O_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

chefbean
2021-08-17

What the collapse of the Afghan government might mean for the U.S. stock market

After 20 years in the shadows, the Taliban have returned to power in Afghanistan, raising questions

What the collapse of the Afghan government might mean for the U.S. stock market

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

推荐
最新

暂无评论

热议股票

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":839838837,"tweetId":"839838837","gmtCreate":1629135395329,"gmtModify":1631891617686,"author":{"id":3554935180693279,"idStr":"3554935180693279","authorId":3554935180693279,"authorIdStr":"3554935180693279","name":"chefbean","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75bcdd1d22221ef3b8f10c64b73ea420","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":6,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>O</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>O</p></body></html>","text":"O","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839838837","repostId":2159246902,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159246902","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1629082874,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159246902?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 11:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What the collapse of the Afghan government might mean for the U.S. stock market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159246902","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"After 20 years in the shadows, the Taliban have returned to power in Afghanistan, raising questions ","content":"<p>After 20 years in the shadows, the Taliban have returned to power in Afghanistan, raising questions about stability in the Middle East and stoking some potential unrest in U.S. financial markets, amid a weekend that was rife with political developments.</p>\n<p>However, the impact to the stock market, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the S&amp;P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite Index trading at or near record highs , is unclear.</p>\n<p>\"It's a terrible situation for those U.S. folks who are still there,\" J.J. Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, told MarketWatch in emailed comments on Sunday.</p>\n<p>\"As far as the markets go, we'll have to wait and see on the longer-term implications,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Futures, however, were tilting lower, with those for the S&amp;P 500 , the Dow and the Nasdaq-100 all showing modest declines, but hardly indicating that the market's bull run amid COVID-19 was in jeopardy.</p>\n<p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield was at 1.27% late Sunday in New York, attracting some haven bids, with prices of government debt rising and yields moving in the opposite direction.</p>\n<p>Taliban fighters took over Kabul , fearing retaliation in the new regime.</p>\n<p>President Joe Biden has rushed 5,000 troops to Kabul .</p>\n<p>The U.S. presence in Afghanistan, spanning the tenures of Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Biden, started following the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, and is now considered the U.S.'s longest military conflict, surpassing World War I, World War II and the Korean War combined .</p>\n<p>Biden's decision to remove troops from Afghanistan came after Trump's concessions to withdraw U.S. forces , had made the case that it would destabilize the tenuous Afghanistan leadership, leaving it vulnerable to insurgent groups.</p>\n<p>For the most part, stock-market investors have been mostly sanguine amid the long-running conflict that has cost an estimated $2.261 trillion, according to research from Brown University's Watson Institute of International Public Affairs , which also estimates that 241,000 people have died as a direct result of the war.</p>\n<p>The Dow is up by nearly 270%, the S&amp;P 500 has gained more than 300% and the Nasdaq Composite has climbed more than 700% since the fall of 2001.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/502f052f480a29bd870006528642c220\" tg-width=\"1064\" tg-height=\"648\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It's worth noting that the benchmark 10-year was yielding between 4% and 5% around that time.</p>\n<p>Historically, military conflict doesn't always have an impact on stocks, and war's influence, if any, on investors' psyches isn't always clear-cut. The context and economic and market environments are often a bigger driver.</p>\n<p>The U.S. was already in the throes of a recession when the attacks of 9/11 hit and the market initially dipped sharply after the attacks.</p>\n<p>Markets currently are attempting to claw back from the hit caused by COVID-19 and the spread of the delta variant, with questions about the policy plans by the Federal Reserve, and other central banks, at the front of investors' minds.</p>\n<p>Still, military aggressions may result in some investors turning to bets on defense contractors, which could see a boost if the animosities flare up.</p>\n<p>Northrop Grumman Corp.'s stock <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOC\">$(NOC)$</a> is up nearly 880% and Lockeed Martin Corp.'s shares <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">$(LMT)$</a> are up 834% since 2001, while Boeing Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$(BA)$</a> is up 439%, and General Dynamics Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GD\">$(GD)$</a> is up over 422%, all of which outperformed the broader market during that period.</p>\n<p>So far this year, Lockheed's stock is underperforming the broader market, up 0.9%, as is Boeing's, which has gained 9.5% in the year to date.</p>\n<p>One popular way to play defense contractors broadly is the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITA\">$(ITA)$</a> exchange-traded fund, which was created in 2006 and is up 13.7% in 2021 thus far. The SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XAR.UK\">$(XAR.UK)$</a>, which kicked off in 2011, is up 7% year to date.</p>\n<p>Overall, strategists had already been warning about the possibility of a correction as concerns about peak earnings and economic growth grow and many analysts see the Afghan escalation as simply adding to a wall of worry.</p>\n<p>TDAmeritrade's Kinahan said that we \"should see a lift in volatility, and perhaps some fixed-income purchasing, as this puts an element of uncertainty into the market.\"</p>\n<p>But don't be surprised if the market's reaction to the possibility of military tensions is counterintuitive, as Ben Carlson, portfolio manager at Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC, has written in the past about the market's sometimes odd reaction to war , summing it up thusly.</p>\n<p>\"Markets don't always respond to geopolitical events the way you think.\"</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What the collapse of the Afghan government might mean for the U.S. stock market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat the collapse of the Afghan government might mean for the U.S. stock market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 11:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-the-collapse-of-the-afghan-government-might-mean-for-the-u-s-stock-market-11629081544?mod=newsviewer_click><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After 20 years in the shadows, the Taliban have returned to power in Afghanistan, raising questions about stability in the Middle East and stoking some potential unrest in U.S. financial markets, amid...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-the-collapse-of-the-afghan-government-might-mean-for-the-u-s-stock-market-11629081544?mod=newsviewer_click\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-the-collapse-of-the-afghan-government-might-mean-for-the-u-s-stock-market-11629081544?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159246902","content_text":"After 20 years in the shadows, the Taliban have returned to power in Afghanistan, raising questions about stability in the Middle East and stoking some potential unrest in U.S. financial markets, amid a weekend that was rife with political developments.\nHowever, the impact to the stock market, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite Index trading at or near record highs , is unclear.\n\"It's a terrible situation for those U.S. folks who are still there,\" J.J. Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, told MarketWatch in emailed comments on Sunday.\n\"As far as the markets go, we'll have to wait and see on the longer-term implications,\" he said.\nFutures, however, were tilting lower, with those for the S&P 500 , the Dow and the Nasdaq-100 all showing modest declines, but hardly indicating that the market's bull run amid COVID-19 was in jeopardy.\nThe benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield was at 1.27% late Sunday in New York, attracting some haven bids, with prices of government debt rising and yields moving in the opposite direction.\nTaliban fighters took over Kabul , fearing retaliation in the new regime.\nPresident Joe Biden has rushed 5,000 troops to Kabul .\nThe U.S. presence in Afghanistan, spanning the tenures of Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Biden, started following the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, and is now considered the U.S.'s longest military conflict, surpassing World War I, World War II and the Korean War combined .\nBiden's decision to remove troops from Afghanistan came after Trump's concessions to withdraw U.S. forces , had made the case that it would destabilize the tenuous Afghanistan leadership, leaving it vulnerable to insurgent groups.\nFor the most part, stock-market investors have been mostly sanguine amid the long-running conflict that has cost an estimated $2.261 trillion, according to research from Brown University's Watson Institute of International Public Affairs , which also estimates that 241,000 people have died as a direct result of the war.\nThe Dow is up by nearly 270%, the S&P 500 has gained more than 300% and the Nasdaq Composite has climbed more than 700% since the fall of 2001.\n\nIt's worth noting that the benchmark 10-year was yielding between 4% and 5% around that time.\nHistorically, military conflict doesn't always have an impact on stocks, and war's influence, if any, on investors' psyches isn't always clear-cut. The context and economic and market environments are often a bigger driver.\nThe U.S. was already in the throes of a recession when the attacks of 9/11 hit and the market initially dipped sharply after the attacks.\nMarkets currently are attempting to claw back from the hit caused by COVID-19 and the spread of the delta variant, with questions about the policy plans by the Federal Reserve, and other central banks, at the front of investors' minds.\nStill, military aggressions may result in some investors turning to bets on defense contractors, which could see a boost if the animosities flare up.\nNorthrop Grumman Corp.'s stock $(NOC)$ is up nearly 880% and Lockeed Martin Corp.'s shares $(LMT)$ are up 834% since 2001, while Boeing Co. $(BA)$ is up 439%, and General Dynamics Corp. $(GD)$ is up over 422%, all of which outperformed the broader market during that period.\nSo far this year, Lockheed's stock is underperforming the broader market, up 0.9%, as is Boeing's, which has gained 9.5% in the year to date.\nOne popular way to play defense contractors broadly is the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense $(ITA)$ exchange-traded fund, which was created in 2006 and is up 13.7% in 2021 thus far. The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF $(XAR.UK)$, which kicked off in 2011, is up 7% year to date.\nOverall, strategists had already been warning about the possibility of a correction as concerns about peak earnings and economic growth grow and many analysts see the Afghan escalation as simply adding to a wall of worry.\nTDAmeritrade's Kinahan said that we \"should see a lift in volatility, and perhaps some fixed-income purchasing, as this puts an element of uncertainty into the market.\"\nBut don't be surprised if the market's reaction to the possibility of military tensions is counterintuitive, as Ben Carlson, portfolio manager at Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC, has written in the past about the market's sometimes odd reaction to war , summing it up thusly.\n\"Markets don't always respond to geopolitical events the way you think.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":171,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}