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2021-12-30

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Citi nudges up price targets, estimates on Tesla, GM and Ford

Citi auto analyst Itay Michaeli points to strong Q4 trends in boosting price targets and earnings es

Citi nudges up price targets, estimates on Tesla, GM and Ford

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EPS estimates for the next fiscal year are $9.20 from $7.87.</p><p>&#34;Despite some known near-term margin headwinds (new capacity ramping, supply-chain/commodities), we believe that EV supply/demand will remain strong enough to continue driving YoY margin expansion, particularly in the U.S., where Tesla’s share is strongest,&#34; he writes in a note.</p><p>&#34;Our Sell rating reflects our view of risk/reward at the current valuation, which we believe embeds expectations for Tesla selling ~20mln units by ~2030, an implied market share outcome that is not supported by our prior market analysis, and a clear lead in AV/FSD revenue pools (RoboTaxi, subscriptions/sharing), which our latest AV industry assessment does not support.&#34;</p><p>If &#34;we look at the time when a handful of other companies neared Tesla’s current market cap, they did so generating ~8x more gross profit (on average) than Tesla’s current 2021 consensus and ~3x more than Tesla’s 2025 consensus,&#34; he adds.</p><p>General Motors(NYSE:GM) keeps its Buy rating with the target moving to $96 from $90. EPS estimates rise to $7.01 from $6.76.</p><p>&#34;GM remains our top pick, with a long-term upside case to ~$200/share,&#34; he says. &#34;Though the shares have underperformed since the recent departure of Cruise’s CEO, we still view GM’s upcoming CES EV unveilings as a likely positive catalyst for the stock.&#34;</p><p>Ford(NYSE:F) stays at Neutral. The price target goes to $23 from $20 and EPS estimates for the next fiscal year go up to $2.01 from $1.90.</p><p>&#34;We continue to see greater relative upside at GM, but we maintain a constructive stance on Ford, as the long-term risk/reward proposition continues to improve.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Citi nudges up price targets, estimates on Tesla, GM and Ford</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCiti nudges up price targets, estimates on Tesla, GM and Ford\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-30 22:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3784120-citi-nudges-up-price-targets-estimates-on-tesla-gm-and-ford><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Citi auto analyst Itay Michaeli points to strong Q4 trends in boosting price targets and earnings estimates on three automakers, whilekeeping ratings the same.wellesenterprises/iStock Editorial via ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3784120-citi-nudges-up-price-targets-estimates-on-tesla-gm-and-ford\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","F":"福特汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3784120-citi-nudges-up-price-targets-estimates-on-tesla-gm-and-ford","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149071777","content_text":"Citi auto analyst Itay Michaeli points to strong Q4 trends in boosting price targets and earnings estimates on three automakers, whilekeeping ratings the same.wellesenterprises/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesMichaeli still has a Sell rating on Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA), but raises the price target to $262 per share from $236. EPS estimates for the next fiscal year are $9.20 from $7.87.\"Despite some known near-term margin headwinds (new capacity ramping, supply-chain/commodities), we believe that EV supply/demand will remain strong enough to continue driving YoY margin expansion, particularly in the U.S., where Tesla’s share is strongest,\" he writes in a note.\"Our Sell rating reflects our view of risk/reward at the current valuation, which we believe embeds expectations for Tesla selling ~20mln units by ~2030, an implied market share outcome that is not supported by our prior market analysis, and a clear lead in AV/FSD revenue pools (RoboTaxi, subscriptions/sharing), which our latest AV industry assessment does not support.\"If \"we look at the time when a handful of other companies neared Tesla’s current market cap, they did so generating ~8x more gross profit (on average) than Tesla’s current 2021 consensus and ~3x more than Tesla’s 2025 consensus,\" he adds.General Motors(NYSE:GM) keeps its Buy rating with the target moving to $96 from $90. EPS estimates rise to $7.01 from $6.76.\"GM remains our top pick, with a long-term upside case to ~$200/share,\" he says. \"Though the shares have underperformed since the recent departure of Cruise’s CEO, we still view GM’s upcoming CES EV unveilings as a likely positive catalyst for the stock.\"Ford(NYSE:F) stays at Neutral. The price target goes to $23 from $20 and EPS estimates for the next fiscal year go up to $2.01 from $1.90.\"We continue to see greater relative upside at GM, but we maintain a constructive stance on Ford, as the long-term risk/reward proposition continues to improve.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}