖出获利, [贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑]
includeno
10-04
做好降到155准备 最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]
老虎交易员
10-04
持股过节可能是一个不错的选择,因市场已显露底部雏形,政策面利好和情绪面改善下,市场随时可能开启反弹行情。然而,长假期间消息面及外围市场的不确定性较高,部分私募建议中性仓位过节!
安哥拉牛排
10-03
2022年最好 26块钱的筹码
irisQ
10-03
认同
爱旅行的萌妹子一枚
10-03
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好
安静的复苏
10-03
$CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$
大饼如果今天向上,我准备开始关注大饼了,如果继续下破,那我还是以观望为主。
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
Tsar
10-03
在降息与大选双周期,如何灵活配置资产
最近一周,A股表现相当抢眼,而我也通过常用的波动策略,以天为单位平衡期权持仓,在拼多多和阿里巴巴上跟着分了一杯羹,并且托拼多多和Microstrategy的福,账户收益率创了新高。相比之下,美股大盘变动不大,高位震荡,但在降息与大选双周期中,未来两个月的机会仍然是不容忽视的。我认为降息周期最大的机会来自于市场分歧。9月FOMC会议降息50个基点,前一周市场预期分歧非常大,直到会议前两天还出现了WSJ放风,本来倾向于25个基点的四六开被逆转的罕见现象。直到会议前一天,50个基点的概率仅小幅高于25个基点,历史数据显示降息周期中仅有10%左右的时间市场会在FOMC前对降息幅度有大幅不同的意见。美联储最根本的目标是通过调控预期而减少不必要的市场波动,因此鲍总能给市场留下这么大的悬念,不免让人联想到政治因素的影响。从机构的角度讲,以高盛摩根为首的一众投行研究部预测降息25个基点,而只有Bloomberg、WSJ等少数派预测50个基点。结果证明,美联储很有可能在参考债券市场预期做出决策,如果就用这个指标进行回测,或许会有相当不错的夏普值(Sharpe Ratio)。从时间序列的角度纵观国债市场,这种预期分歧为反转策略提供了空间。当市场对某一端情绪高涨时,我倾向于反其道而行之,做多另一个方向,不断在新的信息到来后以此往复,直到接近下一次FOMC日期时再最终调整方向。总统大选同样可以使用这个逻辑——7月中特朗普遇刺事件后大选获胜概率一度飙升,但等到9月总统辩论前,特朗普与哈里斯的支持率又回到了均衡的位置;总统辩论后哈里斯的胜率上涨,而到9月底为止,两者又回到了势均力敌的状态。今年的最后两次FOMC会议更加关键,尤其是11月,这次会议几乎和总统大选正面撞上。目前市场普遍预期11月降息25个基点的概率为60%,符合实现全年降息100个基点的预期,这也暗示着12月还需要再降25个基点。我认为当
在降息与大选双周期,如何灵活配置资产
Mrstrong
10-02
能源股是哪个?
544jack
10-02
先上香港再回a,绝不空仓
理想中的生活
10-02
A股H股俨然是相互借力,左脚踩右脚,飞上天去,已经发展为逼空行情,对亚太市场都有虹吸效应!
hsing
10-02
国庆节还是继续持股,因为我是长期投资者,而且最近中概股涨的这么好,国庆期间继续可以涨,怎么忍心让他们放假呢[贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑]
梓坚
10-02
👍👍
terminatorl
10-02
Replying to
@Bourse2022
:段子而已,别信//
@Bourse2022
:老实讲这个涨势,我是不敢大仓位进去,所以赚也不会赚多少的,看不懂allin还有卖房的
MTM20240312
10-01
持币又持股 明天再看港股吧
FLYTGR
10-01
持股过节
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最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356239583068176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356224143454624,"gmtCreate":1727972147576,"gmtModify":1727997973146,"author":{"id":"4190335552760082","authorId":"4190335552760082","name":"老虎交易员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adcdda3c160f638f1ea0faeba15db5c0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4190335552760082","authorIdStr":"4190335552760082"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"持股过节可能是一个不错的选择,因市场已显露底部雏形,政策面利好和情绪面改善下,市场随时可能开启反弹行情。然而,长假期间消息面及外围市场的不确定性较高,部分私募建议中性仓位过节!","listText":"持股过节可能是一个不错的选择,因市场已显露底部雏形,政策面利好和情绪面改善下,市场随时可能开启反弹行情。然而,长假期间消息面及外围市场的不确定性较高,部分私募建议中性仓位过节!","text":"持股过节可能是一个不错的选择,因市场已显露底部雏形,政策面利好和情绪面改善下,市场随时可能开启反弹行情。然而,长假期间消息面及外围市场的不确定性较高,部分私募建议中性仓位过节!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356224143454624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356184851161112,"gmtCreate":1727968657560,"gmtModify":1727968659661,"author":{"id":"3582385503929968","authorId":"3582385503929968","name":"安哥拉牛排","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34521d4b22205a5c8769b6069471d87f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582385503929968","authorIdStr":"3582385503929968"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"2022年最好 26块钱的筹码","listText":"2022年最好 26块钱的筹码","text":"2022年最好 26块钱的筹码","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356184851161112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356194084491488,"gmtCreate":1727963420157,"gmtModify":1727963421956,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"irisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ff88a694b7618b91fac843f49cb0f46","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"认同","listText":"认同","text":"认同","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356194084491488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356087420108864,"gmtCreate":1727958408565,"gmtModify":1727958411494,"author":{"id":"10000000000010280","authorId":"10000000000010280","name":"爱旅行的萌妹子一枚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb0d05cf469c550f0f7655158007fc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010280","authorIdStr":"10000000000010280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356087420108864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4131498302993180","authorId":"4131498302993180","name":"includeno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adf3809a6304363d1ced4ff661398696","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4131498302993180","authorIdStr":"4131498302993180"},"content":"做好降到155准备 最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]","text":"做好降到155准备 最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]","html":"做好降到155准备 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Inc.(CLSK)$ 大饼如果今天向上,我准备开始关注大饼了,如果继续下破,那我还是以观望为主。 $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ $Coinbase Global, 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[贱笑] [贱笑] ","listText":"国庆节还是继续持股,因为我是长期投资者,而且最近中概股涨的这么好,国庆期间继续可以涨,怎么忍心让他们放假呢[贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑] ","text":"国庆节还是继续持股,因为我是长期投资者,而且最近中概股涨的这么好,国庆期间继续可以涨,怎么忍心让他们放假呢[贱笑] [贱笑] 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明天再看港股吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355505986355480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355464588382512,"gmtCreate":1727792815086,"gmtModify":1727792817130,"author":{"id":"3577056160881180","authorId":"3577056160881180","name":"FLYTGR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d1f915a56788a1195a4d78077c960d7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056160881180","authorIdStr":"3577056160881180"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"持股过节","listText":"持股过节","text":"持股过节","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355464588382512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"essenList":[{"id":368231905509496,"gmtCreate":1730916316037,"gmtModify":1730916319433,"author":{"id":"3536290208008675","authorId":"3536290208008675","name":"Supermars","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18300a987d4e81fed2edafa5a01d9346","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3536290208008675","idStr":"3536290208008675"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010280\">@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚</a>:今天看没什么区别吧?//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010280\">@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚</a>:5块钱的区别//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3536290208008675\">@Supermars</a>:矫情, 161和166有什么区别","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010280\">@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚</a>:今天看没什么区别吧?//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010280\">@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚</a>:5块钱的区别//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3536290208008675\">@Supermars</a>:矫情, 161和166有什么区别","text":"Replying to @爱旅行的萌妹子一枚:今天看没什么区别吧?//@爱旅行的萌妹子一枚:5块钱的区别//@Supermars:矫情, 161和166有什么区别","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368231905509496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355912681791920,"gmtCreate":1727915659667,"gmtModify":1727915757380,"author":{"id":"3500981927180662","authorId":"3500981927180662","name":"Tsar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4893f23f62251b44ef39eb75988605d7","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500981927180662","idStr":"3500981927180662"},"themes":[],"title":"在降息与大选双周期,如何灵活配置资产","htmlText":"最近一周,A股表现相当抢眼,而我也通过常用的波动策略,以天为单位平衡期权持仓,在拼多多和阿里巴巴上跟着分了一杯羹,并且托拼多多和Microstrategy的福,账户收益率创了新高。相比之下,美股大盘变动不大,高位震荡,但在降息与大选双周期中,未来两个月的机会仍然是不容忽视的。我认为降息周期最大的机会来自于市场分歧。9月FOMC会议降息50个基点,前一周市场预期分歧非常大,直到会议前两天还出现了WSJ放风,本来倾向于25个基点的四六开被逆转的罕见现象。直到会议前一天,50个基点的概率仅小幅高于25个基点,历史数据显示降息周期中仅有10%左右的时间市场会在FOMC前对降息幅度有大幅不同的意见。美联储最根本的目标是通过调控预期而减少不必要的市场波动,因此鲍总能给市场留下这么大的悬念,不免让人联想到政治因素的影响。从机构的角度讲,以高盛摩根为首的一众投行研究部预测降息25个基点,而只有Bloomberg、WSJ等少数派预测50个基点。结果证明,美联储很有可能在参考债券市场预期做出决策,如果就用这个指标进行回测,或许会有相当不错的夏普值(Sharpe Ratio)。从时间序列的角度纵观国债市场,这种预期分歧为反转策略提供了空间。当市场对某一端情绪高涨时,我倾向于反其道而行之,做多另一个方向,不断在新的信息到来后以此往复,直到接近下一次FOMC日期时再最终调整方向。总统大选同样可以使用这个逻辑——7月中特朗普遇刺事件后大选获胜概率一度飙升,但等到9月总统辩论前,特朗普与哈里斯的支持率又回到了均衡的位置;总统辩论后哈里斯的胜率上涨,而到9月底为止,两者又回到了势均力敌的状态。今年的最后两次FOMC会议更加关键,尤其是11月,这次会议几乎和总统大选正面撞上。目前市场普遍预期11月降息25个基点的概率为60%,符合实现全年降息100个基点的预期,这也暗示着12月还需要再降25个基点。我认为当","listText":"最近一周,A股表现相当抢眼,而我也通过常用的波动策略,以天为单位平衡期权持仓,在拼多多和阿里巴巴上跟着分了一杯羹,并且托拼多多和Microstrategy的福,账户收益率创了新高。相比之下,美股大盘变动不大,高位震荡,但在降息与大选双周期中,未来两个月的机会仍然是不容忽视的。我认为降息周期最大的机会来自于市场分歧。9月FOMC会议降息50个基点,前一周市场预期分歧非常大,直到会议前两天还出现了WSJ放风,本来倾向于25个基点的四六开被逆转的罕见现象。直到会议前一天,50个基点的概率仅小幅高于25个基点,历史数据显示降息周期中仅有10%左右的时间市场会在FOMC前对降息幅度有大幅不同的意见。美联储最根本的目标是通过调控预期而减少不必要的市场波动,因此鲍总能给市场留下这么大的悬念,不免让人联想到政治因素的影响。从机构的角度讲,以高盛摩根为首的一众投行研究部预测降息25个基点,而只有Bloomberg、WSJ等少数派预测50个基点。结果证明,美联储很有可能在参考债券市场预期做出决策,如果就用这个指标进行回测,或许会有相当不错的夏普值(Sharpe Ratio)。从时间序列的角度纵观国债市场,这种预期分歧为反转策略提供了空间。当市场对某一端情绪高涨时,我倾向于反其道而行之,做多另一个方向,不断在新的信息到来后以此往复,直到接近下一次FOMC日期时再最终调整方向。总统大选同样可以使用这个逻辑——7月中特朗普遇刺事件后大选获胜概率一度飙升,但等到9月总统辩论前,特朗普与哈里斯的支持率又回到了均衡的位置;总统辩论后哈里斯的胜率上涨,而到9月底为止,两者又回到了势均力敌的状态。今年的最后两次FOMC会议更加关键,尤其是11月,这次会议几乎和总统大选正面撞上。目前市场普遍预期11月降息25个基点的概率为60%,符合实现全年降息100个基点的预期,这也暗示着12月还需要再降25个基点。我认为当","text":"最近一周,A股表现相当抢眼,而我也通过常用的波动策略,以天为单位平衡期权持仓,在拼多多和阿里巴巴上跟着分了一杯羹,并且托拼多多和Microstrategy的福,账户收益率创了新高。相比之下,美股大盘变动不大,高位震荡,但在降息与大选双周期中,未来两个月的机会仍然是不容忽视的。我认为降息周期最大的机会来自于市场分歧。9月FOMC会议降息50个基点,前一周市场预期分歧非常大,直到会议前两天还出现了WSJ放风,本来倾向于25个基点的四六开被逆转的罕见现象。直到会议前一天,50个基点的概率仅小幅高于25个基点,历史数据显示降息周期中仅有10%左右的时间市场会在FOMC前对降息幅度有大幅不同的意见。美联储最根本的目标是通过调控预期而减少不必要的市场波动,因此鲍总能给市场留下这么大的悬念,不免让人联想到政治因素的影响。从机构的角度讲,以高盛摩根为首的一众投行研究部预测降息25个基点,而只有Bloomberg、WSJ等少数派预测50个基点。结果证明,美联储很有可能在参考债券市场预期做出决策,如果就用这个指标进行回测,或许会有相当不错的夏普值(Sharpe Ratio)。从时间序列的角度纵观国债市场,这种预期分歧为反转策略提供了空间。当市场对某一端情绪高涨时,我倾向于反其道而行之,做多另一个方向,不断在新的信息到来后以此往复,直到接近下一次FOMC日期时再最终调整方向。总统大选同样可以使用这个逻辑——7月中特朗普遇刺事件后大选获胜概率一度飙升,但等到9月总统辩论前,特朗普与哈里斯的支持率又回到了均衡的位置;总统辩论后哈里斯的胜率上涨,而到9月底为止,两者又回到了势均力敌的状态。今年的最后两次FOMC会议更加关键,尤其是11月,这次会议几乎和总统大选正面撞上。目前市场普遍预期11月降息25个基点的概率为60%,符合实现全年降息100个基点的预期,这也暗示着12月还需要再降25个基点。我认为当","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":18,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355912681791920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579612413176972","authorId":"3579612413176972","name":"Yonny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231a2860cddd1bf2ffc3c16938f4673d","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3579612413176972","idStr":"3579612413176972"},"content":"感谢大佬分享,美债怎么看,也是做多波动率的策略吗? 另,文中有好几段内容怎么重复了 [捂脸]","text":"感谢大佬分享,美债怎么看,也是做多波动率的策略吗? 另,文中有好几段内容怎么重复了 [捂脸]","html":"感谢大佬分享,美债怎么看,也是做多波动率的策略吗? 另,文中有好几段内容怎么重复了 [捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355457084801448,"gmtCreate":1727784879206,"gmtModify":1727785482255,"author":{"id":"4098488257456650","authorId":"4098488257456650","name":"未来加电站","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19e45aa5a041ec377726731d85ed8e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098488257456650","idStr":"4098488257456650"},"themes":[],"title":"牛回速归?99%股民不知道这场牛市的运转内核,这一篇梳理清楚了","htmlText":"大家好,我是刘轰轰 最近几天市场的反转就突然开始了,事情的起因是因为一项新的刺激股市的政策,我把原文给大家贴过来: 新的货币政策工具,支持股票市场稳定发展。证券、基金、保险公司互换便利,资产质押从中央银行获取流动性,提升机构的资金获取能力与股票增值能力;创设股票回购增持再贷款,引导向上市公司与主要股东贷款支持回购与增持股票。 这段话里的政策说的很明白了,为什么会引起市场的巨大反响,甚至间接掀起了一轮上涨呢? 因为市场从这段话里,读到了一个特别重要的预期(剧本)。 ——市场预期国家队会利用这个新政策来获取近乎无限的弹药,从而可以轻而易举把A股推上去。具体可能进行如下操作:(国家队还没有这么干,但市场已经先走了这个预期了) 1.首先一个明盘的信息是:国家队前期买了大量的沪深300ETF。 2.这次的政策是,国家队现在可以拿沪深300ETF去央行质押换国债。 3.置换到国债后,国家队在高位卖掉国债,压低国债收益率,利好股票估值提升,同时获得现金。 4.国家队拿着现金再去买沪深300ETF,同时沪深300ETF的质押率提升。 5.重复步骤2-4,国家队左脚踩右脚,迅速升天; ——站在场外的机构和股民一看,好家伙原来国家队有点“双拳难敌四手”,面对不停地砸盘也只能采取防御的姿态,但突然就有了无限弹药的BUFF,那肯定要跟着国家队干呀! 到了9月30日,沪深两市成交额突破1万亿元,较昨日此时放量超4000亿元,刷新历史最快万亿纪录。从技术的角度来说,这一轮牛市得到了确认。 但有意思的地方在于,短短几天从2700到最高3400多,这其实是一个历史上前所未有的暴涨方式,因此现在市场上又衍生出了很多针对这轮短期暴涨的预期:积极一点的认为会有回撤,然后再上攻,消极一点的就直接用08年,15年牛市的持续时间变短的趋势来预测了。 如果想尽可能完整参与这一轮牛市,尽可能抓住机会,就需要我们将各种影响","listText":"大家好,我是刘轰轰 最近几天市场的反转就突然开始了,事情的起因是因为一项新的刺激股市的政策,我把原文给大家贴过来: 新的货币政策工具,支持股票市场稳定发展。证券、基金、保险公司互换便利,资产质押从中央银行获取流动性,提升机构的资金获取能力与股票增值能力;创设股票回购增持再贷款,引导向上市公司与主要股东贷款支持回购与增持股票。 这段话里的政策说的很明白了,为什么会引起市场的巨大反响,甚至间接掀起了一轮上涨呢? 因为市场从这段话里,读到了一个特别重要的预期(剧本)。 ——市场预期国家队会利用这个新政策来获取近乎无限的弹药,从而可以轻而易举把A股推上去。具体可能进行如下操作:(国家队还没有这么干,但市场已经先走了这个预期了) 1.首先一个明盘的信息是:国家队前期买了大量的沪深300ETF。 2.这次的政策是,国家队现在可以拿沪深300ETF去央行质押换国债。 3.置换到国债后,国家队在高位卖掉国债,压低国债收益率,利好股票估值提升,同时获得现金。 4.国家队拿着现金再去买沪深300ETF,同时沪深300ETF的质押率提升。 5.重复步骤2-4,国家队左脚踩右脚,迅速升天; ——站在场外的机构和股民一看,好家伙原来国家队有点“双拳难敌四手”,面对不停地砸盘也只能采取防御的姿态,但突然就有了无限弹药的BUFF,那肯定要跟着国家队干呀! 到了9月30日,沪深两市成交额突破1万亿元,较昨日此时放量超4000亿元,刷新历史最快万亿纪录。从技术的角度来说,这一轮牛市得到了确认。 但有意思的地方在于,短短几天从2700到最高3400多,这其实是一个历史上前所未有的暴涨方式,因此现在市场上又衍生出了很多针对这轮短期暴涨的预期:积极一点的认为会有回撤,然后再上攻,消极一点的就直接用08年,15年牛市的持续时间变短的趋势来预测了。 如果想尽可能完整参与这一轮牛市,尽可能抓住机会,就需要我们将各种影响","text":"大家好,我是刘轰轰 最近几天市场的反转就突然开始了,事情的起因是因为一项新的刺激股市的政策,我把原文给大家贴过来: 新的货币政策工具,支持股票市场稳定发展。证券、基金、保险公司互换便利,资产质押从中央银行获取流动性,提升机构的资金获取能力与股票增值能力;创设股票回购增持再贷款,引导向上市公司与主要股东贷款支持回购与增持股票。 这段话里的政策说的很明白了,为什么会引起市场的巨大反响,甚至间接掀起了一轮上涨呢? 因为市场从这段话里,读到了一个特别重要的预期(剧本)。 ——市场预期国家队会利用这个新政策来获取近乎无限的弹药,从而可以轻而易举把A股推上去。具体可能进行如下操作:(国家队还没有这么干,但市场已经先走了这个预期了) 1.首先一个明盘的信息是:国家队前期买了大量的沪深300ETF。 2.这次的政策是,国家队现在可以拿沪深300ETF去央行质押换国债。 3.置换到国债后,国家队在高位卖掉国债,压低国债收益率,利好股票估值提升,同时获得现金。 4.国家队拿着现金再去买沪深300ETF,同时沪深300ETF的质押率提升。 5.重复步骤2-4,国家队左脚踩右脚,迅速升天; ——站在场外的机构和股民一看,好家伙原来国家队有点“双拳难敌四手”,面对不停地砸盘也只能采取防御的姿态,但突然就有了无限弹药的BUFF,那肯定要跟着国家队干呀! 到了9月30日,沪深两市成交额突破1万亿元,较昨日此时放量超4000亿元,刷新历史最快万亿纪录。从技术的角度来说,这一轮牛市得到了确认。 但有意思的地方在于,短短几天从2700到最高3400多,这其实是一个历史上前所未有的暴涨方式,因此现在市场上又衍生出了很多针对这轮短期暴涨的预期:积极一点的认为会有回撤,然后再上攻,消极一点的就直接用08年,15年牛市的持续时间变短的趋势来预测了。 如果想尽可能完整参与这一轮牛市,尽可能抓住机会,就需要我们将各种影响","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8dc317ba08dbf28e7a4cb2fe121f492","width":"1100","height":"662"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355457084801448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355214152921520,"gmtCreate":1727745120391,"gmtModify":1727755803479,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"标普再创新高,恒指站稳2W点!这次你会持股or持币过节?","htmlText":"9月艰难开局,但随着市场强劲反弹,截止9月最后一个交易日,标普500创下今年来的第42个历史收盘新高!标普500指数9月上涨2%,打破历史九月必跌魔咒~[哇塞]另外近期中国资产也不逊色,“做多中国”的声音高涨,其中恒生指数节前站上2万大关,恒生科技指数9月累计涨幅超34%!(回顾近十年港股国庆节后的表现:恒指上涨概率70%,恒生科技上涨概率80%)涨得股民们也是百感交集:[笑哭]股市节节攀升,大家这次会选择持股or持币过节呢?评论区分享你的观点或操作,一起瓜分1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$</a>","listText":"9月艰难开局,但随着市场强劲反弹,截止9月最后一个交易日,标普500创下今年来的第42个历史收盘新高!标普500指数9月上涨2%,打破历史九月必跌魔咒~[哇塞]另外近期中国资产也不逊色,“做多中国”的声音高涨,其中恒生指数节前站上2万大关,恒生科技指数9月累计涨幅超34%!(回顾近十年港股国庆节后的表现:恒指上涨概率70%,恒生科技上涨概率80%)涨得股民们也是百感交集:[笑哭]股市节节攀升,大家这次会选择持股or持币过节呢?评论区分享你的观点或操作,一起瓜分1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$</a>","text":"9月艰难开局,但随着市场强劲反弹,截止9月最后一个交易日,标普500创下今年来的第42个历史收盘新高!标普500指数9月上涨2%,打破历史九月必跌魔咒~[哇塞]另外近期中国资产也不逊色,“做多中国”的声音高涨,其中恒生指数节前站上2万大关,恒生科技指数9月累计涨幅超34%!(回顾近十年港股国庆节后的表现:恒指上涨概率70%,恒生科技上涨概率80%)涨得股民们也是百感交集:[笑哭]股市节节攀升,大家这次会选择持股or持币过节呢?评论区分享你的观点或操作,一起瓜分1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 $标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$ $恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ $A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbcb1eb63b6ca02896d008bd8ca65697","width":"1126","height":"298"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":22,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355214152921520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667711366936","authorId":"3527667711366936","name":"Bourse2022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/310d8bb8a94d30e67254ff7e90884e3c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667711366936","idStr":"3527667711366936"},"content":"老实讲这个涨势,我是不敢大仓位进去,所以赚也不会赚多少的,看不懂allin还有卖房的","text":"老实讲这个涨势,我是不敢大仓位进去,所以赚也不会赚多少的,看不懂allin还有卖房的","html":"老实讲这个涨势,我是不敢大仓位进去,所以赚也不会赚多少的,看不懂allin还有卖房的"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355407126692232,"gmtCreate":1727771493432,"gmtModify":1727771505997,"author":{"id":"4181702873238012","authorId":"4181702873238012","name":"震哥的投资世界","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0bfc14d49741090471e7a2b297d3c61","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4181702873238012","idStr":"4181702873238012"},"themes":[],"title":"国庆最需要的列表-美股上市中国ETF","htmlText":"最近AH飙升,AH 国庆节休市中,美股仍在开盘。本文将盘点在美国上市的中国ETF供大家选择 ETF列表 不完全列表如下 规模最大的是KWEB 58亿美金,其次是MCHI,FXI 图片 杠杆(做空)ETF列表 图片 部分ETF成分股 (1)宽基:FXI,ASHR,MCHI,GXC 10大权重 图片 (2)宽基:KBA,CNYA,CAF 10大权重 图片 (3)行业ETF:KWEB,CQQQ,CHIQ 10大权重 图片 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a>","listText":"最近AH飙升,AH 国庆节休市中,美股仍在开盘。本文将盘点在美国上市的中国ETF供大家选择 ETF列表 不完全列表如下 规模最大的是KWEB 58亿美金,其次是MCHI,FXI 图片 杠杆(做空)ETF列表 图片 部分ETF成分股 (1)宽基:FXI,ASHR,MCHI,GXC 10大权重 图片 (2)宽基:KBA,CNYA,CAF 10大权重 图片 (3)行业ETF:KWEB,CQQQ,CHIQ 10大权重 图片 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a>","text":"最近AH飙升,AH 国庆节休市中,美股仍在开盘。本文将盘点在美国上市的中国ETF供大家选择 ETF列表 不完全列表如下 规模最大的是KWEB 58亿美金,其次是MCHI,FXI 图片 杠杆(做空)ETF列表 图片 部分ETF成分股 (1)宽基:FXI,ASHR,MCHI,GXC 10大权重 图片 (2)宽基:KBA,CNYA,CAF 10大权重 图片 (3)行业ETF:KWEB,CQQQ,CHIQ 10大权重 图片 $中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11720099efa6a935fb14d82b0025a7b","width":"811","height":"373"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e73c6f0e75aa35487fbbac85dd6b2d84","width":"421","height":"244"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e1ef2f4d66cc7b79151f989de9cea78","width":"908","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355407126692232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356087420108864,"gmtCreate":1727958408565,"gmtModify":1727958411494,"author":{"id":"10000000000010280","authorId":"10000000000010280","name":"爱旅行的萌妹子一枚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb0d05cf469c550f0f7655158007fc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010280","idStr":"10000000000010280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 哎,昨天 161 没有买到[流泪][流泪]其实接回来没问题,最大的问题是什么价位把它接回来。180 接回来的确是高位,下次大跌,做 t,但我相信未来 btc 会有十万。降息对中国资产如此,对 BTC 也应该是大利好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356087420108864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4131498302993180","authorId":"4131498302993180","name":"includeno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adf3809a6304363d1ced4ff661398696","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4131498302993180","idStr":"4131498302993180"},"content":"做好降到155准备 最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]","text":"做好降到155准备 最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]","html":"做好降到155准备 最近都不太好说,昨天误打误撞162买了点[微笑]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355336593125808,"gmtCreate":1727775013019,"gmtModify":1727775877897,"author":{"id":"3479274762580289","authorId":"3479274762580289","name":"T20220308001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60528b508747d2305a5e8066c4645143","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3479274762580289","idStr":"3479274762580289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> 老婆突然问我最近有没有炒股,我想起她之前说如果我炒股,就要拿刀砍死我,遂回答说没有。结果她直接给我一巴掌,骂我说:“你这人真有意思,之前熊市亏钱的时候你偷偷炒,现在行情好了你反倒不炒了,你真是个傻子。” 女人的想法真是让人捉摸不透。[捂脸][捂脸]","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> 老婆突然问我最近有没有炒股,我想起她之前说如果我炒股,就要拿刀砍死我,遂回答说没有。结果她直接给我一巴掌,骂我说:“你这人真有意思,之前熊市亏钱的时候你偷偷炒,现在行情好了你反倒不炒了,你真是个傻子。” 女人的想法真是让人捉摸不透。[捂脸][捂脸]","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 老婆突然问我最近有没有炒股,我想起她之前说如果我炒股,就要拿刀砍死我,遂回答说没有。结果她直接给我一巴掌,骂我说:“你这人真有意思,之前熊市亏钱的时候你偷偷炒,现在行情好了你反倒不炒了,你真是个傻子。” 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