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虎头虎尾巴巴
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虎头虎尾巴巴
12-12
$草姬集团(02593)$
老虎这次🐂🍺,第一个 100 倍,逼着隔壁牛牛跟进!
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-12
强者恒强
利好不断,特斯拉时隔三年再创历史新高!
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-11
$草姬集团(02593)$
all in 了朋友们
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-07
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
$富途控股(FUTU)$
无语了家人们
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-06
$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$
上线旅游业务了,按照滴滴的能力,问题不大
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-04
$毛戈平(01318)$
虎仔这次也不错,竟然开了 50 倍,争气了💪
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-04
老哥,重复下单会作废。现在改了,交易所会查重
虎头虎尾巴巴
12-03
$毛戈平(01318)$
all in了
虎头虎尾巴巴
11-28
$小马智行(PONY)$
不负期待
小马智行登陆纳斯达克,高开报15美元,盘初大涨
虎头虎尾巴巴
11-27
$BrilliA Inc.(BRIA)$
好惨
虎头虎尾巴巴
11-15
$小马智行(PONY)$
老虎这项目多啊,富途都没有
虎头虎尾巴巴
11-14
业绩超预期,但下调目标价。。。。。。看不懂
老虎证券:客户资产及营收创历史新高、利润创三年新高
虎头虎尾巴巴
11-08
我开仓了
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
虎头虎尾巴巴
11-08
我开仓了
$蔚来(NIO)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
虎头虎尾巴巴
10-24
$地平线机器人-W(09660)$
马上死给你看
虎头虎尾巴巴
10-12
我开仓了
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
虎头虎尾巴巴
10-10
反转日到来?
美股夜盘|中国资产相关ETF集体走高,二倍做多沪深300ETF涨超9%
虎头虎尾巴巴
10-07
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
有意思,老虎上到隔壁热榜了
虎头虎尾巴巴
10-03
$Roundhill China Dragons ETF(DRAG)$
龙腾飞舞!
虎头虎尾巴巴
10-03
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
今晚要求不高,9.3 就行
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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00:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周三,特斯拉盘中涨3.5%,突破2021年11月4日创下的历史最高股价414.4967美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d88db07af37fdbfd0a02bbada6371041\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1406\" tg-height=\"625\"/></p><p>特斯拉中国周三公布的销售数据显示,特斯拉12月第一周在中国市场累计销售2.19万辆电动汽车,创下2024年第四季度开启以来的最高周度汽车销量。</p><p>此外,特斯拉Cybertruck入华销售似乎又近一步:已完成工信部能耗测算申报。预计国内售价超百万元。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9749762c5ee11a52030b4c66a89c8026","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122265185","content_text":"周三,特斯拉盘中涨3.5%,突破2021年11月4日创下的历史最高股价414.4967美元。特斯拉中国周三公布的销售数据显示,特斯拉12月第一周在中国市场累计销售2.19万辆电动汽车,创下2024年第四季度开启以来的最高周度汽车销量。此外,特斯拉Cybertruck入华销售似乎又近一步:已完成工信部能耗测算申报。预计国内售价超百万元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":380418056114608,"gmtCreate":1733909657125,"gmtModify":1733976599881,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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tg-height=\"407\"/></p><p>小马智行是Robotaxi大规模商业化的全球领先者。公司是中国首批获得在中国所有四个一线城市运营完全无人驾驶自动驾驶出租车许可证的公司之一。</p><p>小马智行于2018年推出中国首个Robotaxi服务,技术及规模处于全球领先水平,是行业里为数不多实现商业化运营的公司,目前在北京、上海、广州、深圳开展Robotaxi收费服务。</p><p>在此前发行规模扩大超三成后,小马智行计划发售2000万股ADS(美国存托股票),若承销商行使其超额配售权,则将发售2300万股ADS。加上此次通过同步私募配售价值约1.534亿美元的普通股,小马智行本次IPO发行募集总额或达约4.52亿美元。</p></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小马智行登陆纳斯达克,高开报15美元,盘初大涨</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/shenji/2024-11-27/doc-incxparm6957392.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4859d740111dec1e3864b752b7a19db","relate_stocks":{"PONY":"小马智行"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/shenji/2024-11-27/doc-incxparm6957392.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2486846798","content_text":"周三,“Robotaxi第一股”、中国自动驾驶企业小马智行美股IPO首日开盘报15美元,发行定价为13美元/ADS,截至发稿涨幅超15%。小马智行是Robotaxi大规模商业化的全球领先者。公司是中国首批获得在中国所有四个一线城市运营完全无人驾驶自动驾驶出租车许可证的公司之一。小马智行于2018年推出中国首个Robotaxi服务,技术及规模处于全球领先水平,是行业里为数不多实现商业化运营的公司,目前在北京、上海、广州、深圳开展Robotaxi收费服务。在此前发行规模扩大超三成后,小马智行计划发售2000万股ADS(美国存托股票),若承销商行使其超额配售权,则将发售2300万股ADS。加上此次通过同步私募配售价值约1.534亿美元的普通股,小马智行本次IPO发行募集总额或达约4.52亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375559051501848,"gmtCreate":1732720191137,"gmtModify":1732720192481,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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老虎这项目多啊,富途都没有","text":"$小马智行(PONY)$ 老虎这项目多啊,富途都没有","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371288228671576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3472715111224968","authorId":"3472715111224968","name":"辰刃","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/9c9b3b7feed0dd3ec0951bbbfd13d0a0","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3472715111224968","authorIdStr":"3472715111224968"},"content":"不一定能分给他,之前知乎的老虎渠道一股都没分到","text":"不一定能分给他,之前知乎的老虎渠道一股都没分到","html":"不一定能分给他,之前知乎的老虎渠道一股都没分到"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370813660107064,"gmtCreate":1731544579569,"gmtModify":1731544583120,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"业绩超预期,但下调目标价。。。。。。看不懂","listText":"业绩超预期,但下调目标价。。。。。。看不懂","text":"业绩超预期,但下调目标价。。。。。。看不懂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370813660107064","repostId":"1108119330","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1108119330","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1731479283,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108119330?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-13 14:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"老虎证券:客户资产及营收创历史新高、利润创三年新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108119330","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"文章来源:中金公司3Q24 业绩高于我们预期老虎 3Q24 总收入同比+44%/环比+16%至 1.01 亿美元、创单季历史新高,Non-GAAP 净利润同比+26%/环比+286%至 2,009 万美元、创三年单季新高,超过我们预期,主因市场活跃下、入金用户增长及交易量提升明显。发展趋势新入金客户加速增长、当前已完成全年新增指引,净入金保持强劲叠加随市增长推动客户资产规模创历史新高。","content":"<p><em>文章来源:中金公司</em></p><p><strong>3Q24 业绩高于我们预期</strong></p><p>老虎 3Q24 总收入同比+44%/环比+16%至 1.01 亿美元、创单季历史新高,Non-GAAP 净利润同比+26%/环比+286%至 2,009 万美元、创三年单季新高,超过我们预期,主因市场活跃下、入金用户增长及交易量提升明显。</p><p><strong>发展趋势</strong></p><p><strong>新入金客户加速增长、当前已完成全年新增指引,净入金保持强劲叠加随市增长推动客户资产规模创历史新高。</strong>公司 3Q 新入金客户 5.05 万人(vs.2Q24 4.9 万人/3Q23 2.5 万人)至 103.3 万人,新客户分地区来看,新加坡及东南亚地区~60%/中国香港 15%/澳新 15%/美国 5%+;受益于 10 月以来的活跃市场,截至当前公司已完成此前全年新增入金客户指引的 15 万人。用户资产方面,3Q24 客户净入金约 10 亿美元、叠加客户持仓市值上涨,推动客户总资产规模环比+7%/同比+116%至 408 亿美元、再创历史新高;分地区来看,新加坡保持客户资产稳增,同时中国香港、澳新等地区客户资产环比增长均在 25%以上。</p><p><strong>交易活跃推动交易佣金收入提升明显、利息收入稳增。</strong>1)收入端:3Q24 交易佣金、利息净收入、其他收入分别占净收入的 48%:41%:11%,其中:交易佣金环比+21%/同比+78%至 4,121 万美元、创三年新高,对应总交易量环比+54%/同比+103%至 1,630 亿美元(其中正股交易量环比+24%/同比+87%至 414 亿美元),综合换手率环比提升+1.0x 至 4.0x,综合佣金率环比下降至 2.5bps(正股佣金率环比小幅下降至 6.4bps);利息净收入环比+5%/同比+19%至 3,506 万美元,两融余额环比+29%/同比+102%至 45 亿美元;其他业务收入环比+45%/同比+70%至 908 万美元。2)成本端:总费用环比-14%/同比+22%至 5,934 万美元,其中:G&A 费用环比-66%/同比+27%至693 万美元(vs.2Q24 公司出于审慎对以港股质押物融资出金的应收账款全额计提 1,320 万美金减值),市场营销费用环比+28%/同比+59%至 822 万美元、对应单客成本环比提升至 163 美元;执行及清算成本环比+25%/同比+48%至 352 万美元、对应占交易佣金收入比例 8.5%;此外,市场数据及通讯费用同环比均有所提升、员工费用环比持平微增。</p><p><strong>市场交易活跃下的优质弹性标的。</strong>除新增用户已完成此前指引外,公司 4Q以来客户交易活跃及佣金表现强劲,公司在业绩会上表示 10 月交易量和佣金收入达历史以来最高单月、超过上半年平均月交易量及月佣金收入的两倍以上,且 11 月美股交易保持活跃、美国大选当日交易量较 10 月平均提升约50%。往前看,公司自身国际化拓展稳步推进、产品生态愈发完善、盈利能力不断增强,我们认为有望在市场向上周期中迎来业绩及估值的双升。</p><p><strong>盈利预测与估值</strong></p><p>考虑市场不确定性影响,我们下调 24/25 年盈利 10%/5%至 6,387/9,698 万美元。公司当前交易于 16x/11x 24/25e P/E;考虑到潜在市场波动加大,我们下调目标价 49%至 10.2 美元,对应 25x/16.5x 24/25e P/E 及 56%的上行空间;维持跑赢行业评级。</p><p><strong>风险</strong></p><p>市场成交及景气度低迷;行业竞争超预期;国际化拓展不及预期。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>老虎证券:客户资产及营收创历史新高、利润创三年新高</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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*/\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n老虎证券:客户资产及营收创历史新高、利润创三年新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-13 14:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><em>文章来源:中金公司</em></p><p><strong>3Q24 业绩高于我们预期</strong></p><p>老虎 3Q24 总收入同比+44%/环比+16%至 1.01 亿美元、创单季历史新高,Non-GAAP 净利润同比+26%/环比+286%至 2,009 万美元、创三年单季新高,超过我们预期,主因市场活跃下、入金用户增长及交易量提升明显。</p><p><strong>发展趋势</strong></p><p><strong>新入金客户加速增长、当前已完成全年新增指引,净入金保持强劲叠加随市增长推动客户资产规模创历史新高。</strong>公司 3Q 新入金客户 5.05 万人(vs.2Q24 4.9 万人/3Q23 2.5 万人)至 103.3 万人,新客户分地区来看,新加坡及东南亚地区~60%/中国香港 15%/澳新 15%/美国 5%+;受益于 10 月以来的活跃市场,截至当前公司已完成此前全年新增入金客户指引的 15 万人。用户资产方面,3Q24 客户净入金约 10 亿美元、叠加客户持仓市值上涨,推动客户总资产规模环比+7%/同比+116%至 408 亿美元、再创历史新高;分地区来看,新加坡保持客户资产稳增,同时中国香港、澳新等地区客户资产环比增长均在 25%以上。</p><p><strong>交易活跃推动交易佣金收入提升明显、利息收入稳增。</strong>1)收入端:3Q24 交易佣金、利息净收入、其他收入分别占净收入的 48%:41%:11%,其中:交易佣金环比+21%/同比+78%至 4,121 万美元、创三年新高,对应总交易量环比+54%/同比+103%至 1,630 亿美元(其中正股交易量环比+24%/同比+87%至 414 亿美元),综合换手率环比提升+1.0x 至 4.0x,综合佣金率环比下降至 2.5bps(正股佣金率环比小幅下降至 6.4bps);利息净收入环比+5%/同比+19%至 3,506 万美元,两融余额环比+29%/同比+102%至 45 亿美元;其他业务收入环比+45%/同比+70%至 908 万美元。2)成本端:总费用环比-14%/同比+22%至 5,934 万美元,其中:G&A 费用环比-66%/同比+27%至693 万美元(vs.2Q24 公司出于审慎对以港股质押物融资出金的应收账款全额计提 1,320 万美金减值),市场营销费用环比+28%/同比+59%至 822 万美元、对应单客成本环比提升至 163 美元;执行及清算成本环比+25%/同比+48%至 352 万美元、对应占交易佣金收入比例 8.5%;此外,市场数据及通讯费用同环比均有所提升、员工费用环比持平微增。</p><p><strong>市场交易活跃下的优质弹性标的。</strong>除新增用户已完成此前指引外,公司 4Q以来客户交易活跃及佣金表现强劲,公司在业绩会上表示 10 月交易量和佣金收入达历史以来最高单月、超过上半年平均月交易量及月佣金收入的两倍以上,且 11 月美股交易保持活跃、美国大选当日交易量较 10 月平均提升约50%。往前看,公司自身国际化拓展稳步推进、产品生态愈发完善、盈利能力不断增强,我们认为有望在市场向上周期中迎来业绩及估值的双升。</p><p><strong>盈利预测与估值</strong></p><p>考虑市场不确定性影响,我们下调 24/25 年盈利 10%/5%至 6,387/9,698 万美元。公司当前交易于 16x/11x 24/25e P/E;考虑到潜在市场波动加大,我们下调目标价 49%至 10.2 美元,对应 25x/16.5x 24/25e P/E 及 56%的上行空间;维持跑赢行业评级。</p><p><strong>风险</strong></p><p>市场成交及景气度低迷;行业竞争超预期;国际化拓展不及预期。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dc07ee61db7080412aa8876596e51c5","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108119330","content_text":"文章来源:中金公司3Q24 业绩高于我们预期老虎 3Q24 总收入同比+44%/环比+16%至 1.01 亿美元、创单季历史新高,Non-GAAP 净利润同比+26%/环比+286%至 2,009 万美元、创三年单季新高,超过我们预期,主因市场活跃下、入金用户增长及交易量提升明显。发展趋势新入金客户加速增长、当前已完成全年新增指引,净入金保持强劲叠加随市增长推动客户资产规模创历史新高。公司 3Q 新入金客户 5.05 万人(vs.2Q24 4.9 万人/3Q23 2.5 万人)至 103.3 万人,新客户分地区来看,新加坡及东南亚地区~60%/中国香港 15%/澳新 15%/美国 5%+;受益于 10 月以来的活跃市场,截至当前公司已完成此前全年新增入金客户指引的 15 万人。用户资产方面,3Q24 客户净入金约 10 亿美元、叠加客户持仓市值上涨,推动客户总资产规模环比+7%/同比+116%至 408 亿美元、再创历史新高;分地区来看,新加坡保持客户资产稳增,同时中国香港、澳新等地区客户资产环比增长均在 25%以上。交易活跃推动交易佣金收入提升明显、利息收入稳增。1)收入端:3Q24 交易佣金、利息净收入、其他收入分别占净收入的 48%:41%:11%,其中:交易佣金环比+21%/同比+78%至 4,121 万美元、创三年新高,对应总交易量环比+54%/同比+103%至 1,630 亿美元(其中正股交易量环比+24%/同比+87%至 414 亿美元),综合换手率环比提升+1.0x 至 4.0x,综合佣金率环比下降至 2.5bps(正股佣金率环比小幅下降至 6.4bps);利息净收入环比+5%/同比+19%至 3,506 万美元,两融余额环比+29%/同比+102%至 45 亿美元;其他业务收入环比+45%/同比+70%至 908 万美元。2)成本端:总费用环比-14%/同比+22%至 5,934 万美元,其中:G&A 费用环比-66%/同比+27%至693 万美元(vs.2Q24 公司出于审慎对以港股质押物融资出金的应收账款全额计提 1,320 万美金减值),市场营销费用环比+28%/同比+59%至 822 万美元、对应单客成本环比提升至 163 美元;执行及清算成本环比+25%/同比+48%至 352 万美元、对应占交易佣金收入比例 8.5%;此外,市场数据及通讯费用同环比均有所提升、员工费用环比持平微增。市场交易活跃下的优质弹性标的。除新增用户已完成此前指引外,公司 4Q以来客户交易活跃及佣金表现强劲,公司在业绩会上表示 10 月交易量和佣金收入达历史以来最高单月、超过上半年平均月交易量及月佣金收入的两倍以上,且 11 月美股交易保持活跃、美国大选当日交易量较 10 月平均提升约50%。往前看,公司自身国际化拓展稳步推进、产品生态愈发完善、盈利能力不断增强,我们认为有望在市场向上周期中迎来业绩及估值的双升。盈利预测与估值考虑市场不确定性影响,我们下调 24/25 年盈利 10%/5%至 6,387/9,698 万美元。公司当前交易于 16x/11x 24/25e P/E;考虑到潜在市场波动加大,我们下调目标价 49%至 10.2 美元,对应 25x/16.5x 24/25e P/E 及 56%的上行空间;维持跑赢行业评级。风险市场成交及景气度低迷;行业竞争超预期;国际化拓展不及预期。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368812894355840,"gmtCreate":1731079788830,"gmtModify":1731079972532,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368812894355840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368796716601800,"gmtCreate":1731079784618,"gmtModify":1731079972299,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$蔚来(NIO)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368796716601800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363349092913288,"gmtCreate":1729733699249,"gmtModify":1729733700516,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$ </a> 马上死给你看","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$ </a> 马上死给你看","text":"$地平线机器人-W(09660)$ 马上死给你看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363349092913288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359184504566008,"gmtCreate":1728699447640,"gmtModify":1728699655529,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359184504566008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358329467474232,"gmtCreate":1728519493088,"gmtModify":1728519494979,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"反转日到来?","listText":"反转日到来?","text":"反转日到来?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358329467474232","repostId":"1113304753","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113304753","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1728519218,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113304753?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-10-10 08:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股夜盘|中国资产相关ETF集体走高,二倍做多沪深300ETF涨超9%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113304753","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"10月10日,美股夜盘时段,中国资产相关ETF集体走高,二倍做多沪深300ETF涨超9%,德银沪深300指数ETF涨超4%,三倍做多富时中国ETF涨超3%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>10月10日,美股夜盘时段,中国资产相关ETF集体走高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHAU\">二倍做多沪深300ETF</a>涨超9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">德银沪深300指数ETF</a>涨超4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">三倍做多富时中国ETF</a>涨超3%。</p><p>消息面:中国人民银行公告,决定创设“证券、基金、保险公司互换便利(Securities, Funds and Insurance companies Swap Facility,简称SFISF)”,支持符合条件的证券、基金、保险公司以债券、股票ETF、沪深300成分股等资产为抵押,从人民银行换入国债、央行票据等高等级流动性资产。首期操作规模5000亿元,视情可进一步扩大操作规模。即日起,接受符合条件的证券、基金、保险公司申报。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6774290d42794281e6f47f14b1e795e6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"460\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股夜盘|中国资产相关ETF集体走高,二倍做多沪深300ETF涨超9%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-10 08:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>10月10日,美股夜盘时段,中国资产相关ETF集体走高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHAU\">二倍做多沪深300ETF</a>涨超9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">德银沪深300指数ETF</a>涨超4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">三倍做多富时中国ETF</a>涨超3%。</p><p>消息面:中国人民银行公告,决定创设“证券、基金、保险公司互换便利(Securities, Funds and Insurance companies Swap Facility,简称SFISF)”,支持符合条件的证券、基金、保险公司以债券、股票ETF、沪深300成分股等资产为抵押,从人民银行换入国债、央行票据等高等级流动性资产。首期操作规模5000亿元,视情可进一步扩大操作规模。即日起,接受符合条件的证券、基金、保险公司申报。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6774290d42794281e6f47f14b1e795e6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"460\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d1fe578ee46cbe0d24c33435ff25ae5","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113304753","content_text":"10月10日,美股夜盘时段,中国资产相关ETF集体走高,二倍做多沪深300ETF涨超9%,德银沪深300指数ETF涨超4%,三倍做多富时中国ETF涨超3%。消息面:中国人民银行公告,决定创设“证券、基金、保险公司互换便利(Securities, Funds and Insurance companies Swap 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有意思,老虎上到隔壁热榜了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6abf8905ea6d9700d2fc0a74a56443f7","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357620077813776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3489984829188133","authorId":"3489984829188133","name":"T20220308002","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcf028f594e383ca7c3bdcff4e90508a","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3489984829188133","authorIdStr":"3489984829188133"},"content":"病猫证券有几个名字?","text":"病猫证券有几个名字?","html":"病猫证券有几个名字?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356191265329424,"gmtCreate":1727970315240,"gmtModify":1727970316519,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRAG\">$Roundhill China Dragons ETF(DRAG)$ </a> 龙腾飞舞!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRAG\">$Roundhill China Dragons ETF(DRAG)$ </a> 龙腾飞舞!","text":"$Roundhill China Dragons ETF(DRAG)$ 龙腾飞舞!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356191265329424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356200467476496,"gmtCreate":1727964978041,"gmtModify":1727964979344,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a> 今晚要求不高,9.3 就行","listText":"<a 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Xiaomi 13是小米与徕卡合作后的第二款作品,联合徕卡深度研发,带来更具质感的专业影像,让用户可以忘情地创作,记录美好一刻。 外观设计方面 本次小米13系列分为直屏和曲屏两种外观,充分满足了不同消费者的需求。我本人更青睐直屏这款,整体非常的简约精致。边框采用高亮的不锈钢直立边框,圆滑的直角过渡,在简约硬朗的设计线条下,又不失典雅之风。设计师可谓把男士用户和女士用户的喜好拿捏的死死的!! 整体中线对称的设计语言,带有一丝有态度的先锋设计灵感,背部采用微曲后盖设计,温软细腻典雅的手感配之以轻微的棱角,这手感,妙绝了![举爪]而这一切都蕴藏在71.5mm的超窄机身中,单手握持完全木有问题~ 边框材质方面 本次小米13采用超窄的屏幕边框设计,整体四边宽度均匀,宽度比iphone14还要窄不少。整体的视觉感受冲击力十足!拿在手里,宛如一整块无边框屏幕悬浮掌中,妙不可言![得意] 值得一提的是本次的素皮材质,官方宣传是高大上的【科技素皮】哈哈哈哈哈,据说吃海底捞时候火锅油污洒上去都没事。达到抗紫外线、抗黄变、耐脏污等效果的同时,更带来柔滑清爽好手感。 屏幕方面 专业旗舰好屏,为专业创作而来。小米13的这块直屏,毫不夸张的说,可能是目前这个星球上最好的一块直屏~不管是参数还是设计,都堪称完美!之前我一直诟病为什么小米的直屏不能做的跟OV一样好看,这次,小米做到了。1900尼特的峰值亮度,支持杜比视界,新一代的发光材质,这块屏幕可谓内外兼修","listText":"终于,在遇到不可抗力后调整了发布日期,承载着小米万千期待的年度旗舰——小米13系列,惊艳发布!其实网友、米粉、甚至媒体们,都对这一代的小米数字旗舰系列可谓是充满期待。小米在今年年中宣布与百年影像品牌——徕卡,达成战略合作,随即发布了小米12s Ultra,其影像处理能力饱受各界赞誉。不管是成像风格,亦或是拍摄性能,都让人不得不叫一句:真徕卡! Xiaomi 13是小米与徕卡合作后的第二款作品,联合徕卡深度研发,带来更具质感的专业影像,让用户可以忘情地创作,记录美好一刻。 外观设计方面 本次小米13系列分为直屏和曲屏两种外观,充分满足了不同消费者的需求。我本人更青睐直屏这款,整体非常的简约精致。边框采用高亮的不锈钢直立边框,圆滑的直角过渡,在简约硬朗的设计线条下,又不失典雅之风。设计师可谓把男士用户和女士用户的喜好拿捏的死死的!! 整体中线对称的设计语言,带有一丝有态度的先锋设计灵感,背部采用微曲后盖设计,温软细腻典雅的手感配之以轻微的棱角,这手感,妙绝了![举爪]而这一切都蕴藏在71.5mm的超窄机身中,单手握持完全木有问题~ 边框材质方面 本次小米13采用超窄的屏幕边框设计,整体四边宽度均匀,宽度比iphone14还要窄不少。整体的视觉感受冲击力十足!拿在手里,宛如一整块无边框屏幕悬浮掌中,妙不可言![得意] 值得一提的是本次的素皮材质,官方宣传是高大上的【科技素皮】哈哈哈哈哈,据说吃海底捞时候火锅油污洒上去都没事。达到抗紫外线、抗黄变、耐脏污等效果的同时,更带来柔滑清爽好手感。 屏幕方面 专业旗舰好屏,为专业创作而来。小米13的这块直屏,毫不夸张的说,可能是目前这个星球上最好的一块直屏~不管是参数还是设计,都堪称完美!之前我一直诟病为什么小米的直屏不能做的跟OV一样好看,这次,小米做到了。1900尼特的峰值亮度,支持杜比视界,新一代的发光材质,这块屏幕可谓内外兼修","text":"终于,在遇到不可抗力后调整了发布日期,承载着小米万千期待的年度旗舰——小米13系列,惊艳发布!其实网友、米粉、甚至媒体们,都对这一代的小米数字旗舰系列可谓是充满期待。小米在今年年中宣布与百年影像品牌——徕卡,达成战略合作,随即发布了小米12s Ultra,其影像处理能力饱受各界赞誉。不管是成像风格,亦或是拍摄性能,都让人不得不叫一句:真徕卡! Xiaomi 13是小米与徕卡合作后的第二款作品,联合徕卡深度研发,带来更具质感的专业影像,让用户可以忘情地创作,记录美好一刻。 外观设计方面 本次小米13系列分为直屏和曲屏两种外观,充分满足了不同消费者的需求。我本人更青睐直屏这款,整体非常的简约精致。边框采用高亮的不锈钢直立边框,圆滑的直角过渡,在简约硬朗的设计线条下,又不失典雅之风。设计师可谓把男士用户和女士用户的喜好拿捏的死死的!! 整体中线对称的设计语言,带有一丝有态度的先锋设计灵感,背部采用微曲后盖设计,温软细腻典雅的手感配之以轻微的棱角,这手感,妙绝了![举爪]而这一切都蕴藏在71.5mm的超窄机身中,单手握持完全木有问题~ 边框材质方面 本次小米13采用超窄的屏幕边框设计,整体四边宽度均匀,宽度比iphone14还要窄不少。整体的视觉感受冲击力十足!拿在手里,宛如一整块无边框屏幕悬浮掌中,妙不可言![得意] 值得一提的是本次的素皮材质,官方宣传是高大上的【科技素皮】哈哈哈哈哈,据说吃海底捞时候火锅油污洒上去都没事。达到抗紫外线、抗黄变、耐脏污等效果的同时,更带来柔滑清爽好手感。 屏幕方面 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一图看懂万物新生(爱回收)集团IPO","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f834e343fcc09fee3c08ce3c2db17df3","width":"750","height":"12185"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":77,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110644911","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3585277217865833","authorId":"3585277217865833","name":"头部玩家","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3585277217865833","authorIdStr":"3585277217865833"},"content":"GMV难道会高过闲鱼?上海有很多爱回收的柜台,过去问问苹果手机的回收价格,就知道在闲鱼面前他有多大的竞争力了。","text":"GMV难道会高过闲鱼?上海有很多爱回收的柜台,过去问问苹果手机的回收价格,就知道在闲鱼面前他有多大的竞争力了。","html":"GMV难道会高过闲鱼?上海有很多爱回收的柜台,过去问问苹果手机的回收价格,就知道在闲鱼面前他有多大的竞争力了。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":244148655226904,"gmtCreate":1700621284278,"gmtModify":1700621358531,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$ </a>利润上修空间可期 快手3Q23业绩利润率超预期,收入符合预期。收入同比增长21%,经调整净利润为32亿元人民币,较市场预期高19%/15%。分业务看,电商GMV和收入同比增长30%/37%,源于供给提升以及货架电商推广。广告同比增长27%,得益于外循环广告行业复苏和内循环广告的韧性增长。快手利润端再次超预期,主要源于更高的毛利率和更强的成本管控能力。展望4Q23,预计其强劲势头得以延续。快手4Q23收入将同比增长15%(符合市场预期),净利润为28亿元人民币(高于市场预期9%)。看好快手电商长期增长空间,源于月活跃买家渗透率的提升、更高效的流量运营和货架电商业务的推动。在“双11”强劲增长驱动下(在主要平台中GMV增速最快),预计4Q23电商GMV/其他收入同比增长29.5%/40%。广告业务将在4Q23实现高于行业增长(预计同比增长20%)。将2023-25年的盈利预测上调7%-10%,并维持目标价97港元不变。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$ </a>利润上修空间可期 快手3Q23业绩利润率超预期,收入符合预期。收入同比增长21%,经调整净利润为32亿元人民币,较市场预期高19%/15%。分业务看,电商GMV和收入同比增长30%/37%,源于供给提升以及货架电商推广。广告同比增长27%,得益于外循环广告行业复苏和内循环广告的韧性增长。快手利润端再次超预期,主要源于更高的毛利率和更强的成本管控能力。展望4Q23,预计其强劲势头得以延续。快手4Q23收入将同比增长15%(符合市场预期),净利润为28亿元人民币(高于市场预期9%)。看好快手电商长期增长空间,源于月活跃买家渗透率的提升、更高效的流量运营和货架电商业务的推动。在“双11”强劲增长驱动下(在主要平台中GMV增速最快),预计4Q23电商GMV/其他收入同比增长29.5%/40%。广告业务将在4Q23实现高于行业增长(预计同比增长20%)。将2023-25年的盈利预测上调7%-10%,并维持目标价97港元不变。","text":"$快手-W(01024)$ 利润上修空间可期 快手3Q23业绩利润率超预期,收入符合预期。收入同比增长21%,经调整净利润为32亿元人民币,较市场预期高19%/15%。分业务看,电商GMV和收入同比增长30%/37%,源于供给提升以及货架电商推广。广告同比增长27%,得益于外循环广告行业复苏和内循环广告的韧性增长。快手利润端再次超预期,主要源于更高的毛利率和更强的成本管控能力。展望4Q23,预计其强劲势头得以延续。快手4Q23收入将同比增长15%(符合市场预期),净利润为28亿元人民币(高于市场预期9%)。看好快手电商长期增长空间,源于月活跃买家渗透率的提升、更高效的流量运营和货架电商业务的推动。在“双11”强劲增长驱动下(在主要平台中GMV增速最快),预计4Q23电商GMV/其他收入同比增长29.5%/40%。广告业务将在4Q23实现高于行业增长(预计同比增长20%)。将2023-25年的盈利预测上调7%-10%,并维持目标价97港元不变。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/244148655226904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274694556928","authorId":"3479274694556928","name":"栋哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d8c624463b4c9a72b92ec0e1653d144","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274694556928","authorIdStr":"3479274694556928"},"content":"利润上修空间可期 ,但是还不是近期","text":"利润上修空间可期 ,但是还不是近期","html":"利润上修空间可期 ,但是还不是近期"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":652771154,"gmtCreate":1684933476178,"gmtModify":1684934218678,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">$BOSS直聘(BZ)$ </a>一季报基本符合预期,主要透露了两方面的信息: 1、一个是 BOSS 直聘的行业地位稳固,平台月活环比净增 880 万用户,达到 3970 万人。不仅绝对值创历史新高,环比净增幅度也创新高。 结合 QM 其他招聘平台的用户数据,BOSS 直聘行业佼佼者无疑,是求职者心目中第一大在线招聘平台。竞争优势短期逆境期上有利于 BOSS 优化自身盈利模型,长期视角上,只要有大量的、新鲜的、活跃的流量,招聘方也自然容易被吸引。 2、另一个则是反映出当下的宏观环境。 (1)一季度继续演绎着劳动力供需冰火两重天的场景。 a. 企业招聘需求有复苏,但远不及求职者的需求。 b. 付费企业在增加,但平均到单个企业年化后的招聘需求有所降低。 (2)但企业对招聘的中期展望也并不算差。 现金收款和递延收入同比环比都有显著走高的趋势,二季度 30% 的收入指引可能也有受益去年同期低基数的因素,但从创新高的递延收入来看,站在一年的时间维度上,剔除掉一些涨价的影响,企业也绝非信心寥寥。短期的压力有目共睹,但工具灵活性正是 BOSS 直聘的平台特色,因此一旦经济加速修复,企业的扩张动作也会最快程度的反应到 BOSS 的业绩中。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">$BOSS直聘(BZ)$ </a>一季报基本符合预期,主要透露了两方面的信息: 1、一个是 BOSS 直聘的行业地位稳固,平台月活环比净增 880 万用户,达到 3970 万人。不仅绝对值创历史新高,环比净增幅度也创新高。 结合 QM 其他招聘平台的用户数据,BOSS 直聘行业佼佼者无疑,是求职者心目中第一大在线招聘平台。竞争优势短期逆境期上有利于 BOSS 优化自身盈利模型,长期视角上,只要有大量的、新鲜的、活跃的流量,招聘方也自然容易被吸引。 2、另一个则是反映出当下的宏观环境。 (1)一季度继续演绎着劳动力供需冰火两重天的场景。 a. 企业招聘需求有复苏,但远不及求职者的需求。 b. 付费企业在增加,但平均到单个企业年化后的招聘需求有所降低。 (2)但企业对招聘的中期展望也并不算差。 现金收款和递延收入同比环比都有显著走高的趋势,二季度 30% 的收入指引可能也有受益去年同期低基数的因素,但从创新高的递延收入来看,站在一年的时间维度上,剔除掉一些涨价的影响,企业也绝非信心寥寥。短期的压力有目共睹,但工具灵活性正是 BOSS 直聘的平台特色,因此一旦经济加速修复,企业的扩张动作也会最快程度的反应到 BOSS 的业绩中。","text":"$BOSS直聘(BZ)$ 一季报基本符合预期,主要透露了两方面的信息: 1、一个是 BOSS 直聘的行业地位稳固,平台月活环比净增 880 万用户,达到 3970 万人。不仅绝对值创历史新高,环比净增幅度也创新高。 结合 QM 其他招聘平台的用户数据,BOSS 直聘行业佼佼者无疑,是求职者心目中第一大在线招聘平台。竞争优势短期逆境期上有利于 BOSS 优化自身盈利模型,长期视角上,只要有大量的、新鲜的、活跃的流量,招聘方也自然容易被吸引。 2、另一个则是反映出当下的宏观环境。 (1)一季度继续演绎着劳动力供需冰火两重天的场景。 a. 企业招聘需求有复苏,但远不及求职者的需求。 b. 付费企业在增加,但平均到单个企业年化后的招聘需求有所降低。 (2)但企业对招聘的中期展望也并不算差。 现金收款和递延收入同比环比都有显著走高的趋势,二季度 30% 的收入指引可能也有受益去年同期低基数的因素,但从创新高的递延收入来看,站在一年的时间维度上,剔除掉一些涨价的影响,企业也绝非信心寥寥。短期的压力有目共睹,但工具灵活性正是 BOSS 直聘的平台特色,因此一旦经济加速修复,企业的扩张动作也会最快程度的反应到 BOSS 的业绩中。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":88,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/652771154","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010302","authorId":"10000000000010302","name":"吾股丰登123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b610f7fa83d7281fe00c102df34d1691","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010302","authorIdStr":"10000000000010302"},"content":"boss至净利润同比上涨102%,上车没错了","text":"boss至净利润同比上涨102%,上车没错了","html":"boss至净利润同比上涨102%,上车没错了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894463795,"gmtCreate":1628848698414,"gmtModify":1628860799226,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"title":"都是高端机,小米MIX4和小米11Ultra谁更香?","htmlText":"最近,米粉最为期待的小米MIX4终于发布了。早在2016年,小米MIX系列第一代机型横空出世,该机凭借着91.3%的屏占比和独特的外观设计,在手机圈内引起了不小的轰动。需要注意的是,在小米MIX3后小米MIX系列的常规机型就有很长一段时间没有更新了(除了小米MIXα和MIX Flod)。因此憋了这么长时间的小米MIX4,自然不用多说什么,无论是外观设计、还是配置等地方,几乎都是没有让人失望的。 整体来讲,小米MIX4采用了真全面屏设计,正面完全是一块屏幕,观感震撼,配置上也是非常的强大,搭载了目前安卓阵营最顶级的处理器骁龙888+。那么问题来了,对比上年年时间发布的小米11 Ultra, 谁更值得购买呢? 首先来看下两者的一些重要参数。小米MIX4采用的是一块6.67英寸的OLED屏幕,支持120Hz,其最大亮点就是采用了CUP全面屏技术,前置镜头完全隐藏于屏幕之下,做到了真正的全面设计。配置上,首发骁龙888+,电池容量为4500mAh,支持120W快充以及50W无线快充。 拍照上,后三摄设计,主摄三星HMX一亿像素传感器,1300W像素超广角,800W像素长焦,以及前置2000W像素的屏下镜头。其它地方还有哈曼卡顿双扬、UWB传输、一体化陶瓷机身等。 再来看下小米11 Ultra,该机正面采用的是三星的AMOLED E4材质的屏幕,造型设计为四曲面的打孔屏,支持120Hz高刷和2K级别分别率。配置上,拥有骁龙888处理器,电池容量为5000mAh,支持67W有线无线快充。 拍照方面是小米11 Ultra的最大亮点。目前在DXO里是拍照第二强的机型,后置三大“主摄”以及一块副屏设计,主摄三星GN2 5000W像素传感器,两颗IMX586分别作为为广角和长焦,整体参数十分的豪华。至于其它地方,小米11 Ultra拥有IP68级别防水防尘、哈曼卡顿双扬、指纹心率","listText":"最近,米粉最为期待的小米MIX4终于发布了。早在2016年,小米MIX系列第一代机型横空出世,该机凭借着91.3%的屏占比和独特的外观设计,在手机圈内引起了不小的轰动。需要注意的是,在小米MIX3后小米MIX系列的常规机型就有很长一段时间没有更新了(除了小米MIXα和MIX Flod)。因此憋了这么长时间的小米MIX4,自然不用多说什么,无论是外观设计、还是配置等地方,几乎都是没有让人失望的。 整体来讲,小米MIX4采用了真全面屏设计,正面完全是一块屏幕,观感震撼,配置上也是非常的强大,搭载了目前安卓阵营最顶级的处理器骁龙888+。那么问题来了,对比上年年时间发布的小米11 Ultra, 谁更值得购买呢? 首先来看下两者的一些重要参数。小米MIX4采用的是一块6.67英寸的OLED屏幕,支持120Hz,其最大亮点就是采用了CUP全面屏技术,前置镜头完全隐藏于屏幕之下,做到了真正的全面设计。配置上,首发骁龙888+,电池容量为4500mAh,支持120W快充以及50W无线快充。 拍照上,后三摄设计,主摄三星HMX一亿像素传感器,1300W像素超广角,800W像素长焦,以及前置2000W像素的屏下镜头。其它地方还有哈曼卡顿双扬、UWB传输、一体化陶瓷机身等。 再来看下小米11 Ultra,该机正面采用的是三星的AMOLED E4材质的屏幕,造型设计为四曲面的打孔屏,支持120Hz高刷和2K级别分别率。配置上,拥有骁龙888处理器,电池容量为5000mAh,支持67W有线无线快充。 拍照方面是小米11 Ultra的最大亮点。目前在DXO里是拍照第二强的机型,后置三大“主摄”以及一块副屏设计,主摄三星GN2 5000W像素传感器,两颗IMX586分别作为为广角和长焦,整体参数十分的豪华。至于其它地方,小米11 Ultra拥有IP68级别防水防尘、哈曼卡顿双扬、指纹心率","text":"最近,米粉最为期待的小米MIX4终于发布了。早在2016年,小米MIX系列第一代机型横空出世,该机凭借着91.3%的屏占比和独特的外观设计,在手机圈内引起了不小的轰动。需要注意的是,在小米MIX3后小米MIX系列的常规机型就有很长一段时间没有更新了(除了小米MIXα和MIX Flod)。因此憋了这么长时间的小米MIX4,自然不用多说什么,无论是外观设计、还是配置等地方,几乎都是没有让人失望的。 整体来讲,小米MIX4采用了真全面屏设计,正面完全是一块屏幕,观感震撼,配置上也是非常的强大,搭载了目前安卓阵营最顶级的处理器骁龙888+。那么问题来了,对比上年年时间发布的小米11 Ultra, 谁更值得购买呢? 首先来看下两者的一些重要参数。小米MIX4采用的是一块6.67英寸的OLED屏幕,支持120Hz,其最大亮点就是采用了CUP全面屏技术,前置镜头完全隐藏于屏幕之下,做到了真正的全面设计。配置上,首发骁龙888+,电池容量为4500mAh,支持120W快充以及50W无线快充。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03189\">$易方达白酒(03189)$ </a>中国白酒作为中国传统酒文化的代表,一直以来都是中国酒文化的重要组成部分,也是中国酒业的龙头产业。随着国内消费水平的提高和消费结构的变化,中国白酒行业也面临着新的机遇和挑战。下面,我们从市场、品牌、产品和技术等方面对中国白酒行业未来的发展趋势进行预测。 市场趋势 随着国内经济的发展和消费水平的提高,中国白酒市场的规模将继续扩大。同时,随着人们消费观念的转变,高端白酒的市场需求将会持续增长。此外,随着国内消费者的结构性变化,女性和年轻人成为了中国白酒市场的新兴消费群体。未来,中国白酒行业将会在不断追求高品质的同时,注重推出符合女性和年轻人口味的新品种和新口感的白酒。 品牌趋势 随着市场的竞争愈加激烈,品牌的竞争力将成为决定企业成败的重要因素。未来,中国白酒行业将会在品牌建设上下更大的功夫,通过品牌差异化、品牌升级等手段提高品牌价值和美誉度。同时,茅台、五粮液、泸州老窖等知名品牌将继续保持市场领先地位,新兴品牌也将不断涌现。 产品趋势 未来,中国白酒行业的产品将会越来越多元化。一方面,高端白酒的市场需求将会持续增长,茅台、五粮液等品牌将不断推出更高端的白酒产品。另一方面,低度数白酒、果味白酒等新品种的市场需求也将不断增长。此外,绿色、环保、健康等概念将会成为未来白酒产品设计的重要考虑因素。 四、技术趋势 未来,中国白酒行业将会在技术创新上下大力气。一方面,酿酒技术将会不断提高,以保证产品的质量和口感。另一方面,数字化、智能化、自动化等新技术将会应用到酒业生产和销售的各个环节,以提高生产效率和品牌竞争力。 总之,未来中国白酒行业将会在市场、品牌、产品和技术等方面不断创新和提高,以适应消费者需求的变化和市场竞争的加剧,实现更加健康、可持续的发展。 易方达白酒","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03189\">$易方达白酒(03189)$ </a>中国白酒作为中国传统酒文化的代表,一直以来都是中国酒文化的重要组成部分,也是中国酒业的龙头产业。随着国内消费水平的提高和消费结构的变化,中国白酒行业也面临着新的机遇和挑战。下面,我们从市场、品牌、产品和技术等方面对中国白酒行业未来的发展趋势进行预测。 市场趋势 随着国内经济的发展和消费水平的提高,中国白酒市场的规模将继续扩大。同时,随着人们消费观念的转变,高端白酒的市场需求将会持续增长。此外,随着国内消费者的结构性变化,女性和年轻人成为了中国白酒市场的新兴消费群体。未来,中国白酒行业将会在不断追求高品质的同时,注重推出符合女性和年轻人口味的新品种和新口感的白酒。 品牌趋势 随着市场的竞争愈加激烈,品牌的竞争力将成为决定企业成败的重要因素。未来,中国白酒行业将会在品牌建设上下更大的功夫,通过品牌差异化、品牌升级等手段提高品牌价值和美誉度。同时,茅台、五粮液、泸州老窖等知名品牌将继续保持市场领先地位,新兴品牌也将不断涌现。 产品趋势 未来,中国白酒行业的产品将会越来越多元化。一方面,高端白酒的市场需求将会持续增长,茅台、五粮液等品牌将不断推出更高端的白酒产品。另一方面,低度数白酒、果味白酒等新品种的市场需求也将不断增长。此外,绿色、环保、健康等概念将会成为未来白酒产品设计的重要考虑因素。 四、技术趋势 未来,中国白酒行业将会在技术创新上下大力气。一方面,酿酒技术将会不断提高,以保证产品的质量和口感。另一方面,数字化、智能化、自动化等新技术将会应用到酒业生产和销售的各个环节,以提高生产效率和品牌竞争力。 总之,未来中国白酒行业将会在市场、品牌、产品和技术等方面不断创新和提高,以适应消费者需求的变化和市场竞争的加剧,实现更加健康、可持续的发展。 易方达白酒","text":"$易方达白酒(03189)$ 中国白酒作为中国传统酒文化的代表,一直以来都是中国酒文化的重要组成部分,也是中国酒业的龙头产业。随着国内消费水平的提高和消费结构的变化,中国白酒行业也面临着新的机遇和挑战。下面,我们从市场、品牌、产品和技术等方面对中国白酒行业未来的发展趋势进行预测。 市场趋势 随着国内经济的发展和消费水平的提高,中国白酒市场的规模将继续扩大。同时,随着人们消费观念的转变,高端白酒的市场需求将会持续增长。此外,随着国内消费者的结构性变化,女性和年轻人成为了中国白酒市场的新兴消费群体。未来,中国白酒行业将会在不断追求高品质的同时,注重推出符合女性和年轻人口味的新品种和新口感的白酒。 品牌趋势 随着市场的竞争愈加激烈,品牌的竞争力将成为决定企业成败的重要因素。未来,中国白酒行业将会在品牌建设上下更大的功夫,通过品牌差异化、品牌升级等手段提高品牌价值和美誉度。同时,茅台、五粮液、泸州老窖等知名品牌将继续保持市场领先地位,新兴品牌也将不断涌现。 产品趋势 未来,中国白酒行业的产品将会越来越多元化。一方面,高端白酒的市场需求将会持续增长,茅台、五粮液等品牌将不断推出更高端的白酒产品。另一方面,低度数白酒、果味白酒等新品种的市场需求也将不断增长。此外,绿色、环保、健康等概念将会成为未来白酒产品设计的重要考虑因素。 四、技术趋势 未来,中国白酒行业将会在技术创新上下大力气。一方面,酿酒技术将会不断提高,以保证产品的质量和口感。另一方面,数字化、智能化、自动化等新技术将会应用到酒业生产和销售的各个环节,以提高生产效率和品牌竞争力。 总之,未来中国白酒行业将会在市场、品牌、产品和技术等方面不断创新和提高,以适应消费者需求的变化和市场竞争的加剧,实现更加健康、可持续的发展。 易方达白酒","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87b3bbd03f72a367ca11c909f395fc9","width":"660","height":"437"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/655911468","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":2723,"gmtBegin":1685061893495,"gmtEnd":1686271241381,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你看好白酒行业的后续行情吗?","choices":[{"id":10015,"sort":1,"name":"看好","userSize":6,"voted":false},{"id":10016,"sort":2,"name":"不看好","userSize":4,"voted":false}]},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010316","authorId":"10000000000010316","name":"牛回速速归","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e6f1bc4ba00f7dfeedf85c10b3e7cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010316","authorIdStr":"10000000000010316"},"content":"真的期待白酒行业能有一些令人振奋的好消息","text":"真的期待白酒行业能有一些令人振奋的好消息","html":"真的期待白酒行业能有一些令人振奋的好消息"}],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688624401,"gmtCreate":1657634644205,"gmtModify":1704867834117,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NA\">$豪微科技(NA)$</a>中签的来集合!","text":"$豪微科技(NA)$中签的来集合!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688624401","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583298926087197","authorId":"3583298926087197","name":"四点半","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583298926087197","authorIdStr":"3583298926087197"},"content":"不用发抖,你中了多少啊?高开没问题","text":"不用发抖,你中了多少啊?高开没问题","html":"不用发抖,你中了多少啊?高开没问题"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874320599,"gmtCreate":1637732565853,"gmtModify":1637812115615,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"整体上来看,由于小米手机这个季度表现较差,由于IDC等第三方数据早已公布,不是新鲜事,其实也已经被充分定价。这次财报的核心增量信息在于观察在互联网业务的成长和利润创造能力,以及IoT业务的增长能力。从结果上来看,缺少爆款硬件支撑的IoT无论是收入还是毛利表现均略显尴尬,而这次财报真正意义上亮点在于互联网业务,尤其是广告这块,无论是收入还是利润,表现依旧惊艳,是超出了预期的。而手机业务的疲软,公司给出的解释是供应链紧缺,当然可能供应链确实紧缺,但也要关注市场的竞争问题,尤其是荣耀目前表现相对强势,后续还会出海,需要持续关注竞争格局的演绎。就此次业绩而言,小米的答卷我认为是撑得起当前的价位的。","listText":"整体上来看,由于小米手机这个季度表现较差,由于IDC等第三方数据早已公布,不是新鲜事,其实也已经被充分定价。这次财报的核心增量信息在于观察在互联网业务的成长和利润创造能力,以及IoT业务的增长能力。从结果上来看,缺少爆款硬件支撑的IoT无论是收入还是毛利表现均略显尴尬,而这次财报真正意义上亮点在于互联网业务,尤其是广告这块,无论是收入还是利润,表现依旧惊艳,是超出了预期的。而手机业务的疲软,公司给出的解释是供应链紧缺,当然可能供应链确实紧缺,但也要关注市场的竞争问题,尤其是荣耀目前表现相对强势,后续还会出海,需要持续关注竞争格局的演绎。就此次业绩而言,小米的答卷我认为是撑得起当前的价位的。","text":"整体上来看,由于小米手机这个季度表现较差,由于IDC等第三方数据早已公布,不是新鲜事,其实也已经被充分定价。这次财报的核心增量信息在于观察在互联网业务的成长和利润创造能力,以及IoT业务的增长能力。从结果上来看,缺少爆款硬件支撑的IoT无论是收入还是毛利表现均略显尴尬,而这次财报真正意义上亮点在于互联网业务,尤其是广告这块,无论是收入还是利润,表现依旧惊艳,是超出了预期的。而手机业务的疲软,公司给出的解释是供应链紧缺,当然可能供应链确实紧缺,但也要关注市场的竞争问题,尤其是荣耀目前表现相对强势,后续还会出海,需要持续关注竞争格局的演绎。就此次业绩而言,小米的答卷我认为是撑得起当前的价位的。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874320599","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000316","authorId":"9000000000000316","name":"丹尼尔加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2986a3c909439505407d0230a69dcb6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000316","authorIdStr":"9000000000000316"},"content":"以前一直以为小米就是一家组装皮包公司,现在看来我走眼了。","text":"以前一直以为小米就是一家组装皮包公司,现在看来我走眼了。","html":"以前一直以为小米就是一家组装皮包公司,现在看来我走眼了。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373017742,"gmtCreate":1618802261386,"gmtModify":1618802909980,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"title":"小鹏新车,打败特斯拉?","htmlText":"还未等到上海车展,4月14日晚,小鹏汽车就在广州召开了新车“P5”的亮相发布会。小鹏虽未直接表明与特斯拉Model3硬刚,但小鹏发布的P5参数对比中,Model3无处不在。 天天被各种电动车对标和“秒杀”的特斯拉,又遇到了劲敌。 在新能源汽车市场,特斯拉Model3无疑是王者,其销售数量远超被称为新造车势力的蔚来、理想和小鹏。 不过,从定价和车型上来看,与Model3形成正面竞争的不是理想汽车和蔚来汽车,而是小鹏汽车的P系列。 作为小鹏旗下的第三款量产车,小鹏P5定位紧凑型纯电动轿车。从长度和轴距上来说,比小鹏P7略小,但要大于特斯拉Model3。 据了解,新发布的P5将主打自动辅助驾驶以及智能交互车舱。新车搭载的XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统及激光雷达,能够实现更完善的自动辅助驾驶能力。小鹏称P5是“全球首款量产激光雷达智能汽车”,由此可见,新车发布的关键应该就是激光雷达。有了这一黑科技,P5能免受光线的打扰,将实现厘米级测距,可以有效处理实际路况中车辆两侧的加塞情况。相较于P7车型上的毫米波、超声波,激光雷达测算无疑更加精准。在发布会上,P5虽未直接公布改款新车型的价格和具体交付时间,但从小鹏走性价比路线的情况来看,P5可能定价于20万元左右,将为低预算的消费者带了新的选择。对标特斯拉,凭啥? 如果新能源汽车市场有神,那他一定是特斯拉。虽然国内蔚来、理想、小鹏汽车这三家造车新势力正在奋力追赶,但在这四家车企中,无论是产品价格跨度,还是产品丰富程度,特斯拉毫无疑问都是最高的那个。 特斯拉SEXY的四条产品线,让用户选择的空间更大,自然吸引的用户群体也更多。 小鹏汽车在IPO之时,就受到过来自资本市场\"中国的特斯拉\"的评价。对标特斯拉,小鹏的P7此前就进行过尝试。 在用G3稳住自己的基本盘后,小鹏推出了P7。 补贴后售价为22.99-40.99万元的P7,定位在中级车","listText":"还未等到上海车展,4月14日晚,小鹏汽车就在广州召开了新车“P5”的亮相发布会。小鹏虽未直接表明与特斯拉Model3硬刚,但小鹏发布的P5参数对比中,Model3无处不在。 天天被各种电动车对标和“秒杀”的特斯拉,又遇到了劲敌。 在新能源汽车市场,特斯拉Model3无疑是王者,其销售数量远超被称为新造车势力的蔚来、理想和小鹏。 不过,从定价和车型上来看,与Model3形成正面竞争的不是理想汽车和蔚来汽车,而是小鹏汽车的P系列。 作为小鹏旗下的第三款量产车,小鹏P5定位紧凑型纯电动轿车。从长度和轴距上来说,比小鹏P7略小,但要大于特斯拉Model3。 据了解,新发布的P5将主打自动辅助驾驶以及智能交互车舱。新车搭载的XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统及激光雷达,能够实现更完善的自动辅助驾驶能力。小鹏称P5是“全球首款量产激光雷达智能汽车”,由此可见,新车发布的关键应该就是激光雷达。有了这一黑科技,P5能免受光线的打扰,将实现厘米级测距,可以有效处理实际路况中车辆两侧的加塞情况。相较于P7车型上的毫米波、超声波,激光雷达测算无疑更加精准。在发布会上,P5虽未直接公布改款新车型的价格和具体交付时间,但从小鹏走性价比路线的情况来看,P5可能定价于20万元左右,将为低预算的消费者带了新的选择。对标特斯拉,凭啥? 如果新能源汽车市场有神,那他一定是特斯拉。虽然国内蔚来、理想、小鹏汽车这三家造车新势力正在奋力追赶,但在这四家车企中,无论是产品价格跨度,还是产品丰富程度,特斯拉毫无疑问都是最高的那个。 特斯拉SEXY的四条产品线,让用户选择的空间更大,自然吸引的用户群体也更多。 小鹏汽车在IPO之时,就受到过来自资本市场\"中国的特斯拉\"的评价。对标特斯拉,小鹏的P7此前就进行过尝试。 在用G3稳住自己的基本盘后,小鹏推出了P7。 补贴后售价为22.99-40.99万元的P7,定位在中级车","text":"还未等到上海车展,4月14日晚,小鹏汽车就在广州召开了新车“P5”的亮相发布会。小鹏虽未直接表明与特斯拉Model3硬刚,但小鹏发布的P5参数对比中,Model3无处不在。 天天被各种电动车对标和“秒杀”的特斯拉,又遇到了劲敌。 在新能源汽车市场,特斯拉Model3无疑是王者,其销售数量远超被称为新造车势力的蔚来、理想和小鹏。 不过,从定价和车型上来看,与Model3形成正面竞争的不是理想汽车和蔚来汽车,而是小鹏汽车的P系列。 作为小鹏旗下的第三款量产车,小鹏P5定位紧凑型纯电动轿车。从长度和轴距上来说,比小鹏P7略小,但要大于特斯拉Model3。 据了解,新发布的P5将主打自动辅助驾驶以及智能交互车舱。新车搭载的XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统及激光雷达,能够实现更完善的自动辅助驾驶能力。小鹏称P5是“全球首款量产激光雷达智能汽车”,由此可见,新车发布的关键应该就是激光雷达。有了这一黑科技,P5能免受光线的打扰,将实现厘米级测距,可以有效处理实际路况中车辆两侧的加塞情况。相较于P7车型上的毫米波、超声波,激光雷达测算无疑更加精准。在发布会上,P5虽未直接公布改款新车型的价格和具体交付时间,但从小鹏走性价比路线的情况来看,P5可能定价于20万元左右,将为低预算的消费者带了新的选择。对标特斯拉,凭啥? 如果新能源汽车市场有神,那他一定是特斯拉。虽然国内蔚来、理想、小鹏汽车这三家造车新势力正在奋力追赶,但在这四家车企中,无论是产品价格跨度,还是产品丰富程度,特斯拉毫无疑问都是最高的那个。 特斯拉SEXY的四条产品线,让用户选择的空间更大,自然吸引的用户群体也更多。 小鹏汽车在IPO之时,就受到过来自资本市场\"中国的特斯拉\"的评价。对标特斯拉,小鹏的P7此前就进行过尝试。 在用G3稳住自己的基本盘后,小鹏推出了P7。 补贴后售价为22.99-40.99万元的P7,定位在中级车","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e44975793fc09a5c3c37c111c82e6865","width":"688","height":"506"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49baab8818a626e0161b2fd909089b6","width":"688","height":"320"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0709577296380f26a3ba0ab1944207d9","width":"688","height":"387"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373017742","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568081734360099","authorId":"3568081734360099","name":"何安迪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c7061d02e3c72d7ce21a375ae80cb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568081734360099","authorIdStr":"3568081734360099"},"content":"作为一个颜控,我站特斯拉 [笑哭]","text":"作为一个颜控,我站特斯拉 [笑哭]","html":"作为一个颜控,我站特斯拉 [笑哭]"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":288134305403104,"gmtCreate":1711370982197,"gmtModify":1711427915652,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDIY\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ </a> 总的来看,滴滴本次四季度业绩虽然大体上是延续了上季度的趋势,但上述几个负面信号使得我们对滴滴后续的展望还是偏负面的。 1)一方面即便在有着网约车司机供给充沛的利好下,公司一方面给用户的补贴激励在增加导致利润率小幅下降,另一方面从统计局数据来看滴滴的市场份额却是继续小幅下降。体现的似乎是滴滴面对竞争,增加了投入却连已有份额都没守住,龙头地位有慢慢被侵蚀的趋势。 2)而在目前环境下,持续亏损的新业务也普遍是被市场诟病的问题(类比美团),而本季度滴滴海外+创新业务亏损不降反而大幅增加。若诱发部分投资者弃用SOTP估值体系,按整体PE估值,也是重大的风险。 不过,目前市场对滴滴的价值和市值的判断,主要还是取决于对公司国内出行业务中期内利润率的判断。目前来看,23全年国内出行板块的调整后EBITA(加回股权激励和摊销)大致是53亿,公司指引明年是在80亿左右。然而即便是按超额达标实现100亿调整后EBITA,忽略其他业务的亏损不看,按GAAP口径滴滴当前约1350亿的市值对应的PE估值大致也有20x左右。这显然是个不低的估值。 换言之,滴滴后续必须大幅提高其释放利润的能力才能匹配当前的市值,关键就是取决于滴滴能否稳住市占的同时给用户的补贴有明显的减少。而从目前的趋势来看,滴滴的壁垒似乎并不够高。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDIY\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ </a> 总的来看,滴滴本次四季度业绩虽然大体上是延续了上季度的趋势,但上述几个负面信号使得我们对滴滴后续的展望还是偏负面的。 1)一方面即便在有着网约车司机供给充沛的利好下,公司一方面给用户的补贴激励在增加导致利润率小幅下降,另一方面从统计局数据来看滴滴的市场份额却是继续小幅下降。体现的似乎是滴滴面对竞争,增加了投入却连已有份额都没守住,龙头地位有慢慢被侵蚀的趋势。 2)而在目前环境下,持续亏损的新业务也普遍是被市场诟病的问题(类比美团),而本季度滴滴海外+创新业务亏损不降反而大幅增加。若诱发部分投资者弃用SOTP估值体系,按整体PE估值,也是重大的风险。 不过,目前市场对滴滴的价值和市值的判断,主要还是取决于对公司国内出行业务中期内利润率的判断。目前来看,23全年国内出行板块的调整后EBITA(加回股权激励和摊销)大致是53亿,公司指引明年是在80亿左右。然而即便是按超额达标实现100亿调整后EBITA,忽略其他业务的亏损不看,按GAAP口径滴滴当前约1350亿的市值对应的PE估值大致也有20x左右。这显然是个不低的估值。 换言之,滴滴后续必须大幅提高其释放利润的能力才能匹配当前的市值,关键就是取决于滴滴能否稳住市占的同时给用户的补贴有明显的减少。而从目前的趋势来看,滴滴的壁垒似乎并不够高。","text":"$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ 总的来看,滴滴本次四季度业绩虽然大体上是延续了上季度的趋势,但上述几个负面信号使得我们对滴滴后续的展望还是偏负面的。 1)一方面即便在有着网约车司机供给充沛的利好下,公司一方面给用户的补贴激励在增加导致利润率小幅下降,另一方面从统计局数据来看滴滴的市场份额却是继续小幅下降。体现的似乎是滴滴面对竞争,增加了投入却连已有份额都没守住,龙头地位有慢慢被侵蚀的趋势。 2)而在目前环境下,持续亏损的新业务也普遍是被市场诟病的问题(类比美团),而本季度滴滴海外+创新业务亏损不降反而大幅增加。若诱发部分投资者弃用SOTP估值体系,按整体PE估值,也是重大的风险。 不过,目前市场对滴滴的价值和市值的判断,主要还是取决于对公司国内出行业务中期内利润率的判断。目前来看,23全年国内出行板块的调整后EBITA(加回股权激励和摊销)大致是53亿,公司指引明年是在80亿左右。然而即便是按超额达标实现100亿调整后EBITA,忽略其他业务的亏损不看,按GAAP口径滴滴当前约1350亿的市值对应的PE估值大致也有20x左右。这显然是个不低的估值。 换言之,滴滴后续必须大幅提高其释放利润的能力才能匹配当前的市值,关键就是取决于滴滴能否稳住市占的同时给用户的补贴有明显的减少。而从目前的趋势来看,滴滴的壁垒似乎并不够高。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288134305403104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000296","authorId":"9000000000000296","name":"互联网第N代","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c9c4099e73e2cfe6319aaad577e08","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000296","authorIdStr":"9000000000000296"},"content":"自缚手脚一年多都没有被友商超越,不会有问题的","text":"自缚手脚一年多都没有被友商超越,不会有问题的","html":"自缚手脚一年多都没有被友商超越,不会有问题的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":241089647780120,"gmtCreate":1699880430893,"gmtModify":1699880463085,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDIY\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ </a>总的来看,滴滴的三季度财报延续了上季度复苏的趋势,无论从GTV、订单量还是收入角度,业绩体量都再创监管事件后的历史新高,算得上一份还不错的财报,具体来看也仍有不少的缺陷: 1)首先国内订单环比增速跑输行业、用户激励增长、单均利润下滑,指向的都是国内网约车行业虽已回归常态化增长,但竞争依旧、甚至越发激烈。滴滴如果想夺回失去的市占率难言轻松,大概率仍需一定时间牺牲利润换市占的投入期。如同之前所说,滴滴近乎独占国内市场的时光大概率还是是一去不复返了 2)海外业务虽然增长迅速,扩张期亏损加大也属情理之中。但在当前的市场对中概公司仍是比较苛责的,集团整体利润下滑未必能免受惩罚。同时越投越亏,也会让市场怀疑/推延海外业务中长期盈利转正的节点。 3)从估值角度,本次财报后2023年国内业务50亿的净利润预期也基本无需改动,对应公司当前1200多亿人民币的市值,也难言明显的低估。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDIY\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ </a>总的来看,滴滴的三季度财报延续了上季度复苏的趋势,无论从GTV、订单量还是收入角度,业绩体量都再创监管事件后的历史新高,算得上一份还不错的财报,具体来看也仍有不少的缺陷: 1)首先国内订单环比增速跑输行业、用户激励增长、单均利润下滑,指向的都是国内网约车行业虽已回归常态化增长,但竞争依旧、甚至越发激烈。滴滴如果想夺回失去的市占率难言轻松,大概率仍需一定时间牺牲利润换市占的投入期。如同之前所说,滴滴近乎独占国内市场的时光大概率还是是一去不复返了 2)海外业务虽然增长迅速,扩张期亏损加大也属情理之中。但在当前的市场对中概公司仍是比较苛责的,集团整体利润下滑未必能免受惩罚。同时越投越亏,也会让市场怀疑/推延海外业务中长期盈利转正的节点。 3)从估值角度,本次财报后2023年国内业务50亿的净利润预期也基本无需改动,对应公司当前1200多亿人民币的市值,也难言明显的低估。","text":"$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ 总的来看,滴滴的三季度财报延续了上季度复苏的趋势,无论从GTV、订单量还是收入角度,业绩体量都再创监管事件后的历史新高,算得上一份还不错的财报,具体来看也仍有不少的缺陷: 1)首先国内订单环比增速跑输行业、用户激励增长、单均利润下滑,指向的都是国内网约车行业虽已回归常态化增长,但竞争依旧、甚至越发激烈。滴滴如果想夺回失去的市占率难言轻松,大概率仍需一定时间牺牲利润换市占的投入期。如同之前所说,滴滴近乎独占国内市场的时光大概率还是是一去不复返了 2)海外业务虽然增长迅速,扩张期亏损加大也属情理之中。但在当前的市场对中概公司仍是比较苛责的,集团整体利润下滑未必能免受惩罚。同时越投越亏,也会让市场怀疑/推延海外业务中长期盈利转正的节点。 3)从估值角度,本次财报后2023年国内业务50亿的净利润预期也基本无需改动,对应公司当前1200多亿人民币的市值,也难言明显的低估。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/241089647780120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494370642687637","authorId":"3494370642687637","name":"sala001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f4f51705fcf3a337ac5be0fecf9986","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3494370642687637","authorIdStr":"3494370642687637"},"content":"瘦死的骆驼比马大,之前被政策压的太狠,慢慢回血早晚会回来的,参照瑞幸","text":"瘦死的骆驼比马大,之前被政策压的太狠,慢慢回血早晚会回来的,参照瑞幸","html":"瘦死的骆驼比马大,之前被政策压的太狠,慢慢回血早晚会回来的,参照瑞幸"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":246432521035784,"gmtCreate":1701185503358,"gmtModify":1701185882732,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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从估值角度来看,基于本季税率粗略估值主站税前净利润应该已有230-240亿人民币,相当于折年税后净利润大约800亿人民币,即使假设后续成长性减弱,按照15倍估值来算,主站业务的单体价值也已接近1700亿美金。 而TEMU也已经有了独立估值的价值,参考SHEIN 600亿上下的美金的估值,TEMU给拼多多的估值弹性空间已有大致轮廓。 拼多多的三季度答卷再次向同行们证明了什么叫“中概之光”!","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 如果说上个季度超级炸裂的财报发布后,市场会担心主站增长的持续性的话。这个季度的真正增量价值在于: 1)TEMU对于拼多多到底有多大的拉动作用,以及基于此对拼多多做严肃的价值重估; 2)由衷拜服拼多多这种几乎夸张到天际的经营效率和执行能力;以及由此演绎出对拼多多团队的无脑“偏心与信仰”,恐怕以后资本对拼多多执行质疑可以绝迹了。 到这个季度的财报,我们已经可以清晰看到: 1) 通过对于多多买菜的投入,拼多多守住了自己的流量底座,成功防守住了更高频的生鲜业务对它的流量侵蚀,实现了对主站业务护城河的巩固。 2)通过对跨境的进军,拼多多确定性打开了海外的第二增长曲线。 从估值角度来看,基于本季税率粗略估值主站税前净利润应该已有230-240亿人民币,相当于折年税后净利润大约800亿人民币,即使假设后续成长性减弱,按照15倍估值来算,主站业务的单体价值也已接近1700亿美金。 而TEMU也已经有了独立估值的价值,参考SHEIN 600亿上下的美金的估值,TEMU给拼多多的估值弹性空间已有大致轮廓。 拼多多的三季度答卷再次向同行们证明了什么叫“中概之光”!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/246432521035784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000464","authorId":"9000000000000464","name":"明天周日","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/647889b9ec4af75d89345c4c4e3b48f6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000464","authorIdStr":"9000000000000464"},"content":"本来还想买,看见中概股三个字,我还是不敢","text":"本来还想买,看见中概股三个字,我还是不敢","html":"本来还想买,看见中概股三个字,我还是不敢"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626174296,"gmtCreate":1673968757915,"gmtModify":1673968763401,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有人问美丽田园是不是真的那么一眼便宜一眼低估,那么好市场怎么只有几千人参与? 我谈两点: 1、都是开连锁的,美容店比连锁餐饮店的速度要差一些:太二酸菜鱼、奶茶、火锅店1年1百几百家的开,美丽田园也开了20年了,按募资规划一年只有新开20-30家;某些业务甚至需要专业医生,而餐饮店有的连厨师都不用,另外餐饮受众广,需求刚需,在成长周期里开一家火一家,无需爬坡;美丽田园这方面也差点。一来一去,美丽田园就很难迅速上规模并快速形成大众皆知的品牌势能。 2、美容生意做富婆生意,貌似高端,但实际上体现到财务报表上也就是10%-15%的净利润率,不算暴利躺赚,太二和海底捞单店都可以做到,因为后者规模体量大,所以市值都是300亿、千亿级别。美丽田园假设继续提估值到40倍,就刚过100亿。市值、规模、天花板是可以说明一些问题的。 以上说的是商业、增长模式。但另一方面,美丽田园的营业久期可能比餐饮店更长,业务、增长可能相对更稳定,二级市场偏好也高,PE估值也未必低。 一点看法,不一定对,没有完美的公司的,综合考虑","listText":"有人问美丽田园是不是真的那么一眼便宜一眼低估,那么好市场怎么只有几千人参与? 我谈两点: 1、都是开连锁的,美容店比连锁餐饮店的速度要差一些:太二酸菜鱼、奶茶、火锅店1年1百几百家的开,美丽田园也开了20年了,按募资规划一年只有新开20-30家;某些业务甚至需要专业医生,而餐饮店有的连厨师都不用,另外餐饮受众广,需求刚需,在成长周期里开一家火一家,无需爬坡;美丽田园这方面也差点。一来一去,美丽田园就很难迅速上规模并快速形成大众皆知的品牌势能。 2、美容生意做富婆生意,貌似高端,但实际上体现到财务报表上也就是10%-15%的净利润率,不算暴利躺赚,太二和海底捞单店都可以做到,因为后者规模体量大,所以市值都是300亿、千亿级别。美丽田园假设继续提估值到40倍,就刚过100亿。市值、规模、天花板是可以说明一些问题的。 以上说的是商业、增长模式。但另一方面,美丽田园的营业久期可能比餐饮店更长,业务、增长可能相对更稳定,二级市场偏好也高,PE估值也未必低。 一点看法,不一定对,没有完美的公司的,综合考虑","text":"有人问美丽田园是不是真的那么一眼便宜一眼低估,那么好市场怎么只有几千人参与? 我谈两点: 1、都是开连锁的,美容店比连锁餐饮店的速度要差一些:太二酸菜鱼、奶茶、火锅店1年1百几百家的开,美丽田园也开了20年了,按募资规划一年只有新开20-30家;某些业务甚至需要专业医生,而餐饮店有的连厨师都不用,另外餐饮受众广,需求刚需,在成长周期里开一家火一家,无需爬坡;美丽田园这方面也差点。一来一去,美丽田园就很难迅速上规模并快速形成大众皆知的品牌势能。 2、美容生意做富婆生意,貌似高端,但实际上体现到财务报表上也就是10%-15%的净利润率,不算暴利躺赚,太二和海底捞单店都可以做到,因为后者规模体量大,所以市值都是300亿、千亿级别。美丽田园假设继续提估值到40倍,就刚过100亿。市值、规模、天花板是可以说明一些问题的。 以上说的是商业、增长模式。但另一方面,美丽田园的营业久期可能比餐饮店更长,业务、增长可能相对更稳定,二级市场偏好也高,PE估值也未必低。 一点看法,不一定对,没有完美的公司的,综合考虑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626174296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000265","authorId":"9000000000000265","name":"南方之王北上","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07c96db55686042cdad8d7a5bde041d7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000265","authorIdStr":"9000000000000265"},"content":"美丽田园是非常有实力的公司。","text":"美丽田园是非常有实力的公司。","html":"美丽田园是非常有实力的公司。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":124499570,"gmtCreate":1624777052790,"gmtModify":1624856273359,"author":{"id":"3502681733491899","authorId":"3502681733491899","name":"虎头虎尾巴巴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fd64da05c23dc9732fdfdcc6501e1e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502681733491899","authorIdStr":"3502681733491899"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">$每日优鲜(MF)$</a>给大家解释一个很简单的道理。认购是否火爆与开盘涨跌无必然关系。掌门认购够冷淡吧,可以说冷淡到极点,但是开盘大涨。(同理看科济药业)满帮认购够火爆吧,开盘微涨这几天已经连跌几天。所以这次每日认购火爆,可能就是真的。具体看老虎当时的活动,6000多名额一下子就没了。至于说分货多少,这次分货如果没参加活动,也都是100中10,当时掌门100中30,这次每日真不算中签多的。那些中签多的,都是参加活动了,额外加了20股。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">$每日优鲜(MF)$</a>给大家解释一个很简单的道理。认购是否火爆与开盘涨跌无必然关系。掌门认购够冷淡吧,可以说冷淡到极点,但是开盘大涨。(同理看科济药业)满帮认购够火爆吧,开盘微涨这几天已经连跌几天。所以这次每日认购火爆,可能就是真的。具体看老虎当时的活动,6000多名额一下子就没了。至于说分货多少,这次分货如果没参加活动,也都是100中10,当时掌门100中30,这次每日真不算中签多的。那些中签多的,都是参加活动了,额外加了20股。","text":"$每日优鲜(MF)$给大家解释一个很简单的道理。认购是否火爆与开盘涨跌无必然关系。掌门认购够冷淡吧,可以说冷淡到极点,但是开盘大涨。(同理看科济药业)满帮认购够火爆吧,开盘微涨这几天已经连跌几天。所以这次每日认购火爆,可能就是真的。具体看老虎当时的活动,6000多名额一下子就没了。至于说分货多少,这次分货如果没参加活动,也都是100中10,当时掌门100中30,这次每日真不算中签多的。那些中签多的,都是参加活动了,额外加了20股。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124499570","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554334495397350","authorId":"3554334495397350","name":"lilymum","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554334495397350","authorIdStr":"3554334495397350"},"content":"这是做个局让散户往里跳啊,正常认购破发没啥说的,这明显就是做套坑人","text":"这是做个局让散户往里跳啊,正常认购破发没啥说的,这明显就是做套坑人","html":"这是做个局让散户往里跳啊,正常认购破发没啥说的,这明显就是做套坑人"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}