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2021-11-16

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The S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign

The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’

The S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign

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In theory, the lower the PEG, the more value a stock holds.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 currently has a forward PEG of just 1.11, 21% below its historical average. But Bank of America analyst Savita Subramanian said Monday that most fundamental valuation metrics suggest the stock market is overvalued, and the low PEG ratio may actually be just one more sign of irrational market exuberance.</p>\n<p><b>The Numbers:</b>Subramanian said the S&amp;P 500 is statistically expensive based on 15 of 20 fundamental metrics he tracks, including a Shiller PE that’s 122.9% above historical norms and an S&amp;P 500 Market Cap/GDP ratio that’s 170.3% above historical averages.</p>\n<p>In fact, Subramanian said the only reason the S&amp;P 500’s PEG is so low is because analysts have such high expectations for future earnings growth.</p>\n<p>“The attractive P/E to [long-term growth] ratio, or ‘PEG ratio,’ of the S&amp;P 500 is due to lofty growth expectations, not low valuations,” he said.</p>\n<p><b>High Expectations:</b>Analysts are currently projecting long-term S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 19%, even higher than peak dot-com bubble growth expectations. 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However, if 75% of Bank of America’s valuation metrics currently suggest stock valuations are historically high, investors should be prepared for the possibility of a steep correction if the Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates in 2022.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-16 15:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’s price relative to its earnings and expected earnings growth rate. In theory, the lower the PEG, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185802687","content_text":"The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’s price relative to its earnings and expected earnings growth rate. In theory, the lower the PEG, the more value a stock holds.\nThe S&P 500 currently has a forward PEG of just 1.11, 21% below its historical average. But Bank of America analyst Savita Subramanian said Monday that most fundamental valuation metrics suggest the stock market is overvalued, and the low PEG ratio may actually be just one more sign of irrational market exuberance.\nThe Numbers:Subramanian said the S&P 500 is statistically expensive based on 15 of 20 fundamental metrics he tracks, including a Shiller PE that’s 122.9% above historical norms and an S&P 500 Market Cap/GDP ratio that’s 170.3% above historical averages.\nIn fact, Subramanian said the only reason the S&P 500’s PEG is so low is because analysts have such high expectations for future earnings growth.\n“The attractive P/E to [long-term growth] ratio, or ‘PEG ratio,’ of the S&P 500 is due to lofty growth expectations, not low valuations,” he said.\nHigh Expectations:Analysts are currently projecting long-term S&P 500 earnings growth of 19%, even higher than peak dot-com bubble growth expectations. 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The S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign

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