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2021-08-04

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Energy Stocks Look Cheap if Oil Prices Are an Indicator

The price of oil has had a strong 2021 run. Oil stocks haven’t fully responded in kind, creating a p

Energy Stocks Look Cheap if Oil Prices Are an Indicator

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Oil stocks haven’t fully responded in kind, creating a p","content":"<p>The price of oil has had a strong 2021 run. Oil stocks haven’t fully responded in kind, creating a potential buying opportunity.</p>\n<p>The price of WTI Crude oil is up about 45% year-to-date as reopenings and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have jolted economic demand.</p>\n<p>Energy stocks have also performed handsomely. The&nbsp;Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(ticker: XLE), which counts oil majors&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) and&nbsp;Chevron(CVX) as its two largest holdings, has risen about 30.5% for the year. That outpaces the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;gain in that time by about 11 percentage points.</p>\n<p>But stock gains for&nbsp;energy companies&nbsp;should be stronger than that, given historical trends. With crude oil recently trading around $70 a barrel, the average S&amp;P 500 energy stock should have outperformed the broader index by several times greater than the outperformance seen in 2021, according to Citigroup data.</p>\n<p>The bank’s data show a tight correlation between the price of crude oil and the outperformance of energy stocks, dating back to 1995. Recently, the two have become decorrelated. Now, “the [energy] stocks look underpriced given the rebound in crude,” writes Tobias Levkovich, chief U.S. equity strategist at Citigroup.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d90632bcc788f231842041326cc72d\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Others on Wall Street have also noted the fairly cheap price of energy stocks. Strategists at Truist recently wrote that energy stocks have been in an “oversold” condition. Just a week ago,none of the S&amp;P 500 energy stocks were trading above their 50-day moving averages.</p>\n<p>On the flip side, the relatively disappointing performance of energy stocks could signify that the price of crude oil is bound to drop.</p>\n<p>To be sure, investors have recently been grappling with&nbsp;the strong possibility that the U.S. has already seen the fastest economic growth it will see&nbsp;for the current economic expansion, a dynamic that isn’t positive for oil demand. The price of oil—and the energy fund—have both fallen from 2021 peaks hit in July and June, respectively.</p>\n<p>But those who believe in strengthening oil demand can believe in oil stocks from here.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Energy Stocks Look Cheap if Oil Prices Are an Indicator</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEnergy Stocks Look Cheap if Oil Prices Are an Indicator\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 09:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/energy-stocks-look-cheap-if-oil-prices-are-an-indicator-51628026755?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The price of oil has had a strong 2021 run. Oil stocks haven’t fully responded in kind, creating a potential buying opportunity.\nThe price of WTI Crude oil is up about 45% year-to-date as reopenings ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/energy-stocks-look-cheap-if-oil-prices-are-an-indicator-51628026755?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OXY":"西方石油","COP":"康菲石油","SLB":"斯伦贝谢","CPE":"卡隆石油","XOM":"埃克森美孚","RDS.A":"荷兰皇家壳牌石油A类股","HAL":"哈里伯顿","XLE":"SPDR能源指数ETF","BP":"英国石油","CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/energy-stocks-look-cheap-if-oil-prices-are-an-indicator-51628026755?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154291132","content_text":"The price of oil has had a strong 2021 run. Oil stocks haven’t fully responded in kind, creating a potential buying opportunity.\nThe price of WTI Crude oil is up about 45% year-to-date as reopenings and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have jolted economic demand.\nEnergy stocks have also performed handsomely. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(ticker: XLE), which counts oil majors Exxon Mobil(XOM) and Chevron(CVX) as its two largest holdings, has risen about 30.5% for the year. That outpaces the S&P 500’s gain in that time by about 11 percentage points.\nBut stock gains for energy companies should be stronger than that, given historical trends. With crude oil recently trading around $70 a barrel, the average S&P 500 energy stock should have outperformed the broader index by several times greater than the outperformance seen in 2021, according to Citigroup data.\nThe bank’s data show a tight correlation between the price of crude oil and the outperformance of energy stocks, dating back to 1995. Recently, the two have become decorrelated. Now, “the [energy] stocks look underpriced given the rebound in crude,” writes Tobias Levkovich, chief U.S. equity strategist at Citigroup.\n\nOthers on Wall Street have also noted the fairly cheap price of energy stocks. Strategists at Truist recently wrote that energy stocks have been in an “oversold” condition. Just a week ago,none of the S&P 500 energy stocks were trading above their 50-day moving averages.\nOn the flip side, the relatively disappointing performance of energy stocks could signify that the price of crude oil is bound to drop.\nTo be sure, investors have recently been grappling with the strong possibility that the U.S. has already seen the fastest economic growth it will see for the current economic expansion, a dynamic that isn’t positive for oil demand. The price of oil—and the energy fund—have both fallen from 2021 peaks hit in July and June, respectively.\nBut those who believe in strengthening oil demand can believe in oil stocks from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}