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2022-12-07

Megacap Earnings to See "Rude Awakening" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says

Shalett says expectations from some big companies ‘delusional’Pinched consumer will fuel economic sl

Megacap Earnings to See "Rude Awakening" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says

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Estimates for next year continue to drift lower though remain relatively high.Shalett said earnings forecasts in general remain too optimistic given the unprecedented confluence of factors weighing on the outlook, including Federal Reserve rate hikes and the risk of a recession.“If the Fed succeeds, if the Fed pauses, which is what all the enthusiasm is about, that pricing power at best is going to halve and at worst is going to go away completely at the same time that your volume is slowing,” she said. “It’s that kind of negative operating leverage that I just don’t think is in the numbers.”And despite the strength of the labor market, a pinched consumer might lead to further economic slowing as they burn through pandemic-era savings.“Consumers are starting to run out of dough,” she said. “As we get into 2023, we think everything rests with the consumer.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

Megacap Earnings to See "Rude Awakening" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says

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