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2021-07-29

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Stock-market investors are ‘staring down the barrel of seasonal weakness for next 3 months’

Stock market likely to face ‘readjustment period’: deGraaf Midsummer blues? SEBASTIEN SALOM-GOMIS/AG

Stock-market investors are ‘staring down the barrel of seasonal weakness for next 3 months’

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SEBASTIEN SALOM-GOMIS/AG","content":"<p>Stock market likely to face ‘readjustment period’: deGraaf</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd60b246407ebeffde47c97ef392dbb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Midsummer blues? SEBASTIEN SALOM-GOMIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p>\n<p>It’s the most unfavorable time of the year when it comes to stock-market “seasonality”, and while that’s usually not enough to dictate market calls, it’s worth paying attention to, a top Wall Street chart watcher warned on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>“We are now standing at the weakest point in market seasonality for the next three months,” said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Thursday note, referring to the chart tracking seasonal 3-month forward returns below:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca9bfb57bece1c32df911d998c4de19\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>RENAISSANCE MACRO</span></p>\n<p>“The data goes back to 1928 and is rarely a sufficient catalyst to make a call, but with breadth divergences, elevated sentiment, and peak-data we suspect seasonal patterns will be more typical than not,” he wrote.</p>\n<p>Seasonality refers to the tendency of markets to perform better or worse during certain periods of the year. It’s perhaps most famously illustrated by the stock-market adage, “sell in May and go away,,” which refers to the historical tendency for the stock market to perform better from November through April than from May through October.</p>\n<p>As deGraaf indicated, such seasonal factors typically aren’t viewed as sufficient in themselves to justify making trading calls.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average,S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;pulled back Tuesday after finishing at record levels in the previous session. Stocks were&nbsp;putting in a mixed performance&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>So what does he expect the next three months to look like?</p>\n<p>“It’s likely to be a readjustment period, rotational and important to pay attention to relative strength changes,” he said.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock-market investors are ‘staring down the barrel of seasonal weakness for next 3 months’</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock-market investors are ‘staring down the barrel of seasonal weakness for next 3 months’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 17:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-investors-are-staring-down-the-barrel-of-seasonal-weakness-for-next-3-months-11627482153?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock market likely to face ‘readjustment period’: deGraaf\nMidsummer blues? SEBASTIEN SALOM-GOMIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nIt’s the most unfavorable time of the year when it comes to stock-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-investors-are-staring-down-the-barrel-of-seasonal-weakness-for-next-3-months-11627482153?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-investors-are-staring-down-the-barrel-of-seasonal-weakness-for-next-3-months-11627482153?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150368331","content_text":"Stock market likely to face ‘readjustment period’: deGraaf\nMidsummer blues? SEBASTIEN SALOM-GOMIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nIt’s the most unfavorable time of the year when it comes to stock-market “seasonality”, and while that’s usually not enough to dictate market calls, it’s worth paying attention to, a top Wall Street chart watcher warned on Wednesday.\n“We are now standing at the weakest point in market seasonality for the next three months,” said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Thursday note, referring to the chart tracking seasonal 3-month forward returns below:\nRENAISSANCE MACRO\n“The data goes back to 1928 and is rarely a sufficient catalyst to make a call, but with breadth divergences, elevated sentiment, and peak-data we suspect seasonal patterns will be more typical than not,” he wrote.\nSeasonality refers to the tendency of markets to perform better or worse during certain periods of the year. It’s perhaps most famously illustrated by the stock-market adage, “sell in May and go away,,” which refers to the historical tendency for the stock market to perform better from November through April than from May through October.\nAs deGraaf indicated, such seasonal factors typically aren’t viewed as sufficient in themselves to justify making trading calls.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average,S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite pulled back Tuesday after finishing at record levels in the previous session. Stocks were putting in a mixed performance on Wednesday.\nSo what does he expect the next three months to look like?\n“It’s likely to be a readjustment period, rotational and important to pay attention to relative strength changes,” he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

Stock-market investors are ‘staring down the barrel of seasonal weakness for next 3 months’

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