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2021-12-10

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Bets on 2022 Fed Rate Hikes Dented as CPI Matches Expectations

CPI annual inflation of 6.8% matches economists’ forecast Fed officials are meeting to decide on pol

Bets on 2022 Fed Rate Hikes Dented as CPI Matches Expectations

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The benchmark 10-year rate was down marginally at around 1.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ea863b9710c1a5e5a00bb1b6ac112a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The prospect that inflation will be held in check may weigh against the need for the Federal Reserve to speed up the process of policy tightening as much as some had believed they might. Officials are due to deliver their next decision on Wednesday, and observers are watching for a potential acceleration in the pace of asset-purchase tapering, a precursor to eventual rate hikes by the central bank.</p>\n<p>Swaps tied to Fed meetings indicate around 70 basis points of benchmark rate increases for 2022, down a few basis points from before the consumer-price data and shy of the 75 that would constitute three standard quarter-point increases.</p>\n<p>“It was right in line with expectations and below some forecasts of more than 7%,” said Kathy Jones, chief fixed-income strategist at Charles Schwab &amp; Co. “It doesn’t change expectations about Fed policy and going forward inflation is likely to come down. So muted reaction.”</p>\n<p>The consumer price index&nbsp;increased&nbsp;6.8% from November 2020, the fastest annual pace in nearly 40 years. 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The benchmark 10-year rate was down marginally at around 1.49%.\n\nThe prospect that inflation will be held in check may weigh against the need for the Federal Reserve to speed up the process of policy tightening as much as some had believed they might. Officials are due to deliver their next decision on Wednesday, and observers are watching for a potential acceleration in the pace of asset-purchase tapering, a precursor to eventual rate hikes by the central bank.\nSwaps tied to Fed meetings indicate around 70 basis points of benchmark rate increases for 2022, down a few basis points from before the consumer-price data and shy of the 75 that would constitute three standard quarter-point increases.\n“It was right in line with expectations and below some forecasts of more than 7%,” said Kathy Jones, chief fixed-income strategist at Charles Schwab & Co. “It doesn’t change expectations about Fed policy and going forward inflation is likely to come down. 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Bets on 2022 Fed Rate Hikes Dented as CPI Matches Expectations

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